Stock Market Dashboard

Live indices, movers, options and volatility · Oct 5, 2026

Top movers

Top movers, market cap $2B+. Select a column header to sort.
SymbolLastChgRel volMkt cap
PSKY Paramount Skydance Corp… 9.72 +104.74% 0.5x $10.7B
PTC PTC, INC 192.38 +33.57% 15.8x $15.6B
XP XP Inc. Class A Common Stock 28.18 +31.05% 5.3x $10.9B
PCVX Vaxcyte, Inc. Common Stock 73.83 +30.72% 9.2x $8.4B
RXO RXO, Inc. 28.63 +22.46% 9.6x $3.9B
PAGS PagSeguro Digital Ltd. 10.97 +21.67% 5.1x $2.5B
BBD Banco Bradesco S.A. Ame… 4.33 +18.77% 4.3x $38.7B
STNE StoneCo Ltd. Class A Co… 11.54 +20.89% 5.9x $2.2B

Sector heat map

1D

Box size = relative volume (today vs the 20-day average), colour = 1-day change.

Fed rate odds

FedWatch
Oct 28 FOMCimplied
Hold
78%
+25bp
22%
Dec 9 FOMCimplied
Hold
18%
+25bp
82%

EFFR 3.88% · market-implied

Screeners

All

Economic calendar

Upcoming US economic events, times ET. Select a column header to sort.
TimeEventImpactActualFcstPrev
Today
Mon 10/5 09:45Final Services PMIL58.758.7
Mon 10/5 10:00ISM Services PMIM55.155.4
Tomorrow
Tue 10/6 08:15ADP Weekly Employment ChangeL——
Tue 10/6 08:16ADP Weekly Employment ChangeL—20.0K
Tue 10/6 08:30Trade BalanceL-100.8B-88.6B
Tue 10/6 10:10RCM/TIPP Economic OptimismL44.545.6
Tue 10/6 10:45FOMC Member Bowman SpeaksL——
Tue 10/6 13:15FOMC Member Schmid SpeaksL——
Tue 10/6 16:30API Weekly Statistical BulletinL——
Wed, Oct 7
Wed 10/7 10:30Crude Oil InventoriesL—0.9M
Wed 10/7 13:0110-y Bond AuctionL—4.83|2.7
Wed 10/7 14:00FOMC Meeting MinutesH——
Wed 10/7 15:00Consumer Credit m/mL15.4B18.1B
Thu, Oct 8
Thu 10/8 04:30FOMC Member Waller SpeaksM——
Thu 10/8 08:30Unemployment ClaimsM200K197K
Thu 10/8 10:00Final Wholesale Inventories m/mL0.7%0.7%
Thu 10/8 10:30Natural Gas StorageL—64B
Thu 10/8 13:0130-y Bond AuctionL—5.31|2.6
Thu 10/8 13:40FOMC Member Musalem SpeaksL——
Fri, Oct 9
Fri 10/9 10:00Prelim UoM Consumer SentimentM47.647.8
Fri 10/9 10:00Prelim UoM Inflation ExpectationsM—4.6%
Fri 10/9 16:00FOMC Member Collins SpeaksL——
Mon, Oct 12early look · forecasts to come
Mon 10/12 08:00Bank HolidayL——
Tue, Oct 13early look · forecasts to come
Tue 10/13 14:00Federal Budget BalanceL——
Wed, Oct 14early look · forecasts to come
Wed 10/14 08:30CPI m/mH—0.4%
Wed 10/14 08:30CPI y/yH—3.4%
Wed 10/14 08:30Core CPI m/mH—0.3%
Wed 10/14 08:30Core CPI y/yH—2.4%
Wed 10/14 14:00Beige BookL——
Thu, Oct 15early look · forecasts to come
Thu 10/15 08:30PPI m/mH—0.4%
Thu 10/15 08:30Core PPI m/mH—0.2%
Thu 10/15 08:30Unemployment ClaimsM——
Thu 10/15 08:30Retail Sales m/mM—1.2%
Thu 10/15 08:30Core Retail Sales m/mM—1.4%
Thu 10/15 08:30Empire State Manufacturing IndexL—7.6
Thu 10/15 08:30Philly Fed Manufacturing IndexM—37.8
Thu 10/15 10:00Business Inventories m/mL—0.8%
Fri, Oct 16early look · forecasts to come
Fri 10/16 08:30Import Prices m/mL—0.7%
Fri 10/16 09:15Industrial Production m/mL—0.0%
Fri 10/16 09:15Capacity Utilization RateL—76.3%

US events · times ET · H high · M medium · L low impact

Upcoming earnings

BMO before market open AMC after market close time not announced

Upcoming earnings in the next two weeks. Select a column header to sort.
SymbolDateEPS estExp. moveMkt cap
STZ Constellation Brands Inc Tue 10/6 AMC 3.62 ±8.8% $19.3B
RPM RPM International Inc. Tue 10/6 BMO 1.95 ±9.7% $12.7B
PEP Pepsico, Inc. Thu 10/8 BMO 2.29 ±7.0% $171.4B
DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. Fri 10/9 BMO 1.96 ±9.7% $55.3B
JPM J P Morgan Chase & Co Tue 10/13 BMO 5.88 ±6.0% $885.7B
JNJ Johnson & Johnson Tue 10/13 BMO 2.90 ±6.3% $623.3B
UNH UnitedHealth Group In… Tue 10/13 BMO 4.12 ±9.4% $327.8B
GS The Goldman Sachs Gro… Tue 10/13 BMO 14.59 ±7.9% $261.1B
C Citigroup Inc. Tue 10/13 BMO 2.70 ±7.5% $213.0B
ASML ASML Holding N.V. Wed 10/14 BMO 12.54 ±10.4% $697.0B
BAC Bank of America Corporation Wed 10/14 BMO 1.16 ±6.3% $375.7B
MS Morgan Stanley Wed 10/14 BMO 3.01 ±7.8% $295.3B
WFC Wells Fargo & Company Wed 10/14 BMO 1.84 ±7.2% $242.7B
BLK BlackRock, Inc. Wed 10/14 BMO 14.19 ±7.6% $164.8B
FAST Fastenal Company Wed 10/14 BMO 0.34 ±8.3% $57.6B
STT State Street Corporation Wed 10/14 BMO 3.62 ±8.9% $48.0B
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor … Thu 10/15 BMO 4.45 ±7.6% $2.38T
SCHW The Charles Schwab Co… Thu 10/15 BMO 1.67 ±7.0% $170.1B
PLD Prologis, Inc. Thu 10/15 BMO 1.58 ±6.7% $121.5B
BNY The Bank Of New York … Thu 10/15 BMO 2.25 ±8.0% $97.7B
USB U.S. Bancorp Thu 10/15 BMO 1.33 ±6.5% $89.4B
PNC PNC Financial Service… Thu 10/15 BMO 4.97 ±6.3% $88.1B
MRSH Marsh Thu 10/15 BMO 1.96 ±7.0% $82.0B
INFY Infosys Limited Thu 10/15 0.21 ±14.4% $46.0B
IBKR Interactive Brokers G… Thu 10/15 AMC 0.67 ±10.2% $38.9B
ERIC Ericsson Thu 10/15 BMO 0.14 ±11.1% $31.1B
SNA Snap-On Incorporated Thu 10/15 BMO 4.91 ±6.9% $19.0B
WIT Wipro Limited Thu 10/15 0.04 ±25.1% $17.4B
AA Alcoa Corporation Thu 10/15 AMC 1.58 ±11.5% $11.1B
FHN First Horizon Corporation Thu 10/15 BMO 0.53 ±7.9% $10.9B
HDB HDFC Bank Limited Fri 10/16 0.40 ±9.2% $117.8B
IBN ICICI Bank Limited Fri 10/16 0.40 ±6.3% $98.5B
TRV The Travelers Compani… Fri 10/16 BMO 6.80 ±6.9% $75.4B
TFC Truist Financial Corp… Fri 10/16 BMO 1.12 ±8.4% $56.5B
MTB M&T Bank Corporation Fri 10/16 BMO 5 ±7.1% $31.4B
CFG Citizens Financial Gr… Fri 10/16 BMO 1.38 ±8.4% $26.8B
RF Regions Financial Cor… Fri 10/16 BMO 0.67 ±8.6% $23.0B
FITB Fifth Third Bancorp Mon 10/19 BMO 1.09 ±8.1% $45.7B
STLD Steel Dynamics, Inc. Mon 10/19 BMO 5.41 ±11.8% $32.4B
WRB W.R. Berkley Corporation Mon 10/19 AMC 1.13 ±7.1% $25.6B
SMMT Summit Therapeutics Inc. Mon 10/19 BMO (0.28) ±21.8% $13.3B
PAC Grupo Aeroportuario D… Mon 10/19 2.68 — $11.7B
CCK Crown Holdings, Inc. Mon 10/19 AMC 2.25 ±8.9% $11.5B
AGNC AGNC Investment Corp. Mon 10/19 AMC 0.39 ±7.4% $10.6B

Market Commentary

Updated hourly
Updated: Live Data

📊 Market Overview

The market is threading a very fine needle this morning, and frankly it's working despite every reason it shouldn't. Tech is hitting fresh records while the long end of the bond market is getting hammered, Treasury yields climbing to new highs on the back of what looks like persistent inflation expectations and a Fed that has no rush to cut rates. The divergence is stark: Nasdaq up, Real Estate down hard on heavy volume, small caps struggling, the dollar firming. This isn't a risk-on day in the traditional sense. This is a bifurcated market where large-cap tech and selected materials (copper and silver are ripping) are the only boats rising in what is otherwise a tide of caution. Panmure's call for the S&P heading to 5,000 should tell you something; consensus is nervous, and that nervousness is real even if the tape is cooperating for now.

Where the story gets interesting is in what the cross-asset moves are actually saying. Crude is tanking while copper rallies, which breaks the typical risk-on trade; that's not China stimulus or global growth exuberance, that's supply tightness in industrial metals and demand destruction in energy. The dollar is inching higher while crypto is pushing higher too, which suggests equity investors are rotating INTO perceived safety (dollar, mega-cap tech) rather than chasing risk. Real Estate's flush on heavy volume signals institutional money is uncomfortable holding duration and illiquidity at these yield levels. Bond futures are down hard, short rates are sticky (three-month SOFR sitting elevated), and the curve is a mess. Translation: the smart money isn't convinced this Nasdaq rally sticks if rates keep climbing. Money is positioning for tech strength today but hedging against duration risk tomorrow. That's not conviction. That's insurance.

⚠️ Risks & Opportunities

• Nasdaq's new all-time high masks a dangerous breadth problem; mega-cap tech is doing all the heavy lifting while Russell 2000 and Dow lag, and this concentration risk will crack when sentiment flips.

• Real yields are rising faster than equities can digest (10Y TNX up, 30Y bonds down 0.58%, long-end duration getting crushed), which means growth stocks have less margin of safety if the Fed stays hawkish through year-end.

• FOMC minutes on October 7th and Waller's speech on October 8th are loaded guns; any hint that rate cuts are off the table will slam equities because the bull case still depends on easing, not on fundamentals justifying 5,850+ on the S&P.

• Oil's 2% drop paired with copper's 1.4% surge and dollar weakness signals demand destruction fears are starting to price in, yet equities are ignoring it; energy and commodity traders are already repositioning for slower growth.

• VIX creeping up 1.4% to 15.52 while equities rally is a classic complacency tell; vol is pricing in zero tail risk, so any macro surprise (inflation data, credit event) will trigger a vicious squeeze.

• Small caps are limping along (Russell up just 0.66%) while real estate sells off on heavy volume (1.34x), meaning rotation out of value and into mega-cap growth is in overdrive and has no off ramp until rates stabilize.


🚀 Notable Movers

  • SPCX surged after Blue Origin secured NASA's Mars Telecommunications Network contract, signaling SpaceX faces real competitive pressure but remains the dominant player in commercial space with Starlink generating substantial cash flow.
  • BABA gained despite a securities class action deadline today, as investors bet that China's AI infrastructure spending and cloud acceleration will offset regulatory headwinds and prior-year losses.
  • SHOP climbed on merchant solutions momentum and positioned strength in e-commerce tools, particularly as platforms differentiate on payment processing and AI-driven commerce capabilities.
  • PBR and PBR.A both surged as Petrobras scored a second major oil discovery in the Foz do Amazonas Basin and advanced its P-80 platform to production, reigniting the energy complex rally that benefited from crude stabilizing despite today's 2% WTI pullback.
  • ITUB jumped 15% as the Brazilian bank benefits from broad emerging market strength and announces shareholder-friendly capital allocation through buybacks and dividends.
  • MELI climbed as the Latin American e-commerce and fintech leader gains from regional currency strength and growing financial services adoption, riding momentum in emerging consumer discretionary.
  • WDC and STX both rallied as storage plays catch up to broader semiconductor strength and position for sustained AI data center demand, though both remain defensive plays relative to chip designers.
  • APP gained despite multiple class action filings suggesting litigation risk is priced in, as mobile marketing software firms benefit from AI monetization tailwinds in the software sector.
  • MRK dropped as pharma broadly underperformed on valuation concerns and sentiment rotation away from defensive names toward materials and energy on rate expectations.
  • BMY fell alongside MRK as large-cap biotech struggles with pipeline uncertainty and questions around CAR-T safety events dampening investor enthusiasm for the subsector.
  • GLW declined after lagging Q3 data center estimates, with investors taking profits ahead of the broader optical communications recovery even as AT&T partnerships signal long-term upside potential.
  • NBIS pulled back after its spectacular 2026 run, with concentration risk in customer base (two customers representing bulk of $40B commitments) triggering profit-taking in the AI cloud infrastructure space.
  • UMC plunged 8.8% as foundry cyclicality concerns resurface and competitive dynamics with GlobalFoundries and TSMC weigh on capacity utilization outlook heading into 2027.
  • GFS retreated in tandem as the foundry sector faces near-term headwind despite margin expansion stories, with investors reassessing demand cycles and competitive positioning.
  • NOK sold off as telecom equipment suppliers struggle with 5G maturation and slower network infrastructure spending cycles, even as hybrid photonic integrated circuits offer longer-term optionality.
  • VTR dropped with the real estate sector down 0.4% on heavy volume, suggesting institutional rotation away from REITs as rate stability reduces income appeal and cap rates remain compressed.
  • FER declined after joining the Nasdaq-100 earlier in December, typical post-inclusion profit-taking as passive inflows complete and hedge funds rebalance.
  • CMG fell 4.7% as restaurant sector weakness emerges despite menu innovation claims, likely reflecting same-store sales deceleration concerns and labor cost pressures outweighing traffic gains.
Referenced News Articles

S&P 500:

Dow Jones:

NASDAQ-100:

Russell 2000:

Movers News

Gainers:

Losers:

Trending today

most viewed
Create a free account to add your own watchlist here.

Market news

All headlines

Latest from the blog

All posts
Bond Volatility Just Spiked While the VIX Slept. Is That a Signal to Buy Puts?
2026-10-02

The MOVE index jumped 39% in a month while the VIX barely moved, and headlines say it's time to buy puts. We checked every similar split since 2004. The divergence is real, but as a signal to buy puts it has a poor record. Here are the numbers, episode by episode.

treasuriesvolatilityhedgingriskbacktestingstatistics

National polls

Polls & odds

Average of the major poll aggregators, past 12 months. Control odds from prediction markets.

Mortgage rates

Rates & calculator
30-yr fixed · estimate7.41%
+3 bp since last print$2,771/mo on $400,000
15-yr fixed
6.68% +105 bp in a year
30-yr jumbo
7.53% +90 bp in a year
30-yr FHA
7.11% +97 bp in a year
10-yr Treasury
5.311% +3 bp today

Average rate borrowers locked, re-priced with the 10-year Treasury between daily prints. Not a quote.