Frenzy Capital — Live Market Snapshot & Analysis

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Market Analysis
Updated: May 06, 2026 06:01 AMLive Data
🌅 Pre-Market Overview

The Iran ceasefire memo is the real story this morning, and it's reshaping everything. Oil collapsing nearly nine percent while equities and bonds both rally tells you this isn't a typical risk-off capitulation. Equity futures are grinding higher across the board, with small caps and tech leading, because geopolitical de-escalation removes a tail risk that's been hanging over growth and inflation expectations alike. Energy weakness of this magnitude signals genuine relief that a major supply shock threat has evaporated. This is a clean risk-on setup where lower oil prices actually fuel equity optimism instead of signaling recession fears.

But here's what makes this interesting: treasuries are rallying just as hard as stocks. The entire curve from fives to thirties is bid, suggesting the market is pricing in not just geopolitical relief but a real shift in the inflation equation. Precious metals are screaming higher across the board, gold up over three percent, which normally signals safe-haven demand but here reads more as a hedge against an entirely new macro regime. The dollar weakness across major pairs and the strength in cyclical currencies like the Australian and New Zealand dollars confirms it. We're looking at a goldilocks moment where the market believes inflation can moderate without recession, energy costs are normalizing, and geopolitical clouds are lifting. If tech earnings hold up from here, this rally has legs.

⚠️ Risks & Opportunities

• Russell 2000 futures up 1.44% while S&P 500 up only 0.75% signals a classic risk-on rotation into cyclicals and small caps; this is real breadth expansion, not mega-cap dependent, and suggests the open will see broad-based buying rather than narrow leadership.

• Oil collapsing 8.73% on Iran ceasefire hopes is the dominant overnight narrative, but this dual-edged sword cuts into energy sector gains while benefiting consumer discretionary and airlines; energy weakness will cap upside despite equity strength, so watch for sector rotation whipsaws at the open.

• Gold up 3.18% and treasury yields rising sharply across the curve (10Y up 44bp, 30Y up 86bp) is a genuine de-risking signal hiding inside the rally; real yields are compressing hard, which means this isn't a confidence-driven bull move but rather inflation hedging and duration adjustment ahead of Friday's jobs report.

• Tech leading with a 1.32% Nasdaq futures rip on chip earnings optimism (AMD, Super Micro), but copper up 2.90% and the entire precious metals complex screaming suggests inflation expectations are re-anchoring; don't expect tech's pre-market outperformance to hold once the open prints and rotation pressure hits.

ADP employment data hits today (medium impact) but the real landmine is Friday's non-farm payroll release; that 89bp of curve steepening overnight is the market pricing in potential Fed hold signals, and any hot labor data would flip this entire setup into a bear-steepener, so cash traders should scale into size carefully.

• Yen strength up 1.26% alongside risk-on equity futures is unusual and unstable; if carry trades are unwinding into a geopolitical premium on the Iran deal, this could reverse violently once the ceasefire details are priced in, so watch for sudden equity revers if currency pairs start whipsaw.


📰 Referenced News Articles

S&P 500:

Dow Jones:

NASDAQ-100:

Russell 2000:

Sector Performance
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Options Flow Sentiment
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Most Bullish
Symbol Score Bull $ Bear $ C/P Ratio Blocks Sweeps
MRNA1.000$17K$03.071515
EWY1.000$4.1M$02.4014379
AUR1.000$12K$06.882521
AMKR1.000$37K$02.86610
SMH1.000$2.5M$00.48223164
FSLY1.000$489K$02.029442
ICHR1.000$18K$02.5252
CRDO1.000$441K$02.571322
BNO1.000$3.0M$014.504933
AXTI1.000$271K$01.122420
Most Bearish
Symbol Score Bull $ Bear $ C/P Ratio Blocks Sweeps
ONDS-1.000$0$295K3.97237162
EBAY-1.000$0$373K2.293032
LWLG-1.000$0$90K2.80105
ASTS-1.000$0$1.9M2.62159135
TEM-1.000$0$102K2.173127
JBLU-1.000$0$19K0.701911
QS-1.000$0$11K5.512813
GTLB-1.000$0$55K5.7343
NVDL-1.000$0$30K1.172111
ASST-1.000$0$86K2.88158
Movers — May 5, 2026
Top Gainers
Symbol Price Change Change % Rel Volume Market Cap ($B)
PHOE46.00+28.50+162.86%
43.28x
0.35
EVER23.83+9.22+63.11%
7.80x
0.51
STRL807.00+277.51+52.41%
5.07x
16.34
BLZE7.58+2.94+63.32%
50.74x
0.27
SLQT1.23+0.42+51.62%
26.40x
0.16
DOCN152.81+44.00+40.44%
2.85x
10.73
VRDN18.79+4.73+33.64%
6.99x
1.38
BLDP4.33+1.04+31.46%
4.59x
1.02
BDSX15.12+3.85+34.16%
7.24x
0.11
POET9.27+2.16+30.31%
1.84x
1.12
FATE2.35+0.55+30.83%
5.69x
0.18
UP6.52+1.48+29.37%
0.16x
0.20
TRON2.55+0.54+26.87%
2.78x
0.91
DGXX5.04+1.08+27.47%
48.31x
0.26
CIFR21.98+4.09+22.86%
2.37x
6.92
IART13.21+2.56+24.08%
3.33x
0.85
TONX2.62+0.53+25.36%
4.67x
0.12
BRCC1.36+0.27+24.77%
18.67x
0.13
EWTX38.07+6.62+21.05%
4.95x
3.29
RXT2.44+0.44+21.64%
1.63x
0.44
MED13.07+2.44+23.00%
4.06x
0.12
GDC5.98+1.08+22.04%
39.18x
0.26
ONEG10.76+1.95+22.13%
1.80x
0.14
ABEV3.38+0.48+16.38%
2.16x
45.23
FSLY32.38+4.89+17.81%
1.01x
4.39
ALMU27.39+4.43+19.27%
1.12x
0.46
FTRE14.50+2.25+18.37%
3.00x
1.15
CYRX12.14+1.93+18.90%
4.34x
0.52
CYTK76.92+10.88+16.46%
10.11x
7.87
ULS104.25+14.16+15.71%
1.80x
18.43
NTHI4.97+0.83+19.95%
6.77x
0.10
ATGL15.00+2.40+19.06%
3.19x
0.21
CLYM11.46+1.77+18.21%
2.02x
0.43
WLFC229.42+33.55+17.13%
1.12x
1.49
INTC108.16+12.38+12.93%
1.22x
500.69
PLPC359.35+49.59+16.01%
1.05x
1.63
WAT343.17+41.29+13.68%
2.02x
30.15
JELD1.64+0.25+17.63%
1.61x
0.13
AVTX16.06+2.28+16.55%
0.87x
0.31
LIND20.48+2.64+14.83%
1.68x
1.22
SNDK1401.06+145.20+11.56%
1.18x
175.68
UCTT83.05+9.94+13.60%
1.90x
3.34
MU639.64+63.19+10.96%
1.48x
611.47
PLOW50.87+6.29+14.11%
2.44x
1.06
JBTM131.55+15.11+12.98%
2.05x
6.01
WALD1.02+0.14+15.52%
0.40x
0.12
HSTM24.26+3.01+14.16%
1.76x
0.61
IMOS54.62+6.48+13.46%
1.75x
1.59
SLNH1.53+0.19+14.55%
0.87x
0.22
IIPR59.88+6.98+13.19%
2.77x
1.56
TRT13.40+1.73+14.82%
0.26x
0.14
NRGV5.04+0.60+13.51%
1.95x
0.76
HNRG17.66+2.10+13.50%
2.47x
0.74
APLD39.87+4.24+11.90%
1.06x
9.59
GTN.A11.90+1.38+13.12%
0.97x
1.10
ECG169.02+18.09+11.99%
3.16x
7.61
TDUP4.96+0.59+13.50%
2.93x
0.58
CECO87.93+9.76+12.49%
2.43x
2.67
MX4.08+0.52+14.47%
0.87x
0.13
VVX76.36+8.55+12.60%
2.51x
2.12
AKAM117.92+12.14+11.48%
1.59x
15.29
PENG36.49+4.09+12.62%
2.66x
1.59
GPK10.73+1.17+12.24%
2.51x
2.87
EOLS6.33+0.75+13.53%
4.80x
0.35
QCOM185.61+17.23+10.23%
1.48x
186.57
BLSH45.45+4.75+11.67%
3.34x
5.91
CDNL55.67+6.22+12.58%
0.83x
0.84
IREN54.72+5.24+10.59%
1.22x
15.15
BLLN80.11+7.99+11.08%
3.47x
3.56
LMB114.11+11.81+11.55%
1.31x
1.18
ENPH36.05+3.51+10.77%
1.04x
4.46
MNTK1.54+0.17+12.41%
1.19x
0.20
TYGO5.22+0.56+12.02%
1.31x
0.36
VRCA7.17+0.81+12.74%
0.67x
0.11
LTH29.03+2.75+10.46%
3.26x
5.94
CCOI18.20+1.83+11.21%
2.92x
1.16
THR69.85+6.81+10.80%
2.68x
1.99
NVTS17.57+1.65+10.40%
1.00x
4.03
IQV176.21+15.27+9.48%
2.27x
26.48
EXPD153.00+13.29+9.51%
1.44x
19.58
PRIM203.57+18.02+9.71%
2.22x
9.78
BUD80.31+6.40+8.65%
3.02x
146.43
NET243.98+19.81+8.84%
1.48x
76.86
OPLN35.30+3.23+10.09%
3.88x
3.34
AMC1.60+0.16+10.69%
1.00x
0.85
ROK436.04+35.73+8.93%
2.36x
45.78
NBTX34.35+3.19+10.24%
0.95x
1.70
GFS73.81+6.06+8.94%
2.02x
35.64
UFPT212.35+19.80+10.28%
2.19x
1.50
POWL295.13+25.19+9.33%
1.82x
10.03
DDD2.60+0.26+10.90%
1.27x
0.35
MATX186.83+16.00+9.37%
1.81x
5.28
ZIM28.51+2.44+9.36%
7.14x
3.17
CHCI17.20+1.68+10.82%
1.21x
0.16
LINC45.03+3.97+9.67%
3.72x
1.30
MANE114.87+9.61+9.13%
1.29x
4.16
AMSC54.95+4.65+9.24%
0.84x
2.50
HYLN2.32+0.21+9.95%
1.98x
0.36
SILC45.62+4.19+10.10%
2.45x
0.24
CRNT2.79+0.26+10.08%
2.05x
0.23
RIOT20.27+1.59+8.52%
0.91x
7.01
ICLR121.42+9.45+8.44%
1.02x
8.62
UMC14.02+1.04+7.97%
1.35x
32.83
DD49.10+3.70+8.14%
2.10x
18.95
VTIX3.87+0.36+10.26%
3.49x
0.12
TSSI15.95+1.39+9.55%
0.91x
0.43
LGN99.06+7.66+8.37%
0.73x
6.93
PRCH11.30+0.94+9.07%
1.10x
1.13
AMKR76.64+5.68+8.00%
1.10x
17.62
CX12.84+0.95+7.99%
1.34x
17.68
LCUT6.54+0.59+10.00%
0.38x
0.15
ALTO5.99+0.52+9.47%
1.88x
0.42
NUVB4.80+0.39+8.84%
2.61x
1.56
KEEL3.54+0.29+8.77%
1.02x
1.86
CDXS2.75+0.24+9.56%
0.90x
0.24
BODI15.04+1.36+9.94%
0.73x
0.11
CRDO193.62+13.56+7.53%
0.67x
34.01
FORM144.99+10.62+7.90%
0.71x
10.71
HSHP15.44+1.27+8.96%
3.55x
0.65
GILT19.90+1.56+8.51%
2.32x
1.39
QMCO8.29+0.73+9.66%
1.45x
0.11
PINS22.45+1.60+7.67%
3.68x
11.64
DORM119.80+8.95+8.07%
1.31x
3.40
QNST13.85+1.11+8.67%
1.96x
0.74
WYFI19.58+1.57+8.72%
1.60x
0.64
NVCT9.70+0.81+9.11%
3.65x
0.24
ENTG149.21+10.25+7.38%
0.80x
21.66
LEGN28.58+2.08+7.85%
2.46x
4.36
GXO49.83+3.55+7.68%
2.99x
6.47
LIFE21.10+1.61+8.26%
1.11x
1.17
HIVE2.82+0.22+8.43%
0.93x
0.62
LRCX275.04+16.47+6.37%
1.01x
321.05
ALAB215.22+13.97+6.94%
1.10x
34.72
CRL185.00+12.68+7.36%
1.10x
8.18
VLN2.44+0.19+8.67%
1.36x
0.25
CAMT196.07+13.36+7.31%
1.29x
8.69
PDEX55.77+4.55+8.87%
1.53x
0.15
AESI19.13+1.38+7.77%
1.78x
2.14
CABA4.16+0.33+8.49%
2.77x
0.33
HOG24.98+1.77+7.65%
1.61x
2.74
ALIT0.88+0.07+8.37%
0.88x
0.41
ASYS17.89+1.41+8.59%
0.86x
0.25
ELVA10.23+0.78+8.25%
1.23x
0.47
SHIP16.68+1.29+8.38%
1.92x
0.34
RYTM91.84+6.26+7.31%
2.81x
5.61
GOAI4.04+0.33+8.76%
1.57x
0.14
MASS7.10+0.55+8.40%
1.64x
0.26
CHGG1.25+0.10+8.70%
1.56x
0.13
HPP9.76+0.73+8.08%
0.53x
0.50
SEDG44.62+3.10+7.47%
1.23x
2.61
PROF7.26+0.56+8.36%
1.65x
0.25
NMM76.51+5.33+7.49%
2.70x
2.03
HZO29.81+2.15+7.77%
1.26x
0.65
XZO17.36+1.20+7.43%
1.38x
1.49
BF.A26.86+1.70+6.76%
0.69x
12.01
FORTY142.14+9.66+7.29%
0.89x
2.03
RVTY92.32+5.81+6.72%
1.60x
9.69
LOMA11.24+0.77+7.35%
1.59x
1.24
HURA2.31+0.17+8.18%
0.40x
0.15
MWH45.37+2.86+6.73%
1.25x
8.23
KOPN4.80+0.33+7.49%
2.58x
0.77
CLAR2.81+0.21+8.27%
1.49x
0.11
GGB4.80+0.30+6.67%
1.52x
8.87
FSTR39.45+2.85+7.79%
1.42x
0.32
TORO6.49+0.48+7.90%
0.14x
0.22
BF.B26.26+1.60+6.49%
0.67x
11.72
CSTM32.93+2.09+6.78%
0.82x
4.36
TCMD24.10+1.67+7.45%
2.84x
0.52
ULCC4.38+0.29+7.21%
1.27x
0.92
USAR27.27+1.69+6.61%
1.23x
5.74
ZIP3.17+0.22+7.63%
0.48x
0.25
AHRT6.42+0.44+7.36%
1.57x
0.49
WW11.78+0.87+7.93%
0.64x
0.11
VACH13.96+0.96+7.38%
0.12x
0.40
CMDB18.35+1.26+7.37%
1.50x
0.41
AP11.24+0.79+7.61%
1.15x
0.21
DY456.23+26.76+6.23%
1.47x
13.02
ARE43.77+2.63+6.39%
0.63x
7.21
AEHR91.26+5.65+6.60%
0.47x
2.93
ODV3.15+0.21+6.97%
0.69x
0.90
CPRX30.83+1.89+6.53%
1.29x
3.51
ACA131.01+7.82+6.35%
0.72x
6.13
ARRY8.18+0.52+6.79%
0.86x
1.20
LVWR1.79+0.12+7.19%
1.21x
0.36
ATS34.19+2.08+6.48%
1.60x
3.13
BOW24.88+1.60+6.87%
1.52x
0.80
TNGX24.18+1.46+6.45%
0.61x
3.03
KIDS16.90+1.12+7.10%
1.05x
0.40
RGEN125.49+7.28+6.16%
1.74x
6.61
WS40.52+2.46+6.46%
0.89x
1.99
ALKS36.27+2.10+6.16%
1.21x
5.55
MNTN11.29+0.71+6.71%
2.76x
0.79
RYZ27.94+1.71+6.52%
1.06x
1.43
GENB15.39+0.93+6.47%
0.71x
1.68
CMTG2.69+0.17+6.94%
1.57x
0.38
RC1.99+0.13+6.99%
0.77x
0.32
EQH43.94+2.45+5.89%
2.83x
11.87
OWL10.73+0.61+6.03%
1.38x
6.74
LXU15.31+0.94+6.54%
0.79x
1.06
VICR265.71+14.69+5.85%
0.61x
12.18
Biggest Losers
Symbol Price Change Change % Rel Volume Market Cap ($B)
EMBC3.97-5.28-57.08%
21.18x
0.55
WGS34.58-33.35-49.09%
14.63x
1.94
BRBR10.70-6.66-38.39%
7.66x
2.02
AVNW15.04-7.60-33.57%
5.41x
0.30
IPGP90.11-32.22-26.33%
6.53x
5.22
ULH12.26-3.87-23.99%
3.41x
0.59
JRVR4.61-1.52-24.88%
7.95x
0.28
GIG8.41-2.30-21.48%
0.32x
0.36
SHOP107.35-20.20-15.84%
4.78x
165.76
OCGN1.50-0.35-19.19%
4.87x
0.61
OSIS235.29-47.58-16.82%
5.03x
4.65
SAFX0.47-0.12-19.77%
0.47x
0.15
ADEA27.96-5.67-16.86%
3.34x
3.65
NUTX121.14-26.03-17.69%
0.99x
0.97
ONIT38.69-8.60-18.19%
4.10x
0.41
ADTN15.32-3.02-16.44%
2.00x
1.49
DFIN42.81-7.82-15.45%
3.43x
1.45
PTLO4.82-0.90-15.82%
4.01x
0.47
AUDC8.49-1.65-16.22%
4.84x
0.26
OIS9.61-1.59-14.20%
1.97x
0.68
FFAI0.34-0.06-14.85%
0.33x
0.12
PCOR54.76-7.34-11.82%
2.83x
8.95
INSP47.97-6.87-12.53%
4.13x
1.63
FMS20.17-2.48-10.95%
4.69x
12.29
AEIS345.74-41.29-10.67%
3.43x
14.79
INTT16.15-2.39-12.89%
3.04x
0.23
HII326.11-37.26-10.26%
3.38x
14.20
IMDX4.57-0.66-12.62%
1.83x
0.13
MTC6.61-0.81-10.92%
0.55x
0.68
SWMR29.93-3.67-10.92%
0.56x
0.45
VAL92.75-9.77-9.53%
1.59x
7.08
RIG6.24-0.64-9.37%
1.74x
7.57
MRDN11.40-1.45-11.28%
1.64x
0.14
FISV57.37-5.44-8.66%
2.70x
33.12
AHCO11.76-1.28-9.82%
3.57x
1.79
ZENA2.13-0.26-10.93%
1.32x
0.19
RPAY3.58-0.42-10.50%
0.40x
0.32
PLYX4.58-0.54-10.55%
0.88x
0.23
WLK104.96-9.91-8.63%
1.46x
14.73
FN657.89-59.91-8.35%
2.48x
25.31
RMIX15.32-1.61-9.54%
0.57x
1.20
ACHC25.27-2.41-8.72%
0.81x
2.56
LDOS137.35-11.46-7.70%
2.17x
18.79
PLTR136.03-10.00-6.85%
1.61x
345.36
PYPL46.66-3.73-7.41%
2.91x
45.38
RBLX44.01-3.56-7.48%
1.30x
32.30
APTV54.95-4.58-7.69%
3.48x
12.89
SBMT9.65-0.97-9.13%
0.48x
0.32
IAC41.50-3.67-8.12%
3.38x
3.37
STEX0.92-0.10-9.55%
0.79x
0.12
POOL187.44-15.79-7.77%
2.75x
7.58
UXIN2.87-0.27-8.60%
0.47x
0.61
PLX1.94-0.19-9.15%
3.04x
0.17
CATX3.63-0.35-8.67%
2.19x
0.44
PAY26.39-2.23-7.79%
3.67x
3.49
AVAV166.94-13.32-7.39%
1.34x
9.36
NUCL10.03-0.92-8.45%
0.64x
0.33
RDZN1.78-0.17-8.46%
3.65x
0.18
ASTS63.84-4.59-6.71%
1.07x
21.17
ENR17.89-1.45-7.50%
1.68x
1.35
MD20.76-1.65-7.36%
2.15x
1.89
NEXT7.90-0.62-7.28%
0.80x
2.07
MSC2.40-0.20-7.69%
0.82x
0.44
BMM6.64-0.54-7.52%
1.42x
0.65
PALI1.97-0.16-7.75%
1.02x
0.33
INSG18.09-1.51-7.68%
1.51x
0.33
IFRX1.96-0.17-7.98%
0.67x
0.15
FOUR40.99-3.00-6.82%
1.78x
3.59
QUAD7.36-0.60-7.54%
1.19x
0.43
BALL57.08-3.85-6.33%
1.66x
16.32
AVEX25.04-1.83-6.81%
0.33x
1.42
LCID6.25-0.44-6.58%
0.68x
2.39
ANNA3.45-0.28-7.51%
0.32x
0.14
ALPS0.85-0.07-7.46%
3.71x
0.15
FDP37.72-2.63-6.52%
1.86x
1.96
NCSM41.26-3.27-7.33%
2.19x
0.13
PLSE18.74-1.29-6.44%
0.97x
1.42
NEWP5.38-0.38-6.51%
1.07x
1.04
AREN2.56-0.20-7.25%
1.01x
0.12
AGRO14.22-0.96-6.29%
0.67x
2.01
EGG6.77-0.51-7.01%
0.37x
0.20
AMTM24.24-1.52-5.90%
1.37x
6.26
BWXT204.57-12.11-5.59%
1.51x
19.82
SPTX15.92-1.08-6.35%
0.28x
1.01
CRD.A9.60-0.67-6.52%
0.60x
0.51
NVCR15.90-1.03-6.08%
0.95x
1.92
QDEL11.63-0.79-6.32%
0.75x
0.86
CHYM20.83-1.25-5.66%
2.56x
8.49
MRLN8.96-0.60-6.28%
0.75x
0.87
VG13.04-0.73-5.34%
0.60x
31.60
CIGI96.83-5.92-5.76%
2.39x
5.30
PS32.33-1.88-5.50%
0.50x
15.20
DUOL103.93-6.30-5.72%
2.89x
5.20
SABR1.75-0.12-6.15%
0.52x
0.73
TENX12.47-0.85-6.38%
0.66x
0.33
KBR36.52-2.15-5.55%
2.36x
4.75
SDA1.13-0.08-6.61%
0.83x
0.12
ADPT13.68-0.82-5.69%
1.68x
2.28
AGCO114.83-6.45-5.32%
1.83x
8.58
BTU25.06-1.46-5.51%
1.88x
3.23
NAMM1.79-0.12-6.51%
1.78x
0.11
SONO14.03-0.84-5.65%
3.36x
1.79
ARTV10.59-0.70-6.20%
0.39x
0.27
SPIR16.42-1.03-5.90%
0.82x
0.70
ROMA6.63-0.43-6.09%
0.09x
0.37
EVCM10.99-0.65-5.58%
1.15x
2.14
MFA9.57-0.59-5.76%
2.29x
1.06
EXK8.59-0.50-5.50%
1.18x
2.72
DAVE264.04-15.13-5.42%
0.96x
3.49
PDYN6.12-0.39-6.06%
2.39x
0.30
VANI1.25-0.09-6.34%
0.77x
0.12
SES0.97-0.06-5.91%
3.44x
0.39
PSNL5.56-0.34-5.76%
1.02x
0.61
OCSL12.19-0.71-5.54%
1.53x
1.13
IVVD1.39-0.08-5.78%
0.68x
0.43
FLY31.66-1.71-5.12%
1.22x
5.41
OPTX7.61-0.47-5.82%
0.50x
0.36
ALHC18.27-1.00-5.17%
1.26x
4.19
FRPT60.24-3.32-5.22%
1.50x
3.20
RYDE1.16-0.07-5.93%
0.17x
0.22
RZLV2.46-0.14-5.44%
1.05x
1.06
PMTS16.14-1.01-5.92%
0.82x
0.20
RCAT10.41-0.59-5.36%
1.08x
1.36
EVEX2.69-0.16-5.44%
1.36x
1.01
SPOT418.73-19.53-4.46%
1.62x
90.78
HYPR1.70-0.11-5.87%
1.13x
0.18
REPL2.85-0.17-5.78%
0.65x
0.21
PCVX55.67-2.82-4.81%
1.71x
8.22
UAMY11.14-0.61-5.15%
1.37x
1.74
DH0.97-0.06-5.91%
1.53x
0.10
STTK6.54-0.38-5.42%
1.00x
0.53
GMTL14.82-0.84-5.36%
1.08x
0.64
RIGL27.95-1.59-5.37%
0.91x
0.54
USAS5.55-0.29-5.04%
0.83x
1.91
CRCL114.19-5.34-4.47%
1.78x
24.65
AVLN27.61-1.46-5.02%
0.16x
1.25
GPCR40.97-2.07-4.81%
0.75x
3.00
HERE3.29-0.19-5.46%
0.62x
0.20
CAR160.57-7.72-4.59%
0.22x
6.55
CSHR6.46-0.35-5.21%
0.55x
0.41
OPTU1.43-0.07-5.00%
0.56x
0.75
FBRX27.07-1.44-5.05%
0.28x
0.58
KOS3.12-0.15-4.74%
1.17x
1.90
TII2.55-0.14-5.20%
0.99x
0.27
CHTR158.33-7.01-4.24%
0.70x
21.12
XE28.45-1.31-4.40%
0.30x
8.35
KTOS59.25-2.68-4.33%
1.04x
11.63
SEER1.84-0.10-5.38%
1.61x
0.11
CERS2.58-0.14-4.96%
0.93x
0.55
PSKY10.65-0.48-4.27%
1.00x
12.33
LBRDA36.88-1.69-4.37%
0.92x
5.74
DNN3.60-0.16-4.39%
1.12x
3.39
JXN108.66-4.76-4.20%
1.59x
8.04
ARMP9.37-0.48-4.87%
1.12x
0.33
LMRI9.72-0.46-4.56%
0.64x
0.96
SLDB6.89-0.34-4.63%
1.37x
0.70
KRMN62.63-2.69-4.12%
1.04x
8.71
HQ9.58-0.47-4.68%
0.60x
0.55
DASH166.10-6.47-3.75%
1.38x
76.62
LBRDK37.02-1.61-4.17%
0.74x
5.75
CSR65.70-3.07-4.46%
0.85x
1.15
ATAI4.01-0.19-4.40%
0.48x
1.52
BXC46.40-2.26-4.64%
1.43x
0.41
ONDS9.33-0.40-4.11%
1.00x
5.03
BHVN9.70-0.44-4.34%
2.14x
1.45
WEX147.88-6.31-4.09%
0.56x
5.24
EBAY105.26-4.07-3.72%
0.93x
46.21
RACE326.46-12.45-3.67%
1.90x
60.20
BMRN53.27-2.19-3.95%
2.13x
10.45
NFLX87.92-3.10-3.41%
1.04x
387.65
BNTX95.58-3.77-3.79%
1.46x
24.67
BTSG51.44-2.10-3.92%
1.10x
10.16
LIF44.39-1.89-4.08%
0.34x
3.69
BTQ2.85-0.14-4.52%
1.10x
0.41
ELF59.34-2.51-4.05%
1.05x
3.57
SJT4.34-0.21-4.62%
0.89x
0.20
BSM13.66-0.58-4.04%
1.61x
3.02
CNL16.64-0.72-4.15%
0.69x
1.68
KNF86.76-3.54-3.92%
1.14x
5.28
FANG206.13-7.56-3.54%
1.47x
58.41
BEAM28.89-1.19-3.96%
0.80x
3.15
CRNC9.91-0.45-4.34%
2.29x
0.44
DCBO20.30-0.91-4.29%
0.86x
0.53
CACI494.51-19.07-3.71%
1.10x
11.34
GENI4.32-0.18-4.11%
1.15x
1.12
INR16.60-0.75-4.32%
0.60x
0.30
XNCR12.81-0.54-4.08%
0.62x
0.94
TOYO11.14-0.49-4.21%
0.85x
0.48
ATLN1.27-0.06-4.51%
0.45x
0.11
NTLA13.32-0.54-3.93%
0.59x
1.58
ENSG175.50-6.53-3.59%
1.11x
10.73
OSCR17.89-0.68-3.66%
1.19x
5.57
STOK32.87-1.31-3.83%
0.50x
1.96
EVTC28.30-1.13-3.84%
0.83x
1.80
KLRA24.16-0.93-3.73%
0.18x
3.26
LPRO1.70-0.07-4.24%
1.63x
0.21
PAR13.76-0.57-4.01%
0.47x
0.59
SSII3.89-0.16-3.95%
0.75x
0.80
PL37.20-1.34-3.48%
0.66x
12.77
DMRA24.94-0.99-3.82%
0.45x
1.53
Pre-Market Gainers
Symbol Price Change Change % Market Cap ($B)
Pre-Market Losers
Symbol Price Change Change % Market Cap ($B)
Upcoming Economic Events

Date Impact Title Forecast Previous
2026-05-06 Medium ADP Non-Farm Employment Change 118K 62K
2026-05-06 Low FOMC Member Musalem Speaks
2026-05-06 Low Crude Oil Inventories -3.4M -6.2M
2026-05-06 Low FOMC Member Goolsbee Speaks
2026-05-07 Low Challenger Job Cuts y/y -78.0%
2026-05-07 Medium Unemployment Claims 205K 189K
2026-05-07 Low Prelim Nonfarm Productivity q/q 0.7% 2.8%
2026-05-07 Low Prelim Unit Labor Costs q/q 2.6% 2.8%
2026-05-07 Low Construction Spending m/m -0.3%
2026-05-07 Low Natural Gas Storage 72B 79B
2026-05-07 Low FOMC Member Hammack Speaks
2026-05-07 Low Consumer Credit m/m 12.5B 9.5B
2026-05-07 Low FOMC Member Williams Speaks
2026-05-07 Low FOMC Member Kashkari Speaks
2026-05-07 Low FOMC Member Kashkari Speaks
2026-05-08 Low FOMC Member Cook Speaks
2026-05-08 High Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.3% 0.2%
2026-05-08 High Non-Farm Employment Change 65K 178K
2026-05-08 High Unemployment Rate 4.3% 4.3%
2026-05-08 Medium Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment 49.7 47.6
2026-05-08 Medium Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations 4.8%
2026-05-08 Low Final Wholesale Inventories m/m 1.4% 1.4%
2026-05-08 Low FOMC Member Waller Speaks
2026-05-08 Low FOMC Member Bowman Speaks
2026-05-08 Low FOMC Member Daly Speaks
2026-05-08 Low FOMC Member Goolsbee Speaks
Upcoming Earnings
Date Time Symbol Exp Move % Exp Move $ Fiscal Qtr EPS Forecast Last Year EPS # Estimates Market Cap
Rates

Name Rate 1 Day 14 Day 30 Day Last Changed Last Updated
3-Month3.59-0.01-0.03-0.022026-04-292026-05-01
4-Week3.610.03-0.032026-04-292026-05-01
1-Year3.57-0.030.030.042026-04-292026-05-01
6-Month3.59-0.010.01-0.012026-04-302026-05-01
2-Year3.88-0.040.10.092026-04-292026-05-01
5-Year4.02-0.030.110.12026-04-292026-05-01
10-Year4.39-0.030.070.092026-04-302026-05-01
30-Year4.97-0.010.040.092026-04-302026-05-01
10-Year Minus 2-Year0.5-0.01-0.04-0.012026-05-012026-05-04
Federal Funds3.642025-12-102026-05-01
Federal Funds Target Upper3.752025-12-102026-05-05
30Y Jumbo Fixed Mortgage6.4920.03-0.050.032026-05-012026-05-04
15Y Fixed Mortgage5.640.06-0.01-0.112026-04-232026-04-30
30Y Fixed Mortgage6.30.07-0.082026-04-232026-04-30
Credit Card Interest21.00.030.03-0.392025-11-012026-02-01
Fed Watch (/ZQ Fed Funds futures)
Full curve →

Market-implied probabilities from /ZQ futures. Current EFFR estimate: 3.67%.

Jun 17, 2026
/ZQM26 · implied 3.58%
-9 bp
25bp cut
37%
Hold
63%
Jul 29, 2026
/ZQN26 · implied 3.60%
+2 bp
Hold
93%
25bp hike
7%
Sep 16, 2026
/ZQU26 · implied 3.58%
-1 bp
25bp cut
4%
Hold
96%
Kalshi vs /ZQ Divergences (top mispricings)
All divergences →

Scanning Fed decision markets for mispricings...

Top Poll
Donald Trump 242 polls
Latest: May 4, 2026
Approve 40.0% · Disapprove 58.0%
n=1,409 · Registered Voters · May 4, 2026
Approve 36.0% · Disapprove 58.0%
n=1,573 · Adults · May 4, 2026
Approve 44.0% · Disapprove 53.0%
n=2,200 · Registered Voters · May 3, 2026
Approve 40.0% · Disapprove 56.0%
n=636 · Adults · Apr 30, 2026
Approve 42.0% · Disapprove 57.0%
n=3,000 · Registered Voters · Apr 30, 2026

View all polls

Latest from the Blog
All Posts
Ten Empirically-Grounded Prediction Market Trading Strategies
2026-04-14

A technical survey of ten research-backed strategies for trading prediction markets, spanning favourite-longshot bias, cross-platform arbitrage, LP underwriting, combinatorial arbitrage, and dynamic hedging.

prediction-marketstrading-strategiespolymarketkalshiarbitragehedgingmarket-microstructure