Frenzy Capital — Live Market Snapshot & Analysis

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Market Analysis
Updated: May 21, 2026 03:02 PMLive Data
📊 Market Overview

The Iran peace deal whispers lifted equities off the mat this morning, but the trade is already showing cracks by afternoon. Broad indices are barely holding water while small caps surge on geopolitical relief and lower oil. The real tell: tech is rolling over despite the risk-on setup. Nvidia disappointed yesterday, and that's reverberating through the Nasdaq futures, which sit in the red even as the Dow struts higher. This isn't a clean risk-on move. It's a selective one where old economy beats new economy, and that split matters. Oil tumbling on de-escalation fears is good for margins and inflation optics, but it's also a warning that the macro tailwind for commodities and energy is fading fast.

Money is rotating hard into small caps and materials while abandoning both consumer staples and energy, a combination that screams "inflation relief trade" rather than synchronized strength. Utilities and healthcare are also outperforming, which is defensive positioning wrapped in a bullish package. The bond market is fighting back though; the two and five year futures are rolling lower even as the long end holds, suggesting real rates are rising and duration traders are skeptical this peace narrative lasts. Russell 2000 futures are crushing it, but the Nasdaq 100 is underwater, and that divergence with crude oil reversing lower and copper dead flat tells us this isn't about cyclical acceleration. Instead, it's about a rotation away from the mega cap AI trade and into names that benefit from a softer inflation outlook. Smart money is taking chips off the table until the Fed's next move becomes clearer.

🚀 Notable Movers
  • SPOT surged 13% after announcing strong audiobook traction (20% of U.S. market penetration) and a new Universal Music Group licensing deal, signaling diversification beyond music streaming is working.
  • ARM climbed 11.7% as investors rotated into foundational AI chip designers following Cerebras' hot IPO, which priced at $22 and jumped 68% on day one, validating the broader AI infrastructure thesis.
  • IBM rose 11% after launching America's first quantum foundry, capitalizing on Trump administration interest in quantum computing as D-Wave, Rigetti, and IonQ all popped in pre-market trading.
  • LITE jumped 10.7% on robust demand for optical interconnects and photonics components feeding hyperscale AI data center buildouts, as the market recognizes this corner of semis as a secular growth play.
  • SNDK gained 9.6% after billionaire David Tepper doubled down on his Appaloosa position in storage and memory stocks, signaling conviction that AI infrastructure plays remain underowned by the mainstream.
  • BE rallied 8.7% following the Nebius-Bloom Energy partnership announcement, reflecting growing consensus that power generation for AI data centers represents the next critical bottleneck after chip supply.
  • GLW advanced 5.4% on its newly announced Nvidia partnership for fiber optics and high-speed interconnects, riding momentum from the fiber-optics market expected to double to $19.7B by 2035.
  • STX gained 6.1% as billionaire Stanley Druckenmiller loaded up on memory and storage plays, betting that AI infrastructure capex will drive sustained demand for Seagate's enterprise storage solutions.
  • CRWV ticked up 5.4% after Durantic's public launch highlighted fragmentation in AI infrastructure, positioning CoreWeave as a key operator of heterogeneous GPU fleets for enterprises.
  • CIEN rose 5.4% on optical interconnect tailwinds, with the market sizing that category to reach $67B by 2035 as data center operators desperately need low-latency networking for AI workloads.
  • INTU cratered 20% after the company issued a TurboTax warning and announced layoffs, signaling that software margin expansion is hitting a wall as competition and AI disruption erode pricing power.
  • WMT fell 7.2% after the CFO cautioned higher prices will hit shelves in coming months, spooking investors as Treasury yields rebounded and oil reclaimed $100 on Iran nuclear tensions, raising stagflation fears.
  • DE dropped 5.6% as the company cited fertilizer cost inflation tied to the Iran conflict, while rising yields and risk-off sentiment pressured the entire industrial sector alongside energy headwinds.
  • CMI slipped 5.2% as rising energy costs and stagflation signals weighed on industrials broadly, compounded by higher rates making capital equipment financing less attractive.
  • ADI fell 3.7% following the broad semiconductor pullback as mega-cap tech heavyweights showed rotation fatigue and rates climbed, cooling enthusiasm for chip designers despite their AI exposure.
  • NOW dropped 3.9% as the software and enterprise cloud space faced profit-taking after a monster run, with rising Treasury yields making growth multiples less palatable to institutional investors.
  • NXPI slid 3.4% alongside the semiconductor complex selloff, as investors took chips off the table after Nvidia's blockbuster earnings failed to extend the AI rally in the face of higher bond yields.
  • TXN declined 2.9% as the analog chip space sold off with the broader semiconductor sector, dragged down by rising rates and rotation out of growth-at-any-price narratives.
  • BABA dipped 2.9% after the U.S. expanded RTX 5090D V2 export bans to China, dimming hopes for Alibaba's ability to capitalize on its newly unveiled AI chip and LLM model in a rate-constrained environment.
⚠️ Risks & Opportunities

• The Iran peace deal relief trade is already priced in; oil collapsed nearly 2% on the news while small caps rallied 0.7%, but this is a one-day fade setup if geopolitical uncertainty resurfaces or negotiations stall heading into Friday.

• Nasdaq is rolling over despite the broader risk-on mood (down 0.18% in /NQ futures while /RTY crushes it up 0.72%), signaling serious profit-taking in mega-cap tech; Nvidia's disappointing earnings yesterday confirmed that AI euphoria has hit a wall and valuations need to compress further.

• The 5-year yield jumped 8 basis points while the 2-year fell, creating a steepening curve that screams stagflation concern; if today's manufacturing PMI and jobless claims print weak, the bond market will reassess whether the Fed can actually cut rates or if growth is grinding to a halt.

• Crude tanked 0.23% despite the Iran deal (demand destruction via falling energy prices historically kills growth), and with heating oil and gasoline both down 1.5%+, refiners and energy stocks will struggle if oil stays pinned below 100; energy is already the worst sector at minus 1.2%.

• Russell 2000 strength combined with small-cap outperformance into the reconstitution window is real, but it's a liquidity-driven squeeze with thin conviction; rotation capital will flee these names once the index rebalancing closes.

• Watch today's flash PMI numbers at 9:45 AM and jobless claims at 8:30 AM; any softness will hammer long-duration Treasuries further and flip the market narrative from "deal relief" back to "growth deceleration," which means selling the rip in equities.


📰 Referenced News Articles

S&P 500:

Dow Jones:

NASDAQ-100:

Russell 2000:


📰 Movers News

Gainers:

Losers:

Sector Performance
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Options Flow Sentiment
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Most Bullish
Symbol Score Bull $ Bear $ C/P Ratio Blocks Sweeps
ARM1.000$1.3M$01.128197
FAST1.000$25K$055.51144
BE1.000$262K$00.35169140
QCOM1.000$60K$02.72135148
EOSE1.000$19K$05.8013279
MXL1.000$45K$01.8431
ALAB1.000$17K$01.041012
SEDG1.000$13K$02.751514
LYFT1.000$21K$01.212914
SIRI1.000$63K$07.895221
Most Bearish
Symbol Score Bull $ Bear $ C/P Ratio Blocks Sweeps
VIXW-1.000$0$78K23.31520
CPB-1.000$0$35K1.98143
FIGR-1.000$0$75K0.96165
HON-1.000$0$42K3.362419
GS-1.000$0$10K2.121622
NVDL-0.997$215$127K1.952817
USO-0.994$33$10K0.35256172
AVGO-0.989$2K$446K1.5510179
UFO-0.982$380$41K7.2031
IBRX-0.964$12K$653K4.055626
Movers — May 21, 2026
Top Gainers
Symbol Price Change Change % Rel Volume Market Cap ($B)
INFQ14.91+3.73+33.36%
7.70x
2.44
QBTS24.93+5.63+29.17%
3.39x
7.15
RGTI21.33+4.45+26.36%
3.93x
5.61
FBYD17.76+3.78+27.04%
1.26x
0.69
GCTS3.52+0.77+28.28%
2.17x
0.23
FCEL25.20+4.98+24.63%
1.56x
1.07
ARQQ16.51+3.42+26.13%
4.71x
0.20
APLD47.89+8.37+21.19%
1.41x
11.29
DXYZ59.27+10.67+21.95%
1.86x
1.46
UP8.08+1.53+23.37%
0.52x
0.24
WOLF70.57+11.95+20.38%
0.81x
2.83
BIRK39.61+6.40+19.27%
2.42x
6.11
BKKT12.37+2.19+21.51%
2.04x
0.45
OPTX10.98+1.96+21.73%
3.96x
0.36
WYFI28.88+4.69+19.39%
0.87x
0.93
QUBT11.29+1.73+18.15%
2.07x
2.16
ENPH61.87+8.72+16.41%
1.54x
7.01
AMPG5.30+0.87+19.64%
3.28x
0.11
NBIS220.01+28.19+14.70%
1.03x
48.70
AAP59.44+8.20+15.99%
3.58x
3.09
BTQ3.31+0.49+17.20%
1.79x
0.40
VERI2.31+0.35+17.82%
1.60x
0.18
DUOT10.58+1.57+17.43%
1.88x
0.26
RL375.94+46.70+14.19%
2.28x
19.93
GFS80.54+9.75+13.78%
1.92x
38.82
PLUG3.81+0.50+14.95%
1.07x
4.62
HOV114.03+16.02+16.35%
2.07x
0.58
PLYX3.97+0.59+17.46%
1.38x
0.16
LAES3.31+0.46+16.18%
3.25x
0.63
SPOT488.43+55.11+12.72%
2.37x
89.10
AXTI119.42+14.81+14.16%
0.52x
6.84
ARM287.30+30.57+11.91%
1.42x
273.16
IBM250.86+25.86+11.49%
2.82x
211.47
LPL4.96+0.58+13.39%
0.61x
4.37
CRBP11.25+1.52+15.62%
1.61x
0.18
CMTL4.23+0.58+15.89%
2.09x
0.11
EOSE8.07+0.96+13.57%
0.87x
2.41
CHGG1.41+0.19+15.57%
1.08x
0.14
LITE967.24+99.17+11.42%
0.77x
67.54
GALT2.54+0.33+14.71%
0.98x
0.15
EVC9.30+1.09+13.34%
0.57x
0.76
QMCO9.36+1.20+14.66%
2.01x
0.12
SKLZ8.26+1.05+14.56%
0.21x
0.11
SEDG62.97+6.75+12.01%
1.07x
3.42
SNDK1532.48+139.92+10.05%
0.72x
206.22
OKUR4.05+0.49+13.90%
1.71x
0.14
OUST34.61+3.74+12.12%
0.82x
1.97
DPRO6.21+0.73+13.32%
1.70x
0.20
SWMR35.43+4.06+12.94%
1.33x
0.34
LWLG13.07+1.38+11.85%
0.51x
1.80
BOT31.75+3.51+12.43%
0.55x
0.57
OPTU0.73+0.08+12.76%
1.09x
0.31
SMJF5.00+0.59+13.38%
0.18x
0.12
BALY12.12+1.31+12.12%
2.58x
0.53
IONQ57.83+5.36+10.22%
1.66x
19.59
ADV40.21+4.32+12.04%
2.03x
0.48
BLDP5.30+0.54+11.34%
1.75x
1.44
ABCL5.08+0.51+11.27%
1.25x
1.40
CERT5.21+0.54+11.56%
0.84x
0.73
FATE2.06+0.22+12.23%
1.01x
0.21
MX5.67+0.61+12.06%
1.29x
0.18
OCS30.91+3.00+10.73%
1.91x
1.69
YSG2.45+0.26+11.87%
2.93x
0.21
MP62.06+5.56+9.85%
1.05x
10.06
CTEV23.61+2.37+11.16%
0.80x
0.36
RGNX6.64+0.67+11.22%
1.16x
0.31
BE306.96+24.65+8.73%
1.13x
80.30
FRVO41.62+3.61+9.48%
0.21x
10.78
SES1.16+0.11+11.06%
0.58x
0.38
QSI0.98+0.10+11.42%
1.66x
0.19
LMRI8.19+0.79+10.68%
0.58x
0.71
RDZN1.94+0.20+11.49%
0.94x
0.15
APYX4.21+0.42+11.08%
0.47x
0.16
VELO20.43+1.92+10.37%
1.09x
0.55
ENS233.97+19.41+9.04%
1.76x
7.91
MRAM31.85+2.91+10.06%
0.48x
0.68
HUMA1.01+0.10+10.66%
0.90x
0.20
AEHR90.00+7.66+9.30%
0.52x
2.59
NERV5.55+0.52+10.44%
0.78x
0.23
QS8.36+0.69+9.00%
0.76x
4.72
MVST1.38+0.12+10.00%
0.74x
0.42
EPRX7.00+0.63+9.89%
1.24x
0.42
TONX3.62+0.34+10.21%
0.57x
0.19
KURA11.31+0.97+9.38%
2.64x
0.92
ATOM8.43+0.75+9.77%
0.36x
0.30
YSS28.08+2.23+8.63%
0.48x
3.35
NUCL11.01+0.97+9.68%
0.71x
0.30
NMRA1.89+0.17+9.59%
0.69x
0.32
KEEL4.59+0.36+8.63%
0.90x
2.55
CARL12.89+1.12+9.52%
4.33x
0.32
NVTS24.90+1.91+8.31%
0.85x
5.37
RUM8.02+0.65+8.75%
0.67x
1.59
DMRC13.20+1.15+9.54%
1.60x
0.27
EVTL2.60+0.23+9.45%
0.70x
0.30
SUIG1.78+0.16+9.88%
0.89x
0.12
OXSQ1.40+0.12+9.84%
1.12x
0.12
BBAR16.19+1.25+8.37%
1.20x
3.05
CHPT6.83+0.60+9.63%
1.11x
0.15
BB6.71+0.51+8.21%
0.88x
3.63
IREN56.72+4.01+7.61%
0.73x
18.84
ALMU22.85+1.90+9.07%
0.68x
0.38
WKEY9.86+0.87+9.68%
2.69x
0.10
ADAG3.77+0.32+9.28%
1.37x
0.23
BMRN54.09+3.89+7.75%
1.49x
9.70
NKTX3.06+0.26+9.29%
0.52x
0.20
OIO1.93+0.16+8.76%
0.10x
0.62
BTDR14.35+1.07+8.06%
0.83x
3.23
LPRO1.97+0.17+9.17%
1.38x
0.21
AIAI14.51+1.14+8.49%
2.30x
0.94
RLAY14.07+1.05+8.10%
1.91x
2.49
INV6.74+0.54+8.73%
0.69x
0.52
BMA77.77+5.66+7.85%
0.93x
4.61
SPTX17.12+1.34+8.49%
0.19x
0.84
NAK2.15+0.17+8.33%
1.14x
1.11
BBBY5.72+0.46+8.75%
0.43x
0.39
ZNTL4.04+0.33+8.89%
0.54x
0.26
CIFR20.95+1.46+7.52%
0.71x
7.97
SHAZ54.42+4.18+8.32%
0.80x
0.81
USAR24.29+1.72+7.62%
0.79x
5.03
FBRX22.05+1.74+8.57%
0.64x
0.42
STX800.39+49.32+6.57%
0.55x
168.41
GTX32.99+2.29+7.46%
0.82x
5.75
EMAT8.13+0.57+7.54%
0.85x
4.49
ALOY9.69+0.75+8.33%
1.11x
0.53
GLOO5.70+0.44+8.37%
0.61x
0.42
KRRO10.89+0.88+8.84%
1.81x
0.14
SPCE2.68+0.21+8.55%
1.17x
0.26
ALMR21.72+1.56+7.74%
0.85x
1.40
RR2.66+0.20+8.08%
0.90x
0.55
BOOT152.69+10.42+7.32%
0.66x
4.32
BTBT1.90+0.14+7.95%
0.87x
0.61
DFTX22.41+1.54+7.38%
0.80x
2.28
MRLN7.16+0.52+7.83%
0.96x
0.62
ZURA4.41+0.32+7.83%
0.76x
0.39
TKNO4.00+0.30+8.11%
1.14x
0.20
GLW191.53+10.84+6.00%
0.53x
155.51
SMR11.12+0.73+7.03%
0.67x
3.60
INDI4.21+0.29+7.53%
0.59x
0.83
SIRI28.86+1.81+6.69%
1.07x
9.11
HQ11.66+0.82+7.61%
1.64x
0.56
CBIO20.35+1.44+7.62%
0.29x
0.52
RXT4.29+0.29+7.37%
0.57x
1.00
CTRN39.11+2.83+7.80%
2.15x
0.30
SDGR13.22+0.90+7.35%
0.71x
0.92
PALI2.02+0.15+7.71%
1.72x
0.33
KTB69.52+4.42+6.80%
0.83x
3.60
CSIQ17.85+1.20+7.18%
0.68x
1.13
CABA3.69+0.25+7.41%
0.61x
0.56
TTEC2.70+0.20+8.00%
0.73x
0.12
SWIM5.25+0.36+7.36%
0.93x
0.57
WGS47.89+3.16+7.06%
0.84x
1.33
RELL18.25+1.30+7.64%
2.79x
0.25
WATT27.25+1.98+7.82%
0.54x
0.14
EGG9.68+0.68+7.56%
0.09x
0.25
PII67.23+4.17+6.62%
0.57x
3.59
CMPS11.62+0.75+6.90%
1.14x
1.47
BHVN9.46+0.61+6.89%
0.75x
1.33
LILA8.04+0.52+6.85%
1.00x
1.51
CIEN586.75+31.99+5.77%
0.55x
78.44
NKLR5.87+0.39+7.12%
0.33x
0.61
UUUU17.86+1.08+6.47%
0.68x
4.19
FPS47.50+2.76+6.17%
0.61x
10.92
HUT102.44+5.93+6.14%
0.49x
10.87
AAOI175.30+10.04+6.08%
0.68x
13.26
WSM190.97+10.72+5.95%
1.51x
21.22
ARBE1.07+0.08+7.54%
1.02x
0.12
SGMT7.12+0.47+7.07%
0.14x
0.41
SCVL16.88+1.11+7.04%
1.08x
0.43
SIDU4.12+0.28+7.15%
1.02x
0.31
CAL12.99+0.85+7.00%
1.10x
0.41
SLDP2.96+0.19+6.86%
0.56x
0.62
ENHA5.25+0.33+6.82%
0.46x
0.60
ENGN1.73+0.12+7.45%
0.34x
0.11
IMNM22.90+1.37+6.36%
1.04x
2.44
ALM18.72+1.08+6.12%
0.46x
5.01
ASPN5.45+0.35+6.88%
0.48x
0.42
AIFC0.90+0.06+7.35%
0.30x
0.12
LILAK8.18+0.50+6.45%
0.97x
1.55
CORZ24.57+1.39+6.00%
0.62x
7.37
NRIX17.47+1.05+6.39%
0.82x
1.70
NRGV5.11+0.32+6.58%
0.58x
0.85
CRDO193.18+10.20+5.57%
0.85x
33.75
LASR75.64+4.34+6.09%
0.54x
4.02
STEP55.15+3.15+6.06%
1.72x
4.17
ASST18.06+1.08+6.36%
1.50x
1.25
GT5.93+0.35+6.27%
0.94x
1.60
ARHS6.38+0.38+6.43%
0.56x
0.85
FFAI0.36+0.02+7.17%
0.51x
0.10
COHR377.44+18.94+5.28%
0.50x
70.14
CRWV106.65+5.37+5.30%
0.88x
55.26
AIRJ4.03+0.26+6.76%
1.12x
0.26
ASTS94.45+4.87+5.44%
1.01x
26.76
FRPT51.25+2.90+6.00%
0.89x
2.38
AMWD38.16+2.31+6.44%
0.91x
0.52
CD9.72+0.57+6.28%
0.93x
0.73
XMAX8.67+0.52+6.38%
1.96x
0.52
CRVS12.94+0.75+6.15%
0.73x
1.03
EMBC3.27+0.21+6.70%
0.45x
0.18
INO1.31+0.08+6.91%
0.38x
0.10
CTNM14.24+0.85+6.35%
0.53x
0.50
Biggest Losers
Symbol Price Change Change % Rel Volume Market Cap ($B)
INTU306.90-77.03-20.06%
6.76x
106.18
SLS7.17-1.80-20.01%
2.85x
1.67
OFIX9.74-2.41-19.84%
2.92x
0.49
MGRT100.00-22.49-18.36%
1.39x
1.68
JLHL20.20-4.49-18.19%
0.33x
0.53
MWC5.97-1.18-16.43%
0.15x
0.42
DAVA3.40-0.60-15.00%
5.81x
0.21
BORR5.53-0.65-10.60%
3.83x
1.90
BVS9.74-1.20-10.98%
1.68x
0.74
SATS130.63-11.17-7.87%
1.21x
41.10
GTN.A8.61-0.88-9.27%
2.84x
0.97
WMT121.89-8.95-6.84%
2.48x
1043.00
BUUU16.94-1.80-9.58%
1.43x
0.31
NPK130.59-12.81-8.93%
0.99x
1.03
YOOV0.73-0.08-9.41%
0.04x
0.18
RKLB124.82-9.46-7.04%
0.93x
77.71
WHF6.64-0.67-9.17%
4.02x
0.16
NBTX39.71-3.45-7.99%
0.97x
2.09
BEKE16.82-1.25-6.95%
1.08x
19.35
IPHA2.02-0.18-8.18%
0.27x
0.21
UXIN2.19-0.19-7.77%
1.39x
0.52
TATT36.54-3.00-7.59%
0.65x
0.51
VSAT70.37-4.90-6.51%
0.98x
10.22
DE527.81-32.65-5.83%
2.44x
151.38
ODV2.73-0.21-6.97%
42.42x
0.90
LSPD8.35-0.62-6.86%
1.76x
1.23
NN21.67-1.51-6.53%
0.43x
3.16
FIGR34.16-2.24-6.15%
0.75x
8.05
DHX3.53-0.28-7.35%
0.30x
0.16
ANNA3.06-0.24-7.42%
0.68x
0.14
VAL103.27-6.32-5.77%
0.43x
7.59
OSCR22.07-1.35-5.74%
0.59x
7.06
RIG6.92-0.42-5.65%
0.50x
8.19
IBRX7.61-0.44-5.47%
1.32x
8.43
WTF3.41-0.24-6.58%
2.28x
0.18
ROMA7.49-0.50-6.22%
0.22x
0.48
PARR57.35-3.45-5.67%
0.59x
3.05
WEAV5.53-0.36-6.20%
0.72x
0.47
ISPR1.97-0.14-6.64%
0.44x
0.12
CMI637.24-32.63-4.87%
1.07x
92.43
ATRO80.23-4.76-5.60%
0.75x
3.05
VTIX3.12-0.22-6.59%
0.50x
0.11
SOLS80.09-4.39-5.20%
0.94x
13.42
PBF39.50-2.25-5.39%
0.51x
4.94
MTDR56.38-3.14-5.28%
1.80x
7.39
BULL6.61-0.38-5.44%
2.10x
3.72
EGHT2.12-0.13-5.97%
1.06x
0.32
PRM31.77-1.73-5.16%
0.32x
5.46
SM33.05-1.76-5.06%
0.63x
8.35
BL29.17-1.67-5.42%
1.05x
1.81
HSLV5.30-0.31-5.53%
1.43x
1.14
ALTI3.56-0.21-5.70%
0.63x
0.42
ATLN1.31-0.08-6.07%
0.06x
0.11
CTW2.37-0.15-5.95%
1.52x
0.16
XMTR87.22-4.58-4.98%
0.31x
4.83
TEAM82.22-4.01-4.64%
0.36x
21.88
SPIR19.01-1.07-5.33%
0.53x
0.78
HPK7.22-0.40-5.25%
0.51x
0.96
MRDN10.08-0.62-5.79%
0.47x
0.14
DAO11.77-0.63-5.12%
2.85x
1.50
ECVT13.28-0.71-5.04%
0.84x
1.53
LU1.70-0.09-5.03%
1.86x
1.55
CMTV38.08-2.22-5.51%
0.68x
0.23
GLNG52.85-2.61-4.71%
0.98x
5.64
ATGL14.94-0.86-5.44%
0.16x
0.26
DK42.43-2.16-4.84%
0.47x
2.73
ACI16.27-0.79-4.60%
1.20x
8.43
AHG1.52-0.08-5.00%
0.04x
1.37
GDS34.98-1.68-4.60%
1.51x
7.35
ZIP3.17-0.18-5.37%
0.36x
0.27
ALL212.67-9.31-4.19%
0.73x
57.14
ENSG170.24-8.02-4.50%
0.88x
10.42
CNCK2.00-0.11-5.21%
0.04x
0.29
TLSA1.52-0.09-5.28%
5.71x
0.20
ASAN6.33-0.31-4.74%
0.41x
1.58
THC179.41-8.00-4.27%
0.32x
16.14
ALTG5.21-0.29-5.27%
0.95x
0.18
ACDC7.38-0.37-4.71%
0.86x
1.40
VLO243.72-10.05-3.96%
0.74x
75.35
ANPA6.40-0.36-5.33%
0.36x
0.10
CASY817.96-34.55-4.05%
0.95x
31.51
PED14.35-0.77-5.09%
1.42x
0.20
CBRS279.38-11.31-3.89%
0.27x
63.84
MENS2.06-0.11-5.07%
0.25x
0.16
CDNL49.69-2.43-4.67%
0.63x
0.80
NOW99.43-3.87-3.75%
0.63x
106.53
ORN13.87-0.69-4.71%
0.73x
0.59
GLND2.61-0.14-5.09%
0.42x
0.12
MCHP90.44-3.58-3.81%
0.36x
50.88
USBC0.40-0.02-4.93%
0.14x
0.16
LNZA7.98-0.42-5.00%
0.66x
0.11
SFM84.88-3.58-4.05%
0.50x
8.32
FIG21.68-0.90-3.99%
0.55x
11.93
EDU47.92-2.02-4.03%
0.80x
7.95
ADI383.97-14.08-3.54%
0.79x
193.88
AMBR1.88-0.09-4.82%
1.33x
0.19
ASTL4.71-0.22-4.56%
0.53x
0.52
IMVT34.14-1.42-3.99%
1.44x
7.30
FLY42.25-1.75-3.98%
0.54x
7.05
MNDY75.95-3.20-4.04%
0.39x
4.05
ACHC23.07-1.00-4.15%
0.62x
2.21
AOSL38.87-1.73-4.27%
0.41x
1.22
GTE8.35-0.40-4.57%
0.70x
0.31
NNNN30.49-1.35-4.24%
0.60x
1.40
TDW81.16-3.40-4.02%
0.46x
4.21
PS37.27-1.47-3.79%
0.24x
15.50
ADBE244.50-8.87-3.50%
0.55x
102.41
NXPI299.21-10.94-3.53%
0.31x
78.30
MINE2.90-0.14-4.61%
1.07x
0.20
ENOV25.36-1.10-4.16%
0.64x
1.52
TTGT4.62-0.21-4.45%
0.42x
0.35
GTLB25.65-1.05-3.93%
0.41x
4.51
PLSE25.02-1.07-4.10%
0.45x
1.81
CVI32.16-1.32-3.94%
0.40x
3.37
SPHR129.19-5.21-3.87%
0.39x
4.81
PAY23.47-0.96-3.93%
0.66x
3.07
LAW3.67-0.17-4.43%
0.32x
0.25
BILI17.61-0.69-3.74%
1.10x
7.62
RPD7.00-0.31-4.24%
0.64x
0.49
PCT11.39-0.46-3.92%
0.54x
2.15
QUAD7.20-0.32-4.26%
0.32x
0.39
BTGO7.79-0.33-4.06%
2.10x
0.94
TWLO182.75-6.58-3.48%
0.56x
28.74
IMDX5.92-0.27-4.36%
0.47x
0.20
MPC249.79-8.58-3.32%
0.64x
75.43
CRVL61.82-2.44-3.79%
0.88x
3.29
SDRL51.77-2.03-3.77%
0.47x
3.36
LPG45.88-1.84-3.85%
1.04x
2.04
MDXG3.63-0.16-4.09%
0.52x
0.56
NTES113.05-3.77-3.23%
5.08x
74.85
UIS2.85-0.12-4.21%
0.89x
0.22
FUL56.90-2.17-3.67%
1.76x
3.22
ROIV31.32-1.09-3.36%
0.84x
23.31
TK13.61-0.54-3.82%
0.96x
1.23
NRDY0.78-0.03-4.31%
0.61x
0.10
BLKB29.89-1.17-3.77%
0.44x
1.43
SUJA15.70-0.66-4.01%
0.04x
0.39
NXTT1.34-0.06-4.29%
0.96x
0.11
MUR37.60-1.38-3.53%
0.97x
5.59
VG13.57-0.46-3.24%
0.54x
34.86
TAL10.11-0.37-3.49%
0.48x
6.37
FLX2.33-0.10-4.12%
0.72x
0.18
AMKR66.22-2.27-3.31%
0.65x
16.98
TROX7.67-0.29-3.70%
0.51x
1.27
ATAT35.86-1.29-3.47%
0.62x
5.05
WDAY122.55-4.06-3.21%
0.86x
31.61
MANE101.65-3.67-3.48%
0.24x
4.40
GKOS138.97-4.85-3.37%
1.09x
8.45
DINO68.78-2.34-3.30%
0.34x
12.82
REPX37.33-1.45-3.73%
0.52x
0.84
INFU9.76-0.40-3.99%
0.72x
0.21
OWLT5.73-0.24-4.02%
0.54x
0.17
XPO204.04-6.69-3.17%
0.52x
24.74
AEBI11.81-0.45-3.67%
0.41x
0.95
MDB318.75-10.38-3.16%
0.82x
26.50
ASTH37.39-1.37-3.53%
0.37x
1.92
JD31.46-1.00-3.07%
0.52x
43.84
MUSA537.54-18.10-3.26%
0.62x
10.26
VEEV159.82-5.14-3.12%
0.25x
26.92
CNL15.82-0.58-3.54%
0.55x
1.52
MNPR62.51-2.44-3.76%
0.72x
0.44
HRB38.47-1.33-3.34%
0.72x
5.05
GMRS11.25-0.43-3.68%
0.17x
0.63
FNWD32.46-1.34-3.96%
0.69x
0.15
AFJK40.50-1.67-3.97%
0.94x
0.13
AGYS78.58-2.79-3.42%
0.48x
2.29
CAN0.42-0.02-3.76%
1.04x
0.33
PAYC133.50-4.48-3.25%
0.40x
6.43
DAVE235.62-8.18-3.36%
0.72x
3.10
AXGN41.24-1.45-3.40%
0.24x
2.27
AHR50.04-1.64-3.17%
2.46x
9.96
BILL37.08-1.27-3.30%
0.58x
3.82
BRR1.75-0.07-3.85%
0.87x
0.16
CGTX1.24-0.05-3.88%
0.90x
0.12
GHRS21.77-0.77-3.39%
1.09x
1.55
GLOB40.38-1.41-3.36%
0.51x
1.80
BABA130.84-3.62-2.70%
0.76x
322.61
FTRE13.23-0.46-3.39%
0.34x
1.30
TXN296.66-8.22-2.70%
0.31x
277.47
XPEL43.68-1.53-3.38%
0.85x
1.25
KGEI6.01-0.23-3.69%
0.53x
0.22
INTA20.26-0.70-3.34%
0.76x
1.62
NXT121.68-3.74-2.98%
0.88x
18.85
RERE5.00-0.17-3.38%
1.10x
1.15
VGNT41.22-1.37-3.22%
0.91x
3.02
DVLT0.42-0.02-3.55%
1.03x
0.38
DIBS4.42-0.17-3.70%
0.32x
0.16
HP39.59-1.29-3.16%
0.37x
4.09
BLSH35.82-1.15-3.11%
0.79x
5.61
CC21.57-0.70-3.17%
0.71x
3.35
MD21.74-0.73-3.25%
0.38x
1.85
PAC243.42-7.40-2.95%
0.56x
14.92
TALO15.69-0.51-3.18%
0.82x
2.70
APA38.16-1.16-2.95%
0.62x
13.90
ZS169.46-4.99-2.86%
0.56x
28.05
BNC2.61-0.10-3.69%
0.30x
0.12
FSLY16.58-0.54-3.15%
0.25x
2.68
DVN47.12-1.34-2.77%
0.69x
55.87
VNET9.89-0.32-3.13%
0.73x
2.91
TCPC3.75-0.13-3.48%
1.07x
0.33
Pre-Market Gainers
Symbol Price Change Change % Market Cap ($B)
Pre-Market Losers
Symbol Price Change Change % Market Cap ($B)
Upcoming Economic Events

Date Impact Title Forecast Previous
2026-05-21 Medium Philly Fed Manufacturing Index 17.6 26.7
2026-05-21 Medium Unemployment Claims 210K 211K
2026-05-21 Low Building Permits 1.38M 1.37M
2026-05-21 Low Housing Starts 1.42M 1.50M
2026-05-21 Medium Flash Manufacturing PMI 53.8 54.0
2026-05-21 Medium Flash Services PMI 51.1 51.3
2026-05-21 Low Natural Gas Storage 96B 85B
2026-05-21 Low FOMC Member Barkin Speaks
2026-05-22 Medium Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment 48.2 48.2
2026-05-22 Low CB Leading Index m/m -0.1% -0.6%
2026-05-22 Low FOMC Member Waller Speaks
2026-05-22 Low Revised UoM Inflation Expectations 4.5%
Upcoming Earnings
Date Time Symbol Exp Move % Exp Move $ Fiscal Qtr EPS Forecast Last Year EPS # Estimates Market Cap
Rates

Name Rate 1 Day 14 Day 30 Day Last Changed Last Updated
3-Month3.59-0.01-0.02-0.032026-05-182026-05-19
4-Week3.56-0.04-0.04-0.052026-05-182026-05-19
1-Year3.670.010.050.132026-05-182026-05-19
6-Month3.620.010.042026-05-142026-05-19
2-Year4.130.040.180.352026-05-182026-05-19
5-Year4.320.060.240.412026-05-182026-05-19
10-Year4.670.080.220.352026-05-182026-05-19
30-Year5.180.060.160.252026-05-182026-05-19
10-Year Minus 2-Year0.53-0.010.04-0.012026-05-192026-05-20
Federal Funds3.62-0.01-0.02-0.022026-05-182026-05-19
Federal Funds Target Upper3.752025-12-102026-05-21
30Y Jumbo Fixed Mortgage6.545-0.090.040.012026-05-192026-05-20
15Y Fixed Mortgage5.850.140.130.22026-05-142026-05-21
30Y Fixed Mortgage6.510.150.140.212026-05-142026-05-21
Credit Card Interest21.00.030.03-0.392025-11-012026-02-01
Fed Watch (/ZQ Fed Funds futures)
Full curve →

Market-implied probabilities from /ZQ futures. Current EFFR estimate: 3.67%.

Jun 17, 2026
/ZQM26 · implied 3.58%
-9 bp
25bp cut
37%
Hold
63%
Jul 29, 2026
/ZQN26 · implied 3.67%
+9 bp
Hold
65%
25bp hike
35%
Sep 16, 2026
/ZQU26 · implied 3.74%
+8 bp
Hold
70%
25bp hike
30%
Kalshi vs /ZQ Divergences (top mispricings)
All divergences →

Scanning Fed decision markets for mispricings...

Top Poll
Donald Trump 244 polls
Latest: May 18, 2026
Approve 38.0% · Disapprove 61.0%
n=984 · Registered Voters · May 18, 2026
Approve 35.0% · Disapprove 63.0%
n=1,271 · Adults · May 18, 2026
Favorable 35.0% · Unfavorable 61.0%
n=1,271 · Adults · May 18, 2026
Approve 40.0% · Disapprove 59.0%
n=1,008 · Likely Voters · May 18, 2026
Favorable 38.0% · Unfavorable 59.0%
n=1,008 · Likely Voters · May 18, 2026

View all polls

Latest from the Blog
All Posts
Ten Empirically-Grounded Prediction Market Trading Strategies
2026-04-14

A technical survey of ten research-backed strategies for trading prediction markets, spanning favourite-longshot bias, cross-platform arbitrage, LP underwriting, combinatorial arbitrage, and dynamic hedging.

prediction-marketstrading-strategiespolymarketkalshiarbitragehedgingmarket-microstructure