S&P 500 rises as chip stocks rebound and AI concerns ease ahead of midterm election results.
Recent market recaps
Nasdaq futures ticking up 0.17% after yesterday's tech rout, but oil's 2%+ surge and copper's 3% plunge signal conflicting signals on growth and demand. Apple fell 3.9% pre-market despite beating earnings; PLTR sank 7.8% on solid results as contract growth slows. Energy and materials rotating hard, with DuPont and Eaton climbing on upside beats while Zebra tumbled 6.3% despite raising outlook. Dow futures down 0.86%.
Oil crater on Middle East peace hopes sends tech into a tailspin. Energy down 4%, but discretionary and financials rally hard as rotation accelerates. MRVL takes the heat after announcing its massive Lumentum deal. Apple and Palantir earnings coming tonight.
Markets bounced back as oil crashed 7%, sending consumer discretionary up 3.1% while energy got crushed. Materials, financials, and industrials all rallied hard. Tech remains under pressure but held the line. Crude's dive before midterms lit a fire under equities; VIX slipped to 19. BAM led with a 6.8% surge.
Futures bounce back as crude crashes over 4 percent; Nasdaq 100 leads the recovery up 0.75 percent while energy stocks surge on oil weakness. Tech stabilizing after brutal selloff. Apple earnings this week. Watch MU as mega-cap concentration debate heats up.
Tech got absolutely hammered on AI cash burn fears; Nasdaq tanked 3.5% while defensive plays and energy rallied. INTC cratered nearly 30% on guidance concerns, dragging semiconductor names down hard across the board.
Nasdaq tanked 3% as Amazon and Intel earnings spooked investors on AI capex concerns. Tech sellers dominated while healthcare and staples held steady. VIX jumped 14.7%. INTC cracked -29% and dragged the entire chip complex lower.
Nasdaq futures cratering 2.4% as GOOGL's 12% plunge reignites AI spending doubts. Crude rallying hard on Iran chatter while precious metals get hammered. Tech in freefall, healthcare and staples catching bids. This morning's gonna sting.
GOOGL plunged 12.8% after missing on AI metrics, dragging tech and comms services lower. Nasdaq sank 1.4% as rotation favored healthcare and utilities. Cats disappointed too. Fed hold kept bond yields lower, supporting defensives and small caps. Selective damage, not systemic panic.
Tech stumbled hard on earnings disappointment. GOOGL cratered 12%, dragging the Nasdaq down 1.1% while healthcare and real estate found footing. Small caps rallied; rates retreated. The AI trade just got real again.
Nasdaq futures tanking 0.88% after Google's earnings miss; Nasdaq 100 leading the selloff while small caps hold steady. Oil sliding 1.5% on Iran chatter. Fed paused rates yesterday but markets still digesting tech disappointment. GOOGL weighing heavy this morning.
Fed holds steady, stocks shrug it off. Tech leads the charge as chip stocks surge on AI infrastructure spending. ORCL soars over 10% on expanded NVIDIA partnership. Valuations remain stretched, but momentum's still the name of the game.
Chip stocks rally hard on AI infrastructure demand; SKHY leads the charge with 12.6% pop as SpaceX and others ramp capex. Broader market treads water into Fed decision with energy outperforming. Russell 2000 stuck in correction territory. Oil surges on geopolitical risks.

Stock Market Dashboard

Live indices, movers, options and volatility · Nov 3, 2026

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Today's economic data

Actual vs forecast history

Times ET · updates automatically as numbers are released · σ = surprise vs the indicator's typical forecast miss

Top movers

Top movers, market cap $2B+. Select a column header to sort.
SymbolLastChgRel volMkt cap
GPK Graphic Packaging Holdi… 11.03 +18.22% 1.0x $2.8B
HUT Hut 8 Corp. Common Stock 63.58 +15.59% 0.6x $6.8B
NBIX Neurocrine Biosciences Inc 167.04 +14.92% 1.5x $14.8B
BETA Beta Technologies, Inc. 23.50 +15.31% 1.3x $4.8B
SRAD Sportradar Group AG Cla… 14.80 +15.00% 1.3x $3.8B
LSCC Lattice Semiconductor Corp 108.73 +13.92% 2.1x $13.6B
FN Fabrinet 357.79 +13.69% 1.0x $11.3B
RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. Co… 13.51 +14.06% 0.9x $4.4B

Sector heat map

1D

Box size = relative volume (today vs the 20-day average), colour = 1-day change.

Fed rate odds

FedWatch
Dec 9 FOMCimplied
Hold
21%
+25bp
79%
Jan 27 FOMCimplied
Hold
73%
+25bp
27%

EFFR 3.88% · market-implied

Market sentiment

Details
22Extreme fear
  • S&P 500 above 200-day63.6% NEUTRAL
  • Equal weight vs S&P 500+6.7% BROADENING
  • COT commercials+17,301 NEUTRAL
  • Atlanta Fed GDPNow3.7% STRONG

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Economic calendar

Upcoming US economic events, times ET. Select a column header to sort.
TimeEventImpactActualFcstPrev
Today
Tue 11/3 04:00RCM/TIPP Economic OptimismL46.246.8
Tue 11/3 10:00Factory Orders m/mL1.8%1.2%0.1%
Tue 11/3 10:00JOLTS Job OpeningsM7.52M7.15M7.08M
Tue 11/3 10:10RCM/TIPP Economic OptimismL46.246.8
Tue 11/3 10:15Omdia Total Vehicle SalesL15.8M16.0M
Tue 11/3 10:16Congressional ElectionsH——
Tue 11/3 16:30API Weekly Statistical BulletinL——
Tomorrow
Wed 11/4 08:15ADP Non-Farm Employment ChangeL67K90K
Wed 11/4 08:30Trade BalanceL-107.9B-105.6B
Wed 11/4 09:45Final Services PMIL57.957.9
Showing 1–10 of 38
Page 1 of 5

US events · times ET · H high · M medium · L low impact

Upcoming earnings

Calendar

BMO before market open AMC after market close time not announced

Upcoming earnings in the next two weeks. Select a column header to sort.
SymbolDateEPS estExp. moveMkt cap
AMD Advanced Micro Device… Tue 11/3 AMC 1.95 ±15.3% $824.1B
AMGN Amgen Inc. Tue 11/3 AMC 5.79 ±7.8% $251.9B
ANET Arista Networks, Inc. Tue 11/3 AMC 1.08 ±14.7% $213.0B
SHOP Shopify Inc. Tue 11/3 BMO 0.46 −7.1% vs ±19.1% $204.3B
PFE Pfizer, Inc. Tue 11/3 BMO 0.73 −0.3% vs ±7.0% $174.0B
ETN Eaton Corporation, PLC Tue 11/3 BMO 3.54 +5.6% vs ±11.5% $143.7B
MPC Marathon Petroleum Co… Tue 11/3 BMO 25.37 −1.3% vs ±10.9% $124.9B
BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. Tue 11/3 AMC 4.49 ±12.8% $111.3B
Showing 1–8 of 313
Page 1 of 40

Market Commentary

Updated hourly
Updated: Live Data

📊 Market Overview

The election is noise; the real story is a tech recalibration that separates the wheat from the chaff. Apple beat earnings but cratered on warnings of unprecedented memory chip cost headwinds squeezing margins, a message that rattled the entire semiconductor complex yesterday but today chip stocks are bouncing hard, suggesting investors are parsing the damage more carefully. Alphabet missed badly on the bottom line for the second quarter running, yet the Nasdaq is up over 1 percent because industrial, defense, and discretionary tech hardware names are crushing it. This is not panic; it is repricing which tech actually works.

The divergence screams risk-on with an asterisk. The Russell 2000, the Nasdaq, and the S&P 500 are all climbing, while the Dow and long-dated bonds are selling off, a spread that says equities are rallying on growth recovery while rate expectations are backing up. Copper is collapsing along with precious metals, signaling no inflation bet yet no economic urgency either. Energy fell on crude weakness even as geopolitical risk from Iran swirls, a sign that demand concerns override geopolitical premium for now. The divergence between chip stocks rebounding and Apple sinking despite a beat confirms this is surgical rotation: the market is not fleeing tech; it is rotating into names with actual pricing power and away from those facing structural margin pressure.

⚠️ Risks & Opportunities

• Defense and industrial infrastructure are the only durable winners this cycle: Eaton, Vertiv, Quanta, Leidos, and Fiserv all beat and rallied on substantive demand signals, while consumer-facing and AI-dependent names crater on execution or guidance despite earnings beats, tilting the board toward capex and government spending stories.

• Copper cratering 2.3% while gold flat suggests real yields are cementing higher even as equities stabilize, a cross-asset warning that the bond market is not convinced this rally is anything more than a relief bounce ahead of Friday's employment data.

• Congressional elections today and the jobs report Friday form a two-part catalyst for sharp repricing: midterm results could shift policy expectations on tech regulation and defense spending, while tomorrow's ISM Services and Friday's non-farm payrolls will determine whether the Fed stays patient or signals tighter labor market conditions that demand rate cuts are off the table.


🚀 Notable Movers

  • ETN jumped 7.2% after beating EPS and revenue estimates, with data center demand cited as a growth driver.
  • PWR surged 5.2% on a massive 20.7% EPS beat and 8.9% revenue beat, signaling strong electric infrastructure momentum.
  • VRT climbed 6.5% following a 21.4% EPS beat and 15.0% revenue beat, reflecting robust demand in its core business.
  • GEV gained 6.9% after posting a 19.4% EPS beat and 5.4% revenue beat on a $176B backlog.
  • APH rose 5.1% on a 9.7% EPS beat and 7.8% revenue beat, benefiting from AI infrastructure tailwinds.
  • SHOP plunged 7.2% despite beating EPS by 6.2%, as Wall Street worried about gross operating profit and merchandise volume misses that fell short of estimates.
  • AAPL fell 2.7% despite a modest 3.0% EPS beat and in-line revenue, as headlines flagged unprecedented memory chip costs pressuring margins going forward.
  • CDNS dropped 3.3% after beating EPS and revenue, as margin pressure and questions about sustaining AI demand weighed on sentiment despite a raised 2026 outlook.
  • APO fell 4.6% after missing EPS by 5.5%, with investment-related losses dragging the quarter.
  • MPC declined 3.6% despite a 6.2% EPS beat, with no specific catalyst showing in the news.
  • BUD slipped 2.5% after missing EPS by 25.7%, dragging consumer staples lower alongside broader Consumer Discretionary weakness.
  • ACN, VRTX, DASH, and TGT each fell roughly 2.6% to 3.0% with no specific catalyst showing in the news, alongside modest Consumer Discretionary sector underperformance.
  • SYY dropped 7.9% after missing revenue by 1.3% despite matching EPS, signaling demand softness in foodservice distribution.
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Anthropic's Amended S-1: $17 Billion Quarter, $895 Billion Committed
November 2, 2026

Anthropic's first amendment adds the third quarter and the commitments total, but still no price. Revenue reached $17.0 billion, the operating line went back to a $567 million loss, committed spend is $895.4 billion, and the filing's own fair values point to about $70 a share.

ipoaisec-filingsinvesting

National polls

Polls & odds
Trump approval36.8% / 60.5%
net −23.7approve +0.1 in 30d
Generic ballotD +8.6
D 51.8 · R 43.1margin +0.3 in 30d
House
D 94%
Senate
D 75%

Average of the major poll aggregators, past 12 months. Control odds from prediction markets.

Mortgage rates

Rates & calculator
30-yr fixed · estimate7.15%
+2 bp since last print$2,702/mo on $400,000
15-yr fixed
6.60% +122 bp in a year
30-yr jumbo
7.06% +69 bp in a year
30-yr FHA
6.98% +92 bp in a year
10-yr Treasury
4.954% +4 bp today

Average rate borrowers locked, re-priced with the 10-year Treasury between daily prints. Not a quote.