Frenzy Capital — Live Market Snapshot & Analysis

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Market Analysis
Updated: May 21, 2026 11:03 AMLive Data
📊 Market Overview

The whipsaw from yesterday's Iran peace optimism to this morning's skepticism is the real story, and it's exposing a market struggling to find conviction after Nvidia's earnings failed to ignite the usual enthusiasm. Oil surging on doubts that a deal materializes tells you geopolitical risk premiums are back in play; equities are paying the price because growth narratives thrive in a low-risk-premium world. Tech is getting hammered hardest (Nasdaq futures down half a percent) while small caps tread water, which speaks to a subtle but important rotation: the market's either pricing in stickier inflation from energy shocks or it's genuinely worried that the AI supercycle story needs more than one quarter of strong earnings to sustain valuations at these levels. This is risk-off masquerading as a modest pullback.

The cross-asset setup screams caution. Treasury yields are climbing across the curve even as crude rallies, which is the inflation-worry trade, not the soft-landing bet. Copper and precious metals are all in the red, which breaks the normal risk-on pattern where both commodities rally together; you're seeing defensive positioning win out over cyclical enthusiasm. The Russell 2000 managing a tiny gain while the Nasdaq slides suggests institutions are pruning mega-cap tech exposure and shuffling into relative value trades rather than rotating into true growth. The dollar's holding steady despite yields rising tells you foreign flows aren't fleeing; this looks more like domestic portfolio rebalancing than a genuine macro shock. But watch that bond market closely: if yields keep climbing while equities stay under pressure, the comfortable high-rate environment that's powered 2026 could be tightening into something less forgiving.

🚀 Notable Movers
  • ARM surged as investors rotated into AI chip designers benefiting from Cerebras' blockbuster IPO debut, which validated demand for specialized AI processors competing against Nvidia's dominance.
  • IBM climbed on growing enterprise adoption of AI-powered backup infrastructure and ransomware-resilient storage solutions, with the Purpose Built Backup Appliance market projected to nearly triple to $22B by 2035.
  • SNDK gained as David Tepper's Appaloosa fund nearly doubled its position in the storage giant, signaling confidence that flash memory will be a critical bottleneck in the AI infrastructure build-out.
  • ANET advanced alongside the broader AI infrastructure trade as enterprise networking demand accelerates to support data center expansion, with the global market expected to grow to $73.9B by 2032.
  • STX rallied after billionaire Stanley Druckenmiller piled into memory and storage stocks, betting that AI training and inference workloads will drive massive capacity requirements beyond what the market currently prices in.
  • GLW climbed on a new strategic partnership with Nvidia for high-speed fiber optics infrastructure, positioning Corning as a critical enabler of next-generation AI data center connectivity.
  • VRT and WDC both moved higher as AI infrastructure stocks continued to attract institutional capital, with data center power and cooling systems becoming the overlooked bottleneck in the AI capex supercycle.
  • APP gained modestly as the shift toward AI-driven advertising and e-commerce expansion keeps expectations elevated despite the stock's already substantial run.
  • HON ticked higher on broad industrial strength tied to defense spending and automation plays, though momentum remains modest.
  • WMT dropped 6.92% after the CFO warned consumers face higher prices in coming months, signaling margin pressure from inflation that retail investors had hoped was behind us.
  • AMD and INTC both fell as the semiconductor complex faced profit-taking after an enormous run, with investors questioning whether valuations have gotten ahead of actual AI infrastructure spending visibility.
  • ADI sold off alongside the broader chip weakness as higher Treasury yields and geopolitical uncertainty over Iran negotiations weighed on risk appetite for cyclical names.
  • BABA fell sharply on reports of tighter U.S. export controls on advanced AI chips to China and concerns that Nvidia's RTX 5090D V2 ban could limit Beijing's access to cutting-edge silicon.
  • SONY dipped despite the Blackstone music catalog deal, dragged down by broader entertainment sector weakness and lingering concerns about PlayStation pricing power in a consumer-focused selloff.
  • INTU cratered 19.55% after Nvidia's earnings disappointed on guidance, sparking a broader rotation out of expensive software and SaaS names as growth investors reconsidered valuations in a higher-rate environment.
  • ADBE declined as the AI software rally hit a wall, with investors taking profits after the recent surge and questioning how much of the benefit is already priced in.
  • DE tumbled 7.45% as industrial stocks broadly capitulated amid rising Treasury yields, energy costs, and concerns that agriculture equipment demand may soften if farming margins compress.
  • CMI fell on industrial sector pressure and lingering uncertainty over clean energy adoption timelines and alternative fuel infrastructure rollout.
⚠️ Risks & Opportunities

• Oil up 3% on Iran peace deal collapse fears while equities sell off, but the real signal is that bonds rallied harder (10Y down 30bps) than stocks fell, suggesting rate-cut expectations are winning the narrative and any energy shock stays contained.

• Nasdaq futures down 0.5% and lagging small caps (Russell up 0.14%) screams mega-cap fatigue post-Nvidia earnings; tech got the floor show but failed to anchor the market, leaving room for rotation into names that benefit from lower rates, not just AI hype.

• Dollar strength (DXY +0.3%) paired with commodity weakness across copper, gold, and silver signals real money is still skeptical on growth despite the May 20 risk-on bounce, making this morning's pullback a potential bear trap if today's unemployment claims and PMI data come in soft enough to cement the Fed cut narrative.

• Russell 2000 outperformance while mid-caps lag the S&P 500 is unusual and worth watching; if small caps hold support into the jobs report, it points to genuine rotation into rate-sensitive domestic plays rather than panic selling.

• Crypto down (Bitcoin -0.95%, Ether -0.82%) alongside equities and bonds tells you there's no flight-to-safety bid for digital assets anymore, just correlation compression, which raises near-term volatility risk if jobless claims spike or services PMI disappoints.

• Iran peace deal uncertainty remains live ammunition for oil volatility but won't reprrice equities meaningfully unless WTI breaks 105; watch today's Philly Fed and unemployment claims as the real pivot points for whether that May 20 rally holds or rolls over into month-end profit-taking.

📰 Referenced News Articles

S&P 500:

Dow Jones:

NASDAQ-100:

Russell 2000:

📰 Movers News

Gainers:

Losers:

Analysis based on current market indices, rates, movers, and economic events
Sector Performance
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Options Flow Sentiment
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Most Bullish
Symbol Score Bull $ Bear $ C/P Ratio Blocks Sweeps
FAST1.000$25K$085.36144
CMPS1.000$62K$01.5734
GLW1.000$27K$01.4979
SIRI1.000$29K$033.231910
ARM1.000$472K$01.222433
BE1.000$181K$00.575038
QCOM1.000$60K$03.318476
CIFR0.988$26K$1664.954226
IBM0.946$2.9M$82K6.214063
RKLB0.890$247K$14K2.413431
Most Bearish
Symbol Score Bull $ Bear $ C/P Ratio Blocks Sweeps
CPB-1.000$0$35K2.8991
GS-1.000$0$10K1.8787
FIGR-1.000$0$72K4.0585
HON-1.000$0$42K3.34128
CLSK-1.000$0$26K1.001610
ARKK-1.000$0$13K1.242610
SOXL-0.997$253$154K0.285424
NVDL-0.996$215$114K2.12187
IBRX-0.982$6K$649K4.554520
AVGO-0.965$2K$132K1.685340
Movers — May 21, 2026
Top Gainers
Symbol Price Change Change % Rel Volume Market Cap ($B)
INFQ14.98+3.80+33.99%
5.70x
2.44
ARQQ16.93+3.84+29.33%
3.43x
0.20
QBTS24.03+4.73+24.51%
2.40x
7.15
RGTI21.00+4.12+24.44%
2.98x
5.61
GCTS3.42+0.67+24.64%
1.40x
0.23
AAP61.34+10.10+19.71%
1.73x
3.09
FCEL24.35+4.13+20.43%
0.93x
1.07
APLD46.65+7.13+18.04%
0.93x
11.29
NBIS223.06+31.24+16.28%
0.74x
48.70
SPOT501.22+67.90+15.67%
1.35x
89.10
BIRK38.97+5.76+17.33%
1.35x
6.11
DXYZ57.28+8.68+17.86%
1.21x
1.46
QUBT11.09+1.53+15.95%
1.54x
2.16
WOLF67.52+8.90+15.17%
0.48x
2.83
ABCL5.29+0.71+15.65%
0.67x
1.40
QMCO9.57+1.41+17.28%
1.37x
0.12
OPTX10.45+1.43+15.85%
2.95x
0.36
LAES3.28+0.43+15.09%
2.15x
0.63
BTQ3.25+0.43+15.25%
1.25x
0.40
CMTL4.24+0.59+16.03%
1.08x
0.11
IONQ58.97+6.50+12.39%
1.23x
19.59
ARM285.24+28.50+11.10%
0.96x
273.16
PLUG3.73+0.42+12.54%
0.58x
4.62
PLYX3.88+0.50+14.64%
0.88x
0.16
ADV40.83+4.94+13.76%
0.82x
0.48
OKUR4.07+0.51+14.33%
0.75x
0.14
RL366.59+37.35+11.34%
1.30x
19.93
WYFI27.33+3.14+12.98%
0.41x
0.93
LPL4.89+0.52+12.01%
0.39x
4.37
UP7.46+0.91+13.82%
0.18x
0.24
BE312.25+29.94+10.61%
0.82x
80.30
OPTU0.74+0.09+13.59%
0.47x
0.31
GFS77.81+7.02+9.92%
1.36x
38.82
AXTI115.78+11.17+10.67%
0.36x
6.84
DUOT10.13+1.12+12.38%
0.95x
0.26
LITE948.89+80.82+9.31%
0.54x
67.54
VACH12.30+1.29+11.72%
0.79x
0.35
AMPG4.97+0.54+12.19%
1.52x
0.11
ENPH58.41+5.26+9.90%
0.64x
7.01
ALMU23.26+2.31+11.03%
0.52x
0.38
DPRO6.10+0.62+11.31%
1.08x
0.20
RLAY14.31+1.29+9.91%
1.30x
2.49
BLDP5.24+0.48+9.98%
1.05x
1.44
IBM243.13+18.13+8.06%
1.76x
211.47
FBYD15.42+1.44+10.30%
0.47x
0.69
MP61.51+5.01+8.87%
0.76x
10.06
APYX4.19+0.40+10.55%
0.28x
0.16
FRVO41.25+3.24+8.52%
0.12x
10.78
HQ11.90+1.06+9.77%
1.24x
0.56
MRAM31.73+2.79+9.64%
0.31x
0.68
ENS232.92+18.36+8.56%
1.25x
7.91
VERI2.16+0.20+10.19%
0.73x
0.18
LWLG12.75+1.06+9.07%
0.32x
1.80
CRBP10.71+0.98+10.12%
0.63x
0.18
WGS48.80+4.07+9.10%
0.43x
1.33
WKEY9.89+0.90+10.01%
1.86x
0.10
RR2.69+0.23+9.15%
0.46x
0.55
BALY11.80+0.99+9.16%
1.89x
0.53
RDZN1.91+0.17+9.77%
0.54x
0.15
YSS28.00+2.15+8.32%
0.28x
3.35
EOSE7.71+0.60+8.44%
0.41x
2.41
SES1.14+0.09+9.13%
0.29x
0.38
QSI0.96+0.08+9.36%
0.93x
0.19
TLSA1.76+0.15+9.32%
3.15x
0.20
SKLZ7.90+0.69+9.57%
0.09x
0.11
ALMR21.85+1.69+8.38%
0.48x
1.40
ASTS96.16+6.58+7.35%
0.67x
26.76
MAAS10.99+0.80+7.85%
0.13x
4.51
STX801.66+50.59+6.74%
0.34x
168.41
SNDK1484.11+91.55+6.57%
0.40x
206.22
HUMA1.00+0.08+8.92%
0.44x
0.20
CMPS11.73+0.86+7.91%
0.59x
1.47
RUM7.95+0.58+7.87%
0.31x
1.59
ESEA77.11+5.91+8.30%
1.06x
0.50
CTEV23.01+1.77+8.33%
0.39x
0.36
IREN56.30+3.59+6.81%
0.46x
18.84
KURA11.14+0.80+7.79%
1.70x
0.92
OIO1.91+0.14+7.88%
0.06x
0.62
AIRJ4.08+0.31+8.22%
0.58x
0.26
SPTX16.99+1.21+7.67%
0.11x
0.84
USAR24.16+1.59+7.04%
0.55x
5.03
NKTX3.03+0.23+8.21%
0.33x
0.20
EVC8.84+0.63+7.67%
0.22x
0.76
GTX32.84+2.14+6.95%
0.46x
5.75
SEDG60.18+3.96+7.04%
0.43x
3.42
VELO19.93+1.42+7.67%
0.64x
0.55
MX5.47+0.41+8.10%
0.97x
0.18
GALT2.39+0.18+8.14%
0.31x
0.15
BDTX3.88+0.28+7.92%
1.51x
0.21
CIFR20.77+1.29+6.65%
0.39x
7.97
TONX3.54+0.26+7.93%
0.27x
0.19
GRRR14.44+1.03+7.64%
0.75x
0.37
OCS29.89+1.98+7.09%
1.02x
1.69
EPRX6.85+0.48+7.54%
0.60x
0.42
AAOI175.85+10.59+6.41%
0.46x
13.26
BOT30.33+2.09+7.40%
0.24x
0.57
PSNL8.52+0.57+7.17%
0.61x
0.83
CHGG1.32+0.10+7.80%
0.50x
0.14
FATE1.98+0.14+7.60%
0.18x
0.21
OUST32.97+2.10+6.81%
0.38x
1.97
AEHR87.85+5.51+6.69%
0.32x
2.59
OXSQ1.37+0.10+7.80%
0.57x
0.12
KRRO10.78+0.77+7.64%
0.81x
0.14
PODC4.33+0.30+7.44%
0.68x
0.11
CRDO193.37+10.39+5.68%
0.57x
33.75
LPTH14.53+0.88+6.41%
0.49x
0.86
EMAT8.00+0.44+5.82%
0.44x
4.49
BMRN53.01+2.80+5.59%
0.67x
9.70
SHMD7.43+0.45+6.45%
0.44x
0.40
CERT4.96+0.29+6.21%
0.36x
0.73
BHVN9.38+0.53+6.01%
0.43x
1.33
CABA3.65+0.21+6.25%
0.38x
0.56
SIRI28.52+1.47+5.45%
0.54x
9.11
MFI10.63+0.62+6.24%
0.03x
0.50
SIDU4.09+0.24+6.37%
0.65x
0.31
DFTX22.06+1.19+5.70%
0.22x
2.28
YSG2.33+0.14+6.39%
1.78x
0.21
PURR8.60+0.48+5.85%
1.57x
1.01
DMRC12.79+0.74+6.14%
1.07x
0.27
WULF22.74+1.11+5.13%
0.29x
10.72
CIEN580.56+25.80+4.65%
0.30x
78.44
CARL12.47+0.70+5.95%
1.06x
0.32
NAK2.09+0.11+5.57%
0.60x
1.11
COHR375.10+16.60+4.63%
0.30x
70.14
LASR74.97+3.67+5.15%
0.28x
4.02
ZURA4.32+0.24+5.75%
0.37x
0.39
ALPS0.73+0.04+6.10%
0.30x
0.11
RGNX6.32+0.35+5.78%
0.56x
0.31
LENZ7.62+0.42+5.83%
0.20x
0.23
HUT101.16+4.64+4.81%
0.25x
10.87
MVST1.32+0.07+5.60%
0.43x
0.42
GENB13.70+0.68+5.22%
0.93x
1.67
WDC479.36+19.74+4.29%
0.24x
158.42
NNBR2.50+0.14+5.93%
0.25x
0.12
BB6.51+0.31+5.01%
0.40x
3.63
BZAI1.48+0.08+5.76%
0.25x
0.20
NRGV5.04+0.25+5.32%
0.26x
0.85
AERO15.91+0.76+5.02%
0.30x
2.21
FPS46.82+2.08+4.65%
0.32x
10.92
ELVR86.67+4.19+5.08%
0.16x
1.40
CORZ24.27+1.09+4.68%
0.27x
7.37
FLNC19.87+0.93+4.91%
0.24x
2.52
RNW5.83+0.28+4.95%
0.36x
2.02
GLW188.02+7.33+4.06%
0.30x
155.51
FLGT17.26+0.85+5.18%
0.23x
0.47
SWMR33.00+1.63+5.20%
0.44x
0.34
PRE16.28+0.81+5.24%
0.29x
0.26
HOV102.86+4.85+4.95%
0.63x
0.58
SERV8.79+0.41+4.89%
0.40x
0.71
ASPN5.36+0.26+5.02%
0.18x
0.42
SLNH1.75+0.09+5.12%
0.42x
0.26
CRWV105.30+4.02+3.97%
0.54x
55.26
LAC4.98+0.22+4.62%
0.35x
1.67
TKNO3.89+0.19+5.14%
0.31x
0.20
SHAZ52.65+2.40+4.78%
0.56x
0.81
NL7.62+0.36+4.96%
0.14x
0.35
EGG9.45+0.45+5.00%
0.04x
0.25
DDD2.90+0.13+4.87%
0.35x
0.41
NNDM1.59+0.07+4.93%
0.29x
0.32
HDSN5.21+0.25+5.04%
0.85x
0.21
MTC6.84+0.31+4.75%
0.61x
0.65
TTMI176.26+6.90+4.08%
0.27x
17.59
VUZI4.74+0.22+4.87%
0.88x
0.38
ALM18.39+0.75+4.25%
0.30x
5.01
GH119.62+4.66+4.05%
0.53x
15.25
SMTC147.61+5.76+4.06%
0.43x
13.21
SPRY8.16+0.36+4.62%
0.20x
0.77
SMR10.84+0.45+4.28%
0.35x
3.60
ATOM8.05+0.37+4.82%
0.23x
0.30
SGMT6.96+0.31+4.74%
0.05x
0.41
NGL17.93+0.75+4.37%
0.28x
2.13
MDA41.79+1.66+4.14%
0.49x
5.57
QTRX2.65+0.12+4.96%
0.66x
0.12
BKKT10.65+0.47+4.62%
0.56x
0.45
LUD4.85+0.23+4.98%
3.00x
0.10
ODTX17.73+0.76+4.48%
0.35x
0.80
AOUT9.56+0.45+4.94%
0.55x
0.11
CDNA22.08+0.93+4.40%
0.27x
1.09
IKT1.76+0.08+4.76%
0.27x
0.22
RIOT24.61+0.94+3.99%
0.28x
8.95
UUUU17.47+0.69+4.11%
0.39x
4.19
BTDR13.82+0.54+4.10%
0.41x
3.23
FN687.08+24.87+3.76%
0.22x
23.73
TSQ6.51+0.30+4.83%
0.15x
0.11
ARTV8.20+0.36+4.53%
0.37x
0.38
AIAI13.95+0.58+4.33%
1.72x
0.94
RELL17.73+0.78+4.60%
0.87x
0.25
ANET145.31+4.82+3.43%
0.39x
176.90
TARA4.97+0.21+4.52%
0.49x
0.27
KEEL4.40+0.17+4.02%
0.45x
2.55
VRT326.44+10.76+3.41%
0.34x
121.25
ZNTL3.88+0.17+4.45%
0.21x
0.26
BTBT1.83+0.07+4.26%
0.40x
0.61
EVTL2.48+0.10+4.41%
0.31x
0.30
CD9.54+0.38+4.21%
0.60x
0.73
BTU24.28+0.92+3.94%
0.31x
2.85
PDYN6.23+0.26+4.36%
0.34x
0.28
AAPG20.57+0.79+3.97%
0.55x
1.85
ARBE1.04+0.05+4.52%
0.59x
0.12
PI142.38+5.20+3.79%
0.23x
4.18
Biggest Losers
Symbol Price Change Change % Rel Volume Market Cap ($B)
INTU305.36-78.57-20.46%
4.59x
106.18
MGRT98.39-24.10-19.68%
0.26x
1.68
DAVA3.26-0.74-18.50%
3.42x
0.21
BORR5.32-0.86-14.00%
2.59x
1.90
OFIX10.37-1.78-14.65%
1.45x
0.49
ODV2.52-0.42-14.12%
34.25x
0.90
WMT120.62-10.23-7.82%
1.67x
1043.00
YOOV0.72-0.09-11.09%
0.03x
0.18
BVS9.82-1.12-10.24%
0.85x
0.74
MWC6.42-0.73-10.23%
0.12x
0.42
GTN.A8.56-0.93-9.80%
1.88x
0.97
SLS8.12-0.86-9.53%
0.97x
1.67
DE518.45-42.01-7.50%
1.32x
151.38
NBTX39.39-3.77-8.73%
0.75x
2.09
BEKE16.70-1.37-7.55%
0.68x
19.35
LSPD8.21-0.75-8.37%
1.04x
1.23
EGHT2.06-0.20-8.85%
0.63x
0.32
DVLT0.40-0.04-8.54%
0.62x
0.38
IBRX7.46-0.59-7.27%
0.89x
8.43
FIGR34.03-2.37-6.51%
0.45x
8.05
PS36.33-2.41-6.22%
0.12x
15.50
WHF6.75-0.56-7.66%
2.14x
0.16
BL28.76-2.08-6.74%
0.44x
1.81
IMMX8.30-0.64-7.16%
5.31x
0.49
SOLS79.42-5.06-5.99%
0.41x
13.42
IMVT33.44-2.12-5.98%
0.84x
7.30
ACI16.05-1.00-5.89%
0.50x
8.43
ORN13.58-0.97-6.67%
0.38x
0.59
CMI634.50-35.38-5.28%
0.63x
92.43
ALTG5.12-0.38-7.00%
0.43x
0.18
HSLV5.25-0.36-6.33%
0.33x
1.14
IPHA2.05-0.15-6.82%
0.22x
0.21
NEGG19.26-1.31-6.37%
0.43x
0.43
NPK134.65-8.75-6.10%
0.29x
1.03
ATRO80.19-4.80-5.65%
0.45x
3.05
EDU47.28-2.66-5.33%
0.32x
7.95
HOG22.52-1.33-5.58%
0.30x
2.51
ASAN6.26-0.38-5.65%
0.24x
1.58
TATT37.19-2.35-5.96%
0.31x
0.51
HRB37.69-2.11-5.30%
0.43x
5.05
UXIN2.24-0.14-5.89%
0.68x
0.52
CC21.07-1.20-5.39%
0.43x
3.35
FLO6.84-0.40-5.57%
0.57x
1.53
RPD6.88-0.43-5.89%
0.29x
0.49
DAO11.71-0.69-5.56%
1.54x
1.50
NIPG0.44-0.03-6.36%
0.47x
0.11
CRVL60.82-3.44-5.35%
0.41x
3.29
QUAD7.08-0.44-5.92%
0.14x
0.39
NTES111.38-5.44-4.66%
1.62x
74.85
GTLB25.30-1.40-5.24%
0.21x
4.51
CHRN14.92-0.85-5.41%
0.57x
2.26
MCHP89.59-4.43-4.71%
0.19x
50.88
BTGO7.67-0.44-5.48%
1.49x
0.94
LU1.70-0.09-5.31%
0.89x
1.55
CNL15.54-0.86-5.24%
0.19x
1.52
INTA19.87-1.09-5.20%
0.37x
1.62
KRT26.15-1.51-5.46%
0.20x
0.55
CRBU1.89-0.11-5.75%
0.32x
0.20
GO7.70-0.44-5.35%
0.30x
0.80
IMDX5.83-0.36-5.74%
0.23x
0.20
AEBI11.61-0.65-5.30%
0.19x
0.95
LNZA7.91-0.50-5.89%
0.41x
0.11
PAY23.21-1.22-4.99%
0.32x
3.07
CURV1.30-0.08-5.80%
2.11x
0.14
NXT119.67-5.75-4.58%
0.40x
18.85
AGCO109.34-5.43-4.73%
0.49x
8.31
CNH9.97-0.49-4.64%
0.55x
12.97
WDAY121.00-5.61-4.43%
0.46x
31.61
CAN0.41-0.02-5.46%
0.59x
0.33
TEAM82.36-3.87-4.49%
0.18x
21.88
CACC531.53-26.41-4.73%
0.38x
5.84
BILI17.45-0.86-4.67%
0.68x
7.62
ROIV30.97-1.44-4.44%
0.45x
23.31
ATLN1.32-0.08-5.71%
0.03x
0.11
ISPR1.99-0.12-5.69%
0.35x
0.12
ATGL14.94-0.86-5.44%
0.11x
0.26
XPO201.47-9.26-4.39%
0.22x
24.74
CHA9.68-0.50-4.91%
0.45x
1.94
TAL9.98-0.49-4.63%
0.30x
6.37
FUL56.25-2.82-4.77%
0.63x
3.22
RKLB128.69-5.59-4.17%
0.58x
77.71
NP26.46-1.32-4.73%
0.16x
3.84
MNPR61.55-3.40-5.23%
0.46x
0.44
PBF39.81-1.94-4.65%
0.15x
4.94
HBNB5.72-0.30-4.92%
0.09x
1.41
SATL9.24-0.48-4.89%
0.52x
1.44
RNG41.48-2.03-4.68%
0.26x
3.65
PATH10.28-0.49-4.55%
0.29x
5.61
ZKH2.80-0.15-5.10%
0.28x
0.47
CNCK2.00-0.11-5.21%
0.02x
0.29
ADBE243.22-10.15-4.00%
0.35x
102.41
BZ13.44-0.63-4.48%
0.55x
6.38
MAMA14.67-0.77-4.99%
0.35x
0.63
SFM84.56-3.90-4.41%
0.25x
8.32
XMTR87.65-4.14-4.51%
0.16x
4.83
GTM3.49-0.18-4.80%
0.44x
1.08
MDB315.50-13.64-4.14%
0.53x
26.50
BNC2.56-0.15-5.35%
0.14x
0.12
PCOR45.46-2.08-4.38%
0.25x
7.17
WTF3.46-0.19-5.21%
0.91x
0.18
JLHL23.48-1.21-4.92%
0.07x
0.53
GLOB39.85-1.94-4.63%
0.22x
1.80
THC179.55-7.86-4.19%
0.17x
16.14
VHI12.20-0.64-4.98%
1.32x
0.36
NNNN30.36-1.48-4.66%
0.53x
1.40
SATS136.14-5.66-3.99%
0.51x
41.10
PARR58.10-2.70-4.44%
0.20x
3.05
JD31.18-1.28-3.93%
0.34x
43.84
BABA129.62-4.85-3.61%
0.50x
322.61
AMKR65.71-2.78-4.06%
0.38x
16.98
PRM32.08-1.42-4.25%
0.15x
5.46
WEAV5.61-0.28-4.75%
0.31x
0.47
TROX7.61-0.36-4.52%
0.21x
1.27
XRX2.42-0.12-4.81%
0.19x
0.33
DHX3.62-0.19-4.99%
0.14x
0.16
LAKE9.66-0.52-5.11%
0.22x
0.10
UIS2.83-0.15-4.88%
0.70x
0.22
KC13.37-0.59-4.23%
0.65x
4.18
ASTL4.70-0.23-4.67%
0.30x
0.52
NIQ8.19-0.37-4.32%
0.25x
2.53
AVEX25.10-1.17-4.45%
0.62x
1.33
HYMC32.61-1.45-4.27%
0.42x
3.11
IRWD3.74-0.18-4.59%
0.28x
0.65
CAG13.20-0.56-4.11%
0.63x
6.58
FIG21.68-0.90-3.99%
0.34x
11.93
AHG1.53-0.07-4.38%
0.02x
1.37
IBTA31.72-1.49-4.49%
0.25x
0.77
CBUS1.35-0.07-4.93%
0.19x
0.11
VOR14.86-0.69-4.44%
0.42x
0.84
BILL36.76-1.58-4.12%
0.24x
3.82
FA14.64-0.64-4.19%
0.12x
2.62
PD6.84-0.32-4.51%
0.15x
0.55
VNET9.79-0.43-4.16%
0.34x
2.91
ADI384.16-13.89-3.49%
0.43x
193.88
GDS35.20-1.46-3.98%
0.93x
7.35
PSMT159.31-6.67-4.02%
0.39x
5.13
SWKS71.47-2.88-3.87%
0.25x
11.18
EFX158.64-6.22-3.77%
0.32x
19.63
GDYN6.80-0.32-4.42%
0.24x
0.60
SRRK46.46-1.92-3.97%
0.22x
5.80
BLKB29.75-1.31-4.22%
0.18x
1.43
KD11.63-0.50-4.08%
0.26x
2.73
STLA7.25-0.28-3.72%
1.37x
21.82
ECVT13.39-0.59-4.18%
0.24x
1.53
NOW99.72-3.58-3.47%
0.38x
106.53
XPEL43.32-1.89-4.18%
0.30x
1.25
TDW81.24-3.32-3.93%
0.16x
4.21
ACDC7.43-0.32-4.13%
0.51x
1.40
AAON128.73-5.03-3.76%
0.16x
10.96
MWH37.24-1.48-3.81%
0.18x
7.84
WALD1.25-0.06-4.58%
0.03x
0.17
NXPI299.43-10.72-3.46%
0.16x
78.30
NABL3.48-0.16-4.26%
0.34x
0.69
RERE4.96-0.21-4.15%
0.76x
1.15
ODD11.98-0.53-4.24%
0.23x
0.71
SVM12.06-0.50-3.94%
0.23x
2.77
LAW3.67-0.17-4.43%
0.10x
0.25
ZBRA234.49-8.98-3.69%
0.20x
11.60
OFRM15.26-0.67-4.21%
0.25x
0.67
LVWR1.31-0.06-4.38%
0.52x
0.28
CCSI27.08-1.20-4.24%
0.64x
0.52
OPRT5.21-0.24-4.40%
0.20x
0.25
ABNB131.01-4.54-3.35%
0.22x
80.45
ZIP3.21-0.15-4.33%
0.18x
0.27
MD21.59-0.88-3.94%
0.22x
1.85
RENT3.62-0.17-4.49%
0.35x
0.13
ENOV25.41-1.05-3.95%
0.31x
1.52
ATAT35.77-1.38-3.71%
0.41x
5.05
MSB24.98-1.09-4.20%
0.85x
0.34
FSLY16.47-0.65-3.80%
0.13x
2.68
BIDU130.72-4.50-3.33%
0.38x
46.01
GUTS0.88-0.04-4.34%
0.17x
0.15
YELP21.59-0.88-3.89%
0.31x
1.24
HRI127.78-4.84-3.65%
0.12x
4.43
ONDS9.02-0.34-3.63%
0.35x
4.64
GXO45.85-1.71-3.60%
0.18x
5.47
HIVE3.72-0.15-3.88%
0.81x
0.98
NRDY0.78-0.04-4.35%
0.22x
0.10
PMTS15.37-0.67-4.21%
0.34x
0.18
YRD1.82-0.08-4.21%
1.14x
0.17
GPGI11.57-0.44-3.62%
0.13x
3.48
TRON1.88-0.07-3.85%
0.22x
0.93
COST1042.30-31.71-2.95%
0.46x
476.49
CGTX1.24-0.05-4.26%
0.43x
0.12
HURA2.29-0.10-4.18%
0.20x
0.15
CGEN2.60-0.11-4.07%
0.35x
0.26
ASTH37.34-1.42-3.66%
0.14x
1.92
CRM174.62-5.47-3.04%
0.28x
147.33
SPIR19.32-0.76-3.81%
0.32x
0.78
BCRX8.43-0.31-3.60%
0.23x
2.22
ISRG435.57-13.46-3.00%
0.22x
159.03
BUUU18.00-0.74-3.95%
1.15x
0.31
NOMD10.04-0.38-3.65%
0.18x
1.46
AXGN41.17-1.52-3.56%
0.13x
2.27
USGO10.62-0.45-4.07%
0.16x
0.15
BLMN7.57-0.29-3.75%
0.13x
0.67
CASY825.78-26.73-3.14%
0.21x
31.51
HERE2.37-0.10-4.05%
0.64x
0.13
TTGT4.64-0.19-3.83%
0.17x
0.35
ASPI5.07-0.19-3.71%
0.54x
0.66
Pre-Market Gainers
Symbol Price Change Change % Market Cap ($B)
Pre-Market Losers
Symbol Price Change Change % Market Cap ($B)
Upcoming Economic Events

Date Impact Title Forecast Previous
2026-05-21 Medium Philly Fed Manufacturing Index 17.6 26.7
2026-05-21 Medium Unemployment Claims 210K 211K
2026-05-21 Low Building Permits 1.38M 1.37M
2026-05-21 Low Housing Starts 1.42M 1.50M
2026-05-21 Medium Flash Manufacturing PMI 53.8 54.0
2026-05-21 Medium Flash Services PMI 51.1 51.3
2026-05-21 Low Natural Gas Storage 96B 85B
2026-05-21 Low FOMC Member Barkin Speaks
2026-05-22 Medium Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment 48.2 48.2
2026-05-22 Low CB Leading Index m/m -0.1% -0.6%
2026-05-22 Low FOMC Member Waller Speaks
2026-05-22 Low Revised UoM Inflation Expectations 4.5%
Upcoming Earnings
Date Time Symbol Exp Move % Exp Move $ Fiscal Qtr EPS Forecast Last Year EPS # Estimates Market Cap
Rates

Name Rate 1 Day 14 Day 30 Day Last Changed Last Updated
3-Month3.59-0.01-0.02-0.032026-05-182026-05-19
4-Week3.56-0.04-0.04-0.052026-05-182026-05-19
1-Year3.670.010.050.132026-05-182026-05-19
6-Month3.620.010.042026-05-142026-05-19
2-Year4.130.040.180.352026-05-182026-05-19
5-Year4.320.060.240.412026-05-182026-05-19
10-Year4.670.080.220.352026-05-182026-05-19
30-Year5.180.060.160.252026-05-182026-05-19
10-Year Minus 2-Year0.53-0.010.04-0.012026-05-192026-05-20
Federal Funds3.62-0.01-0.02-0.022026-05-182026-05-19
Federal Funds Target Upper3.752025-12-102026-05-21
30Y Jumbo Fixed Mortgage6.545-0.090.040.012026-05-192026-05-20
15Y Fixed Mortgage5.71-0.010.07-0.032026-05-072026-05-14
30Y Fixed Mortgage6.36-0.010.06-0.012026-05-072026-05-14
Credit Card Interest21.00.030.03-0.392025-11-012026-02-01
Fed Watch (/ZQ Fed Funds futures)
Full curve →

Market-implied probabilities from /ZQ futures. Current EFFR estimate: 3.67%.

Jun 17, 2026
/ZQM26 · implied 3.57%
-10 bp
25bp cut
42%
Hold
58%
Jul 29, 2026
/ZQN26 · implied 3.67%
+10 bp
Hold
58%
25bp hike
42%
Sep 16, 2026
/ZQU26 · implied 3.75%
+8 bp
Hold
70%
25bp hike
30%
Kalshi vs /ZQ Divergences (top mispricings)
All divergences →

Scanning Fed decision markets for mispricings...

Top Poll
Donald Trump 244 polls
Latest: May 18, 2026
Ipsos
Approve 38.0% · Disapprove 61.0%
n=984 · Registered Voters · May 18, 2026
Ipsos
Approve 35.0% · Disapprove 63.0%
n=1,271 · Adults · May 18, 2026
Ipsos
Favorable 35.0% · Unfavorable 61.0%
n=1,271 · Adults · May 18, 2026
Echelon Insights
Approve 40.0% · Disapprove 59.0%
n=1,008 · Likely Voters · May 18, 2026
Echelon Insights
Favorable 38.0% · Unfavorable 59.0%
n=1,008 · Likely Voters · May 18, 2026

View all polls

Latest from the Blog
All Posts
Ten Empirically-Grounded Prediction Market Trading Strategies
2026-04-14

A technical survey of ten research-backed strategies for trading prediction markets, spanning favourite-longshot bias, cross-platform arbitrage, LP underwriting, combinatorial arbitrage, and dynamic hedging.

prediction-marketstrading-strategiespolymarketkalshiarbitragehedgingmarket-microstructure