Frenzy Capital — Live Market Snapshot & Analysis

Click any card to view the full quote.

Sign in with a free account to add your own custom ticker cards.
Market Analysis
Updated: Apr 30, 2026 06:00 AMLive Data
🌅 Pre-Market Overview

The overnight tape is telling a story of bifurcation that should worry bulls. Big Tech earnings came in mixed, with Alphabet printing solid numbers but Meta rolling over, and that's just the appetizer. The real headline is oil punching through to four-year highs on geopolitical noise around Iran, which sent energy futures barely budging even as precious metals exploded higher. That divergence matters. Treasuries are rallying across the curve while equities sit in neutral, which means investors are buying duration and downside protection simultaneously. The Russell 2000 is already in correction territory, small caps are getting hammered, and the Dow is limping for its fifth consecutive losing day. This isn't a risk-on setup pretending to be risk-off; this is genuine caution wrapped in a tech rally that's running on fumes.

Cross-asset positioning tells you exactly where the smart money is hedging. Gold and silver are screaming higher alongside stronger currencies, copper is rallying on growth optimism, but crude oil is barely moving despite the geopolitical premium. That's the tell: the market isn't actually scared about supply disruptions; it's rotated into safe havens because earnings season is spotty and valuations look stretched after Goldman's rosy full-year forecast. Bonds are pricing in either persistent stickiness or eventual cuts, the dollar is softening, and crypto is creeping higher as risk appetite flickers. What you're seeing in this tape is a tactical pullback in broad equities masking a more tactical repricing within them. Tech can hold the indices afloat, but breadth is deteriorating and that's unsustainable. Expect chop today until we get clarity on whether this is consolidation or the beginning of something messier.

⚠️ Risks & Opportunities

• Tech is limping into the cash open after Mag 7 earnings disappointment, but Nasdaq futures are clawing back with a +0.16% gain while the Dow bleeds -0.23%; this split signals rotation out of mega-cap into small-cap, and Russell 2000 weakness at -0.11% suggests that trade is stalling hard.

• Gold and silver are ripping (+1.67% and +2.59%) while crude sits flat despite Iran military action headlines, which tells you real rates expectations just collapsed; bond futures are rallying across the curve, meaning the street is now pricing recession risk over geopolitical oil shock.

• Three high-impact data points hit the tape today (Advance GDP, Core PCE, Employment Cost Index), and with bonds already bidding and copper up 1%, the market is front-running a miss on growth or inflation that would justify a Fed cut; any stronger-than-expected print will crater this setup immediately.

• The offshore bid (Nikkei +0.69%, yen strengthening +0.60%, Aussie +0.45%) is classic risk-off flow that contradicts the modest equity futures gains, meaning non-US money is rotating into FX safety while US algos are still trying to hold the line in big tech; watch for that decoupling to break today.

• Russell reconstitution is imminent and the index is already in correction territory; small-cap rotation is dead, large-cap tech is the only bid left, and that concentration risk explodes if we get a negative GDP surprise at the open.

• Bitcoin and ether are up roughly 0.8% to 1.4%, but that's following passive rebalancing into crypto as a "safe haven" relative to equities, not conviction; if equities dump hard on GDP, crypto won't hold this bid.


📰 Referenced News Articles

S&P 500:

Dow Jones:

NASDAQ-100:

Russell 2000:

Sector Performance
View More

Click any bar to view constituents of that sector ETF.

Loading sector performance...

Options Flow Sentiment
View More
Most Bullish
Symbol Score Bull $ Bear $ C/P Ratio Blocks Sweeps
QCOM1.000$1.4M$02.95229270
SOXL1.000$655K$00.4811799
DVN1.000$10K$017.534327
BKNG1.000$84K$03.102852
CRWV1.000$1.3M$02.21198200
TTD1.000$25K$03.126955
KODK1.000$16K$011.83611
COP1.000$11K$01.312618
ALAB1.000$696K$02.3867
AXTI1.000$11K$01.473520
Most Bearish
Symbol Score Bull $ Bear $ C/P Ratio Blocks Sweeps
TLT-1.000$0$996K2.40703437
CMCSA-1.000$0$391K0.845726
XE-1.000$0$365K2.20916
JOBY-1.000$0$21K3.287043
CONL-1.000$0$12K2.372916
IONQ-1.000$0$17K0.833334
ERAS-1.000$0$13K2.06102
INFQ-1.000$0$81K1.59157
UPST-1.000$0$32K2.291310
GLL-1.000$0$23K15.3560
Movers — Apr 29, 2026
Top Gainers
Symbol Price Change Change % Rel Volume Market Cap ($B)
Biggest Losers
Symbol Price Change Change % Rel Volume Market Cap ($B)
Pre-Market Gainers
Symbol Price Change Change % Market Cap ($B)
KALV26.70+7.46+38.77%0.98
SIMO194.00+44.82+30.04%5.01
NXPI282.00+51.61+22.40%59.82
BE276.51+50.14+22.15%66.70
STX670.00+90.97+15.71%133.49
RSI28.28+4.28+17.83%2.52
COCO60.50+8.87+17.18%2.95
PRG33.90+5.02+17.38%1.21
FVRR12.25+1.89+18.24%0.38
PRCH9.99+1.40+16.30%0.87
FCEL11.45+1.51+15.19%0.57
ICLR115.90+13.41+13.08%7.88
VRNS28.84+3.40+13.36%2.88
NEO10.24+1.22+13.53%1.12
MTRN199.15+21.87+12.34%3.78
FSS125.00+13.26+11.87%7.04
RDZN1.68+0.21+14.29%0.12
GNRC240.00+22.88+10.54%12.93
IEX224.99+19.63+9.56%15.39
APH156.00+12.28+8.54%182.74
AVTR8.63+0.77+9.80%5.39
WDC424.35+33.36+8.53%135.86
MB7.16+0.75+11.70%0.10
CAST2.67+0.27+11.25%0.12
EAT141.00+11.86+9.18%5.84
GD339.00+25.32+8.07%84.65
V332.35+23.05+7.45%595.53
NBP2.63+0.24+10.04%0.28
LXFR14.50+1.21+9.10%0.35
TEVA33.94+2.32+7.34%36.40
SNDK1071.00+68.65+6.85%157.96
GDC4.33+0.36+9.07%0.25
UMC12.50+0.84+7.20%29.41
OPFI9.80+0.79+8.77%0.24
ON99.71+6.41+6.87%38.56
AGIO26.75+1.95+7.86%1.45
ROLR10.79+0.87+8.77%0.12
MAAS11.39+0.77+7.25%3.10
CLVT2.70+0.19+7.41%1.58
WERN36.88+2.48+7.21%2.05
TRT13.16+0.99+8.13%0.13
ENLV0.89+0.06+7.75%0.21
FICO1072.28+61.78+6.11%24.05
EXLS32.59+1.95+6.36%4.75
MCHP89.00+4.74+5.63%46.99
ETSY67.00+3.79+6.00%6.19
SHAZ46.90+2.92+6.64%0.68
SBUX102.22+4.94+5.08%111.53
MU527.79+23.50+4.66%591.56
PSN54.74+2.90+5.59%5.51
NN17.95+0.98+5.76%2.31
ORN12.26+0.70+6.06%0.49
LII520.30+24.78+5.00%17.49
UBS44.04+1.94+4.61%130.38
ADP208.50+9.33+4.68%79.41
SGHC12.98+0.64+5.19%6.34
VRSK185.09+8.43+4.77%22.91
AVT82.15+3.87+4.94%6.43
LUD6.43+0.36+5.93%0.12
VENU4.08+0.22+5.70%0.24
MA528.23+20.61+4.06%451.64
CDLR27.49+1.31+5.00%2.54
BEKE16.51+0.72+4.56%17.88
TMUS194.41+7.69+4.12%201.37
INDI4.04+0.20+5.21%0.83
TBN37.21+1.82+5.14%0.97
FPS38.59+1.70+4.61%9.07
AAOI143.51+6.25+4.55%11.67
EXTR17.88+0.83+4.87%2.34
CRBP10.36+0.54+5.50%0.18
GILT17.31+0.82+4.97%1.31
LAD290.00+12.76+4.60%6.45
ESI40.50+1.72+4.44%9.83
VLN1.59+0.08+5.30%0.17
BLDP3.25+0.15+4.84%0.98
YUMC49.35+2.01+4.25%16.75
SEI77.80+3.36+4.51%4.11
NXTT1.60+0.08+5.26%0.12
VMC303.12+11.66+4.00%38.01
HQ10.50+0.48+4.81%0.60
TATT36.56+1.70+4.87%0.47
ADUR12.55+0.59+4.89%0.42
MXL54.28+2.27+4.36%4.63
XE35.54+1.43+4.19%9.50
CRMD7.93+0.36+4.76%0.62
VIRT51.03+2.12+4.33%4.13
SVRA5.25+0.23+4.58%1.06
TWO11.51+0.50+4.54%1.16
AGL29.22+1.32+4.73%0.42
CRS444.99+16.85+3.94%21.34
KOPN4.18+0.18+4.52%0.66
UCTT81.50+3.25+4.15%3.63
ZJK2.83+0.13+4.81%0.18
LITE820.00+28.63+3.62%61.38
FFIV315.25+11.46+3.77%16.83
BRCC1.12+0.05+4.67%0.13
ARW191.02+7.00+3.80%9.53
SRFM1.11+0.05+4.72%0.11
AVXL3.52+0.15+4.45%0.30
NKLR6.61+0.27+4.25%0.77
PKX78.77+2.75+3.62%21.48
BHE71.49+2.68+3.89%2.48
EAF9.40+0.39+4.33%0.25
STM51.50+1.69+3.39%44.94
ESOA17.38+0.71+4.26%0.30
BBAI4.28+0.16+3.88%1.78
NBIS140.00+4.49+3.31%36.68
CADL6.45+0.25+4.03%0.46
MDLZ60.42+1.88+3.21%73.70
DUOL110.03+3.79+3.57%4.83
SGML21.37+0.76+3.69%2.31
APA39.96+1.31+3.39%13.58
NUVB4.73+0.17+3.73%1.59
MRAM13.25+0.51+4.00%0.32
PAG167.00+5.45+3.37%10.53
EQNR39.69+1.18+3.06%94.83
DK42.51+1.47+3.58%2.42
NIO6.57+0.21+3.29%15.61
NMRK16.99+0.58+3.53%3.03
CHEF66.52+2.28+3.55%2.73
AEHR85.30+2.87+3.48%2.78
IPHA1.46+0.06+4.04%0.13
RILY7.95+0.29+3.79%0.27
NUCL11.13+0.40+3.73%0.34
PLUG3.13+0.10+3.30%4.29
ASC17.74+0.61+3.56%0.69
AXTI70.95+2.24+3.26%4.50
HYPR1.35+0.05+3.85%0.13
DUOT8.70+0.31+3.69%0.26
WOOF3.02+0.10+3.45%0.84
NOK11.62+0.32+2.83%60.07
KMT40.50+1.26+3.21%3.02
SSL13.50+0.40+3.05%8.11
PARR64.60+1.99+3.18%3.18
ATAT38.50+1.16+3.11%5.02
CMP27.05+0.87+3.32%1.11
LSTR187.99+5.58+3.06%6.12
PRGS28.69+0.92+3.30%1.15
ADI393.31+10.05+2.62%191.66
TLYS3.96+0.14+3.66%0.11
VANI1.42+0.05+3.65%0.12
NAVI9.47+0.30+3.27%0.85
XFOR4.26+0.14+3.40%0.38
KLC3.99+0.13+3.37%0.43
VLTO88.00+2.40+2.80%21.40
TXN271.73+6.73+2.54%245.27
ETR116.21+3.05+2.70%51.93
ALB192.10+5.20+2.78%23.52
VSCO53.28+1.55+3.00%4.23
GRRR13.50+0.44+3.37%0.36
TEO11.52+0.33+2.95%4.83
EEFT78.00+2.28+3.01%2.96
SABS3.65+0.12+3.40%0.24
TRTX8.65+0.27+3.22%0.65
SLDE19.44+0.57+3.02%2.35
PHVS29.08+0.86+3.05%1.88
CNCK1.85+0.06+3.35%0.25
KOS3.05+0.09+3.04%1.74
BCSF13.80+0.42+3.14%0.86
CMPX1.90+0.06+3.28%0.32
CRDO170.31+4.39+2.65%33.29
JOE73.00+2.05+2.89%4.10
CRWV108.22+2.69+2.55%59.19
FORM137.84+3.66+2.73%11.22
TTEC3.08+0.10+3.36%0.14
IRWD4.33+0.13+3.10%0.66
ATLN2.15+0.07+3.37%0.13
OKLO70.95+1.86+2.69%13.21
VIAV44.33+1.16+2.69%10.39
REKR0.84+0.03+3.33%0.11
ECO56.24+1.57+2.87%2.12
BXP60.75+1.59+2.69%9.21
PEB14.52+0.41+2.91%1.61
SANA3.45+0.10+2.99%0.88
CAPL21.75+0.63+2.98%0.81
GEOS10.14+0.32+3.26%0.13
SRI6.47+0.20+3.19%0.19
LMND67.55+1.78+2.71%5.04
NFE0.67+0.02+3.16%0.18
MPWR1540.00+35.92+2.39%77.98
HSAI23.09+0.61+2.71%3.66
NEOV2.90+0.09+3.20%0.12
BWLP20.26+0.54+2.74%2.85
VG12.46+0.30+2.47%30.26
WILC31.31+0.91+2.99%0.43
PCT7.29+0.20+2.82%1.32
PUMP17.90+0.48+2.76%2.11
OSW24.40+0.65+2.74%2.42
ALAB187.78+4.47+2.44%33.68
WDS23.82+0.56+2.41%43.95
FBRX27.16+0.77+2.94%0.53
NVTS15.52+0.40+2.65%4.22
BTGO10.28+0.28+2.80%1.19
BCRX9.10+0.24+2.71%2.26
ADCT3.88+0.11+2.92%0.48
SBC3.48+0.10+2.96%0.35
CLS370.07+8.53+2.36%48.54
AVTX13.24+0.38+2.92%0.33
PSIX71.00+1.85+2.68%1.71
VSNT40.15+0.99+2.53%5.65
Pre-Market Losers
Symbol Price Change Change % Market Cap ($B)
TER312.64-67.49-17.75%62.94
OI8.23-2.01-19.63%1.62
DQ18.00-3.95-18.00%1.49
HBNB5.63-1.01-15.25%1.53
CAR157.33-24.67-13.56%6.61
RCKY37.00-6.84-15.60%0.33
HOOD72.13-9.94-12.11%75.58
SOFI16.58-1.78-9.69%23.92
PDM7.57-0.95-11.15%1.03
WING156.70-16.27-9.41%4.86
GEHC62.83-5.67-8.28%32.16
OPTX7.41-0.79-9.63%0.35
MRLN10.52-1.04-9.00%0.96
OBT33.00-3.27-9.02%0.47
SPFI40.00-3.85-8.78%0.71
GSK50.69-3.78-6.95%108.22
NTLA12.15-1.05-7.95%1.54
BF.B25.75-1.98-7.14%12.66
HTCO7.47-0.62-7.66%0.28
SBFG20.70-1.77-7.88%0.14
CLW13.73-1.12-7.54%0.23
SNDL1.37-0.10-6.86%0.39
RYDE1.10-0.08-6.78%0.16
SMHI7.08-0.49-6.47%0.20
TW106.77-5.59-4.98%23.73
BKNG165.37-8.01-4.62%138.14
CANG0.41-0.03-6.15%0.17
UDR34.40-1.81-5.00%11.35
BF.A27.00-1.40-4.93%12.90
ABBV189.36-8.33-4.21%349.12
HTZ5.45-0.30-5.22%1.76
IMUX10.12-0.63-5.83%0.14
MGNX2.84-0.17-5.65%0.19
MX4.60-0.27-5.54%0.19
APAM36.00-1.83-4.84%2.71
DSP10.00-0.57-5.39%0.19
PHG26.01-1.11-4.09%26.20
HLN9.09-0.38-4.01%42.18
AUTL1.41-0.07-4.73%0.38
TTRX3.42-0.18-5.00%0.11
CTSH53.00-2.12-3.85%26.13
GFI41.72-1.62-3.74%40.24
HUM221.00-8.72-3.80%26.85
EC13.46-0.51-3.65%28.21
PLBL6.62-0.28-4.06%2.44
AU90.61-3.34-3.56%49.61
GHG1.22-0.06-4.69%0.12
CDNA21.00-0.91-4.15%1.12
COIN187.35-6.75-3.48%51.94
BETR40.42-1.76-4.16%0.67
EXPE233.80-8.37-3.46%30.05
LRN89.12-3.46-3.74%4.16
VALE16.35-0.56-3.29%72.80
ARI10.63-0.43-3.89%1.54
WNEB13.60-0.58-4.09%0.28
REGN708.65-23.12-3.16%78.05
SBSW11.52-0.41-3.44%8.85
AUGO80.74-2.87-3.43%7.37
GRMN240.00-7.81-3.15%49.63
RBBN2.50-0.10-3.85%0.47
PONY9.88-0.34-3.33%4.57
DB31.00-0.95-2.97%61.30
WSC22.12-0.76-3.30%4.12
QNC2.70-0.10-3.57%0.64
HMY15.19-0.49-3.12%10.28
ATEN27.20-0.93-3.31%1.99
AVBP29.10-0.94-3.13%1.34
STNE11.31-0.35-3.00%2.92
IMNM23.00-0.71-2.99%2.66
GMAB26.05-0.74-2.76%16.35
OPTU1.55-0.05-3.13%0.72
CRGO1.96-0.07-3.45%0.11
CNI112.01-2.88-2.51%70.28
POET7.79-0.24-2.99%1.21
SITE139.00-3.94-2.76%6.33
CCB84.11-2.57-2.96%1.27
NYXH2.91-0.10-3.32%0.13
SSII4.18-0.13-3.02%0.87
MATV9.44-0.30-3.08%0.53
HUMA0.82-0.03-3.21%0.18
UPST31.95-0.91-2.77%3.17
RMBS108.41-2.86-2.57%15.28
EVH3.51-0.11-3.04%0.40
BXMT19.47-0.54-2.70%3.40
AXG4.03-0.12-2.89%0.78
PRTC17.60-0.54-2.98%0.42
BOX23.85-0.65-2.65%3.33
LSPD8.79-0.25-2.77%1.29
CSAN4.10-0.11-2.61%3.91
WIX75.54-2.00-2.58%4.46
FDMT9.15-0.27-2.87%0.48
MNTN9.72-0.28-2.80%0.74
ABNB135.90-3.14-2.26%83.86
ASTL4.49-0.13-2.78%0.49
YRD2.00-0.06-2.91%0.18
KC15.03-0.38-2.47%4.92
SND5.12-0.15-2.85%0.23
WSHP9.58-0.29-2.94%0.12
BEAM29.80-0.76-2.49%3.00
AXIA12.24-0.28-2.24%28.23
BIDU123.00-2.76-2.19%43.56
URGN23.50-0.62-2.57%1.16
OPCH27.10-0.67-2.41%4.37
FIGR33.56-0.80-2.33%7.26
BKU46.10-1.13-2.39%3.42
FE48.50-1.08-2.18%28.60
ACCO3.28-0.09-2.67%0.30
IAG16.12-0.37-2.24%9.97
SHEN16.06-0.41-2.49%0.89
OPK1.18-0.03-2.48%0.91
HUBS221.10-4.87-2.16%11.87
QDEL11.73-0.29-2.41%0.84
SPRO2.60-0.07-2.62%0.15
PRLD4.28-0.11-2.51%0.37
KOF98.98-2.10-2.08%21.15
INFQ12.34-0.28-2.25%2.88
LVWR1.98-0.05-2.46%0.40
EMAT9.04-0.20-2.18%5.44
XRX1.55-0.04-2.52%0.21
CUK25.80-0.51-1.94%37.03
HL17.48-0.36-2.02%12.49
FLY33.50-0.72-2.09%5.53
ALXO1.60-0.04-2.44%0.21
NVA5.63-0.14-2.43%0.23
NPCE16.50-0.39-2.31%0.59
RWAY6.44-0.16-2.40%0.27
CDE17.50-0.35-1.96%19.54
AXIAPC11.70-0.23-1.93%27.06
CCL25.80-0.50-1.90%37.08
IART10.50-0.24-2.23%0.83
CURR3.31-0.08-2.36%0.25
ALTG7.89-0.19-2.35%0.26
IPGP110.08-2.28-2.03%4.95
CGAU17.67-0.37-2.05%3.76
BULL6.96-0.14-2.04%3.80
ZLAB21.68-0.46-2.08%2.47
PGY13.18-0.29-2.15%1.10
ALM20.36-0.41-1.97%6.06
ORKA72.50-1.49-2.01%3.83
AXGN41.12-0.87-2.07%2.04
FER66.69-1.20-1.77%48.58
AZN183.64-3.04-1.63%290.80
LPRO1.75-0.04-2.23%0.21
RVLV25.78-0.52-1.98%1.88
PINS19.52-0.36-1.81%11.71
OXSQ1.77-0.04-2.21%0.16
PPG105.80-1.88-1.75%24.68
WRD7.67-0.15-1.92%2.74
KARO49.01-0.98-1.96%1.54
PAGS9.92-0.19-1.88%2.87
AMRX12.50-0.23-1.85%4.01
SY2.80-0.06-2.10%0.28
ETON23.68-0.48-1.99%0.64
STTK7.38-0.15-1.99%0.58
GLOB40.25-0.77-1.88%1.83
ITUB8.71-0.14-1.58%96.99
CLOV2.59-0.05-1.89%1.32
TLK16.40-0.28-1.68%16.68
RY175.09-2.67-1.50%245.66
ARIS17.59-0.32-1.79%3.87
CRSP51.14-0.92-1.77%4.92
DRD26.93-0.50-1.82%2.47
ITRI85.45-1.55-1.78%3.85
PAAS51.53-0.86-1.64%23.28
SPWR0.88-0.02-2.11%0.11
SJM96.39-1.66-1.69%10.17
B38.56-0.61-1.56%68.14
PPTA27.01-0.48-1.75%3.56
HITI2.46-0.05-1.99%0.22
UTZ7.86-0.15-1.87%0.69
YOOV1.52-0.03-1.94%0.35
NTRA197.01-3.16-1.58%29.18
ASPN3.54-0.07-1.94%0.30
EXK9.06-0.16-1.74%2.88
NMG2.12-0.04-1.85%0.72
ROMA6.17-0.12-1.91%0.38
ICL5.34-0.09-1.66%7.15
NVS143.43-2.07-1.42%275.14
ASM6.30-0.12-1.79%1.14
INR15.94-0.31-1.91%0.30
WAY24.81-0.42-1.66%4.93
VRDN13.37-0.24-1.76%1.39
CELC118.10-1.97-1.64%6.07
ARCT8.70-0.17-1.92%0.24
FFIC16.06-0.30-1.83%0.54
SATL6.04-0.11-1.79%0.90
PGEN3.95-0.07-1.74%1.40
XRAY11.58-0.20-1.70%2.40
TTI9.57-0.17-1.75%1.32
LRMR4.32-0.08-1.82%0.46
ORLA13.40-0.22-1.62%4.89
NEM108.36-1.54-1.40%123.92
EQ2.01-0.04-1.90%0.13
MDXG3.34-0.06-1.76%0.50
KMX38.03-0.61-1.57%5.41
ABCL4.09-0.07-1.68%1.26
ARGX763.93-11.10-1.43%48.74
SKM36.22-0.55-1.50%14.31
NOW89.24-1.25-1.38%93.28
UI950.72-13.54-1.40%61.09
Upcoming Economic Events

Date Impact Title Forecast Previous
2026-04-30 High Advance GDP q/q 2.2% 1.4%
2026-04-30 High Core PCE Price Index m/m 0.3% 0.4%
2026-04-30 High Employment Cost Index q/q 0.8% 0.7%
2026-04-30 Medium Advance GDP Price Index q/q 3.8% 3.6%
2026-04-30 Medium Unemployment Claims 213K 214K
2026-04-30 Low Personal Income m/m 0.3% -0.1%
2026-04-30 Low Personal Spending m/m 0.9% 0.5%
2026-04-30 Low Chicago PMI 54.8 52.8
2026-04-30 Low CB Leading Index m/m -0.2% -0.1%
2026-04-30 Low Natural Gas Storage 83B 103B
2026-05-01 Low Final Manufacturing PMI 54.0 54.0
2026-05-01 Medium ISM Manufacturing PMI 53.1 52.7
2026-05-01 Medium ISM Manufacturing Prices 80.0 78.3
2026-05-01 Low Wards Total Vehicle Sales 16.0M 16.3M
Upcoming Earnings
Date Time Symbol Name Fiscal Qtr EPS Forecast Last Year EPS # Estimates Market Cap Price Exp Move $ Exp Move %
Rates

Name Rate 1 Day 14 Day 30 Day Last Changed Last Updated
3-Month3.6-0.032026-04-202026-04-27
4-Week3.610.02-0.022026-04-242026-04-27
1-Year3.54-0.01-0.02-0.132026-04-242026-04-27
6-Month3.59-0.01-0.032026-04-232026-04-27
2-Year3.78-0.05-0.03-0.182026-04-232026-04-27
5-Year3.94-0.02-0.142026-04-242026-04-27
10-Year4.350.010.04-0.072026-04-242026-04-27
30-Year4.940.020.030.012026-04-242026-04-27
10-Year Minus 2-Year0.52-0.050.02-0.042026-04-272026-04-28
Federal Funds3.642025-12-102026-04-27
Federal Funds Target Upper3.752025-12-102026-04-29
30Y Jumbo Fixed Mortgage6.424-0.05-0.01-0.222026-04-272026-04-28
15Y Fixed Mortgage5.58-0.07-0.160.042026-04-162026-04-23
30Y Fixed Mortgage6.23-0.07-0.140.012026-04-162026-04-23
Credit Card Interest21.00.030.03-0.392025-11-012026-02-01
Fed Watch (/ZQ Fed Funds futures)
Full curve →

Market-implied probabilities from /ZQ futures. Current EFFR estimate: 3.67%.

Jun 17, 2026
/ZQM26 · implied 3.60%
-7 bp
25bp cut
28%
Hold
72%
Jul 29, 2026
/ZQN26 · implied 3.62%
+2 bp
Hold
92%
25bp hike
8%
Sep 16, 2026
/ZQU26 · implied 3.61%
-1 bp
25bp cut
4%
Hold
96%
Kalshi vs /ZQ Divergences (top mispricings)
All divergences →

Scanning Fed decision markets for mispricings...

Top Poll
Donald Trump 239 polls
Latest: Apr 27, 2026
Approve 45.0% · Disapprove 53.0%
n=2,201 · Registered Voters · Apr 27, 2026
Favorable 44.0% · Unfavorable 52.0%
n=2,201 · Registered Voters · Apr 27, 2026
Approve 40.0% · Disapprove 57.0%
n=1,647 · Registered Voters · Apr 27, 2026
Approve 37.0% · Disapprove 59.0%
n=1,836 · Adults · Apr 27, 2026
Approve 37.0% · Disapprove 62.0%
n=1,014 · Registered Voters · Apr 27, 2026

View all polls

Latest from the Blog
All Posts
Ten Empirically-Grounded Prediction Market Trading Strategies
2026-04-14

A technical survey of ten research-backed strategies for trading prediction markets, spanning favourite-longshot bias, cross-platform arbitrage, LP underwriting, combinatorial arbitrage, and dynamic hedging.

prediction-marketstrading-strategiespolymarketkalshiarbitragehedgingmarket-microstructure