Frenzy Capital — Live Market Snapshot & Analysis

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AI Market Analysis
AI Analysis Generated: Apr 20, 2026 04:00 PMLive Data
📊 Market Overview

The market is caught between two competing narratives this morning, and the outcome hinges entirely on whether diplomacy holds or geopolitics unravels. Oil is screaming higher—up over five percent—as traders price in genuine disruption risk around the Strait of Hormuz, yet equities are barely flinching. The blue-chip Dow is essentially flat and large-cap tech is inching lower in a manner that suggests institutional buyers are hedging rather than panicking. This is the market's way of saying: we believe the ceasefire deadline gets extended, but we're not taking that for granted. The VIX spike to nearly 19 is the tell—volatility is waking up, not fleeing. This is cautious risk-off, not capitulation.

The real divergence is screaming from the size premium: small caps are outrunning large caps materially, with the Russell 2000 up while the Nasdaq slips, and mid-caps joining the party. That's not defensive positioning—that's rotation into value and domestic-focused names that benefit from a stable geopolitical backdrop without China exposure. Materials are leading, utilities are lagging, and copper is getting demolished while crude rallies. The message is clear: institutional money believes the Iran situation resolves without triggering a global demand shock, so they're rotating out of safe havens (tech, healthcare) and into cyclicals that have lagged. Rates are barely moving despite the geopolitical noise, which tells us the Fed remains the dominant macro force. This is a contained, orderly trade, not a flight to safety.

🚀 Notable Movers
  • ARM rose 4.97% as SpaceX's imminent IPO roadshow in early June fueled enthusiasm for semiconductor suppliers benefiting from space-based infrastructure buildout and satellite connectivity.
  • MRVL climbed 5.66% alongside a broader tech rotation out of geopolitical risk, with Nvidia's $2 billion investment signal suggesting continued strength in AI chip demand and custom silicon development.
  • BE surged 4.94% as ceasefire relief and energy infrastructure tailwinds drove investor appetite for alternative power solutions, with hydrogen fuel cell and AI-powered efficiency gains becoming focal points.
  • RKLB gained 5.29% riding the space sector rally following Artemis II's successful moon mission and SpaceX's IPO filing, positioning smaller launch providers as beneficiaries of expanded commercial space activity.
  • GFS jumped 7.21% as a secondary offering announcement and rising sentiment around domestic semiconductor manufacturing aligned with broadening demand for advanced chip production capacity.
  • CRDO surged 8.49% after multiple analysts raised price targets, capitalizing on momentum in AI infrastructure stocks as earnings season heats up and visibility improves on high-growth semiconductor plays.
  • UMC advanced 8.28% on announcements of expanded hybrid bonding and photonics collaborations, signaling strong demand for advanced manufacturing techniques critical to next-generation AI and data center chips.
  • STLD rose 4.58% after announcing a 6% dividend increase and reaffirming positive outlooks, benefiting from Materials sector strength as infrastructure and AI data center buildout drive steel demand.
  • HPE gained 5.30% on private LTE market growth projections and AI inference infrastructure momentum, positioning enterprise hardware vendors to capture spending from data center modernization.
  • META fell 2.60% as weekend U.S.-Iran tensions reignited geopolitical anxiety, oil spiked 6%, and broad profit-taking followed last week's record rally, weighing on high-multiple big tech names.
  • INTC dropped 4.14% amid the same geopolitical risk-off and ceasefire uncertainty, with oil's surge sparking inflation concerns that pressure semiconductor valuations despite recent strength in AI demand.
  • HDB declined 3.45% after Fed Chair Powell warned that Middle East escalation could push inflation higher, hitting emerging market financials as rate expectations and currency strength tighten.
  • CEG fell 2.92% on profit-taking from elevated levels, as investors reassess renewable energy valuations amid geopolitical uncertainty and shifting power market dynamics favoring competing providers like Vistra.
  • BSX plummeted 5.01% as multiple securities class action lawsuits filed against the medical device maker weighed on investor confidence, with May 4 deadline approaching for shareholder claims.
  • NRG dropped 6.36% as energy sector volatility and profit-taking from recent gains intersected with sector rotation concerns, despite the company's strong guidance on AI-driven power demand.
  • ASTS fell 5.21% after BlueBird 7 satellite de-orbited due to low altitude, missing production targets and raising execution risk despite the company maintaining 2026 launch cadence expectations.
  • QXO declined 3.16% as broad market pullback from record levels and geopolitical risk-off sentiment pressured the stock, offsetting confidence from its $17 billion TopBuild acquisition.
  • TLN dropped 5.38% following pricing of senior notes amid broader energy sector weakness and profit-taking, with geopolitical uncertainty and rate environment pressuring debt-heavy utilities.
  • NXT fell 4.34% as clean energy and renewables lagged amid profit-taking and sector rotation into materials and other outperformers, despite recent analyst coverage initiating bullish ratings.
⚠️ Risks & Opportunities

• Oil's 5%+ surge on Hormuz closure fears is genuine geopolitical risk, but the muted equity selloff (SPX -0.2%, DJI flat) signals the market is pricing in temporary disruption—expect sharp reversals on any ceasefire headline, making energy volatility a timing tool rather than a conviction short.

• Small caps outperforming large caps (RUT +0.6%, RTY +0.56% vs SPX -0.2%, NDX -0.3%) despite broad weakness is a classic flight-to-safety reversal that will snap hard the moment risk sentiment normalizes; don't chase equal-weight positioning.

• Tomorrow's retail sales print and Warsh testimony are the real catalysts—if consumer data disappoints, 10Y yields (down 0.11% today) crater further and equities rally on Fed pivot expectations, but a beat risks reversing the entire post-ceasefire momentum since mid-April.

• Gold's decline despite peak geopolitical tension (-0.9% while oil +5.2%) combined with real yields barely moving higher is a screaming sell signal for safe havens—metal weakness into further Middle East uncertainty means risk-off moves are already priced out and upside vol is spent.

• Rates compression across the curve (2Y, 5Y, 10Y all lower) while the Fed Chair-designate testifies suggests markets are already betting on a dovish shift—any pushback from Warsh on rate cuts will trigger a 50+ bp selloff in long bonds and force equities lower from current record levels.

• Russell 2000 strength is pure momentum with no fundamental anchor; copper and commodities broadly weak refute any cyclical recovery narrative, so breadth deterioration will accelerate when tomorrow's data forces a re-rating of discount rates higher.


📰 Referenced News Articles

S&P 500:

Dow Jones:

NASDAQ-100:

Russell 2000:


📰 Movers News

Gainers:

Losers:

Sector Performance
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Options Flow Sentiment
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Most Bullish
Symbol Score Bull $ Bear $ C/P Ratio Blocks Sweeps
APP1.000$185K$03.622215
TTD1.000$11K$02.7712080
CRWD1.000$15K$01.22138
USO1.000$95K$01.27197117
BNO1.000$752K$011.832012
ARM1.000$26K$04.86106136
SIRI1.000$16K$03.683232
DASH1.000$463K$01.18101
NUE1.000$83K$01.5812
BE1.000$306K$01.533130
Most Bearish
Symbol Score Bull $ Bear $ C/P Ratio Blocks Sweeps
XLF-1.000$0$234K0.2716574
MOS-1.000$0$11K1.09136
XLY-1.000$0$20K0.32135
MMM-1.000$0$21K1.011216
DTE-1.000$0$51K345.5020
LQDA-1.000$0$46K1.55916
EWZ-1.000$0$54K5.984510
AMC-0.989$195$34K7.74121120
KRE-0.982$112$13K0.264211
BABA-0.980$5K$444K2.223938
Movers — Apr 20, 2026
Top Gainers
Symbol Price Change Change % Rel Volume Market Cap ($B)
JLHL9.44+3.09+48.66%
17.56x
0.14
CMPS9.46+2.80+42.04%
17.80x
0.90
BYND1.16+0.34+41.02%
4.70x
0.38
INV6.19+1.59+34.57%
5.09x
0.37
CANG0.48+0.11+29.73%
16.14x
0.15
CAR608.80+114.94+23.27%
1.61x
17.45
AVEX33.41+6.48+24.06%
0.93x
1.31
ATAI4.90+0.87+21.59%
9.82x
1.47
LFMD5.06+0.97+23.72%
3.92x
0.19
BLD489.83+79.52+19.38%
8.95x
11.55
MXL31.73+5.46+20.78%
6.43x
2.35
SLNH1.40+0.27+23.89%
15.24x
0.13
VMET13.37+2.34+21.21%
7.20x
1.19
MGRT139.14+22.98+19.78%
0.22x
1.60
LEGN25.07+3.90+18.42%
4.42x
3.92
SILA30.40+4.87+19.08%
29.34x
1.41
NKTR100.35+15.49+18.25%
6.22x
2.43
FCEL8.65+1.40+19.31%
4.46x
0.38
POET8.59+1.33+18.32%
4.24x
1.11
AOSL39.90+6.02+17.77%
6.03x
1.01
DGXX3.69+0.59+19.03%
4.87x
0.22
GHRS21.50+3.16+17.23%
10.69x
1.14
ATOM6.34+0.99+18.50%
2.32x
0.21
PLUG3.22+0.44+15.83%
1.69x
3.88
ERAS21.71+2.70+14.20%
1.30x
5.91
BETR47.48+6.25+15.16%
1.66x
0.68
AMTX2.64+0.37+16.30%
0.91x
0.15
USAR22.58+2.63+13.18%
3.36x
4.35
FLWS4.46+0.58+15.10%
20.78x
0.25
BB5.50+0.64+13.17%
4.39x
2.86
LWLG14.18+1.64+13.08%
1.56x
1.89
KYTX11.25+1.32+13.29%
3.66x
0.60
CADL7.22+0.85+13.34%
4.27x
0.47
HPP8.51+0.97+12.86%
1.89x
0.41
OUST27.14+2.88+11.87%
2.09x
1.52
TGEN4.87+0.57+13.26%
2.67x
0.13
OWLS5.92+0.63+11.91%
5.04x
0.47
WIX75.55+7.31+10.71%
0.65x
3.98
VANI1.51+0.17+12.69%
3.32x
0.11
ROMA6.00+0.63+11.84%
0.40x
0.32
ACLS131.02+12.29+10.35%
1.90x
3.65
SIFY14.86+1.44+10.73%
2.79x
0.97
URGN24.92+2.38+10.56%
1.80x
1.10
HQ13.05+1.27+10.78%
2.13x
0.61
SGML21.69+1.97+9.99%
1.12x
2.20
BLLN86.97+7.54+9.49%
2.18x
3.65
ABSI3.95+0.37+10.34%
1.37x
0.55
CRDO174.53+13.84+8.61%
1.03x
29.64
WTF4.41+0.43+10.80%
1.13x
0.19
UMC12.64+0.98+8.40%
2.38x
29.33
MP66.23+5.24+8.59%
1.62x
10.84
VBNK17.66+1.59+9.89%
3.15x
0.52
ADV33.76+3.07+10.00%
0.28x
0.40
GRRR14.21+1.28+9.90%
2.16x
0.36
UMAC15.44+1.35+9.58%
1.17x
0.67
RUM6.90+0.58+9.18%
2.73x
1.36
STRO34.58+3.03+9.60%
0.77x
0.52
MNTK1.42+0.13+10.08%
1.05x
0.18
KSPI91.81+6.90+8.13%
3.91x
16.12
VECO46.73+3.76+8.75%
2.51x
2.60
JELD1.41+0.13+10.16%
1.22x
0.11
VTIX6.77+0.60+9.72%
1.36x
0.20
CODI11.46+0.95+9.04%
2.06x
0.79
NSP31.42+2.52+8.72%
0.66x
1.10
LAES2.94+0.24+8.89%
1.39x
0.60
CTEV22.45+1.86+9.03%
0.94x
0.35
GFS58.76+4.01+7.32%
2.70x
30.06
BNC3.00+0.26+9.49%
1.96x
0.12
SANA3.82+0.30+8.52%
1.40x
0.94
DNUT3.92+0.31+8.59%
1.96x
0.62
ARMP12.50+1.00+8.70%
1.85x
0.42
VRA4.22+0.36+9.33%
2.83x
0.11
HIMS31.01+2.19+7.60%
2.43x
6.57
YSS38.47+2.75+7.70%
0.56x
4.56
BBWI20.90+1.49+7.68%
1.04x
3.90
WLYB42.31+3.10+7.91%
3.05x
2.01
LUD5.17+0.43+9.07%
0.16x
0.11
ZJK2.25+0.19+8.96%
2.32x
0.13
ECX1.29+0.10+8.40%
2.07x
0.45
KVYO20.06+1.39+7.45%
1.41x
5.69
TROO2.93+0.23+8.52%
2.19x
0.33
CATX4.55+0.35+8.33%
1.53x
0.48
WEST5.95+0.45+8.18%
2.69x
0.53
LNZA24.49+1.92+8.51%
2.24x
0.23
IDR46.80+3.48+8.03%
1.07x
0.68
ONDS10.73+0.73+7.30%
1.45x
4.82
AEHR90.15+6.29+7.50%
1.01x
2.64
EOLS5.08+0.39+8.32%
2.10x
0.31
TTD24.05+1.58+7.03%
1.13x
10.56
ASAN6.29+0.45+7.71%
1.59x
1.39
SGHC12.10+0.81+7.17%
1.22x
5.71
CABO116.06+8.54+7.94%
1.58x
0.61
YOU56.83+3.80+7.17%
1.11x
5.27
SWMR37.96+2.83+8.06%
0.32x
0.43
TEAM71.48+4.54+6.78%
1.11x
17.66
CHMG67.95+5.13+8.17%
4.91x
0.30
RC2.00+0.15+8.11%
1.38x
0.30
DMRC7.76+0.60+8.38%
0.74x
0.16
SIRI27.22+1.74+6.83%
3.56x
8.58
COHU44.27+3.01+7.30%
2.34x
1.95
NVTS13.20+0.88+7.14%
1.51x
2.84
AIFU1.45+0.11+8.21%
0.84x
0.16
KLC3.33+0.24+7.77%
0.51x
0.37
AMCI7.10+0.53+8.07%
2.46x
0.15
TDOC6.10+0.41+7.21%
1.24x
1.03
AARD5.65+0.42+8.03%
1.02x
0.11
MRVL147.84+8.15+5.83%
1.42x
122.15
IBRX8.20+0.50+6.49%
0.72x
7.95
AMWL6.61+0.49+8.01%
1.79x
0.10
TBI4.50+0.33+7.91%
1.51x
0.13
BLDP3.17+0.21+7.09%
1.53x
0.89
DAVE267.37+16.66+6.65%
1.15x
3.32
CART44.01+2.62+6.33%
1.42x
9.80
PROF7.15+0.50+7.52%
0.88x
0.24
RDNW6.95+0.49+7.51%
4.49x
0.25
CNDT1.75+0.12+7.36%
0.81x
0.25
NFGC2.31+0.15+6.94%
2.20x
0.75
TRON2.68+0.17+6.77%
0.77x
1.19
DOYU5.16+0.36+7.50%
1.84x
0.14
DLTH3.56+0.25+7.55%
1.21x
0.12
OPTX9.75+0.65+7.14%
0.64x
0.34
BBBY6.14+0.40+6.97%
1.15x
0.42
CMRC3.15+0.21+7.14%
1.22x
0.24
PTLO6.32+0.41+6.94%
1.34x
0.43
TMC5.66+0.34+6.39%
0.83x
2.30
DUOT9.20+0.61+7.10%
0.75x
0.25
RKLB89.46+4.66+5.50%
1.14x
49.02
SEZL85.67+4.96+6.15%
1.08x
2.73
RR2.57+0.16+6.64%
1.07x
0.54
XRX1.85+0.12+6.94%
1.75x
0.23
GTE8.03+0.51+6.78%
0.68x
0.27
ARTV13.39+0.84+6.69%
2.28x
0.31
ARM175.10+8.37+5.02%
0.96x
177.07
MRVI3.61+0.22+6.49%
1.27x
0.50
BIRK41.80+2.26+5.72%
0.93x
7.27
KLTR1.25+0.08+6.84%
1.37x
0.17
SVC1.53+0.09+6.25%
1.22x
0.93
ARCO9.50+0.54+6.03%
4.30x
1.89
ALIT0.66+0.04+6.55%
0.56x
0.32
DFH15.72+0.90+6.07%
1.00x
1.36
SMPL12.62+0.73+6.14%
0.91x
1.08
HPK5.68+0.33+6.27%
0.81x
0.68
CHPT6.64+0.42+6.75%
0.85x
0.15
SGHT4.36+0.27+6.60%
1.53x
0.22
HPE27.81+1.37+5.18%
1.08x
35.08
HUT78.99+4.09+5.46%
0.94x
8.31
AIRO8.59+0.52+6.44%
0.75x
0.25
VERI2.29+0.14+6.51%
0.74x
0.20
TTGT4.87+0.29+6.33%
3.98x
0.33
BE218.27+10.41+5.01%
0.80x
59.07
AVBP31.39+1.75+5.90%
1.24x
1.31
LGIH46.15+2.59+5.95%
1.14x
1.01
SWK75.12+3.78+5.30%
1.76x
11.08
WGS69.71+3.75+5.69%
0.84x
1.93
RES6.90+0.37+5.67%
1.35x
1.45
ARX14.86+0.77+5.46%
0.79x
3.13
MVIS0.70+0.04+6.24%
0.90x
0.20
POWI61.83+3.18+5.42%
1.59x
3.26
ULCC4.81+0.26+5.71%
1.70x
1.05
BUDA10.03+0.60+6.33%
0.25x
0.12
LMB98.84+5.28+5.64%
1.51x
1.09
SAIL12.17+0.60+5.19%
0.65x
6.52
GEVO1.80+0.10+5.88%
1.24x
0.41
COLM64.03+3.24+5.33%
1.02x
3.18
WSC21.30+1.07+5.29%
1.45x
3.66
MNDY68.41+3.42+5.26%
1.04x
3.32
FORM144.03+6.82+4.97%
0.94x
10.70
SFIX4.07+0.22+5.71%
0.73x
0.53
ENGN8.53+0.46+5.70%
1.80x
0.54
WRLD149.30+7.92+5.60%
0.88x
0.70
IIIV22.40+1.21+5.71%
0.78x
0.47
IONQ48.32+2.23+4.84%
1.69x
16.90
YDDL4.68+0.26+5.88%
0.69x
0.25
AZTA26.40+1.36+5.43%
0.88x
1.15
SITM528.10+24.47+4.86%
0.76x
13.29
TYGO4.20+0.23+5.79%
0.82x
0.30
OKTA75.76+3.51+4.86%
1.08x
12.78
FIVE247.71+11.45+4.85%
1.65x
13.05
CHWY28.86+1.34+4.87%
0.99x
11.47
GPRE15.62+0.80+5.43%
0.71x
1.04
CROX111.19+5.32+5.03%
1.06x
5.32
MAAS10.34+0.50+5.08%
38.16x
3.49
UUUU21.51+1.02+4.98%
0.97x
4.95
UNCY7.43+0.41+5.84%
1.67x
0.18
RMAX6.79+0.38+5.93%
2.07x
0.13
HWKN158.72+7.64+5.06%
1.54x
3.16
SNOW150.44+6.46+4.49%
0.92x
49.77
HTZ7.81+0.38+5.11%
2.31x
2.34
TH15.61+0.77+5.19%
1.32x
1.48
AMPX19.61+0.94+5.03%
1.41x
2.56
STLD209.35+9.03+4.51%
1.98x
28.99
PAYC132.98+6.05+4.77%
0.68x
6.05
PSNY18.97+0.91+5.04%
1.11x
1.67
PENG28.10+1.36+5.09%
1.45x
1.36
NGL13.79+0.66+5.03%
0.81x
1.63
RDVT41.50+2.08+5.28%
1.16x
0.56
CNCK1.92+0.10+5.49%
0.08x
0.25
BRAI21.14+1.02+5.04%
0.47x
1.38
PRM29.13+1.33+4.78%
0.87x
4.15
HBNB6.75+0.32+5.00%
1.69x
1.50
Biggest Losers
Symbol Price Change Change % Rel Volume Market Cap ($B)
ANAB50.95-16.56-24.53%
1.73x
1.94
AGIO27.07-8.07-22.97%
5.27x
2.06
NNOX2.15-0.70-24.39%
7.86x
0.20
VACH10.00-2.88-22.36%
2.08x
0.41
FRMI5.40-1.15-17.56%
4.22x
4.13
SIDU4.34-1.01-18.88%
1.60x
0.36
WSHP12.94-2.93-18.46%
0.37x
0.17
SBC3.72-0.77-17.15%
18.98x
0.46
ACHV4.25-0.85-16.67%
1.34x
0.27
GLND5.12-0.98-16.07%
0.46x
0.16
SENEB136.62-23.20-14.52%
0.39x
1.08
VWAV6.05-1.04-14.67%
1.47x
0.17
ZNTL4.03-0.61-13.15%
0.56x
0.33
FLYX2.49-0.36-12.63%
3.92x
0.13
GLSI24.52-3.22-11.61%
2.56x
0.38
RYAM9.09-1.12-10.97%
7.64x
0.69
CAST3.10-0.41-11.68%
0.47x
0.14
SRFM1.20-0.16-11.76%
3.02x
0.10
BW16.54-1.82-9.91%
0.99x
2.49
ICG1.49-0.19-11.31%
0.46x
0.10
CMPX5.42-0.58-9.75%
0.96x
1.08
IPSC2.34-0.26-10.00%
0.68x
0.47
XNDU27.63-2.57-8.51%
0.77x
10.31
AFJK40.80-4.51-9.95%
0.16x
0.28
RENT4.95-0.56-10.16%
1.36x
0.18
ELTX12.20-1.35-9.96%
1.18x
0.25
MSLE7.83-0.87-10.00%
0.70x
0.18
INFQ16.00-1.42-8.15%
5.09x
3.77
PHOE16.01-1.59-9.03%
0.30x
0.38
EBF19.76-1.91-8.81%
2.49x
0.55
PLBL6.70-0.59-8.09%
0.24x
2.67
WW10.00-0.98-8.93%
1.01x
0.11
LCID6.75-0.55-7.53%
2.81x
2.67
IMOS43.49-3.60-7.64%
1.77x
1.65
FUFU2.27-0.20-8.10%
0.63x
0.41
TATT37.40-3.22-7.93%
1.78x
0.53
BRBI14.32-1.25-8.03%
3.47x
0.41
BZAI2.31-0.21-8.13%
0.85x
0.31
BNAI34.87-3.14-8.26%
0.63x
0.22
ISPR1.71-0.16-8.56%
1.04x
0.11
ZEPP14.99-1.34-8.21%
0.70x
0.23
OFRM15.26-1.28-7.74%
1.04x
0.69
FJET5.80-0.50-7.94%
1.13x
0.28
TCI35.73-3.03-7.82%
1.84x
0.33
NRG157.18-10.55-6.29%
1.55x
35.62
ZURA5.37-0.44-7.57%
1.59x
0.55
BUUU14.14-1.20-7.82%
0.18x
0.26
CRVS15.54-1.20-7.17%
1.02x
1.41
FLX2.57-0.22-7.89%
1.17x
0.20
NAKA0.24-0.02-7.92%
2.05x
0.18
GERN1.56-0.12-7.14%
0.99x
1.08
AGEN4.42-0.37-7.72%
1.40x
0.18
BH.A1563.88-117.69-7.00%
1.49x
1.06
SPIR18.15-1.39-7.11%
0.82x
0.75
PRQR1.84-0.15-7.54%
1.50x
0.21
CLLS4.10-0.32-7.24%
0.55x
0.44
OCGN1.85-0.14-7.04%
1.39x
0.65
FLNC12.63-0.90-6.69%
1.45x
1.79
INBX82.39-5.84-6.62%
0.89x
1.29
RAPP37.14-2.57-6.47%
0.67x
1.90
BMEA2.05-0.16-7.24%
0.85x
0.16
MTC6.10-0.44-6.73%
1.65x
0.65
RCUS22.74-1.51-6.23%
1.88x
3.04
CNTX2.26-0.17-7.00%
1.33x
0.22
PLYX5.70-0.42-6.86%
0.17x
0.29
RDIB9.30-0.69-6.91%
6.84x
0.23
BETA16.97-1.08-5.98%
0.80x
4.15
GOAI3.97-0.29-6.81%
0.51x
0.16
HSAI21.90-1.35-5.81%
0.82x
3.65
BSX60.99-3.24-5.04%
1.03x
95.46
ASTS81.00-4.53-5.30%
2.66x
25.03
AVO13.42-0.87-6.09%
2.11x
1.01
SHMD6.46-0.44-6.38%
1.58x
0.38
TXG24.59-1.49-5.71%
1.62x
3.33
CSHR5.33-0.36-6.33%
0.47x
0.37
NVCT8.33-0.57-6.40%
0.54x
0.24
GALT2.29-0.16-6.53%
1.21x
0.16
TLN346.26-19.09-5.23%
1.06x
16.59
HIFS289.30-18.34-5.96%
1.49x
0.67
MSB28.45-1.84-6.07%
1.63x
0.40
KNSA42.46-2.44-5.43%
2.02x
3.44
MPLT28.34-1.71-5.69%
0.94x
1.28
PSNL6.34-0.39-5.79%
1.84x
0.70
NBTX31.91-1.88-5.56%
1.17x
1.64
MWA27.53-1.54-5.30%
1.37x
4.55
TUSK2.54-0.17-6.27%
1.42x
0.13
KLRA24.61-1.39-5.35%
0.17x
3.07
AGL28.30-1.75-5.82%
0.31x
0.50
RILY7.35-0.45-5.77%
0.90x
0.27
OGN9.26-0.50-5.12%
0.98x
2.54
LXEO6.53-0.38-5.50%
0.71x
0.51
GPCR48.22-2.53-4.99%
0.81x
3.60
FORTY128.81-6.89-5.08%
0.77x
2.08
VOR15.71-0.88-5.30%
0.71x
0.81
CGTX1.12-0.07-5.88%
0.62x
0.11
INTC65.70-2.80-4.09%
0.89x
343.94
QTRX3.30-0.20-5.71%
1.19x
0.16
QSI1.01-0.06-5.61%
1.91x
0.23
GOSS0.42-0.03-5.83%
0.40x
0.10
BH291.73-15.93-5.18%
1.01x
0.97
NYAX62.03-3.23-4.95%
2.47x
2.44
OABI1.55-0.09-5.49%
1.87x
0.24
CLPT11.16-0.63-5.34%
0.85x
0.35
CRML11.94-0.62-4.94%
2.33x
1.59
EBS8.35-0.46-5.22%
0.69x
0.45
AMRX13.26-0.65-4.67%
0.94x
4.44
NXT106.49-4.90-4.40%
0.67x
16.54
ISBA43.34-2.41-5.27%
2.02x
0.34
ALTS0.93-0.05-5.53%
1.09x
0.12
KZIA10.49-0.61-5.50%
1.31x
0.13
AXTI78.76-3.80-4.60%
0.82x
4.59
MENS2.31-0.13-5.33%
0.84x
0.18
SLGL70.00-3.87-5.24%
0.40x
0.24
LQDA37.66-1.81-4.59%
1.34x
3.48
NXTT1.77-0.10-5.35%
0.04x
0.14
VENU4.22-0.23-5.17%
1.45x
0.27
ABVX114.98-5.18-4.31%
0.81x
9.53
KDK9.90-0.48-4.62%
2.35x
1.83
TNYA0.74-0.04-5.20%
0.78x
0.17
LVWR1.92-0.10-4.95%
1.00x
0.41
XENE57.09-2.61-4.37%
1.02x
5.70
OBIO4.35-0.23-5.02%
1.19x
0.27
CODA12.59-0.68-5.16%
0.95x
0.15
SRRK47.80-2.16-4.32%
0.60x
5.74
IIIN24.95-1.27-4.84%
3.36x
0.51
MDXG3.25-0.17-4.83%
1.71x
0.51
AAL12.24-0.54-4.23%
1.10x
8.44
MMED13.81-0.63-4.36%
0.57x
4.05
AGMB10.79-0.54-4.77%
1.46x
0.56
NINE8.30-0.45-5.14%
0.03x
0.12
CELH33.78-1.47-4.17%
1.26x
9.06
PICS13.66-0.64-4.48%
0.51x
1.85
LPX73.70-3.27-4.25%
2.27x
5.38
KOPN2.84-0.14-4.70%
0.56x
0.53
MAZE26.84-1.25-4.45%
0.36x
1.40
RDNT57.85-2.54-4.21%
1.27x
4.69
GNLX2.65-0.14-5.02%
0.49x
0.13
ORBS1.01-0.05-4.72%
0.52x
0.40
IPX31.41-1.47-4.47%
0.72x
1.12
CGON70.40-3.03-4.13%
0.69x
6.20
AMLX17.57-0.79-4.30%
0.59x
2.03
ALK43.54-1.86-4.10%
1.23x
5.14
SLS4.99-0.23-4.41%
0.94x
0.94
TTEC3.23-0.16-4.72%
1.03x
0.16
MZTI133.25-5.61-4.04%
1.00x
3.81
GILT18.36-0.81-4.23%
0.69x
1.45
IAG18.51-0.74-3.84%
1.02x
11.21
ZBIO20.90-0.92-4.22%
0.28x
1.36
MDXH2.20-0.11-4.76%
0.56x
0.12
NNBR2.21-0.11-4.74%
1.07x
0.12
REPL2.07-0.10-4.61%
0.58x
0.18
CNTB2.68-0.13-4.63%
0.89x
0.16
JYNT8.79-0.43-4.66%
0.87x
0.13
HDB26.58-0.93-3.38%
1.11x
141.16
AGBK7.48-0.32-4.10%
0.20x
1.25
PAMT9.35-0.44-4.45%
0.46x
0.20
FULC7.94-0.35-4.22%
0.63x
0.55
EVTL2.86-0.13-4.35%
0.77x
0.31
MFI11.50-0.50-4.17%
0.14x
0.60
IMUX0.95-0.05-4.50%
2.50x
0.13
ALOY10.90-0.47-4.13%
0.62x
0.68
DMAC6.56-0.29-4.23%
0.73x
0.37
AUGO105.19-3.95-3.62%
0.53x
9.14
AAPG26.36-1.04-3.80%
0.51x
2.56
GRC65.64-2.62-3.84%
0.90x
1.80
NCSM72.10-3.23-4.28%
3.08x
0.20
TDUP4.28-0.18-4.04%
0.73x
0.58
GNE13.25-0.57-4.12%
0.79x
0.37
NGS36.56-1.54-4.04%
1.58x
0.48
NEGG43.02-1.75-3.91%
1.00x
0.94
ODD14.74-0.60-3.91%
1.11x
0.87
FDMT10.07-0.42-4.00%
0.53x
0.54
AMBR2.29-0.10-4.18%
0.79x
0.22
NCLH20.26-0.73-3.48%
1.38x
9.56
LYFT14.42-0.53-3.55%
1.30x
5.71
IPHA1.59-0.07-4.22%
0.42x
0.16
KT21.92-0.77-3.39%
1.60x
10.93
SIGA4.57-0.19-3.99%
0.43x
0.34
CABA3.31-0.13-3.92%
1.04x
0.38
FLNT3.44-0.15-4.18%
0.86x
0.11
ELVN46.41-1.70-3.53%
0.29x
2.88
UP0.39-0.02-3.94%
1.24x
0.29
PURR6.17-0.24-3.74%
0.79x
0.79
DRD30.90-1.13-3.53%
0.76x
2.78
GHM91.86-3.52-3.69%
0.84x
1.06
VNDA6.99-0.28-3.85%
0.71x
0.43
IMKTA88.11-3.28-3.59%
0.93x
1.74
BWXT228.24-7.54-3.20%
0.83x
21.60
SKYW95.89-3.41-3.43%
0.78x
3.99
ASMB28.13-1.11-3.80%
0.98x
0.46
OSG4.66-0.19-3.92%
0.51x
0.22
FUN19.27-0.70-3.51%
0.95x
2.04
PAYP20.91-0.69-3.19%
0.46x
14.62
PNTG29.64-1.10-3.58%
0.49x
1.07
CEG287.56-8.65-2.92%
0.82x
107.32
CGEM14.52-0.54-3.59%
0.73x
0.91
ISSC21.15-0.82-3.73%
0.95x
0.39
KRNT15.78-0.59-3.60%
0.51x
0.76
QXO24.22-0.78-3.12%
6.57x
18.08
HWBK33.92-1.34-3.80%
1.26x
0.24
Upcoming Economic Events

Date Impact Title Forecast Previous
2026-04-21 Low ADP Weekly Employment Change 39.3K
2026-04-21 High Core Retail Sales m/m 1.4% 0.5%
2026-04-21 High Retail Sales m/m 1.4% 0.6%
2026-04-21 High Fed Chair-Designate Warsh Testifies
2026-04-21 Medium Pending Home Sales m/m 0.0% 1.8%
2026-04-21 Low Business Inventories m/m 0.4% -0.1%
2026-04-21 Low FOMC Member Waller Speaks
2026-04-21 Low API Weekly Statistical Bulletin
2026-04-21 High Fed Chairman-Designate Warsh Testifies
2026-04-21 Medium President Trump Speaks
2026-04-22 Low Crude Oil Inventories -0.9M
2026-04-23 Medium Unemployment Claims 211K 207K
2026-04-23 Medium Flash Manufacturing PMI 52.5 52.4
2026-04-23 Medium Flash Services PMI 50.5 51.1
2026-04-23 Low Natural Gas Storage 59B
2026-04-24 Medium Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment 48.5 47.6
2026-04-24 Low Revised UoM Inflation Expectations 4.8%
Upcoming Earnings
Date Time Symbol Name Fiscal Qtr EPS Forecast Last Year EPS # Estimates Market Cap Price Exp Move $ Exp Move %
Rates

Name Rate 1 Day 14 Day 30 Day Last Changed Last Updated
3-Month3.620.010.012026-04-102026-04-16
4-Week3.61-0.01-0.02-0.042026-04-152026-04-16
1-Year3.54-0.020.010.052026-04-152026-04-16
6-Month3.58-0.02-0.010.012026-04-152026-04-16
2-Year3.780.02-0.030.12026-04-152026-04-16
5-Year3.910.04-0.060.112026-04-152026-04-16
10-Year4.320.06-0.010.092026-04-152026-04-16
30-Year4.930.060.020.072026-04-152026-04-16
10-Year Minus 2-Year0.550.010.040.052026-04-162026-04-17
Federal Funds3.642025-12-102026-04-16
Federal Funds Target Upper3.752025-12-102026-04-20
30Y Jumbo Fixed Mortgage6.433-0.09-0.030.022026-04-162026-04-17
15Y Fixed Mortgage5.65-0.09-0.120.152026-04-092026-04-16
30Y Fixed Mortgage6.3-0.07-0.160.192026-04-092026-04-16
Credit Card Interest21.00.030.03-0.392025-11-012026-02-01
Fed Watch (/ZQ Fed Funds futures)
Full curve →

Market-implied probabilities from /ZQ futures. Current EFFR estimate: 3.67%.

Apr 29, 2026
/ZQJ26 · implied 3.64%
-3 bp
25bp cut
12%
Hold
88%
Jun 17, 2026
/ZQM26 · implied 3.65%
+1 bp
Hold
95%
25bp hike
5%
Jul 29, 2026
/ZQN26 · implied 3.62%
-4 bp
25bp cut
15%
Hold
85%
Kalshi vs /ZQ Divergences (top mispricings)
All divergences →

Scanning Fed decision markets for mispricings...

Top Poll
Donald Trump 226 polls
Latest: Apr 20, 2026
Approve 44.0% · Disapprove 53.0%
n=2,203 · Registered Voters · Apr 20, 2026
Favorable 45.0% · Unfavorable 50.0%
n=2,203 · Registered Voters · Apr 20, 2026
Approve 43.0% · Disapprove 55.0%
n=1,001 · Likely Voters · Apr 18, 2026
Favorable 41.0% · Unfavorable 56.0%
n=1,118 · Adults · Apr 17, 2026
Approve 45.0% · Disapprove 53.0%
n=3,000 · Registered Voters · Apr 15, 2026

View all polls

Latest from the Blog
All Posts
Ten Empirically-Grounded Prediction Market Trading Strategies
2026-04-14

A technical survey of ten research-backed strategies for trading prediction markets, spanning favourite-longshot bias, cross-platform arbitrage, LP underwriting, combinatorial arbitrage, and dynamic hedging.

prediction-marketstrading-strategiespolymarketkalshiarbitragehedgingmarket-microstructure