Frenzy Capital — Live Market Snapshot & Analysis
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Market Analysis
🌅 Pre-Market Overview
The overnight reversal is textbook risk-on recovery. Yesterday's Iran-induced selloff in equities and crude spike has completely unwound; oil is down over two percent this morning while equity futures are solidly bid across the board. The geopolitical premium was real but brief, and markets have already priced in a de-escalation narrative. This tells you two things: one, the fear was tactical and containable, and two, traders are hungry to buy dips after four months of relentless gains that have pushed valuations into nosebleed territory. Small caps leading the charge (Russell 2000 up 0.6%) suggests confidence in the domestic growth story, and tech following suit confirms this is pure relief buying rather than defensive rotation.
Cross-asset positioning screams that risk appetite is firmly back in the driver's seat. Copper and precious metals rallying hard alongside equities shows industrial demand optimism is intact, while bonds are grinding modestly higher despite the risk-on move, which is frankly odd and suggests money managers are still hedging tail risk or that the Fed's easing bias continues to anchor longer-dated yields. The real tell is crude's collapse paired with equity strength; without an energy crisis narrative, the only reason to own stocks harder is because you believe the growth cycle persists. Yen weakness rounds out the picture nicely, a classic ingredient in carry unwinds that favor risk assets. Yesterday's dip was a gift, and pre-market volumes suggest the open will be aggressive.
⚠️ Risks & Opportunities
• Oil's 2.24% plunge overnight signals the market is already pricing out sustained Iran escalation; equities are front-running relief and you should expect tech and small-caps to lead the open, but this is a false floor if geopolitical risks reignite before the close.
• Russell 2000 and Nasdaq futures outpacing the S&P 500 (both up 0.58-0.60% vs ES up 0.35%) tells you growth and duration trades are winning; this means today's ISM Services and JOLTS reads carry outsized weight for the entire complex, because a hot labor report could force duration back down hard.
• Copper ripping 2.13% while gold and bonds both rally is the tell that real yields are compressing on risk-on sentiment, not inflation expectations; if that reverses intraday on stronger employment data, the unwind into tech will be violent.
• Long-end rates futures (30Y up 0.22%, Ultra up 0.25%) are drifting higher even as equities rally, which means money is rotating out of duration into risk; this is not a bond market collapse but it signals no patience for a hawkish surprise on Friday's jobs report.
• Yen weakness (down 0.46%) combined with small-cap outperformance suggests carry trade positioning is loosening, which creates a flash-crash vector if risk-off resumes; watch 2821 on /RTY as your canary because small-caps will crack first if geopolitical fears resurface.
📰 Referenced News Articles
S&P 500:
- Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq drop as Hormuz tensions increase - Yahoo Finance - Yahoo Finance
- Today on the U.S. stock market, the Dow fell more than 550 points, S&P 500 declined, Nasdaq saw three-day winning streak snapped as Iran tensions lifted oil. Story stocks included GameStop, eBay, Berkshire Hathaway, Micron and Palantir. - MarketWatch - MarketWatch
- Regression to Trend: S&P Composite 191% Above Trend in April - Advisor Perspectives - Advisor Perspectives
- These Nine S&P 500 Stocks Have Doubled In 2026. No. 3 Reports On Tuesday. - Investor's Business Daily - Investor's Business Daily
- Why Stocks Keep Going Up - The Atlantic - The Atlantic
Dow Jones:
- Dow tumbles 550 points as oil prices rise and investors fear Iran conflict could intensify again: Live updates - CNBC - CNBC
- Stock Market Today: Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq called higher as oil dips from highs; Palantir slips after results; AMD earnings on tap. - MarketWatch - MarketWatch
- U.S. stocks lower at close of trade; Dow Jones Industrial Average down 1.13% - Investing.com - Investing.com
- Stock market sags after escalations in Middle East - The Arkansas Democrat-Gazette - The Arkansas Democrat-Gazette
- What History Says About Stock Market Performance in the Second Quarter - The Motley Fool - The Motley Fool
NASDAQ-100:
- What History Says About Stock Market Performance in the Second Quarter - The Motley Fool - The Motley Fool
- 2 Nasdaq 100 Stocks with Exciting Potential and 1 We Avoid - StockStory - StockStory
- Track Nasdaq Composite Prices And Stocks To Watch - Investor's Business Daily - Investor's Business Daily
- Tech Giants Prop Up Nasdaq Composite as Oil Shock Tests Market Resilience - AOL.com - AOL.com
- The Stock Market Flashes a Warning Not Seen for Over 2 Decades: Here's Where History Says the NASDAQ Is Headed Next - The Motley Fool - The Motley Fool
Russell 2000:
- More key facts ahead of the 2026 Russell US Indexes reconstitution - LSEG - LSEG
- 3 Russell 2000 Stocks We Approach with Caution - Yahoo Finance UK - Yahoo Finance UK
- Rising Crude Pressures Dow as Russell 2000 Hits Fresh Record - Schaeffer's Investment Research - Schaeffer's Investment Research
- Russell 2000 Stocks to Avoid: DigitalOcean, Griffon, and Worthington Face Headwinds in 2026 - News and Statistics - IndexBox - IndexBox
- 300% Leveraged Russell 2000 PLUS (MS) due Jun 4, 2027 — Cap 119.42% - Stock Titan - Stock Titan
Sector Performance
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Options Flow Sentiment
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Most Bullish
Movers — May 4, 2026
Top Gainers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Rel Volume | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JLHL | 21.08 | +9.63 | +84.10% | 0.25 | |
| GBTG | 9.34 | +3.41 | +57.42% | 3.10 | |
| CABA | 3.83 | +0.89 | +30.10% | 0.33 | |
| CRCL | 119.25 | +19.55 | +19.61% | 24.65 | |
| IMDX | 5.19 | +1.01 | +24.16% | 0.13 | |
| REPL | 3.02 | +0.52 | +20.80% | 0.21 | |
| AURA | 8.35 | +1.34 | +19.12% | 0.45 | |
| MRDN | 13.12 | +2.12 | +19.32% | 0.14 | |
| FSTR | 36.29 | +5.59 | +18.21% | 0.32 | |
| NBIS | 176.76 | +22.27 | +14.42% | 39.09 | |
| CELC | 144.80 | +19.15 | +15.24% | 6.07 | |
| BZAI | 2.38 | +0.35 | +17.24% | 0.25 | |
| FATE | 1.79 | +0.26 | +17.32% | 0.18 | |
| CADL | 7.54 | +1.07 | +16.46% | 0.47 | |
| CGEM | 15.52 | +2.09 | +15.56% | 0.83 | |
| ASRT | 21.61 | +3.14 | +17.03% | 0.12 | |
| SAFX | 0.58 | +0.08 | +16.57% | 0.15 | |
| ABSI | 5.62 | +0.71 | +14.33% | 0.76 | |
| IOVA | 3.87 | +0.47 | +13.68% | 1.52 | |
| RXT | 2.02 | +0.25 | +14.12% | 0.44 | |
| ROMA | 6.95 | +0.82 | +13.38% | 0.37 | |
| LEGN | 26.39 | +2.80 | +11.87% | 4.36 | |
| GDC | 4.91 | +0.57 | +13.13% | 0.26 | |
| ARMP | 10.01 | +1.12 | +12.60% | 0.33 | |
| DXYZ | 38.89 | +4.18 | +12.04% | 0.76 | |
| QUIK | 18.32 | +2.00 | +12.29% | 0.29 | |
| TNYA | 0.79 | +0.09 | +12.62% | 0.15 | |
| ZBIO | 21.56 | +2.20 | +11.36% | 1.21 | |
| ALXO | 1.90 | +0.21 | +12.13% | 0.23 | |
| AXTI | 105.92 | +9.92 | +10.33% | 6.28 | |
| NFE | 0.82 | +0.09 | +11.89% | 0.21 | |
| RNAC | 6.96 | +0.74 | +11.90% | 0.18 | |
| NICE | 124.04 | +11.14 | +9.87% | 6.60 | |
| MDV | 17.93 | +1.84 | +11.44% | 0.17 | |
| SPWR | 1.02 | +0.10 | +11.38% | 0.13 | |
| GENB | 14.46 | +1.31 | +9.96% | 1.68 | |
| BTGO | 11.46 | +1.03 | +9.88% | 1.20 | |
| AIFC | 0.84 | +0.08 | +10.84% | 0.11 | |
| MIRM | 105.11 | +8.58 | +8.89% | 5.89 | |
| MTC | 7.49 | +0.67 | +9.75% | 0.68 | |
| ABEO | 5.98 | +0.55 | +10.13% | 0.31 | |
| IMUX | 10.66 | +1.01 | +10.52% | 0.13 | |
| AXSM | 224.07 | +17.54 | +8.50% | 10.62 | |
| REAL | 12.86 | +1.09 | +9.26% | 1.42 | |
| VG | 13.76 | +1.03 | +8.05% | 31.60 | |
| IREN | 49.44 | +3.78 | +8.27% | 15.15 | |
| CSHR | 6.80 | +0.60 | +9.76% | 0.41 | |
| EGHT | 2.68 | +0.24 | +9.84% | 0.34 | |
| AGRO | 15.14 | +1.24 | +8.92% | 2.01 | |
| TSN | 68.66 | +4.98 | +7.82% | 22.42 | |
| TNGX | 22.73 | +1.75 | +8.34% | 3.03 | |
| NEXT | 8.49 | +0.66 | +8.46% | 2.07 | |
| TRUP | 26.40 | +2.07 | +8.51% | 1.06 | |
| TRDA | 15.77 | +1.27 | +8.76% | 0.56 | |
| CLYM | 9.70 | +0.79 | +8.87% | 0.43 | |
| MU | 576.89 | +34.68 | +6.40% | 611.47 | |
| QURE | 20.71 | +1.59 | +8.29% | 1.21 | |
| CAPR | 33.42 | +2.51 | +8.12% | 1.79 | |
| HNGE | 48.93 | +3.50 | +7.70% | 3.52 | |
| UXIN | 3.13 | +0.24 | +8.37% | 0.61 | |
| ICHR | 69.44 | +5.02 | +7.79% | 2.24 | |
| PALI | 2.16 | +0.17 | +8.54% | 0.33 | |
| ESCA | 19.77 | +1.56 | +8.57% | 0.25 | |
| KRYS | 285.39 | +19.35 | +7.27% | 7.83 | |
| ZJK | 2.94 | +0.23 | +8.61% | 0.17 | |
| STRO | 38.46 | +2.87 | +8.06% | 0.59 | |
| SNDK | 1260.91 | +73.91 | +6.23% | 175.68 | |
| BW | 15.12 | +1.05 | +7.50% | 1.91 | |
| CXDO | 8.16 | +0.62 | +8.29% | 0.24 | |
| HCAT | 1.57 | +0.12 | +8.62% | 0.11 | |
| NNOX | 1.88 | +0.15 | +8.38% | 0.12 | |
| WYFI | 17.92 | +1.27 | +7.63% | 0.64 | |
| EAF | 9.22 | +0.68 | +7.96% | 0.22 | |
| FLGT | 15.22 | +1.09 | +7.71% | 0.41 | |
| VACH | 13.70 | +0.98 | +7.70% | 0.40 | |
| HUMA | 0.92 | +0.07 | +7.99% | 0.19 | |
| PHAT | 12.89 | +0.88 | +7.33% | 0.95 | |
| COIN | 202.90 | +11.65 | +6.09% | 50.50 | |
| MSLE | 8.47 | +0.62 | +7.90% | 0.16 | |
| RVMD | 147.97 | +8.49 | +6.09% | 29.65 | |
| VNDA | 7.51 | +0.51 | +7.36% | 0.42 | |
| LRMR | 4.23 | +0.29 | +7.36% | 0.41 | |
| ARDX | 7.34 | +0.46 | +6.76% | 1.70 | |
| CTNM | 14.13 | +0.94 | +7.08% | 0.49 | |
| CRWV | 125.75 | +6.74 | +5.67% | 62.86 | |
| CRNC | 10.35 | +0.68 | +7.03% | 0.44 | |
| EVI | 19.57 | +1.32 | +7.23% | 0.23 | |
| FIG | 19.88 | +1.14 | +6.06% | 9.88 | |
| USBC | 0.40 | +0.03 | +7.41% | 0.15 | |
| OUST | 28.18 | +1.73 | +6.54% | 1.68 | |
| APLD | 35.57 | +2.02 | +6.02% | 9.59 | |
| NAUT | 2.89 | +0.19 | +7.04% | 0.34 | |
| NNNN | 30.80 | +1.90 | +6.57% | 1.27 | |
| ORKA | 66.49 | +3.91 | +6.25% | 3.75 | |
| INR | 17.33 | +1.14 | +7.04% | 0.30 | |
| HIVE | 2.60 | +0.17 | +6.79% | 0.62 | |
| ALKT | 17.19 | +1.03 | +6.37% | 1.73 | |
| ALEC | 2.52 | +0.17 | +6.99% | 0.26 | |
| VATE | 12.64 | +0.84 | +7.16% | 0.16 | |
| PHOE | 17.50 | +1.13 | +6.87% | 0.35 | |
| MNDY | 77.20 | +4.46 | +6.13% | 3.72 | |
| AKBA | 1.50 | +0.10 | +6.79% | 0.38 | |
| PDEX | 51.77 | +3.41 | +7.05% | 0.15 | |
| VKTX | 31.82 | +1.82 | +6.05% | 3.48 | |
| AREN | 2.79 | +0.19 | +7.12% | 0.12 | |
| APPS | 3.92 | +0.24 | +6.66% | 0.44 | |
| WTI | 4.40 | +0.27 | +6.54% | 0.61 | |
| ORCL | 180.26 | +8.43 | +4.91% | 494.19 | |
| ALT | 3.00 | +0.19 | +6.56% | 0.55 | |
| RBLX | 47.57 | +2.44 | +5.41% | 32.30 | |
| CMPS | 9.57 | +0.56 | +6.22% | 1.22 | |
| PBF | 45.49 | +2.49 | +5.79% | 5.05 | |
| TKNO | 3.63 | +0.23 | +6.76% | 0.18 | |
| SABS | 3.70 | +0.23 | +6.63% | 0.24 | |
| AUTL | 1.56 | +0.09 | +6.46% | 0.39 | |
| IMOS | 48.35 | +2.75 | +6.03% | 1.59 | |
| AKA | 11.28 | +0.73 | +6.88% | 0.11 | |
| CRNX | 41.23 | +2.21 | +5.66% | 4.11 | |
| TGTX | 35.74 | +1.89 | +5.58% | 5.41 | |
| EVH | 3.98 | +0.23 | +6.27% | 0.43 | |
| KPTI | 9.34 | +0.57 | +6.50% | 0.20 | |
| EBAY | 109.33 | +5.26 | +5.05% | 46.21 | |
| SMMT | 16.98 | +0.86 | +5.34% | 12.51 | |
| DWSN | 3.67 | +0.23 | +6.69% | 0.11 | |
| TEAM | 93.46 | +4.58 | +5.15% | 23.44 | |
| ONCY | 0.93 | +0.06 | +6.63% | 0.10 | |
| PRQR | 1.65 | +0.10 | +6.45% | 0.16 | |
| BTBT | 1.67 | +0.09 | +6.05% | 0.51 | |
| IVA | 5.26 | +0.29 | +5.84% | 1.03 | |
| CIFR | 17.95 | +0.91 | +5.31% | 6.92 | |
| EIKN | 10.26 | +0.58 | +5.99% | 0.52 | |
| VOR | 14.66 | +0.81 | +5.88% | 0.68 | |
| OPCH | 21.12 | +1.09 | +5.47% | 3.14 | |
| INSM | 139.83 | +6.57 | +4.93% | 28.76 | |
| CLSK | 12.83 | +0.66 | +5.42% | 3.11 | |
| WLTH | 11.37 | +0.60 | +5.57% | 1.61 | |
| WEAV | 6.09 | +0.34 | +5.91% | 0.46 | |
| FROG | 52.48 | +2.59 | +5.19% | 6.04 | |
| AGMB | 11.84 | +0.65 | +5.81% | 0.55 | |
| KURA | 9.27 | +0.50 | +5.64% | 0.78 | |
| AUR | 6.43 | +0.30 | +4.98% | 12.02 | |
| JOE | 64.95 | +3.21 | +5.20% | 3.54 | |
| DMRC | 8.19 | +0.47 | +6.02% | 0.17 | |
| PONY | 10.39 | +0.50 | +5.11% | 4.29 | |
| DOCN | 107.84 | +5.02 | +4.88% | 10.73 | |
| CECO | 78.14 | +3.84 | +5.16% | 2.67 | |
| PKX | 82.40 | +3.69 | +4.69% | 23.81 | |
| RBRK | 57.73 | +2.66 | +4.83% | 11.33 | |
| MYRG | 454.82 | +21.33 | +4.92% | 6.75 | |
| PNRG | 228.61 | +12.18 | +5.63% | 0.35 | |
| FIVN | 23.39 | +1.15 | +5.17% | 1.70 | |
| BHVN | 10.13 | +0.50 | +5.19% | 1.45 | |
| ALLO | 2.27 | +0.12 | +5.35% | 0.74 | |
| SEPN | 24.85 | +1.24 | +5.25% | 1.06 | |
| DDOG | 146.75 | +6.22 | +4.43% | 50.02 | |
| ANNA | 3.75 | +0.21 | +5.79% | 0.14 | |
| CEG | 320.96 | +13.15 | +4.27% | 111.52 | |
| APA | 41.99 | +1.86 | +4.65% | 14.18 | |
| NUTX | 146.88 | +7.31 | +5.24% | 0.97 | |
| NAMS | 29.82 | +1.39 | +4.91% | 3.27 | |
| NGNE | 28.29 | +1.44 | +5.36% | 0.42 | |
| TDC | 29.33 | +1.37 | +4.90% | 2.64 | |
| RNG | 47.25 | +2.17 | +4.81% | 3.79 | |
| SHAZ | 44.41 | +2.20 | +5.21% | 0.68 | |
| PCOR | 62.05 | +2.73 | +4.61% | 8.95 | |
| TTWO | 225.29 | +9.26 | +4.29% | 40.00 | |
| WULF | 22.27 | +0.96 | +4.53% | 10.50 | |
| GFS | 67.70 | +2.79 | +4.30% | 35.64 | |
| OVID | 2.94 | +0.15 | +5.20% | 0.48 | |
| MLTX | 17.56 | +0.83 | +4.96% | 1.22 | |
| KEEL | 3.24 | +0.15 | +4.85% | 1.86 | |
| DAO | 11.28 | +0.53 | +4.93% | 1.30 | |
| NRC | 18.32 | +0.91 | +5.23% | 0.39 | |
| EOLS | 5.61 | +0.28 | +5.25% | 0.35 | |
| RYTM | 85.55 | +3.74 | +4.57% | 5.61 | |
| MWH | 42.47 | +1.82 | +4.48% | 8.23 | |
| BCAX | 22.72 | +1.05 | +4.85% | 1.42 | |
| QTWO | 53.62 | +2.39 | +4.67% | 3.21 | |
| TRON | 2.02 | +0.10 | +4.95% | 0.91 | |
| PACK | 5.89 | +0.28 | +5.08% | 0.48 | |
| EQNR | 41.30 | +1.59 | +4.00% | 98.96 | |
| ANAB | 69.92 | +3.16 | +4.73% | 1.94 | |
| ENGN | 7.62 | +0.37 | +5.03% | 0.49 | |
| QLYS | 92.58 | +4.05 | +4.57% | 3.12 | |
| NTLA | 13.88 | +0.62 | +4.71% | 1.58 | |
| S | 15.56 | +0.66 | +4.46% | 5.07 | |
| AMWL | 6.45 | +0.33 | +5.40% | 0.10 | |
| FRHC | 140.99 | +5.88 | +4.35% | 8.27 | |
| VRDN | 14.05 | +0.63 | +4.69% | 1.38 | |
| HLLY | 3.25 | +0.15 | +5.00% | 0.37 | |
| XNCR | 13.29 | +0.61 | +4.77% | 0.94 | |
| MITK | 15.24 | +0.71 | +4.85% | 0.66 | |
| RAPP | 35.46 | +1.57 | +4.63% | 1.62 | |
| CYTK | 66.08 | +2.73 | +4.30% | 7.87 | |
| NGL | 15.82 | +0.69 | +4.56% | 1.87 | |
| RELY | 23.79 | +1.00 | +4.37% | 4.79 | |
| BKKT | 8.99 | +0.42 | +4.90% | 0.37 | |
| PL | 38.43 | +1.53 | +4.15% | 12.77 | |
| HOOD | 76.51 | +2.85 | +3.87% | 66.33 | |
| CD | 5.40 | +0.25 | +4.85% | 0.41 |
Biggest Losers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Rel Volume | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XNDU | 13.84 | -22.28 | -61.68% | 10.78 | |
| CCOI | 16.36 | -6.80 | -29.36% | 1.16 | |
| ULH | 16.13 | -6.27 | -27.99% | 0.59 | |
| COAG | 25.21 | -8.79 | -25.85% | 1.44 | |
| FWRD | 16.11 | -5.22 | -24.47% | 0.69 | |
| DVLT | 0.56 | -0.18 | -24.70% | 0.52 | |
| GXO | 46.48 | -9.73 | -17.32% | 6.47 | |
| TORO | 6.15 | -1.53 | -19.92% | 0.22 | |
| WATT | 28.04 | -6.21 | -18.13% | 0.19 | |
| GPRO | 1.43 | -0.30 | -17.55% | 0.28 | |
| FBYD | 13.55 | -2.64 | -16.28% | 0.79 | |
| TRT | 11.59 | -2.47 | -17.57% | 0.14 | |
| NSSC | 39.50 | -7.22 | -15.45% | 1.67 | |
| SHMD | 5.38 | -0.99 | -15.54% | 0.37 | |
| SLNH | 1.33 | -0.25 | -15.82% | 0.22 | |
| SPTX | 17.01 | -2.83 | -14.26% | 1.01 | |
| UPS | 96.14 | -11.42 | -10.62% | 91.40 | |
| CABO | 65.09 | -9.92 | -13.22% | 0.43 | |
| STEX | 1.01 | -0.17 | -13.98% | 0.12 | |
| NBTX | 31.00 | -4.12 | -11.75% | 1.70 | |
| MRAM | 18.83 | -2.66 | -12.38% | 0.50 | |
| BZH | 18.11 | -2.52 | -12.22% | 0.58 | |
| DRTS | 7.51 | -1.02 | -12.00% | 0.75 | |
| FDX | 357.39 | -36.28 | -9.22% | 93.93 | |
| CHRW | 160.05 | -17.25 | -9.73% | 20.89 | |
| PS | 34.28 | -3.71 | -9.76% | 15.20 | |
| BNAI | 23.63 | -3.22 | -12.00% | 0.18 | |
| GME | 23.93 | -2.61 | -9.82% | 11.90 | |
| SKLZ | 6.75 | -0.91 | -11.88% | 0.12 | |
| PTLO | 5.78 | -0.71 | -11.02% | 0.47 | |
| CAR | 167.75 | -17.81 | -9.60% | 6.55 | |
| BFLY | 4.85 | -0.55 | -10.19% | 1.41 | |
| RXO | 17.68 | -1.91 | -9.75% | 3.23 | |
| LCUT | 5.96 | -0.75 | -11.18% | 0.15 | |
| LPTH | 12.34 | -1.36 | -9.96% | 0.79 | |
| FIGS | 13.96 | -1.45 | -9.38% | 2.57 | |
| MBC | 8.21 | -0.88 | -9.64% | 1.16 | |
| MOVE | 13.29 | -1.43 | -9.69% | 0.98 | |
| NEGG | 30.76 | -3.35 | -9.82% | 0.72 | |
| EQPT | 18.34 | -1.79 | -8.92% | 5.08 | |
| NVTS | 15.88 | -1.56 | -8.97% | 4.03 | |
| BOBS | 10.03 | -1.04 | -9.39% | 1.44 | |
| HOV | 99.89 | -10.57 | -9.57% | 0.66 | |
| CNA | 44.04 | -4.00 | -8.33% | 12.97 | |
| ALMU | 23.11 | -2.47 | -9.66% | 0.46 | |
| NCLH | 17.23 | -1.58 | -8.40% | 8.64 | |
| CURV | 1.52 | -0.17 | -10.06% | 0.17 | |
| SAIA | 405.01 | -36.25 | -8.22% | 11.77 | |
| OPY | 97.19 | -9.62 | -9.01% | 1.14 | |
| CDNL | 49.69 | -5.00 | -9.14% | 0.84 | |
| AMWD | 40.25 | -4.09 | -9.22% | 0.65 | |
| NCSM | 44.66 | -4.90 | -9.88% | 0.13 | |
| LCII | 107.04 | -9.75 | -8.35% | 2.84 | |
| BODI | 13.52 | -1.47 | -9.81% | 0.11 | |
| UP | 5.07 | -0.53 | -9.46% | 0.20 | |
| TOYO | 11.57 | -1.14 | -8.97% | 0.48 | |
| HRI | 122.56 | -10.57 | -7.94% | 4.45 | |
| OIO | 1.91 | -0.18 | -8.61% | 0.73 | |
| XPO | 199.49 | -15.79 | -7.33% | 25.28 | |
| VWAV | 5.74 | -0.59 | -9.32% | 0.15 | |
| AGL | 27.00 | -2.58 | -8.72% | 0.49 | |
| AEHR | 85.66 | -7.41 | -7.96% | 2.93 | |
| VSTS | 8.91 | -0.80 | -8.24% | 1.28 | |
| TROO | 4.00 | -0.38 | -8.58% | 0.53 | |
| ARCB | 115.91 | -9.91 | -7.88% | 2.80 | |
| RDZN | 2.02 | -0.20 | -9.01% | 0.18 | |
| TUSK | 2.56 | -0.25 | -9.07% | 0.14 | |
| SIDU | 3.08 | -0.29 | -8.73% | 0.27 | |
| YOOV | 1.49 | -0.14 | -8.59% | 0.37 | |
| ASPN | 3.90 | -0.36 | -8.55% | 0.35 | |
| SWMR | 33.75 | -3.09 | -8.39% | 0.45 | |
| CHDN | 91.40 | -7.25 | -7.35% | 6.88 | |
| VITL | 13.02 | -1.16 | -8.22% | 0.61 | |
| RLGT | 7.65 | -0.70 | -8.38% | 0.39 | |
| LNZA | 22.66 | -2.12 | -8.56% | 0.25 | |
| ODFL | 191.93 | -13.88 | -6.74% | 42.87 | |
| MRLN | 9.46 | -0.82 | -7.98% | 0.87 | |
| FEIM | 52.86 | -4.67 | -8.12% | 0.57 | |
| BLLN | 71.73 | -5.76 | -7.43% | 3.56 | |
| WRLD | 139.81 | -12.21 | -8.03% | 0.68 | |
| DFH | 14.08 | -1.18 | -7.73% | 1.40 | |
| FTDR | 63.79 | -5.01 | -7.28% | 4.85 | |
| TDAY | 6.80 | -0.58 | -7.79% | 1.08 | |
| TRAX | 20.61 | -1.77 | -7.91% | 0.78 | |
| ALMR | 23.85 | -1.96 | -7.59% | 1.76 | |
| MZTI | 115.34 | -9.04 | -7.27% | 3.41 | |
| HTLD | 12.44 | -1.03 | -7.65% | 1.04 | |
| SDHC | 12.76 | -1.19 | -8.53% | 0.12 | |
| LOT | 1.20 | -0.10 | -7.69% | 0.84 | |
| RDW | 8.66 | -0.68 | -7.32% | 1.86 | |
| PLPC | 309.33 | -24.40 | -7.31% | 1.63 | |
| LGIH | 44.92 | -3.61 | -7.44% | 1.13 | |
| ADT | 7.04 | -0.51 | -6.82% | 6.09 | |
| SLQT | 0.81 | -0.07 | -8.11% | 0.16 | |
| BETR | 41.06 | -3.32 | -7.48% | 0.73 | |
| R | 233.43 | -16.56 | -6.62% | 9.67 | |
| TWST | 56.24 | -4.16 | -6.89% | 3.70 | |
| IDCC | 271.16 | -19.34 | -6.66% | 7.46 | |
| BOOM | 7.74 | -0.67 | -7.97% | 0.17 | |
| PPHC | 13.50 | -1.11 | -7.60% | 0.43 | |
| SNY | 43.37 | -2.71 | -5.88% | 110.40 | |
| HURA | 2.15 | -0.19 | -7.94% | 0.15 | |
| HAE | 55.20 | -4.06 | -6.86% | 2.75 | |
| SIF | 15.99 | -1.40 | -8.05% | 0.11 | |
| ATOM | 10.26 | -0.83 | -7.49% | 0.43 | |
| CCS | 51.65 | -3.90 | -7.02% | 1.60 | |
| NMAX | 5.92 | -0.46 | -7.21% | 0.82 | |
| ASUR | 8.49 | -0.70 | -7.62% | 0.26 | |
| RYDE | 1.20 | -0.10 | -7.69% | 0.22 | |
| RGC | 27.30 | -1.82 | -6.25% | 14.40 | |
| VICR | 251.49 | -16.87 | -6.29% | 12.18 | |
| MPLT | 28.57 | -2.12 | -6.92% | 1.31 | |
| HZO | 27.56 | -2.12 | -7.14% | 0.65 | |
| NX | 18.53 | -1.40 | -7.02% | 0.92 | |
| HYMC | 36.19 | -2.54 | -6.57% | 3.54 | |
| OSW | 23.53 | -1.68 | -6.66% | 2.56 | |
| FIP | 5.32 | -0.40 | -7.08% | 0.68 | |
| VTIX | 3.42 | -0.29 | -7.70% | 0.12 | |
| WING | 150.40 | -10.33 | -6.43% | 4.38 | |
| ANF | 79.08 | -5.46 | -6.46% | 3.78 | |
| L | 105.04 | -6.66 | -5.96% | 22.98 | |
| KBH | 48.13 | -3.31 | -6.43% | 3.22 | |
| EDSA | 16.28 | -1.31 | -7.45% | 0.16 | |
| NN | 18.12 | -1.25 | -6.48% | 2.64 | |
| SCVL | 17.14 | -1.29 | -7.00% | 0.51 | |
| BBVA | 20.80 | -1.20 | -5.48% | 122.79 | |
| YB | 15.26 | -1.12 | -6.84% | 0.75 | |
| EYE | 22.00 | -1.54 | -6.54% | 1.87 | |
| GBFH | 28.51 | -2.15 | -7.01% | 0.44 | |
| HQ | 10.02 | -0.74 | -6.92% | 0.55 | |
| BC | 74.48 | -4.94 | -6.22% | 5.17 | |
| CALY | 14.19 | -0.97 | -6.40% | 2.76 | |
| GPI | 331.50 | -22.17 | -6.27% | 4.21 | |
| ARHS | 7.08 | -0.50 | -6.66% | 1.08 | |
| MNRO | 16.37 | -1.21 | -6.88% | 0.53 | |
| PLAY | 10.82 | -0.81 | -6.95% | 0.40 | |
| MBUU | 23.95 | -1.76 | -6.85% | 0.48 | |
| PCT | 7.35 | -0.51 | -6.49% | 1.42 | |
| AMD | 342.38 | -18.16 | -5.04% | 587.80 | |
| NPK | 132.39 | -9.29 | -6.56% | 1.01 | |
| BXC | 48.55 | -3.55 | -6.81% | 0.41 | |
| GLSI | 22.07 | -1.63 | -6.88% | 0.33 | |
| WHR | 53.12 | -3.45 | -6.11% | 3.65 | |
| CVCO | 479.61 | -31.07 | -6.08% | 3.96 | |
| TFII | 134.24 | -8.23 | -5.78% | 11.71 | |
| HTHT | 48.02 | -2.90 | -5.70% | 15.66 | |
| VUZI | 2.65 | -0.19 | -6.87% | 0.24 | |
| SKY | 72.31 | -4.59 | -5.97% | 4.25 | |
| AAOI | 173.16 | -10.35 | -5.64% | 14.69 | |
| GETY | 0.76 | -0.05 | -6.67% | 0.34 | |
| RGCO | 22.75 | -1.65 | -6.76% | 0.25 | |
| DCH | 5.36 | -0.35 | -6.22% | 1.35 | |
| UFPI | 80.20 | -4.98 | -5.85% | 4.84 | |
| PII | 62.51 | -3.91 | -5.89% | 3.78 | |
| FWRG | 12.27 | -0.82 | -6.30% | 0.81 | |
| LCTX | 1.43 | -0.10 | -6.53% | 0.38 | |
| THO | 73.63 | -4.55 | -5.82% | 4.11 | |
| GIL | 58.10 | -3.41 | -5.54% | 11.39 | |
| HIMX | 11.57 | -0.74 | -5.97% | 2.15 | |
| KMTS | 20.49 | -1.33 | -6.09% | 1.27 | |
| OPEN | 5.13 | -0.31 | -5.70% | 5.25 | |
| AEBI | 10.95 | -0.72 | -6.17% | 0.90 | |
| CMTG | 2.54 | -0.18 | -6.43% | 0.38 | |
| CBRL | 29.15 | -1.94 | -6.24% | 0.69 | |
| CVLG | 31.60 | -2.08 | -6.18% | 0.85 | |
| TTEC | 2.79 | -0.20 | -6.74% | 0.15 | |
| SIFY | 14.69 | -0.95 | -6.07% | 1.13 | |
| MENS | 2.10 | -0.15 | -6.67% | 0.17 | |
| PWP | 19.39 | -1.22 | -5.94% | 1.45 | |
| RVLV | 23.51 | -1.47 | -5.88% | 1.79 | |
| BYRN | 5.37 | -0.38 | -6.70% | 0.13 | |
| MATV | 8.80 | -0.59 | -6.23% | 0.52 | |
| FUN | 17.77 | -1.09 | -5.81% | 1.92 | |
| QCOM | 168.55 | -8.46 | -4.78% | 186.57 | |
| IE | 12.34 | -0.75 | -5.77% | 2.07 | |
| EXPD | 139.54 | -7.69 | -5.22% | 19.58 | |
| KRO | 7.41 | -0.47 | -5.96% | 0.91 | |
| SPHR | 136.78 | -7.95 | -5.49% | 5.18 | |
| SKYX | 1.00 | -0.07 | -6.54% | 0.14 | |
| ROCK | 36.90 | -2.30 | -5.88% | 1.16 | |
| AENT | 7.33 | -0.48 | -6.15% | 0.40 | |
| OPTU | 1.50 | -0.10 | -5.94% | 0.75 | |
| FUBO | 12.97 | -0.85 | -6.11% | 0.41 | |
| RH | 122.72 | -7.25 | -5.58% | 2.45 | |
| WWW | 16.34 | -0.99 | -5.71% | 1.42 | |
| CLLS | 3.71 | -0.24 | -6.08% | 0.40 | |
| YETI | 38.13 | -2.22 | -5.50% | 3.05 | |
| TREX | 36.69 | -2.10 | -5.41% | 4.03 | |
| VIAV | 52.48 | -2.84 | -5.14% | 12.80 | |
| PNBK | 1.10 | -0.07 | -6.36% | 0.15 | |
| ONDS | 9.77 | -0.55 | -5.33% | 5.03 | |
| ALM | 19.51 | -1.09 | -5.29% | 5.81 | |
| TWIN | 14.74 | -0.97 | -6.17% | 0.23 | |
| JOUT | 50.20 | -3.14 | -5.89% | 0.56 | |
| HTZ | 5.80 | -0.34 | -5.54% | 1.93 | |
| CINT | 4.00 | -0.25 | -5.88% | 0.55 | |
| HSLV | 5.52 | -0.33 | -5.64% | 1.19 | |
| CMCL | 21.28 | -1.34 | -5.92% | 0.44 | |
| FNWD | 30.10 | -2.01 | -6.26% | 0.14 | |
| DFDV | 4.26 | -0.29 | -6.26% | 0.13 |
Pre-Market Gainers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|
Pre-Market Losers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|
Upcoming Economic Events
| Date | Impact | Title | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | Low | Trade Balance | -61.0B | -57.3B |
| 2026-05-05 | Low | Final Services PMI | 51.3 | 51.3 |
| 2026-05-05 | High | ISM Services PMI | 53.7 | 54.0 |
| 2026-05-05 | High | JOLTS Job Openings | 6.86M | 6.88M |
| 2026-05-05 | Medium | New Home Sales | 587K | |
| 2026-05-05 | Low | FOMC Member Bowman Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-05 | Low | RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism | 42.0 | 42.8 |
| 2026-05-05 | Low | FOMC Member Barr Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-05 | Low | API Weekly Statistical Bulletin | ||
| 2026-05-06 | Medium | ADP Non-Farm Employment Change | 116K | 62K |
| 2026-05-06 | Low | FOMC Member Musalem Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-06 | Low | Crude Oil Inventories | -6.2M | |
| 2026-05-06 | Low | FOMC Member Goolsbee Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-07 | Low | Challenger Job Cuts y/y | -78.0% | |
| 2026-05-07 | Medium | Unemployment Claims | 205K | 189K |
| 2026-05-07 | Low | Prelim Nonfarm Productivity q/q | 1.0% | 2.8% |
| 2026-05-07 | Low | Prelim Unit Labor Costs q/q | 2.5% | 2.8% |
| 2026-05-07 | Low | Construction Spending m/m | -0.3% | |
| 2026-05-07 | Low | Natural Gas Storage | 79B | |
| 2026-05-07 | Low | FOMC Member Hammack Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-07 | Low | Consumer Credit m/m | 12.5B | 9.5B |
| 2026-05-07 | Low | FOMC Member Williams Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-07 | Low | FOMC Member Kashkari Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-08 | Low | FOMC Member Cook Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-08 | High | Average Hourly Earnings m/m | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| 2026-05-08 | High | Non-Farm Employment Change | 64K | 178K |
| 2026-05-08 | High | Unemployment Rate | 4.3% | 4.3% |
| 2026-05-08 | Medium | Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment | 49.5 | 47.6 |
| 2026-05-08 | Medium | Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations | 4.8% | |
| 2026-05-08 | Low | Final Wholesale Inventories m/m | 1.4% | 1.4% |
| 2026-05-08 | Low | FOMC Member Waller Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-08 | Low | FOMC Member Bowman Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-08 | Low | FOMC Member Daly Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-08 | Low | FOMC Member Goolsbee Speaks |
Upcoming Earnings
| Date | Time | Symbol | Exp Move % | Exp Move $ | Fiscal Qtr | EPS Forecast | Last Year EPS | # Estimates | Market Cap |
|---|
Rates
| Name | Rate | 1 Day | 14 Day | 30 Day | Last Changed | Last Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Month | 3.59 | -0.01 | -0.03 | -0.03 | 2026-04-29 | 2026-04-30 |
| 4-Week | 3.61 | 0.02 | -0.02 | -0.02 | 2026-04-29 | 2026-04-30 |
| 1-Year | 3.57 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 2026-04-29 | 2026-04-30 |
| 6-Month | 3.58 | -0.02 | -0.02 | -0.03 | 2026-04-29 | 2026-04-30 |
| 2-Year | 3.88 | 0.04 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 2026-04-29 | 2026-04-30 |
| 5-Year | 4.02 | 0.05 | 0.12 | 0.05 | 2026-04-29 | 2026-04-30 |
| 10-Year | 4.4 | 0.04 | 0.11 | 0.05 | 2026-04-29 | 2026-04-30 |
| 30-Year | 4.98 | 0.04 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 2026-04-28 | 2026-04-30 |
| 10-Year Minus 2-Year | 0.51 | -0.01 | -0.04 | -0.01 | 2026-04-30 | 2026-05-01 |
| Federal Funds | 3.64 | 2025-12-10 | 2026-04-30 | |||
| Federal Funds Target Upper | 3.75 | 2025-12-10 | 2026-05-04 | |||
| 30Y Jumbo Fixed Mortgage | 6.466 | 0.03 | 0.03 | -0.13 | 2026-04-30 | 2026-05-01 |
| 15Y Fixed Mortgage | 5.64 | 0.06 | -0.01 | -0.11 | 2026-04-23 | 2026-04-30 |
| 30Y Fixed Mortgage | 6.3 | 0.07 | -0.08 | 2026-04-23 | 2026-04-30 | |
| Credit Card Interest | 21.0 | 0.03 | 0.03 | -0.39 | 2025-11-01 | 2026-02-01 |
Fed Watch (/ZQ Fed Funds futures)
Full curve →
Market-implied probabilities from /ZQ futures. Current EFFR estimate: 3.67%.
Jun 17, 2026
/ZQM26 · implied 3.59%
-8 bp
25bp cut
32%
Hold
68%
Jul 29, 2026
/ZQN26 · implied 3.62%
+3 bp
Hold
90%
25bp hike
10%
Sep 16, 2026
/ZQU26 · implied 3.62%
0 bp
Hold
100%
Kalshi vs /ZQ Divergences (top mispricings)
All divergences →
Scanning Fed decision markets for mispricings...
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Ten Empirically-Grounded Prediction Market Trading Strategies
2026-04-14
A technical survey of ten research-backed strategies for trading prediction markets, spanning favourite-longshot bias, cross-platform arbitrage, LP underwriting, combinatorial arbitrage, and dynamic hedging.
prediction-marketstrading-strategiespolymarketkalshiarbitragehedgingmarket-microstructure