Frenzy Capital — Live Market Snapshot & Analysis
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Market Analysis
📊 Market Overview
The bond market is sending a deafening message this morning, and equities are finally listening. Ten-year yields punching through fresh 19-year highs has spooked growth investors, especially in tech where heavy volume on the downside signals institutional capitulation rather than everyday profit-taking. Energy is the lone beneficiary, gaining on higher oil prices tied to Iran geopolitics, but that's a narrow refuge. The Russell 2000's steeper selloff versus large-cap tells the real story: higher rates are a direct threat to small-cap leverage and duration risk. This is textbook risk-off, and the VIX's mild uptick understates the actual anxiety brewing beneath the surface. Bonds are pricing in a materially different rate regime than equities were comfortable assuming just weeks ago.
The rotation into defensive sectors (Health Care and Utilities gaining while Financials and Industrials crater) confirms institutions are derisking in earnest, not rotating cyclically. Copper and silver are collapsing hard enough to suggest commodity investors are bracing for slower growth ahead, yet natural gas is ripping on supply concerns, creating a messy cross-asset picture. The currency market is equally telling: the dollar strength alongside weakness in commodities and risk assets points to capital flowing into cash and short-duration fixed income rather than into safe-haven currencies. Treasury futures losses are oddly muted given the yield spike, which means the selling pressure is coming from equity allocators rebalancing out of stocks to lock in rates before yields rise further. Positioning looks crowded on the long side and vulnerable to additional unwinds.
🚀 Notable Movers
- LLY climbed on optimism around new Medicare reimbursement rules and analyst price target upgrades to $2,000, offsetting a Supreme Court rejection in a Medicaid fraud appeal.
- ARM rose as chip designers benefited from robust AI infrastructure demand, with the Cerebras Systems IPO surge demonstrating investor hunger for AI semiconductor alternatives to Nvidia.
- SNDK, MRVL, and CIEN all gained as billionaire Stanley Druckenmiller's latest 13F filing revealed major purchases of memory, storage, and optical interconnect stocks tied to the AI data center build-out.
- SNOW and DDOG each jumped over 3% after beating earnings expectations, with both companies demonstrating they can strengthen competitive moats rather than fade amid AI disruption fears.
- MFG eked out modest gains as a flight-to-quality trade in financials offset broader sector weakness, with Japanese bank valuations looking cheap relative to earnings.
- EQNR and AMT both posted small gains as energy and infrastructure plays found safe harbor; BW Offshore's robust Q1 results and Equinor's dividend signals supported the energy trade.
- VRT dropped 5% as investors rotated out of peak-valuation AI infrastructure plays on concerns that execution risk and margin compression outweigh the massive backlog.
- DASH fell 4.8% as consumers facing $4.56 national average gas prices and up to $6.11 in California cut discretionary spending, with Amazon's aggressive 30-minute delivery expansion threatening market share.
- AU, PKX, and FSLR each declined 5% or more as rising Treasury yields and rate hike expectations hammered commodity and renewable energy stocks despite solid long-term demand fundamentals.
- RBLX, STRL, NXT, and FUTU all sold off over 5% on a combination of securities litigation investigations, profit-taking ahead of earnings cycles, and macro uncertainty around Fed policy tightening that crimps growth valuations.
- AKAM cratered 6.3% as inflation fears gripped markets with the Fed now perceived as behind the curve, pressuring high-multiple tech infrastructure plays on prospects for imminent rate hikes rather than cuts.
⚠️ Risks & Opportunities
• The 10Y yield spike to 19-year highs with TNX up 110bps is killing multiple expansion in tech; the 60bps move in the long end (ZB, UB) combined with Russell 2000 underperformance versus large caps signals rotation risk, not capitulation, meaning further yield moves could break equity support levels badly.
• Energy is the only sector with conviction today (up 1.2% despite crude flat to slightly up) because natural gas futures jumped 3.17% on supply concerns, creating a genuine hedge trade versus duration risk that actually works; oil's inability to rally on Iran news is a yellow flag for demand destruction if rates stay sticky.
• FOMC minutes on May 20 and the Friday PMI/sentiment cascade are your real catalysts; if those minutes show hawkish hold language, the 10Y will punch through 4.5% and small caps will break lower (Russell down 1% already), forcing a re-test of 7,300 on the S&P.
• Copper down 1.9%, silver crushed down 4.15%, gold off 1.57%, but rates bonds are getting shellacked harder (ZB -51bps): this is not a real assets inflation trade, it's pure real yield repricing upward, which kills the bull case for both equities and commodities simultaneously.
• Breadth is deteriorating quietly; financials and industrials both down 1.2% while energy alone props up the tape, and technology selling on 1.34x volume suggests institutional repositioning, not panic, meaning the real capitulation hasn't started yet.
• Dollar strength (DXY +0.4%) with commodity weakness and equity futures rolling over is a classic risk-off setup; long the long bond, short the Nasdaq, short copper, and watch for the VIX to break through 20 on Thursday or Friday when reality hits the street.
📰 Referenced News Articles
S&P 500:
- Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures slide as rising yields keep up pressure - Yahoo Finance Singapore - Yahoo Finance Singapore
- S&P 500 Energy Stocks Are Up 33% This Year — Analysts Think 5 Will Jump - Investor's Business Daily - Investor's Business Daily
- Dow Jones, Nasdaq And S&P 500 Intraday Levels - Is The Stock Markets Rally Over? - Seeking Alpha - Seeking Alpha
- US stock market crashes today: Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq fall hard as bond yields hit 19-year high - - The Economic Times - The Economic Times
- 1 S&P 500 Stock on Our Buy List and 2 Facing Headwinds - StockStory - StockStory
Dow Jones:
- Stocks Waver As Oil Falls On Iran News - Investor's Business Daily - Investor's Business Daily
- U.S. stocks slide under pressure from higher rates: Live updates - CNBC - CNBC
- Dow Jones Hits 50,000: What History Says About Stocks Before the Midterm Elections - Disruption Banking - Disruption Banking
- Cboe Begins Offering Daily Expirations for DJIA Index Options - Traders Magazine - Traders Magazine
- US stocks fall further from their records after bond markets crank up the pressure - WRAL - WRAL
NASDAQ-100:
- Nasdaq Composite Has a Rough Morning; Dow Holds Up Better (Barely) - The Motley Fool - The Motley Fool
- Nasdaq Composite Has a Rough Morning; Dow Holds Up Better (Barely) - The Globe and Mail - The Globe and Mail
- US stocks fall further from their records - Journal-News.com - Journal-News.com
- Greek stocks vs. Nasdaq 100: Which market won in the last 5 years? - Euronews.com - Euronews.com
- U.S. Stocks Turn Lower; Nasdaq Falls 0.42% - bloomingbit - bloomingbit
Russell 2000:
- Investor Angst Emerges in Riskiest Stocks Even as AI Trade Flies - Bloomberg.com - Bloomberg.com
- The Russell 2000 Is Up 31% and These 2 Small Cap Stocks Under $30 Have the Fundamentals to Keep Running - Yahoo Finance - Yahoo Finance
- Russell 2000 Index Price - US Small Cap 2000 - FOREX.com - FOREX.com
- Three Russell 2000 Stocks to Watch: Wabash, Ducommun, Ziff Davis Face Weak Fundamentals - News and Statistics - IndexBox - IndexBox
- More key facts ahead of the 2026 Russell US Indexes reconstitution - LSEG - LSEG
📰 Movers News
Gainers:
- LLY: Trump's Stock Picks Perfectly Timed With New Medicare Rules: Report - Benzinga
- ARM: Is It Too Late to Buy Cerebras Systems After the Stock Soared Following Its IPO? - The Motley Fool
- SNDK: Nasdaq 100 Falls 1% As 30-Year Yields Spike To 19-Year Highs: Stock Market Today - Benzinga
- MRVL: Nasdaq 100 Falls 1% As 30-Year Yields Spike To 19-Year Highs: Stock Market Today - Benzinga
- MFG: Qualcomm Gets Crushed: $150 Is the Level to Watch Going Forward - Investing.com
- EQNR: BW Offshore: First quarter results 2026 - GlobeNewswire Inc.
- AMT: REET vs. GQRE: Which Global Real Estate ETF Is the Better Buy? - The Motley Fool
- DDOG: Datadog Soars, Dynatrace Slumps: Gap Widens in AI Agent Stocks - Investing.com
- CIEN: Cramer Names 'The Stocks That Got Away' — SanDisk Is Number 1 - Benzinga
- SNOW: 3 Resilient Software Stocks Built to Thrive Amid AI Disruption - Investing.com
Losers:
- VRT: As AI Infrastructure Stocks Draw Institutional Attention, MoneyFlare Launches AI Trading Bot for Crypto and Stock Market Automation - GlobeNewswire Inc.
- DASH: Americans Are Driving Less and Carpooling More as Gas Hits $4.56. Here's 1 Stock Built for This Moment. - The Motley Fool
- AU: Oklo, Rocket Companies, And Carvana Are Among Top 10 Large-Cap Losers Last Week (May 11-May 15): Are The Others In Your Portfolio? - Benzinga
- RBLX: Why Is Roblox Stock Crashing, and is it a Buying Opportunity? - The Motley Fool
- FSLR: How Chinese Solar Makers And IPO Hopefuls Are Surviving The Turbulent US market - Benzinga
- PKX: Oklo, Rocket Companies, And Carvana Are Among Top 10 Large-Cap Losers Last Week (May 11-May 15): Are The Others In Your Portfolio? - Benzinga
- STRL: 3 Infrastructure Stocks Fueling the Data Center Building Boom - Investing.com
- AKAM: Stock Market Today: Dow Jones, S&P 500 Futures Decline As Inflation Fears Grip Wall Street— XP, Atmos Energy, GE Aerospace In Focus (UPDATED) - Benzinga
- NXT: 2 Top Energy Growth Stocks to Buy Before It's Too Late - The Motley Fool
- FUTU: Futu to Report First Quarter 2026 Financial Results on May 28, 2026 - GlobeNewswire Inc.
Sector Performance
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Options Flow Sentiment
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Movers — May 19, 2026
Top Gainers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Rel Volume | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHOE | 15.79 | +3.29 | +26.32% | 0.27 | |
| MOVE | 22.18 | +3.74 | +20.28% | 1.23 | |
| VACH | 11.57 | +2.04 | +21.46% | 0.30 | |
| FBYD | 13.34 | +2.19 | +19.64% | 0.55 | |
| STEX | 1.20 | +0.21 | +21.18% | 0.10 | |
| EGG | 9.26 | +1.45 | +18.57% | 0.22 | |
| ALAB | 244.54 | +28.96 | +13.43% | 36.95 | |
| SKLZ | 7.76 | +1.16 | +17.58% | 0.10 | |
| BDTX | 3.02 | +0.44 | +16.86% | 0.15 | |
| OPTX | 7.59 | +1.04 | +15.88% | 0.26 | |
| PURR | 7.92 | +1.00 | +14.36% | 0.86 | |
| NNNN | 32.00 | +3.85 | +13.68% | 1.24 | |
| MLP | 17.14 | +2.17 | +14.53% | 0.30 | |
| AGYS | 78.83 | +8.63 | +12.30% | 1.97 | |
| VUZI | 4.11 | +0.46 | +12.47% | 0.30 | |
| BKKT | 9.78 | +1.06 | +12.16% | 0.39 | |
| LPTH | 13.89 | +1.46 | +11.70% | 0.78 | |
| RERE | 5.01 | +0.51 | +11.33% | 1.00 | |
| RXO | 21.14 | +2.04 | +10.68% | 3.15 | |
| CERS | 2.69 | +0.26 | +10.91% | 0.49 | |
| RLMD | 7.00 | +0.66 | +10.41% | 0.67 | |
| VATE | 12.11 | +1.22 | +11.20% | 0.15 | |
| VITL | 9.16 | +0.88 | +10.63% | 0.35 | |
| CMBT | 16.47 | +1.41 | +9.36% | 4.37 | |
| TENB | 25.27 | +2.15 | +9.30% | 2.55 | |
| CLSK | 14.66 | +1.22 | +9.11% | 3.45 | |
| KELYB | 17.46 | +1.57 | +9.88% | 0.55 | |
| GCTS | 2.85 | +0.27 | +10.27% | 0.21 | |
| PLYX | 3.05 | +0.29 | +10.51% | 0.13 | |
| CRDO | 168.82 | +12.55 | +8.03% | 28.82 | |
| MAAS | 10.35 | +0.83 | +8.72% | 3.38 | |
| INFU | 9.78 | +0.88 | +9.89% | 0.18 | |
| RDIB | 10.20 | +0.90 | +9.68% | 0.21 | |
| REPX | 41.10 | +3.39 | +8.99% | 0.82 | |
| MINE | 3.04 | +0.27 | +9.53% | 0.19 | |
| ARMP | 8.29 | +0.69 | +9.08% | 0.28 | |
| MXL | 94.16 | +6.70 | +7.66% | 7.83 | |
| HPK | 8.15 | +0.61 | +8.16% | 0.95 | |
| JLHL | 24.90 | +1.90 | +8.26% | 0.49 | |
| AZTA | 17.53 | +1.29 | +7.94% | 0.75 | |
| SHAK | 64.08 | +4.39 | +7.35% | 2.41 | |
| SMWB | 3.69 | +0.27 | +8.04% | 0.30 | |
| UP | 6.09 | +0.46 | +8.17% | 0.20 | |
| TEAD | 1.16 | +0.09 | +8.41% | 0.10 | |
| GO | 8.16 | +0.57 | +7.58% | 0.75 | |
| FATE | 1.87 | +0.14 | +8.09% | 0.20 | |
| MENS | 2.11 | +0.16 | +8.21% | 0.14 | |
| WTF | 3.48 | +0.26 | +8.08% | 0.16 | |
| CURR | 2.90 | +0.21 | +7.81% | 0.30 | |
| WYFI | 25.52 | +1.75 | +7.38% | 0.92 | |
| IPGP | 113.46 | +7.11 | +6.69% | 4.51 | |
| LANV | 1.80 | +0.13 | +7.78% | 0.20 | |
| TTGT | 4.97 | +0.35 | +7.57% | 0.33 | |
| BFLY | 4.12 | +0.28 | +7.16% | 1.00 | |
| ATEX | 58.91 | +3.93 | +7.15% | 1.03 | |
| BBW | 37.48 | +2.59 | +7.44% | 0.44 | |
| TCI | 37.29 | +2.59 | +7.46% | 0.30 | |
| HIMX | 19.30 | +1.20 | +6.63% | 3.16 | |
| AXTI | 112.64 | +6.76 | +6.38% | 6.93 | |
| BIOA | 16.41 | +1.07 | +6.98% | 0.68 | |
| CENX | 58.40 | +3.48 | +6.33% | 5.44 | |
| ZBIO | 18.05 | +1.14 | +6.71% | 1.07 | |
| MTC | 5.63 | +0.37 | +6.93% | 0.52 | |
| FIVN | 22.51 | +1.38 | +6.53% | 1.62 | |
| DGXX | 7.74 | +0.50 | +6.84% | 0.53 | |
| DRTS | 10.68 | +0.65 | +6.48% | 0.88 | |
| OKUR | 3.30 | +0.22 | +7.14% | 0.12 | |
| ROMA | 8.21 | +0.50 | +6.56% | 0.46 | |
| CEPT | 12.70 | +0.79 | +6.63% | 0.36 | |
| ALMU | 22.12 | +1.36 | +6.55% | 0.38 | |
| LQDA | 60.20 | +3.23 | +5.68% | 5.07 | |
| OPCH | 20.82 | +1.13 | +5.74% | 3.09 | |
| WAY | 19.60 | +1.05 | +5.66% | 3.56 | |
| WEAV | 5.78 | +0.34 | +6.25% | 0.43 | |
| NN | 22.82 | +1.23 | +5.70% | 2.95 | |
| AMBR | 1.89 | +0.11 | +6.50% | 0.17 | |
| CORT | 58.12 | +3.00 | +5.44% | 5.92 | |
| EGAN | 7.03 | +0.43 | +6.44% | 0.18 | |
| PAMT | 10.89 | +0.64 | +6.24% | 0.21 | |
| NYAX | 67.31 | +3.53 | +5.53% | 2.38 | |
| HOVR | 2.34 | +0.14 | +6.36% | 0.12 | |
| LWAY | 25.23 | +1.43 | +5.99% | 0.36 | |
| HUHU | 11.50 | +0.65 | +6.04% | 0.28 | |
| BEKE | 18.68 | +0.88 | +4.92% | 19.06 | |
| SIMO | 251.95 | +12.19 | +5.08% | 8.13 | |
| MX | 4.32 | +0.25 | +6.14% | 0.15 | |
| CRTO | 17.10 | +0.89 | +5.49% | 0.81 | |
| HMH | 22.98 | +1.18 | +5.39% | 0.97 | |
| XPOF | 4.83 | +0.26 | +5.80% | 0.19 | |
| BKSY | 45.23 | +2.23 | +5.20% | 1.60 | |
| VG | 14.81 | +0.64 | +4.52% | 35.20 | |
| MDLN | 37.65 | +1.62 | +4.51% | 30.46 | |
| ACMR | 66.31 | +3.06 | +4.84% | 4.37 | |
| QDEL | 11.41 | +0.57 | +5.26% | 0.74 | |
| ARM | 223.93 | +8.81 | +4.10% | 228.89 | |
| AVLN | 27.98 | +1.36 | +5.09% | 1.18 | |
| GRNT | 5.76 | +0.28 | +5.20% | 0.72 | |
| ALIT | 0.84 | +0.04 | +5.27% | 0.42 | |
| RNG | 42.61 | +1.93 | +4.74% | 3.41 | |
| SMTI | 23.08 | +1.19 | +5.44% | 0.20 | |
| PSNL | 7.06 | +0.34 | +5.06% | 0.70 | |
| RGEN | 108.94 | +4.73 | +4.54% | 5.88 | |
| CMRC | 2.90 | +0.15 | +5.25% | 0.23 | |
| XE | 26.74 | +1.14 | +4.45% | 7.00 | |
| IRWD | 3.67 | +0.17 | +5.00% | 0.58 | |
| TEM | 45.54 | +1.92 | +4.40% | 7.83 | |
| PARR | 61.45 | +2.66 | +4.53% | 2.95 | |
| MFG | 8.71 | +0.32 | +3.87% | 102.30 | |
| SNDK | 1382.56 | +49.55 | +3.72% | 197.41 | |
| MRVL | 175.24 | +6.31 | +3.74% | 147.91 | |
| JACK | 11.32 | +0.54 | +5.01% | 0.21 | |
| KRUS | 53.48 | +2.41 | +4.72% | 0.62 | |
| KPTI | 7.50 | +0.36 | +5.04% | 0.16 | |
| SEZL | 106.83 | +4.39 | +4.29% | 3.44 | |
| EQT | 59.66 | +2.21 | +3.86% | 35.93 | |
| PAR | 14.65 | +0.65 | +4.64% | 0.58 | |
| TDOC | 6.62 | +0.28 | +4.33% | 1.15 | |
| LB | 75.34 | +3.04 | +4.20% | 2.01 | |
| OABI | 2.40 | +0.10 | +4.59% | 0.33 | |
| FROG | 70.58 | +2.67 | +3.93% | 8.23 | |
| THRY | 3.58 | +0.16 | +4.68% | 0.15 | |
| HAS | 97.25 | +3.53 | +3.77% | 13.26 | |
| SAFX | 0.41 | +0.02 | +4.65% | 0.13 | |
| MRVI | 4.25 | +0.17 | +4.29% | 0.60 | |
| BAP | 314.83 | +10.97 | +3.61% | 24.12 | |
| ARX | 16.54 | +0.62 | +3.93% | 3.47 | |
| SEB | 4832.83 | +179.80 | +3.86% | 4.46 | |
| LODE | 3.94 | +0.17 | +4.38% | 0.29 | |
| KR | 70.67 | +2.35 | +3.43% | 42.12 | |
| NEXN | 8.34 | +0.34 | +4.19% | 0.45 | |
| CHT | 45.02 | +1.49 | +3.43% | 33.77 | |
| SND | 5.05 | +0.21 | +4.34% | 0.21 | |
| LLY | 1017.78 | +29.69 | +3.00% | 881.12 | |
| AEO | 15.43 | +0.57 | +3.80% | 2.49 | |
| SM | 34.37 | +1.20 | +3.60% | 7.95 | |
| CTMX | 3.64 | +0.14 | +4.00% | 0.76 | |
| BXDC | 22.27 | +0.82 | +3.82% | 1.88 | |
| DDOG | 215.60 | +6.78 | +3.25% | 74.33 | |
| ENLT | 85.47 | +2.89 | +3.51% | 11.51 | |
| TXG | 22.25 | +0.80 | +3.73% | 2.72 | |
| CIEN | 541.38 | +16.86 | +3.21% | 74.17 | |
| PCG | 16.38 | +0.53 | +3.31% | 34.91 | |
| NMM | 74.52 | +2.69 | +3.74% | 2.05 | |
| BDX | 147.03 | +4.69 | +3.29% | 39.22 | |
| SYNA | 123.45 | +4.30 | +3.60% | 4.60 | |
| NUCL | 10.73 | +0.42 | +4.07% | 0.30 | |
| ALLT | 7.47 | +0.29 | +4.04% | 0.35 | |
| TTEC | 2.46 | +0.10 | +4.24% | 0.11 | |
| PBT | 30.80 | +1.11 | +3.74% | 1.38 | |
| INBX | 109.72 | +3.92 | +3.71% | 1.55 | |
| WEN | 8.13 | +0.29 | +3.70% | 1.49 | |
| JAZZ | 237.21 | +7.66 | +3.34% | 14.40 | |
| HTLD | 13.95 | +0.51 | +3.76% | 1.04 | |
| SNOW | 169.40 | +5.16 | +3.14% | 56.78 | |
| CDZI | 4.34 | +0.17 | +3.95% | 0.35 | |
| CRDF | 1.76 | +0.07 | +4.14% | 0.12 | |
| YELP | 22.59 | +0.80 | +3.65% | 1.20 | |
| MGNX | 4.52 | +0.17 | +3.91% | 0.28 | |
| COOK | 51.43 | +2.00 | +4.05% | 0.14 | |
| EIX | 70.60 | +2.16 | +3.16% | 26.34 | |
| QNC | 2.77 | +0.10 | +3.75% | 0.58 | |
| HTFL | 26.55 | +0.90 | +3.51% | 2.21 | |
| TLSI | 3.15 | +0.12 | +3.96% | 0.19 | |
| CAR | 151.16 | +4.88 | +3.34% | 5.17 | |
| TAC | 12.88 | +0.42 | +3.37% | 3.71 | |
| HKD | 1.68 | +0.06 | +3.70% | 0.51 | |
| CARL | 11.35 | +0.42 | +3.80% | 0.30 | |
| PLBL | 6.88 | +0.23 | +3.41% | 2.44 | |
| AMPH | 17.82 | +0.62 | +3.60% | 0.76 | |
| YOOV | 0.81 | +0.03 | +3.87% | 0.18 | |
| IFS | 46.42 | +1.47 | +3.27% | 4.99 | |
| BGSI | 104.70 | +3.36 | +3.32% | 2.82 | |
| PVLA | 108.62 | +3.57 | +3.40% | 1.51 | |
| SD | 15.84 | +0.54 | +3.56% | 0.56 | |
| CYPH | 1.08 | +0.04 | +3.85% | 0.11 | |
| CRK | 15.14 | +0.47 | +3.20% | 4.31 | |
| AMT | 182.28 | +5.00 | +2.82% | 82.59 | |
| IBTA | 33.11 | +1.11 | +3.47% | 0.74 | |
| LILAK | 7.76 | +0.25 | +3.33% | 1.51 | |
| ALNY | 294.48 | +8.21 | +2.87% | 38.22 | |
| SOHU | 14.16 | +0.48 | +3.55% | 0.36 | |
| WHR | 40.74 | +1.27 | +3.22% | 2.56 | |
| MBLY | 9.62 | +0.29 | +3.05% | 7.87 | |
| EQNR | 40.74 | +1.09 | +2.74% | 98.83 | |
| SLS | 7.53 | +0.24 | +3.29% | 1.36 | |
| PDS | 100.20 | +3.20 | +3.30% | 1.26 | |
| LMRI | 7.00 | +0.23 | +3.40% | 0.65 | |
| XPEL | 43.23 | +1.38 | +3.30% | 1.15 | |
| DOYU | 4.84 | +0.17 | +3.64% | 0.14 | |
| VRNS | 29.68 | +0.89 | +3.11% | 3.30 | |
| RPD | 6.96 | +0.23 | +3.42% | 0.45 | |
| LILA | 7.62 | +0.24 | +3.18% | 1.49 | |
| BAH | 77.10 | +2.19 | +2.92% | 9.03 | |
| DGICB | 19.13 | +0.61 | +3.29% | 0.69 | |
| DXCM | 66.91 | +1.82 | +2.80% | 25.12 | |
| M | 19.07 | +0.55 | +3.00% | 4.88 | |
| SPT | 6.74 | +0.22 | +3.38% | 0.39 | |
| ICFI | 66.59 | +2.06 | +3.19% | 1.17 | |
| AAPG | 19.14 | +0.58 | +3.13% | 1.73 | |
| RBC | 566.64 | +15.52 | +2.82% | 17.43 |
Biggest Losers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Rel Volume | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIIO | 4.25 | -1.35 | -24.20% | 0.11 | |
| GLOO | 5.00 | -1.11 | -18.17% | 0.49 | |
| GTN.A | 8.84 | -1.69 | -16.05% | 1.08 | |
| WALD | 1.31 | -0.25 | -16.03% | 0.20 | |
| MWC | 5.38 | -0.97 | -15.28% | 0.37 | |
| TGEN | 5.35 | -1.00 | -15.75% | 0.19 | |
| LUD | 4.95 | -0.93 | -15.82% | 0.13 | |
| BOT | 24.22 | -4.14 | -14.60% | 0.57 | |
| ALPS | 0.72 | -0.13 | -15.30% | 0.14 | |
| ALTG | 5.55 | -0.94 | -14.48% | 0.21 | |
| OXSQ | 1.31 | -0.22 | -14.38% | 0.14 | |
| CAN | 0.42 | -0.07 | -13.60% | 0.36 | |
| ZEPP | 9.16 | -1.51 | -14.15% | 0.16 | |
| WRBY | 25.38 | -3.27 | -11.43% | 3.52 | |
| LUXE | 6.85 | -0.94 | -12.07% | 1.07 | |
| KOPN | 4.35 | -0.59 | -11.98% | 0.90 | |
| BLBD | 64.47 | -8.27 | -11.38% | 2.30 | |
| AYA | 16.46 | -2.04 | -11.03% | 2.65 | |
| FRMI | 5.86 | -0.69 | -10.61% | 4.18 | |
| BXC | 46.70 | -6.05 | -11.47% | 0.41 | |
| AKBA | 0.89 | -0.12 | -11.64% | 0.27 | |
| RNAC | 6.08 | -0.80 | -11.68% | 0.20 | |
| CHWY | 19.56 | -2.07 | -9.57% | 9.01 | |
| UEC | 11.92 | -1.28 | -9.68% | 6.47 | |
| TRNS | 69.65 | -8.06 | -10.37% | 0.73 | |
| IMDX | 5.65 | -0.70 | -11.02% | 0.21 | |
| TRT | 13.66 | -1.66 | -10.84% | 0.15 | |
| DCH | 5.62 | -0.58 | -9.44% | 1.47 | |
| HSAI | 20.02 | -1.99 | -9.02% | 3.46 | |
| AUTL | 1.62 | -0.18 | -9.72% | 0.48 | |
| SHAZ | 52.12 | -5.38 | -9.36% | 0.93 | |
| GMRS | 12.11 | -1.26 | -9.42% | 0.72 | |
| DVLT | 0.45 | -0.05 | -9.64% | 0.43 | |
| EIKN | 10.66 | -1.09 | -9.28% | 0.64 | |
| IHRT | 4.71 | -0.47 | -9.17% | 0.78 | |
| VTIX | 3.40 | -0.38 | -10.05% | 0.12 | |
| BALY | 10.71 | -1.09 | -9.24% | 0.58 | |
| FLNC | 17.86 | -1.68 | -8.57% | 2.60 | |
| USGO | 10.93 | -1.19 | -9.82% | 0.16 | |
| AEBI | 11.32 | -1.11 | -8.93% | 0.96 | |
| VELO | 16.93 | -1.70 | -9.15% | 0.56 | |
| IPHA | 2.04 | -0.21 | -9.34% | 0.21 | |
| RMIX | 16.23 | -1.51 | -8.51% | 1.29 | |
| DXYZ | 48.56 | -4.44 | -8.38% | 1.60 | |
| ULCC | 4.24 | -0.39 | -8.53% | 1.06 | |
| CDLR | 26.25 | -2.29 | -8.02% | 2.75 | |
| CSIQ | 15.79 | -1.39 | -8.12% | 1.17 | |
| ASPI | 4.83 | -0.44 | -8.34% | 0.66 | |
| CD | 9.62 | -0.87 | -8.25% | 0.83 | |
| LIFE | 19.05 | -1.67 | -8.06% | 1.31 | |
| ATLN | 1.30 | -0.13 | -9.09% | 0.11 | |
| ROOT | 53.64 | -4.68 | -8.02% | 0.92 | |
| CSAN | 3.27 | -0.26 | -7.51% | 3.48 | |
| SLGL | 62.50 | -5.85 | -8.56% | 0.22 | |
| HERE | 2.51 | -0.24 | -8.73% | 0.15 | |
| UTI | 36.08 | -2.98 | -7.63% | 2.15 | |
| AVEX | 26.36 | -2.22 | -7.77% | 1.45 | |
| GTN | 3.87 | -0.34 | -8.19% | 0.43 | |
| SIDU | 3.58 | -0.33 | -8.31% | 0.32 | |
| NNE | 22.27 | -1.88 | -7.76% | 1.26 | |
| PPTA | 24.67 | -1.97 | -7.39% | 3.33 | |
| POET | 13.14 | -1.07 | -7.53% | 2.17 | |
| CTRN | 37.20 | -3.33 | -8.22% | 0.34 | |
| SUPX | 9.43 | -0.83 | -8.09% | 0.44 | |
| HY | 31.09 | -2.68 | -7.94% | 0.61 | |
| SLNH | 1.79 | -0.16 | -8.21% | 0.31 | |
| ARTV | 8.48 | -0.74 | -8.03% | 0.45 | |
| UAMY | 7.42 | -0.61 | -7.65% | 1.19 | |
| YDES | 4.65 | -0.41 | -8.10% | 0.36 | |
| RARE | 22.41 | -1.78 | -7.36% | 2.38 | |
| MWH | 37.61 | -2.81 | -6.95% | 8.18 | |
| NERV | 4.35 | -0.39 | -8.23% | 0.22 | |
| BORR | 6.12 | -0.49 | -7.34% | 2.04 | |
| GEMI | 4.96 | -0.42 | -7.73% | 0.68 | |
| KRRO | 9.14 | -0.83 | -8.32% | 0.14 | |
| IVVD | 1.04 | -0.09 | -7.96% | 0.33 | |
| FLWS | 3.94 | -0.35 | -8.04% | 0.27 | |
| UUUU | 16.18 | -1.22 | -7.04% | 4.35 | |
| PSIX | 35.98 | -2.95 | -7.58% | 0.90 | |
| COAG | 25.13 | -2.02 | -7.44% | 1.27 | |
| EOSE | 6.89 | -0.54 | -7.20% | 2.52 | |
| STRO | 31.82 | -2.66 | -7.73% | 0.57 | |
| CRBP | 9.14 | -0.81 | -8.14% | 0.18 | |
| HUMA | 0.83 | -0.07 | -8.08% | 0.20 | |
| AUR | 6.93 | -0.49 | -6.54% | 14.55 | |
| NEWP | 4.77 | -0.38 | -7.38% | 0.95 | |
| DRVN | 13.23 | -1.01 | -7.06% | 2.34 | |
| NUAI | 4.00 | -0.33 | -7.61% | 0.44 | |
| INOD | 88.18 | -6.54 | -6.90% | 3.09 | |
| MMYT | 41.88 | -3.05 | -6.78% | 4.26 | |
| AKAM | 141.27 | -9.50 | -6.30% | 21.92 | |
| TTRX | 4.51 | -0.39 | -7.96% | 0.15 | |
| APLD | 36.62 | -2.52 | -6.45% | 11.19 | |
| NIPG | 0.49 | -0.04 | -8.02% | 0.12 | |
| CSHR | 5.16 | -0.40 | -7.28% | 0.73 | |
| NPWR | 1.82 | -0.16 | -7.83% | 0.17 | |
| SSTK | 15.48 | -1.23 | -7.33% | 0.61 | |
| PSFE | 6.92 | -0.56 | -7.49% | 0.38 | |
| BRR | 1.83 | -0.16 | -7.79% | 0.18 | |
| ORLA | 12.13 | -0.87 | -6.65% | 4.50 | |
| PESI | 8.63 | -0.72 | -7.70% | 0.17 | |
| SSP | 3.24 | -0.26 | -7.43% | 0.32 | |
| TOYO | 13.73 | -1.07 | -7.20% | 0.56 | |
| JHX | 18.58 | -1.24 | -6.26% | 11.50 | |
| ABSI | 4.59 | -0.35 | -7.08% | 0.77 | |
| VPG | 98.00 | -7.21 | -6.85% | 1.40 | |
| SLN | 5.77 | -0.46 | -7.38% | 0.29 | |
| CRML | 9.79 | -0.71 | -6.80% | 1.54 | |
| YSWY | 23.51 | -1.77 | -7.00% | 0.79 | |
| FTLF | 9.98 | -0.84 | -7.76% | 0.10 | |
| KULR | 3.62 | -0.29 | -7.53% | 0.18 | |
| ASM | 6.46 | -0.48 | -6.84% | 1.18 | |
| FFAI | 0.32 | -0.03 | -7.72% | 0.11 | |
| LPL | 4.23 | -0.29 | -6.42% | 4.52 | |
| USAR | 19.91 | -1.36 | -6.39% | 4.75 | |
| NEXM | 2.76 | -0.23 | -7.69% | 0.11 | |
| ENVX | 5.53 | -0.40 | -6.75% | 1.29 | |
| AVXL | 2.67 | -0.21 | -7.29% | 0.27 | |
| TRAX | 16.55 | -1.24 | -6.97% | 0.62 | |
| OBE | 12.81 | -0.94 | -6.84% | 0.92 | |
| AMN | 26.91 | -1.95 | -6.76% | 1.12 | |
| ALGT | 69.77 | -4.89 | -6.56% | 2.01 | |
| YSG | 2.29 | -0.18 | -7.29% | 0.23 | |
| TWIN | 15.84 | -1.24 | -7.26% | 0.25 | |
| ARBE | 0.93 | -0.07 | -7.44% | 0.12 | |
| ELA | 23.10 | -1.69 | -6.82% | 0.64 | |
| NBTX | 46.32 | -3.16 | -6.39% | 2.40 | |
| ANRO | 20.33 | -1.47 | -6.74% | 0.77 | |
| JRVR | 4.05 | -0.32 | -7.21% | 0.20 | |
| AMRC | 29.00 | -2.02 | -6.50% | 1.64 | |
| RBLX | 44.31 | -2.67 | -5.68% | 33.64 | |
| NVA | 5.59 | -0.43 | -7.14% | 0.23 | |
| BVC | 9.86 | -0.68 | -6.45% | 1.77 | |
| FOA | 18.21 | -1.42 | -7.23% | 0.17 | |
| AMSC | 46.98 | -3.17 | -6.32% | 2.39 | |
| ELE | 15.85 | -1.11 | -6.54% | 1.09 | |
| INFQ | 10.65 | -0.71 | -6.29% | 2.48 | |
| ARIS | 17.03 | -1.12 | -6.17% | 3.75 | |
| YALA | 6.33 | -0.44 | -6.50% | 1.03 | |
| IDR | 34.23 | -2.45 | -6.67% | 0.58 | |
| PII | 60.08 | -3.90 | -6.10% | 3.64 | |
| ANL | 10.85 | -0.76 | -6.55% | 0.75 | |
| FUTU | 124.25 | -7.45 | -5.66% | 18.46 | |
| CNTB | 2.21 | -0.17 | -7.14% | 0.13 | |
| SVM | 12.36 | -0.80 | -6.12% | 2.91 | |
| ANDG | 35.06 | -2.24 | -6.01% | 4.21 | |
| EQPT | 22.45 | -1.41 | -5.91% | 6.02 | |
| PKX | 74.25 | -4.38 | -5.56% | 23.78 | |
| VWAV | 4.91 | -0.38 | -7.10% | 0.13 | |
| SLDB | 6.08 | -0.42 | -6.53% | 0.64 | |
| NTLA | 11.90 | -0.79 | -6.21% | 1.77 | |
| ONDS | 9.12 | -0.57 | -5.93% | 4.81 | |
| ACHV | 4.46 | -0.31 | -6.60% | 0.49 | |
| HLLY | 2.49 | -0.18 | -6.74% | 0.32 | |
| MAKO | 7.97 | -0.55 | -6.46% | 0.75 | |
| VRT | 322.25 | -17.48 | -5.15% | 130.49 | |
| ERII | 8.46 | -0.60 | -6.57% | 0.47 | |
| CAMP | 4.25 | -0.31 | -6.80% | 0.24 | |
| CNDT | 1.45 | -0.10 | -6.77% | 0.24 | |
| IPSC | 2.13 | -0.15 | -6.58% | 0.41 | |
| ENPH | 46.83 | -2.86 | -5.76% | 6.55 | |
| GGAL | 39.87 | -2.43 | -5.74% | 6.79 | |
| BMA | 68.35 | -4.23 | -5.83% | 4.64 | |
| AREC | 1.94 | -0.14 | -6.73% | 0.22 | |
| RDCM | 14.27 | -1.02 | -6.67% | 0.26 | |
| ECX | 0.96 | -0.07 | -6.52% | 0.39 | |
| MNTK | 1.47 | -0.10 | -6.69% | 0.22 | |
| FIGR | 36.41 | -2.16 | -5.61% | 8.53 | |
| KLC | 3.64 | -0.25 | -6.43% | 0.46 | |
| NXT | 127.23 | -7.24 | -5.39% | 19.97 | |
| COUR | 5.38 | -0.35 | -6.02% | 1.64 | |
| AUGO | 71.36 | -4.28 | -5.66% | 6.34 | |
| STRL | 729.65 | -41.11 | -5.33% | 23.65 | |
| IREN | 47.74 | -2.72 | -5.39% | 18.03 | |
| PINS | 18.84 | -1.09 | -5.49% | 11.16 | |
| JKS | 22.27 | -1.43 | -6.05% | 1.24 | |
| ALSN | 107.77 | -6.29 | -5.51% | 9.46 | |
| SRG | 2.35 | -0.17 | -6.75% | 0.14 | |
| ATOM | 7.49 | -0.52 | -6.43% | 0.31 | |
| RJET | 18.85 | -1.22 | -6.08% | 0.94 | |
| WW | 9.35 | -0.68 | -6.78% | 0.10 | |
| SUPV | 7.36 | -0.48 | -6.12% | 0.69 | |
| BLNK | 0.73 | -0.05 | -6.71% | 0.11 | |
| VSEC | 158.55 | -9.38 | -5.59% | 4.71 | |
| EQX | 12.23 | -0.70 | -5.38% | 10.20 | |
| GETY | 0.90 | -0.06 | -6.25% | 0.40 | |
| HL | 16.34 | -0.92 | -5.33% | 11.58 | |
| FRVO | 36.54 | -2.06 | -5.34% | 10.95 | |
| KE | 23.42 | -1.52 | -6.09% | 0.60 | |
| RUM | 7.07 | -0.43 | -5.80% | 1.62 | |
| BV | 12.03 | -0.75 | -5.87% | 1.19 | |
| COYA | 4.59 | -0.33 | -6.61% | 0.12 | |
| BLDR | 66.40 | -3.78 | -5.39% | 7.55 | |
| ONT | 14.44 | -0.93 | -6.05% | 0.56 | |
| CC | 21.67 | -1.27 | -5.54% | 3.45 | |
| FMC | 12.78 | -0.78 | -5.72% | 1.69 | |
| FSLR | 221.81 | -11.83 | -5.07% | 25.11 | |
| AU | 88.88 | -4.59 | -4.92% | 47.26 | |
| DASH | 154.82 | -7.85 | -4.83% | 70.88 | |
| EXK | 8.96 | -0.53 | -5.53% | 2.81 |
Pre-Market Gainers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|
Pre-Market Losers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|
Upcoming Economic Events
| Date | Impact | Title | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | Low | FOMC Member Waller Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-19 | Low | ADP Weekly Employment Change | 33.0K | |
| 2026-05-19 | Medium | Pending Home Sales m/m | 1.0% | 1.5% |
| 2026-05-19 | Low | API Weekly Statistical Bulletin | ||
| 2026-05-19 | Low | FOMC Member Paulson Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-20 | Low | FOMC Member Barr Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-20 | Low | Crude Oil Inventories | -2.5M | -4.3M |
| 2026-05-20 | High | FOMC Meeting Minutes | ||
| 2026-05-21 | Medium | Philly Fed Manufacturing Index | 17.6 | 26.7 |
| 2026-05-21 | Medium | Unemployment Claims | 210K | 211K |
| 2026-05-21 | Low | Building Permits | 1.38M | 1.37M |
| 2026-05-21 | Low | Housing Starts | 1.42M | 1.50M |
| 2026-05-21 | Medium | Flash Manufacturing PMI | 53.8 | 54.0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Medium | Flash Services PMI | 51.1 | 51.3 |
| 2026-05-21 | Low | Natural Gas Storage | 96B | 85B |
| 2026-05-21 | Low | FOMC Member Barkin Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-22 | Medium | Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment | 48.2 | 48.2 |
| 2026-05-22 | Low | CB Leading Index m/m | -0.1% | -0.6% |
| 2026-05-22 | Low | FOMC Member Waller Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-22 | Low | Revised UoM Inflation Expectations | 4.5% |
Upcoming Earnings
| Date | Time | Symbol | Exp Move % | Exp Move $ | Fiscal Qtr | EPS Forecast | Last Year EPS | # Estimates | Market Cap |
|---|
Rates
| Name | Rate | 1 Day | 14 Day | 30 Day | Last Changed | Last Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Month | 3.6 | -0.01 | 0.01 | -0.02 | 2026-05-13 | 2026-05-15 |
| 4-Week | 3.6 | -0.01 | -0.02 | 2026-05-14 | 2026-05-15 | |
| 1-Year | 3.66 | 0.02 | 0.09 | 0.1 | 2026-05-14 | 2026-05-15 |
| 6-Month | 3.62 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 2026-05-14 | 2026-05-15 | |
| 2-Year | 4.09 | 0.11 | 0.21 | 0.33 | 2026-05-14 | 2026-05-15 |
| 5-Year | 4.26 | 0.14 | 0.24 | 0.39 | 2026-05-14 | 2026-05-15 |
| 10-Year | 4.59 | 0.13 | 0.19 | 0.33 | 2026-05-14 | 2026-05-15 |
| 30-Year | 5.12 | 0.09 | 0.14 | 0.25 | 2026-05-14 | 2026-05-15 |
| 10-Year Minus 2-Year | 0.54 | 0.04 | 0.04 | -0.01 | 2026-05-15 | 2026-05-18 |
| Federal Funds | 3.63 | -0.01 | -0.01 | 2026-05-06 | 2026-05-15 | |
| Federal Funds Target Upper | 3.75 | 2025-12-10 | 2026-05-19 | |||
| 30Y Jumbo Fixed Mortgage | 6.598 | -0.06 | 0.11 | 0.17 | 2026-05-15 | 2026-05-18 |
| 15Y Fixed Mortgage | 5.71 | -0.01 | 0.07 | -0.03 | 2026-05-07 | 2026-05-14 |
| 30Y Fixed Mortgage | 6.36 | -0.01 | 0.06 | -0.01 | 2026-05-07 | 2026-05-14 |
| Credit Card Interest | 21.0 | 0.03 | 0.03 | -0.39 | 2025-11-01 | 2026-02-01 |
Fed Watch (/ZQ Fed Funds futures)
Full curve →
Market-implied probabilities from /ZQ futures. Current EFFR estimate: 3.67%.
Jun 17, 2026
/ZQM26 · implied 3.54%
-13 bp
25bp cut
51%
Hold
49%
Jul 29, 2026
/ZQN26 · implied 3.65%
+11 bp
Hold
55%
25bp hike
45%
Sep 16, 2026
/ZQU26 · implied 3.70%
+4 bp
Hold
83%
25bp hike
17%
Kalshi vs /ZQ Divergences (top mispricings)
All divergences →
Scanning Fed decision markets for mispricings...
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Ten Empirically-Grounded Prediction Market Trading Strategies
2026-04-14
A technical survey of ten research-backed strategies for trading prediction markets, spanning favourite-longshot bias, cross-platform arbitrage, LP underwriting, combinatorial arbitrage, and dynamic hedging.
prediction-marketstrading-strategiespolymarketkalshiarbitragehedgingmarket-microstructure