Frenzy Capital — Live Market Snapshot & Analysis
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AI Market Analysis
🌅 Pre-Market Overview
The geopolitical pendulum swings hard this morning as Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz reignites Middle East risk, sending crude soaring while equities take a defensive step back. This isn't a market in panic—broad indices are down only fractionally—but it's a meaningful tell after weeks of relentless record highs masking growing fault lines. Energy is screaming higher, precious metals are folding, and the Russell 2000 is rolling over hardest, suggesting rotational pain rather than systemic fear. What's telling is that equities aren't rallying on oil shock like they sometimes do; instead, financials and discretionary leaders are holding the line while small caps capitulate. The market is hedging its bets but not fleeing—yet.
The cross-asset picture is a classic geopolitical portfolio squeeze: energy rips higher on supply shock while bonds drift lower and gold cracks despite nominal risk rising. That's unusual—safe havens should bid when tensions spike—which tells us the market is pricing supply disruption more than systemic stress. Crypto's sharp selloff and the broad FX weakness (especially the yen) suggest some deleveraging of carry trades caught off guard, not panic unwind. The fact that long rates are falling even as oil spikes hints at stagflation creeping into the narrative; investors are already questioning how much economic damage a Hormuz closure inflicts on growth. Watch for Trump's diplomacy line to become the market's true north today—if talks gain traction, the bid comes back fast. If they stall, we test yesterday's euphoria.
⚠️ Risks & Opportunities
• Hormuz shutdown is real but equities are shrugging it off—WTI +6% yet ES only -0.46% signals the market is pricing a quick diplomatic resolution, and tomorrow's retail sales + Warsh testimony will matter far more than geopolitical noise.
• Russell 2000 down 0.85% versus SPX down 0.46% shows small caps are leading the selloff, confirming the correction narrative and suggesting any open weakness hits value/domestic plays harder than mega-cap tech.
• Gold and silver collapsing (-1.38% and -3.06%) despite oil spiking is the real red flag—traditional inflation hedges are being dumped, meaning markets aren't actually pricing sustained stagflation risk from Hormuz despite the headline panic.
• Bond futures in freefall across the curve (30Y down 0.22%) while equities hold near unchanged tells you real yields are being repriced higher; if Warsh signals hawkish continuity tomorrow, duration risk re-emerges and the equity rally stalls here.
• Crypto bleeding (-3–5%) while energy rallies is classic de-risking behavior from levered accounts; this is a forced liquidation move, not a conviction short, so watch for a vicious short-cover rip if Iran talks flip positive overnight or at the open.
• Small-cap underperformance + credit-sensitive metals cratering + 30Y bond yields rising = the market is repricing terminal rate expectations higher, not lower—retail sales tomorrow need to disappoint big or equities gap down on the open despite oil strength.
📰 Referenced News Articles
S&P 500:
- Stock market today: S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow futures fall as US-Iran tensions flare up again to shutter Hormuz - Yahoo Finance - Yahoo Finance
- Messy War, Happy Stock Markets - The New York Times - The New York Times
- The Stock Market Sounds an Alarm for the First Time in 25 Years. Here's Where History Says the S&P 500 Is Headed Next. - The Motley Fool - The Motley Fool
- Analyst sends bold stock market message as S&P 500 hits new highs - thestreet.com - thestreet.com
- Oil is back to early war days, S&P 500 jumps to all-time high - Fortune - Fortune
Dow Jones:
- Dow futures fall over 350 points as Iranian war tensions escalate: Live updates - CNBC - CNBC
- Stock market today: S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow futures fall as US-Iran tensions flare up again to shutter Hormuz - Yahoo! Finance Canada - Yahoo! Finance Canada
- Stock Market Today: Dow set for 300-point fall, S&P 500 and Nasdaq to decline as oil climbs following Iran again shutting Strait of Hormuz - MarketWatch - MarketWatch
- Dow Set to Open Down Amid Faltering Iran Peace Talks - Barron's - Barron's
- Dow Jones Futures Fall, Oil Prices Jump; Trump Announces New Iran Talks With Hormuz Shut - Investor's Business Daily - Investor's Business Daily
NASDAQ-100:
- Stock market today: Dow leaps 850 points, S&P 500 and Nasdaq notch third straight record in stunning rally as US-Iran diplomacy gains steam - Yahoo! Finance Canada - Yahoo! Finance Canada
- Nasdaq scores longest winning streak since 1992 as historic stock-market comeback continues - MarketWatch - MarketWatch
- The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Just Hit Record Highs -- but Wall Street's 2 Biggest Risk Factors Keep Getting Worse - AOL.com - AOL.com
- 4 charts that explain the market's wild ride lately — and what investors can learn - Business Insider - Business Insider
- The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Just Hit Record Highs -- but Wall Street's 2 Biggest Risk Factors Keep Getting Worse - The Motley Fool - The Motley Fool
Russell 2000:
- FTSE Russell Index futures and options - CME Group - CME Group
- Russell 2000 Delivers Breakout as Equal Weight Indices Move to Test Resistance - Investing.com - Investing.com
- Russell 2000 Index Price - US Small Cap 2000 - FOREX.com - FOREX.com
- Best 5 Russell 2000 ETFs to Buy in 2026 - The Motley Fool - The Motley Fool
- Small cap-focused Russell 2000 becomes first U.S. benchmark to enter correction territory - CNBC - CNBC
Sector Performance
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Options Flow Sentiment
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Most Bullish
| Symbol | Score | Bull $ | Bear $ | C/P Ratio | Blocks | Sweeps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Most Bearish
| Symbol | Score | Bull $ | Bear $ | C/P Ratio | Blocks | Sweeps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Movers — Apr 17, 2026
Top Gainers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Rel Volume | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BZAI | 2.52 | +0.79 | +45.66% | 0.20 | |
| CRML | 12.56 | +3.29 | +35.49% | 1.12 | |
| MAAS | 9.84 | +2.36 | +31.55% | 2.80 | |
| LZM | 5.18 | +1.29 | +33.16% | 0.33 | |
| RPAY | 4.11 | +0.93 | +29.25% | 0.26 | |
| SHMD | 6.90 | +1.36 | +24.55% | 0.32 | |
| CADL | 6.37 | +1.21 | +23.45% | 0.38 | |
| NKTX | 3.47 | +0.67 | +23.93% | 0.17 | |
| NPT | 3.96 | +0.74 | +22.98% | 0.13 | |
| AGCC | 18.87 | +3.38 | +21.82% | 0.30 | |
| ANL | 16.01 | +2.32 | +16.95% | 0.70 | |
| STRZ | 20.09 | +2.89 | +16.80% | 0.28 | |
| AMC | 1.86 | +0.25 | +15.53% | 0.97 | |
| ABTC | 1.30 | +0.17 | +15.04% | 1.17 | |
| ZEPP | 16.33 | +2.30 | +16.39% | 0.20 | |
| CD | 5.57 | +0.75 | +15.68% | 0.37 | |
| HIVE | 2.51 | +0.32 | +14.87% | 0.63 | |
| PLSE | 23.40 | +2.89 | +14.09% | 1.34 | |
| MSTR | 166.52 | +17.58 | +11.80% | 49.78 | |
| TROO | 2.70 | +0.34 | +14.41% | 0.29 | |
| ANTX | 3.61 | +0.47 | +14.97% | 0.12 | |
| ONEW | 11.15 | +1.41 | +14.48% | 0.16 | |
| LION | 12.45 | +1.38 | +12.47% | 3.09 | |
| BMEA | 2.21 | +0.28 | +14.51% | 0.14 | |
| ROAD | 125.64 | +13.49 | +12.03% | 6.31 | |
| SNWV | 20.61 | +2.59 | +14.37% | 0.16 | |
| MXL | 26.27 | +2.92 | +12.51% | 1.97 | |
| SILC | 28.70 | +3.57 | +14.21% | 0.14 | |
| CIFR | 19.37 | +2.03 | +11.71% | 7.29 | |
| ELVR | 75.95 | +8.51 | +12.62% | 1.08 | |
| INFQ | 17.42 | +1.85 | +11.88% | 3.25 | |
| PLBL | 7.29 | +0.78 | +11.98% | 2.55 | |
| IESC | 537.58 | +54.20 | +11.21% | 10.55 | |
| COMP | 8.14 | +0.84 | +11.51% | 5.43 | |
| BAND | 23.01 | +2.59 | +12.68% | 0.61 | |
| FBYD | 13.57 | +1.52 | +12.61% | 0.53 | |
| KMTS | 22.81 | +2.40 | +11.76% | 1.18 | |
| GMTL | 20.64 | +2.21 | +11.99% | 0.70 | |
| ESAB | 109.55 | +10.62 | +10.73% | 6.17 | |
| ASST | 15.61 | +1.63 | +11.66% | 0.94 | |
| KOD | 44.90 | +4.49 | +11.11% | 2.60 | |
| CLPT | 11.79 | +1.29 | +12.29% | 0.31 | |
| CGON | 73.43 | +7.09 | +10.69% | 5.71 | |
| SMR | 12.65 | +1.24 | +10.87% | 3.73 | |
| CRVS | 16.74 | +1.70 | +11.30% | 1.27 | |
| DGXX | 3.10 | +0.34 | +12.32% | 0.20 | |
| UMC | 11.66 | +1.04 | +9.79% | 25.03 | |
| CAR | 493.86 | +44.88 | +10.00% | 13.98 | |
| OCUL | 9.82 | +0.96 | +10.84% | 1.94 | |
| ALK | 45.40 | +4.25 | +10.33% | 4.82 | |
| PROK | 2.18 | +0.23 | +11.79% | 0.29 | |
| LGIH | 43.56 | +4.36 | +11.12% | 0.91 | |
| MFI | 12.00 | +1.21 | +11.21% | 0.65 | |
| VOR | 16.59 | +1.62 | +10.82% | 0.76 | |
| CV | 6.01 | +0.61 | +11.30% | 0.30 | |
| HOV | 116.08 | +11.37 | +10.86% | 0.63 | |
| ABSI | 3.58 | +0.35 | +10.84% | 0.49 | |
| MGRT | 116.16 | +10.90 | +10.36% | 0.94 | |
| BETR | 41.23 | +3.90 | +10.45% | 0.63 | |
| DOMO | 3.80 | +0.38 | +11.11% | 0.13 | |
| GFS | 54.75 | +4.36 | +8.65% | 26.53 | |
| CBUS | 1.59 | +0.16 | +11.19% | 0.11 | |
| LOAR | 67.48 | +5.67 | +9.17% | 6.13 | |
| TGEN | 4.30 | +0.43 | +11.11% | 0.12 | |
| ONTO | 290.76 | +23.61 | +8.84% | 12.88 | |
| RXT | 1.47 | +0.14 | +10.53% | 0.30 | |
| BHVN | 10.98 | +0.97 | +9.69% | 1.56 | |
| MTRN | 181.95 | +15.40 | +9.25% | 3.39 | |
| BBBY | 5.74 | +0.53 | +10.17% | 0.39 | |
| ADV | 30.69 | +2.83 | +10.16% | 0.37 | |
| PII | 57.91 | +4.89 | +9.22% | 2.71 | |
| BOBS | 13.02 | +1.12 | +9.41% | 1.54 | |
| LDI | 1.79 | +0.16 | +9.82% | 0.52 | |
| RYAAY | 62.03 | +4.65 | +8.10% | 32.31 | |
| RNAC | 7.04 | +0.66 | +10.34% | 0.16 | |
| OPRT | 5.88 | +0.54 | +10.11% | 0.24 | |
| IHRT | 4.10 | +0.36 | +9.63% | 0.59 | |
| RH | 141.04 | +11.55 | +8.92% | 2.44 | |
| JHX | 21.75 | +1.67 | +8.32% | 11.57 | |
| DFH | 14.82 | +1.24 | +9.13% | 1.24 | |
| CBIO | 21.28 | +1.83 | +9.41% | 0.61 | |
| SEZL | 80.71 | +6.53 | +8.81% | 2.39 | |
| ALGT | 91.79 | +7.55 | +8.96% | 1.63 | |
| ALTG | 7.00 | +0.63 | +9.89% | 0.21 | |
| ALLY | 45.36 | +3.40 | +8.10% | 13.01 | |
| HYMC | 44.17 | +3.45 | +8.47% | 3.67 | |
| OPTU | 1.67 | +0.14 | +9.15% | 0.72 | |
| IDR | 43.32 | +3.64 | +9.17% | 0.62 | |
| EXOD | 7.98 | +0.70 | +9.62% | 0.23 | |
| TTMI | 126.24 | +9.31 | +7.96% | 12.11 | |
| RCL | 285.48 | +19.53 | +7.34% | 76.37 | |
| AKTS | 20.25 | +1.65 | +8.87% | 1.00 | |
| USAR | 19.95 | +1.52 | +8.25% | 4.00 | |
| MTC | 6.54 | +0.53 | +8.82% | 0.90 | |
| WAFD | 35.24 | +2.73 | +8.40% | 2.46 | |
| BIOA | 18.49 | +1.50 | +8.83% | 0.75 | |
| SUNB | 71.59 | +4.98 | +7.48% | 28.01 | |
| NG | 10.94 | +0.81 | +8.00% | 4.37 | |
| CAN | 0.57 | +0.05 | +9.00% | 0.36 | |
| FLS | 83.82 | +5.99 | +7.70% | 10.07 | |
| ENTG | 146.06 | +10.14 | +7.46% | 20.86 | |
| AOSL | 33.88 | +2.67 | +8.55% | 0.93 | |
| BTGO | 11.18 | +0.87 | +8.44% | 1.21 | |
| QNC | 2.87 | +0.23 | +8.71% | 0.62 | |
| SABR | 1.89 | +0.15 | +8.62% | 0.70 | |
| TKNO | 2.93 | +0.25 | +9.33% | 0.15 | |
| SKY | 81.33 | +5.96 | +7.91% | 4.19 | |
| IMDX | 3.84 | +0.33 | +9.40% | 0.11 | |
| SGI | 85.01 | +5.81 | +7.34% | 16.93 | |
| CVNA | 387.53 | +25.29 | +6.98% | 53.06 | |
| ODV | 3.65 | +0.28 | +8.31% | 1.02 | |
| FHTX | 5.29 | +0.43 | +8.85% | 0.29 | |
| UAL | 101.80 | +6.77 | +7.12% | 30.60 | |
| FORM | 137.21 | +9.53 | +7.46% | 10.10 | |
| TSHA | 6.43 | +0.48 | +8.07% | 1.72 | |
| NGNE | 27.85 | +2.22 | +8.66% | 0.37 | |
| CCL | 29.22 | +1.91 | +6.99% | 39.92 | |
| INOD | 46.93 | +3.51 | +8.08% | 1.43 | |
| KURA | 9.68 | +0.74 | +8.28% | 0.80 | |
| VICR | 218.05 | +14.95 | +7.36% | 8.81 | |
| CUK | 29.15 | +1.88 | +6.89% | 39.91 | |
| BBWI | 19.41 | +1.37 | +7.59% | 3.61 | |
| TTGT | 4.58 | +0.36 | +8.53% | 0.30 | |
| DAVE | 250.71 | +17.76 | +7.62% | 3.05 | |
| AMKR | 67.37 | +4.47 | +7.11% | 14.80 | |
| VIK | 85.80 | +5.49 | +6.84% | 36.21 | |
| AFRM | 64.50 | +4.22 | +7.00% | 19.86 | |
| SITE | 144.35 | +9.90 | +7.36% | 6.10 | |
| VIAV | 44.13 | +2.98 | +7.23% | 9.08 | |
| LEG | 12.03 | +0.87 | +7.80% | 1.55 | |
| WRLD | 141.38 | +10.52 | +8.04% | 0.66 | |
| SITM | 503.63 | +33.07 | +7.03% | 11.94 | |
| LBRX | 30.52 | +2.24 | +7.92% | 0.84 | |
| SHAZ | 37.02 | +2.76 | +8.06% | 0.59 | |
| NEXA | 16.00 | +1.13 | +7.60% | 1.94 | |
| FLX | 2.79 | +0.22 | +8.56% | 0.18 | |
| SRFM | 1.36 | +0.11 | +8.80% | 0.10 | |
| LGN | 73.77 | +4.97 | +7.22% | 5.35 | |
| EP | 2.98 | +0.24 | +8.76% | 0.10 | |
| MITK | 15.15 | +1.11 | +7.91% | 0.68 | |
| CALY | 15.36 | +1.06 | +7.41% | 2.53 | |
| FBRX | 33.92 | +2.49 | +7.92% | 0.61 | |
| IMVT | 29.30 | +1.95 | +7.13% | 5.58 | |
| GLOO | 7.99 | +0.59 | +7.97% | 0.51 | |
| ASM | 7.75 | +0.55 | +7.64% | 1.21 | |
| GALT | 2.45 | +0.19 | +8.41% | 0.17 | |
| RIOT | 18.11 | +1.19 | +7.03% | 6.60 | |
| WRBY | 24.86 | +1.69 | +7.29% | 2.90 | |
| PRAX | 342.50 | +22.11 | +6.90% | 9.47 | |
| LVWR | 2.02 | +0.15 | +8.02% | 0.37 | |
| CVCO | 539.06 | +36.01 | +7.16% | 3.90 | |
| MGA | 60.56 | +3.82 | +6.73% | 15.60 | |
| YETI | 41.17 | +2.78 | +7.24% | 2.92 | |
| GCT | 51.80 | +3.58 | +7.42% | 1.71 | |
| WULF | 20.64 | +1.33 | +6.89% | 8.56 | |
| BFH | 90.58 | +6.06 | +7.17% | 3.44 | |
| PPTA | 33.90 | +2.25 | +7.11% | 3.95 | |
| BZH | 22.13 | +1.59 | +7.74% | 0.64 | |
| HXL | 88.76 | +5.77 | +6.95% | 6.28 | |
| AMBQ | 34.76 | +2.48 | +7.68% | 0.67 | |
| ULCC | 4.55 | +0.32 | +7.57% | 0.92 | |
| ALV | 118.92 | +7.59 | +6.82% | 8.17 | |
| ROMA | 5.37 | +0.40 | +7.95% | 0.31 | |
| STM | 44.22 | +2.65 | +6.37% | 36.16 | |
| PACK | 4.12 | +0.30 | +7.85% | 0.33 | |
| HLLY | 3.32 | +0.24 | +7.79% | 0.37 | |
| HMY | 18.67 | +1.16 | +6.62% | 10.53 | |
| GOAI | 4.26 | +0.32 | +8.12% | 0.15 | |
| GT | 7.06 | +0.47 | +7.13% | 1.93 | |
| ZG | 47.01 | +2.91 | +6.60% | 10.47 | |
| URBN | 74.18 | +4.70 | +6.76% | 5.84 | |
| HIMS | 28.82 | +1.83 | +6.78% | 5.54 | |
| KTB | 77.29 | +4.97 | +6.87% | 3.98 | |
| NTRA | 208.40 | +12.29 | +6.27% | 29.37 | |
| PAYS | 6.29 | +0.45 | +7.71% | 0.32 | |
| PAL | 7.37 | +0.54 | +7.91% | 0.19 | |
| STRO | 31.55 | +2.20 | +7.50% | 0.49 | |
| AGBK | 7.80 | +0.52 | +7.14% | 1.25 | |
| FENC | 6.79 | +0.49 | +7.78% | 0.22 | |
| CACC | 527.56 | +33.00 | +6.67% | 5.35 | |
| KWR | 139.81 | +9.06 | +6.93% | 2.25 | |
| LIND | 20.96 | +1.39 | +7.10% | 1.31 | |
| IMSR | 7.61 | +0.52 | +7.26% | 0.76 | |
| OPRX | 7.17 | +0.53 | +7.98% | 0.12 | |
| SA | 33.60 | +2.13 | +6.77% | 3.35 | |
| NMRA | 2.15 | +0.15 | +7.50% | 0.38 | |
| OMER | 13.44 | +0.90 | +7.18% | 0.88 | |
| MHK | 108.83 | +6.68 | +6.54% | 6.36 | |
| IKT | 1.83 | +0.13 | +7.65% | 0.24 | |
| MMYT | 51.02 | +3.17 | +6.62% | 4.45 | |
| WSC | 20.23 | +1.27 | +6.70% | 3.45 | |
| GFI | 49.96 | +2.82 | +5.98% | 42.39 | |
| PONY | 11.69 | +0.72 | +6.56% | 4.84 | |
| MBUU | 26.54 | +1.81 | +7.32% | 0.46 | |
| Z | 46.86 | +2.78 | +6.31% | 10.44 | |
| WMS | 153.37 | +9.05 | +6.27% | 11.51 | |
| ELTX | 13.55 | +0.95 | +7.54% | 0.22 | |
| HGV | 49.02 | +3.01 | +6.54% | 3.85 | |
| EVEX | 2.94 | +0.19 | +6.91% | 0.96 | |
| DLTR | 105.93 | +6.00 | +6.00% | 19.99 |
Biggest Losers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Rel Volume | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZMH | 0.17 | -0.92 | -84.07% | 0.17 | |
| LNZA | 22.57 | -13.33 | -37.13% | 0.42 | |
| JLHL | 6.35 | -3.37 | -34.67% | 0.13 | |
| BMI | 115.54 | -36.75 | -24.13% | 4.58 | |
| CANG | 0.37 | -0.11 | -23.55% | 0.19 | |
| GLND | 6.10 | -1.86 | -23.37% | 0.14 | |
| OPTX | 9.10 | -1.95 | -17.65% | 0.40 | |
| MRLN | 13.58 | -2.51 | -15.60% | 1.20 | |
| ORBS | 1.06 | -0.18 | -14.52% | 0.43 | |
| LYB | 66.27 | -9.02 | -11.98% | 23.60 | |
| PBF | 37.16 | -5.47 | -12.83% | 4.76 | |
| DK | 37.23 | -5.22 | -12.30% | 2.45 | |
| NFLX | 97.31 | -10.48 | -9.72% | 454.77 | |
| DOW | 35.60 | -4.32 | -10.82% | 27.95 | |
| PSNY | 18.06 | -2.44 | -11.90% | 1.95 | |
| ANNA | 3.64 | -0.56 | -13.33% | 0.17 | |
| SWMR | 35.13 | -5.01 | -12.48% | 0.51 | |
| TRAXV | 22.51 | -2.89 | -11.38% | 0.85 | |
| UMAC | 14.09 | -1.82 | -11.44% | 0.74 | |
| VG | 11.46 | -1.22 | -9.62% | 30.24 | |
| CF | 112.68 | -12.03 | -9.65% | 18.56 | |
| CVI | 29.44 | -3.42 | -10.41% | 3.18 | |
| VWAV | 7.09 | -0.96 | -11.93% | 0.17 | |
| PARR | 57.33 | -6.38 | -10.01% | 3.08 | |
| ANTA | 9.30 | -1.15 | -11.00% | 0.22 | |
| PTEN | 9.42 | -0.99 | -9.51% | 3.77 | |
| CE | 62.03 | -6.31 | -9.23% | 7.24 | |
| IPI | 35.19 | -4.09 | -10.41% | 0.50 | |
| FLNC | 13.54 | -1.45 | -9.65% | 2.01 | |
| EVTL | 2.99 | -0.35 | -10.48% | 0.27 | |
| NEXT | 6.84 | -0.70 | -9.28% | 1.90 | |
| SIDU | 5.35 | -0.60 | -10.08% | 0.32 | |
| ALB | 197.75 | -17.87 | -8.29% | 21.85 | |
| RES | 6.53 | -0.67 | -9.31% | 1.55 | |
| LXU | 13.61 | -1.38 | -9.21% | 1.02 | |
| DVLT | 0.76 | -0.08 | -9.49% | 0.43 | |
| SOC | 13.11 | -1.26 | -8.77% | 1.90 | |
| VLO | 223.65 | -18.09 | -7.48% | 70.25 | |
| EQNR | 35.47 | -2.80 | -7.32% | 91.76 | |
| TALO | 13.50 | -1.26 | -8.54% | 2.42 | |
| ASIX | 21.57 | -2.13 | -8.99% | 0.62 | |
| CNQ | 43.00 | -3.31 | -7.15% | 95.51 | |
| GFR | 5.69 | -0.55 | -8.81% | 0.76 | |
| CHRD | 123.58 | -10.41 | -7.77% | 7.36 | |
| XNDU | 30.20 | -2.47 | -7.56% | 8.59 | |
| SPIR | 19.54 | -1.77 | -8.31% | 0.79 | |
| SM | 25.97 | -2.11 | -7.51% | 6.55 | |
| GRPN | 14.21 | -1.31 | -8.44% | 0.53 | |
| CMPX | 6.00 | -0.53 | -8.12% | 1.05 | |
| VET | 11.48 | -0.98 | -7.87% | 1.87 | |
| RDW | 10.34 | -0.88 | -7.84% | 1.97 | |
| SSL | 12.16 | -0.96 | -7.32% | 8.15 | |
| IIIN | 26.22 | -2.29 | -8.03% | 0.71 | |
| SQM | 88.80 | -6.51 | -6.83% | 25.03 | |
| BP | 44.59 | -3.04 | -6.38% | 118.75 | |
| SATL | 6.93 | -0.59 | -7.85% | 0.99 | |
| CAST | 3.51 | -0.33 | -8.59% | 0.16 | |
| PED | 14.53 | -1.34 | -8.44% | 0.20 | |
| MEOH | 54.13 | -4.23 | -7.25% | 4.45 | |
| AA | 65.62 | -4.79 | -6.80% | 18.57 | |
| GRNT | 4.95 | -0.42 | -7.82% | 0.71 | |
| FIG | 18.92 | -1.40 | -6.89% | 10.61 | |
| ERIC | 11.37 | -0.79 | -6.50% | 39.57 | |
| NUCL | 11.21 | -0.99 | -8.11% | 0.28 | |
| FLYX | 2.85 | -0.26 | -8.36% | 0.13 | |
| BNR | 20.67 | -1.83 | -8.13% | 0.22 | |
| AIFU | 1.34 | -0.12 | -8.22% | 0.17 | |
| RCAT | 12.72 | -0.99 | -7.22% | 1.58 | |
| YSS | 35.72 | -2.59 | -6.76% | 5.06 | |
| ZNTL | 4.64 | -0.38 | -7.57% | 0.38 | |
| WDS | 22.40 | -1.45 | -6.08% | 44.83 | |
| NUAI | 4.61 | -0.37 | -7.43% | 0.50 | |
| GPRE | 14.82 | -1.14 | -7.14% | 1.08 | |
| OLN | 26.09 | -1.89 | -6.75% | 3.16 | |
| LU | 1.89 | -0.14 | -6.90% | 1.68 | |
| RIG | 5.94 | -0.41 | -6.46% | 6.81 | |
| RGC | 28.67 | -1.90 | -6.22% | 14.74 | |
| ISBA | 45.75 | -3.62 | -7.33% | 0.36 | |
| CRGY | 11.81 | -0.82 | -6.49% | 4.00 | |
| VAL | 88.56 | -5.98 | -6.33% | 6.35 | |
| ASTS | 85.53 | -5.41 | -5.95% | 25.43 | |
| E | 52.25 | -3.14 | -5.67% | 79.73 | |
| DGNX | 0.51 | -0.04 | -7.65% | 0.12 | |
| TLSA | 1.24 | -0.10 | -7.46% | 0.17 | |
| NXTT | 1.87 | -0.15 | -7.43% | 0.16 | |
| CRC | 62.74 | -4.13 | -6.18% | 5.76 | |
| FET | 56.09 | -4.10 | -6.81% | 0.67 | |
| ALMU | 16.12 | -1.23 | -7.09% | 0.30 | |
| MPC | 213.69 | -12.55 | -5.55% | 65.68 | |
| TAC | 12.66 | -0.84 | -6.22% | 4.06 | |
| TONX | 2.41 | -0.19 | -7.31% | 0.14 | |
| AGRO | 12.47 | -0.85 | -6.38% | 1.90 | |
| CVE | 24.51 | -1.43 | -5.51% | 47.84 | |
| MUR | 36.87 | -2.37 | -6.04% | 5.48 | |
| OWLS | 5.29 | -0.38 | -6.70% | 0.50 | |
| OXY | 53.79 | -3.08 | -5.42% | 55.37 | |
| APA | 35.74 | -2.16 | -5.70% | 12.93 | |
| LBRT | 26.30 | -1.66 | -5.94% | 4.50 | |
| CHGG | 1.05 | -0.08 | -7.08% | 0.12 | |
| AHG | 2.00 | -0.13 | -6.10% | 1.89 | |
| GTE | 7.52 | -0.54 | -6.70% | 0.28 | |
| AIRO | 8.07 | -0.58 | -6.71% | 0.26 | |
| NTR | 70.62 | -3.91 | -5.25% | 35.29 | |
| MTDR | 55.60 | -3.30 | -5.60% | 7.09 | |
| BTE | 4.06 | -0.25 | -5.80% | 3.11 | |
| WLK | 112.61 | -6.39 | -5.37% | 14.76 | |
| PBR | 20.45 | -1.05 | -4.88% | 132.37 | |
| WTI | 2.87 | -0.19 | -6.21% | 0.43 | |
| KGEI | 4.91 | -0.34 | -6.48% | 0.18 | |
| OVV | 52.81 | -2.91 | -5.22% | 15.59 | |
| PPIH | 30.31 | -2.03 | -6.28% | 0.28 | |
| OIS | 10.22 | -0.65 | -5.98% | 0.65 | |
| NBIS | 157.14 | -8.20 | -4.96% | 42.20 | |
| PDS | 83.59 | -5.14 | -5.79% | 1.16 | |
| KOS | 2.48 | -0.15 | -5.70% | 1.53 | |
| AVAV | 191.42 | -10.57 | -5.23% | 10.04 | |
| FJET | 6.30 | -0.42 | -6.25% | 0.24 | |
| AMTX | 2.27 | -0.15 | -6.20% | 0.16 | |
| COP | 116.04 | -5.53 | -4.55% | 144.95 | |
| MUSA | 491.13 | -26.32 | -5.09% | 9.26 | |
| GPRK | 8.82 | -0.54 | -5.77% | 0.59 | |
| IMAX | 35.09 | -2.01 | -5.42% | 2.00 | |
| HSAI | 23.25 | -1.29 | -5.26% | 3.81 | |
| CENX | 62.24 | -3.37 | -5.14% | 6.34 | |
| PUMP | 13.96 | -0.80 | -5.42% | 1.78 | |
| PR | 19.42 | -1.00 | -4.90% | 16.92 | |
| REPX | 33.47 | -2.00 | -5.64% | 0.75 | |
| KRMN | 83.58 | -4.33 | -4.93% | 12.29 | |
| CNTB | 2.81 | -0.18 | -6.02% | 0.17 | |
| DINO | 57.15 | -2.96 | -4.92% | 10.51 | |
| GPCR | 50.75 | -2.75 | -5.14% | 3.84 | |
| LCID | 7.30 | -0.40 | -5.19% | 2.71 | |
| MENS | 2.44 | -0.15 | -5.79% | 0.20 | |
| HPK | 5.34 | -0.31 | -5.40% | 0.73 | |
| LNG | 251.07 | -11.67 | -4.44% | 53.95 | |
| AFJK | 45.31 | -2.69 | -5.60% | 0.31 | |
| HDL | 14.55 | -0.81 | -5.27% | 0.83 | |
| WBI | 25.14 | -1.36 | -5.13% | 1.25 | |
| KTOS | 70.99 | -3.42 | -4.60% | 13.99 | |
| PBR.A | 18.59 | -0.81 | -4.18% | 120.77 | |
| PSX | 156.37 | -6.96 | -4.26% | 64.73 | |
| SHEL | 87.81 | -3.69 | -4.03% | 251.30 | |
| BUDA | 9.43 | -0.57 | -5.67% | 0.13 | |
| NOG | 24.55 | -1.25 | -4.84% | 2.74 | |
| EOG | 128.43 | -5.64 | -4.21% | 70.92 | |
| TTE | 87.07 | -3.67 | -4.04% | 185.66 | |
| LPTH | 14.16 | -0.76 | -5.09% | 0.81 | |
| SU | 61.16 | -2.66 | -4.17% | 74.74 | |
| BTU | 25.65 | -1.28 | -4.75% | 3.42 | |
| INTT | 15.89 | -0.91 | -5.42% | 0.19 | |
| REI | 1.25 | -0.07 | -5.30% | 0.27 | |
| LQDA | 39.47 | -1.93 | -4.66% | 3.54 | |
| HNRG | 15.75 | -0.83 | -5.01% | 0.74 | |
| DSP | 11.61 | -0.65 | -5.30% | 0.21 | |
| SGML | 19.72 | -0.98 | -4.73% | 2.03 | |
| TROX | 9.12 | -0.46 | -4.80% | 1.48 | |
| BAK | 3.57 | -0.18 | -4.80% | 1.47 | |
| WB | 8.84 | -0.43 | -4.64% | 2.24 | |
| GRO | 3.07 | -0.17 | -5.25% | 0.17 | |
| XOM | 146.44 | -5.54 | -3.65% | 619.37 | |
| EVH | 2.84 | -0.15 | -5.02% | 0.32 | |
| TBN | 35.76 | -1.75 | -4.67% | 0.82 | |
| ACDC | 5.93 | -0.28 | -4.51% | 1.12 | |
| ALIT | 0.61 | -0.03 | -4.77% | 0.34 | |
| LAR | 8.80 | -0.41 | -4.45% | 1.34 | |
| MRSH | 175.80 | -6.77 | -3.71% | 84.49 | |
| CNR | 85.97 | -3.74 | -4.17% | 4.53 | |
| ECVT | 13.78 | -0.63 | -4.37% | 1.55 | |
| DPRO | 5.94 | -0.30 | -4.81% | 0.22 | |
| CDNA | 21.42 | -1.00 | -4.46% | 0.90 | |
| DAR | 57.95 | -2.41 | -3.99% | 9.28 | |
| BMM | 7.73 | -0.36 | -4.45% | 0.63 | |
| DKNG | 22.82 | -0.92 | -3.88% | 11.72 | |
| VNOM | 45.40 | -1.85 | -3.92% | 9.04 | |
| IMOS | 47.09 | -2.08 | -4.23% | 1.51 | |
| NICM | 6.19 | -0.30 | -4.62% | 0.15 | |
| LCUT | 6.97 | -0.33 | -4.45% | 0.18 | |
| FANG | 180.27 | -6.38 | -3.42% | 52.29 | |
| FTK | 15.62 | -0.67 | -4.11% | 0.59 | |
| PLYX | 6.12 | -0.27 | -4.23% | 0.31 | |
| SAFX | 0.42 | -0.02 | -4.32% | 0.18 | |
| USBC | 0.33 | -0.02 | -4.38% | 0.14 | |
| PL | 38.48 | -1.41 | -3.53% | 11.91 | |
| SPCE | 2.93 | -0.13 | -4.25% | 0.23 | |
| HP | 33.64 | -1.30 | -3.72% | 3.51 | |
| DVN | 44.23 | -1.55 | -3.39% | 28.11 | |
| NE | 46.77 | -1.73 | -3.57% | 7.56 | |
| CTRA | 30.89 | -1.08 | -3.38% | 24.00 | |
| SION | 43.54 | -1.70 | -3.76% | 2.03 | |
| VOYG | 31.31 | -1.23 | -3.78% | 1.77 | |
| EGY | 5.32 | -0.22 | -3.97% | 0.59 | |
| ALNY | 309.66 | -10.47 | -3.27% | 44.48 | |
| YOOV | 1.68 | -0.07 | -4.04% | 0.41 | |
| REKR | 0.89 | -0.04 | -4.27% | 0.13 | |
| IRDM | 41.85 | -1.56 | -3.59% | 4.02 | |
| SD | 14.38 | -0.59 | -3.94% | 0.55 | |
| XYL | 121.11 | -4.10 | -3.27% | 30.15 | |
| BL | 31.51 | -1.20 | -3.67% | 1.94 | |
| PBT | 21.41 | -0.84 | -3.78% | 1.01 | |
| FTI | 70.44 | -2.36 | -3.24% | 28.81 |
Upcoming Economic Events
| Date | Impact | Title | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Low | ADP Weekly Employment Change | 39.3K | |
| 2026-04-21 | High | Core Retail Sales m/m | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 2026-04-21 | High | Retail Sales m/m | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| 2026-04-21 | High | Fed Chair-Designate Warsh Testifies | ||
| 2026-04-21 | Medium | Pending Home Sales m/m | 0.0% | 1.8% |
| 2026-04-21 | Low | Business Inventories m/m | 0.3% | -0.1% |
| 2026-04-21 | Low | FOMC Member Waller Speaks | ||
| 2026-04-21 | Low | API Weekly Statistical Bulletin | ||
| 2026-04-21 | High | Fed Chairman-Designate Warsh Testifies | ||
| 2026-04-22 | Low | Crude Oil Inventories | -0.9M | |
| 2026-04-23 | Medium | Unemployment Claims | 210K | 207K |
| 2026-04-23 | Medium | Flash Manufacturing PMI | 52.5 | 52.4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Medium | Flash Services PMI | 50.1 | 51.1 |
| 2026-04-23 | Low | Natural Gas Storage | 59B | |
| 2026-04-24 | Medium | Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment | 48.4 | 47.6 |
| 2026-04-24 | Low | Revised UoM Inflation Expectations | 4.8% |
Upcoming Earnings
| Date | Time | Symbol | Name | Fiscal Qtr | EPS Forecast | Last Year EPS | # Estimates | Market Cap | Price | Exp Move $ | Exp Move % |
|---|
Rates
| Name | Rate | 1 Day | 14 Day | 30 Day | Last Changed | Last Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Month | 3.62 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 2026-04-10 | 2026-04-15 | |
| 4-Week | 3.63 | 0.03 | -0.01 | -0.01 | 2026-04-14 | 2026-04-15 |
| 1-Year | 3.55 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 2026-04-14 | 2026-04-15 | |
| 6-Month | 3.6 | -0.01 | 0.04 | 2026-04-13 | 2026-04-15 | |
| 2-Year | 3.76 | -0.02 | -0.03 | 0.03 | 2026-04-13 | 2026-04-15 |
| 5-Year | 3.9 | -0.02 | -0.02 | 0.03 | 2026-04-14 | 2026-04-15 |
| 10-Year | 4.29 | -0.01 | -0.01 | 0.01 | 2026-04-14 | 2026-04-15 |
| 30-Year | 4.89 | -0.01 | 0.01 | -0.01 | 2026-04-14 | 2026-04-15 |
| 10-Year Minus 2-Year | 0.54 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 2026-04-15 | 2026-04-16 |
| Federal Funds | 3.64 | 2025-12-10 | 2026-04-15 | |||
| Federal Funds Target Upper | 3.75 | 2025-12-10 | 2026-04-17 | |||
| 30Y Jumbo Fixed Mortgage | 6.528 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.16 | 2026-04-15 | 2026-04-16 |
| 15Y Fixed Mortgage | 5.65 | -0.09 | -0.12 | 0.15 | 2026-04-09 | 2026-04-16 |
| 30Y Fixed Mortgage | 6.3 | -0.07 | -0.16 | 0.19 | 2026-04-09 | 2026-04-16 |
| Credit Card Interest | 21.0 | 0.03 | 0.03 | -0.39 | 2025-11-01 | 2026-02-01 |
Fed Watch (/ZQ Fed Funds futures)
Full curve →
Market-implied probabilities from /ZQ futures. Current EFFR estimate: 3.67%.
Apr 29, 2026
/ZQJ26 · implied 3.64%
-3 bp
25bp cut
12%
Hold
88%
Jun 17, 2026
/ZQM26 · implied 3.64%
0 bp
Hold
100%
Jul 29, 2026
/ZQN26 · implied 3.61%
-3 bp
25bp cut
12%
Hold
88%
Kalshi vs /ZQ Divergences (top mispricings)
All divergences →
Scanning Fed decision markets for mispricings...
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Ten Empirically-Grounded Prediction Market Trading Strategies
2026-04-14
A technical survey of ten research-backed strategies for trading prediction markets, spanning favourite-longshot bias, cross-platform arbitrage, LP underwriting, combinatorial arbitrage, and dynamic hedging.
prediction-marketstrading-strategiespolymarketkalshiarbitragehedgingmarket-microstructure