Frenzy Capital — Live Market Snapshot & Analysis

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AI Market Analysis
AI Analysis Generated: Apr 20, 2026 10:01 AMLive Data
📊 Market Overview

The Iran tension narrative is doing exactly what it should in a market this complacent—it's creating a clean bifurcation between risk assets and safe havens, except the equity market refuses to fully capitulate. Yes, the big cap tech indices are nursing small losses and the Nasdaq is rolling over after that historic winning streak, but this is a geopolitical scare that's being priced as a tactical opportunity rather than a systemic threat. Energy is surging, crypto is getting hammered, and volatility is waking up, yet equities are barely budging lower. The real tell is the Russell 2000 holding steady while the Nasdaq stumbles—this is not panic; this is portfolio rebalancing. Investors are rotating into the safety of old economy energy and materials while taking risk off momentum plays, which suggests conviction that any escalation gets contained.

The bond market is the crucial tell here, and it's sending a decidedly mixed signal that the Street isn't quite processing. The curve is flattening across the belly while the long end holds, and that's a classic "geopolitical risk premium without recession risk" setup—hardly the signal of a market pricing in a conflict that derails growth. The disconnect is stark: oil and precious metals are diverging wildly, with gold getting dumped even as crude explodes, suggesting traders see this as an inflation impulse, not a deflationary shock. Meanwhile, crypto is being absolutely savaged alongside equities, which is the real red flag. If institutions thought this was a buying opportunity, Bitcoin wouldn't be down nearly three percent. Instead, what we're seeing is the smart money trimming leverage across the board while waiting for clarity, which means the next 48 hours matter far more than today's modest moves.

🚀 Notable Movers
  • ADI surged as the biomedical sensor and wearable technology markets accelerate, with industry awards and growth forecasts highlighting robust demand for real-time health monitoring solutions.
  • CRM jumped as CEO Mark Benioff touted Agentforce's impressive real-world performance, with Pearson reporting 40% improvement in autonomous customer query resolution, easing software sector concerns.
  • MRVL climbed as a broad risk-on rotation lifted semiconductor stocks following Middle East de-escalation, with investors rotating back into high-multiple tech names that had been compressed by geopolitical anxiety.
  • NOW rallied alongside the SaaS sector recovery, as heavy trading volume confirmed the software bounce is genuine and institutional demand returned to cloud infrastructure names after weeks of selling.
  • ADBE gained in tandem with the broader software rebound, benefiting from renewed investor appetite for AI-enabled enterprise platforms amid the sector's recovery from recent weakness.
  • ASX rose on strong growth forecasts for high-end semiconductor packaging and advanced chip integration markets, driven by surging AI and data center demand requiring sophisticated packaging solutions.
  • SNOW climbed despite ongoing litigation headlines, as the broader SaaS sector rotation and sentiment shift toward software names overpowered investor concerns about past shareholder losses.
  • RKLB surged as space stocks continue their bull run, fueled by Artemis II's successful lunar mission return and SpaceX's announced IPO, rekindling enthusiasm for commercial space infrastructure plays.
  • ERIC and HPE both advanced as private LTE and industrial connectivity markets expand rapidly, positioning telecom and enterprise equipment vendors to capture growth from automation and 5G buildouts.

Losers:

  • INTC declined despite earlier gains as profit-taking set in after the stock's remarkable 66% rally since March 30, with investors locking in gains ahead of potential earnings volatility.
  • HDB fell as Federal Reserve Chair Powell's warning that Middle East escalation will push U.S. inflation higher weighed on emerging market bank valuations and global growth sentiment.
  • BBVA dropped following the rejection of its $18 billion takeover offer, triggering a selloff in the Spanish bank as the failed M&A deal removes a key upside catalyst.
  • AEM declined as gold prices weakened on a softer macro backdrop despite the company's recent asset acquisitions, reflecting broader precious metals sector pressure.
  • RCL sold off after its Friday pop from Hormuz reopening reversed, as the initial euphoria faded and energy-driven stagflation concerns resurface with crude oil rising 4.2% today.
  • CRWV fell as AI infrastructure enthusiasm cooled amid a rotation away from richly-valued pure-play data center plays, with investors showing preference for diversified tech names.
  • CRCL crashed on analyst downgrade citing deteriorating profit margins in USDC stablecoin operations, raising concerns about the company's revenue sustainability and growth trajectory.
  • TSEM declined ahead of Q1 earnings, with pre-announcement profit-taking offsetting earlier momentum from the optical networking partnership announcement.
  • ASTS plummeted as the failure of BlueBird 7 satellite to achieve operational orbit intensified doubts about the company's execution and lunar telecom ambitions despite insurance recovery.
  • CDE fell alongside broader precious metals weakness, as gold and silver prices declined and mining sector enthusiasm waned from recent highs.
⚠️ Risks & Opportunities

• Oil surging 4%+ on Hormuz closure fears while equities barely budge signals market is underpricing geopolitical tail risk—buy oil calls or reduce equity duration ahead of tomorrow's retail sales print, which could get drowned out by Iran headlines.

• The Russell 2000 in correction territory but outperforming mega-cap today (RTY +0.07% vs NDX -0.16%) is a classic "desperation rotation into value" that won't hold if growth stocks resume their winning streak; don't chase small-cap strength.

• Crypto getting hammered harder than equities (BTC -2.9%, ETH -4.9%) while bonds merely drift lower suggests institutional deleveraging into geopolitical uncertainty—if Iran escalates further, expect forced crypto liquidations to accelerate volatility spikes.

• Fed Chair-Designate Warsh testifies tomorrow alongside retail sales data; any hawkish surprise from Warsh could spike TNX and reverse the small-cap outperformance, making short-duration rate exposure the key hedge.

• Gold down 0.8% despite VIX +7.7% and oil +4.2% is the real signal—traditional safe havens are being sold to raise cash for margin calls elsewhere, meaning this drawdown could deepen if equity volatility sustains above 20.

• Energy's +0.8% sector leadership coupled with zero dollar movement (DXY flat) creates a rare setup where energy plays are not crowded carry trades—tactical long /CL above $86 with stops at $83 is the highest-conviction trade here.

📰 Referenced News Articles

S&P 500:

Dow Jones:

NASDAQ-100:

Russell 2000:

📰 Movers News

Gainers:

Losers:

Analysis based on current market indices, rates, movers, and economic events
Sector Performance
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Options Flow Sentiment
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Most Bullish
Symbol Score Bull $ Bear $ C/P Ratio Blocks Sweeps
BB1.000$59K$016.732617
OKLO1.000$55K$02.5933
SMTC1.000$84K$01935.5094
DRAM1.000$22K$00.76121
POET1.000$131K$013.094230
CMPS0.995$16K$409.7775
RKLB0.984$455K$4K5.121314
USAR0.982$100K$8895.353234
BABA0.981$11K$1052.0978
GME0.978$51K$56014.992122
Most Bearish
Symbol Score Bull $ Bear $ C/P Ratio Blocks Sweeps
LCID-1.000$0$19K2.29208
ZM-1.000$0$26K24.9042
SPX-1.000$0$270K0.43540
CRWV-1.000$0$51K0.692627
XLU-1.000$0$15K0.5232
ARCC-1.000$0$37K0.1751
NDXP-1.000$0$29K0.6330
TSLL-1.000$0$18K1.551315
ARM-0.966$205$12K0.80159
AMC-0.942$708$24K5.992820
Movers — Apr 20, 2026
Top Gainers
Symbol Price Change Change % Rel Volume Market Cap ($B)
JLHL9.60+3.25+51.18%
3.23x
0.14
CMPS9.36+2.70+40.54%
6.08x
0.90
AVEX36.15+9.22+34.24%
0.25x
1.31
ATAI5.33+1.30+32.38%
4.64x
1.47
GHRS23.90+5.56+30.32%
3.79x
1.14
CANG0.49+0.12+33.00%
7.04x
0.15
POET8.88+1.62+22.33%
1.70x
1.11
NKTR102.45+17.59+20.73%
2.49x
2.43
SILA30.40+4.87+19.08%
11.20x
1.41
BLD478.43+68.12+16.60%
2.42x
11.55
USAR22.85+2.90+14.54%
1.25x
4.35
LNZA26.25+3.68+16.30%
0.48x
0.23
VMET12.64+1.61+14.60%
1.69x
1.19
KSPI95.53+10.62+12.50%
1.19x
16.12
LZM5.90+0.72+13.90%
1.94x
0.44
INV5.23+0.63+13.70%
0.38x
0.37
OWLS6.00+0.71+13.48%
2.81x
0.47
MXL29.47+3.20+12.18%
0.77x
2.35
CADL7.21+0.83+13.11%
1.01x
0.47
TGEN4.87+0.57+13.26%
0.84x
0.13
LWLG13.82+1.28+10.21%
0.30x
1.89
LEGN23.16+1.98+9.38%
0.40x
3.92
AOSL37.24+3.36+9.93%
1.00x
1.01
OUST26.49+2.23+9.19%
0.53x
1.52
GFS58.87+4.12+7.52%
0.58x
30.06
LVWR2.20+0.18+8.91%
0.16x
0.41
HTZ8.03+0.60+8.04%
0.63x
2.34
HIMS30.99+2.17+7.54%
0.49x
6.57
CODI11.37+0.86+8.18%
0.14x
0.79
TROO2.93+0.23+8.52%
0.39x
0.33
PRLD4.82+0.38+8.59%
1.42x
0.28
AMTX2.47+0.20+8.81%
0.24x
0.15
KYTX10.71+0.78+7.80%
0.77x
0.60
BB5.21+0.34+7.10%
0.52x
2.86
AREC2.44+0.18+7.98%
0.33x
0.24
UMC12.39+0.73+6.26%
0.40x
29.33
LUNR29.44+1.86+6.74%
0.21x
4.40
CATX4.51+0.31+7.38%
0.23x
0.48
WLYB41.86+2.65+6.76%
2.80x
2.01
ARCO9.56+0.60+6.70%
0.55x
1.89
BRAI21.48+1.36+6.76%
0.18x
1.38
FLWS4.16+0.29+7.35%
0.89x
0.25
STTK8.06+0.53+7.04%
0.28x
0.57
UMAC15.06+0.97+6.88%
0.20x
0.67
DGXX3.33+0.23+7.26%
1.11x
0.22
KLTR1.25+0.08+7.26%
0.24x
0.17
EGG7.21+0.48+7.13%
0.72x
0.19
RUM6.72+0.40+6.41%
0.29x
1.36
TBI4.47+0.30+7.22%
0.10x
0.13
ANNA3.90+0.26+7.14%
0.04x
0.15
VBNK17.13+1.06+6.60%
0.58x
0.52
INTT16.97+1.08+6.78%
0.14x
0.20
RKLB89.25+4.45+5.25%
0.29x
49.02
INFQ18.43+1.01+5.78%
1.51x
3.77
MRVL146.62+6.93+4.96%
0.46x
122.15
OKTA76.17+3.92+5.42%
0.17x
12.78
TNDM21.84+1.23+5.97%
0.08x
1.41
HBNB6.80+0.38+5.88%
0.19x
1.50
TEAM70.47+3.53+5.27%
0.19x
17.66
ONDS10.55+0.55+5.50%
0.26x
4.82
AMCI6.99+0.42+6.39%
0.80x
0.15
GTE7.98+0.46+6.12%
0.16x
0.27
HPP7.99+0.45+5.97%
0.23x
0.41
ACLS125.10+6.37+5.37%
0.16x
3.65
MNTK1.37+0.08+6.20%
0.16x
0.18
SHIM5.60+0.32+6.06%
0.36x
0.19
PLXS240.36+11.72+5.13%
0.16x
6.12
SCOR8.60+0.50+6.17%
0.13x
0.12
SKM39.67+1.83+4.84%
0.53x
14.52
IBRX8.08+0.38+4.93%
0.17x
7.95
BETR43.48+2.26+5.47%
0.26x
0.68
WIX71.67+3.43+5.03%
0.08x
3.98
GDEV17.81+0.93+5.54%
0.24x
0.31
LFMD4.32+0.23+5.62%
0.38x
0.19
AMWL6.47+0.35+5.78%
0.19x
0.10
WTI3.02+0.15+5.23%
0.27x
0.43
FLY45.72+2.00+4.57%
0.13x
6.99
ISTR30.20+1.50+5.23%
0.40x
0.39
VTIX6.50+0.33+5.35%
0.22x
0.20
ERIC11.85+0.48+4.18%
0.24x
37.90
YSS37.35+1.63+4.56%
0.09x
4.56
OSS10.44+0.52+5.24%
0.17x
0.25
VALN6.26+0.30+5.03%
0.34x
0.52
CNTB2.96+0.15+5.34%
0.30x
0.16
REI1.31+0.06+5.20%
0.12x
0.26
WBI26.35+1.21+4.81%
0.06x
1.18
SGHC11.79+0.51+4.47%
0.32x
5.71
SWMR36.90+1.77+5.04%
0.10x
0.43
DFTX23.73+1.05+4.63%
1.09x
2.26
MOLN4.40+0.22+5.26%
0.50x
0.16
UAMY11.06+0.49+4.68%
0.27x
1.52
CHMG66.00+3.18+5.06%
1.23x
0.30
MP63.59+2.60+4.26%
0.29x
10.84
AIRO8.48+0.41+5.08%
0.09x
0.25
VECO44.91+1.95+4.53%
0.21x
2.60
ATOM5.62+0.27+5.05%
0.22x
0.21
ROC6.50+0.32+5.18%
0.36x
0.12
NOW100.19+3.53+3.65%
0.23x
100.15
DOMO3.98+0.19+4.87%
0.13x
0.17
ACH3.52+0.16+4.76%
0.18x
0.26
SAFX0.44+0.02+4.94%
0.10x
0.12
TRON2.62+0.11+4.38%
0.14x
1.19
CRM188.54+6.41+3.52%
0.18x
149.00
WGS68.68+2.72+4.12%
0.13x
1.93
DXC13.50+0.53+4.09%
0.09x
2.20
SIFY13.99+0.57+4.25%
0.32x
0.97
YDDL4.62+0.20+4.52%
0.09x
0.25
WOLF26.62+1.06+4.15%
0.58x
1.24
NMAX7.24+0.29+4.17%
0.14x
0.90
LPTH14.75+0.59+4.17%
0.15x
0.82
VIR11.18+0.43+4.00%
0.25x
1.73
SOC13.63+0.52+3.97%
0.09x
1.93
KOD46.65+1.75+3.90%
0.05x
2.78
ELA18.67+0.76+4.24%
0.51x
0.47
PTLO6.16+0.25+4.23%
0.19x
0.43
COHU42.87+1.61+3.91%
0.16x
1.95
HRTG28.32+1.10+4.04%
0.27x
0.84
ARX14.62+0.53+3.76%
0.05x
3.13
HPE27.34+0.89+3.39%
0.10x
35.08
WT18.12+0.66+3.78%
0.31x
2.47
AIRS2.67+0.11+4.30%
0.08x
0.18
SNOW148.74+4.76+3.31%
0.19x
49.77
FRSH8.86+0.32+3.75%
0.13x
2.38
ENLT84.73+2.86+3.49%
0.39x
11.40
GPRE15.39+0.57+3.88%
0.10x
1.04
YOU54.92+1.89+3.56%
0.06x
5.27
DOCN88.59+2.96+3.46%
0.05x
8.90
CGC1.19+0.05+3.95%
0.29x
0.48
LMRI10.03+0.37+3.80%
0.05x
0.93
WRBY25.75+0.89+3.56%
0.12x
3.04
CAR510.01+16.15+3.27%
0.27x
17.45
HTO60.12+2.07+3.57%
0.06x
2.43
GTN6.13+0.22+3.81%
0.11x
0.61
ASX29.47+0.88+3.08%
0.22x
62.62
IONR4.26+0.16+3.90%
0.05x
0.32
FSLY25.41+0.85+3.46%
0.10x
3.73
ADI382.29+10.84+2.92%
0.21x
181.34
DELL202.31+5.76+2.93%
0.13x
126.92
MSEX53.16+1.85+3.62%
0.11x
0.95
NAK2.19+0.08+3.55%
0.36x
1.18
TEM57.66+1.79+3.20%
0.25x
10.02
PRGS31.99+1.06+3.44%
0.05x
1.30
CMRC3.05+0.11+3.74%
0.17x
0.24
CWCO33.71+1.17+3.60%
0.10x
0.52
SSL12.54+0.38+3.17%
0.12x
7.75
PRE18.48+0.65+3.62%
0.17x
0.30
DOYU4.98+0.18+3.75%
1.03x
0.14
SWK73.50+2.16+3.03%
0.15x
11.08
BLND1.62+0.05+3.50%
0.08x
0.40
KVYO19.24+0.57+3.05%
0.18x
5.69
JBI5.72+0.18+3.34%
0.23x
0.77
APPN22.25+0.70+3.22%
0.08x
1.59
CROX109.08+3.21+3.04%
0.12x
5.32
AGL31.07+1.02+3.39%
0.03x
0.50
RPD5.88+0.20+3.43%
0.21x
0.37
HMH19.12+0.61+3.30%
0.02x
0.80
CABO111.11+3.59+3.34%
0.09x
0.61
DLTH3.43+0.12+3.63%
0.15x
0.12
BAND23.77+0.76+3.30%
0.30x
0.74
ABSI3.70+0.12+3.35%
0.15x
0.55
BWIN25.82+0.78+3.12%
0.07x
2.42
SLS5.39+0.17+3.26%
0.19x
0.94
WSC20.84+0.61+3.02%
0.15x
3.66
OSCR16.26+0.47+2.98%
0.15x
4.70
ADBE250.83+6.38+2.61%
0.34x
98.81
SPT5.71+0.19+3.35%
0.11x
0.33
MAN32.10+0.97+3.12%
0.08x
1.45
PTEN9.70+0.28+2.97%
0.10x
3.58
YOOV1.74+0.06+3.27%
0.02x
0.38
BTE4.18+0.12+2.96%
0.07x
3.00
ABX9.55+0.29+3.13%
0.12x
0.89
TYGO4.10+0.13+3.27%
0.09x
0.30
VIST66.81+1.83+2.82%
0.13x
6.78
CWT46.28+1.32+2.94%
0.11x
2.69
PAYC130.52+3.59+2.83%
0.03x
6.05
AWR78.13+2.21+2.91%
0.10x
2.98
CLVT2.76+0.08+2.99%
0.08x
1.72
CE63.77+1.73+2.80%
0.07x
6.94
ESTC48.91+1.35+2.84%
0.08x
4.92
DH1.06+0.03+3.40%
0.04x
0.11
TMC5.47+0.15+2.91%
0.19x
2.30
ARL14.60+0.46+3.25%
0.07x
0.23
DOCU46.99+1.25+2.73%
0.06x
8.89
DAVE257.86+7.15+2.85%
0.16x
3.32
MNDY66.84+1.85+2.85%
0.14x
3.32
TONX2.49+0.08+3.32%
0.06x
0.14
KGEI5.07+0.16+3.26%
0.06x
0.17
NOK10.56+0.25+2.47%
0.21x
57.56
BRZE23.30+0.64+2.82%
0.04x
2.57
VET11.81+0.33+2.87%
0.12x
1.75
CVGW28.00+0.83+3.05%
0.24x
0.49
ANGX2.70+0.08+3.05%
0.12x
0.48
UNCY7.25+0.23+3.21%
0.40x
0.18
PGEN4.09+0.11+2.89%
0.11x
1.41
LOT1.40+0.04+2.94%
0.38x
0.92
KLC3.19+0.10+3.07%
0.04x
0.37
ARDT10.20+0.29+2.88%
0.09x
1.42
CHWY28.24+0.72+2.62%
0.11x
11.47
LUD4.89+0.15+3.27%
0.06x
0.11
MRNA55.08+1.36+2.53%
0.22x
21.30
Biggest Losers
Symbol Price Change Change % Rel Volume Market Cap ($B)
ANAB50.15-17.37-25.72%
0.21x
1.94
AGIO26.35-8.79-25.01%
1.40x
2.06
SBC3.72-0.77-17.18%
6.14x
0.46
SIDU4.46-0.89-16.64%
0.49x
0.36
NNOX2.37-0.48-16.84%
1.73x
0.20
FRMI5.62-0.93-14.27%
0.99x
4.13
RYAM8.81-1.40-13.66%
3.10x
0.69
ICG1.45-0.23-13.69%
0.24x
0.10
OCGN1.75-0.24-11.81%
0.70x
0.65
MRLN12.08-1.50-11.07%
0.28x
1.15
VWAV6.35-0.74-10.44%
0.46x
0.17
ASTS78.48-7.05-8.24%
1.12x
25.03
NICM5.54-0.65-10.50%
0.03x
0.12
BZAI2.27-0.25-9.92%
0.32x
0.31
XNDU27.72-2.48-8.21%
0.32x
10.31
WSHP14.29-1.58-9.96%
0.11x
0.17
EBF19.64-2.03-9.34%
0.53x
0.55
GLND5.51-0.59-9.68%
0.11x
0.16
QXO23.12-1.88-7.52%
1.62x
18.08
BW16.95-1.41-7.68%
0.23x
2.49
CSHR5.22-0.47-8.26%
0.10x
0.37
ZEPP15.00-1.33-8.14%
0.10x
0.23
CLLS4.08-0.34-7.69%
0.04x
0.44
FLNC12.58-0.95-7.05%
0.24x
1.79
RENT5.08-0.43-7.80%
0.10x
0.18
BNAI35.12-2.89-7.62%
0.32x
0.22
AGEN4.42-0.37-7.62%
0.63x
0.18
IMOS43.89-3.20-6.80%
0.70x
1.65
IPSC2.42-0.19-7.12%
0.13x
0.47
IRD5.34-0.41-7.13%
0.48x
0.41
AXTI77.34-5.22-6.32%
0.31x
4.59
AENT6.62-0.50-7.02%
0.28x
0.36
HSAI21.84-1.41-6.06%
0.16x
3.65
CLF9.36-0.58-5.89%
0.43x
5.67
SRFM1.26-0.10-6.99%
1.14x
0.10
AMBR2.23-0.16-6.56%
0.19x
0.22
ZNTL4.34-0.29-6.36%
0.06x
0.33
INBX83.01-5.22-5.92%
0.18x
1.29
NAKA0.25-0.02-6.52%
0.24x
0.18
FJET5.90-0.40-6.35%
0.43x
0.28
FLX2.61-0.18-6.45%
0.12x
0.20
ALTS0.92-0.06-6.57%
0.36x
0.12
DEFT0.76-0.05-6.15%
0.08x
0.31
GCT48.91-2.89-5.58%
0.20x
1.90
SHAZ34.85-2.17-5.85%
0.17x
0.60
KLRA24.60-1.40-5.38%
0.04x
3.07
VOR15.67-0.92-5.55%
0.16x
0.81
FUFU2.33-0.14-5.67%
0.27x
0.41
NCLH19.96-1.02-4.88%
0.34x
9.56
CELH33.55-1.70-4.81%
0.36x
9.06
TLN349.08-16.27-4.45%
0.08x
16.59
GALT2.32-0.13-5.47%
0.18x
0.16
DFDV4.52-0.26-5.44%
0.38x
0.14
CAST3.32-0.19-5.41%
0.24x
0.14
KNSA42.83-2.07-4.61%
0.26x
3.44
UPXI1.38-0.08-5.49%
0.29x
0.10
KZIA10.50-0.60-5.41%
0.09x
0.13
BYRN6.30-0.36-5.33%
0.22x
0.15
PSNL6.40-0.33-4.90%
0.31x
0.70
SVM12.26-0.58-4.56%
0.18x
2.84
YDES5.17-0.27-4.96%
1.56x
0.38
CRCL101.60-4.31-4.07%
0.20x
26.18
PURR6.11-0.30-4.76%
0.19x
0.79
GOAI4.04-0.22-5.16%
0.03x
0.16
DOCS23.64-1.07-4.33%
0.18x
4.56
AGCC17.95-0.92-4.88%
0.08x
0.38
NNBR2.20-0.12-5.15%
0.23x
0.12
USAS6.26-0.29-4.43%
0.19x
2.13
NXT106.92-4.47-4.01%
0.07x
16.54
MFI11.44-0.56-4.67%
0.03x
0.60
ORMP3.69-0.19-4.90%
0.16x
0.16
AEM212.11-7.99-3.63%
0.16x
110.27
SEDG36.66-1.63-4.27%
0.13x
2.31
HDB26.52-0.99-3.58%
0.16x
141.16
PRQR1.90-0.09-4.77%
0.46x
0.21
ACMR48.50-2.11-4.17%
0.27x
3.33
BGIN2.98-0.15-4.64%
0.10x
0.35
CRML12.02-0.54-4.30%
1.06x
1.59
AAL12.28-0.50-3.95%
0.29x
8.44
QSI1.02-0.05-4.67%
0.49x
0.23
NKTX3.31-0.16-4.61%
0.63x
0.25
RCUS23.27-0.98-4.06%
0.20x
3.04
PAYP20.79-0.81-3.75%
0.13x
14.62
SBET7.67-0.33-4.07%
0.22x
1.58
DVLT0.73-0.03-4.27%
0.14x
0.46
FLYX2.72-0.13-4.56%
1.64x
0.13
MDXG3.27-0.15-4.25%
0.24x
0.51
CDE19.66-0.72-3.56%
0.06x
21.10
RCEL4.91-0.23-4.47%
0.12x
0.16
ORBS1.01-0.05-4.25%
0.15x
0.40
NPWR1.61-0.07-4.44%
0.17x
0.14
VGZ2.15-0.10-4.24%
0.20x
0.32
IOVA3.71-0.15-3.89%
0.20x
1.59
BRCB14.31-0.63-4.22%
0.10x
0.27
AGMB10.87-0.46-4.06%
0.11x
0.56
WLAC13.60-0.60-4.23%
0.16x
0.25
BMNR22.14-0.80-3.51%
0.17x
12.34
NRDY0.90-0.04-4.37%
0.27x
0.12
BETA17.39-0.66-3.66%
0.14x
4.15
AGX576.88-21.00-3.51%
0.09x
8.34
NYAX62.84-2.42-3.71%
1.85x
2.44
AAOI153.93-5.49-3.44%
0.14x
12.38
AAPG26.39-1.01-3.69%
0.24x
2.56
VSTM6.32-0.26-3.95%
0.24x
0.58
ZURA5.58-0.23-3.96%
0.12x
0.55
RAPP38.23-1.48-3.73%
0.05x
1.90
OFRM15.90-0.64-3.87%
0.11x
0.69
PLG1.90-0.08-4.04%
0.38x
0.25
INTC66.48-2.02-2.94%
0.22x
343.94
KOPN2.87-0.11-3.86%
0.11x
0.53
ISSC21.13-0.84-3.82%
0.13x
0.39
DRD30.93-1.10-3.43%
0.21x
2.78
ASM7.47-0.28-3.55%
0.26x
1.31
GERN1.62-0.06-3.57%
0.05x
1.08
SES1.17-0.04-3.72%
0.25x
0.44
SE88.61-2.72-2.98%
0.18x
54.07
ALOT12.82-0.53-3.97%
0.25x
0.10
AVO13.79-0.50-3.50%
0.16x
1.01
IPX31.73-1.15-3.48%
0.07x
1.12
BIOA17.84-0.65-3.52%
0.09x
0.82
IMUX0.96-0.04-3.85%
1.25x
0.13
VZLA3.39-0.12-3.42%
0.13x
1.23
GPCR49.10-1.65-3.25%
0.05x
3.60
SLQT0.75-0.03-3.81%
0.05x
0.14
MANE73.80-2.49-3.26%
0.10x
2.85
BBVA23.19-0.66-2.77%
0.12x
134.37
MAAS9.52-0.32-3.21%
0.28x
3.49
AU106.04-3.11-2.85%
0.11x
55.12
CGTX1.15-0.04-3.78%
0.17x
0.11
HL18.95-0.59-2.99%
0.12x
13.10
EXK9.86-0.32-3.19%
0.20x
3.01
VACH12.43-0.45-3.49%
0.46x
0.41
EVLV6.26-0.22-3.32%
0.16x
1.16
VANI1.29-0.05-3.73%
0.35x
0.11
MIST2.02-0.08-3.57%
0.26x
0.25
HCM15.24-0.50-3.18%
0.06x
2.71
XENE57.88-1.83-3.06%
0.11x
5.70
GLSI26.78-0.96-3.46%
0.33x
0.38
VNET9.10-0.29-3.14%
0.27x
2.67
MAMA14.20-0.49-3.34%
0.13x
0.60
IIIN25.34-0.88-3.36%
0.46x
0.51
RILY7.53-0.27-3.46%
0.29x
0.27
SILC27.68-1.02-3.55%
0.72x
0.16
KALA0.19-0.01-3.52%
0.07x
0.18
WING190.50-5.84-2.97%
0.12x
5.36
MUX25.09-0.82-3.15%
0.08x
1.54
TSEM220.20-6.25-2.76%
0.17x
25.55
KRRO13.90-0.49-3.42%
0.06x
0.21
VENU4.30-0.15-3.37%
0.36x
0.27
CRWV113.78-3.07-2.63%
0.28x
62.50
HURA2.82-0.10-3.42%
0.05x
0.19
TATT39.31-1.31-3.23%
0.14x
0.53
MMYT49.54-1.48-2.90%
0.06x
4.84
NU14.95-0.39-2.57%
0.13x
74.56
FULC8.03-0.26-3.20%
0.14x
0.55
W79.06-2.27-2.78%
0.09x
10.63
MARA11.26-0.34-2.89%
0.15x
4.41
PONY11.36-0.33-2.87%
0.10x
5.07
ESPR1.98-0.06-3.19%
0.15x
0.53
ASO56.94-1.70-2.89%
0.06x
3.77
IAG18.72-0.53-2.75%
0.11x
11.21
LCUT6.74-0.23-3.37%
0.25x
0.16
QNC2.78-0.09-3.14%
0.16x
0.63
NG10.63-0.31-2.83%
0.12x
4.80
SUIG1.43-0.05-3.38%
0.10x
0.11
RCL278.35-7.13-2.50%
0.14x
77.23
RLAY16.28-0.48-2.86%
0.15x
3.00
NBTX32.80-0.99-2.94%
0.10x
1.64
CMPX5.82-0.18-3.00%
0.13x
1.08
ELTX13.12-0.44-3.21%
0.10x
0.25
NCSM72.89-2.44-3.24%
0.40x
0.20
SBSW13.43-0.37-2.68%
0.11x
9.77
RUN12.05-0.35-2.82%
0.13x
2.92
BRR1.95-0.06-3.23%
0.06x
0.18
PANL7.66-0.24-3.06%
0.13x
0.52
NAUT2.94-0.09-3.10%
0.07x
0.38
AUGO106.24-2.90-2.66%
0.05x
9.14
NEM113.73-2.77-2.38%
0.12x
125.81
EXOD7.73-0.25-3.13%
0.19x
0.24
HIFS298.50-9.14-2.97%
0.12x
0.67
EAT153.96-4.18-2.65%
0.32x
6.89
RPAY3.98-0.13-3.04%
0.13x
0.34
EARN4.57-0.15-3.14%
0.50x
0.18
AOUT9.32-0.31-3.20%
0.05x
0.12
MMLP2.72-0.09-3.20%
0.04x
0.11
SNAP5.88-0.16-2.57%
0.11x
10.18
OGN9.49-0.27-2.72%
0.09x
2.54
LENZ9.88-0.30-3.00%
0.12x
0.32
XPEV17.65-0.45-2.49%
0.27x
17.30
EDU57.72-1.51-2.55%
0.06x
9.43
HMY18.20-0.47-2.52%
0.15x
11.67
KWR136.04-3.77-2.70%
0.18x
2.42
SRRK48.66-1.30-2.59%
0.05x
5.74
STX535.25-12.50-2.28%
0.19x
122.71
LAKE10.85-0.35-3.12%
0.89x
0.12
IKT1.77-0.06-3.01%
0.10x
0.24
ABCL3.90-0.11-2.77%
0.44x
1.22
RYDE1.44-0.05-3.03%
0.05x
0.19
MGRT113.00-3.16-2.72%
0.02x
1.60
PSNY17.57-0.49-2.71%
0.15x
1.67
Upcoming Economic Events

Date Impact Title Forecast Previous
2026-04-21 Low ADP Weekly Employment Change 39.3K
2026-04-21 High Core Retail Sales m/m 1.3% 0.5%
2026-04-21 High Retail Sales m/m 1.4% 0.6%
2026-04-21 High Fed Chair-Designate Warsh Testifies
2026-04-21 Medium Pending Home Sales m/m 0.0% 1.8%
2026-04-21 Low Business Inventories m/m 0.3% -0.1%
2026-04-21 Low FOMC Member Waller Speaks
2026-04-21 Low API Weekly Statistical Bulletin
2026-04-21 High Fed Chairman-Designate Warsh Testifies
2026-04-22 Low Crude Oil Inventories -0.9M
2026-04-23 Medium Unemployment Claims 210K 207K
2026-04-23 Medium Flash Manufacturing PMI 52.5 52.4
2026-04-23 Medium Flash Services PMI 50.1 51.1
2026-04-23 Low Natural Gas Storage 59B
2026-04-24 Medium Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment 48.4 47.6
2026-04-24 Low Revised UoM Inflation Expectations 4.8%
Upcoming Earnings
Date Time Symbol Name Fiscal Qtr EPS Forecast Last Year EPS # Estimates Market Cap Price Exp Move $ Exp Move %
Rates

Name Rate 1 Day 14 Day 30 Day Last Changed Last Updated
3-Month3.620.010.012026-04-102026-04-16
4-Week3.61-0.01-0.02-0.042026-04-152026-04-16
1-Year3.54-0.020.010.052026-04-152026-04-16
6-Month3.58-0.02-0.010.012026-04-152026-04-16
2-Year3.780.02-0.030.12026-04-152026-04-16
5-Year3.910.04-0.060.112026-04-152026-04-16
10-Year4.320.06-0.010.092026-04-152026-04-16
30-Year4.930.060.020.072026-04-152026-04-16
10-Year Minus 2-Year0.550.010.040.052026-04-162026-04-17
Federal Funds3.642025-12-102026-04-16
Federal Funds Target Upper3.752025-12-102026-04-20
30Y Jumbo Fixed Mortgage6.433-0.09-0.030.022026-04-162026-04-17
15Y Fixed Mortgage5.65-0.09-0.120.152026-04-092026-04-16
30Y Fixed Mortgage6.3-0.07-0.160.192026-04-092026-04-16
Credit Card Interest21.00.030.03-0.392025-11-012026-02-01
Fed Watch (/ZQ Fed Funds futures)
Full curve →

Market-implied probabilities from /ZQ futures. Current EFFR estimate: 3.67%.

Apr 29, 2026
/ZQJ26 · implied 3.65%
-2 bp
25bp cut
10%
Hold
90%
Jun 17, 2026
/ZQM26 · implied 3.63%
-1 bp
25bp cut
5%
Hold
95%
Jul 29, 2026
/ZQN26 · implied 3.61%
-2 bp
25bp cut
9%
Hold
91%
Kalshi vs /ZQ Divergences (top mispricings)
All divergences →

Scanning Fed decision markets for mispricings...

Top Poll
Donald Trump 226 polls
Latest: Apr 17, 2026
YouGov
Favorable 41.0% · Unfavorable 56.0%
n=1,118 · Adults · Apr 17, 2026
RMG Research
Approve 45.0% · Disapprove 53.0%
n=3,000 · Registered Voters · Apr 15, 2026
Quinnipiac University
Approve 38.0% · Disapprove 55.0%
n=1,028 · Registered Voters · Apr 13, 2026
YouGov
Approve 41.0% · Disapprove 58.0%
n=1,573 · Registered Voters · Apr 13, 2026
YouGov
Approve 38.0% · Disapprove 56.0%
n=1,748 · Adults · Apr 13, 2026

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Latest from the Blog
All Posts
Ten Empirically-Grounded Prediction Market Trading Strategies
2026-04-14

A technical survey of ten research-backed strategies for trading prediction markets, spanning favourite-longshot bias, cross-platform arbitrage, LP underwriting, combinatorial arbitrage, and dynamic hedging.

prediction-marketstrading-strategiespolymarketkalshiarbitragehedgingmarket-microstructure