ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas (BOIL) Stock Quote & Options Analysis | Frenzy Capital
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $12.07 – $70.40
- YTD
- -18.33%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 7.08
- Straddle Price
- $3.91
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 6.66
- Industry (SIC)
- COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS (6221)
- Exchange
- ARCX
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | +7.91% | 6 |
| Feb | -3.92% | 6 |
| Mar | -5.36% | 6 |
| Apr | +4.06% | 6 |
| May | +1.46% | 6 |
| Jun | +0.15% | 5 |
| Jul | +11.17% | 5 |
| Aug | +11.14% | 5 |
| Sep | +4.66% | 5 |
| Oct | -7.41% | 5 |
| Nov | -0.46% | 5 |
| Dec | -19.03% | 5 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 47.1 | Neutral |
| MACD | -0.866 | Bearish |
| SMA 50 | $15.80 | Above |
| SMA 200 | $25.64 | Below |
| Bollinger Bands | Neutral | |
| ADX | 10.0 | Range |
| HV 30 | 68.8% |
Here is the LLM Stock Analysis Report for SYMBOL: BOIL:
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: BEARISH (Confidence Level: 6/10)
Key Drivers and Primary Risks:
- Bearish trend indicators, including MACD signal line below zero
- High volatility and negative sentiment from options market
- Negative beta (-1.57) indicating stock moves opposite to market
2-3 Sentence Investment Thesis:
BOIL is experiencing a bearish trend due to its high volatility and negative sentiment from the options market. The stock's beta suggests it may continue to move in the opposite direction of the broader market. Investors should be cautious when considering a position in BOIL.
Recent News Sentiment Impact:
The recent news headlines are generally neutral, with no significant impact on the stock's price. However, the analyst warning of a potential "serious escalatory tit-for-tat cycle" could have negative implications for the stock if it leads to increased geopolitical tensions.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction:
- Short-term: Bearish (1-4 weeks)
- Medium-term: Bearish (1-3 months)
- Long-term: Neutral (3-12 months)
Support/Resistance Levels:
- SMA 20: $13.43 (support)
- Upper Bollinger Band: $14.88 (resistance)
Momentum Signals:
- RSI interpretation: Neutral (47.05) - no clear buy/sell signal
- MACD signal line: Bearish (-0.87 below zero)
- Bollinger Bands position: Neutral (price within middle band)
Volume Analysis:
- Volume SMA 20: 9429938.96 (increasing volume)
- On-Balance Volume (OBV): -140532311.82 (bearish sentiment)
- Volume Rate of Change: 25.88% (increasing volume momentum)
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary:
The recent news headlines are generally neutral, with no significant impact on the stock's price.
Sentiment Assessment:
Aggregate news sentiment is neutral, with no clear bullish or bearish bias.
Catalyst Identification:
No upcoming events or earnings announcements have been identified as potential catalysts for the stock's price movement.
Market Narrative:
The market narrative is currently focused on geopolitical tensions and their potential impact on global markets. This has led to increased volatility in many assets, including BOIL.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Risk Assessment:
- Beta: -1.57 (high risk)
- Volatility Regime: High
- Options Market Signals:
- IV rank: Low (7.1%)
- Current IV: 111.5% (historically high)
- Put/Call volume ratio: 6.66 (bearish sentiment)
Downside Protection:
- Support levels:
- SMA 20: $13.43
- Lower Bollinger Band: $11.99
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance:
BOIL is performing similarly to its sector, with a neutral market narrative.
Institutional Activity:
No clear institutional interest has been identified in BOIL's recent price movement.
Correlation Analysis:
BOIL has a negative correlation (-0.17) with the broader market, indicating it may continue to move in the opposite direction.
Relative Valuation:
BOIL is currently trading within its historical range, suggesting no clear valuation-based catalysts for significant price movements.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- Support: SMA 20 ($13.43), Lower Bollinger Band ($11.99)
- Resistance: Upper Bollinger Band ($14.88)
Breakout/Breakdown Levels:
- Breakout above $14.88 could trigger a bullish signal
- Breakdown below $13.43 could trigger a bearish signal
Time-Sensitive Catalysts:
No upcoming events or earnings announcements have been identified as potential catalysts for the stock's price movement.
Risk Management:
Stop-loss levels should be set at $12.50 to limit potential losses, with position sizing considerations based on current volatility and risk appetite.
Please note that this is a hypothetical analysis report and not actual investment advice.
| Published | Title | Publisher | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-10 | Best Inverse/Leveraged ETFs of Last Week | Zacks Investment Research | |
| 2024-05-20 | Best Leveraged ETFs of Last Week | Zacks Investment Research | |
| 2024-04-08 | Iraq To Resume Oil Exports To Turkey Via Pipeline Shuttered A Decade Ago Amid Kurdish Negotiation Deadlock | Benzinga | |
| 2024-04-05 | Analyst Warns Of 'Serious Escalatory Tit-For-Tat Cycle' If Iran Strikes Back, Raising Fears Of 'Wider War' In Middle East | Benzinga | |
| 2024-03-04 | Natural Gas Soars After Top US Producer Slashes Output; Oil Prices Dip As OPEC+ Extends Production Curbs | Benzinga | |
| 2024-01-18 | Cold Snap Pushes Natural Gas ETFs Higher | Zacks Investment Research | |
| 2024-01-17 | Natural Gas Data Sparks Optimism For Chevron, BP, Shell And Natural Gas ETFs | Benzinga | |
| 2024-01-08 | 6 Best Inverse/Leveraged ETFs of Last Week | Zacks Investment Research |
- IV Rank (30D)
- 7.08
- IV Rank (7D)
- 58.45
- Avg IV
- 111.5%
- Straddle (30D)
- $3.91
- Straddle (7D)
- $1.33
- P/C Volume
- 6.66
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR25 and BF25 from the live options chain. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- -1.57
- Correlation (SPY)
- -16.8%
- R²
- 0.03
- Ann. Volatility
- 116.1%
- SPY Volatility
- 12.4%
Negative beta - stock moves opposite to market
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.