Frenzy Capital — Live Market Snapshot & Analysis

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AI Market Analysis
AI Analysis Generated: Apr 24, 2026 04:00 PMLive Data
📊 Market Overview

The market is running two contradictory scripts simultaneously, and today's action reveals which narrative is actually winning. Intel's beat and whispers of Iran peace talks have lifted the Nasdaq to fresh records, with mega-cap tech and semiconductors leading a genuine risk-on impulse. But look beneath the surface: the Dow is underwater, small caps are in correction territory, and oil's retreat masks deeper anxiety about Middle East escalation that still hasn't fully resolved. This is a narrow rally being powered by earnings relief in the magnificent few, not broad-based conviction. The VIX collapse suggests complacency, but that's the comfort of capital fleeing anything that doesn't have a moat—a dangerous tell when geopolitical noise can flip sentiment in hours. Call it risk-on for insiders, risk-off for everyone else.

The money flow screams defensiveness despite the headline momentum. Financials, industrials, and consumer staples are all getting hammered while rate futures rally hard—the curve is flattening and yields are falling, which is exactly what you'd see if institutions were hedging tail risk rather than celebrating a clean macro picture. Energy's slide despite Iran tensions and the pound strengthening while the dollar flatlines tells us traders are pricing in a slowdown scenario where geopolitical premiums get arbitraged out and growth concerns resurface. The cross-asset divergence is stark: tech rallies while credit spaces widen, bonds rally while equities make highs. This isn't a healthy breakout; it's a squeeze in the most crowded trades with nervous positioning underneath. When the Russell is already in correction while the Nasdaq hits all-time highs, the market is screaming that liquidity is pooling in the largest caps—a setup that punishes breadth at the first real shock.

🚀 Notable Movers
  • INTC surged 23% after delivering a blowout Q1 earnings beat with $13.58B in revenue and strong forward guidance, igniting a historic 17-day winning streak in semiconductors.
  • NVDA gained 4.2% as the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index logged its first-ever 17 consecutive green sessions, with the SOX up 42% this month—the largest monthly gain since the dot-com boom of 2000.
  • ARM jumped 14.3% as Intel's AI chip dominance spilled over to rival designers, signaling robust demand across the entire semiconductor ecosystem feeding agentic AI infrastructure buildouts.
  • QCOM rallied 11.5% on Intel's blowout results and renewed risk-on appetite for chip stocks, as AI data center demand drives margin expansion across the sector.
  • TSM climbed 4.8% alongside the broader semiconductor rally, with investors betting TSMC will capture significant foundry demand as Intel and AMD compete to fill fabs with agentic AI chips.
  • SAP rose 7.2% after Germany signaled an exit from stagnation with 2026 GDP growth forecasts of 1.0–1.4%, putting Europe's largest software exporter back on growth investors' watchlists.
  • NVO gained 7% as Hims & Hers announced expanded GLP-1 treatment access through independent pharmacies, signaling a shift to lower-cost alternatives that could reshape competitive dynamics in weight loss therapeutics.
  • KLAC advanced 6.3% as semiconductor equipment makers benefit from Intel's guidance, which implies accelerated fab utilization and record capex spending on AI chip manufacturing tools.
  • CMCSA crashed 12.7% after losing 711,000 broadband subscribers last year and now trades at just 8x earnings, underperforming as the market rotates from cyclical telecom into high-flying AI and semiconductors.
  • HCA dropped 9.1% on mixed Q1 volume trends, including a 1.7% decline in same-facility outpatient surgeries, as the hospital operator faces persistent staffing and capacity pressures during a soft respiratory season.
  • DE fell 5.1% despite Caterpillar's acquisition of Monarch Tractor signaling AI-driven automation in agriculture, as industrial cyclicals lag during a tech-dominated rally concentrated in mega-cap chip stocks.
  • BSX declined 5.5% amid multiple shareholder class action lawsuits with May 4 lead plaintiff deadlines, signaling litigation overhang and loss of investor confidence in the medical device maker.
  • RKLB dropped 6.0% as SpaceX's anticipated IPO threatens to overshadow smaller launch providers, despite Rocket Lab's operational progress on JAXA missions.
  • CRWV fell 6.5% after surging on AI infrastructure hype, now facing valuation normalization as investors rotate gains from niche AI infrastructure plays into mega-cap semiconductor giants with proven earnings.
  • SNOW declined 4.2% due to multiple securities class action lawsuits filed with April 27 deadlines, coupled with rotation out of high-multiple cloud stocks into faster-growing semiconductor and AI chip names.
  • EBAY slipped 5.1% as e-commerce lags during a technology rally dominated by semiconductors and AI infrastructure, with secular headwinds in the auction marketplace continuing to weigh on sentiment.
  • LHX fell 3.8% as defense stocks underperformed amid Iran ceasefire optimism easing geopolitical risk premiums, while tech investors rotated into higher-growth chip and AI infrastructure plays.
⚠️ Risks & Opportunities

• The mega-cap/small-cap divergence is unsustainable—Nasdaq futures up 1.86% while Russell 2000 corrects signals rotation risk, and tomorrow's Trump speech could catalyze a violent shift if he signals protectionism or rate policy shifts.

• Iran geopolitical premium is collapsing (WTI down 1.18%, Brent still +0.69%) despite headlines, indicating markets have already priced in de-escalation; if talks genuinely restart, energy and defensives get hammered hard and tech re-rates higher.

• The 10-30Y yield curve steepening (+15-19 bps across long bonds) while real rates collapse tells us bond markets are pricing Fed cuts but not believing them—this is a crowded long equities, short duration trade vulnerable to a hawkish surprise from Powell's successor Kevin Warsh.

• Intel's earnings beat is masking breadth deterioration—software stocks plunging, financials and industrials rolling over, Russell 2000 in correction, yet NDX making all-time highs screams concentration risk; any disappointment from Magnificent Seven earnings next week triggers 5-8% S&P 500 drawdown.

• VIX at 18.65 is dangerously complacent given 50+ basis points of curve steepening, geopolitical tail risk, and earnings season letdown; volatility sellers are crowded and one bad headline snaps this calm—short vol into strength.

• Gold down 0.8% despite flight-to-safety narratives and copper collapsing confirm risk-on domination, but copper's weakness (-0.87%) is the real warning sign that Chinese demand is softer than consensus believes, making growth stocks vulnerable if data disappoints post-sentiment revision.


📰 Referenced News Articles

S&P 500:

Dow Jones:

NASDAQ-100:

Russell 2000:


📰 Movers News

Gainers:

Losers:

Sector Performance
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Options Flow Sentiment
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Most Bullish
Symbol Score Bull $ Bear $ C/P Ratio Blocks Sweeps
BMY1.000$114K$01.36106
NIO1.000$12K$04.022518
ENPH0.999$346K$2554.31525
ORCL0.998$1.7M$1K2.39108108
CSCO0.989$358K$2K1.803820
FLG0.949$19K$5000.48252
NOW0.944$469K$13K1.289571
MSTR0.944$3.5M$102K2.51187125
RIG0.928$12K$44124.00185
XLE0.925$924K$36K0.577231
Most Bearish
Symbol Score Bull $ Bear $ C/P Ratio Blocks Sweeps
STM-1.000$0$11K1.8653
CIFR-1.000$0$195K1.995529
RDW-1.000$0$17K1.461817
SLB-1.000$0$318K1.33812
TSCO-1.000$0$17K1.1181
SCO-0.999$40$126K0.364515
GLD-0.995$206$74K1.298056
LCID-0.991$777$178K7.823132
PLUG-0.968$1K$81K10.472914
SLV-0.960$1K$51K1.60195117
Movers — Apr 24, 2026
Top Gainers
Symbol Price Change Change % Rel Volume Market Cap ($B)
Biggest Losers
Symbol Price Change Change % Rel Volume Market Cap ($B)
Pre-Market Gainers
Symbol Price Change Change % Market Cap ($B)
MXL54.20+19.95+58.25%3.02
CAST2.29+0.61+36.31%0.11
INTC82.68+15.90+23.81%332.69
OGN10.89+2.29+26.69%2.30
WKC28.90+5.36+22.77%1.21
PDFS53.19+9.33+21.27%1.74
POET13.53+1.81+15.44%1.57
CHE435.00+52.03+13.59%5.01
AMD338.92+33.59+11.00%463.82
XNDU32.53+3.68+12.76%6.84
QCOM147.20+13.25+9.89%144.64
ARM221.44+16.83+8.23%186.37
ELVR85.00+7.71+9.98%1.23
SAP176.18+12.93+7.92%206.00
LOT1.48+0.13+9.63%0.92
APPF165.71+13.41+8.80%5.69
RMBS150.16+11.66+8.42%14.11
APOG39.00+3.41+9.58%0.77
SXT108.00+8.77+8.84%4.16
SES1.33+0.11+9.02%0.42
UVE38.18+3.00+8.53%0.95
SPT6.10+0.50+8.92%0.36
PRLD4.79+0.39+8.87%0.29
NTHI5.22+0.43+8.98%0.13
AMKR77.97+5.06+6.94%17.40
INDI3.70+0.27+7.87%0.71
KEEL3.48+0.24+7.41%1.69
ARLO15.16+0.99+6.99%1.58
OKLO81.29+4.83+6.32%10.87
ANIK16.59+1.17+7.59%0.20
KOP41.38+2.73+7.06%0.73
CMPS9.77+0.62+6.78%1.25
SDA1.60+0.11+7.38%0.16
LSCC125.00+6.99+5.92%16.02
AOSL42.52+2.64+6.62%1.16
GNTX24.45+1.42+6.17%4.86
AFYA15.28+0.93+6.48%1.43
ASX31.44+1.63+5.47%64.84
ALMU20.00+1.29+6.89%0.31
EMA55.31+2.99+5.71%15.82
AAPG23.70+1.36+6.09%2.39
GFS64.88+3.34+5.43%32.53
CTEV21.65+1.35+6.65%0.36
LZM4.92+0.28+6.03%0.47
SHMD6.62+0.38+6.07%0.34
ATOM6.57+0.38+6.14%0.26
TRAX20.10+1.10+5.79%0.59
CAN0.53+0.03+5.84%0.39
TTD23.74+1.12+4.95%10.91
BLND1.47+0.08+5.76%0.41
KLIC89.00+4.34+5.13%4.39
CRML11.21+0.57+5.36%1.31
INVZ0.66+0.04+6.00%0.14
SGML21.21+1.05+5.20%2.37
CINT4.40+0.23+5.52%0.61
CSL380.99+17.29+4.75%14.62
NUCL13.94+0.73+5.53%0.31
LUD6.20+0.34+5.80%0.11
PG151.61+5.90+4.05%330.75
NVO40.11+1.59+4.13%174.84
LGO1.32+0.07+5.60%0.12
VECO52.56+2.39+4.76%2.89
NEM115.57+4.51+4.06%118.04
PFG101.17+4.17+4.30%20.72
OUST27.67+1.26+4.77%1.73
IMMX10.68+0.51+5.01%0.51
USAR24.13+1.04+4.50%4.98
TSM396.09+13.43+3.51%1909.01
NBIS163.44+6.36+4.05%39.61
LUNR28.75+1.19+4.32%4.43
HIVE2.66+0.12+4.72%0.63
CNCK1.94+0.09+4.86%0.27
ONTO304.00+11.69+4.00%14.43
BETR42.99+1.88+4.57%0.77
ZLAB22.81+0.93+4.25%2.75
AMSC48.14+1.99+4.31%2.00
UNFI49.61+2.00+4.21%2.85
DIOD104.50+4.10+4.08%4.46
STM51.55+1.84+3.70%39.37
IRS15.30+0.63+4.29%1.25
IESC608.90+22.73+3.88%11.24
EW82.63+2.91+3.65%45.96
INTT18.00+0.80+4.65%0.20
LUCD1.14+0.05+4.59%0.22
BWAY16.43+0.68+4.34%0.61
TONX2.47+0.11+4.66%0.13
MNSO15.15+0.57+3.91%4.61
PSIX81.43+3.20+4.09%1.74
LANV1.62+0.07+4.52%0.19
WOLF28.68+1.13+4.10%1.19
ONCY1.14+0.05+4.59%0.13
MU496.98+15.26+3.17%506.78
TBI4.83+0.21+4.55%0.14
TROX9.82+0.38+4.03%1.53
LRCX266.81+8.25+3.19%322.64
HIMS29.20+1.05+3.73%6.78
TRON2.26+0.09+4.03%1.13
WULF21.11+0.74+3.63%9.69
WYFI17.41+0.69+4.13%0.61
SMR13.20+0.48+3.77%3.78
WATT24.45+1.04+4.42%0.13
NNOX1.79+0.07+4.37%0.15
GDS44.80+1.55+3.58%8.71
FRST14.50+0.58+4.17%0.35
ACLS145.00+5.14+3.68%4.09
SHIM5.90+0.24+4.24%0.20
NGL14.81+0.54+3.80%1.73
LGN83.99+2.87+3.54%5.89
MKSI290.00+9.44+3.36%18.43
DRTS8.29+0.31+3.88%0.70
GLOO7.75+0.29+3.89%0.61
MDA34.02+1.16+3.53%4.66
SMTC108.94+3.60+3.42%9.62
ASML1458.91+41.11+2.90%562.31
ICHR70.90+2.49+3.64%2.24
CLS404.01+12.41+3.17%46.34
SIGA4.71+0.18+3.97%0.32
NKTX3.10+0.12+4.03%0.24
SEER2.02+0.08+4.12%0.11
PLAB52.25+1.77+3.51%2.92
AMBA63.50+2.16+3.52%2.63
AAOI142.25+4.52+3.28%11.70
NPCE17.51+0.64+3.78%0.55
CORZ21.51+0.70+3.36%6.55
NVTS19.15+0.64+3.46%3.54
COHU47.16+1.59+3.49%2.12
GPRO1.34+0.05+3.88%0.23
BTI58.95+1.67+2.92%118.69
FORM153.13+4.76+3.21%11.07
MRAM13.10+0.48+3.80%0.29
ALXO1.65+0.06+3.83%0.23
GNLX2.62+0.10+3.97%0.11
DDI9.11+0.32+3.70%0.44
CRWV120.88+3.46+2.95%61.59
AIP25.16+0.85+3.50%1.07
NAVN16.00+0.51+3.29%3.87
SMCI27.57+0.82+3.07%17.07
TDUP4.34+0.15+3.58%0.55
ENTG153.82+4.49+3.01%22.38
ATEC10.55+0.34+3.38%1.59
APLD37.48+1.13+3.11%8.95
QSI0.98+0.03+3.70%0.21
NKLR7.99+0.27+3.48%0.70
NOK10.62+0.29+2.86%58.06
ALGM44.96+1.35+3.10%7.65
CEVA25.49+0.85+3.45%0.69
RXT1.76+0.06+3.53%0.35
MRVL170.00+4.44+2.68%132.31
NAUT2.67+0.09+3.49%0.35
VNET9.12+0.28+3.17%2.47
BKR66.27+1.78+2.76%59.75
DUOT8.82+0.30+3.52%0.25
XPEV16.36+0.46+2.89%16.45
CLSK12.61+0.38+3.11%2.94
FWDI4.82+0.16+3.43%0.36
VIAV47.50+1.35+2.93%10.24
HMH20.87+0.66+3.27%0.89
REKR0.87+0.03+3.61%0.12
WDAY117.84+3.17+2.76%33.20
PII61.22+1.81+3.05%3.48
SNPS468.93+12.08+2.64%89.57
IREN53.50+1.48+2.85%14.99
IE14.00+0.42+3.09%2.26
MGTX9.62+0.30+3.22%0.94
GLPI47.97+1.33+2.85%13.28
CGEN3.02+0.10+3.42%0.27
AEHR98.42+2.91+3.05%2.95
CIG.C3.61+0.10+2.85%11.03
LEU226.12+6.54+2.98%3.77
ACMR55.60+1.61+2.98%3.37
PENG28.46+0.85+3.10%1.42
OBIO4.29+0.14+3.37%0.25
WRBY23.13+0.67+2.98%3.08
RILY7.96+0.26+3.36%0.27
BAND23.68+0.73+3.18%0.76
MSTR176.96+4.49+2.60%57.21
AMAT413.75+9.84+2.44%312.94
MP65.08+1.76+2.78%11.68
KLAC1859.94+44.51+2.45%234.02
LAW4.07+0.13+3.30%0.27
GFI45.11+1.15+2.61%40.76
PKX70.06+1.83+2.68%20.91
JMIA7.35+0.22+3.09%0.94
INR16.43+0.52+3.27%0.29
UCTT80.49+2.25+2.88%3.53
VPG59.58+1.79+3.10%0.72
AXTI77.41+2.14+2.84%4.17
VLN1.70+0.05+3.32%0.16
ASPI5.60+0.17+3.08%0.64
ZH3.57+0.11+3.18%0.32
NNE26.08+0.75+2.96%1.24
PURR6.15+0.18+3.02%0.70
FPS35.55+0.93+2.69%8.31
SIMO145.89+3.89+2.74%4.84
KLTR1.29+0.04+3.20%0.19
BTDR12.50+0.34+2.80%2.94
MTZ392.50+9.62+2.51%29.28
USAU16.88+0.51+3.12%0.27
MATX174.95+4.59+2.69%5.19
CSIQ15.10+0.43+2.93%0.84
Pre-Market Losers
Symbol Price Change Change % Market Cap ($B)
STNE12.25-2.30-15.81%3.79
COUR5.17-0.80-13.40%1.08
WU8.30-1.03-11.04%2.99
UDMY4.19-0.54-11.42%0.74
HCA434.70-39.33-8.30%105.34
TMCR13.27-1.12-7.79%0.79
KMTS21.00-1.72-7.57%1.35
IRDM38.04-2.89-7.06%4.54
BYD82.99-6.16-6.91%6.58
LX2.13-0.18-7.79%0.39
PNFP92.78-6.30-6.36%14.64
THC177.00-11.33-6.02%16.25
ACDC6.90-0.45-6.12%1.18
ROMA5.30-0.33-5.86%0.34
SKYW87.97-4.78-5.15%3.79
BGIN3.48-0.21-5.69%0.36
OABI1.47-0.09-5.72%0.21
EVO3.06-0.17-5.26%1.15
LI17.82-0.83-4.45%18.92
UHS173.22-7.96-4.39%10.90
EFXT23.73-1.15-4.62%2.82
SUPX9.30-0.50-5.10%0.36
MOV26.97-1.40-4.93%0.64
REPL2.70-0.15-5.26%0.15
RAIL8.38-0.46-5.16%0.17
AMR190.02-8.89-4.47%2.64
OBT34.00-1.64-4.60%0.47
BLMN6.10-0.29-4.54%0.55
BATL3.84-0.20-4.95%0.10
LBRDK54.23-2.24-3.97%8.09
REI1.46-0.07-4.54%0.30
CHTR233.00-8.78-3.63%30.16
BW15.03-0.63-4.02%2.18
SA29.00-1.18-3.91%3.31
KC16.30-0.64-3.78%5.20
TOYO11.92-0.52-4.18%0.50
MPLT28.00-1.11-3.81%1.17
BNAI30.00-1.30-4.15%0.19
JLHL9.18-0.38-3.97%0.21
IFS44.24-1.55-3.39%5.30
ZURA5.32-0.20-3.62%0.50
SLS4.48-0.16-3.45%0.90
CTW2.29-0.09-3.78%0.15
CLB16.47-0.58-3.40%0.77
AFJK43.40-1.60-3.56%0.25
HIG135.71-3.90-2.79%38.27
SPH18.84-0.63-3.24%1.26
NICM6.10-0.23-3.63%0.12
INFY12.60-0.34-2.63%56.94
WBTN11.51-0.36-3.03%1.64
TLK16.75-0.47-2.73%17.26
MAKO7.43-0.24-3.12%0.67
PBR.A18.86-0.47-2.43%124.12
ANL14.46-0.45-3.02%0.85
NINE8.80-0.30-3.30%0.12
SLM22.80-0.62-2.65%4.52
EPM4.65-0.15-3.12%0.14
TATT37.56-1.13-2.92%0.47
LCUT6.41-0.20-3.03%0.15
ANNA4.22-0.13-2.99%0.19
DMLP27.94-0.76-2.63%1.36
VET12.14-0.32-2.58%1.84
CGAU18.20-0.46-2.44%3.65
BK132.62-2.80-2.07%94.67
CMCSA30.99-0.65-2.05%104.52
LLY900.33-17.32-1.89%806.72
RYDE1.44-0.04-2.70%0.18
MRCY77.10-1.81-2.29%5.00
XFOR4.17-0.11-2.57%0.38
VG12.68-0.27-2.10%30.01
CF122.96-2.63-2.09%18.64
MGNX3.10-0.08-2.52%0.22
AMTB23.44-0.56-2.33%0.95
PBR20.87-0.40-1.88%136.30
PUMP16.45-0.38-2.26%1.85
CTVA78.08-1.55-1.94%53.94
FDS223.35-4.73-2.07%8.76
CRBG26.00-0.54-2.03%12.00
CMCL24.02-0.58-2.36%0.47
VRA3.89-0.10-2.51%0.11
TM192.62-3.46-1.76%265.84
AZN188.94-3.36-1.75%303.62
NAT5.33-0.12-2.20%1.23
ORIC10.20-0.23-2.21%1.19
LMRI9.20-0.21-2.23%0.90
DMRA24.87-0.55-2.16%1.62
KNSL341.00-6.80-1.96%8.27
SUZ9.17-0.18-1.93%11.72
WLFC185.99-4.01-2.11%1.30
ALB189.58-3.56-1.84%23.39
EMBC8.95-0.20-2.19%0.54
IPSC2.21-0.05-2.21%0.41
DKNG21.75-0.42-1.89%11.40
PGEN3.88-0.08-2.06%1.41
SY2.64-0.06-2.22%0.28
APTV59.30-1.11-1.84%12.96
BLDP3.31-0.07-2.07%0.93
SSNC68.79-1.27-1.81%17.20
KOS2.81-0.06-2.01%1.57
AMPY5.76-0.13-2.21%0.23
AESI15.79-0.32-1.99%1.83
BORR5.46-0.11-1.97%1.69
BGSI117.00-2.28-1.91%3.36
KNTK47.20-0.92-1.91%3.23
ADAG3.66-0.08-2.14%0.25
LB68.31-1.35-1.94%1.86
CTGO21.55-0.45-2.02%0.68
HELE23.33-0.49-2.06%0.47
SNOW143.99-2.41-1.65%52.15
AGRO13.02-0.25-1.88%1.92
TLYS4.18-0.09-2.11%0.15
CGNT9.27-0.18-1.89%0.73
EC14.20-0.23-1.59%29.09
ESLT839.00-13.34-1.57%40.37
PPG108.54-1.75-1.59%24.82
TSCO37.56-0.61-1.60%20.81
SLQT0.82-0.02-2.02%0.13
PRTH5.18-0.10-1.89%0.43
PROF6.62-0.13-1.93%0.25
NERV6.70-0.13-1.90%0.30
ALVO3.32-0.06-1.78%1.10
WTI3.73-0.07-1.84%0.48
ORA111.76-1.84-1.62%6.65
SGMO0.25-0.01-1.96%0.11
SNN31.43-0.49-1.54%14.02
FLWS3.71-0.07-1.85%0.26
HKD1.66-0.03-1.78%0.54
LYB69.67-1.05-1.48%23.05
AMLX17.03-0.29-1.65%1.94
NRDS10.28-0.18-1.72%0.72
ACHC26.90-0.44-1.61%2.53
SRAD12.70-0.20-1.55%4.98
RRC42.00-0.64-1.50%9.81
LBRDA55.56-0.85-1.51%8.09
BDN2.88-0.05-1.71%0.51
BGC11.17-0.17-1.50%5.40
CVX185.26-2.34-1.25%370.45
EIX69.38-0.96-1.36%26.84
OVV55.79-0.79-1.40%15.56
MAIR33.76-0.48-1.39%16.94
OKE86.07-1.14-1.31%53.36
USPH73.60-1.16-1.55%1.14
DOO55.14-0.81-1.45%4.36
GILD131.98-1.66-1.24%165.44
OLED96.37-1.41-1.44%4.66
TWST58.00-0.85-1.44%3.84
EBC20.22-0.29-1.41%4.53
ONON35.73-0.49-1.35%12.16
FLG14.15-0.20-1.39%5.99
PODD189.63-2.58-1.34%13.32
CRMD7.22-0.11-1.55%0.58
PTLO6.29-0.10-1.56%0.45
CERS1.87-0.03-1.58%0.37
RERE4.60-0.07-1.50%1.05
SW39.99-0.53-1.31%21.61
JNJ228.00-2.65-1.15%544.73
NYXH3.01-0.05-1.63%0.14
MRK113.30-1.32-1.15%278.01
ABBV198.66-2.29-1.14%362.81
MDLZ57.01-0.70-1.21%72.04
HXL90.10-1.22-1.34%6.57
MKC51.22-0.67-1.29%13.97
CNQ44.89-0.54-1.19%92.40
ACAD21.81-0.30-1.36%3.72
CNTB2.48-0.04-1.59%0.15
CSCO87.60-0.99-1.12%354.31
CGTX1.24-0.02-1.59%0.10
EAT141.99-1.86-1.29%6.43
CI276.46-3.26-1.17%72.95
LBRT31.90-0.42-1.30%4.59
SONY20.26-0.23-1.12%122.76
NVS145.88-1.60-1.08%282.35
MA497.04-5.34-1.06%456.03
GLND7.20-0.11-1.50%0.16
COP123.00-1.37-1.10%146.58
CIEN510.02-5.83-1.13%71.54
INCY94.34-1.13-1.18%19.15
DHI162.36-1.86-1.13%46.99
ARLP24.91-0.32-1.27%3.19
RES7.60-0.10-1.30%1.62
KRRO13.40-0.20-1.43%0.19
ITRG2.92-0.04-1.35%0.61
HUBS212.17-2.52-1.18%12.15
ASH56.10-0.71-1.25%2.62
BBWI20.25-0.25-1.22%4.12
TXRH158.57-1.87-1.16%10.61
GD315.31-3.40-1.07%88.17
BUSE26.19-0.33-1.24%2.25
BHRB63.67-0.83-1.29%0.97
NSC318.01-3.43-1.07%67.85
ADNT21.40-0.27-1.25%1.71
EFSI38.75-0.54-1.37%0.21
CCCC2.93-0.04-1.35%0.30
ALLO2.32-0.03-1.28%0.80
VTEX3.86-0.05-1.28%0.75
VIST69.49-0.81-1.15%7.08
EGY6.14-0.08-1.29%0.62
NEXT7.34-0.09-1.21%1.99
SUNB75.53-0.82-1.07%29.17
ERIC11.20-0.12-1.06%38.53
Upcoming Economic Events

Date Impact Title Forecast Previous
2026-04-25 Medium President Trump Speaks
Upcoming Earnings
Date Time Symbol Name Fiscal Qtr EPS Forecast Last Year EPS # Estimates Market Cap Price Exp Move $ Exp Move %
Rates

Name Rate 1 Day 14 Day 30 Day Last Changed Last Updated
3-Month3.6-0.02-0.02-0.032026-04-202026-04-22
4-Week3.58-0.02-0.01-0.042026-04-202026-04-22
1-Year3.540.040.01-0.112026-04-202026-04-22
6-Month3.59-0.01-0.042026-04-212026-04-22
2-Year3.790.07-0.02-0.092026-04-212026-04-22
5-Year3.910.05-0.04-0.12026-04-202026-04-22
10-Year4.30.04-0.03-0.092026-04-202026-04-22
30-Year4.90.02-0.062026-04-212026-04-22
10-Year Minus 2-Year0.510.022026-04-212026-04-23
Federal Funds3.642025-12-102026-04-22
Federal Funds Target Upper3.752025-12-102026-04-24
30Y Jumbo Fixed Mortgage6.3940.01-0.16-0.122026-04-222026-04-23
15Y Fixed Mortgage5.58-0.07-0.160.042026-04-162026-04-23
30Y Fixed Mortgage6.23-0.07-0.140.012026-04-162026-04-23
Credit Card Interest21.00.030.03-0.392025-11-012026-02-01
Fed Watch (/ZQ Fed Funds futures)
Full curve →

Market-implied probabilities from /ZQ futures. Current EFFR estimate: 3.67%.

Apr 29, 2026
/ZQJ26 · implied 3.65%
-2 bp
25bp cut
10%
Hold
90%
Jun 17, 2026
/ZQM26 · implied 3.63%
-1 bp
25bp cut
5%
Hold
95%
Jul 29, 2026
/ZQN26 · implied 3.60%
-3 bp
25bp cut
11%
Hold
89%
Kalshi vs /ZQ Divergences (top mispricings)
All divergences →

Scanning Fed decision markets for mispricings...

Top Poll
Donald Trump 246 polls
Latest: Apr 23, 2026
Approve 42.0% · Disapprove 55.0%
n=3,000 · Registered Voters · Apr 23, 2026
Approve 44.0% · Disapprove 53.0%
n=2,203 · Registered Voters · Apr 20, 2026
Favorable 45.0% · Unfavorable 50.0%
n=2,203 · Registered Voters · Apr 20, 2026
Approve 36.0% · Disapprove 62.0%
n=4,557 · Adults · Apr 20, 2026
Approve 32.0% · Disapprove 64.0%
n=1,010 · Registered Voters · Apr 20, 2026

View all polls

Latest from the Blog
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Ten Empirically-Grounded Prediction Market Trading Strategies
2026-04-14

A technical survey of ten research-backed strategies for trading prediction markets, spanning favourite-longshot bias, cross-platform arbitrage, LP underwriting, combinatorial arbitrage, and dynamic hedging.

prediction-marketstrading-strategiespolymarketkalshiarbitragehedgingmarket-microstructure