Frenzy Capital — Live Market Snapshot & Analysis

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Market Analysis
Updated: May 07, 2026 06:01 AMLive Data
🌅 Pre-Market Overview

The overnight script reads like a geopolitical relief rally with legs. Iran peace hopes have crushed crude below $93, and that tailwind is carrying equities higher despite what looks like a deliberately cautious cash open. Tech earnings beat expectations, the Nikkei jumped hard on weaker yen dynamics, and small caps are finally getting their moment. The energy collapse is real risk-off for the sector but genuinely pro-growth for everything else; cheaper oil unlocks margin expansion across industrials and discretionary. Equity index futures are barely moving, which tells you the street is waiting for the cash bell to confirm that yesterday's record closes weren't a sucker's rally. This is risk-on architecture, just executing in low volume before the real money shows up.

Where it gets interesting is the cross-asset divorce. Bonds are rallying hard (long end up 20+ basis points equivalent), gold and silver are surging, and the dollar is rolling over against commodity currencies. That's not the typical playbook when equities are supposed to be on a tear. You've got classic stagflation hedges catching a bid while stocks grind higher, which suggests the room is hedging tail risk or rotating out of growth into safety even as they chase yesterday's winners. Crypto is down, which is its own warning sign about conviction. The spread between the Nasdaq stalling and the Midcap leading smells like profit-taking at the margin; the market is too polite with small caps getting the brass ring to believe this is synchronized upside. Watch how tech behaves at the open. If the Nasdaq can't hold yesterday's spike, those bond buyers were seeing something.

⚠️ Risks & Opportunities

• Equity futures are basically flat despite yesterday's record closes; the real action is in commodities and rates, where oil is down 2.3% (Iran peace narrative holding), long bonds up 22bps, and silver up 4.4%, signaling a genuine rotation out of growth and into real assets rather than pure risk-on momentum.

• Russell 2000 and Nasdaq futures are both underwater this morning while midcaps lead (up 0.19%), which means the AI/mega-cap trade that drove yesterday's rally is losing steam and breadth is already cracking; expect sharp volatility at the open if tech doesn't hold 28700.

• Gold and precious metals rallying hard (gold +91bps, platinum +172bps) while equities tread water is the clearest risk-off signal; this is not a "risk-on" setup disguised as geopolitical relief, it's a hedging move ahead of tomorrow's employment data tsunami (jobless claims today, then non-farm payrolls, wage growth, and unemployment tomorrow).

• Long-end rates moving higher (30Y bond +22bps) while short rates are pinned near 3.6% tells you the market is pricing in either a dovish Fed pivot or a growth scare; combined with energy weakness and dollar stability, the setup screams "economic data matters more than Iran headlines" as of right now.

• Crude down 2.3% is real, not noise, and it's already baked into overnight futures; watch whether the cash open re-rates this lower or if algos rip it back up; if oil stays under 93, cyclicals and small caps stay under pressure all day.

• Russell weakness into the open is your biggest tactical tell; if RTY doesn't bounce on the cash open, the rotation story breaks and you're looking at a rotation into defensives, not breadth improvement, which means sell any tech strength into the first 30 minutes.


📰 Referenced News Articles

S&P 500:

Dow Jones:

NASDAQ-100:

Russell 2000:

Sector Performance
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Options Flow Sentiment
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Most Bullish
Symbol Score Bull $ Bear $ C/P Ratio Blocks Sweeps
MRNA1.000$42K$05.302611
RKLB1.000$517K$01.836477
LYFT1.000$32K$03.676955
AMKR1.000$12K$01.8735
AUR1.000$60K$012.339646
MSOS1.000$108K$016.907864
TMF1.000$47K$02.143211
LAES1.000$78K$0127.45234110
INV1.000$26K$012.60234
CLSK1.000$402K$03.0612075
Most Bearish
Symbol Score Bull $ Bear $ C/P Ratio Blocks Sweeps
LITE-1.000$0$37.5M0.824339
DDOG-1.000$0$4.2M1.626380
TTMI-1.000$0$27K0.8102
LWLG-1.000$0$52K2.42175
SHOP-1.000$0$226K10.448057
WEAT-1.000$0$11K27.27123
NVDL-1.000$0$47K2.823115
NAIL-1.000$0$17K1.49102
UNG-1.000$0$15K1.95196
MXL-1.000$0$35K1.5323
Movers — May 6, 2026
Top Gainers
Symbol Price Change Change % Rel Volume Market Cap ($B)
EVC7.70+3.72+93.47%
66.39x
0.35
OSS15.27+5.50+56.29%
13.71x
0.24
FLEX134.53+38.08+39.48%
4.28x
33.77
BLMN8.17+2.41+41.84%
4.81x
0.48
HUT108.65+28.14+34.95%
3.95x
8.79
AVTX21.93+5.67+34.90%
21.82x
0.31
COMP9.22+1.96+27.07%
2.65x
5.27
NNE29.04+6.27+27.54%
3.15x
1.21
SMCI34.62+6.79+24.40%
3.75x
16.77
VECO61.98+12.44+25.11%
3.65x
3.08
BXC58.76+12.57+27.21%
2.81x
0.38
IFRX2.52+0.55+27.66%
10.94x
0.15
VCYT40.88+7.91+23.99%
3.01x
2.67
MNKD3.58+0.72+25.17%
9.75x
0.87
DVA192.22+35.18+22.40%
3.79x
10.16
PYXS2.34+0.51+27.87%
4.13x
0.11
TBLA4.75+0.94+24.54%
6.42x
1.04
ACLS171.02+31.32+22.42%
2.39x
4.36
JOBY10.51+1.83+21.08%
2.42x
8.71
SRFM1.39+0.28+25.91%
1.80x
0.11
AMD417.55+62.29+17.53%
1.85x
556.83
GEO22.37+4.01+21.84%
3.29x
2.47
BTDR15.11+2.63+21.07%
2.11x
2.96
SII152.38+25.61+20.20%
2.03x
3.37
HOVR2.82+0.54+23.68%
3.03x
0.11
CVGI5.17+0.96+22.63%
3.47x
0.16
DGXX6.22+1.11+21.81%
3.57x
0.28
FLYW17.42+2.89+19.89%
5.21x
1.75
SHAZ53.54+9.19+20.72%
2.11x
0.72
FTAI286.53+42.16+17.25%
1.28x
24.62
NBTX41.55+6.78+19.51%
1.53x
1.51
DOC19.43+2.92+17.72%
3.22x
11.33
EVEX3.21+0.52+19.52%
1.22x
0.99
IMSR8.61+1.42+19.75%
3.44x
0.77
AIFU1.59+0.28+21.37%
1.94x
0.16
IFF82.77+12.00+16.96%
2.72x
17.90
TONX3.23+0.57+21.43%
2.18x
0.12
TMC6.21+0.96+18.42%
2.51x
2.25
QMCO10.04+1.77+21.40%
5.05x
0.11
OKLO79.90+11.52+16.85%
1.36x
11.93
BTQ3.40+0.55+19.30%
1.80x
0.42
SKYX1.30+0.22+20.37%
6.49x
0.13
VSEC207.71+30.28+17.06%
1.42x
4.72
REPL3.42+0.55+19.34%
0.58x
0.25
USAS6.49+0.95+17.06%
2.17x
1.91
ARM238.00+29.16+13.96%
1.85x
215.86
MRDN13.33+2.14+19.12%
0.65x
0.16
KEEL4.12+0.60+16.86%
1.95x
1.96
TGTX41.85+5.75+15.93%
3.33x
5.47
WOLF42.75+6.12+16.71%
2.91x
1.74
RIOT23.49+3.14+15.43%
1.63x
7.06
NVAX9.45+1.35+16.60%
5.02x
1.32
NUAI5.01+0.75+17.60%
1.43x
0.39
ARTV12.46+1.86+17.55%
0.85x
0.28
BLNK0.86+0.13+18.46%
2.36x
0.10
SSRM32.52+4.27+15.13%
1.41x
5.80
LIVN66.40+8.81+15.30%
2.10x
3.24
SBSW13.44+1.71+14.63%
1.78x
8.31
CXDO9.74+1.43+17.21%
4.64x
0.26
GRAL62.80+8.40+15.43%
1.50x
2.39
KMT43.25+5.74+15.30%
2.91x
2.80
ELAN26.23+3.24+14.09%
2.42x
11.24
ATLN1.49+0.22+17.32%
12.69x
0.11
LTH33.52+4.14+14.11%
2.39x
5.85
SMR13.57+1.70+14.32%
1.04x
3.94
ADV43.75+5.97+15.80%
1.24x
0.48
VRCA8.37+1.21+16.90%
5.70x
0.11
IAG18.52+2.21+13.55%
1.40x
9.50
NG9.03+1.10+13.81%
2.40x
3.49
GLW181.07+18.97+11.71%
2.75x
137.67
DHX2.82+0.39+16.05%
2.38x
0.11
WALD1.21+0.17+15.87%
0.26x
0.11
TWIN18.25+2.41+15.25%
2.18x
0.22
YSS36.98+4.27+13.05%
0.61x
4.09
KAI326.83+37.97+13.14%
2.18x
3.38
RR2.75+0.34+14.32%
1.46x
0.55
FFAI0.39+0.05+15.46%
0.21x
0.12
FRMI5.58+0.64+13.06%
0.84x
3.19
BIDU140.88+14.64+11.60%
2.06x
43.38
CANG0.54+0.07+14.84%
1.07x
0.19
AIFC0.95+0.12+15.18%
1.65x
0.12
HMY17.49+1.91+12.26%
1.25x
9.68
INFQ13.67+1.57+12.98%
0.76x
2.66
LAES3.31+0.40+13.75%
0.96x
0.66
PAAS56.44+5.92+11.72%
1.75x
21.54
LTM51.79+5.53+11.95%
1.63x
12.99
UAMY12.61+1.46+13.09%
1.22x
1.68
MASS8.10+1.01+14.25%
2.28x
0.25
MRAM21.67+2.62+13.75%
1.77x
0.44
INV6.99+0.83+13.58%
1.55x
0.52
HYMC39.75+4.38+12.38%
0.88x
3.30
IREN61.03+6.29+11.49%
1.54x
16.42
NBIS195.30+19.38+11.02%
1.07x
44.79
DELL239.05+22.73+10.51%
1.39x
137.61
OSCR20.07+2.13+11.87%
2.70x
5.59
UUUU23.54+2.50+11.88%
1.29x
5.37
AOSL49.30+5.55+12.69%
2.07x
1.26
EVTL2.71+0.32+13.60%
2.62x
0.30
LEU230.75+24.71+11.99%
1.38x
4.07
HSLV6.12+0.69+12.71%
0.72x
1.12
ULH13.91+1.63+13.27%
2.62x
0.43
BKSY40.46+4.50+12.52%
1.00x
1.35
AIRJ3.50+0.42+13.64%
2.44x
0.21
AUR7.26+0.73+11.18%
1.60x
12.62
SCZM8.77+0.99+12.72%
1.15x
0.73
CRI37.46+4.12+12.35%
1.24x
1.22
IONQ53.26+5.26+10.96%
1.05x
17.07
IPGP101.28+10.44+11.49%
1.66x
5.19
AG21.23+2.12+11.13%
1.09x
9.57
ASTS70.71+6.84+10.71%
0.92x
20.44
BEAM32.26+3.36+11.63%
0.79x
3.09
GFI46.10+4.35+10.42%
1.41x
37.38
AUGO89.73+9.03+11.19%
0.78x
6.85
XE31.61+3.15+11.07%
0.43x
8.14
NGNE32.59+3.64+12.60%
1.81x
0.44
JBL372.04+34.78+10.31%
1.57x
35.96
BRKR42.26+4.25+11.17%
1.42x
5.54
ENGN8.88+0.99+12.48%
0.89x
0.51
AMWL7.22+0.86+13.52%
3.05x
0.11
CURR3.92+0.44+12.65%
3.20x
0.37
MNPR64.02+7.14+12.55%
1.65x
0.37
RDW9.70+1.01+11.57%
0.96x
1.72
QBTS23.84+2.30+10.70%
1.06x
7.75
APLD44.09+4.21+10.56%
1.10x
10.18
RNAC8.32+0.93+12.65%
1.37x
0.20
CORZ24.56+2.37+10.68%
2.41x
6.66
BV13.17+1.36+11.52%
4.18x
1.09
UIS3.19+0.35+12.50%
2.13x
0.20
IPX37.69+3.87+11.44%
1.77x
1.14
FLY34.87+3.35+10.63%
1.09x
5.34
VGNT41.60+4.10+10.93%
1.04x
2.56
IBRX8.37+0.79+10.36%
1.43x
7.78
BMA76.98+7.36+10.57%
1.86x
4.44
MTC7.51+0.77+11.42%
0.68x
0.74
EXEL48.88+4.45+10.03%
2.08x
11.22
STRL885.53+79.53+9.87%
2.27x
16.25
JMIA7.47+0.75+11.24%
1.28x
0.83
BYND1.02+0.11+11.58%
0.91x
0.44
CDE18.80+1.67+9.75%
1.11x
18.18
TRVG3.23+0.35+12.02%
16.00x
0.20
MRCY91.48+8.52+10.27%
2.38x
4.71
UBER79.41+6.46+8.86%
2.01x
150.58
RMBS129.57+11.57+9.81%
0.96x
12.06
IDR48.82+4.91+11.18%
1.49x
0.68
SPIR18.28+1.82+11.03%
0.34x
0.67
ACHR6.42+0.58+10.02%
1.99x
4.38
BIOA18.50+1.82+10.88%
1.27x
0.74
KVHI10.53+1.10+11.66%
2.99x
0.19
GDYN6.78+0.68+11.07%
6.43x
0.49
RCL287.32+23.34+8.84%
1.03x
69.59
BLDP4.79+0.46+10.62%
2.87x
0.99
INBX141.29+13.17+10.28%
1.26x
1.87
RGTI20.05+1.78+9.74%
0.93x
5.88
TX48.34+4.23+9.58%
3.79x
8.39
RGNX10.22+1.00+10.90%
2.24x
0.48
ALOY10.45+1.02+10.82%
1.23x
0.57
PICS13.11+1.22+10.31%
1.10x
1.51
URGN26.31+2.48+10.41%
2.94x
1.13
SRTA5.34+0.52+10.89%
3.07x
0.42
BUUU20.18+2.01+11.06%
80.51x
0.30
QUBT10.52+0.96+10.01%
1.10x
2.14
QS7.96+0.70+9.64%
0.88x
4.42
DRD29.04+2.62+9.92%
1.97x
2.32
UMC15.24+1.23+8.82%
1.95x
32.65
COOK44.24+4.56+11.49%
0.39x
0.11
SIDU3.27+0.32+11.02%
0.54x
0.25
ELA19.23+1.86+10.71%
3.44x
0.44
XNDU14.79+1.29+9.56%
1.49x
4.18
TKR119.80+10.17+9.28%
2.15x
7.47
TMQ4.66+0.44+10.31%
1.39x
0.74
THM2.50+0.24+10.40%
0.98x
0.61
MAGN11.20+1.08+10.67%
0.82x
0.36
MT63.17+4.99+8.58%
1.64x
42.16
NEWP5.90+0.54+10.07%
1.22x
1.06
IPHA1.56+0.16+11.11%
0.49x
0.13
RUM8.03+0.72+9.78%
1.07x
1.53
ARIS18.91+1.62+9.37%
0.89x
3.61
PPTA29.92+2.57+9.40%
0.91x
3.37
NBIX146.98+11.92+8.83%
1.79x
13.49
LAR11.39+1.00+9.67%
1.43x
1.67
LIFE23.11+2.06+9.79%
1.58x
1.23
POWL320.88+26.19+8.89%
1.37x
9.83
UEC15.80+1.30+9.00%
1.20x
7.27
AU98.43+7.53+8.28%
1.12x
45.80
NYT84.00+6.74+8.73%
1.51x
12.67
LRCX296.88+21.08+7.64%
1.12x
323.36
TRX1.24+0.11+10.27%
1.05x
0.36
TGB7.47+0.63+9.28%
1.11x
2.50
CCJ123.78+9.32+8.14%
1.08x
51.51
ERAS10.90+0.91+9.16%
0.46x
3.15
ELVR99.06+8.55+9.45%
0.84x
1.56
WULF25.52+2.03+8.64%
1.15x
10.98
GSIT8.81+0.81+10.19%
1.14x
0.28
SCCO184.24+13.21+7.72%
0.93x
137.37
WYFI21.46+1.90+9.71%
1.75x
0.69
NOMD10.15+0.87+9.31%
2.39x
1.34
CXW21.19+1.77+9.11%
2.08x
1.99
DIS108.04+7.56+7.52%
2.54x
179.47
CVS86.88+6.19+7.67%
1.83x
105.10
NKLR6.64+0.58+9.57%
0.98x
0.68
Biggest Losers
Symbol Price Change Change % Rel Volume Market Cap ($B)
GDC1.22-4.77-79.63%
138.44x
0.30
PRIM102.75-100.17-49.37%
14.24x
10.06
KVYO15.77-7.56-32.41%
3.57x
6.77
ANGI4.77-2.64-35.65%
9.16x
0.29
LMB76.71-37.40-32.78%
5.81x
1.22
PHOE30.99-16.00-34.05%
3.92x
0.38
ATEC7.00-3.24-31.62%
7.10x
1.59
AZTA18.28-6.33-25.72%
7.52x
1.12
HCKT10.24-3.65-26.24%
5.24x
0.35
TMDX72.87-22.06-23.24%
7.69x
3.35
NICE97.21-27.80-22.24%
4.08x
7.26
CDW109.19-27.61-20.18%
3.63x
17.31
MNTN8.87-2.49-21.92%
4.95x
0.83
CRTO15.81-4.31-21.42%
6.23x
0.95
COR253.14-52.76-17.25%
5.12x
59.07
BMBL3.39-0.90-20.98%
3.10x
0.56
BFAM66.48-15.09-18.50%
2.71x
4.27
LAW3.69-0.94-20.19%
3.11x
0.31
TECH47.26-9.42-16.63%
5.40x
8.56
BZAI1.86-0.45-19.26%
1.92x
0.29
ANET146.68-23.54-13.83%
3.93x
217.36
ONEG8.89-2.07-18.89%
1.09x
0.14
MYGN4.14-0.89-17.59%
6.42x
0.47
NRGV4.18-0.85-16.80%
2.04x
0.77
CC23.74-4.20-15.03%
2.49x
4.09
CPNG17.95-2.82-13.56%
4.27x
36.61
DLX26.25-4.60-14.91%
2.81x
1.42
ASTE53.35-9.35-14.91%
2.03x
1.41
GIG7.00-1.32-15.87%
0.49x
0.36
SMRT1.20-0.23-16.08%
5.04x
0.27
FUBO10.45-1.95-15.73%
2.03x
0.38
PLYX3.81-0.73-16.08%
2.39x
0.24
SEB4901.66-785.43-13.81%
0.60x
5.35
ANDE68.22-11.08-13.97%
2.30x
2.70
RVLV20.12-3.32-14.16%
2.68x
1.68
ALC65.66-8.80-11.81%
4.45x
35.82
CRK15.12-2.21-12.78%
2.69x
5.22
VET11.85-1.79-13.10%
1.92x
2.06
TYGO4.42-0.74-14.24%
2.38x
0.35
CRC61.63-8.49-12.11%
2.34x
6.14
ATOM9.13-1.43-13.54%
2.77x
0.40
EVER20.66-3.16-13.29%
2.41x
0.52
SLRC13.95-2.03-12.68%
6.26x
0.87
HLLY2.87-0.43-13.03%
2.15x
0.39
GFR5.84-0.81-12.18%
1.48x
0.81
EGHT2.42-0.34-12.50%
1.46x
0.37
SWKS64.83-7.73-10.65%
2.41x
10.36
VTOL43.21-5.69-11.64%
1.99x
1.46
VMD8.51-1.19-12.27%
2.85x
0.36
XPEL43.71-5.66-11.46%
3.19x
1.32
AMTX3.21-0.46-12.43%
1.35x
0.24
ACIC10.46-1.41-11.88%
5.30x
0.56
TORO5.67-0.82-12.56%
0.20x
0.17
KD13.11-1.59-10.85%
2.76x
3.24
CABO55.72-7.58-11.97%
1.37x
0.37
PED14.90-2.08-12.25%
0.92x
0.21
CE62.14-6.87-9.96%
2.21x
7.69
PRM27.12-3.06-10.14%
2.55x
4.85
NNNN26.08-3.12-10.68%
1.73x
1.32
PODD151.34-16.19-9.67%
3.47x
11.87
PBF41.63-4.56-9.87%
0.91x
5.39
AMPY5.55-0.71-11.34%
1.06x
0.26
CART39.60-4.14-9.47%
2.39x
10.25
LCUT5.70-0.75-11.63%
0.66x
0.14
PARR62.34-6.86-9.91%
1.82x
3.33
CABA3.70-0.45-10.84%
1.82x
0.43
FIVN21.81-2.45-10.10%
1.37x
1.79
PLOW45.49-5.25-10.35%
1.40x
1.03
STIM1.93-0.24-11.29%
1.13x
0.14
NFE0.74-0.09-10.85%
0.95x
0.23
BRZE22.00-2.33-9.58%
1.40x
2.74
GIC29.60-3.24-9.87%
1.94x
1.26
OKUR4.03-0.49-10.84%
1.26x
0.19
EQNR38.02-3.34-8.06%
1.08x
102.98
HURN119.83-12.39-9.37%
2.69x
2.19
WTI3.79-0.42-9.86%
0.82x
0.65
XPRO16.18-1.66-9.28%
0.98x
2.05
SEDG40.55-4.09-9.15%
2.32x
2.53
MDLN41.69-3.63-8.02%
3.52x
37.37
REPX33.37-3.48-9.44%
1.01x
0.79
PROP1.07-0.12-10.42%
0.80x
0.12
REI1.79-0.19-9.60%
1.15x
0.41
CLH288.39-25.31-8.07%
4.16x
16.55
PMT11.03-1.11-9.11%
2.67x
1.06
DVN47.00-3.99-7.83%
1.44x
31.86
VG12.01-1.01-7.80%
0.75x
34.18
FRPT54.97-5.20-8.64%
3.99x
3.12
PESI11.67-1.26-9.74%
3.89x
0.24
CTRA32.85-2.78-7.80%
1.62x
27.23
TSLX17.88-1.72-8.78%
5.29x
1.88
GOLF86.00-7.79-8.31%
2.60x
5.47
ACEL11.36-1.12-8.94%
2.52x
1.00
HPK6.18-0.61-8.98%
0.85x
0.87
SM28.68-2.53-8.11%
1.13x
7.52
MTDR57.85-5.08-8.07%
1.15x
7.93
MQ4.09-0.39-8.59%
2.00x
1.92
SU64.57-5.08-7.29%
1.35x
81.37
QRVO88.64-7.71-8.00%
2.23x
8.58
APA38.27-3.21-7.75%
1.16x
14.85
OXY55.02-4.32-7.27%
1.32x
59.77
TIMB25.00-2.10-7.75%
1.65x
12.37
TRON2.31-0.22-8.70%
0.97x
0.95
FBYD12.00-1.16-8.81%
0.83x
0.66
CCOI16.48-1.57-8.72%
1.20x
0.82
DK45.02-4.02-8.21%
0.72x
2.94
MBC7.71-0.72-8.60%
4.32x
1.05
HNI33.27-2.96-8.17%
2.26x
2.58
BL29.69-2.65-8.19%
1.18x
1.99
MCK745.96-55.05-6.87%
3.14x
98.95
UPST28.72-2.45-7.86%
2.01x
3.07
HY36.59-3.36-8.41%
1.65x
0.69
VLO236.15-17.30-6.83%
1.14x
74.72
NUCL9.13-0.87-8.70%
1.10x
0.32
J126.69-9.86-7.22%
3.54x
15.35
LWLG15.43-1.29-7.75%
0.98x
2.38
TRMB63.53-4.84-7.08%
2.05x
15.90
SSL13.26-1.03-7.24%
0.79x
8.84
KOS2.88-0.24-7.69%
0.94x
1.94
RXT2.25-0.20-8.16%
1.31x
0.50
LXU14.10-1.20-7.84%
0.81x
1.03
AGCC17.43-1.55-8.17%
0.54x
0.42
LMND53.00-4.17-7.29%
1.22x
4.23
NWN48.81-3.89-7.38%
1.41x
2.22
EMBC3.60-0.30-7.82%
5.19x
0.55
NOG24.73-1.92-7.22%
0.79x
2.84
ARDT9.38-0.75-7.40%
1.25x
1.43
VERX12.65-0.99-7.25%
0.98x
2.16
CF119.64-8.40-6.56%
1.27x
19.34
ANNA3.12-0.28-8.24%
0.33x
0.15
CVI32.76-2.48-7.05%
0.83x
3.44
EGY6.03-0.49-7.59%
0.99x
0.71
ASAN6.82-0.53-7.28%
0.90x
1.71
MWH42.16-3.03-6.71%
1.29x
8.61
JJSF78.49-6.10-7.21%
1.60x
1.60
GPOR181.68-13.55-6.94%
1.23x
3.52
OBE12.90-1.03-7.36%
1.06x
0.98
BKV29.93-2.22-6.92%
1.04x
3.51
WK51.57-3.84-6.93%
1.84x
3.19
HAFN8.81-0.65-6.82%
0.92x
4.50
TNDM18.03-1.39-7.16%
1.74x
1.36
OIS8.92-0.71-7.37%
1.83x
0.67
ALTO5.54-0.45-7.51%
1.84x
0.42
DAVE245.94-17.87-6.77%
1.59x
3.58
MGY28.84-2.02-6.55%
1.10x
5.78
PTEN11.59-0.82-6.61%
0.90x
4.67
MUR38.96-2.71-6.50%
1.43x
6.04
MRX49.69-3.53-6.63%
1.54x
3.76
KGEI5.26-0.44-7.63%
1.19x
0.20
EC13.34-0.86-6.06%
0.80x
28.84
MRP28.14-1.95-6.50%
3.58x
4.91
EVGO1.95-0.16-7.38%
1.69x
0.31
GPRE17.00-1.25-6.85%
1.33x
1.27
KE25.27-1.88-6.91%
1.69x
0.65
AURA8.28-0.62-6.97%
1.56x
0.54
MB8.25-0.66-7.41%
1.09x
0.15
UP6.05-0.47-7.21%
0.06x
0.18
DOW38.49-2.31-5.66%
1.08x
29.25
GWRE131.81-8.21-5.86%
0.83x
12.15
VRDN17.54-1.21-6.45%
2.36x
1.45
REX47.86-3.27-6.40%
0.69x
1.69
YSWY26.32-1.84-6.55%
0.33x
0.87
MPC246.54-13.97-5.36%
0.80x
74.37
FANG195.08-11.10-5.38%
0.98x
60.11
AR36.90-2.23-5.70%
0.77x
12.25
GTE8.76-0.63-6.71%
0.81x
0.34
EGAN7.35-0.54-6.84%
1.40x
0.22
QSR77.21-4.46-5.46%
2.24x
27.80
LDI1.40-0.09-6.38%
2.13x
0.82
DEC15.34-1.02-6.23%
0.88x
1.18
GRNT5.72-0.39-6.30%
0.64x
0.80
SOC13.40-0.86-6.00%
0.55x
2.20
ANL14.00-0.93-6.23%
0.31x
0.96
MFI10.10-0.69-6.39%
0.30x
0.55
INGM26.85-1.62-5.69%
7.26x
6.50
PR21.21-1.20-5.35%
1.14x
18.97
IHRT5.89-0.39-6.13%
0.84x
0.93
QTWO49.33-3.02-5.77%
0.37x
3.35
LYB73.65-4.11-5.29%
0.79x
24.54
LZ6.30-0.41-6.04%
1.05x
1.17
LITE944.54-50.02-5.03%
1.66x
69.70
SD14.50-0.96-6.21%
0.93x
0.59
VRSK170.98-9.47-5.25%
0.81x
23.41
RXST6.79-0.46-6.40%
1.94x
0.31
TALO14.99-0.92-5.75%
1.02x
2.70
OVV59.75-3.33-5.28%
1.64x
17.83
TRMD32.90-1.97-5.66%
1.82x
3.38
INR15.76-1.06-6.33%
0.92x
0.33
CRGY13.15-0.77-5.53%
0.88x
4.50
CHRD141.16-8.00-5.36%
0.88x
8.46
AGEN3.90-0.27-6.47%
1.27x
0.17
GTN.A11.20-0.70-5.88%
1.77x
1.08
TUSK2.52-0.17-6.51%
0.67x
0.12
PSX171.55-8.71-4.83%
0.64x
71.55
BVC10.26-0.62-5.66%
0.78x
1.74
CVRX7.03-0.47-6.27%
0.86x
0.21
CMRC2.88-0.19-6.19%
1.05x
0.25
IPI37.74-2.37-5.91%
0.71x
0.53
HAE52.59-3.03-5.45%
1.53x
2.57
CRAI153.06-9.21-5.68%
1.02x
1.05
OKE85.75-4.27-4.74%
1.06x
57.10
Pre-Market Gainers
Symbol Price Change Change % Market Cap ($B)
Pre-Market Losers
Symbol Price Change Change % Market Cap ($B)
Upcoming Economic Events

Date Impact Title Forecast Previous
2026-05-07 Low Challenger Job Cuts y/y -78.0%
2026-05-07 Medium Unemployment Claims 205K 189K
2026-05-07 Low Prelim Nonfarm Productivity q/q 0.7% 2.8%
2026-05-07 Low Prelim Unit Labor Costs q/q 2.6% 2.8%
2026-05-07 Low Construction Spending m/m -0.3%
2026-05-07 Low Natural Gas Storage 72B 79B
2026-05-07 Low FOMC Member Hammack Speaks
2026-05-07 Low Consumer Credit m/m 12.5B 9.5B
2026-05-07 Low FOMC Member Williams Speaks
2026-05-07 Low FOMC Member Kashkari Speaks
2026-05-07 Low FOMC Member Kashkari Speaks
2026-05-07 Low Challenger Job Cuts y/y -78.0%
2026-05-08 Low FOMC Member Cook Speaks
2026-05-08 High Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.3% 0.2%
2026-05-08 High Non-Farm Employment Change 65K 178K
2026-05-08 High Unemployment Rate 4.3% 4.3%
2026-05-08 Medium Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment 49.7 47.6
2026-05-08 Medium Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations 4.8%
2026-05-08 Low Final Wholesale Inventories m/m 1.4% 1.4%
2026-05-08 Low FOMC Member Waller Speaks
2026-05-08 Low FOMC Member Bowman Speaks
2026-05-08 Low FOMC Member Daly Speaks
2026-05-08 Low FOMC Member Goolsbee Speaks
Upcoming Earnings
Date Time Symbol Exp Move % Exp Move $ Fiscal Qtr EPS Forecast Last Year EPS # Estimates Market Cap
Rates

Name Rate 1 Day 14 Day 30 Day Last Changed Last Updated
3-Month3.610.022026-05-012026-05-04
4-Week3.6-0.01-0.032026-05-012026-05-04
1-Year3.620.050.130.092026-05-012026-05-04
6-Month3.610.030.050.012026-05-012026-05-04
2-Year3.950.070.240.162026-05-012026-05-04
5-Year4.080.060.240.142026-05-012026-05-04
10-Year4.450.050.190.142026-05-012026-05-04
30-Year5.020.040.140.142026-05-012026-05-04
10-Year Minus 2-Year0.5-0.02-0.012026-05-012026-05-05
Federal Funds3.642025-12-102026-05-04
Federal Funds Target Upper3.752025-12-102026-05-06
30Y Jumbo Fixed Mortgage6.461-0.032026-05-042026-05-05
15Y Fixed Mortgage5.640.06-0.01-0.112026-04-232026-04-30
30Y Fixed Mortgage6.30.07-0.082026-04-232026-04-30
Credit Card Interest21.00.030.03-0.392025-11-012026-02-01
Fed Watch (/ZQ Fed Funds futures)
Full curve →

Market-implied probabilities from /ZQ futures. Current EFFR estimate: 3.67%.

Jun 17, 2026
/ZQM26 · implied 3.58%
-9 bp
25bp cut
37%
Hold
63%
Jul 29, 2026
/ZQN26 · implied 3.60%
+2 bp
Hold
91%
25bp hike
9%
Sep 16, 2026
/ZQU26 · implied 3.58%
-2 bp
25bp cut
9%
Hold
91%
Kalshi vs /ZQ Divergences (top mispricings)
All divergences →

Scanning Fed decision markets for mispricings...

Top Poll
Donald Trump 247 polls
Latest: May 5, 2026
Approve 41.0% · Disapprove 55.0%
n=2,512 · Adults · May 5, 2026
Approve 44.0% · Disapprove 55.0%
n=1,891 · Likely Voters · May 5, 2026
Favorable 44.0% · Unfavorable 52.0%
n=1,891 · Likely Voters · May 5, 2026
Approve 40.0% · Disapprove 58.0%
n=1,409 · Registered Voters · May 4, 2026
Approve 36.0% · Disapprove 58.0%
n=1,573 · Adults · May 4, 2026

View all polls

Latest from the Blog
All Posts
Ten Empirically-Grounded Prediction Market Trading Strategies
2026-04-14

A technical survey of ten research-backed strategies for trading prediction markets, spanning favourite-longshot bias, cross-platform arbitrage, LP underwriting, combinatorial arbitrage, and dynamic hedging.

prediction-marketstrading-strategiespolymarketkalshiarbitragehedgingmarket-microstructure