Frenzy Capital — Live Market Snapshot & Analysis
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Market Analysis
📊 Market Overview
The tape today reads as a classic narrow-market rally masking genuine weakness underneath. Tech is screaming higher on the back of another blowout earnings season, Nasdaq crossed 25,000 for the first time, and the headline indices are flirting with fresh records. But look closer and you see the Dow getting hammered, small caps struggling near correction territory, and energy collapsing on Trump's tariff threats against European vehicles. This is a tell. Markets are pricing in a bifurcated outcome: big tech stays resilient on AI tailwinds and fortress balance sheets, while everything cyclical gets steamrolled by trade policy uncertainty. The VIX crept higher despite the rally, which means real money is hedging. Risk-on for mega-cap darlings, risk-off for the rest of the economy.
The divergence in the futures book confirms institutional caution masquerading as bullish positioning. Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000 contracts are both grinding higher, but the Dow mini is firmly in the red, and the spread between tech and everything else tells the story of a market that's already priced in a hard landing for cyclicals. Bond yields are basically flat across the curve, with long duration actually rallying a hair, which is the canary in the coal mine. Crude is in free fall on demand destruction fears tied to tariff contagion, yet silver and crypto are ripping higher as safe-haven rotations. The dollar ticked up, yen weakened, and pound gave back ground. There's no conviction in this tape, just a flight to quality in slow motion. Powell's next rate decision carries all the weight now; markets are waiting for the Fed to validate the Tech-only narrative or admit the economy has bifurcated beyond repair.
🚀 Notable Movers
- MU rallied as Meta's AI infrastructure expansion signals sustained demand for high-bandwidth memory chips critical to training next-generation large language models.
- ORCL jumped on accelerating cloud adoption and enterprise AI deployments, positioning Oracle's infrastructure business as a beneficiary of the ongoing capital spending cycle.
- INTC surged as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and broader semiconductor supply chain concerns reinvigorated demand for domestically produced chips and advanced manufacturing.
- SHOP gained on ecosystem strength highlighted by Shopify Premier Partner promotions and enhanced fulfillment solutions driving merchant scaling and platform stickiness.
- SNDK popped as storage demand from AI data centers and generative AI training infrastructure outweighed concerns about traditional HDD declines in consumer markets.
- STX extended gains alongside peers as enterprise storage needs for AI training datasets and inference workloads at hyperscalers offset weakness in legacy disk drive segments.
- NET rallied following Anthropic's AI security developments and renewed focus on cybersecurity infrastructure for cloud-native AI deployments, positioning Cloudflare as a defensive play in the AI arms race.
- MSTR climbed as Bitcoin moved higher on geopolitical risk premium and reduced Fed rate expectations, benefiting the company's substantial crypto holdings and treasury strategy.
- LITE advanced as a picks-and-shovels optical component play feeding into AI data center buildouts and the broader semiconductor capital equipment cycle.
- CRWV surged on accelerating demand for AI-optimized data center infrastructure and GPU compute capacity from hyperscalers racing to deploy large language models.
- AMGN slipped as healthcare valuations faced profit-taking pressure following the FDA's real-time clinical trial initiative, which could disrupt traditional drug development timelines and economics.
- APH declined as connector and semiconductor supply chain stocks faced rotation out of hardware suppliers into pure-play AI software and cloud infrastructure names.
- GLW retreated as specialty materials and substrate suppliers took a step back; Dimon's commentary on concentrated AI capex spending suggests efficiency gains may limit traditional component demand growth.
- SYK sold off sharply as surgical device and medtech equipment stocks underperformed in a market favoring pure software and infrastructure plays over capital-intensive healthcare hardware.
- PH dropped as industrial filtration and equipment suppliers lagged broader market enthusiasm for high-multiple AI and cloud stocks, reflecting sector rotation away from traditional industrials.
- BMY fell as large pharma faced headwinds from clinical trial innovation and pipeline competition, with investors rotating toward more direct AI beneficiaries.
- NWG declined after announcing the Evelyn Partners acquisition, with investors questioning integration risks and capital deployment efficiency relative to higher-growth fintech and AI plays.
- IMO retreated as oil prices weakened on demand concerns despite geopolitical headlines, with crude WTI futures down sharply and energy broadly underperforming tech-led rally.
- OXY sold off as near-term crude oversupply anxieties outweighed longer-term Iran blockade tailwinds, dragging the energy complex lower on the session.
- CVNA dropped as auto retail stocks continued struggling against Amazon's expanding automotive business and ongoing consumer credit stress in a higher-for-longer rate environment.
⚠️ Risks & Opportunities
• Tech's outsized strength (NQ +0.88% while DJI -0.39%) masks a serious breadth problem; Russell 2000 already in correction territory and small caps are lagging despite the rally, signaling that mega-cap concentration has reached dangerous extremes heading into earnings season.
• Oil's 2.75% crash while rates hold flat and the dollar ticks higher is a classic recession warning, especially with energy stocks down 1.3% today; if this continues through next week's economic data, it breaks the reflation narrative that's been propping up equity multiples.
• Trump's tariff threats on European vehicles (flagged today) create binary downside risk for industrials and multinational exporters, yet markets are pricing zero conviction into that risk; one tweet could trigger a 2-3% equity drawdown by end of week.
• Bitcoin's 2.63% pop alongside equities rallying suggests Fed hold expectations are crystallizing, but Nasdaq's +0.9% coupled with treasury yields moving nowhere tells you real yields are still stuck in no-man's-land; if Powell signals inflation stickiness at his "final Fed rate call," expect a sharp vol spike and tech selloff.
• ISM Manufacturing PMI drops today at 10 AM ET (flagged medium impact) and could expose weakness in the industrial economy that equity positioning has completely ignored; a miss would justify the Dow's underperformance and catalyze rotation out of tech into defensives.
• Russell reconstitution shift to semi-annual (effective now) creates forced selling in growth names that cycled out and buying in value names, which is already happening but hasn't fully priced in; tactical traders should fade any large-cap bounce and position for small-cap mean reversion over the next 4-6 weeks.
📰 Referenced News Articles
S&P 500:
- Stock market today: Dow slips, S&P 500 and Nasdaq rise to record highs as earnings roll in - Yahoo Finance - Yahoo Finance
- Stock Market Today: Dow flat, S&P 500 and Nasdaq trim gains as Trump threatens to raise tariffs on European vehicles - MarketWatch - MarketWatch
- Welltower Crushed The S&P 500 Since The 2020 Stock Market Low; These Fundamentals Explain Why - Investor's Business Daily - Investor's Business Daily
- The Stock Market Is Flashing an Ominous Warning, and History Could Not Be Any More Clear About Where the S&P 500 Is Headed Next - The Motley Fool - The Motley Fool
- Trump Faces Iran Deadline After S&P 500 Record: 8 Key Items Shaping the Stock Market Friday - TheStreet Pro - TheStreet Pro
Dow Jones:
- Dow surges nearly 800 points, S&P 500 posts first close above 7,200 and best month since 2020: Live updates - CNBC - CNBC
- Meet the Unstoppable Vanguard ETF Beating the S&P 500, the Nasdaq-100, and the Dow Jones in 2026 - The Motley Fool - The Motley Fool
- U.S. stocks higher at close of trade; Dow Jones Industrial Average up 1.62% - Investing.com - Investing.com
- Dow Jones Industrial Average slips below 49K ahead of Powell's final Fed rate call - FXStreet - FXStreet
- Dow Jones nears 50,000! Will Stock Market Bulls ever be defeated? - marketpulse.com - marketpulse.com
NASDAQ-100:
- Nasdaq Composite Posts Best Month In 6 Years As AI Boom Powers Tech Surge — Alphabet, Intel Stocks Power The Super Rally - Stocktwits - Stocktwits
- US stock market today hits new records as Nasdaq crossed 25,000 for the very first time: Dow Jones, S&P 50 - The Economic Times - The Economic Times
- Stock Market Today: S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Hit New Records - Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (NASDAQ:QQQ), Vangu - Benzinga - Benzinga
- NASDAQ crosses 25K for first time as tech stocks power gains - MSN - MSN
- The stock market just had its best month since the pandemic rebound: Chart of the Day - Yahoo Finance - Yahoo Finance
Russell 2000:
- More key facts ahead of the 2026 Russell US Indexes reconstitution - LSEG - LSEG
- Dual Commencement: The Russell Index Shift to Semi-Annual Rebalancing - ETF Database - ETF Database
- The Overlooked Trade: How Market Alignment Could Drive the Russell 2000 Index Move - Yahoo Finance - Yahoo Finance
- Small cap-focused Russell 2000 becomes first U.S. benchmark to enter correction territory - CNBC - CNBC
- How major US stock indexes fared Thursday 4/30/2026 - The Washington Post - The Washington Post
📰 Movers News
Gainers:
- MU: Prediction: This Monster Artificial Intelligence (AI) Chip Stock Will Be the Next to Reach a $1 Trillion Valuation - The Motley Fool
- ORCL: Stock Market Today: Apple Earnings Power S&P 500, Nasdaq To Records; Trump Hits EU - Benzinga
- INTC: Stock Market Today: Apple Earnings Power S&P 500, Nasdaq To Records; Trump Hits EU - Benzinga
- SHOP: 1 Glorious Growth Stock Down 30% to Buy on the Dip in 2026 - The Motley Fool
- SNDK: SanDisk Stock Drops Despite Blowout Q3 Report: What To Know - Benzinga
- STX: Stock Market Today, April 29: Mixed Reactions as Big Tech Earnings Beat Expectations - The Motley Fool
- NET: Forget the Chips? Cloud Stocks Are the New Hardware - Investing.com
- MSTR: IonQ, Oklo, And Robinhood Are Among the Top 10 Large-Cap Gainers Last Week (April 13-April 17): Are the Others in Your Portfolio? - Benzinga
- LITE: SCHA vs. ISCB Comes Down to Sector Tilt and Your Drawdown Tolerance - The Motley Fool
- CRWV: What's Going On With CoreWeave Stock Thursday? - Benzinga
Losers:
- AMGN: Stock Market Today: Apple Earnings Power S&P 500, Nasdaq To Records; Trump Hits EU - Benzinga
- APH: Earnings Volatility Watch: What To Expect From Sandisk and 5 Mag Seven Stocks This Week - Benzinga
- GLW: [[Latest] Global Cell Culture Media Bags Market Size/Share Worth USD 2.28 Billion by 2035 at a 5.8% CAGR: Healthcare Foresights (Analysis, Outlook, Leaders, Report, Trends, Forecast, Segmentation, Growth Rate, Value, SWOT Analysis)](https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/04/29/3283416/0/en/Latest-Global-Cell-Culture-Media-Bags-Market-Size-Share-Worth-USD-2-28-Billion-by-2035-at-a-5-8-CAGR-Healthcare-Foresights-Analysis-Outlook-Leaders-Report-Trends-Forecast-Segmentat.html) - GlobeNewswire Inc.
- SYK: Global Laparoscopy Devices Market to Register Immense Growth at a CAGR of ~9% by 2034 | DelveInsight - GlobeNewswire Inc.
- PH: Bulk Filtration Market Report 2026, Competitive Analysis of 3M, Eaton, Parker-Hannifin, Pentair, Merck, Danaher, Mann+Hummel - Analyst Recommendations and Global Forecast to 2031 - GlobeNewswire Inc.
- BMY: Why Bristol Myers Squibb Stock Rocked the Market Today - The Motley Fool
- NWG: NatWest Buys Evelyn Partners In $3.7 Billion Deal - Benzinga
- IMO: Imperial Oil Projects Up To 460,000 Barrels Per Day Of Production In 2026 - Benzinga
- OXY: Crude Oil Blockade Impact: $110 Price Lifts Energy Sector Cash Flow Visibility - Investing.com
- CVNA: What's Going On With Carvana Stock Wednesday? - Benzinga
Sector Performance
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Options Flow Sentiment
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Most Bullish
Movers — May 1, 2026
Top Gainers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Rel Volume | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESPR | 3.12 | +1.12 | +56.00% | 0.49 | |
| TEAM | 88.53 | +19.94 | +29.08% | 18.39 | |
| BOOM | 8.43 | +2.25 | +36.41% | 0.13 | |
| CERS | 2.73 | +0.70 | +34.24% | 0.39 | |
| ATOM | 10.99 | +2.81 | +34.41% | 0.28 | |
| FIVN | 22.04 | +4.84 | +28.14% | 1.28 | |
| TWLO | 182.63 | +34.57 | +23.35% | 21.54 | |
| XNDU | 35.99 | +6.89 | +23.68% | 8.27 | |
| WOLF | 36.80 | +7.27 | +24.60% | 1.25 | |
| EGHT | 2.42 | +0.50 | +26.30% | 0.26 | |
| SAFX | 0.50 | +0.10 | +25.06% | 0.11 | |
| AXTI | 95.73 | +16.51 | +20.84% | 4.41 | |
| AIRS | 3.31 | +0.63 | +23.69% | 0.17 | |
| BAND | 44.90 | +8.09 | +21.96% | 0.77 | |
| ACCO | 3.94 | +0.73 | +22.90% | 0.31 | |
| SOUN | 9.56 | +1.60 | +20.16% | 3.44 | |
| OIO | 2.09 | +0.37 | +21.31% | 0.60 | |
| FATE | 1.53 | +0.28 | +22.80% | 0.15 | |
| RXT | 1.76 | +0.30 | +20.89% | 0.38 | |
| ANGX | 3.10 | +0.53 | +20.63% | 0.45 | |
| ETON | 28.86 | +4.73 | +19.63% | 0.66 | |
| LWLG | 16.24 | +2.52 | +18.37% | 1.74 | |
| XRX | 2.70 | +0.45 | +20.00% | 0.21 | |
| ANIK | 14.90 | +2.45 | +19.68% | 0.20 | |
| RMNI | 4.03 | +0.62 | +18.04% | 0.32 | |
| NUTX | 139.43 | +20.23 | +16.97% | 0.80 | |
| MRAM | 21.54 | +3.25 | +17.81% | 0.30 | |
| WEAV | 5.75 | +0.83 | +17.01% | 0.39 | |
| BGIN | 3.91 | +0.54 | +16.13% | 0.42 | |
| RDDT | 166.59 | +19.37 | +13.15% | 28.47 | |
| DNA | 9.76 | +1.29 | +15.31% | 0.49 | |
| CXDO | 7.58 | +1.04 | +15.90% | 0.22 | |
| MRLN | 10.32 | +1.32 | +14.67% | 0.98 | |
| FEIM | 57.71 | +7.55 | +15.05% | 0.48 | |
| ASPN | 4.26 | +0.55 | +14.82% | 0.30 | |
| NBIS | 154.51 | +16.28 | +11.78% | 34.29 | |
| RNG | 45.28 | +5.06 | +12.59% | 3.33 | |
| QUAD | 8.47 | +1.03 | +13.91% | 0.40 | |
| ALOY | 9.86 | +1.17 | +13.46% | 0.54 | |
| AAOI | 183.54 | +19.18 | +11.67% | 10.99 | |
| BFLY | 5.39 | +0.60 | +12.63% | 1.35 | |
| CLMB | 18.91 | +2.23 | +13.40% | 0.39 | |
| NVT | 158.34 | +15.44 | +10.80% | 22.36 | |
| OPTX | 8.67 | +1.00 | +13.04% | 0.32 | |
| FSLY | 28.09 | +2.84 | +11.25% | 3.85 | |
| NWL | 4.54 | +0.46 | +11.40% | 1.70 | |
| HYPR | 1.88 | +0.22 | +12.95% | 0.13 | |
| VEEV | 171.69 | +15.72 | +10.08% | 25.89 | |
| BUUU | 17.98 | +1.98 | +12.38% | 0.26 | |
| OLED | 96.47 | +9.38 | +10.78% | 4.27 | |
| CRCL | 99.91 | +9.03 | +9.94% | 23.32 | |
| CORT | 51.42 | +4.90 | +10.53% | 5.00 | |
| FUBO | 13.79 | +1.47 | +11.93% | 0.34 | |
| KVYO | 22.17 | +2.08 | +10.35% | 6.08 | |
| TRN | 36.11 | +3.50 | +10.73% | 2.50 | |
| MNDY | 72.72 | +6.85 | +10.40% | 3.44 | |
| NICE | 112.36 | +10.34 | +10.14% | 5.96 | |
| NAKA | 0.20 | +0.02 | +12.15% | 0.13 | |
| CBOE | 328.24 | +28.15 | +9.38% | 31.80 | |
| BBBY | 5.46 | +0.56 | +11.53% | 0.35 | |
| AMTX | 3.52 | +0.38 | +11.90% | 0.19 | |
| SATL | 7.17 | +0.71 | +10.99% | 0.88 | |
| SMWB | 3.14 | +0.33 | +11.64% | 0.24 | |
| BTSG | 52.63 | +4.66 | +9.72% | 9.17 | |
| CWST | 87.15 | +7.90 | +9.97% | 4.95 | |
| NNDM | 1.93 | +0.20 | +11.27% | 0.36 | |
| ULCC | 4.01 | +0.38 | +10.61% | 0.87 | |
| PD | 7.37 | +0.71 | +10.75% | 0.57 | |
| ASAN | 6.97 | +0.65 | +10.22% | 1.50 | |
| SPCE | 2.65 | +0.27 | +11.13% | 0.22 | |
| INSG | 20.25 | +2.02 | +11.08% | 0.24 | |
| JAKK | 24.08 | +2.32 | +10.66% | 0.25 | |
| GLOO | 7.01 | +0.65 | +10.22% | 0.53 | |
| STX | 727.70 | +54.06 | +8.03% | 129.72 | |
| CMPX | 1.96 | +0.19 | +10.45% | 0.33 | |
| AMPL | 7.82 | +0.71 | +9.92% | 0.94 | |
| RJET | 18.32 | +1.66 | +9.96% | 0.83 | |
| MLYS | 29.18 | +2.54 | +9.51% | 2.13 | |
| ALMU | 25.68 | +2.39 | +10.26% | 0.34 | |
| CMRC | 3.12 | +0.29 | +10.42% | 0.24 | |
| ORGO | 2.59 | +0.24 | +10.21% | 0.31 | |
| MXL | 77.09 | +6.34 | +8.96% | 4.66 | |
| NVCR | 16.64 | +1.43 | +9.43% | 1.40 | |
| PACK | 5.60 | +0.51 | +10.02% | 0.35 | |
| AUDC | 10.20 | +0.94 | +10.15% | 0.23 | |
| DGXX | 3.71 | +0.34 | +10.09% | 0.22 | |
| MDXG | 3.69 | +0.33 | +9.67% | 0.51 | |
| LBTYB | 16.49 | +1.31 | +8.63% | 5.58 | |
| HUBS | 240.02 | +18.26 | +8.23% | 11.63 | |
| SNDK | 1177.45 | +80.94 | +7.38% | 147.95 | |
| CSIQ | 16.69 | +1.40 | +9.16% | 1.01 | |
| PSKY | 11.07 | +0.83 | +8.11% | 11.70 | |
| RMIX | 17.00 | +1.40 | +8.97% | 1.12 | |
| SPWR | 0.91 | +0.08 | +10.06% | 0.11 | |
| ARDX | 6.88 | +0.55 | +8.77% | 1.46 | |
| GSIT | 8.16 | +0.71 | +9.53% | 0.26 | |
| GTLB | 23.99 | +1.85 | +8.36% | 3.82 | |
| SVCO | 11.17 | +0.96 | +9.40% | 0.31 | |
| APPN | 22.58 | +1.79 | +8.61% | 1.62 | |
| ILMN | 136.36 | +9.62 | +7.59% | 19.28 | |
| MSTR | 177.43 | +11.98 | +7.24% | 58.06 | |
| CTW | 2.92 | +0.25 | +9.36% | 0.18 | |
| ZENA | 2.48 | +0.22 | +9.56% | 0.11 | |
| RIOT | 18.59 | +1.35 | +7.83% | 6.28 | |
| GUTS | 0.70 | +0.06 | +9.52% | 0.10 | |
| NWPX | 106.72 | +8.38 | +8.52% | 0.84 | |
| AFJK | 47.62 | +3.92 | +8.98% | 0.28 | |
| OOMA | 17.75 | +1.43 | +8.76% | 0.45 | |
| SGHT | 4.46 | +0.37 | +9.05% | 0.24 | |
| BL | 33.80 | +2.55 | +8.16% | 1.89 | |
| EHC | 107.54 | +7.54 | +7.54% | 10.11 | |
| WBTN | 13.23 | +0.99 | +8.13% | 1.64 | |
| ORCL | 171.74 | +10.35 | +6.41% | 477.31 | |
| BETR | 44.61 | +3.48 | +8.46% | 0.69 | |
| EXFY | 1.11 | +0.09 | +9.31% | 0.10 | |
| TWO | 12.52 | +0.95 | +8.21% | 1.16 | |
| ANL | 15.45 | +1.18 | +8.27% | 0.78 | |
| GDRX | 2.56 | +0.20 | +8.26% | 0.79 | |
| WYFI | 16.59 | +1.28 | +8.36% | 0.60 | |
| VACH | 13.89 | +1.09 | +8.52% | 0.41 | |
| FROG | 49.89 | +3.45 | +7.43% | 5.51 | |
| ZS | 139.82 | +9.14 | +6.99% | 21.88 | |
| TOYO | 12.72 | +0.98 | +8.39% | 0.41 | |
| WIX | 80.25 | +5.56 | +7.44% | 4.52 | |
| CRWV | 118.99 | +7.39 | +6.62% | 55.74 | |
| SPT | 6.50 | +0.50 | +8.25% | 0.36 | |
| MX | 3.69 | +0.29 | +8.53% | 0.18 | |
| SEZL | 85.50 | +5.90 | +7.41% | 2.75 | |
| STRZ | 19.84 | +1.50 | +8.18% | 0.31 | |
| RPD | 6.38 | +0.47 | +8.05% | 0.39 | |
| ALT | 2.81 | +0.21 | +7.88% | 0.53 | |
| SILC | 42.00 | +3.25 | +8.39% | 0.16 | |
| IRWD | 4.45 | +0.32 | +7.76% | 0.68 | |
| PHAT | 12.05 | +0.86 | +7.63% | 0.90 | |
| TRDA | 14.56 | +1.06 | +7.85% | 0.50 | |
| FRSH | 8.76 | +0.60 | +7.29% | 2.31 | |
| DCBO | 20.64 | +1.50 | +7.83% | 0.49 | |
| XXI | 8.94 | +0.60 | +7.19% | 2.76 | |
| AMBQ | 40.34 | +2.86 | +7.63% | 0.74 | |
| NET | 217.72 | +12.75 | +6.22% | 73.39 | |
| IVVD | 1.51 | +0.11 | +7.86% | 0.39 | |
| DDOG | 140.56 | +8.37 | +6.33% | 46.55 | |
| ZM | 103.43 | +6.28 | +6.46% | 26.86 | |
| MYRG | 432.74 | +27.93 | +6.90% | 5.14 | |
| QTRX | 3.38 | +0.25 | +8.15% | 0.16 | |
| ADV | 36.89 | +2.62 | +7.65% | 0.48 | |
| SIMO | 233.59 | +14.81 | +6.77% | 5.07 | |
| DOCN | 102.72 | +6.29 | +6.52% | 9.85 | |
| LAW | 4.66 | +0.33 | +7.62% | 0.28 | |
| TE | 5.13 | +0.33 | +6.98% | 1.37 | |
| LPTH | 13.73 | +0.92 | +7.18% | 0.73 | |
| IOT | 30.52 | +1.79 | +6.21% | 17.03 | |
| TLYS | 4.39 | +0.32 | +7.86% | 0.12 | |
| BRZE | 23.52 | +1.48 | +6.74% | 2.54 | |
| HKD | 1.78 | +0.12 | +7.23% | 0.55 | |
| ATEC | 10.43 | +0.67 | +6.90% | 1.42 | |
| MNTN | 10.10 | +0.67 | +7.10% | 0.74 | |
| GTM | 6.67 | +0.42 | +6.80% | 1.84 | |
| INTC | 99.59 | +5.11 | +5.41% | 424.80 | |
| MTZ | 417.68 | +23.63 | +6.00% | 29.57 | |
| MEI | 8.62 | +0.60 | +7.42% | 0.28 | |
| GME | 26.50 | +1.55 | +6.21% | 11.25 | |
| PXED | 29.96 | +1.94 | +6.92% | 1.00 | |
| ACHC | 27.59 | +1.70 | +6.56% | 2.54 | |
| CSHR | 6.20 | +0.42 | +7.18% | 0.37 | |
| ROKU | 123.57 | +7.01 | +6.01% | 16.58 | |
| ABCL | 4.43 | +0.28 | +6.75% | 1.26 | |
| VERX | 13.19 | +0.82 | +6.59% | 2.04 | |
| BRAI | 7.47 | +0.44 | +6.33% | 4.84 | |
| GDC | 4.29 | +0.29 | +7.25% | 0.24 | |
| MGNI | 13.65 | +0.84 | +6.55% | 1.86 | |
| SIBN | 13.25 | +0.86 | +6.94% | 0.55 | |
| SHOP | 127.68 | +6.55 | +5.41% | 158.79 | |
| CRDO | 183.96 | +9.95 | +5.72% | 30.60 | |
| VIAV | 55.54 | +3.14 | +5.99% | 9.99 | |
| ORN | 14.56 | +0.94 | +6.90% | 0.46 | |
| XNCR | 12.72 | +0.79 | +6.66% | 0.90 | |
| OPRX | 6.69 | +0.46 | +7.38% | 0.12 | |
| LFMD | 5.01 | +0.33 | +7.16% | 0.22 | |
| TDOC | 6.46 | +0.40 | +6.60% | 1.08 | |
| VSTM | 5.83 | +0.38 | +6.87% | 0.48 | |
| GOGO | 4.46 | +0.29 | +6.82% | 0.55 | |
| HYMC | 38.73 | +2.27 | +6.23% | 3.26 | |
| DXYZ | 34.74 | +2.18 | +6.70% | 0.64 | |
| PEPG | 1.76 | +0.12 | +7.32% | 0.11 | |
| ARVN | 10.56 | +0.66 | +6.67% | 0.65 | |
| VTIX | 3.70 | +0.25 | +7.25% | 0.11 | |
| ALRM | 47.18 | +2.77 | +6.24% | 2.22 | |
| EMN | 77.37 | +4.28 | +5.86% | 8.19 | |
| TDC | 27.98 | +1.63 | +6.19% | 2.44 | |
| GEMI | 4.74 | +0.29 | +6.64% | 0.54 | |
| HYLN | 2.04 | +0.13 | +6.81% | 0.32 | |
| LIFE | 18.66 | +1.12 | +6.39% | 1.13 | |
| AIG | 78.86 | +4.06 | +5.43% | 39.67 | |
| FIG | 18.71 | +1.02 | +5.73% | 9.05 | |
| SHMD | 6.32 | +0.40 | +6.67% | 0.34 | |
| VIA | 16.16 | +0.95 | +6.25% | 1.25 | |
| MU | 542.11 | +24.95 | +4.82% | 568.71 | |
| CMPR | 93.85 | +5.39 | +6.09% | 2.01 | |
| LITE | 949.88 | +47.56 | +5.27% | 56.50 |
Biggest Losers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Rel Volume | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMMT | 16.16 | -5.30 | -24.72% | 16.50 | |
| SENS | 5.05 | -1.56 | -23.52% | 0.30 | |
| TREE | 38.87 | -10.73 | -21.63% | 0.70 | |
| RBLX | 45.45 | -9.80 | -17.74% | 40.16 | |
| NSP | 28.72 | -6.85 | -19.26% | 1.35 | |
| CBIO | 18.01 | -4.36 | -19.49% | 0.73 | |
| ATMU | 52.95 | -10.45 | -16.49% | 5.01 | |
| CABO | 74.94 | -16.55 | -18.09% | 0.56 | |
| MTC | 6.71 | -0.95 | -12.40% | 0.68 | |
| RYAN | 30.89 | -3.89 | -11.17% | 4.47 | |
| WNC | 7.60 | -1.09 | -12.54% | 0.34 | |
| DLB | 57.34 | -6.80 | -10.59% | 6.01 | |
| SNDX | 19.14 | -2.29 | -10.71% | 1.86 | |
| ALHC | 20.25 | -2.29 | -10.16% | 4.53 | |
| CLX | 87.06 | -9.38 | -9.72% | 11.68 | |
| FRHC | 135.19 | -14.64 | -9.77% | 9.18 | |
| LKQ | 28.55 | -3.02 | -9.58% | 7.94 | |
| GRO | 2.69 | -0.34 | -11.22% | 0.17 | |
| ARMP | 8.91 | -1.07 | -10.72% | 0.36 | |
| AX | 87.41 | -9.03 | -9.36% | 5.60 | |
| BW | 14.13 | -1.53 | -9.77% | 1.98 | |
| INGM | 28.00 | -2.77 | -8.99% | 6.88 | |
| RIVN | 15.03 | -1.37 | -8.35% | 20.34 | |
| SXI | 248.30 | -24.70 | -9.05% | 3.26 | |
| MMSI | 62.07 | -6.11 | -8.96% | 3.98 | |
| BIO | 255.78 | -24.34 | -8.69% | 7.54 | |
| SAM | 215.44 | -21.60 | -9.11% | 2.49 | |
| PIPR | 79.58 | -7.62 | -8.73% | 6.26 | |
| OKUR | 4.73 | -0.54 | -10.25% | 0.21 | |
| PWP | 20.66 | -2.08 | -9.17% | 1.56 | |
| ZSQR | 14.46 | -1.50 | -9.40% | 0.77 | |
| ORKA | 62.54 | -5.87 | -8.58% | 3.71 | |
| NCSM | 49.27 | -5.40 | -9.88% | 0.21 | |
| DAO | 10.72 | -1.02 | -8.65% | 1.35 | |
| CAPR | 30.88 | -2.70 | -8.04% | 1.97 | |
| APYX | 3.03 | -0.30 | -9.01% | 0.15 | |
| NIO | 5.93 | -0.46 | -7.12% | 15.94 | |
| PRLD | 4.79 | -0.44 | -8.47% | 0.36 | |
| AVEX | 27.92 | -2.33 | -7.70% | 1.52 | |
| SYK | 295.53 | -19.60 | -6.22% | 123.10 | |
| VRTS | 134.47 | -11.08 | -7.61% | 0.97 | |
| NTHI | 4.05 | -0.37 | -8.37% | 0.11 | |
| OPY | 106.08 | -8.40 | -7.34% | 1.20 | |
| SHAZ | 42.55 | -3.45 | -7.50% | 0.71 | |
| SYRE | 69.45 | -5.00 | -6.72% | 5.92 | |
| MOVE | 14.75 | -1.15 | -7.23% | 1.16 | |
| LAZ | 45.24 | -3.26 | -6.72% | 4.56 | |
| PLYX | 4.85 | -0.40 | -7.62% | 0.27 | |
| SAFE | 14.89 | -1.13 | -7.07% | 1.15 | |
| FHI | 54.28 | -3.81 | -6.56% | 4.31 | |
| FIP | 5.71 | -0.44 | -7.16% | 0.66 | |
| FET | 58.43 | -4.44 | -7.06% | 0.72 | |
| VNRX | 2.43 | -0.19 | -7.25% | 0.38 | |
| NGL | 15.12 | -1.08 | -6.67% | 1.95 | |
| IRTC | 120.85 | -8.31 | -6.43% | 4.12 | |
| CRI | 33.70 | -2.42 | -6.71% | 1.39 | |
| FLGT | 14.13 | -1.06 | -6.98% | 0.44 | |
| CNK | 27.66 | -1.86 | -6.32% | 3.42 | |
| GTES | 24.05 | -1.56 | -6.09% | 6.40 | |
| BNTX | 97.53 | -5.92 | -5.72% | 25.81 | |
| VISN | 12.01 | -0.79 | -6.17% | 2.23 | |
| ERAS | 10.02 | -0.63 | -5.96% | 3.08 | |
| ANNA | 3.55 | -0.26 | -6.82% | 0.15 | |
| LAKE | 9.46 | -0.71 | -6.98% | 0.10 | |
| ATGL | 12.60 | -0.90 | -6.67% | 0.23 | |
| BH.A | 1529.88 | -100.31 | -6.15% | 1.04 | |
| BH | 290.21 | -19.04 | -6.16% | 0.96 | |
| NERV | 6.05 | -0.42 | -6.49% | 0.28 | |
| HLLY | 3.09 | -0.21 | -6.36% | 0.40 | |
| SPXC | 207.07 | -11.84 | -5.41% | 10.86 | |
| SABS | 3.50 | -0.24 | -6.42% | 0.25 | |
| AMGN | 330.11 | -16.14 | -4.66% | 183.05 | |
| ELF | 60.47 | -3.50 | -5.48% | 3.72 | |
| GOLD | 42.59 | -2.60 | -5.75% | 1.29 | |
| ALM | 20.53 | -1.15 | -5.30% | 5.86 | |
| RM | 35.10 | -2.25 | -6.01% | 0.37 | |
| MLCO | 5.46 | -0.31 | -5.46% | 2.26 | |
| ITGR | 83.74 | -4.77 | -5.39% | 2.88 | |
| YDES | 4.80 | -0.30 | -5.88% | 0.37 | |
| PHVS | 29.34 | -1.68 | -5.40% | 1.85 | |
| AVAV | 185.25 | -9.77 | -5.01% | 9.73 | |
| ATLN | 1.40 | -0.09 | -6.04% | 0.17 | |
| BBAR | 13.52 | -0.74 | -5.19% | 3.02 | |
| RKLB | 78.70 | -3.81 | -4.61% | 45.43 | |
| DBVT | 19.88 | -1.12 | -5.33% | 1.23 | |
| UFPI | 85.05 | -4.44 | -4.97% | 5.44 | |
| CWH | 7.74 | -0.45 | -5.56% | 0.43 | |
| LPLA | 318.94 | -15.19 | -4.55% | 26.76 | |
| ULH | 22.79 | -1.29 | -5.36% | 0.64 | |
| OPRT | 5.75 | -0.34 | -5.58% | 0.27 | |
| ICLR | 112.72 | -5.61 | -4.74% | 7.83 | |
| OFLX | 29.79 | -1.73 | -5.49% | 0.35 | |
| VGZ | 2.04 | -0.12 | -5.46% | 0.31 | |
| EDN | 23.77 | -1.28 | -5.10% | 1.10 | |
| CD | 5.15 | -0.29 | -5.33% | 0.40 | |
| IMO | 128.33 | -5.69 | -4.25% | 61.65 | |
| ALIT | 0.78 | -0.04 | -5.33% | 0.39 | |
| NIQ | 10.40 | -0.53 | -4.80% | 3.26 | |
| MGA | 60.84 | -2.84 | -4.45% | 17.12 | |
| MHK | 100.67 | -4.89 | -4.63% | 6.51 | |
| NRGV | 4.38 | -0.24 | -5.10% | 0.73 | |
| NPKI | 15.55 | -0.80 | -4.87% | 1.33 | |
| ALNY | 296.55 | -12.94 | -4.18% | 40.31 | |
| ATKR | 74.48 | -3.67 | -4.70% | 2.63 | |
| ASTS | 70.73 | -3.17 | -4.28% | 21.03 | |
| JOE | 61.60 | -2.97 | -4.60% | 4.08 | |
| BRO | 57.58 | -2.57 | -4.27% | 21.40 | |
| UCTT | 74.57 | -3.58 | -4.58% | 3.51 | |
| MZTI | 124.31 | -5.97 | -4.58% | 3.48 | |
| SGMT | 7.62 | -0.41 | -5.17% | 0.29 | |
| EGO | 29.72 | -1.37 | -4.41% | 8.08 | |
| TRNS | 72.35 | -3.75 | -4.93% | 0.71 | |
| BMY | 58.20 | -2.39 | -3.94% | 118.95 | |
| PATK | 88.75 | -4.25 | -4.58% | 3.12 | |
| VG | 12.72 | -0.54 | -4.11% | 30.19 | |
| CIFR | 16.96 | -0.77 | -4.37% | 7.01 | |
| MARA | 11.46 | -0.54 | -4.46% | 4.19 | |
| RMD | 205.09 | -8.72 | -4.08% | 31.63 | |
| IMAX | 36.31 | -1.71 | -4.50% | 2.03 | |
| EU | 1.86 | -0.09 | -4.85% | 0.37 | |
| GRAB | 3.67 | -0.15 | -4.06% | 15.83 | |
| TGS | 29.21 | -1.30 | -4.26% | 4.58 | |
| GLW | 158.17 | -6.07 | -3.70% | 131.16 | |
| BMA | 68.95 | -3.05 | -4.24% | 4.82 | |
| TYGO | 4.79 | -0.24 | -4.77% | 0.38 | |
| BLDR | 75.85 | -3.24 | -4.10% | 9.47 | |
| ELMT | 15.58 | -0.77 | -4.71% | 0.46 | |
| BYND | 0.94 | -0.05 | -4.71% | 0.40 | |
| GFL | 38.51 | -1.60 | -3.99% | 14.49 | |
| FTAI | 239.94 | -9.72 | -3.90% | 22.16 | |
| PICS | 11.56 | -0.53 | -4.38% | 1.50 | |
| BZH | 20.61 | -0.98 | -4.54% | 0.66 | |
| LRN | 93.13 | -4.03 | -4.15% | 3.94 | |
| PAM | 79.46 | -3.41 | -4.11% | 4.47 | |
| FBYD | 16.17 | -0.75 | -4.43% | 0.87 | |
| TWIN | 15.74 | -0.78 | -4.71% | 0.25 | |
| POR | 49.83 | -2.10 | -4.04% | 5.97 | |
| QURE | 19.09 | -0.86 | -4.34% | 1.14 | |
| HCC | 86.22 | -3.63 | -4.04% | 4.73 | |
| PCRX | 24.39 | -1.09 | -4.30% | 1.03 | |
| YPF | 43.46 | -1.70 | -3.76% | 17.03 | |
| GRMN | 242.10 | -9.04 | -3.60% | 47.80 | |
| AMC | 1.46 | -0.06 | -4.28% | 0.96 | |
| EQPT | 20.17 | -0.82 | -3.93% | 5.80 | |
| TSCO | 33.79 | -1.31 | -3.73% | 18.72 | |
| CAKE | 60.34 | -2.53 | -4.02% | 3.12 | |
| CIG.C | 3.27 | -0.13 | -3.82% | 9.61 | |
| MOG.B | 301.67 | -11.89 | -3.79% | 9.93 | |
| EDSA | 17.42 | -0.85 | -4.68% | 0.13 | |
| CURR | 3.40 | -0.16 | -4.49% | 0.26 | |
| SLQT | 0.88 | -0.04 | -4.58% | 0.17 | |
| GMTL | 16.27 | -0.72 | -4.24% | 0.73 | |
| SUPV | 7.88 | -0.35 | -4.19% | 0.78 | |
| CDXS | 2.69 | -0.12 | -4.43% | 0.26 | |
| APH | 142.40 | -4.87 | -3.31% | 176.69 | |
| SNWV | 15.63 | -0.74 | -4.49% | 0.16 | |
| ASND | 221.06 | -8.32 | -3.63% | 13.72 | |
| HBNB | 6.01 | -0.25 | -3.99% | 1.55 | |
| CLB | 14.04 | -0.61 | -4.13% | 0.77 | |
| SIG | 85.61 | -3.42 | -3.84% | 3.49 | |
| KNSL | 311.62 | -12.00 | -3.71% | 7.59 | |
| VKTX | 29.99 | -1.19 | -3.82% | 3.75 | |
| AXG | 3.77 | -0.16 | -4.07% | 0.78 | |
| BBIO | 68.58 | -2.53 | -3.56% | 13.51 | |
| FWDI | 4.42 | -0.20 | -4.23% | 0.33 | |
| CVNA | 382.60 | -13.20 | -3.34% | 58.12 | |
| PDEX | 47.95 | -2.19 | -4.37% | 0.17 | |
| FLO | 8.71 | -0.35 | -3.86% | 1.89 | |
| OMF | 56.63 | -2.14 | -3.64% | 6.87 | |
| ATR | 119.27 | -4.41 | -3.57% | 8.02 | |
| PSIX | 70.46 | -2.81 | -3.84% | 1.59 | |
| ISOU | 11.50 | -0.48 | -4.01% | 0.62 | |
| HLMN | 7.85 | -0.31 | -3.80% | 1.63 | |
| PPC | 31.93 | -1.17 | -3.53% | 7.82 | |
| WHG | 15.74 | -0.70 | -4.26% | 0.16 | |
| VIST | 71.70 | -2.62 | -3.53% | 7.63 | |
| TKNO | 3.40 | -0.15 | -4.23% | 0.18 | |
| SHAK | 98.75 | -3.71 | -3.62% | 4.03 | |
| RCAT | 11.28 | -0.45 | -3.80% | 1.37 | |
| HTFL | 28.66 | -1.10 | -3.68% | 2.62 | |
| COHU | 45.59 | -1.76 | -3.72% | 2.08 | |
| MPLT | 30.66 | -1.21 | -3.80% | 1.29 | |
| DDD | 2.36 | -0.10 | -4.07% | 0.32 | |
| NMIH | 37.30 | -1.41 | -3.63% | 3.16 | |
| GFR | 6.47 | -0.26 | -3.86% | 0.78 | |
| SLNH | 1.59 | -0.07 | -4.22% | 0.12 | |
| OXY | 58.66 | -1.91 | -3.16% | 58.12 | |
| NWG | 15.41 | -0.50 | -3.14% | 62.48 | |
| EOSE | 6.46 | -0.24 | -3.61% | 2.31 | |
| FMC | 14.82 | -0.56 | -3.64% | 1.91 | |
| YSS | 32.00 | -1.16 | -3.51% | 4.07 | |
| RVMD | 139.49 | -4.63 | -3.22% | 30.79 | |
| RUSHB | 70.37 | -2.49 | -3.42% | 6.00 | |
| WEN | 6.71 | -0.25 | -3.66% | 1.30 | |
| PH | 882.16 | -27.26 | -3.00% | 121.45 | |
| ODFL | 205.83 | -6.60 | -3.11% | 46.19 | |
| LOMA | 10.64 | -0.40 | -3.62% | 1.30 | |
| OSUR | 2.92 | -0.12 | -3.95% | 0.21 | |
| TAYD | 53.30 | -2.20 | -3.96% | 0.18 | |
| XE | 30.69 | -1.04 | -3.28% | 9.33 |
Pre-Market Gainers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|
Pre-Market Losers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|
Upcoming Economic Events
| Date | Impact | Title | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | Low | Factory Orders m/m | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 2026-05-04 | Low | FOMC Member Williams Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-04 | Low | Loan Officer Survey | ||
| 2026-05-05 | Low | Trade Balance | -59.0B | -57.3B |
| 2026-05-05 | Low | Final Services PMI | 51.3 | 51.3 |
| 2026-05-05 | High | ISM Services PMI | 53.8 | 54.0 |
| 2026-05-05 | High | JOLTS Job Openings | 6.87M | 6.88M |
| 2026-05-05 | Medium | New Home Sales | 587K | |
| 2026-05-05 | Low | FOMC Member Bowman Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-05 | Low | RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism | 42.0 | 42.8 |
| 2026-05-05 | Low | FOMC Member Barr Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-05 | Low | API Weekly Statistical Bulletin | ||
| 2026-05-06 | Medium | ADP Non-Farm Employment Change | 90K | 62K |
| 2026-05-06 | Low | FOMC Member Musalem Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-06 | Low | Crude Oil Inventories | -6.2M | |
| 2026-05-06 | Low | FOMC Member Goolsbee Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-07 | Low | Challenger Job Cuts y/y | -78.0% | |
| 2026-05-07 | Medium | Unemployment Claims | 203K | 189K |
| 2026-05-07 | Low | Prelim Nonfarm Productivity q/q | 1.0% | 2.8% |
| 2026-05-07 | Low | Prelim Unit Labor Costs q/q | 2.5% | 2.8% |
| 2026-05-07 | Low | Construction Spending m/m | -0.3% | |
| 2026-05-07 | Low | Natural Gas Storage | 79B | |
| 2026-05-07 | Low | FOMC Member Hammack Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-07 | Low | Consumer Credit m/m | 12.5B | 9.5B |
| 2026-05-07 | Low | FOMC Member Williams Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-08 | Low | FOMC Member Cook Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-08 | High | Average Hourly Earnings m/m | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| 2026-05-08 | High | Non-Farm Employment Change | 60K | 178K |
| 2026-05-08 | High | Unemployment Rate | 4.3% | 4.3% |
| 2026-05-08 | Medium | Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment | 49.3 | 47.6 |
| 2026-05-08 | Medium | Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations | 4.8% | |
| 2026-05-08 | Low | Final Wholesale Inventories m/m | 1.4% | 1.4% |
| 2026-05-08 | Medium | FOMC Member Waller Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-08 | Low | FOMC Member Bowman Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-08 | Low | FOMC Member Daly Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-08 | Low | FOMC Member Goolsbee Speaks |
Upcoming Earnings
| Date | Time | Symbol | Exp Move % | Exp Move $ | Fiscal Qtr | EPS Forecast | Last Year EPS | # Estimates | Market Cap |
|---|
Rates
| Name | Rate | 1 Day | 14 Day | 30 Day | Last Changed | Last Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Month | 3.6 | -0.02 | -0.02 | 2026-04-20 | 2026-04-29 | |
| 4-Week | 3.58 | -0.03 | -0.04 | -0.05 | 2026-04-28 | 2026-04-29 |
| 1-Year | 3.6 | 0.06 | 0.04 | -0.01 | 2026-04-28 | 2026-04-29 |
| 6-Month | 3.6 | 0.01 | 2026-04-27 | 2026-04-29 | ||
| 2-Year | 3.92 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 0.04 | 2026-04-28 | 2026-04-29 |
| 5-Year | 4.05 | 0.11 | 0.18 | -0.01 | 2026-04-28 | 2026-04-29 |
| 10-Year | 4.42 | 0.07 | 0.16 | -0.02 | 2026-04-28 | 2026-04-29 |
| 30-Year | 4.98 | 0.04 | 0.11 | 2026-04-28 | 2026-04-29 | |
| 10-Year Minus 2-Year | 0.52 | 0.02 | -0.02 | 0.01 | 2026-04-29 | 2026-04-30 |
| Federal Funds | 3.64 | 2025-12-10 | 2026-04-29 | |||
| Federal Funds Target Upper | 3.75 | 2025-12-10 | 2026-05-01 | |||
| 30Y Jumbo Fixed Mortgage | 6.432 | -0.04 | -0.1 | -0.11 | 2026-04-29 | 2026-04-30 |
| 15Y Fixed Mortgage | 5.64 | 0.06 | -0.01 | -0.11 | 2026-04-23 | 2026-04-30 |
| 30Y Fixed Mortgage | 6.3 | 0.07 | -0.08 | 2026-04-23 | 2026-04-30 | |
| Credit Card Interest | 21.0 | 0.03 | 0.03 | -0.39 | 2025-11-01 | 2026-02-01 |
Fed Watch (/ZQ Fed Funds futures)
Full curve →
Market-implied probabilities from /ZQ futures. Current EFFR estimate: 3.67%.
Jun 17, 2026
/ZQM26 · implied 3.59%
-8 bp
25bp cut
32%
Hold
68%
Jul 29, 2026
/ZQN26 · implied 3.61%
+2 bp
Hold
92%
25bp hike
8%
Sep 16, 2026
/ZQU26 · implied 3.60%
-1 bp
25bp cut
4%
Hold
96%
Kalshi vs /ZQ Divergences (top mispricings)
All divergences →
Scanning Fed decision markets for mispricings...
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Ten Empirically-Grounded Prediction Market Trading Strategies
2026-04-14
A technical survey of ten research-backed strategies for trading prediction markets, spanning favourite-longshot bias, cross-platform arbitrage, LP underwriting, combinatorial arbitrage, and dynamic hedging.
prediction-marketstrading-strategiespolymarketkalshiarbitragehedgingmarket-microstructure