Frenzy Capital — Live Market Snapshot & Analysis

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AI Market Analysis
AI Analysis Generated: Apr 23, 2026 07:00 AMLive Data
🌅 Pre-Market Overview

The overnight story is pure geopolitical whiplash: yesterday's ceasefire optimism and record closes have given way to Trump's vague "no time frame" comments on Iran, sending equities into a tactical retreat while crude rips higher on renewed uncertainty. This is the classic risk-off setup masked by energy strength—equities are selling indiscriminately across all major indices while oil rallies on supply jitters, which is the tell that traders are genuinely spooked about escalation rather than optimistic about resolution. The fact that even mega-cap tech is struggling to hold ground after yesterday's AI-fueled surge suggests yesterday's record closes may have been a capitulation buy rather than conviction, and geopolitical ambiguity is the perfect excuse for profit-taking after such a sharp run.

The cross-asset picture confirms a flight to safety with a caveat: bonds are selling off alongside stocks—the long end is down notably—which is not the classic risk-off signal. This is more likely a rates repricing; if war fears spike, the Fed won't cut aggressively, so yields are grinding higher even as equities fold. Gold is retreating, precious metals are tanking, and the dollar is weak, which together signal that this is not a full-blown crisis bid but rather a selective de-risking of crowded positioning. Bitcoin and crypto are getting hammered, small caps are the weakest link, and copper is crumbling—this looks like liquidation of risk assets to raise cash, not a flight to safe havens. The message: yesterday's euphoria was overextended, and today's pullback is healthy housekeeping, not a warning bell.

⚠️ Risks & Opportunities

• Iran ceasefire fragility is real risk-off catalyst—oil spiking +1% while equities slide 0.4-0.6% signals markets are pricing geopolitical premium into energy but stripping multiple from growth, and this bifurcation breaks down if Trump escalates rhetoric at the open.

• Copper down 1.6% while crude up 1% is a screaming red flag for Chinese demand and global growth expectations; this is not a risk-off flight-to-safety move, it's a slowdown signal that should weigh on tech and industrials into today's jobless claims print.

• Crypto capitulation (Bitcoin -1.9%, Ethereum -3.5%) ahead of today's inflation-sensitive PMI data suggests algos are front-running hawkish Fed hold expectations; if Flash Services PMI prints hot, duration selling will accelerate and equities won't catch a bid despite the mega-cap tech strength yesterday.

• Russell 2000 down only 0.44% versus Dow down 0.60% shows small-cap defensiveness is cracking—equal-weight positioning is already unwinding from yesterday's breakout, and gap-down open will trigger stops below 2770 support with intraday target back to 2750.

• Nikkei's -1.34% USD-adjusted overnight implies yen weakness is not carrying equities (normal carry trade relief play failed to hold), meaning risk appetite is genuinely offline and any weak jobless claims number today becomes a seller's market into tomorrow's UoM sentiment revision.

• Treasury long end selling (-0.27%) without equity bid is a warning: real yields are rising into growth data, so the rally since March is vulnerable to a 50bp correction if today's employment or PMI data accelerate disinflation narrative and force a yield curve reassessment.


📰 Referenced News Articles

S&P 500:

Dow Jones:

NASDAQ-100:

Russell 2000:

Sector Performance
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Options Flow Sentiment
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Most Bullish
Symbol Score Bull $ Bear $ C/P Ratio Blocks Sweeps
CRWV1.000$1.7M$02.518294
ARM1.000$1.1M$03.415074
BNO1.000$196K$011.841211
SMH1.000$182K$00.524329
USO1.000$678K$01.4311472
MSOS1.000$400K$014.29189113
EWY1.000$1.4M$01.303518
CRWD1.000$36K$01.5715
MRNA1.000$11K$02.9041
UNG1.000$37K$02.012120
Most Bearish
Symbol Score Bull $ Bear $ C/P Ratio Blocks Sweeps
GLD-1.000$0$611K2.629855
LRCX-1.000$0$18K0.883417
GRAB-1.000$0$11K9.23127
AXTI-1.000$0$15K1.12125
SOXS-1.000$0$25K2.582428
PLUG-1.000$0$66K3.911914
UAL-1.000$0$79K1.082518
PYPL-1.000$0$127K1.242019
LUNR-1.000$0$257K2.18108
AAL-1.000$0$166K1.399740
Movers — Apr 22, 2026
Top Gainers
Symbol Price Change Change % Rel Volume Market Cap ($B)
TORO6.75+2.84+72.76%
383.51x
0.11
XNDU34.75+11.85+51.75%
2.24x
8.25
INBX115.09+31.01+36.88%
9.99x
1.20
NMAX9.24+1.96+26.92%
29.36x
0.92
AGCC23.96+5.09+26.97%
0.25x
0.37
POET12.77+2.52+24.59%
5.59x
1.31
SUPX10.47+2.16+25.99%
3.13x
0.39
FCEL11.80+2.31+24.34%
6.60x
0.46
NVTS18.47+3.14+20.48%
3.45x
3.05
MX4.38+0.84+23.73%
9.27x
0.12
ALMU21.19+3.91+22.63%
1.49x
0.30
CGC1.38+0.24+21.05%
6.91x
0.51
REPL2.27+0.41+22.04%
2.15x
0.17
WTI3.90+0.66+20.37%
1.80x
0.44
HCSG22.89+3.54+18.29%
4.33x
1.33
LWLG15.16+2.25+17.43%
1.81x
2.14
WSHP12.11+2.00+19.78%
0.71x
0.14
OKLO72.41+9.80+15.65%
1.70x
11.83
GEV1127.56+136.26+13.75%
1.86x
266.22
SMR13.57+1.90+16.28%
1.77x
4.14
AXTI86.94+11.97+15.97%
1.12x
4.38
FRMI5.86+0.80+15.81%
2.96x
3.40
IMSR8.28+1.19+16.78%
1.77x
0.81
NUCL12.46+1.86+17.55%
1.40x
0.32
MPLT32.13+4.51+16.33%
2.14x
1.20
MCRI114.24+15.66+15.89%
4.78x
1.76
RDW11.93+1.62+15.71%
2.27x
2.03
LBTYB17.01+2.21+14.93%
1.67x
4.80
HELP5.77+0.84+17.04%
1.98x
0.28
DQ23.24+3.07+15.22%
4.11x
1.50
RCI37.48+4.49+13.61%
2.41x
18.02
NNE27.39+3.61+15.18%
1.38x
1.33
VACH12.79+1.79+16.27%
3.51x
0.32
AMSC48.15+6.22+14.83%
2.34x
1.94
EMAT9.29+1.15+14.13%
2.27x
5.02
AGL28.32+3.84+15.69%
0.25x
0.47
ARM196.57+21.08+12.01%
1.62x
185.96
NKLR7.30+0.97+15.32%
2.42x
0.67
CRML11.86+1.52+14.70%
1.46x
1.51
OPTX10.99+1.49+15.68%
0.99x
0.36
GSIT7.55+1.02+15.62%
3.46x
0.23
TSSI16.67+2.19+15.12%
1.62x
0.41
MAAS10.30+1.22+13.44%
7.18x
3.67
LEU217.08+25.53+13.33%
1.77x
3.93
TLRY7.87+0.98+14.22%
9.08x
0.83
NCSM85.20+11.11+15.00%
3.22x
0.19
USBC0.39+0.05+14.42%
0.97x
0.13
BLDP3.50+0.40+12.90%
2.30x
0.95
WOLF27.75+3.05+12.35%
3.91x
1.27
TFX138.81+14.06+11.27%
4.23x
5.84
KOPN3.21+0.36+12.63%
1.71x
0.51
LUD5.61+0.67+13.56%
0.30x
0.12
MAS73.96+7.20+10.78%
3.14x
13.53
USAR25.41+2.56+11.20%
2.14x
4.92
PSIX84.43+8.83+11.68%
0.92x
1.81
FBYD15.50+1.68+12.16%
1.33x
0.66
SLDP3.96+0.42+11.86%
2.76x
0.76
KZIA11.53+1.29+12.60%
4.88x
0.12
MSTR179.36+15.39+9.39%
1.68x
59.60
SLNH1.47+0.16+12.21%
4.24x
0.16
UUUU22.63+2.11+10.28%
1.25x
5.34
EXOD8.73+0.93+11.92%
0.85x
0.24
MU487.48+38.10+8.48%
0.98x
505.70
BSX64.87+5.35+8.99%
2.43x
90.64
AP10.86+1.15+11.84%
2.42x
0.20
JKS22.69+2.22+10.85%
1.84x
1.11
NRGV4.41+0.44+11.08%
2.43x
0.64
BGIN3.55+0.36+11.29%
21.76x
0.36
IMOS50.74+4.82+10.50%
1.63x
1.52
ASPI5.61+0.55+10.87%
0.94x
0.69
MVST2.07+0.20+10.70%
1.06x
0.64
AFJK46.01+4.63+11.19%
0.93x
0.25
ZWS52.48+4.54+9.47%
2.46x
8.01
JBIO25.38+2.37+10.30%
1.95x
1.16
SNDK979.07+75.58+8.37%
0.90x
134.76
CCJ126.47+9.86+8.46%
1.32x
53.84
CRCL104.36+8.34+8.69%
0.92x
26.29
EAF9.61+0.94+10.84%
1.07x
0.22
SES1.27+0.12+10.43%
1.21x
0.44
WLAC14.34+1.39+10.73%
2.62x
0.24
AXG3.90+0.36+10.17%
1.69x
0.66
VATE12.17+1.20+10.94%
1.73x
0.15
BLNK0.83+0.08+11.09%
1.51x
0.11
LVWR2.02+0.19+10.38%
0.44x
0.39
OGI1.59+0.15+10.42%
6.57x
0.21
CBIO26.98+2.41+9.81%
2.12x
0.66
BRCC1.08+0.10+10.75%
2.20x
0.11
SLI3.88+0.34+9.60%
1.46x
0.92
SNDL1.66+0.15+9.93%
7.97x
0.40
ZEPP16.49+1.51+10.08%
0.54x
0.22
SHLS7.50+0.63+9.17%
1.43x
1.19
RR2.77+0.24+9.49%
1.70x
0.57
KELYB17.63+1.52+9.44%
0.42x
0.55
CGTX1.29+0.12+10.26%
0.84x
0.10
CSIQ13.51+1.13+9.13%
1.29x
0.89
FTK16.75+1.42+9.26%
2.26x
0.57
RCUS26.62+2.10+8.56%
3.68x
2.85
ISRG483.62+32.33+7.16%
2.32x
165.37
JACK13.91+1.21+9.53%
1.32x
0.24
PYXS1.88+0.17+9.94%
1.97x
0.11
ASST16.66+1.35+8.82%
1.89x
1.09
PM163.95+10.70+6.98%
1.72x
245.55
GRO3.41+0.30+9.65%
1.18x
0.17
KEEL3.04+0.24+8.57%
0.80x
1.74
ACDC7.11+0.57+8.72%
1.20x
1.09
PURR6.14+0.50+8.87%
1.02x
0.76
RXT1.55+0.13+9.15%
0.66x
0.36
AMD303.46+18.97+6.67%
1.36x
448.26
AIRS2.68+0.23+9.39%
1.34x
0.19
NXT116.19+8.14+7.53%
0.97x
15.81
CIFR19.44+1.40+7.76%
0.87x
7.81
NHC173.63+13.02+8.11%
2.83x
2.60
VICR265.00+18.76+7.62%
2.84x
10.20
NTLA16.57+1.26+8.23%
1.20x
1.80
GLSI24.94+2.03+8.86%
0.89x
0.34
MWH36.68+2.60+7.64%
0.93x
7.06
IKT1.82+0.15+8.98%
0.72x
0.24
NXE13.10+0.92+7.55%
1.13x
8.40
ZENA2.24+0.19+9.27%
3.55x
0.12
RUN12.71+0.93+7.89%
1.17x
2.87
TSHA6.72+0.50+8.04%
0.96x
1.86
MEI7.74+0.63+8.86%
2.24x
0.25
BMNR23.31+1.60+7.37%
1.05x
12.11
GDC4.19+0.34+8.83%
1.17x
0.24
ABTC1.34+0.10+8.06%
2.49x
1.33
LUNR29.94+2.12+7.62%
0.79x
4.39
ABAT3.59+0.28+8.46%
1.33x
0.46
IREN48.39+3.22+7.13%
1.01x
16.16
ANIX3.14+0.26+9.03%
2.11x
0.10
WYFI17.28+1.31+8.20%
0.86x
0.63
GLXY26.80+1.85+7.41%
0.74x
5.14
LTBR13.66+1.05+8.33%
1.03x
0.42
RCAT13.55+0.98+7.80%
1.25x
1.53
SIRI28.06+1.88+7.18%
2.76x
9.16
TTI9.65+0.70+7.82%
0.92x
1.21
EPM4.50+0.36+8.70%
2.83x
0.15
QSI1.06+0.08+8.50%
2.57x
0.22
TMC5.74+0.40+7.49%
0.91x
2.45
HITI2.58+0.20+8.40%
2.90x
0.22
RPID2.38+0.19+8.68%
2.67x
0.10
KOS2.85+0.20+7.55%
0.61x
1.49
CRWV122.54+7.38+6.41%
1.01x
62.81
SIDU4.05+0.30+8.13%
0.79x
0.29
VFF3.10+0.23+8.01%
4.09x
0.34
EQ2.33+0.18+8.37%
1.88x
0.13
DNN4.08+0.27+7.09%
0.79x
3.58
YDDL4.99+0.37+8.01%
0.50x
0.26
PCT7.18+0.49+7.32%
0.88x
1.25
AKTS22.00+1.50+7.32%
0.85x
1.15
ENVX7.00+0.47+7.20%
1.14x
1.48
UROY3.84+0.27+7.56%
1.11x
0.53
ZURA5.69+0.40+7.56%
1.15x
0.51
SLQT0.83+0.06+8.06%
0.91x
0.13
XYF5.05+0.37+7.91%
0.75x
0.19
ADUR11.97+0.84+7.55%
1.81x
0.39
TSM387.44+19.36+5.26%
1.24x
1899.47
BTGO11.69+0.77+7.05%
1.02x
1.31
RDZN1.22+0.09+7.96%
1.07x
0.10
HAFC29.57+1.97+7.14%
3.17x
0.84
SPRY8.40+0.56+7.14%
2.65x
0.81
ISOU12.68+0.85+7.19%
1.00x
0.67
GTE8.94+0.62+7.45%
0.74x
0.28
AVGO422.65+20.48+5.09%
1.05x
1892.12
NNBR2.36+0.17+7.76%
1.01x
0.11
UMAC16.45+1.08+7.03%
1.23x
0.74
ALM23.33+1.39+6.34%
0.70x
6.59
BA231.28+12.12+5.53%
2.60x
176.88
DPRO6.49+0.45+7.45%
1.04x
0.21
BTBT1.66+0.11+7.10%
1.42x
0.54
POWI71.73+4.36+6.47%
3.18x
3.43
ACMR54.53+3.32+6.48%
1.30x
3.27
LPL5.37+0.32+6.34%
1.01x
5.07
ALTS0.93+0.07+7.61%
1.45x
0.12
FWRG13.53+0.87+6.87%
1.29x
0.79
ARRY8.08+0.51+6.74%
0.85x
1.17
GALT2.45+0.17+7.46%
0.82x
0.15
RIOT18.48+1.07+6.15%
0.93x
6.87
FLX2.64+0.18+7.32%
1.07x
0.18
LUMN9.26+0.53+6.07%
1.28x
8.93
ASTS84.66+4.65+5.81%
1.33x
23.70
KALU163.03+9.81+6.40%
2.11x
2.46
VLN1.61+0.11+7.33%
2.26x
0.15
ASYS18.00+1.19+7.08%
4.79x
0.24
NVCR13.02+0.79+6.46%
1.22x
1.44
IPX31.64+1.94+6.53%
0.46x
1.07
PAMT9.53+0.63+7.08%
1.52x
0.20
DEFT0.81+0.05+6.90%
0.44x
0.31
MANH142.88+7.99+5.92%
2.25x
7.93
AGX651.68+36.26+5.89%
0.54x
8.52
TONX2.54+0.17+7.17%
0.74x
0.14
RZLV2.80+0.17+6.46%
0.88x
1.10
DFDV4.80+0.32+7.14%
0.77x
0.14
MENS2.28+0.15+7.04%
0.44x
0.17
CLSK12.21+0.70+6.08%
1.13x
3.08
CNTN3.55+0.23+6.93%
0.99x
0.20
UNCY7.71+0.50+6.93%
1.32x
0.19
DVLT0.77+0.05+6.63%
0.78x
0.45
URG1.81+0.11+6.47%
1.66x
0.68
HUMA0.70+0.05+6.97%
0.74x
0.15
WTTR16.40+0.95+6.15%
2.18x
1.83
Biggest Losers
Symbol Price Change Change % Rel Volume Market Cap ($B)
CAR443.94-270.03-37.82%
2.84x
21.51
SRAD13.04-3.80-22.57%
12.26x
5.15
NN17.57-5.00-22.15%
7.46x
3.16
VTIX5.26-1.42-21.26%
3.72x
0.22
SON47.58-9.21-16.22%
8.32x
5.60
AVEX30.17-5.82-16.17%
0.43x
1.62
PALI2.34-0.46-16.43%
1.87x
0.42
CALX42.65-6.93-13.98%
4.90x
3.33
TNL65.78-10.37-13.62%
3.98x
4.83
CAST2.35-0.39-14.23%
0.91x
0.13
CYH2.71-0.39-12.58%
5.13x
0.44
ULCC3.73-0.50-11.82%
2.11x
1.11
LZM4.82-0.66-12.04%
3.10x
0.47
VALN5.25-0.68-11.47%
3.21x
0.52
TEL221.04-22.14-9.10%
4.06x
72.67
RBBN2.75-0.31-10.13%
2.21x
0.50
AMSF29.96-3.19-9.62%
2.21x
0.63
SPWR1.01-0.11-10.18%
8.57x
0.15
EQPT21.48-1.95-8.32%
1.32x
5.91
FBRX29.83-3.01-9.17%
0.52x
0.67
PHAT11.73-1.15-8.93%
1.99x
1.07
BDSX11.58-1.27-9.88%
2.33x
0.13
OIO2.55-0.28-9.89%
0.97x
0.12
RJET18.63-1.80-8.81%
0.74x
1.03
NHI76.52-6.83-8.19%
3.84x
4.11
VAC71.57-6.27-8.05%
1.64x
2.65
GHRS18.95-1.70-8.23%
2.61x
1.33
HTZ6.60-0.57-7.95%
1.42x
2.46
TH14.61-1.29-8.11%
5.58x
1.55
EFX178.66-13.76-7.15%
1.73x
23.94
NIC142.86-12.00-7.75%
3.13x
3.33
ASPN3.25-0.30-8.45%
2.32x
0.29
JLHL9.14-0.86-8.60%
0.31x
0.20
WSBC33.10-2.63-7.36%
2.37x
3.49
SMMT24.58-1.80-6.82%
2.40x
19.50
QXO20.96-1.54-6.84%
2.81x
17.56
FMC14.69-1.18-7.44%
1.63x
2.17
BKNG179.40-11.46-6.00%
2.29x
152.06
ANNA4.26-0.38-8.19%
0.15x
0.16
FICO970.17-66.53-6.42%
4.09x
25.23
NNOX2.00-0.17-8.05%
3.17x
0.15
JBLU5.08-0.38-6.96%
1.05x
2.14
CIG.C3.60-0.26-6.67%
0.19x
3.58
EGG6.65-0.55-7.64%
6.06x
0.19
WALD0.86-0.07-7.78%
0.72x
0.13
HTLM1.85-0.15-7.49%
0.72x
0.18
RGEN124.40-8.30-6.25%
1.20x
7.44
IP33.33-2.11-5.95%
1.25x
19.53
ALOY9.39-0.70-6.94%
1.35x
0.65
ZLAB22.87-1.57-6.42%
0.97x
2.84
IFRX1.60-0.13-7.51%
0.92x
0.12
CRDL1.51-0.12-7.36%
0.98x
0.17
SF77.37-4.90-5.96%
1.85x
12.64
DHR184.04-10.50-5.40%
1.46x
138.36
SBC3.40-0.25-6.85%
2.56x
0.38
UAL91.71-5.42-5.58%
1.79x
32.11
OVID2.66-0.19-6.67%
0.61x
0.53
NKTX3.09-0.23-6.93%
1.62x
0.25
UA6.11-0.40-6.14%
1.00x
2.75
VSEC182.85-11.49-5.91%
1.41x
6.31
TFIN62.92-4.20-6.26%
2.97x
1.59
UAA6.32-0.41-6.09%
1.06x
2.82
BBAR15.52-0.99-6.00%
1.22x
3.43
BIOA18.36-1.25-6.37%
0.84x
0.83
IRDM40.40-2.53-5.89%
1.84x
4.41
PRLD4.31-0.31-6.71%
0.93x
0.28
NOK9.86-0.54-5.19%
1.49x
59.17
BBOT8.87-0.59-6.24%
2.03x
0.74
ARTV11.73-0.81-6.46%
1.19x
0.33
EXTR17.58-1.09-5.84%
3.29x
2.46
SIG90.43-5.48-5.71%
1.07x
3.83
SAFX0.37-0.03-6.75%
0.21x
0.12
OWLS6.00-0.39-6.10%
1.75x
0.52
ALGT80.65-4.92-5.75%
1.21x
1.67
ATLX4.60-0.32-6.50%
1.58x
0.14
RVMD141.50-7.40-4.97%
1.01x
30.93
ARMP13.91-0.89-6.01%
1.23x
0.46
HOG22.93-1.34-5.52%
0.89x
2.68
PVH93.52-5.29-5.35%
0.97x
4.51
AVAL4.50-0.25-5.26%
2.39x
5.71
TSEM206.10-10.62-4.90%
1.33x
25.33
FLNT3.24-0.22-6.36%
0.77x
0.10
DOO56.49-3.14-5.27%
0.42x
4.36
SNDX22.08-1.25-5.36%
1.61x
2.10
SABR1.85-0.11-5.61%
0.87x
0.78
RYAN36.29-1.96-5.12%
1.53x
4.88
ABSI3.68-0.22-5.64%
1.35x
0.60
RIGL30.47-1.82-5.64%
1.62x
0.60
FSLY25.19-1.37-5.16%
0.68x
3.86
CMPS8.75-0.50-5.41%
1.64x
1.28
NAT5.51-0.31-5.33%
2.58x
1.28
GLOB47.73-2.61-5.18%
0.96x
2.18
IQ1.25-0.07-5.30%
2.69x
1.35
NVR6610.77-322.73-4.65%
1.61x
19.72
NKTR93.20-4.96-5.05%
3.72x
2.88
GPK9.25-0.49-5.03%
1.45x
2.94
BBY63.53-3.06-4.60%
1.24x
14.00
KDK9.30-0.49-5.01%
1.13x
1.75
GBTG5.90-0.30-4.84%
0.89x
3.21
ITRI89.68-4.48-4.76%
2.10x
4.33
ANGX2.34-0.13-5.26%
1.08x
0.48
PEGA37.48-1.81-4.61%
2.64x
7.40
TRU73.99-3.45-4.46%
1.33x
15.00
BAK3.46-0.18-4.95%
1.15x
1.45
INFY13.48-0.59-4.19%
1.54x
57.50
BAH77.37-3.63-4.48%
2.45x
9.73
PII58.53-2.88-4.69%
0.50x
3.44
OCGN1.68-0.09-5.08%
1.79x
0.61
SLS4.78-0.25-4.97%
0.97x
0.90
ORRF35.87-1.87-4.95%
1.16x
0.76
IPHA1.43-0.08-5.30%
0.89x
0.15
TRI92.86-3.86-3.99%
0.76x
42.04
MMYT45.88-2.10-4.38%
0.64x
4.71
IOVA3.53-0.17-4.59%
1.65x
1.56
PENN14.77-0.70-4.52%
2.21x
2.12
VITL12.50-0.63-4.80%
0.91x
0.57
AIR111.50-5.04-4.32%
0.92x
4.85
GE276.29-10.44-3.64%
2.18x
317.21
GPRO1.33-0.07-5.00%
1.09x
0.21
CLFD30.80-1.54-4.76%
1.55x
0.43
BC80.45-3.52-4.19%
1.22x
5.37
SNCY16.64-0.79-4.53%
0.91x
0.98
ALH24.72-1.08-4.19%
0.57x
5.21
ZJK2.68-0.14-4.96%
1.86x
0.14
HTHT52.06-2.14-3.95%
1.77x
17.24
VSCO52.62-2.30-4.19%
0.80x
4.45
RKT15.31-0.60-3.77%
1.03x
48.28
ARXS36.26-1.49-3.95%
0.70x
15.45
LOAR59.59-2.54-4.09%
1.11x
6.42
ATRO72.67-3.21-4.23%
1.22x
2.79
BMA77.64-3.31-4.09%
1.21x
5.30
LUV39.35-1.57-3.84%
1.32x
20.54
NPB17.69-0.83-4.48%
1.95x
0.66
ASND231.05-9.24-3.85%
3.31x
15.06
MANE70.31-3.04-4.14%
0.94x
2.76
SIGI77.63-3.25-4.02%
2.72x
4.90
QFIN13.27-0.58-4.19%
0.62x
1.71
NOC589.62-21.51-3.52%
1.80x
93.31
GRPN15.93-0.73-4.38%
1.78x
0.61
KALA0.18-0.01-4.65%
1.29x
0.19
SW39.69-1.53-3.71%
1.04x
22.39
RTX180.91-6.26-3.34%
2.01x
263.53
AQST4.15-0.19-4.38%
1.75x
0.52
GOGO4.43-0.20-4.32%
0.75x
0.67
NYXH3.07-0.15-4.66%
0.68x
0.14
BRSL12.64-0.53-4.02%
1.29x
2.40
FTAI228.17-8.57-3.62%
1.92x
26.39
WWD366.48-13.80-3.63%
1.80x
23.48
TMUS188.92-6.47-3.31%
1.73x
218.57
SHIM5.28-0.25-4.52%
0.76x
0.19
MITK14.61-0.64-4.20%
1.15x
0.68
AMWL6.02-0.29-4.60%
1.12x
0.11
SDGR12.35-0.53-4.11%
1.47x
0.94
BLD452.82-17.10-3.64%
2.76x
13.73
ATI153.30-5.65-3.55%
1.23x
22.39
HGV46.55-1.85-3.82%
1.09x
4.00
PKE33.71-1.46-4.15%
1.88x
0.69
WELL199.70-6.69-3.24%
1.38x
147.56
EDN26.34-1.09-3.97%
1.05x
1.24
BRCB13.45-0.60-4.27%
1.11x
0.26
AHR47.76-1.76-3.55%
0.94x
9.63
EXPE264.60-9.20-3.36%
0.94x
33.48
SWMR41.20-1.75-4.07%
0.29x
0.47
CRS423.91-14.97-3.41%
1.51x
22.52
LBTYK11.59-0.44-3.66%
1.34x
4.12
KLRA24.30-0.92-3.65%
0.26x
2.90
IFS46.02-1.68-3.52%
1.56x
5.44
ATOM6.34-0.27-4.08%
1.53x
0.25
KWR137.31-5.20-3.65%
0.79x
2.45
KTB76.07-2.80-3.55%
1.13x
4.32
LBTYA11.95-0.44-3.55%
1.32x
4.28
ELS62.82-2.19-3.37%
2.23x
12.80
BBDO3.62-0.12-3.21%
0.62x
39.43
MOG.A297.45-10.41-3.38%
1.10x
10.09
SCOR7.41-0.32-4.14%
1.50x
0.13
ERAS21.65-0.76-3.39%
2.02x
6.75
MSLE7.45-0.31-4.06%
0.34x
0.16
GTN.A11.06-0.42-3.66%
0.35x
1.19
GGAL46.20-1.60-3.35%
1.31x
7.71
BWIN25.60-0.93-3.51%
0.62x
2.50
DJT9.48-0.34-3.46%
1.67x
2.82
ANTA9.38-0.38-3.89%
0.26x
0.23
IPAR91.96-3.24-3.40%
0.91x
3.14
LMT555.43-16.52-2.89%
1.97x
133.96
AGMB10.55-0.40-3.65%
0.27x
0.53
WCC314.45-10.14-3.12%
0.98x
15.73
ZNTL3.84-0.15-3.76%
0.33x
0.29
CANG0.43-0.02-3.83%
0.47x
0.20
H165.44-5.30-3.10%
0.87x
16.26
HPQ20.44-0.65-3.08%
0.95x
17.92
DMRA25.90-0.92-3.43%
0.61x
1.59
MTSI277.00-8.71-3.05%
1.46x
21.08
LTC37.39-1.31-3.39%
1.15x
1.93
DCO136.73-4.75-3.36%
0.78x
2.13
CSW290.64-9.65-3.21%
0.94x
4.90
CR179.63-5.74-3.10%
2.24x
11.14
SLGN39.42-1.31-3.22%
0.88x
4.41
RL375.29-11.48-2.97%
0.70x
23.58
WH85.24-2.75-3.13%
1.19x
6.75
TASK6.96-0.25-3.47%
0.41x
0.66
Upcoming Economic Events

Date Impact Title Forecast Previous
2026-04-23 Medium Unemployment Claims 211K 207K
2026-04-23 Medium Flash Manufacturing PMI 52.5 52.4
2026-04-23 Medium Flash Services PMI 50.5 51.1
2026-04-23 Low Natural Gas Storage 96B 59B
2026-04-24 Medium Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment 48.5 47.6
2026-04-24 Low Revised UoM Inflation Expectations 4.8%
Upcoming Earnings
Date Time Symbol Name Fiscal Qtr EPS Forecast Last Year EPS # Estimates Market Cap Price Exp Move $ Exp Move %
Rates

Name Rate 1 Day 14 Day 30 Day Last Changed Last Updated
3-Month3.6-0.01-0.04-0.022026-04-202026-04-21
4-Week3.58-0.02-0.05-0.052026-04-202026-04-21
1-Year3.540.05-0.02-0.042026-04-202026-04-21
6-Month3.60.04-0.02-0.012026-04-202026-04-21
2-Year3.780.07-0.06-0.012026-04-202026-04-21
5-Year3.910.07-0.070.032026-04-202026-04-21
10-Year4.30.04-0.040.052026-04-202026-04-21
30-Year4.890.010.062026-04-202026-04-21
10-Year Minus 2-Year0.51-0.010.012026-04-212026-04-22
Federal Funds3.642025-12-102026-04-21
Federal Funds Target Upper3.752025-12-102026-04-22
30Y Jumbo Fixed Mortgage6.459-0.08-0.1-0.142026-04-202026-04-21
15Y Fixed Mortgage5.65-0.09-0.120.152026-04-092026-04-16
30Y Fixed Mortgage6.3-0.07-0.160.192026-04-092026-04-16
Credit Card Interest21.00.030.03-0.392025-11-012026-02-01
Fed Watch (/ZQ Fed Funds futures)
Full curve →

Market-implied probabilities from /ZQ futures. Current EFFR estimate: 3.67%.

Apr 29, 2026
/ZQJ26 · implied 3.65%
-2 bp
25bp cut
10%
Hold
90%
Jun 17, 2026
/ZQM26 · implied 3.63%
-1 bp
25bp cut
5%
Hold
95%
Jul 29, 2026
/ZQN26 · implied 3.63%
0 bp
25bp cut
1%
Hold
99%
Kalshi vs /ZQ Divergences (top mispricings)
All divergences →

Scanning Fed decision markets for mispricings...

Top Poll
Donald Trump 242 polls
Latest: Apr 20, 2026
Approve 44.0% · Disapprove 53.0%
n=2,203 · Registered Voters · Apr 20, 2026
Favorable 45.0% · Unfavorable 50.0%
n=2,203 · Registered Voters · Apr 20, 2026
Approve 36.0% · Disapprove 62.0%
n=4,557 · Adults · Apr 20, 2026
Approve 32.0% · Disapprove 64.0%
n=1,010 · Registered Voters · Apr 20, 2026
Approve 32.0% · Disapprove 63.0%
n=1,100 · Adults · Apr 20, 2026

View all polls

Latest from the Blog
All Posts
Ten Empirically-Grounded Prediction Market Trading Strategies
2026-04-14

A technical survey of ten research-backed strategies for trading prediction markets, spanning favourite-longshot bias, cross-platform arbitrage, LP underwriting, combinatorial arbitrage, and dynamic hedging.

prediction-marketstrading-strategiespolymarketkalshiarbitragehedgingmarket-microstructure