Stock Market Dashboard

Live indices, movers, options and volatility · Oct 8, 2026

Today's economic data

Actual vs forecast history

Times ET · updates automatically as numbers are released · σ = surprise vs the indicator's typical forecast miss

Top movers

Top movers, market cap $2B+. Select a column header to sort.
SymbolLastChgRel volMkt cap
HAE Haemonetics Corporation 119.31 +17.30% 4.3x $4.6B
MANE Veradermics, Incorporated 126.60 +14.11% 4.2x $4.6B
COCO The Vita Coco Company, … 55.97 +10.49% 1.4x $2.9B
ERAS Erasca, Inc. Common Stock 15.40 +9.07% 1.3x $4.9B
FLUT Flutter Entertainment plc 81.91 +7.99% 0.8x $13.2B
CSGP CoStar Group Inc 29.80 +7.99% 0.9x $11.2B
ECO Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp. 94.51 +7.35% 1.1x $3.4B
ACN Accenture PLC 208.70 +6.13% 1.0x $120.3B

Sector heat map

1D

Box size = relative volume (today vs the 20-day average), colour = 1-day change.

Fed rate odds

FedWatch
Oct 28 FOMCimplied
Hold
82%
+25bp
18%
Dec 9 FOMCimplied
Hold
18%
+25bp
82%

EFFR 3.88% · market-implied

Screeners

All

Economic calendar

Upcoming US economic events, times ET. Select a column header to sort.
TimeEventImpactActualFcstPrev
Today
Thu 10/8 04:30FOMC Member Waller SpeaksM——
Thu 10/8 08:30Unemployment ClaimsM197K200K197K
Thu 10/8 10:00Final Wholesale Inventories m/mL0.7%0.7%
Thu 10/8 10:30Natural Gas StorageL79B64B
Thu 10/8 13:0130-y Bond AuctionL—5.31|2.6
Thu 10/8 13:40FOMC Member Musalem SpeaksL——
Tomorrow
Fri 10/9 10:00Prelim UoM Consumer SentimentM47.547.8
Fri 10/9 10:00Prelim UoM Inflation ExpectationsM—4.6%
Fri 10/9 16:00FOMC Member Collins SpeaksL——
Showing 1–9 of 27
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US events · times ET · H high · M medium · L low impact

Upcoming earnings

BMO before market open AMC after market close time not announced

Upcoming earnings in the next two weeks. Select a column header to sort.
SymbolDateEPS estExp. moveMkt cap
PEP Pepsico, Inc. Thu 10/8 BMO 2.29 +3.7% vs ±5.7% $171.6B
DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. Fri 10/9 BMO 1.93 ±10.1% $55.0B
JPM J P Morgan Chase & Co Tue 10/13 BMO 5.94 ±6.1% $880.6B
JNJ Johnson & Johnson Tue 10/13 BMO 2.90 ±5.9% $614.0B
UNH UnitedHealth Group In… Tue 10/13 BMO 4.12 ±9.5% $337.8B
GS The Goldman Sachs Gro… Tue 10/13 BMO 13.35 ±7.5% $261.2B
WFC Wells Fargo & Company Tue 10/13 BMO 1.85 ±7.2% $246.5B
C Citigroup Inc. Tue 10/13 BMO 2.66 ±7.2% $215.6B
Showing 1–8 of 134
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Market Commentary

Updated hourly
Updated: Live Data

📊 Market Overview

The market is caught between two contradictory impulses and it shows. Energy and financials are running hot on geopolitical tensions and higher rates, while the Nasdaq is getting hammered as AI stocks crater on OpenAI's disappointing revenue print and fresh concerns about Trump's Iran posturing spooking growth investors. The S&P 500 is barely holding water, caught between Magnificent Seven weakness and a defensive bid in old economy names. This is not a crash; it is a rotation with teeth, and the message is clear: the era of indiscriminate tech buying on hope and prayer is over. Bonds are rallying hard across the curve even as equities sell off, which tells you real money sees downside risk and wants to lock in yields before the next leg lower in rates.

Russell 2000 and midcaps are holding their own while the Nasdaq bleeds, a classic de-concentration trade that suggests institutional capital is rotating out of the AI concentration trap and into smaller, less hyper-valued names. Copper is cratering alongside the Mexican Peso, a dual signal that global growth expectations are rolling over; oil strength is pure geopolitical fear premium, not demand. Bonds rallying 86 basis points in 30-year futures while equities sink is the real story: the fixed income market is pricing in a softer Fed path and potential recession risk that equity bulls refuse to acknowledge yet. Bitcoin down 2%, ether down 4% after hitting extended runs, and gold nudging higher all point to the same thing: risk-off positioning is starting to take root, and the game has changed.

⚠️ Risks & Opportunities

• The Nasdaq is getting obliterated while energy crushes it; this is a classic rotation out of mega-cap tech into cyclicals and value, signaling investors finally believe rates are sticky higher than the Fed wants to admit.

• Oil up 3.2% and long-bond futures rallying hard despite equity weakness suggests real yields are compressing, which kills growth stocks but props up energy and defensives; Waller speaks today and unemployment claims drop tomorrow, either of which could trigger another leg down in risk assets if the data stays hot.

• JPMorgan's AI basket is 49% of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq is down 1.34% while Russell 2000 flatlines; concentration risk in seven stocks is now a systemic problem and any disappointment in earnings (OpenAI revenue miss today) cascades into an index correction.

• Small caps are holding up while tech burns because Treasury yields actually fell and the dollar weakened slightly, but this won't last if Friday's consumer sentiment data prints hot; Russell 2000 correction watch is real if yields spike again.

• Gold up despite a stronger equity close tells you real money is hedging for volatility; with crypto getting destroyed (Ether down 4%), there's zero bid for risk assets and the VIX jump to 15.55 reflects genuine positioning anxiety, not capitulation.

• Short the Nasdaq outright into any bounce above 31,200; the tech sell-off has structural legs because valuations never adjusted for a 4.5% terminal rate, and earnings revisions on AI names will keep the bid under pressure through earnings season.


🚀 Notable Movers

  • PEP surged on a beat-and-raise Q3 earnings print, with international growth offsetting domestic softness and signaling pricing power in an uncertain consumer environment.
  • ACN jumped 6% after guiding to broadening AI demand extending into fiscal 2027, capitalizing on enterprise consulting cycles as organizations scale generative AI deployments.
  • PM climbed as defensive positioning accelerated with consumer sentiment hitting a four-month low, making high-yield tobacco an attractive harbor play.
  • HD and SHEL both rose modestly as the broad consumer staples and energy complex outperformed; HD likely benefited from housing market stabilization while SHEL caught tailwinds from refining and LNG strength.
  • BUD gained 3.8% alongside the beverages and consumer staples rally, with analyst coverage highlighting innovation and the sector's defensive appeal in a risk-off day.
  • Energy stocks dominated gainers as crude oil spiked 3.2% on supply concerns; MPC and VLO both rallied over 4.6% on refining margin expansion, while COP and BP tracked higher on downstream strength and portfolio optimization moves.
  • ORCL dropped 5.7% after announcing a major renewable energy commitment that spooked margins-focused investors, as capital intensity headlines collided with tech sector weakness.
  • ARM fell 6.3%, the worst performer, as semiconductor weakness cascaded through the complex; the broader chip selloff reflects concern over memory oversupply cycles and slowing AI infrastructure spending.
  • INTC, AVGO, MU, and SNDK all declined 4-5% as the technology sector underperformed on heavy volume; memory chip stocks faced particular pressure from cyclical saturation concerns despite AI tailwinds.
  • GLW and AMD both retreated 4-6% as the semiconductor and infrastructure plays stumbled in the tech downturn, reversing recent year-to-date gains on profit-taking after an extended rally.
  • SKHY sank 4.1% in sympathy with memory sector rot, while SPCX fell 4.3% as growth stocks corrected on a day when rates compressed and investors rotated into defensive value plays and energy.
Referenced News Articles

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Bond Volatility Just Spiked While the VIX Slept. Is That a Signal to Buy Puts?
2026-10-02

The MOVE index jumped 39% in a month while the VIX barely moved, and headlines say it's time to buy puts. We checked every similar split since 2004. The divergence is real, but as a signal to buy puts it has a poor record. Here are the numbers, episode by episode.

treasuriesvolatilityhedgingriskbacktestingstatistics

National polls

Polls & odds

Average of the major poll aggregators, past 12 months. Control odds from prediction markets.

Mortgage rates

Rates & calculator
30-yr fixed · estimate7.41%
-3 bp since last print$2,771/mo on $400,000
15-yr fixed
6.78% +126 bp in a year
30-yr jumbo
7.51% +104 bp in a year
30-yr FHA
7.19% +111 bp in a year
10-yr Treasury
5.231% -5 bp today

Average rate borrowers locked, re-priced with the 10-year Treasury between daily prints. Not a quote.