Stock Market Dashboard

Live indices, movers, options and volatility · Oct 7, 2026

Live Run screener

Russell 2000 RUT−1.31%

Top movers

Top movers, market cap $2B+. Select a column header to sort.
Symbol	Last	Chg	Rel vol	Mkt cap
BSP Bending Spoons S.p.A. O…	41.05	+24.12%	2.9x	$21.0B
PENG Penguin Solutions, Inc.…	72.67	+13.17%	8.8x	$3.3B
BRZE Braze, Inc. Class A Com…	28.39	+7.80%	1.3x	$3.0B
NWE NorthWestern Energy Gro…	74.09	+7.50%	3.1x	$4.2B
BKH Black Hills Corporation	75.98	+7.41%	3.4x	$5.4B
BKV BKV Corporation	23.68	+7.39%	1.6x	$2.4B
BVC BitVentures Limited Ord…	12.85	+7.44%	1.8x	$2.0B
GKOS Glaukos Corporation	172.12	+6.52%	1.3x	$9.5B

Sector heat map

Box size = relative volume (today vs the 20-day average), colour = 1-day change.

Fed rate odds

FedWatch

Oct 28 FOMCimplied

Hold

82%

+25bp

18%

Dec 9 FOMCimplied

Hold

18%

+25bp

82%

EFFR 3.88% · market-implied

Screeners

All

Economic calendar

Upcoming US economic events, times ET. Select a column header to sort.
Time	Event	Impact	Fcst	Prev
Today
Wed 10/7 10:30	Crude Oil Inventories	L	1.9M	0.9M
Wed 10/7 13:00	President Trump Speaks	M	—	—
Wed 10/7 13:01	10-y Bond Auction	L	—	4.83\|2.7
Wed 10/7 14:00	FOMC Meeting Minutes	H	—	—
Wed 10/7 15:00	Consumer Credit m/m	L	14.5B	18.1B
Tomorrow
Thu 10/8 04:30	FOMC Member Waller Speaks	M	—	—
Thu 10/8 08:30	Unemployment Claims	M	200K	197K
Thu 10/8 10:00	Final Wholesale Inventories m/m	L	0.7%	0.7%
Thu 10/8 10:30	Natural Gas Storage	L	79B	64B
Thu 10/8 13:01	30-y Bond Auction	L	—	5.31\|2.6
Thu 10/8 13:40	FOMC Member Musalem Speaks	L	—	—
Fri, Oct 9
Fri 10/9 10:00	Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment	M	47.5	47.8
Fri 10/9 10:00	Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations	M	—	4.6%
Fri 10/9 16:00	FOMC Member Collins Speaks	L	—	—
Mon, Oct 12early look · forecasts to come
Mon 10/12 08:00	Bank Holiday	L	—	—
Tue, Oct 13early look · forecasts to come
Tue 10/13 14:00	Federal Budget Balance	L	—	—
Wed, Oct 14early look · forecasts to come
Wed 10/14 08:30	CPI m/m	H	—	0.4%
Wed 10/14 08:30	CPI y/y	H	—	3.4%
Wed 10/14 08:30	Core CPI m/m	H	—	0.3%
Wed 10/14 08:30	Core CPI y/y	H	—	2.4%
Wed 10/14 14:00	Beige Book	L	—	—
Thu, Oct 15early look · forecasts to come
Thu 10/15 08:30	PPI m/m	H	—	0.4%
Thu 10/15 08:30	Core PPI m/m	H	—	0.2%
Thu 10/15 08:30	Unemployment Claims	M	—	—
Thu 10/15 08:30	Retail Sales m/m	M	—	1.2%
Thu 10/15 08:30	Core Retail Sales m/m	M	—	1.4%
Thu 10/15 08:30	Empire State Manufacturing Index	L	—	7.6
Thu 10/15 08:30	Philly Fed Manufacturing Index	M	—	37.8
Thu 10/15 10:00	Business Inventories m/m	L	—	0.8%
Fri, Oct 16early look · forecasts to come
Fri 10/16 08:30	Import Prices m/m	L	—	0.7%
Fri 10/16 09:15	Industrial Production m/m	L	—	0.0%
Fri 10/16 09:15	Capacity Utilization Rate	L	—	76.3%

Showing 1–10 of 32

Page 1 of 4

US events · times ET · H high · M medium · L low impact

Upcoming earnings

BMO before market open AMC after market close time not announced

Upcoming earnings in the next two weeks. Select a column header to sort.
Symbol	Date	EPS est	Exp. move	Mkt cap
PEP Pepsico, Inc.	Thu 10/8 BMO	2.29	±5.7%	$171.5B
DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc.	Fri 10/9 BMO	1.96	±9.3%	$54.6B
JPM J P Morgan Chase & Co	Tue 10/13 BMO	5.94	±5.9%	$883.5B
JNJ Johnson & Johnson	Tue 10/13 BMO	2.90	±5.8%	$609.5B
UNH UnitedHealth Group In…	Tue 10/13 BMO	4.12	±9.7%	$339.8B
GS The Goldman Sachs Gro…	Tue 10/13 BMO	13.89	±7.4%	$260.2B
WFC Wells Fargo & Company	Tue 10/13 BMO	1.85	±7.0%	$246.3B
C Citigroup Inc.	Tue 10/13 BMO	2.66	±7.3%	$215.6B
ASML ASML Holding N.V.	Wed 10/14 BMO	12.47	±9.8%	$716.8B
BAC Bank of America Corporation	Wed 10/14 BMO	1.12	±6.5%	$377.6B
MS Morgan Stanley	Wed 10/14 BMO	2.88	±7.4%	$298.7B
BLK BlackRock, Inc.	Wed 10/14 BMO	14.04	±7.3%	$165.2B
FAST Fastenal Company	Wed 10/14 BMO	0.34	±8.1%	$58.2B
STT State Street Corporation	Wed 10/14 BMO	3.63	±8.7%	$48.4B
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor …	Thu 10/15 BMO	4.45	±7.5%	$2.52T
SCHW The Charles Schwab Co…	Thu 10/15 BMO	1.66	±6.9%	$169.4B
PLD Prologis, Inc.	Thu 10/15 BMO	1.58	±7.3%	$121.4B
BNY The Bank Of New York …	Thu 10/15 BMO	2.27	±7.6%	$97.5B
USB U.S. Bancorp	Thu 10/15 BMO	1.32	±6.1%	$89.2B
PNC PNC Financial Service…	Thu 10/15 BMO	4.98	±6.0%	$87.9B
MRSH Marsh	Thu 10/15 BMO	1.96	±7.0%	$81.3B
INFY Infosys Limited	Thu 10/15	0.21	±15.9%	$43.6B
IBKR Interactive Brokers G…	Thu 10/15 AMC	0.66	±10.1%	$40.3B
ERIC Ericsson	Thu 10/15 BMO	0.14	±11.1%	$31.1B
JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport S…	Thu 10/15 AMC	2	±11.1%	$21.6B
SNA Snap-On Incorporated	Thu 10/15 BMO	4.91	±6.8%	$19.0B
WIT Wipro Limited	Thu 10/15	0.04	±25.4%	$16.7B
AA Alcoa Corporation	Thu 10/15 AMC	1.58	±10.7%	$11.5B
FHN First Horizon Corporation	Thu 10/15 BMO	0.53	±7.5%	$11.1B
HDB HDFC Bank Limited	Fri 10/16	0.40	±8.7%	$113.4B
IBN ICICI Bank Limited	Fri 10/16	0.40	±7.9%	$99.3B
TRV The Travelers Compani…	Fri 10/16 BMO	6.82	±6.8%	$75.2B
TFC Truist Financial Corp…	Fri 10/16 BMO	1.12	±8.3%	$56.6B
MTB M&T Bank Corporation	Fri 10/16 BMO	4.99	±7.0%	$31.5B
CFG Citizens Financial Gr…	Fri 10/16 BMO	1.38	±8.4%	$27.1B
RF Regions Financial Cor…	Fri 10/16 BMO	0.67	±7.9%	$23.1B
FITB Fifth Third Bancorp	Mon 10/19 BMO	1.09	±7.7%	$46.1B
STLD Steel Dynamics, Inc.	Mon 10/19 AMC	5.41	±11.5%	$34.5B
WRB W.R. Berkley Corporation	Mon 10/19 AMC	1.13	±6.1%	$25.9B
SMMT Summit Therapeutics Inc.	Mon 10/19 BMO	(0.28)	±20.3%	$13.8B
PAC Grupo Aeroportuario D…	Mon 10/19	2.68	—	$12.5B
CCK Crown Holdings, Inc.	Mon 10/19 AMC	2.25	±9.1%	$11.6B
AGNC AGNC Investment Corp.	Mon 10/19 AMC	0.39	±7.8%	$10.3B
GE GE Aerospace	Tue 10/20 BMO	2.01	±8.7%	$317.8B
PM Philip Morris Interna…	Tue 10/20 BMO	2.33	±7.5%	$295.4B
NFLX Netflix, Inc.	Tue 10/20 AMC	0.82	±10.2%	$281.1B
RTX RTX Corporation	Tue 10/20 BMO	1.75	±7.4%	$248.4B
ISRG Intuitive Surgical, Inc.	Tue 10/20 AMC	2.13	±10.1%	$143.6B
CB Chubb Limited	Tue 10/20 AMC	6.26	±6.1%	$127.5B
COF Capital One Financial…	Tue 10/20 AMC	5.43	±8.2%	$119.7B
MMM 3M Company	Tue 10/20 BMO	2.41	±7.3%	$84.2B
GM General Motors Company	Tue 10/20 BMO	3.46	±9.3%	$70.4B
NOC Northrop Grumman Corp…	Tue 10/20 BMO	7.21	±8.6%	$67.6B
PCAR PACCAR Inc.	Tue 10/20 BMO	1.61	±8.6%	$57.6B
MSCI MSCI Inc.	Tue 10/20 BMO	5.01	±9.0%	$40.2B
UAL United Airlines Holdi…	Tue 10/20 AMC	3	±11.4%	$35.7B
EQT EQT Corporation	Tue 10/20 AMC	0.43	±7.4%	$32.0B
HAL Halliburton Company	Tue 10/20 BMO	0.58	±8.5%	$27.3B
SYF Synchrony Financial	Tue 10/20 BMO	2.42	±9.1%	$26.7B
KEY KeyCorp	Tue 10/20 BMO	0.46	±7.7%	$21.5B
OMC Omnicom Group Inc.	Tue 10/20 AMC	2.68	±8.6%	$20.6B
GPC Genuine Parts Company	Tue 10/20 BMO	2.10	±10.2%	$17.4B
EWBC East West Bancorp, Inc.	Tue 10/20 AMC	2.68	±7.5%	$17.4B
EFX Equifax, Inc.	Tue 10/20 BMO	2.21	±13.9%	$16.8B
VICR Vicor Corporation	Tue 10/20 AMC	1.38	±25.0%	$14.1B
MLI Mueller Industries, Inc.	Tue 10/20 BMO	—	±9.2%	$13.9B
NLY Annaly Capital Manage…	Tue 10/20 AMC	0.78	±6.9%	$13.8B
HAS Hasbro, Inc.	Tue 10/20 BMO	1.88	±10.7%	$13.0B
MANH Manhattan Associates, Inc.	Tue 10/20 AMC	1.03	±14.4%	$12.0B
ALLY Ally Financial Inc.	Tue 10/20 BMO	1.43	±9.0%	$11.4B
LRCX Lam Research Corporation	Wed 10/21 AMC	2.17	±13.3%	$432.7B
TXN Texas Instruments Inc…	Wed 10/21 AMC	2.39	±10.9%	$269.3B
SAP SAP SE	Wed 10/21 AMC	2.04	±10.6%	$255.2B
TMO Thermo Fisher Scienti…	Wed 10/21 BMO	6.40	±8.6%	$250.2B
IBM International Busines…	Wed 10/21 AMC	2.90	±9.8%	$208.8B
ABT Abbott Laboratories	Wed 10/21 BMO	1.43	±6.7%	$173.2B
T AT&T Inc.	Wed 10/21 BMO	0.61	±6.1%	$166.1B
DHR Danaher Corporation	Wed 10/21 BMO	1.96	±9.5%	$155.5B
PGR Progressive Corporati…	Wed 10/21 BMO	4.26	±5.9%	$123.6B
CME CME Group Inc.	Wed 10/21 BMO	2.95	±6.4%	$97.1B
CSX CSX Corporation	Wed 10/21 AMC	0.53	±7.0%	$87.9B
ELV Elevance Health, Inc.	Wed 10/21 BMO	4.66	±10.3%	$85.6B
MCO Moody's Corporation	Wed 10/21 BMO	4.26	±8.0%	$77.6B
AMX America Movil, S.A.B.…	Wed 10/21	0.46	±9.1%	$66.7B
WAB Westinghouse Air Brak…	Wed 10/21 BMO	2.72	±7.7%	$49.3B
WCN Waste Connections, Inc.	Wed 10/21 AMC	1.51	±6.0%	$39.4B
NTRS Northern Trust Corporation	Wed 10/21 BMO	2.86	±7.8%	$31.2B
CCI Crown Castle Inc.	Wed 10/21 AMC	1.16	±9.5%	$28.8B
RS Reliance, Inc.	Wed 10/21 AMC	6.75	±8.1%	$20.8B
LUV Southwest Airlines Company	Wed 10/21 AMC	0.62	±10.9%	$20.5B
PKG Packaging Corporation…	Wed 10/21 AMC	2.94	±8.1%	$20.4B
MEDP Medpace Holdings, Inc.	Wed 10/21 AMC	4.45	±15.2%	$17.3B
PNFP Pinnacle Financial Pa…	Wed 10/21 AMC	2.61	±9.4%	$14.5B
GGG Graco Inc.	Wed 10/21 AMC	0.82	±8.5%	$12.8B
KNX Knight Transportation, Inc.	Wed 10/21 AMC	0.76	±11.6%	$10.6B
EGP EastGroup Properties, Inc.	Wed 10/21 AMC	2.42	±5.8%	$10.5B
MOH Molina Healthcare Inc	Wed 10/21 AMC	0.73	±15.5%	$10.1B

Showing 1–8 of 97

Page 1 of 13

Market Commentary

Updated hourly

Updated: Oct 7, 2026, 4:01 PM ETLive Data

📊 Market Overview

The bond market is sending a clear message that the Fed's rate-cutting cycle has stalled, and equity investors are finally listening. Treasury yields just hit their highest level since 2002, with the curve screaming that growth expectations are recalibrating higher while inflation concerns linger. Yes, third-quarter earnings could deliver surprises and the Nasdaq is clinging to record territory on Big Tech strength, but the real story is how aggressively small caps, financials, and real estate are rolling over on this yield surge. The Russell 2000 is getting hammered down 1.2 percent futures, while the broader market treads water. This is risk-off, dressed up as record highs. When growth stocks and mega-cap tech are the only bid left standing, you're not looking at broad-based conviction; you're looking at crowding into a shrinking pool of winners.

The cross-asset picture is a flashing red light that institutional money knows exactly what's happening. Copper, gold, and silver are all falling hard, which tells you the reflation and debasement trades are dead in the water. Instead, the dollar is strengthening, crypto is cratering, and foreign currencies are weakening across the board. Energy is split (natural gas rallying while crude slides), but that's a demand destruction signal, not a macro strength story. Bonds are selling off too, meaning there's no safe haven bid either; this is pure de-risking. The fact that healthcare is the only sector gaining is the ultimate tell. Investors aren't rotating into cyclicals on confidence; they're retreating into defensive moats because they're uncomfortable with where rates are heading and what that means for earnings multiples. The bull case hangs entirely on earnings beating expectations this quarter. Without it, the air pocket everyone's whispering about might stop being theoretical.

⚠️ Risks & Opportunities

• Treasury yields at 24-year highs are now a real equity headwind; small caps down 1.24% in futures and real estate getting hammered on 1.44x volume signals rotation away from duration-sensitive plays that can't justify valuations at 5.3% on the ten-year.

• Tech still holding up in spot (Nasdaq at record) but micro Nasdaq down 0.27% and Ether collapsing 4.54% tells you the AI enthusiasm from Q3 earnings is starting to crack under the weight of higher discount rates; this is exactly the air pocket risk if megacaps stumble.

• FOMC minutes hit today and Waller speaks tomorrow; if the Fed signals even modest hawkishness or patience on cuts, you get another leg down in beaten-up rate-sensitive names and small caps could test support hard.

• Dollar strength (DXY up 0.4%) plus weakness across all major currency pairs combined with gold down 1.41% confirms real yields are actually rising; long-term investors are repositioning hard into cash-like instruments and away from anything requiring growth acceleration.

• Russell 2000 collapse relative to large cap (down 1.24% in /RTY vs 0.26% in /ES) shows the market has lost faith in the broad economy narrative; consumer sentiment data tomorrow will either confirm this skepticism or trigger short covering, so position small cap hedges accordingly.

• Crypto bleeding more than equities (Bitcoin down 2.6%, Ether down 4.54%) while crude only off 0.53% suggests liquidity stress is picking off leveraged longs; watch for that pain to spread into riskier equity beta if volatility spikes above 16 on next catalyst.

🚀 Notable Movers

MU rallied on momentum as memory chip demand for AI infrastructure remains robust, with multiple analyst notes positioning the stock alongside peers benefiting from the server build-out cycle.

SPOT jumped over 5% on solid execution signals and renewed investor interest in the streaming platform's path to profitability and subscriber growth.

MRNA gained nearly 5% following confirmation of its addition to the Nasdaq-100 Index effective October 9, a technical catalyst that typically triggers index fund rebalancing flows.

VST climbed on the back of fresh Department of Energy nuclear energy funding announcements, lifting the entire utilities complex as investors rotate into stable power plays.

LLY, AMGN, and ISRG all moved higher in line with healthcare's solid +1.0% outperformance; obesity and GLP-1 drugs remain in focus as competitive positioning tightens in the cardiometabolic space.

HPE and INTU posted modest gains as AI infrastructure and software-as-a-service narratives continue to drive rotation into high-margin growth stories.

CAT tanked over 5.7% as rising Treasury yields weighed on capital equipment valuations and macro-sensitive cyclicals, particularly acute given the 6% sector-wide slide in industrials.

CRWD dropped 4.8% alongside a broader cybersecurity pullback as profit-taking emerges after the stock's strong September run.

MSTR fell hardest at 6.7% as Bitcoin weakness, down 2.6% today, pressures the treasury-laden strategy play; margin calls and sentiment shifts in crypto are crimping valuations for leveraged Bitcoin proxies.

SITM, CNH, and EME all slid over 5% as small-cap industrials and equipment suppliers suffer from rising rates, weakening demand signals, and a rotational flight from cyclicals into defensive healthcare and utilities.

DB, NBIS, and ARXS followed suit in this risk-off trade, with financials and speculative growth names under pressure as Real Estate cratered 1.3% on heavy volume, signaling institutional repositioning away from rate-sensitive sectors.

Referenced News Articles

S&P 500:

Stock Market Today: Dow Opens Lower, Treasury Yields Hit Fresh 24-Year Highs — Live Updates - WSJ - WSJ
Here comes third-quarter earnings season. Booming profits could propel the S&P 500 to new heights - CNBC - CNBC
Wall Street's AI earnings excitement spills into 2027 but risks market 'air pocket' - Yahoo Finance - Yahoo Finance
This Is Why The S&P 500 Is At Record Highs - Investor's Business Daily - Investor's Business Daily
Stocks hit record high even as consumers feel dreary - The Washington Post - The Washington Post

Dow Jones:

NASDAQ-100:

5 Things to Know Before the Stock Market Opens on Tuesday - Investopedia - Investopedia
The S&P 500 Hits a New Record High, Powered by Tech—and Not Much Else - WSJ - WSJ
US stocks rise to the edge of an all-time high - Boston Herald - Boston Herald
Update: Nasdaq Composite Reaches New High, 10-Year Yield Tops 5.3% - Yahoo Finance - Yahoo Finance
Nasdaq and S&P Hold Weekly Gains as Small Caps and Dow Slip Midweek - Yahoo Finance - Yahoo Finance

Russell 2000:

Russell 2000 Index(.RUT) Stock Price Today | Quotes & News - Moomoo - Moomoo
3 Russell 2000 Stocks for Long-Term Investors - Yahoo Finance - Yahoo Finance
Bull Case for Risky Stocks Tied to Economy Expected to Flourish - Advisor Perspectives - Advisor Perspectives
Russell 2000 Index (.RUT) - Moomoo - Moomoo
Stock Market Today: S&P 500 Falls as Bond Yields Keep Climbing - Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (NASDAQ:QQQ) - Benzinga - Benzinga

Movers News

Gainers:

MU: Intel vs. SK Hynix: Which Semiconductor Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026? - The Motley Fool
LLY: Can Redwire's Microgravity Pharma Work Create New Revenue Streams? - Zacks Investment Research
AMGN: Amgen Inc. (AMGN) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It - Zacks Investment Research
ISRG: Zacks Industry Outlook Globus Medical, Intuitive Surgical and Thermo Fisher Scientific - Zacks Investment Research
MPC: Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It - Zacks Investment Research
SPOT: Is Most-Watched Stock Spotify Technology (SPOT) Worth Betting on Now? - Zacks Investment Research
HPE: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold SMCI Stock at a P/S Valuation of 0.41X? - Zacks Investment Research
INTU: INTU's $300B TAM Expands: Can AI Drive Its Next Growth Phase? - Zacks Investment Research
MRNA: Merck Stock Down 7% in a Month: Is the Dip a Buying Opportunity? - Zacks Investment Research
VST: Should You Invest in the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Utilities ETF (RSPU)? - Zacks Investment Research

Losers:

CAT: Stock Market Midday, Oct. 7: Rising Treasury Yields Pressure Stocks, Caterpillar tumbles over 6% - The Motley Fool
CRWD: BlackBerry Shares Down 14% in the Past 3 Months: Hold or Sell? - Zacks Investment Research
NBIS: IREN Limited's Sweetwater Hub: Can It Fuel IREN's AI Expansion Plans? - Zacks Investment Research
DB: Here's Why Deutsche Bank (DB) is a Strong Value Stock - Zacks Investment Research
MSTR: Strategy Grows Bitcoin Holdings: Can Its Treasury Scale Drive More Value? - Zacks Investment Research
EME: MasTec Plunges 34% in 6 Months: How Should Investors Play the Stock? - Zacks Investment Research
SITM: The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights NVIDIA, Super Micro Computer, Semtech, SiTime and Keysight Technologies - Zacks Investment Research
CNH: Exor Press Release - Buyback Launch - GlobeNewswire Inc.
ARXS: 3 Space Stocks Flying Under the Radar and Worth Buying This Month - The Motley Fool

Past analyses →

Trending today

Market news

All headlines

Motley Fool

26 min ago

Stock Market Today, Oct. 7: Itaú Unibanco Falls on Profit-Taking After Brazil Election Rally
Seeking Alpha News

30 min ago

S&P 500 Scaled New Highs - Now Tech Faces Its Rate Test
Seeking Alpha News

34 min ago

Have You Ever Seen An S&P 500 Covered Call That Goes After Alpha? I Have, And It's FYEE
Investing.com

40 min ago

Zoom CEO Eric Yuan sells $2.27 million in NASDAQ:ZM stock
MarketWatch

43 min ago

Higher yields are taking their toll on all areas of the stock market, except the one that matters
Motley Fool

57 min ago

Stock Market Today, Oct. 7: QXO Falls 7% on RBC Price-Target Cut to $18
Seeking Alpha

1h ago

Wolfspeed rockets after receiving $1.5B from DoW to support domestic supply chain WOLF
WSJ Markets

1h ago

U.S. Stocks Fall as Treasury Yields Test Multidecade Highs
Seeking Alpha

1h ago

SA analyst: S&P 500 shows resilience despite higher Treasury yields
Seeking Alpha

1h ago

Shopify extends rally to eighth straight session of gains SHOP
Bloomberg Economics

2h ago

Robert Rubin Warns AI Boom Carries Risks for US Economy, Markets
CNBC Top News

2h ago

Strange market anomaly is creating a buying opportunity in the Nasdaq 100
Bloomberg Politics

3h ago

Trump Heads to Texas, But Won't See Governor Abbott
Motley Fool

5h ago

Stock Market Midday, Oct. 7: Rising Treasury Yields Pressure Stocks, Caterpillar tumbles over 6% CAT
Motley Fool

5h ago

The Stock Market Is Flashing a Warning Sign We Haven't Seen Since 2000. History Says Investors Should Do This Now.
Investing.com

5h ago

France weighs pivot to short-term debt as historic bond selloff accelerates
Seeking Alpha News

5h ago

Markets Turn Lower As Treasury Yields Hit 24-Year High
Seeking Alpha

6h ago

Midday Need to Know: Treasury yields surge, Nestlé lands NBA deal & more
Seeking Alpha News

6h ago

October Dogs Of The Dow: No Buys But 10 Are Worth Watching
Seeking Alpha

6h ago

S&P 500 stocks with negative beta hit record 130

Latest from the blog

All posts

Bond Volatility Just Spiked While the VIX Slept. Is That a Signal to Buy Puts?

2026-10-02

The MOVE index jumped 39% in a month while the VIX barely moved, and headlines say it's time to buy puts. We checked every similar split since 2004. The divergence is real, but as a signal to buy puts it has a poor record. Here are the numbers, episode by episode.

treasuriesvolatilityhedgingriskbacktestingstatistics

National polls

Polls & odds

Average of the major poll aggregators, past 12 months. Control odds from prediction markets.

Mortgage rates

Rates & calculator

30-yr fixed · estimate7.45%

+0 bp since last print$2,783/mo on $400,000

15-yr fixed: 6.53% +103 bp in a year
30-yr jumbo: 7.37% +91 bp in a year
30-yr FHA: 7.17% +107 bp in a year
10-yr Treasury: 5.277% +1 bp today

Average rate borrowers locked, re-priced with the 10-year Treasury between daily prints. Not a quote.