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Hot CPI print sent tech and chips into a tailspin. Nasdaq down 2%, small caps approaching correction territory. Healthcare, staples, and energy led as bond yields swung. Rates traders now pricing higher for longer. DELL got hammered worst, sliding 11%. Risk-off mood persists; watch if VIX holds above 16.
Hot inflation reading puts rate hike back on the table. Tech and small caps take the hit as yields surge; memory chips extending losses. Healthcare and staples hold up. DELL leads declines as growth trade unwinds. Volatility spiking; rotation into defensives intact.
Crude oil ripping 1.35% higher as energy leads pre-market; chip weakness persists with Nasdaq futures slightly red ahead of CPI data. Russell 2000 outperforming on small-cap strength. Banks and healthcare under pressure. XLE
Earnings season kicks off with mixed results. Chip stocks under pressure as memory names slide, but energy rallies on oil strength. VLO leading the way as refiners capitalize on crude's 1% pop. Banks reporting mixed, healthcare struggles. Tech divergence persists; all eyes on guidance as rates hold steady.
Energy surges on Ukraine geopolitical risks while memory chips tank; tech breadth fades as earnings season tests market resolve. AMAT leads semiconductor selloff down 6.8% on capex concerns.
Crude oil tanking 2% pre-market while memory stocks drag Nasdaq futures down 0.59%; Dow and Russell 2000 holding small gains. Energy sector outperforming on geopolitical relief. Tech weakness persisting into the open. Watch XLK for today's semiconductor rotation.
Dow edges higher on energy strength, but tech weakness drags Nasdaq lower. Oil rallies on Ukraine supply fears while chip stocks including LITE crumble. Breadth deteriorates as mega-caps mask an ugly underlying tape; small caps take it on the chin. Energy and staples lead; discretionary and semiconductors lag hard.
Markets tread water as energy rallies on geopolitical tension. Tech rolls over with chip stocks dragging; LITE leads the decline down nearly 9%. Dow squeaks higher on oil strength, but breadth remains suspect. Big earnings week and CPI data loom; traders playing it cautious.
Futures flat to slightly green as earnings season looms; copper rallies 1.2% on growth bets while nat gas tumbles 2.4%. Oil holds gains above $90. Yields steady. Real estate and healthcare leading. SPY poised for mixed open.
Broad market closes higher with S&P 500 and Dow posting gains; tech rebounds while telecom gets hammered as SpaceX scoops spectrum. Real estate and healthcare lead. VIX slides to 14.79. TMUS down 13%.
Broadcom's AI chip dominance faces real competition; Oracle and Palantir surge as enterprise software powers through OpenAI weakness. Telecom gets hammered on SpaceX spectrum play. Dow outperforms, small caps flat. Treasury yields climbing, oil easing on geopolitical relief. Real estate and healthcare lead; comms services crumbles. LITE up 6% as optical components ride AI infrastructure tailwinds.
Nasdaq futures up 0.74% after yesterday's AI selloff, but tech remains under pressure as OpenAI revenue concerns linger. Palladium and silver lead metals with massive gains; crude down 1.2%. Small caps and energy staging a comeback. AAPL weighing on the tech rebound after iPhone order cut reports.

Stock Market Dashboard

Live indices, movers, options and volatility · Oct 14, 2026

Today's economic data

Actual vs forecast history

Times ET · updates automatically as numbers are released · σ = surprise vs the indicator's typical forecast miss

Top movers

Top movers, market cap $2B+. Select a column header to sort.
SymbolLastChgRel volMkt cap
SKYD Skydance Corporation 7.16 +54.37% 1.1x $46.7B
BSP Bending Spoons S.p.A. O… 53.44 +41.15% 5.6x $24.0B
LQDA Liquidia Corporation Co… 33.91 +26.48% 3.6x $2.4B
DAO Youdao, Inc. American D… 19.45 +7.34% 1.7x $2.2B
HALO Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc. 116.76 +6.51% 1.1x $12.4B
NRIX Nurix Therapeutics, Inc… 23.64 +6.85% 1.3x $2.4B
LEGN Legend Biotech Corporat… 19.01 +6.32% 1.5x $3.5B
RML Resolution Minerals Ltd… 5.03 +5.89% 0.5x $12.2B

Sector heat map

1D

Box size = relative volume (today vs the 20-day average), colour = 1-day change.

Fed rate odds

FedWatch
Oct 28 FOMCimplied
Hold
66%
+25bp
34%
Dec 9 FOMCimplied
Hold
13%
+25bp
87%

EFFR 3.88% · market-implied

Screeners

All

Economic calendar

Upcoming US economic events, times ET. Select a column header to sort.
TimeEventImpactActualFcstPrev
Today
Wed 10/14 05:40FOMC Member Bowman SpeaksL——
Wed 10/14 08:30Core CPI m/mH0.3%0.2%0.3%
Wed 10/14 08:30Core CPI y/yH2.6%2.5%2.4%
Wed 10/14 08:30CPI m/mH0.6%0.6%0.4%
Wed 10/14 08:30CPI y/yH3.7%3.6%3.4%
Wed 10/14 13:30FOMC Member Barkin SpeaksL——
Wed 10/14 14:00Beige BookL——
Wed 10/14 15:00FOMC Member Goolsbee SpeaksL——
Wed 10/14 16:30API Weekly Statistical BulletinL——
Wed 10/14 22:55FOMC Member Bowman SpeaksL——
Showing 1–10 of 32
Page 1 of 4

US events · times ET · H high · M medium · L low impact

Upcoming earnings

BMO before market open AMC after market close time not announced

Upcoming earnings in the next two weeks. Select a column header to sort.
SymbolDateEPS estExp. moveMkt cap
ASML ASML Holding N.V. Wed 10/14 BMO 12.47 −3.9% vs ±10.2% $674.6B
BAC Bank of America Corporation Wed 10/14 BMO 1.11 −4.8% vs ±6.3% $381.7B
MS Morgan Stanley Wed 10/14 BMO 2.83 −2.8% vs ±7.2% $298.4B
BLK BlackRock, Inc. Wed 10/14 BMO 14.01 +0.7% vs ±7.5% $167.9B
PGR Progressive Corporati… Wed 10/14 BMO 4.46 −4.2% vs ±6.6% $128.1B
FAST Fastenal Company Wed 10/14 BMO 0.34 +1.1% vs ±8.1% $59.1B
STT State Street Corporation Wed 10/14 BMO 3.65 −4.1% vs ±7.6% $48.1B
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor … Thu 10/15 BMO 4.45 ±7.7% $2.30T
Showing 1–8 of 282
Page 1 of 36

Market Commentary

Updated hourly
Updated: Live Data

📊 Market Overview

The inflation surprise today hammered growth stocks and reset Fed rate expectations in one violent move, which is exactly the market's nightmare scenario when valuations sit this high. Hot CPI prints do not just mean higher rates for longer; they mean the entire earnings-growth narrative that justified tech's massive run breaks down, and that's what we're seeing with the Nasdaq down nearly two percent and the Russell 2000 collapsing toward correction territory. The bond market is pricing in a higher terminal rate, which explains why long-dated treasuries are rallying even as equities sell off, a classic risk-off signal that institutions are rotating hard into duration and out of anything that requires perpetual growth assumptions. This is not a healthy correction; this is a reckoning.

Healthcare and Consumer Staples are the only refuges with real volume behind them today, which tells you where smart money is parking capital when the growth bet falls apart. The Dow's flat performance masks a brutal bifurcation: blue chips with pricing power and defensive characteristics are bid, while anything with multiple compression risk (discretionary, financials) is bleeding on heavy institutional selling. The cross-asset picture screams caution; copper is down hard alongside equities, energy rallies on dollar strength rather than demand, and precious metals are getting crushed despite the supposed "haven" narrative because rate hikes kill that trade. Watch the Russell 2000 and small-cap futures, which are matching the tech selloff point-for-point; if small caps cannot decouple, we're looking at a broad-based flight to quality that extends well beyond big tech.

⚠️ Risks & Opportunities

• Hot CPI printed this morning and the market is correctly punishing multiple compression in growth stocks, but the real tell is that bond futures rallied hard (30Y up 0.66%) while equities sold off, signaling investors are pricing in Fed cuts sooner than the terminal rate now reflects; this is a genuine disconnect worth fading into strength.

• Russell 2000 and mid-caps are breaking down faster than large-cap tech (RTY and EMD both down 1.9%+ vs SPX down 1.1%), which means rotation out of beaten-down value into defensive names is real, not just a narrative; small-cap correction territory is a screaming buy signal if you have a 6-month horizon.

• Semiconductors are cratering (memory chips specifically) on capex concerns, but copper is down 1.81% and crude is up only 1.08%, so this is a demand destruction story, not a geopolitical shock; stay short cyclicals and defensive positioning into tomorrow's PPI and retail sales prints makes tactical sense.

• Fed Chairman Warsh speaks tomorrow right after retail sales data, and if those numbers disappoint, expect the bond market to front-run another 25bp of cuts by December; the 3M/10Y curve steepness today (4.25% vs 4.47%) is already pricing this in, so duration is your hedge.

• Healthcare and Consumer Staples rallying 2.2%+ on heavy volume while Consumer Discretionary gets hammered is a classic recession-hedging move; money is rotating into safety, which means earnings expectations for growth are contracting faster than consensus revisions are catching up.

• Silver's 6.3% crater and platinum's 3.78% drop alongside gold's modest 1.3% decline suggests real rates expectations just shifted higher, not inflation fears; long-dated rate volatility (Ultra 10Y up 0.22%) is mispricing the probability of a hard landing relative to the soft landing consensus still baked into equity valuations.


🚀 Notable Movers

  • LLY climbed 3.8% as healthcare investors rotated into defensive pharma names on inflation concerns and broad tech weakness, with dividend growth stocks finding safer footing.
  • WMT surged 3.34% after September retail sales beat expectations and AI-powered chatbot adoption boosted customer engagement, positioning it as a consumer staples winner during market turbulence.
  • ABBV popped 3.32% alongside the healthcare sector rally, benefiting from its defensive positioning and dividend appeal as equities stumbled on hot inflation data.
  • MRK gained 3.83% on strength in oncology fundamentals and the flight-to-quality bid in pharma, as investors sought lower-volatility healthcare exposure during the 2% Nasdaq decline.
  • COST rallied 2.85% after strong September retail data and its fortress balance sheet attracted safe-haven demand; wholesale clubs outperform when consumer discretionary demand softens.
  • PG rose 2.27% as the consumer staples complex gained 2.2% on heavy volume, reflecting classic defensive rotation away from rate-sensitive growth and tech.
  • KO added 1.83% as dividend-paying staples outperformed on inflation jitters; the 50-day breakout added technical tailwinds to the sector's resilience.
  • JNJ climbed 1.95% after raising Q3 guidance, though upside was capped by medtech headwinds; healthcare's broad strength still lifted the healthcare giant.
  • CVX and XOM each rose roughly 2% as crude oil climbed 1.08% on supply recovery hesitation and the energy complex held firm while growth stocks tanked.
  • DELL cratered 11.56% as server capex concerns over Oracle's soaring infrastructure spending spooked investors about PC and server demand saturation; HPE fell 8.14% in sympathy, signaling fear that AI infrastructure buildout may be hitting diminishing returns.
  • ORCL plummeted 9.03% on mounting capex guidance worries heading into an earnings blackout period; the market read sustained high capex as a headwind to free cash flow and shareholder returns.
  • ARM slid 6.83% and MRVL dropped 8.59% as semiconductor weakness rippled through AI chip designers on concerns that elevated capex cycles and server saturation may pressure margins near-term.
  • LITE tumbled 9.23% and COHR fell 9.24% as optical components suppliers got caught in the broader tech selloff; the Nasdaq's 2% drop and chip sector angst spilled into adjacent hardware plays.
  • CIEN crashed 10.35% on network equipment fears stemming from infrastructure capex uncertainty; telecom suppliers face demand questions if enterprise AI spending moderates.
  • HOOD plummeted 8.64% as financial stocks and fintech lagged during broad equity pain; lower volatility and reduced options trading velocity typically hurt retail brokers.
  • BE dropped 9.36% as AI infrastructure skepticism hit power and cooling plays; energy infrastructure stocks suffer when server capex estimates contract.
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Bond Volatility Just Spiked While the VIX Slept. Is That a Signal to Buy Puts?
October 2, 2026

The MOVE index jumped 39% in a month while the VIX barely moved, and headlines say it's time to buy puts. We checked every similar split since 2004. The divergence is real, but as a signal to buy puts it has a poor record. Here are the numbers, episode by episode.

treasuriesvolatilityhedgingriskbacktestingstatistics

National polls

Polls & odds
Trump approval36.7% / 60.8%
net −24.1approve −0.7 in 30d
Generic ballotD +8.3
D 50.4 · R 42.1margin +1.4 in 30d
House
D 90%
Senate
D 63%

Average of the major poll aggregators, past 12 months. Control odds from prediction markets.

Mortgage rates

Rates & calculator
30-yr fixed · estimate7.34%
-2 bp since last print$2,754/mo on $400,000
15-yr fixed
6.71% +128 bp in a year
30-yr jumbo
7.47% +107 bp in a year
30-yr FHA
7.17% +102 bp in a year
10-yr Treasury
5.190% -2 bp today

Average rate borrowers locked, re-priced with the 10-year Treasury between daily prints. Not a quote.