Frenzy Capital — Live Market Snapshot & Analysis
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AI Market Analysis
🌅 Pre-Market Overview
The Iran closure of the Strait of Hormuz has lit a geopolitical powder keg that's forcing a brutal triage of risk appetite this morning. Crude is screaming higher—nearly six percent—while equities are getting shoved down across the board, with small caps taking the worst beating. This is the classic stagflation setup: energy shock meets growth headwind. The market's three-week winning streak just hit a wall. Trump's threat to attack Iranian infrastructure is adding gasoline to an already inflamed situation, and traders are rightly pricing in the chance that this doesn't resolve quietly. Risk-off is the only honest read here, despite yesterday's record closes and the Nasdaq's best winning streak since '92.
The cross-asset picture screams discord and fear. Bonds are selling off alongside equities—Treasury yields are dropping, not rallying—which tells you this isn't a "growth is too hot" selloff but rather genuine geopolitical dread. Copper and industrial metals are cratering while energy explodes higher; that's the tell of a supply shock, not demand destruction. Gold is down, which is unusual, but crypto is getting demolished harder, suggesting liquidity is being yanked from risk assets entirely to fund margin calls and hedging. The Russell 2000 is down nearly a percentage point more than the broad market, revealing that investors are abandoning small-cap exposure first. This is capitulation energy masquerading as a modest pullback.
⚠️ Risks & Opportunities
• Iran Strait closure is real risk-off, not noise—oil up nearly 6% overnight while equities down only 0.50%, and Russell 2000 down 0.91%, signals market is pricing geopolitical premium but severely underpricing energy shock if Hormuz stays shut; watch for capitulation or pivot to energy longs at cash open.
• Russell 2000 weakness (-0.91%) versus large-cap S&P (-0.50%) is the tell—small caps already in correction, defensiveness winning, and today's retail sales data (high impact) will either confirm demand destruction or trigger violent reversion higher in domestics; positioning fragile either way.
• Bond market rolling over (30Y down 0.22%, 10Y down 0.15%) while real yields still compressed is a warning flag that rates traders expect either Fed cuts or recession; if Warsh testimony today signals hawkishness, you'll see violent steepening and equities get another leg down.
• Crypto capitulation (Bitcoin -3.18%, Ether -5.26%) is layering onto equity weakness and signals risk-off money flow, not a standalone story; this is contagion from geopolitical + macro uncertainty, and crypto staying bid would've suggested retail wasn't scared yet.
• Energy sector -2.8% on heavy volume (1.59x) is completely disconnected from crude +6%—refiners and integrated oil getting hammered on margin compression fears despite pump prices surging, a classic forced-seller signal that creates opportunity if tensions ease.
• Open is red across the board, but magnitude matters: large-caps holding (-0.50%) means institutional bid is present; wait for retail sales at open to determine if this is quick shake-out into dip-buyers or start of larger unwind toward 7050–7075 support on /ES.
📰 Referenced News Articles
S&P 500:
- Dow Set to Open Down Amid Faltering Iran Peace Talks - Barron's - Barron's
- Messy War, Happy Stock Markets - The New York Times - The New York Times
- The Stock Market Sounds an Alarm for the First Time in 25 Years. Here's Where History Says the S&P 500 Is Headed Next. - The Motley Fool - The Motley Fool
- Markets News, April 17, 2026: Indexes Close Higher for 3rd Straight Week - Investopedia - Investopedia
- Analyst sends bold stock market message as S&P 500 hits new highs - thestreet.com - thestreet.com
Dow Jones:
- Stock futures decline as Iranian war tensions escalate: Live updates - CNBC - CNBC
- Dow Set to Open Down Amid Faltering Iran Peace Talks - Barron's - Barron's
- Stock Market Today: Dow set for 300-point fall, S&P 500 and Nasdaq to decline as oil climbs following Iran again shutting Strait of Hormuz - MarketWatch - MarketWatch
- Stock market today: S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow futures fall as US-Iran tensions flare up again to shutter Hormuz - Yahoo! Finance Canada - Yahoo! Finance Canada
- Stock Market Today: Futures Sink, Oil Jumps as Middle East Tensions Rise; Trump Says US Will Attack Iran Infrastructure If It Doesn't Make Peace Deal - Investopedia - Investopedia
NASDAQ-100:
- Stock market today: Dow leaps 850 points, S&P 500 and Nasdaq notch third straight record in stunning rally as US-Iran diplomacy gains steam - Yahoo! Finance Canada - Yahoo! Finance Canada
- Nasdaq scores longest winning streak since 1992 as historic stock-market comeback continues - MarketWatch - MarketWatch
- S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite close at fresh records as traders look past Iran war fears: Live updates - CNBC - CNBC
- The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Just Hit Record Highs -- but Wall Street's 2 Biggest Risk Factors Keep Getting Worse - AOL.com - AOL.com
- 4 charts that explain the market's wild ride lately — and what investors can learn - Business Insider - Business Insider
Russell 2000:
- Russell 2000 Delivers Breakout as Equal Weight Indices Move to Test Resistance - Investing.com - Investing.com
- Russell 2000 Index Price - US Small Cap 2000 - FOREX.com - FOREX.com
- Best 5 Russell 2000 ETFs to Buy in 2026 - The Motley Fool - The Motley Fool
- Small cap-focused Russell 2000 becomes first U.S. benchmark to enter correction territory - CNBC - CNBC
- Russell 2000 futures down 1% - marketscreener.com - marketscreener.com
Sector Performance
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Options Flow Sentiment
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Most Bullish
| Symbol | Score | Bull $ | Bear $ | C/P Ratio | Blocks | Sweeps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Most Bearish
| Symbol | Score | Bull $ | Bear $ | C/P Ratio | Blocks | Sweeps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Movers — Apr 17, 2026
Top Gainers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Rel Volume | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BZAI | 2.52 | +0.79 | +45.66% | 0.20 | |
| CRML | 12.56 | +3.29 | +35.49% | 1.12 | |
| MAAS | 9.84 | +2.36 | +31.55% | 2.80 | |
| LZM | 5.18 | +1.29 | +33.16% | 0.33 | |
| RPAY | 4.11 | +0.93 | +29.25% | 0.26 | |
| SHMD | 6.90 | +1.36 | +24.55% | 0.32 | |
| CADL | 6.37 | +1.21 | +23.45% | 0.38 | |
| NKTX | 3.47 | +0.67 | +23.93% | 0.17 | |
| NPT | 3.96 | +0.74 | +22.98% | 0.13 | |
| AGCC | 18.87 | +3.38 | +21.82% | 0.30 | |
| ANL | 16.01 | +2.32 | +16.95% | 0.70 | |
| STRZ | 20.09 | +2.89 | +16.80% | 0.28 | |
| AMC | 1.86 | +0.25 | +15.53% | 0.97 | |
| ABTC | 1.30 | +0.17 | +15.04% | 1.17 | |
| ZEPP | 16.33 | +2.30 | +16.39% | 0.20 | |
| CD | 5.57 | +0.75 | +15.68% | 0.37 | |
| HIVE | 2.51 | +0.32 | +14.87% | 0.63 | |
| PLSE | 23.40 | +2.89 | +14.09% | 1.34 | |
| MSTR | 166.52 | +17.58 | +11.80% | 49.78 | |
| TROO | 2.70 | +0.34 | +14.41% | 0.29 | |
| ANTX | 3.61 | +0.47 | +14.97% | 0.12 | |
| ONEW | 11.15 | +1.41 | +14.48% | 0.16 | |
| LION | 12.45 | +1.38 | +12.47% | 3.09 | |
| BMEA | 2.21 | +0.28 | +14.51% | 0.14 | |
| ROAD | 125.64 | +13.49 | +12.03% | 6.31 | |
| SNWV | 20.61 | +2.59 | +14.37% | 0.16 | |
| MXL | 26.27 | +2.92 | +12.51% | 1.97 | |
| SILC | 28.70 | +3.57 | +14.21% | 0.14 | |
| CIFR | 19.37 | +2.03 | +11.71% | 7.29 | |
| ELVR | 75.95 | +8.51 | +12.62% | 1.08 | |
| INFQ | 17.42 | +1.85 | +11.88% | 3.25 | |
| PLBL | 7.29 | +0.78 | +11.98% | 2.55 | |
| IESC | 537.58 | +54.20 | +11.21% | 10.55 | |
| COMP | 8.14 | +0.84 | +11.51% | 5.43 | |
| BAND | 23.01 | +2.59 | +12.68% | 0.61 | |
| FBYD | 13.57 | +1.52 | +12.61% | 0.53 | |
| KMTS | 22.81 | +2.40 | +11.76% | 1.18 | |
| GMTL | 20.64 | +2.21 | +11.99% | 0.70 | |
| ESAB | 109.55 | +10.62 | +10.73% | 6.17 | |
| ASST | 15.61 | +1.63 | +11.66% | 0.94 | |
| KOD | 44.90 | +4.49 | +11.11% | 2.60 | |
| CLPT | 11.79 | +1.29 | +12.29% | 0.31 | |
| CGON | 73.43 | +7.09 | +10.69% | 5.71 | |
| SMR | 12.65 | +1.24 | +10.87% | 3.73 | |
| CRVS | 16.74 | +1.70 | +11.30% | 1.27 | |
| DGXX | 3.10 | +0.34 | +12.32% | 0.20 | |
| UMC | 11.66 | +1.04 | +9.79% | 25.03 | |
| CAR | 493.86 | +44.88 | +10.00% | 13.98 | |
| OCUL | 9.82 | +0.96 | +10.84% | 1.94 | |
| ALK | 45.40 | +4.25 | +10.33% | 4.82 | |
| PROK | 2.18 | +0.23 | +11.79% | 0.29 | |
| LGIH | 43.56 | +4.36 | +11.12% | 0.91 | |
| MFI | 12.00 | +1.21 | +11.21% | 0.65 | |
| VOR | 16.59 | +1.62 | +10.82% | 0.76 | |
| CV | 6.01 | +0.61 | +11.30% | 0.30 | |
| HOV | 116.08 | +11.37 | +10.86% | 0.63 | |
| ABSI | 3.58 | +0.35 | +10.84% | 0.49 | |
| MGRT | 116.16 | +10.90 | +10.36% | 0.94 | |
| BETR | 41.23 | +3.90 | +10.45% | 0.63 | |
| DOMO | 3.80 | +0.38 | +11.11% | 0.13 | |
| GFS | 54.75 | +4.36 | +8.65% | 26.53 | |
| CBUS | 1.59 | +0.16 | +11.19% | 0.11 | |
| LOAR | 67.48 | +5.67 | +9.17% | 6.13 | |
| TGEN | 4.30 | +0.43 | +11.11% | 0.12 | |
| ONTO | 290.76 | +23.61 | +8.84% | 12.88 | |
| RXT | 1.47 | +0.14 | +10.53% | 0.30 | |
| BHVN | 10.98 | +0.97 | +9.69% | 1.56 | |
| MTRN | 181.95 | +15.40 | +9.25% | 3.39 | |
| BBBY | 5.74 | +0.53 | +10.17% | 0.39 | |
| ADV | 30.69 | +2.83 | +10.16% | 0.37 | |
| PII | 57.91 | +4.89 | +9.22% | 2.71 | |
| BOBS | 13.02 | +1.12 | +9.41% | 1.54 | |
| LDI | 1.79 | +0.16 | +9.82% | 0.52 | |
| RYAAY | 62.03 | +4.65 | +8.10% | 32.31 | |
| RNAC | 7.04 | +0.66 | +10.34% | 0.16 | |
| OPRT | 5.88 | +0.54 | +10.11% | 0.24 | |
| IHRT | 4.10 | +0.36 | +9.63% | 0.59 | |
| RH | 141.04 | +11.55 | +8.92% | 2.44 | |
| JHX | 21.75 | +1.67 | +8.32% | 11.57 | |
| DFH | 14.82 | +1.24 | +9.13% | 1.24 | |
| CBIO | 21.28 | +1.83 | +9.41% | 0.61 | |
| SEZL | 80.71 | +6.53 | +8.81% | 2.39 | |
| ALGT | 91.79 | +7.55 | +8.96% | 1.63 | |
| ALTG | 7.00 | +0.63 | +9.89% | 0.21 | |
| ALLY | 45.36 | +3.40 | +8.10% | 13.01 | |
| HYMC | 44.17 | +3.45 | +8.47% | 3.67 | |
| OPTU | 1.67 | +0.14 | +9.15% | 0.72 | |
| IDR | 43.32 | +3.64 | +9.17% | 0.62 | |
| EXOD | 7.98 | +0.70 | +9.62% | 0.23 | |
| TTMI | 126.24 | +9.31 | +7.96% | 12.11 | |
| RCL | 285.48 | +19.53 | +7.34% | 76.37 | |
| AKTS | 20.25 | +1.65 | +8.87% | 1.00 | |
| USAR | 19.95 | +1.52 | +8.25% | 4.00 | |
| MTC | 6.54 | +0.53 | +8.82% | 0.90 | |
| WAFD | 35.24 | +2.73 | +8.40% | 2.46 | |
| BIOA | 18.49 | +1.50 | +8.83% | 0.75 | |
| SUNB | 71.59 | +4.98 | +7.48% | 28.01 | |
| NG | 10.94 | +0.81 | +8.00% | 4.37 | |
| CAN | 0.57 | +0.05 | +9.00% | 0.36 | |
| FLS | 83.82 | +5.99 | +7.70% | 10.07 | |
| ENTG | 146.06 | +10.14 | +7.46% | 20.86 | |
| AOSL | 33.88 | +2.67 | +8.55% | 0.93 | |
| BTGO | 11.18 | +0.87 | +8.44% | 1.21 | |
| QNC | 2.87 | +0.23 | +8.71% | 0.62 | |
| SABR | 1.89 | +0.15 | +8.62% | 0.70 | |
| TKNO | 2.93 | +0.25 | +9.33% | 0.15 | |
| SKY | 81.33 | +5.96 | +7.91% | 4.19 | |
| IMDX | 3.84 | +0.33 | +9.40% | 0.11 | |
| SGI | 85.01 | +5.81 | +7.34% | 16.93 | |
| CVNA | 387.53 | +25.29 | +6.98% | 53.06 | |
| ODV | 3.65 | +0.28 | +8.31% | 1.02 | |
| FHTX | 5.29 | +0.43 | +8.85% | 0.29 | |
| UAL | 101.80 | +6.77 | +7.12% | 30.60 | |
| FORM | 137.21 | +9.53 | +7.46% | 10.10 | |
| TSHA | 6.43 | +0.48 | +8.07% | 1.72 | |
| NGNE | 27.85 | +2.22 | +8.66% | 0.37 | |
| CCL | 29.22 | +1.91 | +6.99% | 39.92 | |
| INOD | 46.93 | +3.51 | +8.08% | 1.43 | |
| KURA | 9.68 | +0.74 | +8.28% | 0.80 | |
| VICR | 218.05 | +14.95 | +7.36% | 8.81 | |
| CUK | 29.15 | +1.88 | +6.89% | 39.91 | |
| BBWI | 19.41 | +1.37 | +7.59% | 3.61 | |
| TTGT | 4.58 | +0.36 | +8.53% | 0.30 | |
| DAVE | 250.71 | +17.76 | +7.62% | 3.05 | |
| AMKR | 67.37 | +4.47 | +7.11% | 14.80 | |
| VIK | 85.80 | +5.49 | +6.84% | 36.21 | |
| AFRM | 64.50 | +4.22 | +7.00% | 19.86 | |
| SITE | 144.35 | +9.90 | +7.36% | 6.10 | |
| VIAV | 44.13 | +2.98 | +7.23% | 9.08 | |
| LEG | 12.03 | +0.87 | +7.80% | 1.55 | |
| WRLD | 141.38 | +10.52 | +8.04% | 0.66 | |
| SITM | 503.63 | +33.07 | +7.03% | 11.94 | |
| LBRX | 30.52 | +2.24 | +7.92% | 0.84 | |
| SHAZ | 37.02 | +2.76 | +8.06% | 0.59 | |
| NEXA | 16.00 | +1.13 | +7.60% | 1.94 | |
| FLX | 2.79 | +0.22 | +8.56% | 0.18 | |
| SRFM | 1.36 | +0.11 | +8.80% | 0.10 | |
| LGN | 73.77 | +4.97 | +7.22% | 5.35 | |
| EP | 2.98 | +0.24 | +8.76% | 0.10 | |
| MITK | 15.15 | +1.11 | +7.91% | 0.68 | |
| CALY | 15.36 | +1.06 | +7.41% | 2.53 | |
| FBRX | 33.92 | +2.49 | +7.92% | 0.61 | |
| IMVT | 29.30 | +1.95 | +7.13% | 5.58 | |
| GLOO | 7.99 | +0.59 | +7.97% | 0.51 | |
| ASM | 7.75 | +0.55 | +7.64% | 1.21 | |
| GALT | 2.45 | +0.19 | +8.41% | 0.17 | |
| RIOT | 18.11 | +1.19 | +7.03% | 6.60 | |
| WRBY | 24.86 | +1.69 | +7.29% | 2.90 | |
| PRAX | 342.50 | +22.11 | +6.90% | 9.47 | |
| LVWR | 2.02 | +0.15 | +8.02% | 0.37 | |
| CVCO | 539.06 | +36.01 | +7.16% | 3.90 | |
| MGA | 60.56 | +3.82 | +6.73% | 15.60 | |
| YETI | 41.17 | +2.78 | +7.24% | 2.92 | |
| GCT | 51.80 | +3.58 | +7.42% | 1.71 | |
| WULF | 20.64 | +1.33 | +6.89% | 8.56 | |
| BFH | 90.58 | +6.06 | +7.17% | 3.44 | |
| PPTA | 33.90 | +2.25 | +7.11% | 3.95 | |
| BZH | 22.13 | +1.59 | +7.74% | 0.64 | |
| HXL | 88.76 | +5.77 | +6.95% | 6.28 | |
| AMBQ | 34.76 | +2.48 | +7.68% | 0.67 | |
| ULCC | 4.55 | +0.32 | +7.57% | 0.92 | |
| ALV | 118.92 | +7.59 | +6.82% | 8.17 | |
| ROMA | 5.37 | +0.40 | +7.95% | 0.31 | |
| STM | 44.22 | +2.65 | +6.37% | 36.16 | |
| PACK | 4.12 | +0.30 | +7.85% | 0.33 | |
| HLLY | 3.32 | +0.24 | +7.79% | 0.37 | |
| HMY | 18.67 | +1.16 | +6.62% | 10.53 | |
| GOAI | 4.26 | +0.32 | +8.12% | 0.15 | |
| GT | 7.06 | +0.47 | +7.13% | 1.93 | |
| ZG | 47.01 | +2.91 | +6.60% | 10.47 | |
| URBN | 74.18 | +4.70 | +6.76% | 5.84 | |
| HIMS | 28.82 | +1.83 | +6.78% | 5.54 | |
| KTB | 77.29 | +4.97 | +6.87% | 3.98 | |
| NTRA | 208.40 | +12.29 | +6.27% | 29.37 | |
| PAYS | 6.29 | +0.45 | +7.71% | 0.32 | |
| PAL | 7.37 | +0.54 | +7.91% | 0.19 | |
| STRO | 31.55 | +2.20 | +7.50% | 0.49 | |
| AGBK | 7.80 | +0.52 | +7.14% | 1.25 | |
| FENC | 6.79 | +0.49 | +7.78% | 0.22 | |
| CACC | 527.56 | +33.00 | +6.67% | 5.35 | |
| KWR | 139.81 | +9.06 | +6.93% | 2.25 | |
| LIND | 20.96 | +1.39 | +7.10% | 1.31 | |
| IMSR | 7.61 | +0.52 | +7.26% | 0.76 | |
| OPRX | 7.17 | +0.53 | +7.98% | 0.12 | |
| SA | 33.60 | +2.13 | +6.77% | 3.35 | |
| NMRA | 2.15 | +0.15 | +7.50% | 0.38 | |
| OMER | 13.44 | +0.90 | +7.18% | 0.88 | |
| MHK | 108.83 | +6.68 | +6.54% | 6.36 | |
| IKT | 1.83 | +0.13 | +7.65% | 0.24 | |
| MMYT | 51.02 | +3.17 | +6.62% | 4.45 | |
| WSC | 20.23 | +1.27 | +6.70% | 3.45 | |
| GFI | 49.96 | +2.82 | +5.98% | 42.39 | |
| PONY | 11.69 | +0.72 | +6.56% | 4.84 | |
| MBUU | 26.54 | +1.81 | +7.32% | 0.46 | |
| Z | 46.86 | +2.78 | +6.31% | 10.44 | |
| WMS | 153.37 | +9.05 | +6.27% | 11.51 | |
| ELTX | 13.55 | +0.95 | +7.54% | 0.22 | |
| HGV | 49.02 | +3.01 | +6.54% | 3.85 | |
| EVEX | 2.94 | +0.19 | +6.91% | 0.96 | |
| DLTR | 105.93 | +6.00 | +6.00% | 19.99 |
Biggest Losers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Rel Volume | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZMH | 0.17 | -0.92 | -84.07% | 0.17 | |
| LNZA | 22.57 | -13.33 | -37.13% | 0.42 | |
| JLHL | 6.35 | -3.37 | -34.67% | 0.13 | |
| BMI | 115.54 | -36.75 | -24.13% | 4.58 | |
| CANG | 0.37 | -0.11 | -23.55% | 0.19 | |
| GLND | 6.10 | -1.86 | -23.37% | 0.14 | |
| OPTX | 9.10 | -1.95 | -17.65% | 0.40 | |
| MRLN | 13.58 | -2.51 | -15.60% | 1.20 | |
| ORBS | 1.06 | -0.18 | -14.52% | 0.43 | |
| LYB | 66.27 | -9.02 | -11.98% | 23.60 | |
| PBF | 37.16 | -5.47 | -12.83% | 4.76 | |
| DK | 37.23 | -5.22 | -12.30% | 2.45 | |
| NFLX | 97.31 | -10.48 | -9.72% | 454.77 | |
| DOW | 35.60 | -4.32 | -10.82% | 27.95 | |
| PSNY | 18.06 | -2.44 | -11.90% | 1.95 | |
| ANNA | 3.64 | -0.56 | -13.33% | 0.17 | |
| SWMR | 35.13 | -5.01 | -12.48% | 0.51 | |
| TRAXV | 22.51 | -2.89 | -11.38% | 0.85 | |
| UMAC | 14.09 | -1.82 | -11.44% | 0.74 | |
| VG | 11.46 | -1.22 | -9.62% | 30.24 | |
| CF | 112.68 | -12.03 | -9.65% | 18.56 | |
| CVI | 29.44 | -3.42 | -10.41% | 3.18 | |
| VWAV | 7.09 | -0.96 | -11.93% | 0.17 | |
| PARR | 57.33 | -6.38 | -10.01% | 3.08 | |
| ANTA | 9.30 | -1.15 | -11.00% | 0.22 | |
| PTEN | 9.42 | -0.99 | -9.51% | 3.77 | |
| CE | 62.03 | -6.31 | -9.23% | 7.24 | |
| IPI | 35.19 | -4.09 | -10.41% | 0.50 | |
| FLNC | 13.54 | -1.45 | -9.65% | 2.01 | |
| EVTL | 2.99 | -0.35 | -10.48% | 0.27 | |
| NEXT | 6.84 | -0.70 | -9.28% | 1.90 | |
| SIDU | 5.35 | -0.60 | -10.08% | 0.32 | |
| ALB | 197.75 | -17.87 | -8.29% | 21.85 | |
| RES | 6.53 | -0.67 | -9.31% | 1.55 | |
| LXU | 13.61 | -1.38 | -9.21% | 1.02 | |
| DVLT | 0.76 | -0.08 | -9.49% | 0.43 | |
| SOC | 13.11 | -1.26 | -8.77% | 1.90 | |
| VLO | 223.65 | -18.09 | -7.48% | 70.25 | |
| EQNR | 35.47 | -2.80 | -7.32% | 91.76 | |
| TALO | 13.50 | -1.26 | -8.54% | 2.42 | |
| ASIX | 21.57 | -2.13 | -8.99% | 0.62 | |
| CNQ | 43.00 | -3.31 | -7.15% | 95.51 | |
| GFR | 5.69 | -0.55 | -8.81% | 0.76 | |
| CHRD | 123.58 | -10.41 | -7.77% | 7.36 | |
| XNDU | 30.20 | -2.47 | -7.56% | 8.59 | |
| SPIR | 19.54 | -1.77 | -8.31% | 0.79 | |
| SM | 25.97 | -2.11 | -7.51% | 6.55 | |
| GRPN | 14.21 | -1.31 | -8.44% | 0.53 | |
| CMPX | 6.00 | -0.53 | -8.12% | 1.05 | |
| VET | 11.48 | -0.98 | -7.87% | 1.87 | |
| RDW | 10.34 | -0.88 | -7.84% | 1.97 | |
| SSL | 12.16 | -0.96 | -7.32% | 8.15 | |
| IIIN | 26.22 | -2.29 | -8.03% | 0.71 | |
| SQM | 88.80 | -6.51 | -6.83% | 25.03 | |
| BP | 44.59 | -3.04 | -6.38% | 118.75 | |
| SATL | 6.93 | -0.59 | -7.85% | 0.99 | |
| CAST | 3.51 | -0.33 | -8.59% | 0.16 | |
| PED | 14.53 | -1.34 | -8.44% | 0.20 | |
| MEOH | 54.13 | -4.23 | -7.25% | 4.45 | |
| AA | 65.62 | -4.79 | -6.80% | 18.57 | |
| GRNT | 4.95 | -0.42 | -7.82% | 0.71 | |
| FIG | 18.92 | -1.40 | -6.89% | 10.61 | |
| ERIC | 11.37 | -0.79 | -6.50% | 39.57 | |
| NUCL | 11.21 | -0.99 | -8.11% | 0.28 | |
| FLYX | 2.85 | -0.26 | -8.36% | 0.13 | |
| BNR | 20.67 | -1.83 | -8.13% | 0.22 | |
| AIFU | 1.34 | -0.12 | -8.22% | 0.17 | |
| RCAT | 12.72 | -0.99 | -7.22% | 1.58 | |
| YSS | 35.72 | -2.59 | -6.76% | 5.06 | |
| ZNTL | 4.64 | -0.38 | -7.57% | 0.38 | |
| WDS | 22.40 | -1.45 | -6.08% | 44.83 | |
| NUAI | 4.61 | -0.37 | -7.43% | 0.50 | |
| GPRE | 14.82 | -1.14 | -7.14% | 1.08 | |
| OLN | 26.09 | -1.89 | -6.75% | 3.16 | |
| LU | 1.89 | -0.14 | -6.90% | 1.68 | |
| RIG | 5.94 | -0.41 | -6.46% | 6.81 | |
| RGC | 28.67 | -1.90 | -6.22% | 14.74 | |
| ISBA | 45.75 | -3.62 | -7.33% | 0.36 | |
| CRGY | 11.81 | -0.82 | -6.49% | 4.00 | |
| VAL | 88.56 | -5.98 | -6.33% | 6.35 | |
| ASTS | 85.53 | -5.41 | -5.95% | 25.43 | |
| E | 52.25 | -3.14 | -5.67% | 79.73 | |
| DGNX | 0.51 | -0.04 | -7.65% | 0.12 | |
| TLSA | 1.24 | -0.10 | -7.46% | 0.17 | |
| NXTT | 1.87 | -0.15 | -7.43% | 0.16 | |
| CRC | 62.74 | -4.13 | -6.18% | 5.76 | |
| FET | 56.09 | -4.10 | -6.81% | 0.67 | |
| ALMU | 16.12 | -1.23 | -7.09% | 0.30 | |
| MPC | 213.69 | -12.55 | -5.55% | 65.68 | |
| TAC | 12.66 | -0.84 | -6.22% | 4.06 | |
| TONX | 2.41 | -0.19 | -7.31% | 0.14 | |
| AGRO | 12.47 | -0.85 | -6.38% | 1.90 | |
| CVE | 24.51 | -1.43 | -5.51% | 47.84 | |
| MUR | 36.87 | -2.37 | -6.04% | 5.48 | |
| OWLS | 5.29 | -0.38 | -6.70% | 0.50 | |
| OXY | 53.79 | -3.08 | -5.42% | 55.37 | |
| APA | 35.74 | -2.16 | -5.70% | 12.93 | |
| LBRT | 26.30 | -1.66 | -5.94% | 4.50 | |
| CHGG | 1.05 | -0.08 | -7.08% | 0.12 | |
| AHG | 2.00 | -0.13 | -6.10% | 1.89 | |
| GTE | 7.52 | -0.54 | -6.70% | 0.28 | |
| AIRO | 8.07 | -0.58 | -6.71% | 0.26 | |
| NTR | 70.62 | -3.91 | -5.25% | 35.29 | |
| MTDR | 55.60 | -3.30 | -5.60% | 7.09 | |
| BTE | 4.06 | -0.25 | -5.80% | 3.11 | |
| WLK | 112.61 | -6.39 | -5.37% | 14.76 | |
| PBR | 20.45 | -1.05 | -4.88% | 132.37 | |
| WTI | 2.87 | -0.19 | -6.21% | 0.43 | |
| KGEI | 4.91 | -0.34 | -6.48% | 0.18 | |
| OVV | 52.81 | -2.91 | -5.22% | 15.59 | |
| PPIH | 30.31 | -2.03 | -6.28% | 0.28 | |
| OIS | 10.22 | -0.65 | -5.98% | 0.65 | |
| NBIS | 157.14 | -8.20 | -4.96% | 42.20 | |
| PDS | 83.59 | -5.14 | -5.79% | 1.16 | |
| KOS | 2.48 | -0.15 | -5.70% | 1.53 | |
| AVAV | 191.42 | -10.57 | -5.23% | 10.04 | |
| FJET | 6.30 | -0.42 | -6.25% | 0.24 | |
| AMTX | 2.27 | -0.15 | -6.20% | 0.16 | |
| COP | 116.04 | -5.53 | -4.55% | 144.95 | |
| MUSA | 491.13 | -26.32 | -5.09% | 9.26 | |
| GPRK | 8.82 | -0.54 | -5.77% | 0.59 | |
| IMAX | 35.09 | -2.01 | -5.42% | 2.00 | |
| HSAI | 23.25 | -1.29 | -5.26% | 3.81 | |
| CENX | 62.24 | -3.37 | -5.14% | 6.34 | |
| PUMP | 13.96 | -0.80 | -5.42% | 1.78 | |
| PR | 19.42 | -1.00 | -4.90% | 16.92 | |
| REPX | 33.47 | -2.00 | -5.64% | 0.75 | |
| KRMN | 83.58 | -4.33 | -4.93% | 12.29 | |
| CNTB | 2.81 | -0.18 | -6.02% | 0.17 | |
| DINO | 57.15 | -2.96 | -4.92% | 10.51 | |
| GPCR | 50.75 | -2.75 | -5.14% | 3.84 | |
| LCID | 7.30 | -0.40 | -5.19% | 2.71 | |
| MENS | 2.44 | -0.15 | -5.79% | 0.20 | |
| HPK | 5.34 | -0.31 | -5.40% | 0.73 | |
| LNG | 251.07 | -11.67 | -4.44% | 53.95 | |
| AFJK | 45.31 | -2.69 | -5.60% | 0.31 | |
| HDL | 14.55 | -0.81 | -5.27% | 0.83 | |
| WBI | 25.14 | -1.36 | -5.13% | 1.25 | |
| KTOS | 70.99 | -3.42 | -4.60% | 13.99 | |
| PBR.A | 18.59 | -0.81 | -4.18% | 120.77 | |
| PSX | 156.37 | -6.96 | -4.26% | 64.73 | |
| SHEL | 87.81 | -3.69 | -4.03% | 251.30 | |
| BUDA | 9.43 | -0.57 | -5.67% | 0.13 | |
| NOG | 24.55 | -1.25 | -4.84% | 2.74 | |
| EOG | 128.43 | -5.64 | -4.21% | 70.92 | |
| TTE | 87.07 | -3.67 | -4.04% | 185.66 | |
| LPTH | 14.16 | -0.76 | -5.09% | 0.81 | |
| SU | 61.16 | -2.66 | -4.17% | 74.74 | |
| BTU | 25.65 | -1.28 | -4.75% | 3.42 | |
| INTT | 15.89 | -0.91 | -5.42% | 0.19 | |
| REI | 1.25 | -0.07 | -5.30% | 0.27 | |
| LQDA | 39.47 | -1.93 | -4.66% | 3.54 | |
| HNRG | 15.75 | -0.83 | -5.01% | 0.74 | |
| DSP | 11.61 | -0.65 | -5.30% | 0.21 | |
| SGML | 19.72 | -0.98 | -4.73% | 2.03 | |
| TROX | 9.12 | -0.46 | -4.80% | 1.48 | |
| BAK | 3.57 | -0.18 | -4.80% | 1.47 | |
| WB | 8.84 | -0.43 | -4.64% | 2.24 | |
| GRO | 3.07 | -0.17 | -5.25% | 0.17 | |
| XOM | 146.44 | -5.54 | -3.65% | 619.37 | |
| EVH | 2.84 | -0.15 | -5.02% | 0.32 | |
| TBN | 35.76 | -1.75 | -4.67% | 0.82 | |
| ACDC | 5.93 | -0.28 | -4.51% | 1.12 | |
| ALIT | 0.61 | -0.03 | -4.77% | 0.34 | |
| LAR | 8.80 | -0.41 | -4.45% | 1.34 | |
| MRSH | 175.80 | -6.77 | -3.71% | 84.49 | |
| CNR | 85.97 | -3.74 | -4.17% | 4.53 | |
| ECVT | 13.78 | -0.63 | -4.37% | 1.55 | |
| DPRO | 5.94 | -0.30 | -4.81% | 0.22 | |
| CDNA | 21.42 | -1.00 | -4.46% | 0.90 | |
| DAR | 57.95 | -2.41 | -3.99% | 9.28 | |
| BMM | 7.73 | -0.36 | -4.45% | 0.63 | |
| DKNG | 22.82 | -0.92 | -3.88% | 11.72 | |
| VNOM | 45.40 | -1.85 | -3.92% | 9.04 | |
| IMOS | 47.09 | -2.08 | -4.23% | 1.51 | |
| NICM | 6.19 | -0.30 | -4.62% | 0.15 | |
| LCUT | 6.97 | -0.33 | -4.45% | 0.18 | |
| FANG | 180.27 | -6.38 | -3.42% | 52.29 | |
| FTK | 15.62 | -0.67 | -4.11% | 0.59 | |
| PLYX | 6.12 | -0.27 | -4.23% | 0.31 | |
| SAFX | 0.42 | -0.02 | -4.32% | 0.18 | |
| USBC | 0.33 | -0.02 | -4.38% | 0.14 | |
| PL | 38.48 | -1.41 | -3.53% | 11.91 | |
| SPCE | 2.93 | -0.13 | -4.25% | 0.23 | |
| HP | 33.64 | -1.30 | -3.72% | 3.51 | |
| DVN | 44.23 | -1.55 | -3.39% | 28.11 | |
| NE | 46.77 | -1.73 | -3.57% | 7.56 | |
| CTRA | 30.89 | -1.08 | -3.38% | 24.00 | |
| SION | 43.54 | -1.70 | -3.76% | 2.03 | |
| VOYG | 31.31 | -1.23 | -3.78% | 1.77 | |
| EGY | 5.32 | -0.22 | -3.97% | 0.59 | |
| ALNY | 309.66 | -10.47 | -3.27% | 44.48 | |
| YOOV | 1.68 | -0.07 | -4.04% | 0.41 | |
| REKR | 0.89 | -0.04 | -4.27% | 0.13 | |
| IRDM | 41.85 | -1.56 | -3.59% | 4.02 | |
| SD | 14.38 | -0.59 | -3.94% | 0.55 | |
| XYL | 121.11 | -4.10 | -3.27% | 30.15 | |
| BL | 31.51 | -1.20 | -3.67% | 1.94 | |
| PBT | 21.41 | -0.84 | -3.78% | 1.01 | |
| FTI | 70.44 | -2.36 | -3.24% | 28.81 |
Upcoming Economic Events
| Date | Impact | Title | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Low | ADP Weekly Employment Change | 39.3K | |
| 2026-04-21 | High | Core Retail Sales m/m | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 2026-04-21 | High | Retail Sales m/m | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| 2026-04-21 | High | Fed Chair-Designate Warsh Testifies | ||
| 2026-04-21 | Medium | Pending Home Sales m/m | 0.0% | 1.8% |
| 2026-04-21 | Low | Business Inventories m/m | 0.3% | -0.1% |
| 2026-04-21 | Low | FOMC Member Waller Speaks | ||
| 2026-04-21 | Low | API Weekly Statistical Bulletin | ||
| 2026-04-21 | High | Fed Chairman-Designate Warsh Testifies | ||
| 2026-04-22 | Low | Crude Oil Inventories | -0.9M | |
| 2026-04-23 | Medium | Unemployment Claims | 210K | 207K |
| 2026-04-23 | Medium | Flash Manufacturing PMI | 52.5 | 52.4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Medium | Flash Services PMI | 50.1 | 51.1 |
| 2026-04-23 | Low | Natural Gas Storage | 59B | |
| 2026-04-24 | Medium | Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment | 48.4 | 47.6 |
| 2026-04-24 | Low | Revised UoM Inflation Expectations | 4.8% |
Upcoming Earnings
| Date | Time | Symbol | Name | Fiscal Qtr | EPS Forecast | Last Year EPS | # Estimates | Market Cap | Price | Exp Move $ | Exp Move % |
|---|
Rates
| Name | Rate | 1 Day | 14 Day | 30 Day | Last Changed | Last Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Month | 3.62 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 2026-04-10 | 2026-04-16 | |
| 4-Week | 3.61 | -0.01 | -0.02 | -0.04 | 2026-04-15 | 2026-04-16 |
| 1-Year | 3.54 | -0.02 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 2026-04-15 | 2026-04-16 |
| 6-Month | 3.58 | -0.02 | -0.01 | 0.01 | 2026-04-15 | 2026-04-16 |
| 2-Year | 3.78 | 0.02 | -0.03 | 0.1 | 2026-04-15 | 2026-04-16 |
| 5-Year | 3.91 | 0.04 | -0.06 | 0.11 | 2026-04-15 | 2026-04-16 |
| 10-Year | 4.32 | 0.06 | -0.01 | 0.09 | 2026-04-15 | 2026-04-16 |
| 30-Year | 4.93 | 0.06 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 2026-04-15 | 2026-04-16 |
| 10-Year Minus 2-Year | 0.55 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 2026-04-16 | 2026-04-17 |
| Federal Funds | 3.64 | 2025-12-10 | 2026-04-16 | |||
| Federal Funds Target Upper | 3.75 | 2025-12-10 | 2026-04-17 | |||
| 30Y Jumbo Fixed Mortgage | 6.528 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.16 | 2026-04-15 | 2026-04-16 |
| 15Y Fixed Mortgage | 5.65 | -0.09 | -0.12 | 0.15 | 2026-04-09 | 2026-04-16 |
| 30Y Fixed Mortgage | 6.3 | -0.07 | -0.16 | 0.19 | 2026-04-09 | 2026-04-16 |
| Credit Card Interest | 21.0 | 0.03 | 0.03 | -0.39 | 2025-11-01 | 2026-02-01 |
Fed Watch (/ZQ Fed Funds futures)
Full curve →
Market-implied probabilities from /ZQ futures. Current EFFR estimate: 3.67%.
Apr 29, 2026
/ZQJ26 · implied 3.64%
-3 bp
25bp cut
12%
Hold
88%
Jun 17, 2026
/ZQM26 · implied 3.63%
-1 bp
25bp cut
5%
Hold
95%
Jul 29, 2026
/ZQN26 · implied 3.61%
-2 bp
25bp cut
7%
Hold
93%
Kalshi vs /ZQ Divergences (top mispricings)
All divergences →
Scanning Fed decision markets for mispricings...
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Ten Empirically-Grounded Prediction Market Trading Strategies
2026-04-14
A technical survey of ten research-backed strategies for trading prediction markets, spanning favourite-longshot bias, cross-platform arbitrage, LP underwriting, combinatorial arbitrage, and dynamic hedging.
prediction-marketstrading-strategiespolymarketkalshiarbitragehedgingmarket-microstructure