Frenzy Capital — Live Market Snapshot & Analysis
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🌅 Pre-Market Overview
Trump's Strait of Hormuz announcement is spooking the oil complex but not the stock market, which tells you everything about investor conviction right now. Crude is cratering on geopolitical tension, yet the Nasdaq is up nearly 70 basis points and tech is leading the charge. This is pure risk-on behavior masquerading as caution. The Dow is the only major index in the red, a tell-tale sign that large-cap value and financials are taking the Hormuz talk seriously as an inflation concern, while growth stocks and mega-cap tech treat it as noise. The divergence between energy's collapse and equities' resilience suggests the market is pricing in Trump's plan as a bullish containment strategy, not an escalation. Silver's pop of 2.45 percent alongside rising long-end yields also hints that traders see this as inflationary pressure that's temporary, not systemic.
The real story is in the cross-asset positioning: bonds are rallying hard at the long end (30Y up 30 basis points) while the dollar weakens against almost nothing and crypto rips higher on Bitcoin up nearly 2 percent. This is classic risk-on positioning where investors are comfortable extending duration and rotating into technology even as they hedge inflation concerns with precious metals. Silver outperforming gold is the kicker; it suggests conviction in the reflation trade over pure safe-haven demand. The Russell 2000's modest gain masks deeper weakness in the Dow and mid-caps, meaning money is flowing into mega-cap growth, not broad equities. When bonds rally, the dollar softens, and growth stocks lead during geopolitical noise, you're looking at a market that believes the Fed stays accommodative and that higher rates from the Hormuz premium don't stick around long. Fasten your seatbelt for open.
⚠️ Risks & Opportunities
• Nasdaq futures are +0.68% while the Dow is -0.48%, signaling a classic Trump geopolitical premium on mega-cap tech and crypto; this is a narrow leadership problem that will snap back hard if the Hormuz threat narrative cools, so fade any big gap-up open in large-cap growth names.
• Oil collapsing 2.45% overnight while silver rips 2.45% and long-bond yields climb 30bps tells you the market is pricing risk-off energy but not true systemic stress; Trump's Hormuz posturing is theater without teeth, and oil will stabilize once traders realize a shooting war isn't priced in yet.
• Russell 2000 is barely positive (+0.22%) and already corrected year-to-date, while Nasdaq hits new highs; small-cap breadth is broken and this divergence gets worse heading into tomorrow's ISM and JOLTS print, so short any dip-buy rallies in IWM.
• Long-duration bonds rallying on geopolitical bid even as real yields compress suggests rate markets are front-running a Fed pivot narrative that jobs data on Friday will destroy; ISM Services and JOLTS tomorrow are setup events, and any weakness triggers a sharp unwind of the current "soft landing" consensus.
• Bitcoin up nearly 2% overnight is a pure risk-on tell masking the fact that equity breadth is atrocious; financials, industrials, and utilities are all in the red on heavy volume while tech props up the indices, which is textbook late-cycle rotation into air; expect capitulation selling once S&P 500 breaks through 7250 resistance.
• The Dow weakness despite Treasury strength and a geopolitical shock should alarm you; large-cap financials are sitting this out, which means institutional money is rotating defensively into bonds and crypto, not buying the dip, so the open is a short-everything setup if Nasdaq doesn't hold 27800.
📰 Referenced News Articles
S&P 500:
- Stock market today: S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow futures mixed as investors eye Trump's Hormuz plan - Yahoo Finance - Yahoo Finance
- Stock Market News, May 1, 2026: S&P 500, Nasdaq Rise to New Highs - WSJ - WSJ
- Stock Market Today: Dow set to ease while S&P 500 and Nasdaq eye new records; Berkshire Hathaway, GameStop in view - MarketWatch - MarketWatch
- Stock futures mixed as investors monitor latest in U.S.-Iran developments: Live updates - CNBC - CNBC
- S&P500: No Rest, Rotations Will Carry It Higher (Technical Analysis) (SP500) - Seeking Alpha - Seeking Alpha
Dow Jones:
- Stock Market Today: Dow Dips But Nasdaq, Nvidia Gain; Microsoft Up After This OpenAI Deal (Live Coverage) - Investor's Business Daily - Investor's Business Daily
- Stock Market Today: Dow set to ease while S&P 500 and Nasdaq eye new records; Berkshire Hathaway, GameStop in view - MarketWatch - MarketWatch
- Stock Market Today: Trump Announces Strait of Hormuz Plan; Dow to Open Down, S&P 500 to Gain; Bitcoin Rises - Barron's - Barron's
- Which Dow Jones Stocks Have Survived Recession, War, and Crisis Since the 1930s? - Disruption Banking - Disruption Banking
- Stock futures mixed as investors monitor latest in U.S.-Iran developments: Live updates - CNBC - CNBC
NASDAQ-100:
- Buying record highs looks riskier in the Nasdaq and Russell 2000 than in the broader market: Chart of the Day - Yahoo Finance - Yahoo Finance
- Stock Market Today: Dow set to ease while S&P 500 and Nasdaq eye new records; Berkshire Hathaway, GameStop in view - MarketWatch - MarketWatch
- Stock Market Today: Trump Announces Strait of Hormuz Plan; Dow to Open Down, S&P 500 to Gain; Bitcoin Rises - Barron's - Barron's
- Stock Market Today, May 1: S&P 500 and Nasdaq Power to New Highs - The Motley Fool - The Motley Fool
- Stock Market News, April 30, 2026: Dow rises 790 points, S&P 500 and Nasdaq close at records as GDP data shows the U.S. economy continues to grow; Big Tech slips; oil falls back from four-year high; Alphabet shares jump as Meta falls - MarketWatch - MarketWatch
Russell 2000:
- Russell 2000 Stocks to Avoid: DigitalOcean, Griffon, and Worthington Face Headwinds in 2026 - News and Statistics - IndexBox - IndexBox
- More key facts ahead of the 2026 Russell US Indexes reconstitution - LSEG - LSEG
- Buying record highs looks riskier in the Nasdaq and Russell 2000 than in the broader market: Chart of the Day - Yahoo Finance - Yahoo Finance
- Small cap-focused Russell 2000 becomes first U.S. benchmark to enter correction territory - CNBC - CNBC
- Russell 2000: Stocks Rally Continues but Technical Warnings Begin to Build - Investing.com UK - Investing.com UK
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Most Bullish
Top Gainers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Rel Volume | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESPR | 3.12 | +1.12 | +56.00% | 0.49 | |
| TEAM | 88.53 | +19.94 | +29.08% | 18.39 | |
| BOOM | 8.43 | +2.25 | +36.41% | 0.13 | |
| CERS | 2.73 | +0.70 | +34.24% | 0.39 | |
| ATOM | 10.99 | +2.81 | +34.41% | 0.28 | |
| FIVN | 22.04 | +4.84 | +28.14% | 1.28 | |
| TWLO | 182.63 | +34.57 | +23.35% | 21.54 | |
| XNDU | 35.99 | +6.89 | +23.68% | 8.27 | |
| WOLF | 36.80 | +7.27 | +24.60% | 1.25 | |
| EGHT | 2.42 | +0.50 | +26.30% | 0.26 | |
| SAFX | 0.50 | +0.10 | +25.06% | 0.11 | |
| AXTI | 95.73 | +16.51 | +20.84% | 4.41 | |
| AIRS | 3.31 | +0.63 | +23.69% | 0.17 | |
| BAND | 44.90 | +8.09 | +21.96% | 0.77 | |
| ACCO | 3.94 | +0.73 | +22.90% | 0.31 | |
| SOUN | 9.56 | +1.60 | +20.16% | 3.44 | |
| OIO | 2.09 | +0.37 | +21.31% | 0.60 | |
| FATE | 1.53 | +0.28 | +22.80% | 0.15 | |
| RXT | 1.76 | +0.30 | +20.89% | 0.38 | |
| ANGX | 3.10 | +0.53 | +20.63% | 0.45 | |
| ETON | 28.86 | +4.73 | +19.63% | 0.66 | |
| LWLG | 16.24 | +2.52 | +18.37% | 1.74 | |
| XRX | 2.70 | +0.45 | +20.00% | 0.21 | |
| ANIK | 14.90 | +2.45 | +19.68% | 0.20 | |
| RMNI | 4.03 | +0.62 | +18.04% | 0.32 | |
| NUTX | 139.43 | +20.23 | +16.97% | 0.80 | |
| MRAM | 21.54 | +3.25 | +17.81% | 0.30 | |
| WEAV | 5.75 | +0.83 | +17.01% | 0.39 | |
| BGIN | 3.91 | +0.54 | +16.13% | 0.42 | |
| RDDT | 166.59 | +19.37 | +13.15% | 28.47 | |
| DNA | 9.76 | +1.29 | +15.31% | 0.49 | |
| CXDO | 7.58 | +1.04 | +15.90% | 0.22 | |
| MRLN | 10.32 | +1.32 | +14.67% | 0.98 | |
| FEIM | 57.71 | +7.55 | +15.05% | 0.48 | |
| ASPN | 4.26 | +0.55 | +14.82% | 0.30 | |
| NBIS | 154.51 | +16.28 | +11.78% | 34.29 | |
| RNG | 45.28 | +5.06 | +12.59% | 3.33 | |
| QUAD | 8.47 | +1.03 | +13.91% | 0.40 | |
| ALOY | 9.86 | +1.17 | +13.46% | 0.54 | |
| AAOI | 183.54 | +19.18 | +11.67% | 10.99 | |
| BFLY | 5.39 | +0.60 | +12.63% | 1.35 | |
| CLMB | 18.91 | +2.23 | +13.40% | 0.39 | |
| NVT | 158.34 | +15.44 | +10.80% | 22.36 | |
| OPTX | 8.67 | +1.00 | +13.04% | 0.32 | |
| FSLY | 28.09 | +2.84 | +11.25% | 3.85 | |
| NWL | 4.54 | +0.46 | +11.40% | 1.70 | |
| HYPR | 1.88 | +0.22 | +12.95% | 0.13 | |
| VEEV | 171.69 | +15.72 | +10.08% | 25.89 | |
| BUUU | 17.98 | +1.98 | +12.38% | 0.26 | |
| OLED | 96.47 | +9.38 | +10.78% | 4.27 | |
| CRCL | 99.91 | +9.03 | +9.94% | 23.32 | |
| CORT | 51.42 | +4.90 | +10.53% | 5.00 | |
| FUBO | 13.79 | +1.47 | +11.93% | 0.34 | |
| KVYO | 22.17 | +2.08 | +10.35% | 6.08 | |
| TRN | 36.11 | +3.50 | +10.73% | 2.50 | |
| MNDY | 72.72 | +6.85 | +10.40% | 3.44 | |
| NICE | 112.36 | +10.34 | +10.14% | 5.96 | |
| NAKA | 0.20 | +0.02 | +12.15% | 0.13 | |
| CBOE | 328.24 | +28.15 | +9.38% | 31.80 | |
| BBBY | 5.46 | +0.56 | +11.53% | 0.35 | |
| AMTX | 3.52 | +0.38 | +11.90% | 0.19 | |
| SATL | 7.17 | +0.71 | +10.99% | 0.88 | |
| SMWB | 3.14 | +0.33 | +11.64% | 0.24 | |
| BTSG | 52.63 | +4.66 | +9.72% | 9.17 | |
| CWST | 87.15 | +7.90 | +9.97% | 4.95 | |
| NNDM | 1.93 | +0.20 | +11.27% | 0.36 | |
| ULCC | 4.01 | +0.38 | +10.61% | 0.87 | |
| PD | 7.37 | +0.71 | +10.75% | 0.57 | |
| ASAN | 6.97 | +0.65 | +10.22% | 1.50 | |
| SPCE | 2.65 | +0.27 | +11.13% | 0.22 | |
| INSG | 20.25 | +2.02 | +11.08% | 0.24 | |
| JAKK | 24.08 | +2.32 | +10.66% | 0.25 | |
| GLOO | 7.01 | +0.65 | +10.22% | 0.53 | |
| STX | 727.70 | +54.06 | +8.03% | 129.72 | |
| CMPX | 1.96 | +0.19 | +10.45% | 0.33 | |
| AMPL | 7.82 | +0.71 | +9.92% | 0.94 | |
| RJET | 18.32 | +1.66 | +9.96% | 0.83 | |
| MLYS | 29.18 | +2.54 | +9.51% | 2.13 | |
| ALMU | 25.68 | +2.39 | +10.26% | 0.34 | |
| CMRC | 3.12 | +0.29 | +10.42% | 0.24 | |
| ORGO | 2.59 | +0.24 | +10.21% | 0.31 | |
| MXL | 77.09 | +6.34 | +8.96% | 4.66 | |
| NVCR | 16.64 | +1.43 | +9.43% | 1.40 | |
| PACK | 5.60 | +0.51 | +10.02% | 0.35 | |
| AUDC | 10.20 | +0.94 | +10.15% | 0.23 | |
| DGXX | 3.71 | +0.34 | +10.09% | 0.22 | |
| MDXG | 3.69 | +0.33 | +9.67% | 0.51 | |
| LBTYB | 16.49 | +1.31 | +8.63% | 5.58 | |
| HUBS | 240.02 | +18.26 | +8.23% | 11.63 | |
| SNDK | 1177.45 | +80.94 | +7.38% | 147.95 | |
| CSIQ | 16.69 | +1.40 | +9.16% | 1.01 | |
| PSKY | 11.07 | +0.83 | +8.11% | 11.70 | |
| RMIX | 17.00 | +1.40 | +8.97% | 1.12 | |
| SPWR | 0.91 | +0.08 | +10.06% | 0.11 | |
| ARDX | 6.88 | +0.55 | +8.77% | 1.46 | |
| GSIT | 8.16 | +0.71 | +9.53% | 0.26 | |
| GTLB | 23.99 | +1.85 | +8.36% | 3.82 | |
| SVCO | 11.17 | +0.96 | +9.40% | 0.31 | |
| APPN | 22.58 | +1.79 | +8.61% | 1.62 | |
| ILMN | 136.36 | +9.62 | +7.59% | 19.28 | |
| MSTR | 177.43 | +11.98 | +7.24% | 58.06 | |
| CTW | 2.92 | +0.25 | +9.36% | 0.18 | |
| ZENA | 2.48 | +0.22 | +9.56% | 0.11 | |
| RIOT | 18.59 | +1.35 | +7.83% | 6.28 | |
| GUTS | 0.70 | +0.06 | +9.52% | 0.10 | |
| NWPX | 106.72 | +8.38 | +8.52% | 0.84 | |
| AFJK | 47.62 | +3.92 | +8.98% | 0.28 | |
| OOMA | 17.75 | +1.43 | +8.76% | 0.45 | |
| SGHT | 4.46 | +0.37 | +9.05% | 0.24 | |
| BL | 33.80 | +2.55 | +8.16% | 1.89 | |
| EHC | 107.54 | +7.54 | +7.54% | 10.11 | |
| WBTN | 13.23 | +0.99 | +8.13% | 1.64 | |
| ORCL | 171.74 | +10.35 | +6.41% | 477.31 | |
| BETR | 44.61 | +3.48 | +8.46% | 0.69 | |
| EXFY | 1.11 | +0.09 | +9.31% | 0.10 | |
| TWO | 12.52 | +0.95 | +8.21% | 1.16 | |
| ANL | 15.45 | +1.18 | +8.27% | 0.78 | |
| GDRX | 2.56 | +0.20 | +8.26% | 0.79 | |
| WYFI | 16.59 | +1.28 | +8.36% | 0.60 | |
| VACH | 13.89 | +1.09 | +8.52% | 0.41 | |
| FROG | 49.89 | +3.45 | +7.43% | 5.51 | |
| ZS | 139.82 | +9.14 | +6.99% | 21.88 | |
| TOYO | 12.72 | +0.98 | +8.39% | 0.41 | |
| WIX | 80.25 | +5.56 | +7.44% | 4.52 | |
| CRWV | 118.99 | +7.39 | +6.62% | 55.74 | |
| SPT | 6.50 | +0.50 | +8.25% | 0.36 | |
| MX | 3.69 | +0.29 | +8.53% | 0.18 | |
| SEZL | 85.50 | +5.90 | +7.41% | 2.75 | |
| STRZ | 19.84 | +1.50 | +8.18% | 0.31 | |
| RPD | 6.38 | +0.47 | +8.05% | 0.39 | |
| ALT | 2.81 | +0.21 | +7.88% | 0.53 | |
| SILC | 42.00 | +3.25 | +8.39% | 0.16 | |
| IRWD | 4.45 | +0.32 | +7.76% | 0.68 | |
| PHAT | 12.05 | +0.86 | +7.63% | 0.90 | |
| TRDA | 14.56 | +1.06 | +7.85% | 0.50 | |
| FRSH | 8.76 | +0.60 | +7.29% | 2.31 | |
| DCBO | 20.64 | +1.50 | +7.83% | 0.49 | |
| XXI | 8.94 | +0.60 | +7.19% | 2.76 | |
| AMBQ | 40.34 | +2.86 | +7.63% | 0.74 | |
| NET | 217.72 | +12.75 | +6.22% | 73.39 | |
| IVVD | 1.51 | +0.11 | +7.86% | 0.39 | |
| DDOG | 140.56 | +8.37 | +6.33% | 46.55 | |
| ZM | 103.43 | +6.28 | +6.46% | 26.86 | |
| MYRG | 432.74 | +27.93 | +6.90% | 5.14 | |
| QTRX | 3.38 | +0.25 | +8.15% | 0.16 | |
| ADV | 36.89 | +2.62 | +7.65% | 0.48 | |
| SIMO | 233.59 | +14.81 | +6.77% | 5.07 | |
| DOCN | 102.72 | +6.29 | +6.52% | 9.85 | |
| LAW | 4.66 | +0.33 | +7.62% | 0.28 | |
| TE | 5.13 | +0.33 | +6.98% | 1.37 | |
| LPTH | 13.73 | +0.92 | +7.18% | 0.73 | |
| IOT | 30.52 | +1.79 | +6.21% | 17.03 | |
| TLYS | 4.39 | +0.32 | +7.86% | 0.12 | |
| BRZE | 23.52 | +1.48 | +6.74% | 2.54 | |
| HKD | 1.78 | +0.12 | +7.23% | 0.55 | |
| ATEC | 10.43 | +0.67 | +6.90% | 1.42 | |
| MNTN | 10.10 | +0.67 | +7.10% | 0.74 | |
| GTM | 6.67 | +0.42 | +6.80% | 1.84 | |
| INTC | 99.59 | +5.11 | +5.41% | 424.80 | |
| MTZ | 417.68 | +23.63 | +6.00% | 29.57 | |
| MEI | 8.62 | +0.60 | +7.42% | 0.28 | |
| GME | 26.50 | +1.55 | +6.21% | 11.25 | |
| PXED | 29.96 | +1.94 | +6.92% | 1.00 | |
| ACHC | 27.59 | +1.70 | +6.56% | 2.54 | |
| CSHR | 6.20 | +0.42 | +7.18% | 0.37 | |
| ROKU | 123.57 | +7.01 | +6.01% | 16.58 | |
| ABCL | 4.43 | +0.28 | +6.75% | 1.26 | |
| VERX | 13.19 | +0.82 | +6.59% | 2.04 | |
| BRAI | 7.47 | +0.44 | +6.33% | 4.84 | |
| GDC | 4.29 | +0.29 | +7.25% | 0.24 | |
| MGNI | 13.65 | +0.84 | +6.55% | 1.86 | |
| SIBN | 13.25 | +0.86 | +6.94% | 0.55 | |
| SHOP | 127.68 | +6.55 | +5.41% | 158.79 | |
| CRDO | 183.96 | +9.95 | +5.72% | 30.60 | |
| VIAV | 55.54 | +3.14 | +5.99% | 9.99 | |
| ORN | 14.56 | +0.94 | +6.90% | 0.46 | |
| XNCR | 12.72 | +0.79 | +6.66% | 0.90 | |
| OPRX | 6.69 | +0.46 | +7.38% | 0.12 | |
| LFMD | 5.01 | +0.33 | +7.16% | 0.22 | |
| TDOC | 6.46 | +0.40 | +6.60% | 1.08 | |
| VSTM | 5.83 | +0.38 | +6.87% | 0.48 | |
| GOGO | 4.46 | +0.29 | +6.82% | 0.55 | |
| HYMC | 38.73 | +2.27 | +6.23% | 3.26 | |
| DXYZ | 34.74 | +2.18 | +6.70% | 0.64 | |
| PEPG | 1.76 | +0.12 | +7.32% | 0.11 | |
| ARVN | 10.56 | +0.66 | +6.67% | 0.65 | |
| VTIX | 3.70 | +0.25 | +7.25% | 0.11 | |
| ALRM | 47.18 | +2.77 | +6.24% | 2.22 | |
| EMN | 77.37 | +4.28 | +5.86% | 8.19 | |
| TDC | 27.98 | +1.63 | +6.19% | 2.44 | |
| GEMI | 4.74 | +0.29 | +6.64% | 0.54 | |
| HYLN | 2.04 | +0.13 | +6.81% | 0.32 | |
| LIFE | 18.66 | +1.12 | +6.39% | 1.13 | |
| AIG | 78.86 | +4.06 | +5.43% | 39.67 | |
| FIG | 18.71 | +1.02 | +5.73% | 9.05 | |
| SHMD | 6.32 | +0.40 | +6.67% | 0.34 | |
| VIA | 16.16 | +0.95 | +6.25% | 1.25 | |
| MU | 542.11 | +24.95 | +4.82% | 568.71 | |
| CMPR | 93.85 | +5.39 | +6.09% | 2.01 | |
| LITE | 949.88 | +47.56 | +5.27% | 56.50 |
Biggest Losers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Rel Volume | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMMT | 16.16 | -5.30 | -24.72% | 16.50 | |
| SENS | 5.05 | -1.56 | -23.52% | 0.30 | |
| TREE | 38.87 | -10.73 | -21.63% | 0.70 | |
| RBLX | 45.45 | -9.80 | -17.74% | 40.16 | |
| NSP | 28.72 | -6.85 | -19.26% | 1.35 | |
| CBIO | 18.01 | -4.36 | -19.49% | 0.73 | |
| ATMU | 52.95 | -10.45 | -16.49% | 5.01 | |
| CABO | 74.94 | -16.55 | -18.09% | 0.56 | |
| MTC | 6.71 | -0.95 | -12.40% | 0.68 | |
| RYAN | 30.89 | -3.89 | -11.17% | 4.47 | |
| WNC | 7.60 | -1.09 | -12.54% | 0.34 | |
| DLB | 57.34 | -6.80 | -10.59% | 6.01 | |
| SNDX | 19.14 | -2.29 | -10.71% | 1.86 | |
| ALHC | 20.25 | -2.29 | -10.16% | 4.53 | |
| CLX | 87.06 | -9.38 | -9.72% | 11.68 | |
| FRHC | 135.19 | -14.64 | -9.77% | 9.18 | |
| LKQ | 28.55 | -3.02 | -9.58% | 7.94 | |
| GRO | 2.69 | -0.34 | -11.22% | 0.17 | |
| ARMP | 8.91 | -1.07 | -10.72% | 0.36 | |
| AX | 87.41 | -9.03 | -9.36% | 5.60 | |
| BW | 14.13 | -1.53 | -9.77% | 1.98 | |
| INGM | 28.00 | -2.77 | -8.99% | 6.88 | |
| RIVN | 15.03 | -1.37 | -8.35% | 20.34 | |
| SXI | 248.30 | -24.70 | -9.05% | 3.26 | |
| MMSI | 62.07 | -6.11 | -8.96% | 3.98 | |
| BIO | 255.78 | -24.34 | -8.69% | 7.54 | |
| SAM | 215.44 | -21.60 | -9.11% | 2.49 | |
| PIPR | 79.58 | -7.62 | -8.73% | 6.26 | |
| OKUR | 4.73 | -0.54 | -10.25% | 0.21 | |
| PWP | 20.66 | -2.08 | -9.17% | 1.56 | |
| ZSQR | 14.46 | -1.50 | -9.40% | 0.77 | |
| ORKA | 62.54 | -5.87 | -8.58% | 3.71 | |
| NCSM | 49.27 | -5.40 | -9.88% | 0.21 | |
| DAO | 10.72 | -1.02 | -8.65% | 1.35 | |
| CAPR | 30.88 | -2.70 | -8.04% | 1.97 | |
| APYX | 3.03 | -0.30 | -9.01% | 0.15 | |
| NIO | 5.93 | -0.46 | -7.12% | 15.94 | |
| PRLD | 4.79 | -0.44 | -8.47% | 0.36 | |
| AVEX | 27.92 | -2.33 | -7.70% | 1.52 | |
| SYK | 295.53 | -19.60 | -6.22% | 123.10 | |
| VRTS | 134.47 | -11.08 | -7.61% | 0.97 | |
| NTHI | 4.05 | -0.37 | -8.37% | 0.11 | |
| OPY | 106.08 | -8.40 | -7.34% | 1.20 | |
| SHAZ | 42.55 | -3.45 | -7.50% | 0.71 | |
| SYRE | 69.45 | -5.00 | -6.72% | 5.92 | |
| MOVE | 14.75 | -1.15 | -7.23% | 1.16 | |
| LAZ | 45.24 | -3.26 | -6.72% | 4.56 | |
| PLYX | 4.85 | -0.40 | -7.62% | 0.27 | |
| SAFE | 14.89 | -1.13 | -7.07% | 1.15 | |
| FHI | 54.28 | -3.81 | -6.56% | 4.31 | |
| FIP | 5.71 | -0.44 | -7.16% | 0.66 | |
| FET | 58.43 | -4.44 | -7.06% | 0.72 | |
| VNRX | 2.43 | -0.19 | -7.25% | 0.38 | |
| NGL | 15.12 | -1.08 | -6.67% | 1.95 | |
| IRTC | 120.85 | -8.31 | -6.43% | 4.12 | |
| CRI | 33.70 | -2.42 | -6.71% | 1.39 | |
| FLGT | 14.13 | -1.06 | -6.98% | 0.44 | |
| CNK | 27.66 | -1.86 | -6.32% | 3.42 | |
| GTES | 24.05 | -1.56 | -6.09% | 6.40 | |
| BNTX | 97.53 | -5.92 | -5.72% | 25.81 | |
| VISN | 12.01 | -0.79 | -6.17% | 2.23 | |
| ERAS | 10.02 | -0.63 | -5.96% | 3.08 | |
| ANNA | 3.55 | -0.26 | -6.82% | 0.15 | |
| LAKE | 9.46 | -0.71 | -6.98% | 0.10 | |
| ATGL | 12.60 | -0.90 | -6.67% | 0.23 | |
| BH.A | 1529.88 | -100.31 | -6.15% | 1.04 | |
| BH | 290.21 | -19.04 | -6.16% | 0.96 | |
| NERV | 6.05 | -0.42 | -6.49% | 0.28 | |
| HLLY | 3.09 | -0.21 | -6.36% | 0.40 | |
| SPXC | 207.07 | -11.84 | -5.41% | 10.86 | |
| SABS | 3.50 | -0.24 | -6.42% | 0.25 | |
| AMGN | 330.11 | -16.14 | -4.66% | 183.05 | |
| ELF | 60.47 | -3.50 | -5.48% | 3.72 | |
| GOLD | 42.59 | -2.60 | -5.75% | 1.29 | |
| ALM | 20.53 | -1.15 | -5.30% | 5.86 | |
| RM | 35.10 | -2.25 | -6.01% | 0.37 | |
| MLCO | 5.46 | -0.31 | -5.46% | 2.26 | |
| ITGR | 83.74 | -4.77 | -5.39% | 2.88 | |
| YDES | 4.80 | -0.30 | -5.88% | 0.37 | |
| PHVS | 29.34 | -1.68 | -5.40% | 1.85 | |
| AVAV | 185.25 | -9.77 | -5.01% | 9.73 | |
| ATLN | 1.40 | -0.09 | -6.04% | 0.17 | |
| BBAR | 13.52 | -0.74 | -5.19% | 3.02 | |
| RKLB | 78.70 | -3.81 | -4.61% | 45.43 | |
| DBVT | 19.88 | -1.12 | -5.33% | 1.23 | |
| UFPI | 85.05 | -4.44 | -4.97% | 5.44 | |
| CWH | 7.74 | -0.45 | -5.56% | 0.43 | |
| LPLA | 318.94 | -15.19 | -4.55% | 26.76 | |
| ULH | 22.79 | -1.29 | -5.36% | 0.64 | |
| OPRT | 5.75 | -0.34 | -5.58% | 0.27 | |
| ICLR | 112.72 | -5.61 | -4.74% | 7.83 | |
| OFLX | 29.79 | -1.73 | -5.49% | 0.35 | |
| VGZ | 2.04 | -0.12 | -5.46% | 0.31 | |
| EDN | 23.77 | -1.28 | -5.10% | 1.10 | |
| CD | 5.15 | -0.29 | -5.33% | 0.40 | |
| IMO | 128.33 | -5.69 | -4.25% | 61.65 | |
| ALIT | 0.78 | -0.04 | -5.33% | 0.39 | |
| NIQ | 10.40 | -0.53 | -4.80% | 3.26 | |
| MGA | 60.84 | -2.84 | -4.45% | 17.12 | |
| MHK | 100.67 | -4.89 | -4.63% | 6.51 | |
| NRGV | 4.38 | -0.24 | -5.10% | 0.73 | |
| NPKI | 15.55 | -0.80 | -4.87% | 1.33 | |
| ALNY | 296.55 | -12.94 | -4.18% | 40.31 | |
| ATKR | 74.48 | -3.67 | -4.70% | 2.63 | |
| ASTS | 70.73 | -3.17 | -4.28% | 21.03 | |
| JOE | 61.60 | -2.97 | -4.60% | 4.08 | |
| BRO | 57.58 | -2.57 | -4.27% | 21.40 | |
| UCTT | 74.57 | -3.58 | -4.58% | 3.51 | |
| MZTI | 124.31 | -5.97 | -4.58% | 3.48 | |
| SGMT | 7.62 | -0.41 | -5.17% | 0.29 | |
| EGO | 29.72 | -1.37 | -4.41% | 8.08 | |
| TRNS | 72.35 | -3.75 | -4.93% | 0.71 | |
| BMY | 58.20 | -2.39 | -3.94% | 118.95 | |
| PATK | 88.75 | -4.25 | -4.58% | 3.12 | |
| VG | 12.72 | -0.54 | -4.11% | 30.19 | |
| CIFR | 16.96 | -0.77 | -4.37% | 7.01 | |
| MARA | 11.46 | -0.54 | -4.46% | 4.19 | |
| RMD | 205.09 | -8.72 | -4.08% | 31.63 | |
| IMAX | 36.31 | -1.71 | -4.50% | 2.03 | |
| EU | 1.86 | -0.09 | -4.85% | 0.37 | |
| GRAB | 3.67 | -0.15 | -4.06% | 15.83 | |
| TGS | 29.21 | -1.30 | -4.26% | 4.58 | |
| GLW | 158.17 | -6.07 | -3.70% | 131.16 | |
| BMA | 68.95 | -3.05 | -4.24% | 4.82 | |
| TYGO | 4.79 | -0.24 | -4.77% | 0.38 | |
| BLDR | 75.85 | -3.24 | -4.10% | 9.47 | |
| ELMT | 15.58 | -0.77 | -4.71% | 0.46 | |
| BYND | 0.94 | -0.05 | -4.71% | 0.40 | |
| GFL | 38.51 | -1.60 | -3.99% | 14.49 | |
| FTAI | 239.94 | -9.72 | -3.90% | 22.16 | |
| PICS | 11.56 | -0.53 | -4.38% | 1.50 | |
| BZH | 20.61 | -0.98 | -4.54% | 0.66 | |
| LRN | 93.13 | -4.03 | -4.15% | 3.94 | |
| PAM | 79.46 | -3.41 | -4.11% | 4.47 | |
| FBYD | 16.17 | -0.75 | -4.43% | 0.87 | |
| TWIN | 15.74 | -0.78 | -4.71% | 0.25 | |
| POR | 49.83 | -2.10 | -4.04% | 5.97 | |
| QURE | 19.09 | -0.86 | -4.34% | 1.14 | |
| HCC | 86.22 | -3.63 | -4.04% | 4.73 | |
| PCRX | 24.39 | -1.09 | -4.30% | 1.03 | |
| YPF | 43.46 | -1.70 | -3.76% | 17.03 | |
| GRMN | 242.10 | -9.04 | -3.60% | 47.80 | |
| AMC | 1.46 | -0.06 | -4.28% | 0.96 | |
| EQPT | 20.17 | -0.82 | -3.93% | 5.80 | |
| TSCO | 33.79 | -1.31 | -3.73% | 18.72 | |
| CAKE | 60.34 | -2.53 | -4.02% | 3.12 | |
| CIG.C | 3.27 | -0.13 | -3.82% | 9.61 | |
| MOG.B | 301.67 | -11.89 | -3.79% | 9.93 | |
| EDSA | 17.42 | -0.85 | -4.68% | 0.13 | |
| CURR | 3.40 | -0.16 | -4.49% | 0.26 | |
| SLQT | 0.88 | -0.04 | -4.58% | 0.17 | |
| GMTL | 16.27 | -0.72 | -4.24% | 0.73 | |
| SUPV | 7.88 | -0.35 | -4.19% | 0.78 | |
| CDXS | 2.69 | -0.12 | -4.43% | 0.26 | |
| APH | 142.40 | -4.87 | -3.31% | 176.69 | |
| SNWV | 15.63 | -0.74 | -4.49% | 0.16 | |
| ASND | 221.06 | -8.32 | -3.63% | 13.72 | |
| HBNB | 6.01 | -0.25 | -3.99% | 1.55 | |
| CLB | 14.04 | -0.61 | -4.13% | 0.77 | |
| SIG | 85.61 | -3.42 | -3.84% | 3.49 | |
| KNSL | 311.62 | -12.00 | -3.71% | 7.59 | |
| VKTX | 29.99 | -1.19 | -3.82% | 3.75 | |
| AXG | 3.77 | -0.16 | -4.07% | 0.78 | |
| BBIO | 68.58 | -2.53 | -3.56% | 13.51 | |
| FWDI | 4.42 | -0.20 | -4.23% | 0.33 | |
| CVNA | 382.60 | -13.20 | -3.34% | 58.12 | |
| PDEX | 47.95 | -2.19 | -4.37% | 0.17 | |
| FLO | 8.71 | -0.35 | -3.86% | 1.89 | |
| OMF | 56.63 | -2.14 | -3.64% | 6.87 | |
| ATR | 119.27 | -4.41 | -3.57% | 8.02 | |
| PSIX | 70.46 | -2.81 | -3.84% | 1.59 | |
| ISOU | 11.50 | -0.48 | -4.01% | 0.62 | |
| HLMN | 7.85 | -0.31 | -3.80% | 1.63 | |
| PPC | 31.93 | -1.17 | -3.53% | 7.82 | |
| WHG | 15.74 | -0.70 | -4.26% | 0.16 | |
| VIST | 71.70 | -2.62 | -3.53% | 7.63 | |
| TKNO | 3.40 | -0.15 | -4.23% | 0.18 | |
| SHAK | 98.75 | -3.71 | -3.62% | 4.03 | |
| RCAT | 11.28 | -0.45 | -3.80% | 1.37 | |
| HTFL | 28.66 | -1.10 | -3.68% | 2.62 | |
| COHU | 45.59 | -1.76 | -3.72% | 2.08 | |
| MPLT | 30.66 | -1.21 | -3.80% | 1.29 | |
| DDD | 2.36 | -0.10 | -4.07% | 0.32 | |
| NMIH | 37.30 | -1.41 | -3.63% | 3.16 | |
| GFR | 6.47 | -0.26 | -3.86% | 0.78 | |
| SLNH | 1.59 | -0.07 | -4.22% | 0.12 | |
| OXY | 58.66 | -1.91 | -3.16% | 58.12 | |
| NWG | 15.41 | -0.50 | -3.14% | 62.48 | |
| EOSE | 6.46 | -0.24 | -3.61% | 2.31 | |
| FMC | 14.82 | -0.56 | -3.64% | 1.91 | |
| YSS | 32.00 | -1.16 | -3.51% | 4.07 | |
| RVMD | 139.49 | -4.63 | -3.22% | 30.79 | |
| RUSHB | 70.37 | -2.49 | -3.42% | 6.00 | |
| WEN | 6.71 | -0.25 | -3.66% | 1.30 | |
| PH | 882.16 | -27.26 | -3.00% | 121.45 | |
| ODFL | 205.83 | -6.60 | -3.11% | 46.19 | |
| LOMA | 10.64 | -0.40 | -3.62% | 1.30 | |
| OSUR | 2.92 | -0.12 | -3.95% | 0.21 | |
| TAYD | 53.30 | -2.20 | -3.96% | 0.18 | |
| XE | 30.69 | -1.04 | -3.28% | 9.33 |
Pre-Market Gainers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|
Pre-Market Losers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|
| Date | Impact | Title | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | Low | Factory Orders m/m | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 2026-05-04 | Low | FOMC Member Williams Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-04 | Low | Loan Officer Survey | ||
| 2026-05-05 | Low | Trade Balance | -59.0B | -57.3B |
| 2026-05-05 | Low | Final Services PMI | 51.3 | 51.3 |
| 2026-05-05 | High | ISM Services PMI | 53.8 | 54.0 |
| 2026-05-05 | High | JOLTS Job Openings | 6.87M | 6.88M |
| 2026-05-05 | Medium | New Home Sales | 587K | |
| 2026-05-05 | Low | FOMC Member Bowman Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-05 | Low | RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism | 42.0 | 42.8 |
| 2026-05-05 | Low | FOMC Member Barr Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-05 | Low | API Weekly Statistical Bulletin | ||
| 2026-05-06 | Medium | ADP Non-Farm Employment Change | 90K | 62K |
| 2026-05-06 | Low | FOMC Member Musalem Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-06 | Low | Crude Oil Inventories | -6.2M | |
| 2026-05-06 | Low | FOMC Member Goolsbee Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-07 | Low | Challenger Job Cuts y/y | -78.0% | |
| 2026-05-07 | Medium | Unemployment Claims | 203K | 189K |
| 2026-05-07 | Low | Prelim Nonfarm Productivity q/q | 1.0% | 2.8% |
| 2026-05-07 | Low | Prelim Unit Labor Costs q/q | 2.5% | 2.8% |
| 2026-05-07 | Low | Construction Spending m/m | -0.3% | |
| 2026-05-07 | Low | Natural Gas Storage | 79B | |
| 2026-05-07 | Low | FOMC Member Hammack Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-07 | Low | Consumer Credit m/m | 12.5B | 9.5B |
| 2026-05-07 | Low | FOMC Member Williams Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-08 | Low | FOMC Member Cook Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-08 | High | Average Hourly Earnings m/m | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| 2026-05-08 | High | Non-Farm Employment Change | 60K | 178K |
| 2026-05-08 | High | Unemployment Rate | 4.3% | 4.3% |
| 2026-05-08 | Medium | Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment | 49.3 | 47.6 |
| 2026-05-08 | Medium | Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations | 4.8% | |
| 2026-05-08 | Low | Final Wholesale Inventories m/m | 1.4% | 1.4% |
| 2026-05-08 | Medium | FOMC Member Waller Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-08 | Low | FOMC Member Bowman Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-08 | Low | FOMC Member Daly Speaks | ||
| 2026-05-08 | Low | FOMC Member Goolsbee Speaks |
| Date | Time | Symbol | Exp Move % | Exp Move $ | Fiscal Qtr | EPS Forecast | Last Year EPS | # Estimates | Market Cap |
|---|
| Name | Rate | 1 Day | 14 Day | 30 Day | Last Changed | Last Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Month | 3.6 | -0.02 | -0.02 | 2026-04-20 | 2026-04-29 | |
| 4-Week | 3.58 | -0.03 | -0.04 | -0.05 | 2026-04-28 | 2026-04-29 |
| 1-Year | 3.6 | 0.06 | 0.04 | -0.01 | 2026-04-28 | 2026-04-29 |
| 6-Month | 3.6 | 0.01 | 2026-04-27 | 2026-04-29 | ||
| 2-Year | 3.92 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 0.04 | 2026-04-28 | 2026-04-29 |
| 5-Year | 4.05 | 0.11 | 0.18 | -0.01 | 2026-04-28 | 2026-04-29 |
| 10-Year | 4.42 | 0.07 | 0.16 | -0.02 | 2026-04-28 | 2026-04-29 |
| 30-Year | 4.98 | 0.04 | 0.11 | 2026-04-28 | 2026-04-29 | |
| 10-Year Minus 2-Year | 0.52 | 0.02 | -0.02 | 0.01 | 2026-04-29 | 2026-04-30 |
| Federal Funds | 3.64 | 2025-12-10 | 2026-04-29 | |||
| Federal Funds Target Upper | 3.75 | 2025-12-10 | 2026-05-01 | |||
| 30Y Jumbo Fixed Mortgage | 6.432 | -0.04 | -0.1 | -0.11 | 2026-04-29 | 2026-04-30 |
| 15Y Fixed Mortgage | 5.64 | 0.06 | -0.01 | -0.11 | 2026-04-23 | 2026-04-30 |
| 30Y Fixed Mortgage | 6.3 | 0.07 | -0.08 | 2026-04-23 | 2026-04-30 | |
| Credit Card Interest | 21.0 | 0.03 | 0.03 | -0.39 | 2025-11-01 | 2026-02-01 |
Market-implied probabilities from /ZQ futures. Current EFFR estimate: 3.67%.
Scanning Fed decision markets for mispricings...
Ten Empirically-Grounded Prediction Market Trading Strategies
A technical survey of ten research-backed strategies for trading prediction markets, spanning favourite-longshot bias, cross-platform arbitrage, LP underwriting, combinatorial arbitrage, and dynamic hedging.