Frenzy Capital — Live Market Snapshot & Analysis
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🌅 Pre-Market Overview
The Iran ceasefire extension is the overnight narrative dominating pre-market sentiment, and it's winning—at least for now. Equity futures are uniformly bid across all indices, with Russell 2000 and Nasdaq showing particular strength, signaling that traders are pricing in a geopolitical de-escalation that removes a key tail risk from the table. Energy is cooperating with the narrative (crude and heating oil modestly higher), suggesting oil markets aren't panicking about supply disruptions, while cryptos are surging on pure risk appetite. The tape reads decidedly risk-on: small caps outpacing mega-caps, rates stable to slightly higher at the long end, and the dollar holding steady. This is the goldilocks setup—just enough good news to push equities higher without triggering inflation concerns that would crater bonds. Watch whether this holds or if the headlines shift again by the open.
The cross-asset picture screams conviction in the ceasefire bet. Gold and silver are ripping higher alongside equities, which is the tell—this isn't a safe-haven flight, it's a genuine risk-on unwind where investors are buying everything. Precious metals climbing while equities rally indicates capital flowing back into risk assets broadly, not hedging against chaos. Crypto's 4-plus percent surge in Bitcoin and Ether confirms the animal spirits are alive. The real head-scratcher is that bonds are also rallying at the long end, which suggests rates may be pricing in a pause in any geopolitical shock—not inflation acceleration. If this holds and the S&P opens higher with small caps leading, you're looking at a broadening of the rally beyond the magnificent seven, a potential inflection point that's been missing from this market for months.
⚠️ Risks & Opportunities
• Russell 2000 outperforming large-cap (+0.88% vs S&P +0.56%) on ceasefire relief signals classic risk-on rotation, but this breadth strength is fragile—financials and consumer staples are rolling over, suggesting conviction is concentrated in energy and cyclicals, not broadbased.
• Gold and silver spiking hard (+1.23% and +2.04%) while equities rally is a red flag: safe-haven bid persists despite Iran deal headlines, indicating real money sees geopolitical tail risk as unresolved and is hedging accordingly.
• Bitcoin and crypto futures crushing it (+4.3%) while long-duration Treasuries rally (+0.14% in 30Y) creates a rate-expectations puzzle—either the market is pricing dovish Fed pivot on economic slowdown fears, or risk assets are repricing higher on pure sentiment without macro justification.
• Energy up only 0.43% despite geopolitical "all-clear" signal and two ships hit in Strait of Hormuz is a tell: oil traders are skeptical the ceasefire holds, keeping a lid on upside and flagging that the headline narrative (peace) doesn't match derivative positioning (caution).
• Thursday's flash PMI prints (manufacturing and services) are the real test—if they roll over after yesterday's record highs, expect a sharp washout in Russell 2000 and crypto, with money rotating hard into gold and defensives by midday.
• Small-cap breadth and crypto strength are classic late-stage liquidity expansion plays; with four consecutive days of record highs and Fed funds firmly anchored at 3.6%, this looks like a melt-up into stale longs rather than fresh conviction, making the open a sell-the-news opportunity on any Iran deal extension confirmation.
📰 Referenced News Articles
S&P 500:
- Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq slide amid US-Iran peace talk uncertainty - Yahoo Finance - Yahoo Finance
- 0.09% Biblically Responsible ETF Outperforms S&P 500 Index in Two Years Since Launch - Morningstar - Morningstar
- Putting In A Stock Market Top (SP500) - Seeking Alpha - Seeking Alpha
- Stock Market Today: S&P 500 Sector Leaders and Losers, 4/21/26 - TipRanks - TipRanks
- Stock Market Live April 21, 2026: S&P 500 (SPY) is Back in the Green on Cease Fire Hopes Again - 24/7 Wall St. - 24/7 Wall St.
Dow Jones:
- Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq slide amid US-Iran peace talk uncertainty - Yahoo Finance - Yahoo Finance
- Dow Set to Open Up as Trump Extends Iran Cease-Fire - Barron's - Barron's
- Stock Market Today: Futures Surge as Trump Extends Ceasefire With Iran; Oil Rises After 2 Ships Attacked in Strait of Hormuz - Investopedia - Investopedia
- Stock futures rise after Trump extends ceasefire with Iran: Live updates - CNBC - CNBC
- Stock Market Today: Dow Falls As Oil Prices Rise, Trump Extends Ceasefire; These Gold Miners Fall (Live Coverage) - Investor's Business Daily - Investor's Business Daily
NASDAQ-100:
- S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite close at fresh records as traders look past Iran war fears: Live updates - CNBC - CNBC
- Nasdaq Composite Jumps on Earnings Momentum, AI Spending and Mideast Deal Hopes - 24/7 Wall St. - 24/7 Wall St.
- The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Just Made History -- the Time to Be Fearful When Others Are Greedy Has Arrived - Yahoo Finance - Yahoo Finance
- Live Nasdaq Composite: Markets Mixed on Mideast Uncertainty as Apple Captures $4T Market Cap - 24/7 Wall St. - 24/7 Wall St.
- The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Just Hit Record Highs -- but Wall Street's 2 Biggest Risk Factors Keep Getting Worse - AOL.com - AOL.com
Russell 2000:
- Looking for Small-Cap Exposure? Here Is Why the Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF Deserves a Closer Look. - The Motley Fool - The Motley Fool
- Russell 2000’s Gains Fueled by Risk-On Trade as Small Caps Extend Run - 24/7 Wall St. - 24/7 Wall St.
- How major US stock indexes fared Tuesday 4/21/2026 - myMotherLode.com - myMotherLode.com
- Key Pivot Points for iShares Trust Russell 2000 Index Fund (IWM) - GuruFocus - GuruFocus
- Russell 2000 Delivers Breakout as Equal Weight Indices Move to Test Resistance - Investing.com - Investing.com
Click any bar to view constituents of that sector ETF.
Loading sector performance...
Most Bullish
Most Bearish
Top Gainers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Rel Volume | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VELO | 15.30 | +3.63 | +31.11% | 0.30 | |
| ZJK | 2.82 | +0.57 | +25.33% | 0.13 | |
| CAR | 713.97 | +105.17 | +17.27% | 17.45 | |
| POET | 10.25 | +1.66 | +19.32% | 1.11 | |
| GLND | 6.20 | +1.08 | +21.09% | 0.16 | |
| ANNA | 4.64 | +0.80 | +20.83% | 0.15 | |
| ARMP | 14.80 | +2.30 | +18.40% | 0.42 | |
| NVTS | 15.33 | +2.13 | +16.14% | 2.84 | |
| TYGO | 4.79 | +0.59 | +14.05% | 0.30 | |
| VMI | 458.77 | +48.89 | +11.93% | 8.07 | |
| CBIO | 24.57 | +2.88 | +13.28% | 0.65 | |
| MLI | 134.72 | +13.82 | +11.43% | 13.50 | |
| SWMR | 42.95 | +4.99 | +13.15% | 0.43 | |
| PALI | 2.80 | +0.30 | +12.00% | 0.40 | |
| PBI | 14.63 | +1.44 | +10.92% | 1.84 | |
| GRPN | 16.66 | +1.71 | +11.44% | 0.58 | |
| EGY | 5.94 | +0.59 | +11.03% | 0.55 | |
| ALAB | 191.97 | +16.17 | +9.20% | 29.63 | |
| OBE | 11.70 | +1.14 | +10.80% | 0.68 | |
| VICR | 246.24 | +21.43 | +9.53% | 9.89 | |
| FJET | 6.45 | +0.65 | +11.21% | 0.28 | |
| VFS | 4.76 | +0.41 | +9.43% | 9.85 | |
| CRVS | 17.14 | +1.60 | +10.30% | 1.41 | |
| AMPX | 21.43 | +1.82 | +9.28% | 2.56 | |
| VACH | 11.00 | +1.00 | +10.00% | 0.41 | |
| POWI | 67.37 | +5.54 | +8.96% | 3.26 | |
| NTRS | 171.74 | +12.75 | +8.02% | 29.50 | |
| FCEL | 9.49 | +0.84 | +9.71% | 0.38 | |
| HRMY | 32.14 | +2.61 | +8.84% | 1.74 | |
| UNH | 346.01 | +22.53 | +6.96% | 294.66 | |
| KSS | 15.87 | +1.26 | +8.62% | 1.63 | |
| HPQ | 21.09 | +1.50 | +7.66% | 18.18 | |
| PUMP | 15.08 | +1.18 | +8.49% | 1.71 | |
| BRBI | 15.62 | +1.30 | +9.10% | 0.41 | |
| GPRO | 1.40 | +0.12 | +9.37% | 0.21 | |
| PTEN | 10.56 | +0.79 | +8.09% | 3.58 | |
| WTI | 3.24 | +0.26 | +8.72% | 0.43 | |
| PBF | 40.69 | +2.94 | +7.79% | 4.36 | |
| RPD | 6.34 | +0.51 | +8.75% | 0.37 | |
| ACDC | 6.54 | +0.50 | +8.28% | 1.07 | |
| RCUS | 24.52 | +1.78 | +7.83% | 3.04 | |
| YSS | 41.35 | +2.88 | +7.49% | 4.56 | |
| REI | 1.42 | +0.11 | +8.40% | 0.26 | |
| SLGL | 75.89 | +5.89 | +8.41% | 0.24 | |
| AVEX | 35.99 | +2.58 | +7.72% | 1.31 | |
| OWLS | 6.39 | +0.47 | +7.94% | 0.47 | |
| FLXS | 50.04 | +3.79 | +8.19% | 0.25 | |
| SATL | 7.21 | +0.51 | +7.61% | 0.99 | |
| PHOE | 17.25 | +1.24 | +7.74% | 0.38 | |
| CRDL | 1.63 | +0.12 | +7.95% | 0.17 | |
| AVAV | 210.07 | +12.84 | +6.51% | 9.69 | |
| CLOV | 2.39 | +0.16 | +7.17% | 1.15 | |
| PNRG | 214.80 | +15.08 | +7.55% | 0.32 | |
| KFRC | 33.19 | +2.27 | +7.34% | 0.56 | |
| NRGV | 3.97 | +0.27 | +7.30% | 0.62 | |
| LBRT | 28.33 | +1.77 | +6.66% | 4.26 | |
| EVH | 3.15 | +0.22 | +7.51% | 0.32 | |
| BNTX | 111.60 | +6.41 | +6.09% | 26.03 | |
| BMI | 120.89 | +7.48 | +6.60% | 3.37 | |
| TYRA | 36.69 | +2.32 | +6.75% | 1.92 | |
| SHAZ | 38.98 | +2.59 | +7.13% | 0.60 | |
| TKNO | 3.13 | +0.22 | +7.56% | 0.16 | |
| HMH | 20.58 | +1.33 | +6.91% | 0.80 | |
| DHI | 162.20 | +8.86 | +5.78% | 43.40 | |
| NINE | 8.93 | +0.63 | +7.59% | 0.12 | |
| HPK | 6.06 | +0.38 | +6.69% | 0.68 | |
| VG | 12.09 | +0.64 | +5.59% | 28.45 | |
| MXL | 33.70 | +1.97 | +6.21% | 2.35 | |
| RBBN | 3.06 | +0.19 | +6.62% | 0.49 | |
| CTOS | 8.37 | +0.49 | +6.22% | 1.72 | |
| DOCN | 94.71 | +5.14 | +5.74% | 8.90 | |
| RES | 7.33 | +0.43 | +6.23% | 1.45 | |
| MSCI | 597.39 | +30.44 | +5.37% | 41.57 | |
| SILC | 31.65 | +2.05 | +6.93% | 0.16 | |
| AGRO | 13.50 | +0.78 | +6.13% | 1.78 | |
| AMR | 206.77 | +11.74 | +6.02% | 2.45 | |
| EQ | 2.15 | +0.14 | +6.97% | 0.13 | |
| HP | 35.63 | +1.96 | +5.82% | 3.42 | |
| HIMX | 11.64 | +0.65 | +5.91% | 1.94 | |
| METC | 14.93 | +0.86 | +6.11% | 0.92 | |
| AESI | 14.63 | +0.82 | +5.94% | 1.66 | |
| STLD | 220.21 | +10.86 | +5.19% | 28.99 | |
| YPF | 43.12 | +2.14 | +5.22% | 15.93 | |
| CRDO | 183.32 | +8.79 | +5.04% | 29.64 | |
| EQPT | 23.43 | +1.20 | +5.40% | 5.69 | |
| EXEL | 45.89 | +2.28 | +5.23% | 11.40 | |
| SMMT | 26.38 | +1.26 | +5.02% | 19.50 | |
| IMOS | 45.92 | +2.43 | +5.59% | 1.65 | |
| SRTA | 4.79 | +0.27 | +5.97% | 0.40 | |
| ALMR | 23.23 | +1.23 | +5.59% | 1.43 | |
| NMRA | 2.32 | +0.13 | +5.94% | 0.39 | |
| LCID | 7.11 | +0.36 | +5.33% | 2.67 | |
| GLUE | 20.89 | +1.08 | +5.45% | 1.58 | |
| TNGX | 27.77 | +1.38 | +5.23% | 3.80 | |
| EQNR | 37.65 | +1.64 | +4.55% | 88.40 | |
| MEOH | 58.37 | +2.87 | +5.17% | 4.19 | |
| QLYS | 86.28 | +4.28 | +5.22% | 2.97 | |
| TTGT | 5.15 | +0.28 | +5.75% | 0.33 | |
| BTU | 27.04 | +1.32 | +5.13% | 3.13 | |
| BRCC | 0.98 | +0.06 | +6.08% | 0.10 | |
| TALO | 14.56 | +0.72 | +5.20% | 2.27 | |
| CELC | 126.07 | +5.98 | +4.98% | 5.92 | |
| NTAP | 111.80 | +5.01 | +4.69% | 20.63 | |
| JLHL | 10.00 | +0.56 | +5.93% | 0.14 | |
| AURA | 7.44 | +0.39 | +5.53% | 0.47 | |
| SHIM | 5.53 | +0.30 | +5.74% | 0.19 | |
| CF | 121.31 | +5.37 | +4.63% | 17.31 | |
| FA | 13.25 | +0.64 | +5.08% | 2.18 | |
| KOS | 2.65 | +0.13 | +5.16% | 1.47 | |
| OFG | 44.71 | +2.16 | +5.08% | 1.81 | |
| RBB | 24.18 | +1.25 | +5.45% | 0.39 | |
| LEE | 8.76 | +0.47 | +5.63% | 0.18 | |
| DCBO | 18.21 | +0.93 | +5.38% | 0.43 | |
| PI | 118.32 | +5.46 | +4.84% | 3.39 | |
| DGX | 205.04 | +8.73 | +4.45% | 21.59 | |
| NEXT | 7.51 | +0.35 | +4.96% | 1.81 | |
| APA | 37.60 | +1.63 | +4.55% | 12.63 | |
| ODD | 15.48 | +0.74 | +5.02% | 0.87 | |
| CORZ | 20.77 | +0.90 | +4.53% | 6.26 | |
| DELL | 212.36 | +8.12 | +3.98% | 126.92 | |
| MTDR | 58.97 | +2.53 | +4.48% | 6.91 | |
| DOW | 38.31 | +1.54 | +4.19% | 25.62 | |
| STUB | 7.22 | +0.32 | +4.64% | 2.47 | |
| FSLY | 26.56 | +1.15 | +4.53% | 3.73 | |
| MX | 3.54 | +0.18 | +5.36% | 0.12 | |
| SYNA | 86.83 | +3.77 | +4.54% | 3.11 | |
| LYB | 71.42 | +2.84 | +4.14% | 21.39 | |
| FET | 57.48 | +2.65 | +4.83% | 0.64 | |
| ARL | 14.48 | +0.70 | +5.08% | 0.23 | |
| NKLR | 6.33 | +0.29 | +4.80% | 0.67 | |
| AEVA | 16.53 | +0.74 | +4.69% | 0.99 | |
| KRO | 6.62 | +0.30 | +4.75% | 0.73 | |
| HAL | 38.15 | +1.47 | +4.01% | 31.03 | |
| WINA | 405.24 | +17.79 | +4.59% | 1.39 | |
| CRWD | 449.61 | +16.46 | +3.80% | 107.52 | |
| SM | 28.08 | +1.15 | +4.27% | 6.23 | |
| GENB | 12.67 | +0.55 | +4.54% | 1.59 | |
| ZIP | 2.95 | +0.14 | +4.98% | 0.23 | |
| RDWR | 26.78 | +1.18 | +4.61% | 1.09 | |
| STX | 559.90 | +20.15 | +3.73% | 122.71 | |
| CVRX | 7.60 | +0.36 | +4.97% | 0.19 | |
| NBR | 82.82 | +3.59 | +4.53% | 1.17 | |
| ANET | 172.86 | +6.01 | +3.60% | 206.79 | |
| CNTX | 2.37 | +0.11 | +4.87% | 0.22 | |
| AMD | 284.49 | +9.54 | +3.47% | 453.87 | |
| ANTX | 3.80 | +0.18 | +4.97% | 0.13 | |
| BCBP | 9.80 | +0.45 | +4.81% | 0.16 | |
| CNCK | 2.01 | +0.09 | +4.69% | 0.25 | |
| PED | 15.65 | +0.70 | +4.68% | 0.19 | |
| PARR | 61.56 | +2.42 | +4.09% | 2.84 | |
| CLYM | 9.37 | +0.40 | +4.46% | 0.44 | |
| BIOA | 19.61 | +0.81 | +4.31% | 0.82 | |
| EGHT | 2.08 | +0.09 | +4.52% | 0.28 | |
| BH.A | 1629.60 | +65.72 | +4.20% | 1.06 | |
| AIOT | 3.58 | +0.15 | +4.37% | 0.46 | |
| AIP | 23.58 | +0.95 | +4.20% | 1.01 | |
| EC | 14.15 | +0.49 | +3.59% | 27.86 | |
| CNR | 88.65 | +3.31 | +3.88% | 4.36 | |
| OIS | 10.30 | +0.42 | +4.25% | 0.62 | |
| HNRG | 15.84 | +0.64 | +4.21% | 0.74 | |
| AEHR | 93.72 | +3.57 | +3.96% | 2.64 | |
| BKSY | 38.94 | +1.52 | +4.06% | 1.39 | |
| FANG | 189.80 | +6.35 | +3.46% | 50.71 | |
| ZS | 139.61 | +4.81 | +3.57% | 21.66 | |
| CCCC | 3.12 | +0.13 | +4.35% | 0.28 | |
| SLDP | 3.54 | +0.14 | +4.12% | 0.76 | |
| COP | 120.26 | +3.81 | +3.27% | 141.44 | |
| OXY | 56.33 | +1.85 | +3.40% | 53.34 | |
| HPE | 28.76 | +0.95 | +3.42% | 35.08 | |
| CGTX | 1.17 | +0.05 | +4.46% | 0.11 | |
| PANW | 174.96 | +5.40 | +3.18% | 136.13 | |
| ATOM | 6.61 | +0.27 | +4.26% | 0.21 | |
| OEC | 7.34 | +0.29 | +4.11% | 0.39 | |
| UP | 0.41 | +0.02 | +4.10% | 0.29 | |
| FTNT | 85.26 | +2.66 | +3.22% | 60.56 | |
| HUM | 217.36 | +7.02 | +3.34% | 24.63 | |
| GETY | 0.95 | +0.04 | +4.00% | 0.38 | |
| CDW | 141.41 | +4.56 | +3.33% | 17.14 | |
| CE | 65.77 | +2.20 | +3.46% | 6.94 | |
| VLO | 233.39 | +7.11 | +3.14% | 66.86 | |
| IFRX | 1.73 | +0.07 | +4.22% | 0.11 | |
| HWKN | 164.39 | +5.67 | +3.57% | 3.16 | |
| ANDE | 75.70 | +2.63 | +3.60% | 2.46 | |
| GPRE | 16.21 | +0.59 | +3.74% | 1.04 | |
| SOC | 14.08 | +0.49 | +3.61% | 1.93 | |
| CVI | 31.22 | +1.04 | +3.45% | 2.96 | |
| NOG | 25.57 | +0.85 | +3.44% | 2.60 | |
| ASTH | 32.55 | +1.10 | +3.50% | 1.75 | |
| ATEX | 44.14 | +1.54 | +3.62% | 0.79 | |
| FTI | 72.37 | +2.15 | +3.06% | 28.17 | |
| PKX | 69.12 | +2.08 | +3.10% | 20.15 | |
| TAYD | 58.80 | +2.19 | +3.87% | 0.18 | |
| PDS | 86.21 | +2.92 | +3.51% | 1.08 | |
| INVX | 26.58 | +0.88 | +3.42% | 1.76 | |
| CHRD | 131.13 | +4.07 | +3.21% | 7.01 | |
| ATAT | 38.46 | +1.21 | +3.25% | 5.14 | |
| ERAS | 22.41 | +0.70 | +3.22% | 5.91 | |
| PAC | 258.23 | +7.80 | +3.11% | 12.69 | |
| MPC | 220.35 | +6.23 | +2.91% | 62.93 | |
| MUSA | 512.45 | +15.67 | +3.15% | 9.09 |
Biggest Losers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Rel Volume | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSHP | 10.11 | -2.83 | -21.87% | 0.17 | |
| XNDU | 22.90 | -4.73 | -17.12% | 10.31 | |
| TPB | 70.59 | -13.95 | -16.50% | 1.57 | |
| WASH | 30.00 | -6.10 | -16.90% | 0.68 | |
| VSEC | 194.34 | -30.75 | -13.66% | 6.35 | |
| CRML | 10.34 | -1.60 | -13.40% | 1.59 | |
| NG | 9.39 | -1.36 | -12.65% | 4.80 | |
| TSCO | 39.57 | -5.24 | -11.69% | 23.68 | |
| KYTX | 9.71 | -1.54 | -13.69% | 0.60 | |
| AGL | 24.48 | -3.82 | -13.50% | 0.50 | |
| MAAS | 9.08 | -1.26 | -12.19% | 3.49 | |
| SIDU | 3.75 | -0.59 | -13.59% | 0.36 | |
| ULCC | 4.23 | -0.58 | -12.06% | 1.05 | |
| NEOV | 2.71 | -0.41 | -13.14% | 0.13 | |
| HELP | 4.93 | -0.68 | -12.12% | 0.27 | |
| PEGA | 39.29 | -4.51 | -10.30% | 7.37 | |
| CRCL | 96.02 | -10.34 | -9.72% | 26.18 | |
| MRLN | 12.14 | -1.52 | -11.13% | 1.15 | |
| HYMC | 39.41 | -4.56 | -10.37% | 4.02 | |
| TRON | 2.39 | -0.29 | -10.82% | 1.19 | |
| ORLA | 14.54 | -1.61 | -9.97% | 5.59 | |
| SII | 130.41 | -14.62 | -10.08% | 3.83 | |
| WTF | 3.90 | -0.51 | -11.56% | 0.19 | |
| AGEN | 3.91 | -0.51 | -11.54% | 0.18 | |
| ELE | 18.26 | -2.13 | -10.45% | 1.32 | |
| CAST | 2.74 | -0.36 | -11.61% | 0.14 | |
| BVN | 31.76 | -3.32 | -9.46% | 9.08 | |
| AGI | 44.54 | -4.41 | -9.01% | 20.72 | |
| LOAR | 62.13 | -6.44 | -9.39% | 6.32 | |
| COOK | 38.29 | -4.89 | -11.32% | 0.12 | |
| JELD | 1.25 | -0.16 | -11.35% | 0.11 | |
| IAG | 16.83 | -1.68 | -9.08% | 11.21 | |
| PPTA | 30.34 | -3.17 | -9.46% | 4.24 | |
| ENOV | 23.73 | -2.54 | -9.67% | 1.51 | |
| SATS | 123.86 | -11.25 | -8.33% | 38.48 | |
| HQ | 11.75 | -1.30 | -9.96% | 0.61 | |
| LFMD | 4.53 | -0.53 | -10.47% | 0.19 | |
| FLWS | 4.00 | -0.46 | -10.31% | 0.25 | |
| ATEC | 10.48 | -1.07 | -9.26% | 1.68 | |
| BYND | 1.04 | -0.11 | -9.91% | 0.38 | |
| ARIS | 19.01 | -1.82 | -8.74% | 4.32 | |
| SMR | 11.67 | -1.12 | -8.76% | 4.10 | |
| REPL | 1.86 | -0.21 | -10.14% | 0.18 | |
| FTAI | 236.74 | -20.56 | -7.99% | 26.58 | |
| BUR | 4.53 | -0.46 | -9.22% | 1.09 | |
| IMDX | 3.58 | -0.41 | -10.28% | 0.12 | |
| LWLG | 12.91 | -1.27 | -8.96% | 1.89 | |
| DQ | 20.17 | -2.01 | -9.06% | 1.47 | |
| GLDG | 1.20 | -0.13 | -9.77% | 0.30 | |
| OKLO | 62.61 | -5.52 | -8.10% | 11.60 | |
| GOSS | 0.38 | -0.04 | -10.14% | 0.10 | |
| KGC | 32.06 | -2.64 | -7.61% | 41.84 | |
| BEPC | 38.83 | -3.44 | -8.14% | 7.72 | |
| EQX | 14.17 | -1.22 | -7.93% | 12.32 | |
| INSP | 52.03 | -4.94 | -8.67% | 1.66 | |
| CGAU | 18.30 | -1.66 | -8.32% | 4.00 | |
| AAOI | 150.57 | -12.90 | -7.89% | 12.38 | |
| FMC | 15.87 | -1.48 | -8.53% | 2.15 | |
| COIN | 195.95 | -15.68 | -7.41% | 54.49 | |
| WATT | 23.53 | -2.54 | -9.74% | 0.14 | |
| AMC | 1.67 | -0.16 | -8.74% | 1.08 | |
| WALD | 0.93 | -0.10 | -9.70% | 0.13 | |
| GROY | 3.48 | -0.33 | -8.66% | 0.88 | |
| HTZ | 7.17 | -0.64 | -8.19% | 2.34 | |
| NOC | 611.13 | -45.85 | -6.98% | 94.49 | |
| ALEC | 2.46 | -0.25 | -9.06% | 0.28 | |
| PURR | 5.64 | -0.53 | -8.59% | 0.79 | |
| AUGO | 97.12 | -8.07 | -7.67% | 9.14 | |
| RKT | 15.91 | -1.21 | -7.07% | 46.89 | |
| TGB | 7.10 | -0.61 | -7.91% | 2.83 | |
| USAS | 5.98 | -0.52 | -8.00% | 2.13 | |
| CDNL | 47.77 | -4.37 | -8.38% | 0.79 | |
| IREN | 45.17 | -3.55 | -7.29% | 15.96 | |
| COYA | 4.53 | -0.46 | -9.22% | 0.11 | |
| OR | 39.54 | -3.20 | -7.49% | 7.99 | |
| IDR | 42.90 | -3.90 | -8.33% | 0.68 | |
| ASM | 6.99 | -0.61 | -8.03% | 1.31 | |
| QXO | 22.50 | -1.72 | -7.10% | 18.08 | |
| NAK | 1.95 | -0.17 | -8.02% | 1.18 | |
| LIND | 18.64 | -1.61 | -7.95% | 1.37 | |
| CHRS | 1.82 | -0.17 | -8.54% | 0.30 | |
| WLAC | 12.95 | -1.21 | -8.55% | 0.25 | |
| CTGO | 22.37 | -1.96 | -8.06% | 0.75 | |
| LION | 11.52 | -0.93 | -7.47% | 3.61 | |
| HBM | 23.85 | -1.82 | -7.09% | 10.28 | |
| INSG | 14.55 | -1.34 | -8.43% | 0.25 | |
| WW | 9.12 | -0.88 | -8.80% | 0.11 | |
| MUX | 23.81 | -1.98 | -7.68% | 1.54 | |
| SEV | 3.03 | -0.29 | -8.73% | 0.12 | |
| LITE | 836.92 | -58.19 | -6.50% | 63.84 | |
| IRWD | 4.07 | -0.35 | -7.92% | 0.72 | |
| GFI | 45.57 | -3.21 | -6.58% | 44.69 | |
| CDE | 18.44 | -1.34 | -6.77% | 21.10 | |
| TGEN | 4.45 | -0.42 | -8.62% | 0.13 | |
| VENU | 3.87 | -0.35 | -8.29% | 0.27 | |
| ODV | 3.47 | -0.29 | -7.71% | 1.11 | |
| RGTI | 18.25 | -1.39 | -7.08% | 6.58 | |
| VANI | 1.38 | -0.13 | -8.61% | 0.11 | |
| BTDR | 12.08 | -0.95 | -7.29% | 3.13 | |
| SUPX | 8.31 | -0.73 | -8.08% | 0.37 | |
| EU | 1.96 | -0.17 | -7.98% | 0.41 | |
| SGMT | 5.91 | -0.53 | -8.23% | 0.21 | |
| AEM | 203.09 | -13.30 | -6.15% | 110.27 | |
| ARQQ | 14.85 | -1.30 | -8.05% | 0.25 | |
| MNKD | 2.70 | -0.22 | -7.53% | 0.88 | |
| AMPH | 21.21 | -1.71 | -7.46% | 1.02 | |
| CDXS | 2.41 | -0.21 | -8.02% | 0.24 | |
| AG | 20.08 | -1.44 | -6.69% | 10.60 | |
| FIP | 5.48 | -0.45 | -7.59% | 0.69 | |
| GLXY | 24.95 | -1.85 | -6.90% | 4.96 | |
| TROO | 2.70 | -0.23 | -7.85% | 0.33 | |
| SRFM | 1.10 | -0.10 | -8.33% | 0.10 | |
| EXK | 9.38 | -0.71 | -7.04% | 3.01 | |
| VWAV | 5.56 | -0.49 | -8.10% | 0.17 | |
| SA | 30.75 | -2.29 | -6.93% | 3.62 | |
| ASPI | 5.06 | -0.41 | -7.50% | 0.68 | |
| BEP | 32.37 | -2.28 | -6.58% | 10.58 | |
| EAT | 147.71 | -10.60 | -6.70% | 6.89 | |
| ALOY | 10.09 | -0.81 | -7.43% | 0.68 | |
| PAYP | 19.56 | -1.35 | -6.46% | 14.62 | |
| PLAY | 12.80 | -1.04 | -7.51% | 0.50 | |
| ORBS | 0.93 | -0.08 | -7.57% | 0.40 | |
| PLG | 1.79 | -0.15 | -7.73% | 0.25 | |
| HL | 18.09 | -1.24 | -6.41% | 13.10 | |
| IKT | 1.67 | -0.14 | -7.73% | 0.24 | |
| EDIT | 3.30 | -0.27 | -7.56% | 0.34 | |
| MENS | 2.13 | -0.18 | -7.79% | 0.18 | |
| BILI | 23.37 | -1.60 | -6.41% | 10.48 | |
| BZAI | 2.14 | -0.17 | -7.56% | 0.31 | |
| CIFR | 18.04 | -1.25 | -6.48% | 7.85 | |
| GE | 286.73 | -16.87 | -5.56% | 317.76 | |
| CWH | 7.18 | -0.57 | -7.35% | 0.49 | |
| PLYX | 5.27 | -0.43 | -7.54% | 0.29 | |
| UPB | 9.26 | -0.73 | -7.31% | 0.54 | |
| RJET | 20.43 | -1.56 | -7.09% | 0.99 | |
| B | 40.45 | -2.51 | -5.84% | 72.55 | |
| PRU | 96.45 | -6.15 | -5.99% | 35.36 | |
| VSTM | 6.05 | -0.47 | -7.21% | 0.58 | |
| SARO | 25.11 | -1.70 | -6.34% | 8.90 | |
| WEST | 5.52 | -0.43 | -7.23% | 0.53 | |
| SSRM | 29.87 | -2.05 | -6.42% | 6.50 | |
| TXG | 22.97 | -1.62 | -6.59% | 3.33 | |
| CAN | 0.53 | -0.04 | -7.26% | 0.43 | |
| NNE | 23.78 | -1.75 | -6.85% | 1.35 | |
| KINS | 16.86 | -1.35 | -7.41% | 0.27 | |
| KALV | 19.43 | -1.44 | -6.90% | 1.05 | |
| BCRX | 8.58 | -0.61 | -6.64% | 2.38 | |
| TRX | 1.30 | -0.10 | -7.14% | 0.47 | |
| IMSR | 7.09 | -0.53 | -6.96% | 0.81 | |
| VMET | 12.46 | -0.91 | -6.81% | 1.19 | |
| IE | 14.38 | -1.01 | -6.56% | 2.42 | |
| KALA | 0.19 | -0.01 | -7.45% | 0.18 | |
| CUK | 27.30 | -1.68 | -5.80% | 40.40 | |
| AVAH | 6.41 | -0.46 | -6.70% | 1.47 | |
| CANG | 0.44 | -0.04 | -7.50% | 0.15 | |
| SLI | 3.54 | -0.26 | -6.84% | 0.93 | |
| UPXI | 1.33 | -0.11 | -7.64% | 0.10 | |
| MGNI | 13.08 | -0.92 | -6.57% | 1.98 | |
| LGO | 1.23 | -0.10 | -7.52% | 0.13 | |
| AU | 100.45 | -6.04 | -5.67% | 55.12 | |
| RUM | 6.44 | -0.46 | -6.67% | 1.36 | |
| ETON | 23.54 | -1.74 | -6.88% | 0.68 | |
| CCJ | 116.61 | -7.01 | -5.67% | 52.55 | |
| FRMI | 5.06 | -0.34 | -6.30% | 4.13 | |
| ECX | 1.20 | -0.09 | -6.98% | 0.45 | |
| LIF | 45.57 | -3.06 | -6.29% | 3.93 | |
| CCL | 27.36 | -1.65 | -5.69% | 40.47 | |
| SPWR | 1.13 | -0.09 | -7.38% | 0.15 | |
| CLF | 9.13 | -0.60 | -6.17% | 5.67 | |
| ALM | 21.94 | -1.43 | -6.12% | 6.60 | |
| SNAP | 5.64 | -0.36 | -6.00% | 10.18 | |
| TM | 203.97 | -11.28 | -5.24% | 283.09 | |
| SCZM | 8.49 | -0.61 | -6.70% | 0.85 | |
| HMY | 17.25 | -1.09 | -5.94% | 11.67 | |
| RDDT | 156.82 | -9.46 | -5.69% | 31.29 | |
| CMCL | 24.35 | -1.79 | -6.85% | 0.51 | |
| QBTS | 20.36 | -1.30 | -6.00% | 8.02 | |
| AIRS | 2.45 | -0.19 | -7.20% | 0.18 | |
| EVTL | 2.66 | -0.20 | -6.99% | 0.31 | |
| INFQ | 15.01 | -0.99 | -6.19% | 3.77 | |
| IAUX | 1.59 | -0.11 | -6.47% | 1.41 | |
| ICG | 1.38 | -0.11 | -7.38% | 0.10 | |
| CRDF | 1.65 | -0.13 | -7.30% | 0.12 | |
| QDEL | 12.04 | -0.85 | -6.59% | 0.87 | |
| TDG | 1205.67 | -68.95 | -5.41% | 71.49 | |
| HEI | 276.02 | -16.17 | -5.53% | 40.68 | |
| VIK | 81.32 | -4.77 | -5.54% | 38.27 | |
| BCYC | 4.93 | -0.36 | -6.81% | 0.37 | |
| SCOR | 7.73 | -0.60 | -7.20% | 0.12 | |
| MAKO | 7.69 | -0.54 | -6.56% | 0.72 | |
| SI | 13.88 | -1.02 | -6.85% | 0.31 | |
| EYPT | 14.11 | -0.96 | -6.37% | 1.25 | |
| HOOD | 86.43 | -4.84 | -5.31% | 81.70 | |
| OLLI | 88.14 | -5.54 | -5.91% | 5.78 | |
| CRMT | 12.96 | -1.00 | -7.16% | 0.11 | |
| MVIS | 0.65 | -0.05 | -6.93% | 0.20 | |
| TMCI | 1.83 | -0.14 | -7.11% | 0.13 | |
| ALPS | 0.93 | -0.07 | -6.99% | 0.17 | |
| ANRO | 25.59 | -1.74 | -6.37% | 0.97 | |
| ALTS | 0.86 | -0.07 | -7.04% | 0.12 |
| Date | Impact | Title | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Low | Crude Oil Inventories | -1.9M | -0.9M |
| 2026-04-23 | Medium | Unemployment Claims | 211K | 207K |
| 2026-04-23 | Medium | Flash Manufacturing PMI | 52.5 | 52.4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Medium | Flash Services PMI | 50.5 | 51.1 |
| 2026-04-23 | Low | Natural Gas Storage | 96B | 59B |
| 2026-04-24 | Medium | Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment | 48.5 | 47.6 |
| 2026-04-24 | Low | Revised UoM Inflation Expectations | 4.8% |
| Date | Time | Symbol | Name | Fiscal Qtr | EPS Forecast | Last Year EPS | # Estimates | Market Cap | Price | Exp Move $ | Exp Move % |
|---|
| Name | Rate | 1 Day | 14 Day | 30 Day | Last Changed | Last Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Month | 3.62 | 2026-04-17 | 2026-04-20 | |||
| 4-Week | 3.6 | -0.01 | -0.03 | -0.03 | 2026-04-16 | 2026-04-20 |
| 1-Year | 3.5 | -0.04 | -0.07 | -0.08 | 2026-04-17 | 2026-04-20 |
| 6-Month | 3.59 | 0.01 | -0.02 | -0.02 | 2026-04-17 | 2026-04-20 |
| 2-Year | 3.72 | -0.06 | -0.12 | -0.07 | 2026-04-17 | 2026-04-20 |
| 5-Year | 3.86 | -0.05 | -0.13 | -0.02 | 2026-04-17 | 2026-04-20 |
| 10-Year | 4.26 | -0.06 | -0.09 | 0.01 | 2026-04-16 | 2026-04-20 |
| 30-Year | 4.88 | -0.05 | -0.03 | 0.05 | 2026-04-16 | 2026-04-20 |
| 10-Year Minus 2-Year | 0.52 | -0.02 | 0.01 | 2026-04-20 | 2026-04-21 | |
| Federal Funds | 3.64 | 2025-12-10 | 2026-04-20 | |||
| Federal Funds Target Upper | 3.75 | 2025-12-10 | 2026-04-21 | |||
| 30Y Jumbo Fixed Mortgage | 6.538 | 0.11 | -0.03 | -0.06 | 2026-04-17 | 2026-04-20 |
| 15Y Fixed Mortgage | 5.65 | -0.09 | -0.12 | 0.15 | 2026-04-09 | 2026-04-16 |
| 30Y Fixed Mortgage | 6.3 | -0.07 | -0.16 | 0.19 | 2026-04-09 | 2026-04-16 |
| Credit Card Interest | 21.0 | 0.03 | 0.03 | -0.39 | 2025-11-01 | 2026-02-01 |
Market-implied probabilities from /ZQ futures. Current EFFR estimate: 3.67%.
Scanning Fed decision markets for mispricings...
Ten Empirically-Grounded Prediction Market Trading Strategies
A technical survey of ten research-backed strategies for trading prediction markets, spanning favourite-longshot bias, cross-platform arbitrage, LP underwriting, combinatorial arbitrage, and dynamic hedging.