Frenzy Capital — Live Market Snapshot & Analysis
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🌅 Pre-Market Overview
The overnight script reads like a geopolitical relief rally with legs. Iran peace hopes have crushed crude below $93, and that tailwind is carrying equities higher despite what looks like a deliberately cautious cash open. Tech earnings beat expectations, the Nikkei jumped hard on weaker yen dynamics, and small caps are finally getting their moment. The energy collapse is real risk-off for the sector but genuinely pro-growth for everything else; cheaper oil unlocks margin expansion across industrials and discretionary. Equity index futures are barely moving, which tells you the street is waiting for the cash bell to confirm that yesterday's record closes weren't a sucker's rally. This is risk-on architecture, just executing in low volume before the real money shows up.
Where it gets interesting is the cross-asset divorce. Bonds are rallying hard (long end up 20+ basis points equivalent), gold and silver are surging, and the dollar is rolling over against commodity currencies. That's not the typical playbook when equities are supposed to be on a tear. You've got classic stagflation hedges catching a bid while stocks grind higher, which suggests the room is hedging tail risk or rotating out of growth into safety even as they chase yesterday's winners. Crypto is down, which is its own warning sign about conviction. The spread between the Nasdaq stalling and the Midcap leading smells like profit-taking at the margin; the market is too polite with small caps getting the brass ring to believe this is synchronized upside. Watch how tech behaves at the open. If the Nasdaq can't hold yesterday's spike, those bond buyers were seeing something.
⚠️ Risks & Opportunities
• Equity futures are basically flat despite yesterday's record closes; the real action is in commodities and rates, where oil is down 2.3% (Iran peace narrative holding), long bonds up 22bps, and silver up 4.4%, signaling a genuine rotation out of growth and into real assets rather than pure risk-on momentum.
• Russell 2000 and Nasdaq futures are both underwater this morning while midcaps lead (up 0.19%), which means the AI/mega-cap trade that drove yesterday's rally is losing steam and breadth is already cracking; expect sharp volatility at the open if tech doesn't hold 28700.
• Gold and precious metals rallying hard (gold +91bps, platinum +172bps) while equities tread water is the clearest risk-off signal; this is not a "risk-on" setup disguised as geopolitical relief, it's a hedging move ahead of tomorrow's employment data tsunami (jobless claims today, then non-farm payrolls, wage growth, and unemployment tomorrow).
• Long-end rates moving higher (30Y bond +22bps) while short rates are pinned near 3.6% tells you the market is pricing in either a dovish Fed pivot or a growth scare; combined with energy weakness and dollar stability, the setup screams "economic data matters more than Iran headlines" as of right now.
• Crude down 2.3% is real, not noise, and it's already baked into overnight futures; watch whether the cash open re-rates this lower or if algos rip it back up; if oil stays under 93, cyclicals and small caps stay under pressure all day.
• Russell weakness into the open is your biggest tactical tell; if RTY doesn't bounce on the cash open, the rotation story breaks and you're looking at a rotation into defensives, not breadth improvement, which means sell any tech strength into the first 30 minutes.
📰 Referenced News Articles
S&P 500:
- Stock market today: Nasdaq, S&P 500, Dow climb on rising hopes for Iran peace, upbeat tech earnings - Yahoo Finance - Yahoo Finance
- ‘The S&P 500 seems to be doing particularly well’: I’m 66. Is this a good time to invest $100,000 in the stock market? - MarketWatch - MarketWatch
- Emerging market stocks are outperforming the S&P 500. How to play the rally. - MSN - MSN
- Goldman Sachs has blunt message for stock market investors - thestreet.com - thestreet.com
- Project Freedom Or Not, The S&P 500 Is Pricing Earnings, Not Panic (SP500) - Seeking Alpha - Seeking Alpha
Dow Jones:
- S&P 500 futures edge higher after index posts another record; traders eye developments in Iran: Live updates - CNBC - CNBC
- Dow exits correction as S&P 500, Nasdaq and Russell 2000 ring up fresh record closes - MarketWatch - MarketWatch
- Stock Market Today: S&P 500 and Nasdaq consolidate at record highs, Dow just shy of fresh peak as oil prices pull back on hopes of end to Iran war; earnings optimism buoys sentiment. - MarketWatch - MarketWatch
- Stock market today: Dow jumps 600 points, S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit records as AI trade fuels rally - Yahoo Finance - Yahoo Finance
- Stock Market News, May 6, 2026: AI Rally Propels Nasdaq to Another Record High - WSJ - WSJ
NASDAQ-100:
- Stock market today: Nasdaq, S&P 500, Dow gain on rising hopes for Iran peace, upbeat tech earnings - Yahoo Finance - Yahoo Finance
- Stock Market Today: S&P 500, Nasdaq and Russell 2000 score record closes; Dow exits correction on hopes the Iran war is nearing an end; U.S. oil falls below $100 a barrel - MarketWatch - MarketWatch
- Stock Market Today, May 5: Stocks Rebound as U.S.-Iran Truce Holds - The Motley Fool - The Motley Fool
- U.S. Stock Market Movements | Nasdaq Continues to Reach New Historical Highs; Leading Technology Stocks Generally Rise; NVIDIA (NVDA.US) Surges Over 4% - Moomoo - Moomoo
- NASDAQ index traded to a new session high. S&P and Dow now up over 1% - investingLive - investingLive
Russell 2000:
- The 2026 Russell Reconstitution: Twice the Friction, Twice the Need for Futures - CME Group - CME Group
- Your Complete Guide to the Russell 2000 Stock Market Index - The Motley Fool - The Motley Fool
- Russell 2000 Hits Record as Small Caps Lead Rotation - EBC Financial Group - EBC Financial Group
- Stock Market Indexes Nasdaq, S&P 500, Russell 2000 Hit Highs; Some Stocks Get Whacked After Doing This - Investor's Business Daily - Investor's Business Daily
- Buying record highs looks riskier in the Nasdaq and Russell 2000 than in the broader market: Chart of the Day - Yahoo Finance - Yahoo Finance
Click any bar to view constituents of that sector ETF.
Loading sector performance...
Most Bullish
Most Bearish
Top Gainers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Rel Volume | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVC | 7.70 | +3.72 | +93.47% | 0.35 | |
| OSS | 15.27 | +5.50 | +56.29% | 0.24 | |
| FLEX | 134.53 | +38.08 | +39.48% | 33.77 | |
| BLMN | 8.17 | +2.41 | +41.84% | 0.48 | |
| HUT | 108.65 | +28.14 | +34.95% | 8.79 | |
| AVTX | 21.93 | +5.67 | +34.90% | 0.31 | |
| COMP | 9.22 | +1.96 | +27.07% | 5.27 | |
| NNE | 29.04 | +6.27 | +27.54% | 1.21 | |
| SMCI | 34.62 | +6.79 | +24.40% | 16.77 | |
| VECO | 61.98 | +12.44 | +25.11% | 3.08 | |
| BXC | 58.76 | +12.57 | +27.21% | 0.38 | |
| IFRX | 2.52 | +0.55 | +27.66% | 0.15 | |
| VCYT | 40.88 | +7.91 | +23.99% | 2.67 | |
| MNKD | 3.58 | +0.72 | +25.17% | 0.87 | |
| DVA | 192.22 | +35.18 | +22.40% | 10.16 | |
| PYXS | 2.34 | +0.51 | +27.87% | 0.11 | |
| TBLA | 4.75 | +0.94 | +24.54% | 1.04 | |
| ACLS | 171.02 | +31.32 | +22.42% | 4.36 | |
| JOBY | 10.51 | +1.83 | +21.08% | 8.71 | |
| SRFM | 1.39 | +0.28 | +25.91% | 0.11 | |
| AMD | 417.55 | +62.29 | +17.53% | 556.83 | |
| GEO | 22.37 | +4.01 | +21.84% | 2.47 | |
| BTDR | 15.11 | +2.63 | +21.07% | 2.96 | |
| SII | 152.38 | +25.61 | +20.20% | 3.37 | |
| HOVR | 2.82 | +0.54 | +23.68% | 0.11 | |
| CVGI | 5.17 | +0.96 | +22.63% | 0.16 | |
| DGXX | 6.22 | +1.11 | +21.81% | 0.28 | |
| FLYW | 17.42 | +2.89 | +19.89% | 1.75 | |
| SHAZ | 53.54 | +9.19 | +20.72% | 0.72 | |
| FTAI | 286.53 | +42.16 | +17.25% | 24.62 | |
| NBTX | 41.55 | +6.78 | +19.51% | 1.51 | |
| DOC | 19.43 | +2.92 | +17.72% | 11.33 | |
| EVEX | 3.21 | +0.52 | +19.52% | 0.99 | |
| IMSR | 8.61 | +1.42 | +19.75% | 0.77 | |
| AIFU | 1.59 | +0.28 | +21.37% | 0.16 | |
| IFF | 82.77 | +12.00 | +16.96% | 17.90 | |
| TONX | 3.23 | +0.57 | +21.43% | 0.12 | |
| TMC | 6.21 | +0.96 | +18.42% | 2.25 | |
| QMCO | 10.04 | +1.77 | +21.40% | 0.11 | |
| OKLO | 79.90 | +11.52 | +16.85% | 11.93 | |
| BTQ | 3.40 | +0.55 | +19.30% | 0.42 | |
| SKYX | 1.30 | +0.22 | +20.37% | 0.13 | |
| VSEC | 207.71 | +30.28 | +17.06% | 4.72 | |
| REPL | 3.42 | +0.55 | +19.34% | 0.25 | |
| USAS | 6.49 | +0.95 | +17.06% | 1.91 | |
| ARM | 238.00 | +29.16 | +13.96% | 215.86 | |
| MRDN | 13.33 | +2.14 | +19.12% | 0.16 | |
| KEEL | 4.12 | +0.60 | +16.86% | 1.96 | |
| TGTX | 41.85 | +5.75 | +15.93% | 5.47 | |
| WOLF | 42.75 | +6.12 | +16.71% | 1.74 | |
| RIOT | 23.49 | +3.14 | +15.43% | 7.06 | |
| NVAX | 9.45 | +1.35 | +16.60% | 1.32 | |
| NUAI | 5.01 | +0.75 | +17.60% | 0.39 | |
| ARTV | 12.46 | +1.86 | +17.55% | 0.28 | |
| BLNK | 0.86 | +0.13 | +18.46% | 0.10 | |
| SSRM | 32.52 | +4.27 | +15.13% | 5.80 | |
| LIVN | 66.40 | +8.81 | +15.30% | 3.24 | |
| SBSW | 13.44 | +1.71 | +14.63% | 8.31 | |
| CXDO | 9.74 | +1.43 | +17.21% | 0.26 | |
| GRAL | 62.80 | +8.40 | +15.43% | 2.39 | |
| KMT | 43.25 | +5.74 | +15.30% | 2.80 | |
| ELAN | 26.23 | +3.24 | +14.09% | 11.24 | |
| ATLN | 1.49 | +0.22 | +17.32% | 0.11 | |
| LTH | 33.52 | +4.14 | +14.11% | 5.85 | |
| SMR | 13.57 | +1.70 | +14.32% | 3.94 | |
| ADV | 43.75 | +5.97 | +15.80% | 0.48 | |
| VRCA | 8.37 | +1.21 | +16.90% | 0.11 | |
| IAG | 18.52 | +2.21 | +13.55% | 9.50 | |
| NG | 9.03 | +1.10 | +13.81% | 3.49 | |
| GLW | 181.07 | +18.97 | +11.71% | 137.67 | |
| DHX | 2.82 | +0.39 | +16.05% | 0.11 | |
| WALD | 1.21 | +0.17 | +15.87% | 0.11 | |
| TWIN | 18.25 | +2.41 | +15.25% | 0.22 | |
| YSS | 36.98 | +4.27 | +13.05% | 4.09 | |
| KAI | 326.83 | +37.97 | +13.14% | 3.38 | |
| RR | 2.75 | +0.34 | +14.32% | 0.55 | |
| FFAI | 0.39 | +0.05 | +15.46% | 0.12 | |
| FRMI | 5.58 | +0.64 | +13.06% | 3.19 | |
| BIDU | 140.88 | +14.64 | +11.60% | 43.38 | |
| CANG | 0.54 | +0.07 | +14.84% | 0.19 | |
| AIFC | 0.95 | +0.12 | +15.18% | 0.12 | |
| HMY | 17.49 | +1.91 | +12.26% | 9.68 | |
| INFQ | 13.67 | +1.57 | +12.98% | 2.66 | |
| LAES | 3.31 | +0.40 | +13.75% | 0.66 | |
| PAAS | 56.44 | +5.92 | +11.72% | 21.54 | |
| LTM | 51.79 | +5.53 | +11.95% | 12.99 | |
| UAMY | 12.61 | +1.46 | +13.09% | 1.68 | |
| MASS | 8.10 | +1.01 | +14.25% | 0.25 | |
| MRAM | 21.67 | +2.62 | +13.75% | 0.44 | |
| INV | 6.99 | +0.83 | +13.58% | 0.52 | |
| HYMC | 39.75 | +4.38 | +12.38% | 3.30 | |
| IREN | 61.03 | +6.29 | +11.49% | 16.42 | |
| NBIS | 195.30 | +19.38 | +11.02% | 44.79 | |
| DELL | 239.05 | +22.73 | +10.51% | 137.61 | |
| OSCR | 20.07 | +2.13 | +11.87% | 5.59 | |
| UUUU | 23.54 | +2.50 | +11.88% | 5.37 | |
| AOSL | 49.30 | +5.55 | +12.69% | 1.26 | |
| EVTL | 2.71 | +0.32 | +13.60% | 0.30 | |
| LEU | 230.75 | +24.71 | +11.99% | 4.07 | |
| HSLV | 6.12 | +0.69 | +12.71% | 1.12 | |
| ULH | 13.91 | +1.63 | +13.27% | 0.43 | |
| BKSY | 40.46 | +4.50 | +12.52% | 1.35 | |
| AIRJ | 3.50 | +0.42 | +13.64% | 0.21 | |
| AUR | 7.26 | +0.73 | +11.18% | 12.62 | |
| SCZM | 8.77 | +0.99 | +12.72% | 0.73 | |
| CRI | 37.46 | +4.12 | +12.35% | 1.22 | |
| IONQ | 53.26 | +5.26 | +10.96% | 17.07 | |
| IPGP | 101.28 | +10.44 | +11.49% | 5.19 | |
| AG | 21.23 | +2.12 | +11.13% | 9.57 | |
| ASTS | 70.71 | +6.84 | +10.71% | 20.44 | |
| BEAM | 32.26 | +3.36 | +11.63% | 3.09 | |
| GFI | 46.10 | +4.35 | +10.42% | 37.38 | |
| AUGO | 89.73 | +9.03 | +11.19% | 6.85 | |
| XE | 31.61 | +3.15 | +11.07% | 8.14 | |
| NGNE | 32.59 | +3.64 | +12.60% | 0.44 | |
| JBL | 372.04 | +34.78 | +10.31% | 35.96 | |
| BRKR | 42.26 | +4.25 | +11.17% | 5.54 | |
| ENGN | 8.88 | +0.99 | +12.48% | 0.51 | |
| AMWL | 7.22 | +0.86 | +13.52% | 0.11 | |
| CURR | 3.92 | +0.44 | +12.65% | 0.37 | |
| MNPR | 64.02 | +7.14 | +12.55% | 0.37 | |
| RDW | 9.70 | +1.01 | +11.57% | 1.72 | |
| QBTS | 23.84 | +2.30 | +10.70% | 7.75 | |
| APLD | 44.09 | +4.21 | +10.56% | 10.18 | |
| RNAC | 8.32 | +0.93 | +12.65% | 0.20 | |
| CORZ | 24.56 | +2.37 | +10.68% | 6.66 | |
| BV | 13.17 | +1.36 | +11.52% | 1.09 | |
| UIS | 3.19 | +0.35 | +12.50% | 0.20 | |
| IPX | 37.69 | +3.87 | +11.44% | 1.14 | |
| FLY | 34.87 | +3.35 | +10.63% | 5.34 | |
| VGNT | 41.60 | +4.10 | +10.93% | 2.56 | |
| IBRX | 8.37 | +0.79 | +10.36% | 7.78 | |
| BMA | 76.98 | +7.36 | +10.57% | 4.44 | |
| MTC | 7.51 | +0.77 | +11.42% | 0.74 | |
| EXEL | 48.88 | +4.45 | +10.03% | 11.22 | |
| STRL | 885.53 | +79.53 | +9.87% | 16.25 | |
| JMIA | 7.47 | +0.75 | +11.24% | 0.83 | |
| BYND | 1.02 | +0.11 | +11.58% | 0.44 | |
| CDE | 18.80 | +1.67 | +9.75% | 18.18 | |
| TRVG | 3.23 | +0.35 | +12.02% | 0.20 | |
| MRCY | 91.48 | +8.52 | +10.27% | 4.71 | |
| UBER | 79.41 | +6.46 | +8.86% | 150.58 | |
| RMBS | 129.57 | +11.57 | +9.81% | 12.06 | |
| IDR | 48.82 | +4.91 | +11.18% | 0.68 | |
| SPIR | 18.28 | +1.82 | +11.03% | 0.67 | |
| ACHR | 6.42 | +0.58 | +10.02% | 4.38 | |
| BIOA | 18.50 | +1.82 | +10.88% | 0.74 | |
| KVHI | 10.53 | +1.10 | +11.66% | 0.19 | |
| GDYN | 6.78 | +0.68 | +11.07% | 0.49 | |
| RCL | 287.32 | +23.34 | +8.84% | 69.59 | |
| BLDP | 4.79 | +0.46 | +10.62% | 0.99 | |
| INBX | 141.29 | +13.17 | +10.28% | 1.87 | |
| RGTI | 20.05 | +1.78 | +9.74% | 5.88 | |
| TX | 48.34 | +4.23 | +9.58% | 8.39 | |
| RGNX | 10.22 | +1.00 | +10.90% | 0.48 | |
| ALOY | 10.45 | +1.02 | +10.82% | 0.57 | |
| PICS | 13.11 | +1.22 | +10.31% | 1.51 | |
| URGN | 26.31 | +2.48 | +10.41% | 1.13 | |
| SRTA | 5.34 | +0.52 | +10.89% | 0.42 | |
| BUUU | 20.18 | +2.01 | +11.06% | 0.30 | |
| QUBT | 10.52 | +0.96 | +10.01% | 2.14 | |
| QS | 7.96 | +0.70 | +9.64% | 4.42 | |
| DRD | 29.04 | +2.62 | +9.92% | 2.32 | |
| UMC | 15.24 | +1.23 | +8.82% | 32.65 | |
| COOK | 44.24 | +4.56 | +11.49% | 0.11 | |
| SIDU | 3.27 | +0.32 | +11.02% | 0.25 | |
| ELA | 19.23 | +1.86 | +10.71% | 0.44 | |
| XNDU | 14.79 | +1.29 | +9.56% | 4.18 | |
| TKR | 119.80 | +10.17 | +9.28% | 7.47 | |
| TMQ | 4.66 | +0.44 | +10.31% | 0.74 | |
| THM | 2.50 | +0.24 | +10.40% | 0.61 | |
| MAGN | 11.20 | +1.08 | +10.67% | 0.36 | |
| MT | 63.17 | +4.99 | +8.58% | 42.16 | |
| NEWP | 5.90 | +0.54 | +10.07% | 1.06 | |
| IPHA | 1.56 | +0.16 | +11.11% | 0.13 | |
| RUM | 8.03 | +0.72 | +9.78% | 1.53 | |
| ARIS | 18.91 | +1.62 | +9.37% | 3.61 | |
| PPTA | 29.92 | +2.57 | +9.40% | 3.37 | |
| NBIX | 146.98 | +11.92 | +8.83% | 13.49 | |
| LAR | 11.39 | +1.00 | +9.67% | 1.67 | |
| LIFE | 23.11 | +2.06 | +9.79% | 1.23 | |
| POWL | 320.88 | +26.19 | +8.89% | 9.83 | |
| UEC | 15.80 | +1.30 | +9.00% | 7.27 | |
| AU | 98.43 | +7.53 | +8.28% | 45.80 | |
| NYT | 84.00 | +6.74 | +8.73% | 12.67 | |
| LRCX | 296.88 | +21.08 | +7.64% | 323.36 | |
| TRX | 1.24 | +0.11 | +10.27% | 0.36 | |
| TGB | 7.47 | +0.63 | +9.28% | 2.50 | |
| CCJ | 123.78 | +9.32 | +8.14% | 51.51 | |
| ERAS | 10.90 | +0.91 | +9.16% | 3.15 | |
| ELVR | 99.06 | +8.55 | +9.45% | 1.56 | |
| WULF | 25.52 | +2.03 | +8.64% | 10.98 | |
| GSIT | 8.81 | +0.81 | +10.19% | 0.28 | |
| SCCO | 184.24 | +13.21 | +7.72% | 137.37 | |
| WYFI | 21.46 | +1.90 | +9.71% | 0.69 | |
| NOMD | 10.15 | +0.87 | +9.31% | 1.34 | |
| CXW | 21.19 | +1.77 | +9.11% | 1.99 | |
| DIS | 108.04 | +7.56 | +7.52% | 179.47 | |
| CVS | 86.88 | +6.19 | +7.67% | 105.10 | |
| NKLR | 6.64 | +0.58 | +9.57% | 0.68 |
Biggest Losers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Rel Volume | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDC | 1.22 | -4.77 | -79.63% | 0.30 | |
| PRIM | 102.75 | -100.17 | -49.37% | 10.06 | |
| KVYO | 15.77 | -7.56 | -32.41% | 6.77 | |
| ANGI | 4.77 | -2.64 | -35.65% | 0.29 | |
| LMB | 76.71 | -37.40 | -32.78% | 1.22 | |
| PHOE | 30.99 | -16.00 | -34.05% | 0.38 | |
| ATEC | 7.00 | -3.24 | -31.62% | 1.59 | |
| AZTA | 18.28 | -6.33 | -25.72% | 1.12 | |
| HCKT | 10.24 | -3.65 | -26.24% | 0.35 | |
| TMDX | 72.87 | -22.06 | -23.24% | 3.35 | |
| NICE | 97.21 | -27.80 | -22.24% | 7.26 | |
| CDW | 109.19 | -27.61 | -20.18% | 17.31 | |
| MNTN | 8.87 | -2.49 | -21.92% | 0.83 | |
| CRTO | 15.81 | -4.31 | -21.42% | 0.95 | |
| COR | 253.14 | -52.76 | -17.25% | 59.07 | |
| BMBL | 3.39 | -0.90 | -20.98% | 0.56 | |
| BFAM | 66.48 | -15.09 | -18.50% | 4.27 | |
| LAW | 3.69 | -0.94 | -20.19% | 0.31 | |
| TECH | 47.26 | -9.42 | -16.63% | 8.56 | |
| BZAI | 1.86 | -0.45 | -19.26% | 0.29 | |
| ANET | 146.68 | -23.54 | -13.83% | 217.36 | |
| ONEG | 8.89 | -2.07 | -18.89% | 0.14 | |
| MYGN | 4.14 | -0.89 | -17.59% | 0.47 | |
| NRGV | 4.18 | -0.85 | -16.80% | 0.77 | |
| CC | 23.74 | -4.20 | -15.03% | 4.09 | |
| CPNG | 17.95 | -2.82 | -13.56% | 36.61 | |
| DLX | 26.25 | -4.60 | -14.91% | 1.42 | |
| ASTE | 53.35 | -9.35 | -14.91% | 1.41 | |
| GIG | 7.00 | -1.32 | -15.87% | 0.36 | |
| SMRT | 1.20 | -0.23 | -16.08% | 0.27 | |
| FUBO | 10.45 | -1.95 | -15.73% | 0.38 | |
| PLYX | 3.81 | -0.73 | -16.08% | 0.24 | |
| SEB | 4901.66 | -785.43 | -13.81% | 5.35 | |
| ANDE | 68.22 | -11.08 | -13.97% | 2.70 | |
| RVLV | 20.12 | -3.32 | -14.16% | 1.68 | |
| ALC | 65.66 | -8.80 | -11.81% | 35.82 | |
| CRK | 15.12 | -2.21 | -12.78% | 5.22 | |
| VET | 11.85 | -1.79 | -13.10% | 2.06 | |
| TYGO | 4.42 | -0.74 | -14.24% | 0.35 | |
| CRC | 61.63 | -8.49 | -12.11% | 6.14 | |
| ATOM | 9.13 | -1.43 | -13.54% | 0.40 | |
| EVER | 20.66 | -3.16 | -13.29% | 0.52 | |
| SLRC | 13.95 | -2.03 | -12.68% | 0.87 | |
| HLLY | 2.87 | -0.43 | -13.03% | 0.39 | |
| GFR | 5.84 | -0.81 | -12.18% | 0.81 | |
| EGHT | 2.42 | -0.34 | -12.50% | 0.37 | |
| SWKS | 64.83 | -7.73 | -10.65% | 10.36 | |
| VTOL | 43.21 | -5.69 | -11.64% | 1.46 | |
| VMD | 8.51 | -1.19 | -12.27% | 0.36 | |
| XPEL | 43.71 | -5.66 | -11.46% | 1.32 | |
| AMTX | 3.21 | -0.46 | -12.43% | 0.24 | |
| ACIC | 10.46 | -1.41 | -11.88% | 0.56 | |
| TORO | 5.67 | -0.82 | -12.56% | 0.17 | |
| KD | 13.11 | -1.59 | -10.85% | 3.24 | |
| CABO | 55.72 | -7.58 | -11.97% | 0.37 | |
| PED | 14.90 | -2.08 | -12.25% | 0.21 | |
| CE | 62.14 | -6.87 | -9.96% | 7.69 | |
| PRM | 27.12 | -3.06 | -10.14% | 4.85 | |
| NNNN | 26.08 | -3.12 | -10.68% | 1.32 | |
| PODD | 151.34 | -16.19 | -9.67% | 11.87 | |
| PBF | 41.63 | -4.56 | -9.87% | 5.39 | |
| AMPY | 5.55 | -0.71 | -11.34% | 0.26 | |
| CART | 39.60 | -4.14 | -9.47% | 10.25 | |
| LCUT | 5.70 | -0.75 | -11.63% | 0.14 | |
| PARR | 62.34 | -6.86 | -9.91% | 3.33 | |
| CABA | 3.70 | -0.45 | -10.84% | 0.43 | |
| FIVN | 21.81 | -2.45 | -10.10% | 1.79 | |
| PLOW | 45.49 | -5.25 | -10.35% | 1.03 | |
| STIM | 1.93 | -0.24 | -11.29% | 0.14 | |
| NFE | 0.74 | -0.09 | -10.85% | 0.23 | |
| BRZE | 22.00 | -2.33 | -9.58% | 2.74 | |
| GIC | 29.60 | -3.24 | -9.87% | 1.26 | |
| OKUR | 4.03 | -0.49 | -10.84% | 0.19 | |
| EQNR | 38.02 | -3.34 | -8.06% | 102.98 | |
| HURN | 119.83 | -12.39 | -9.37% | 2.19 | |
| WTI | 3.79 | -0.42 | -9.86% | 0.65 | |
| XPRO | 16.18 | -1.66 | -9.28% | 2.05 | |
| SEDG | 40.55 | -4.09 | -9.15% | 2.53 | |
| MDLN | 41.69 | -3.63 | -8.02% | 37.37 | |
| REPX | 33.37 | -3.48 | -9.44% | 0.79 | |
| PROP | 1.07 | -0.12 | -10.42% | 0.12 | |
| REI | 1.79 | -0.19 | -9.60% | 0.41 | |
| CLH | 288.39 | -25.31 | -8.07% | 16.55 | |
| PMT | 11.03 | -1.11 | -9.11% | 1.06 | |
| DVN | 47.00 | -3.99 | -7.83% | 31.86 | |
| VG | 12.01 | -1.01 | -7.80% | 34.18 | |
| FRPT | 54.97 | -5.20 | -8.64% | 3.12 | |
| PESI | 11.67 | -1.26 | -9.74% | 0.24 | |
| CTRA | 32.85 | -2.78 | -7.80% | 27.23 | |
| TSLX | 17.88 | -1.72 | -8.78% | 1.88 | |
| GOLF | 86.00 | -7.79 | -8.31% | 5.47 | |
| ACEL | 11.36 | -1.12 | -8.94% | 1.00 | |
| HPK | 6.18 | -0.61 | -8.98% | 0.87 | |
| SM | 28.68 | -2.53 | -8.11% | 7.52 | |
| MTDR | 57.85 | -5.08 | -8.07% | 7.93 | |
| MQ | 4.09 | -0.39 | -8.59% | 1.92 | |
| SU | 64.57 | -5.08 | -7.29% | 81.37 | |
| QRVO | 88.64 | -7.71 | -8.00% | 8.58 | |
| APA | 38.27 | -3.21 | -7.75% | 14.85 | |
| OXY | 55.02 | -4.32 | -7.27% | 59.77 | |
| TIMB | 25.00 | -2.10 | -7.75% | 12.37 | |
| TRON | 2.31 | -0.22 | -8.70% | 0.95 | |
| FBYD | 12.00 | -1.16 | -8.81% | 0.66 | |
| CCOI | 16.48 | -1.57 | -8.72% | 0.82 | |
| DK | 45.02 | -4.02 | -8.21% | 2.94 | |
| MBC | 7.71 | -0.72 | -8.60% | 1.05 | |
| HNI | 33.27 | -2.96 | -8.17% | 2.58 | |
| BL | 29.69 | -2.65 | -8.19% | 1.99 | |
| MCK | 745.96 | -55.05 | -6.87% | 98.95 | |
| UPST | 28.72 | -2.45 | -7.86% | 3.07 | |
| HY | 36.59 | -3.36 | -8.41% | 0.69 | |
| VLO | 236.15 | -17.30 | -6.83% | 74.72 | |
| NUCL | 9.13 | -0.87 | -8.70% | 0.32 | |
| J | 126.69 | -9.86 | -7.22% | 15.35 | |
| LWLG | 15.43 | -1.29 | -7.75% | 2.38 | |
| TRMB | 63.53 | -4.84 | -7.08% | 15.90 | |
| SSL | 13.26 | -1.03 | -7.24% | 8.84 | |
| KOS | 2.88 | -0.24 | -7.69% | 1.94 | |
| RXT | 2.25 | -0.20 | -8.16% | 0.50 | |
| LXU | 14.10 | -1.20 | -7.84% | 1.03 | |
| AGCC | 17.43 | -1.55 | -8.17% | 0.42 | |
| LMND | 53.00 | -4.17 | -7.29% | 4.23 | |
| NWN | 48.81 | -3.89 | -7.38% | 2.22 | |
| EMBC | 3.60 | -0.30 | -7.82% | 0.55 | |
| NOG | 24.73 | -1.92 | -7.22% | 2.84 | |
| ARDT | 9.38 | -0.75 | -7.40% | 1.43 | |
| VERX | 12.65 | -0.99 | -7.25% | 2.16 | |
| CF | 119.64 | -8.40 | -6.56% | 19.34 | |
| ANNA | 3.12 | -0.28 | -8.24% | 0.15 | |
| CVI | 32.76 | -2.48 | -7.05% | 3.44 | |
| EGY | 6.03 | -0.49 | -7.59% | 0.71 | |
| ASAN | 6.82 | -0.53 | -7.28% | 1.71 | |
| MWH | 42.16 | -3.03 | -6.71% | 8.61 | |
| JJSF | 78.49 | -6.10 | -7.21% | 1.60 | |
| GPOR | 181.68 | -13.55 | -6.94% | 3.52 | |
| OBE | 12.90 | -1.03 | -7.36% | 0.98 | |
| BKV | 29.93 | -2.22 | -6.92% | 3.51 | |
| WK | 51.57 | -3.84 | -6.93% | 3.19 | |
| HAFN | 8.81 | -0.65 | -6.82% | 4.50 | |
| TNDM | 18.03 | -1.39 | -7.16% | 1.36 | |
| OIS | 8.92 | -0.71 | -7.37% | 0.67 | |
| ALTO | 5.54 | -0.45 | -7.51% | 0.42 | |
| DAVE | 245.94 | -17.87 | -6.77% | 3.58 | |
| MGY | 28.84 | -2.02 | -6.55% | 5.78 | |
| PTEN | 11.59 | -0.82 | -6.61% | 4.67 | |
| MUR | 38.96 | -2.71 | -6.50% | 6.04 | |
| MRX | 49.69 | -3.53 | -6.63% | 3.76 | |
| KGEI | 5.26 | -0.44 | -7.63% | 0.20 | |
| EC | 13.34 | -0.86 | -6.06% | 28.84 | |
| MRP | 28.14 | -1.95 | -6.50% | 4.91 | |
| EVGO | 1.95 | -0.16 | -7.38% | 0.31 | |
| GPRE | 17.00 | -1.25 | -6.85% | 1.27 | |
| KE | 25.27 | -1.88 | -6.91% | 0.65 | |
| AURA | 8.28 | -0.62 | -6.97% | 0.54 | |
| MB | 8.25 | -0.66 | -7.41% | 0.15 | |
| UP | 6.05 | -0.47 | -7.21% | 0.18 | |
| DOW | 38.49 | -2.31 | -5.66% | 29.25 | |
| GWRE | 131.81 | -8.21 | -5.86% | 12.15 | |
| VRDN | 17.54 | -1.21 | -6.45% | 1.45 | |
| REX | 47.86 | -3.27 | -6.40% | 1.69 | |
| YSWY | 26.32 | -1.84 | -6.55% | 0.87 | |
| MPC | 246.54 | -13.97 | -5.36% | 74.37 | |
| FANG | 195.08 | -11.10 | -5.38% | 60.11 | |
| AR | 36.90 | -2.23 | -5.70% | 12.25 | |
| GTE | 8.76 | -0.63 | -6.71% | 0.34 | |
| EGAN | 7.35 | -0.54 | -6.84% | 0.22 | |
| QSR | 77.21 | -4.46 | -5.46% | 27.80 | |
| LDI | 1.40 | -0.09 | -6.38% | 0.82 | |
| DEC | 15.34 | -1.02 | -6.23% | 1.18 | |
| GRNT | 5.72 | -0.39 | -6.30% | 0.80 | |
| SOC | 13.40 | -0.86 | -6.00% | 2.20 | |
| ANL | 14.00 | -0.93 | -6.23% | 0.96 | |
| MFI | 10.10 | -0.69 | -6.39% | 0.55 | |
| INGM | 26.85 | -1.62 | -5.69% | 6.50 | |
| PR | 21.21 | -1.20 | -5.35% | 18.97 | |
| IHRT | 5.89 | -0.39 | -6.13% | 0.93 | |
| QTWO | 49.33 | -3.02 | -5.77% | 3.35 | |
| LYB | 73.65 | -4.11 | -5.29% | 24.54 | |
| LZ | 6.30 | -0.41 | -6.04% | 1.17 | |
| LITE | 944.54 | -50.02 | -5.03% | 69.70 | |
| SD | 14.50 | -0.96 | -6.21% | 0.59 | |
| VRSK | 170.98 | -9.47 | -5.25% | 23.41 | |
| RXST | 6.79 | -0.46 | -6.40% | 0.31 | |
| TALO | 14.99 | -0.92 | -5.75% | 2.70 | |
| OVV | 59.75 | -3.33 | -5.28% | 17.83 | |
| TRMD | 32.90 | -1.97 | -5.66% | 3.38 | |
| INR | 15.76 | -1.06 | -6.33% | 0.33 | |
| CRGY | 13.15 | -0.77 | -5.53% | 4.50 | |
| CHRD | 141.16 | -8.00 | -5.36% | 8.46 | |
| AGEN | 3.90 | -0.27 | -6.47% | 0.17 | |
| GTN.A | 11.20 | -0.70 | -5.88% | 1.08 | |
| TUSK | 2.52 | -0.17 | -6.51% | 0.12 | |
| PSX | 171.55 | -8.71 | -4.83% | 71.55 | |
| BVC | 10.26 | -0.62 | -5.66% | 1.74 | |
| CVRX | 7.03 | -0.47 | -6.27% | 0.21 | |
| CMRC | 2.88 | -0.19 | -6.19% | 0.25 | |
| IPI | 37.74 | -2.37 | -5.91% | 0.53 | |
| HAE | 52.59 | -3.03 | -5.45% | 2.57 | |
| CRAI | 153.06 | -9.21 | -5.68% | 1.05 | |
| OKE | 85.75 | -4.27 | -4.74% | 57.10 |
Pre-Market Gainers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|
Pre-Market Losers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|
| Date | Impact | Title | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | Low | Challenger Job Cuts y/y | -78.0% | |
| 2026-05-07 | Medium | Unemployment Claims | 205K | 189K |
| 2026-05-07 | Low | Prelim Nonfarm Productivity q/q | 0.7% | 2.8% |
| 2026-05-07 | Low | Prelim Unit Labor Costs q/q | 2.6% | 2.8% |
| 2026-05-07 | Low | Construction Spending m/m | -0.3% | |
| 2026-05-07 | Low | Natural Gas Storage | 72B | 79B |
| 2026-05-07 | Low | FOMC Member Hammack Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-07 | Low | Consumer Credit m/m | 12.5B | 9.5B |
| 2026-05-07 | Low | FOMC Member Williams Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-07 | Low | FOMC Member Kashkari Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-07 | Low | FOMC Member Kashkari Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-07 | Low | Challenger Job Cuts y/y | -78.0% | |
| 2026-05-08 | Low | FOMC Member Cook Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-08 | High | Average Hourly Earnings m/m | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| 2026-05-08 | High | Non-Farm Employment Change | 65K | 178K |
| 2026-05-08 | High | Unemployment Rate | 4.3% | 4.3% |
| 2026-05-08 | Medium | Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment | 49.7 | 47.6 |
| 2026-05-08 | Medium | Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations | 4.8% | |
| 2026-05-08 | Low | Final Wholesale Inventories m/m | 1.4% | 1.4% |
| 2026-05-08 | Low | FOMC Member Waller Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-08 | Low | FOMC Member Bowman Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-08 | Low | FOMC Member Daly Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-08 | Low | FOMC Member Goolsbee Speaks |
| Date | Time | Symbol | Exp Move % | Exp Move $ | Fiscal Qtr | EPS Forecast | Last Year EPS | # Estimates | Market Cap |
|---|
| Name | Rate | 1 Day | 14 Day | 30 Day | Last Changed | Last Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Month | 3.61 | 0.02 | 2026-05-01 | 2026-05-04 | ||
| 4-Week | 3.6 | -0.01 | -0.03 | 2026-05-01 | 2026-05-04 | |
| 1-Year | 3.62 | 0.05 | 0.13 | 0.09 | 2026-05-01 | 2026-05-04 |
| 6-Month | 3.61 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 2026-05-01 | 2026-05-04 |
| 2-Year | 3.95 | 0.07 | 0.24 | 0.16 | 2026-05-01 | 2026-05-04 |
| 5-Year | 4.08 | 0.06 | 0.24 | 0.14 | 2026-05-01 | 2026-05-04 |
| 10-Year | 4.45 | 0.05 | 0.19 | 0.14 | 2026-05-01 | 2026-05-04 |
| 30-Year | 5.02 | 0.04 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 2026-05-01 | 2026-05-04 |
| 10-Year Minus 2-Year | 0.5 | -0.02 | -0.01 | 2026-05-01 | 2026-05-05 | |
| Federal Funds | 3.64 | 2025-12-10 | 2026-05-04 | |||
| Federal Funds Target Upper | 3.75 | 2025-12-10 | 2026-05-06 | |||
| 30Y Jumbo Fixed Mortgage | 6.461 | -0.03 | 2026-05-04 | 2026-05-05 | ||
| 15Y Fixed Mortgage | 5.64 | 0.06 | -0.01 | -0.11 | 2026-04-23 | 2026-04-30 |
| 30Y Fixed Mortgage | 6.3 | 0.07 | -0.08 | 2026-04-23 | 2026-04-30 | |
| Credit Card Interest | 21.0 | 0.03 | 0.03 | -0.39 | 2025-11-01 | 2026-02-01 |
Market-implied probabilities from /ZQ futures. Current EFFR estimate: 3.67%.
Scanning Fed decision markets for mispricings...
Ten Empirically-Grounded Prediction Market Trading Strategies
A technical survey of ten research-backed strategies for trading prediction markets, spanning favourite-longshot bias, cross-platform arbitrage, LP underwriting, combinatorial arbitrage, and dynamic hedging.