Frenzy Capital — Live Market Snapshot & Analysis
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AI Market Analysis
📊 Market Overview
The market is running two contradictory scripts simultaneously, and today's action reveals which narrative is actually winning. Intel's beat and whispers of Iran peace talks have lifted the Nasdaq to fresh records, with mega-cap tech and semiconductors leading a genuine risk-on impulse. But look beneath the surface: the Dow is underwater, small caps are in correction territory, and oil's retreat masks deeper anxiety about Middle East escalation that still hasn't fully resolved. This is a narrow rally being powered by earnings relief in the magnificent few, not broad-based conviction. The VIX collapse suggests complacency, but that's the comfort of capital fleeing anything that doesn't have a moat—a dangerous tell when geopolitical noise can flip sentiment in hours. Call it risk-on for insiders, risk-off for everyone else.
The money flow screams defensiveness despite the headline momentum. Financials, industrials, and consumer staples are all getting hammered while rate futures rally hard—the curve is flattening and yields are falling, which is exactly what you'd see if institutions were hedging tail risk rather than celebrating a clean macro picture. Energy's slide despite Iran tensions and the pound strengthening while the dollar flatlines tells us traders are pricing in a slowdown scenario where geopolitical premiums get arbitraged out and growth concerns resurface. The cross-asset divergence is stark: tech rallies while credit spaces widen, bonds rally while equities make highs. This isn't a healthy breakout; it's a squeeze in the most crowded trades with nervous positioning underneath. When the Russell is already in correction while the Nasdaq hits all-time highs, the market is screaming that liquidity is pooling in the largest caps—a setup that punishes breadth at the first real shock.
🚀 Notable Movers
- INTC surged 23% after delivering a blowout Q1 earnings beat with $13.58B in revenue and strong forward guidance, igniting a historic 17-day winning streak in semiconductors.
- NVDA gained 4.2% as the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index logged its first-ever 17 consecutive green sessions, with the SOX up 42% this month—the largest monthly gain since the dot-com boom of 2000.
- ARM jumped 14.3% as Intel's AI chip dominance spilled over to rival designers, signaling robust demand across the entire semiconductor ecosystem feeding agentic AI infrastructure buildouts.
- QCOM rallied 11.5% on Intel's blowout results and renewed risk-on appetite for chip stocks, as AI data center demand drives margin expansion across the sector.
- TSM climbed 4.8% alongside the broader semiconductor rally, with investors betting TSMC will capture significant foundry demand as Intel and AMD compete to fill fabs with agentic AI chips.
- SAP rose 7.2% after Germany signaled an exit from stagnation with 2026 GDP growth forecasts of 1.0–1.4%, putting Europe's largest software exporter back on growth investors' watchlists.
- NVO gained 7% as Hims & Hers announced expanded GLP-1 treatment access through independent pharmacies, signaling a shift to lower-cost alternatives that could reshape competitive dynamics in weight loss therapeutics.
- KLAC advanced 6.3% as semiconductor equipment makers benefit from Intel's guidance, which implies accelerated fab utilization and record capex spending on AI chip manufacturing tools.
- CMCSA crashed 12.7% after losing 711,000 broadband subscribers last year and now trades at just 8x earnings, underperforming as the market rotates from cyclical telecom into high-flying AI and semiconductors.
- HCA dropped 9.1% on mixed Q1 volume trends, including a 1.7% decline in same-facility outpatient surgeries, as the hospital operator faces persistent staffing and capacity pressures during a soft respiratory season.
- DE fell 5.1% despite Caterpillar's acquisition of Monarch Tractor signaling AI-driven automation in agriculture, as industrial cyclicals lag during a tech-dominated rally concentrated in mega-cap chip stocks.
- BSX declined 5.5% amid multiple shareholder class action lawsuits with May 4 lead plaintiff deadlines, signaling litigation overhang and loss of investor confidence in the medical device maker.
- RKLB dropped 6.0% as SpaceX's anticipated IPO threatens to overshadow smaller launch providers, despite Rocket Lab's operational progress on JAXA missions.
- CRWV fell 6.5% after surging on AI infrastructure hype, now facing valuation normalization as investors rotate gains from niche AI infrastructure plays into mega-cap semiconductor giants with proven earnings.
- SNOW declined 4.2% due to multiple securities class action lawsuits filed with April 27 deadlines, coupled with rotation out of high-multiple cloud stocks into faster-growing semiconductor and AI chip names.
- EBAY slipped 5.1% as e-commerce lags during a technology rally dominated by semiconductors and AI infrastructure, with secular headwinds in the auction marketplace continuing to weigh on sentiment.
- LHX fell 3.8% as defense stocks underperformed amid Iran ceasefire optimism easing geopolitical risk premiums, while tech investors rotated into higher-growth chip and AI infrastructure plays.
⚠️ Risks & Opportunities
• The mega-cap/small-cap divergence is unsustainable—Nasdaq futures up 1.86% while Russell 2000 corrects signals rotation risk, and tomorrow's Trump speech could catalyze a violent shift if he signals protectionism or rate policy shifts.
• Iran geopolitical premium is collapsing (WTI down 1.18%, Brent still +0.69%) despite headlines, indicating markets have already priced in de-escalation; if talks genuinely restart, energy and defensives get hammered hard and tech re-rates higher.
• The 10-30Y yield curve steepening (+15-19 bps across long bonds) while real rates collapse tells us bond markets are pricing Fed cuts but not believing them—this is a crowded long equities, short duration trade vulnerable to a hawkish surprise from Powell's successor Kevin Warsh.
• Intel's earnings beat is masking breadth deterioration—software stocks plunging, financials and industrials rolling over, Russell 2000 in correction, yet NDX making all-time highs screams concentration risk; any disappointment from Magnificent Seven earnings next week triggers 5-8% S&P 500 drawdown.
• VIX at 18.65 is dangerously complacent given 50+ basis points of curve steepening, geopolitical tail risk, and earnings season letdown; volatility sellers are crowded and one bad headline snaps this calm—short vol into strength.
• Gold down 0.8% despite flight-to-safety narratives and copper collapsing confirm risk-on domination, but copper's weakness (-0.87%) is the real warning sign that Chinese demand is softer than consensus believes, making growth stocks vulnerable if data disappoints post-sentiment revision.
📰 Referenced News Articles
S&P 500:
- S&P 500 rises as Intel soars, investors bet on Iran talks restarting: Live updates - CNBC - CNBC
- Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq retreat as software stocks plunge, oil surges on Iran war concerns - Yahoo Finance - Yahoo Finance
- Stock Market Today: Tech rally drives S&P 500 and Nasdaq to fresh intraday records as Intel surges after earnings beat; Dow declines 100 points as oil prices remain elevated; DOJ to end Fed's Powell inquiry - MarketWatch - MarketWatch
- Stock Market Today: Nasdaq Eyes New Highs As Magnificent Seven Earnings Loom (Live Coverage) - Investor's Business Daily - Investor's Business Daily
- Stock Market Today: Nasdaq, S&P 500 Set New All-Time Highs as Intel Soars; Oil Falls on US-Iran Peace Talks; DOJ Drops Probe of Fed Chair Powell - Investopedia - Investopedia
Dow Jones:
- Stock-Market Today: Nasdaq Opens Higher; Intel, TSCM in Focus — Live Updates - WSJ - WSJ
- Stock Market Today: Dow Falls As Iran Tensions Flare, Meta Slammed; Utility Breaks Out Again (Live Coverage) - Investor's Business Daily - Investor's Business Daily
- Earnings Season Was Supposed to Drive the Stock Market. Why It Hasn’t. - Barron's - Barron's
- Dow Jones Top Markets Headlines at 3 PM ET: Justice Department Will End Probe of Jerome Powell, Clearing Path for Kevin Warsh | April's ... - 富途牛牛 - 富途牛牛
- Dow Jones Industrial Average futures flat as Iran diplomacy wobbles, UoM sentiment beats - FXStreet - FXStreet
NASDAQ-100:
- UK stocks are beating Wall Street — but the Iran war is putting the winning streak at risk - CNBC - CNBC
- Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures pullback after all-time highs, Tesla slips after-hours - Yahoo Finance UK - Yahoo Finance UK
- U.S. stocks end lower as conflict in the Strait of Hormuz intensifies (COMP:IND:) - Seeking Alpha - Seeking Alpha
- Nasdaq Composite Succumbs to Selling Pressure amid Netflix and Tesla Tug-of-War - 24/7 Wall St. - 24/7 Wall St.
- The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Just Made History -- the Time to Be Fearful When Others Are Greedy Has Arrived - AOL.com - AOL.com
Russell 2000:
- FTSE Russell Index futures and options - CME Group - CME Group
- Small cap-focused Russell 2000 becomes first U.S. benchmark to enter correction territory - CNBC - CNBC
- How major US stock indexes fared Thursday 4/23/2026 - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos
- 3 Small-Cap Value ETFs Poised to Outperform in 2026 as Fed Rate Cuts Accelerate Returns - 24/7 Wall St. - 24/7 Wall St.
- Small-Cap Russell 2000 Index Enters A Correction - Yahoo Finance - Yahoo Finance
📰 Movers News
Gainers:
- NVDA: The Chip Stock Rally That Broke History: SOXX Notches Record 17-Day Win Streak - Benzinga
- AMZN: Two Markets In One—Chips And Oil Are Fighting - Benzinga
- TSM: Intel Earnings Blowout Raises Questions Around a 117x Forward P/E - Investing.com
- AMD: The Chip Stock Rally That Broke History: SOXX Notches Record 17-Day Win Streak - Benzinga
- INTC: Intel Earnings Blowout Raises Questions Around a 117x Forward P/E - Investing.com
- KLAC: This Industry Group Is the Most Positive About Q1 Earnings - The Motley Fool
- SAP: Germany's Improving Outlook: 3 Stocks To Watch - Benzinga
- ARM: AMD, Arm Stocks Ride Intel's Coattails After Blowout Q1 Report - Benzinga
- NVO: Hims & Hers Positions Itself As Supply Anchor In Hormone Therapy Crunch - Benzinga
- QCOM: Nasdaq 100 Marks Fresh Records, Intel Jumps 23% On AI Chip Mania: Stock Market Today - Benzinga
Losers:
- LLY: Deal Dispatch: QXO Nabs TopBuild For $17 Million, Voya Financial Urged To Evaluate Strategic Options, Pat McGrath Exits Chapter 11 - Benzinga
- DE: Caterpillar Turns To Self-Driving Tractors: What Buying The 'Tesla Of Agriculture' Could Mean - Benzinga
- HCA: Hospital Operator HCA Healthcare Flags Soft Respiratory Season As Volumes Lag - Benzinga
- CMCSA: Nasdaq 100 Marks Fresh Records, Intel Jumps 23% On AI Chip Mania: Stock Market Today - Benzinga
- BSX: BSX DEADLINE: ROSEN, TRUSTED INVESTOR COUNSEL, Encourages Boston Scientific Corporation Investors to Secure Counsel Before Important May 4 Deadline in Securities Class Action - BSX - GlobeNewswire Inc.
- LHX: Could This Chinese Competitor Derail Joby's and Archer Aviation's Plans and Tank Their Stocks? - The Motley Fool
- CRWV: The Best Artificial Intelligence (AI) Growth Stocks on the Nasdaq That Wall Street Loves Right Now - The Motley Fool
- SNOW: Slalom Builds Momentum with 2026 Tech Trends, Future of Marketing Solution, Strategic Partner Milestones, and Community Investments - GlobeNewswire Inc.
- RKLB: The SpaceX IPO Is Coming. These Are the Stocks That Stand to Profit Most. - The Motley Fool
- EBAY: This Niche E‑Commerce Stock Has Been Cut in Half Since 2023 -- Here's Why It's About to Go Parabolic - The Motley Fool
Sector Performance
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Options Flow Sentiment
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Movers — Apr 24, 2026
Top Gainers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Rel Volume | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|
Biggest Losers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Rel Volume | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|
Pre-Market Gainers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MXL | 54.20 | +19.95 | +58.25% | 3.02 |
| CAST | 2.29 | +0.61 | +36.31% | 0.11 |
| INTC | 82.68 | +15.90 | +23.81% | 332.69 |
| OGN | 10.89 | +2.29 | +26.69% | 2.30 |
| WKC | 28.90 | +5.36 | +22.77% | 1.21 |
| PDFS | 53.19 | +9.33 | +21.27% | 1.74 |
| POET | 13.53 | +1.81 | +15.44% | 1.57 |
| CHE | 435.00 | +52.03 | +13.59% | 5.01 |
| AMD | 338.92 | +33.59 | +11.00% | 463.82 |
| XNDU | 32.53 | +3.68 | +12.76% | 6.84 |
| QCOM | 147.20 | +13.25 | +9.89% | 144.64 |
| ARM | 221.44 | +16.83 | +8.23% | 186.37 |
| ELVR | 85.00 | +7.71 | +9.98% | 1.23 |
| SAP | 176.18 | +12.93 | +7.92% | 206.00 |
| LOT | 1.48 | +0.13 | +9.63% | 0.92 |
| APPF | 165.71 | +13.41 | +8.80% | 5.69 |
| RMBS | 150.16 | +11.66 | +8.42% | 14.11 |
| APOG | 39.00 | +3.41 | +9.58% | 0.77 |
| SXT | 108.00 | +8.77 | +8.84% | 4.16 |
| SES | 1.33 | +0.11 | +9.02% | 0.42 |
| UVE | 38.18 | +3.00 | +8.53% | 0.95 |
| SPT | 6.10 | +0.50 | +8.92% | 0.36 |
| PRLD | 4.79 | +0.39 | +8.87% | 0.29 |
| NTHI | 5.22 | +0.43 | +8.98% | 0.13 |
| AMKR | 77.97 | +5.06 | +6.94% | 17.40 |
| INDI | 3.70 | +0.27 | +7.87% | 0.71 |
| KEEL | 3.48 | +0.24 | +7.41% | 1.69 |
| ARLO | 15.16 | +0.99 | +6.99% | 1.58 |
| OKLO | 81.29 | +4.83 | +6.32% | 10.87 |
| ANIK | 16.59 | +1.17 | +7.59% | 0.20 |
| KOP | 41.38 | +2.73 | +7.06% | 0.73 |
| CMPS | 9.77 | +0.62 | +6.78% | 1.25 |
| SDA | 1.60 | +0.11 | +7.38% | 0.16 |
| LSCC | 125.00 | +6.99 | +5.92% | 16.02 |
| AOSL | 42.52 | +2.64 | +6.62% | 1.16 |
| GNTX | 24.45 | +1.42 | +6.17% | 4.86 |
| AFYA | 15.28 | +0.93 | +6.48% | 1.43 |
| ASX | 31.44 | +1.63 | +5.47% | 64.84 |
| ALMU | 20.00 | +1.29 | +6.89% | 0.31 |
| EMA | 55.31 | +2.99 | +5.71% | 15.82 |
| AAPG | 23.70 | +1.36 | +6.09% | 2.39 |
| GFS | 64.88 | +3.34 | +5.43% | 32.53 |
| CTEV | 21.65 | +1.35 | +6.65% | 0.36 |
| LZM | 4.92 | +0.28 | +6.03% | 0.47 |
| SHMD | 6.62 | +0.38 | +6.07% | 0.34 |
| ATOM | 6.57 | +0.38 | +6.14% | 0.26 |
| TRAX | 20.10 | +1.10 | +5.79% | 0.59 |
| CAN | 0.53 | +0.03 | +5.84% | 0.39 |
| TTD | 23.74 | +1.12 | +4.95% | 10.91 |
| BLND | 1.47 | +0.08 | +5.76% | 0.41 |
| KLIC | 89.00 | +4.34 | +5.13% | 4.39 |
| CRML | 11.21 | +0.57 | +5.36% | 1.31 |
| INVZ | 0.66 | +0.04 | +6.00% | 0.14 |
| SGML | 21.21 | +1.05 | +5.20% | 2.37 |
| CINT | 4.40 | +0.23 | +5.52% | 0.61 |
| CSL | 380.99 | +17.29 | +4.75% | 14.62 |
| NUCL | 13.94 | +0.73 | +5.53% | 0.31 |
| LUD | 6.20 | +0.34 | +5.80% | 0.11 |
| PG | 151.61 | +5.90 | +4.05% | 330.75 |
| NVO | 40.11 | +1.59 | +4.13% | 174.84 |
| LGO | 1.32 | +0.07 | +5.60% | 0.12 |
| VECO | 52.56 | +2.39 | +4.76% | 2.89 |
| NEM | 115.57 | +4.51 | +4.06% | 118.04 |
| PFG | 101.17 | +4.17 | +4.30% | 20.72 |
| OUST | 27.67 | +1.26 | +4.77% | 1.73 |
| IMMX | 10.68 | +0.51 | +5.01% | 0.51 |
| USAR | 24.13 | +1.04 | +4.50% | 4.98 |
| TSM | 396.09 | +13.43 | +3.51% | 1909.01 |
| NBIS | 163.44 | +6.36 | +4.05% | 39.61 |
| LUNR | 28.75 | +1.19 | +4.32% | 4.43 |
| HIVE | 2.66 | +0.12 | +4.72% | 0.63 |
| CNCK | 1.94 | +0.09 | +4.86% | 0.27 |
| ONTO | 304.00 | +11.69 | +4.00% | 14.43 |
| BETR | 42.99 | +1.88 | +4.57% | 0.77 |
| ZLAB | 22.81 | +0.93 | +4.25% | 2.75 |
| AMSC | 48.14 | +1.99 | +4.31% | 2.00 |
| UNFI | 49.61 | +2.00 | +4.21% | 2.85 |
| DIOD | 104.50 | +4.10 | +4.08% | 4.46 |
| STM | 51.55 | +1.84 | +3.70% | 39.37 |
| IRS | 15.30 | +0.63 | +4.29% | 1.25 |
| IESC | 608.90 | +22.73 | +3.88% | 11.24 |
| EW | 82.63 | +2.91 | +3.65% | 45.96 |
| INTT | 18.00 | +0.80 | +4.65% | 0.20 |
| LUCD | 1.14 | +0.05 | +4.59% | 0.22 |
| BWAY | 16.43 | +0.68 | +4.34% | 0.61 |
| TONX | 2.47 | +0.11 | +4.66% | 0.13 |
| MNSO | 15.15 | +0.57 | +3.91% | 4.61 |
| PSIX | 81.43 | +3.20 | +4.09% | 1.74 |
| LANV | 1.62 | +0.07 | +4.52% | 0.19 |
| WOLF | 28.68 | +1.13 | +4.10% | 1.19 |
| ONCY | 1.14 | +0.05 | +4.59% | 0.13 |
| MU | 496.98 | +15.26 | +3.17% | 506.78 |
| TBI | 4.83 | +0.21 | +4.55% | 0.14 |
| TROX | 9.82 | +0.38 | +4.03% | 1.53 |
| LRCX | 266.81 | +8.25 | +3.19% | 322.64 |
| HIMS | 29.20 | +1.05 | +3.73% | 6.78 |
| TRON | 2.26 | +0.09 | +4.03% | 1.13 |
| WULF | 21.11 | +0.74 | +3.63% | 9.69 |
| WYFI | 17.41 | +0.69 | +4.13% | 0.61 |
| SMR | 13.20 | +0.48 | +3.77% | 3.78 |
| WATT | 24.45 | +1.04 | +4.42% | 0.13 |
| NNOX | 1.79 | +0.07 | +4.37% | 0.15 |
| GDS | 44.80 | +1.55 | +3.58% | 8.71 |
| FRST | 14.50 | +0.58 | +4.17% | 0.35 |
| ACLS | 145.00 | +5.14 | +3.68% | 4.09 |
| SHIM | 5.90 | +0.24 | +4.24% | 0.20 |
| NGL | 14.81 | +0.54 | +3.80% | 1.73 |
| LGN | 83.99 | +2.87 | +3.54% | 5.89 |
| MKSI | 290.00 | +9.44 | +3.36% | 18.43 |
| DRTS | 8.29 | +0.31 | +3.88% | 0.70 |
| GLOO | 7.75 | +0.29 | +3.89% | 0.61 |
| MDA | 34.02 | +1.16 | +3.53% | 4.66 |
| SMTC | 108.94 | +3.60 | +3.42% | 9.62 |
| ASML | 1458.91 | +41.11 | +2.90% | 562.31 |
| ICHR | 70.90 | +2.49 | +3.64% | 2.24 |
| CLS | 404.01 | +12.41 | +3.17% | 46.34 |
| SIGA | 4.71 | +0.18 | +3.97% | 0.32 |
| NKTX | 3.10 | +0.12 | +4.03% | 0.24 |
| SEER | 2.02 | +0.08 | +4.12% | 0.11 |
| PLAB | 52.25 | +1.77 | +3.51% | 2.92 |
| AMBA | 63.50 | +2.16 | +3.52% | 2.63 |
| AAOI | 142.25 | +4.52 | +3.28% | 11.70 |
| NPCE | 17.51 | +0.64 | +3.78% | 0.55 |
| CORZ | 21.51 | +0.70 | +3.36% | 6.55 |
| NVTS | 19.15 | +0.64 | +3.46% | 3.54 |
| COHU | 47.16 | +1.59 | +3.49% | 2.12 |
| GPRO | 1.34 | +0.05 | +3.88% | 0.23 |
| BTI | 58.95 | +1.67 | +2.92% | 118.69 |
| FORM | 153.13 | +4.76 | +3.21% | 11.07 |
| MRAM | 13.10 | +0.48 | +3.80% | 0.29 |
| ALXO | 1.65 | +0.06 | +3.83% | 0.23 |
| GNLX | 2.62 | +0.10 | +3.97% | 0.11 |
| DDI | 9.11 | +0.32 | +3.70% | 0.44 |
| CRWV | 120.88 | +3.46 | +2.95% | 61.59 |
| AIP | 25.16 | +0.85 | +3.50% | 1.07 |
| NAVN | 16.00 | +0.51 | +3.29% | 3.87 |
| SMCI | 27.57 | +0.82 | +3.07% | 17.07 |
| TDUP | 4.34 | +0.15 | +3.58% | 0.55 |
| ENTG | 153.82 | +4.49 | +3.01% | 22.38 |
| ATEC | 10.55 | +0.34 | +3.38% | 1.59 |
| APLD | 37.48 | +1.13 | +3.11% | 8.95 |
| QSI | 0.98 | +0.03 | +3.70% | 0.21 |
| NKLR | 7.99 | +0.27 | +3.48% | 0.70 |
| NOK | 10.62 | +0.29 | +2.86% | 58.06 |
| ALGM | 44.96 | +1.35 | +3.10% | 7.65 |
| CEVA | 25.49 | +0.85 | +3.45% | 0.69 |
| RXT | 1.76 | +0.06 | +3.53% | 0.35 |
| MRVL | 170.00 | +4.44 | +2.68% | 132.31 |
| NAUT | 2.67 | +0.09 | +3.49% | 0.35 |
| VNET | 9.12 | +0.28 | +3.17% | 2.47 |
| BKR | 66.27 | +1.78 | +2.76% | 59.75 |
| DUOT | 8.82 | +0.30 | +3.52% | 0.25 |
| XPEV | 16.36 | +0.46 | +2.89% | 16.45 |
| CLSK | 12.61 | +0.38 | +3.11% | 2.94 |
| FWDI | 4.82 | +0.16 | +3.43% | 0.36 |
| VIAV | 47.50 | +1.35 | +2.93% | 10.24 |
| HMH | 20.87 | +0.66 | +3.27% | 0.89 |
| REKR | 0.87 | +0.03 | +3.61% | 0.12 |
| WDAY | 117.84 | +3.17 | +2.76% | 33.20 |
| PII | 61.22 | +1.81 | +3.05% | 3.48 |
| SNPS | 468.93 | +12.08 | +2.64% | 89.57 |
| IREN | 53.50 | +1.48 | +2.85% | 14.99 |
| IE | 14.00 | +0.42 | +3.09% | 2.26 |
| MGTX | 9.62 | +0.30 | +3.22% | 0.94 |
| GLPI | 47.97 | +1.33 | +2.85% | 13.28 |
| CGEN | 3.02 | +0.10 | +3.42% | 0.27 |
| AEHR | 98.42 | +2.91 | +3.05% | 2.95 |
| CIG.C | 3.61 | +0.10 | +2.85% | 11.03 |
| LEU | 226.12 | +6.54 | +2.98% | 3.77 |
| ACMR | 55.60 | +1.61 | +2.98% | 3.37 |
| PENG | 28.46 | +0.85 | +3.10% | 1.42 |
| OBIO | 4.29 | +0.14 | +3.37% | 0.25 |
| WRBY | 23.13 | +0.67 | +2.98% | 3.08 |
| RILY | 7.96 | +0.26 | +3.36% | 0.27 |
| BAND | 23.68 | +0.73 | +3.18% | 0.76 |
| MSTR | 176.96 | +4.49 | +2.60% | 57.21 |
| AMAT | 413.75 | +9.84 | +2.44% | 312.94 |
| MP | 65.08 | +1.76 | +2.78% | 11.68 |
| KLAC | 1859.94 | +44.51 | +2.45% | 234.02 |
| LAW | 4.07 | +0.13 | +3.30% | 0.27 |
| GFI | 45.11 | +1.15 | +2.61% | 40.76 |
| PKX | 70.06 | +1.83 | +2.68% | 20.91 |
| JMIA | 7.35 | +0.22 | +3.09% | 0.94 |
| INR | 16.43 | +0.52 | +3.27% | 0.29 |
| UCTT | 80.49 | +2.25 | +2.88% | 3.53 |
| VPG | 59.58 | +1.79 | +3.10% | 0.72 |
| AXTI | 77.41 | +2.14 | +2.84% | 4.17 |
| VLN | 1.70 | +0.05 | +3.32% | 0.16 |
| ASPI | 5.60 | +0.17 | +3.08% | 0.64 |
| ZH | 3.57 | +0.11 | +3.18% | 0.32 |
| NNE | 26.08 | +0.75 | +2.96% | 1.24 |
| PURR | 6.15 | +0.18 | +3.02% | 0.70 |
| FPS | 35.55 | +0.93 | +2.69% | 8.31 |
| SIMO | 145.89 | +3.89 | +2.74% | 4.84 |
| KLTR | 1.29 | +0.04 | +3.20% | 0.19 |
| BTDR | 12.50 | +0.34 | +2.80% | 2.94 |
| MTZ | 392.50 | +9.62 | +2.51% | 29.28 |
| USAU | 16.88 | +0.51 | +3.12% | 0.27 |
| MATX | 174.95 | +4.59 | +2.69% | 5.19 |
| CSIQ | 15.10 | +0.43 | +2.93% | 0.84 |
Pre-Market Losers
| Symbol | Price | Change | Change % | Market Cap ($B) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STNE | 12.25 | -2.30 | -15.81% | 3.79 |
| COUR | 5.17 | -0.80 | -13.40% | 1.08 |
| WU | 8.30 | -1.03 | -11.04% | 2.99 |
| UDMY | 4.19 | -0.54 | -11.42% | 0.74 |
| HCA | 434.70 | -39.33 | -8.30% | 105.34 |
| TMCR | 13.27 | -1.12 | -7.79% | 0.79 |
| KMTS | 21.00 | -1.72 | -7.57% | 1.35 |
| IRDM | 38.04 | -2.89 | -7.06% | 4.54 |
| BYD | 82.99 | -6.16 | -6.91% | 6.58 |
| LX | 2.13 | -0.18 | -7.79% | 0.39 |
| PNFP | 92.78 | -6.30 | -6.36% | 14.64 |
| THC | 177.00 | -11.33 | -6.02% | 16.25 |
| ACDC | 6.90 | -0.45 | -6.12% | 1.18 |
| ROMA | 5.30 | -0.33 | -5.86% | 0.34 |
| SKYW | 87.97 | -4.78 | -5.15% | 3.79 |
| BGIN | 3.48 | -0.21 | -5.69% | 0.36 |
| OABI | 1.47 | -0.09 | -5.72% | 0.21 |
| EVO | 3.06 | -0.17 | -5.26% | 1.15 |
| LI | 17.82 | -0.83 | -4.45% | 18.92 |
| UHS | 173.22 | -7.96 | -4.39% | 10.90 |
| EFXT | 23.73 | -1.15 | -4.62% | 2.82 |
| SUPX | 9.30 | -0.50 | -5.10% | 0.36 |
| MOV | 26.97 | -1.40 | -4.93% | 0.64 |
| REPL | 2.70 | -0.15 | -5.26% | 0.15 |
| RAIL | 8.38 | -0.46 | -5.16% | 0.17 |
| AMR | 190.02 | -8.89 | -4.47% | 2.64 |
| OBT | 34.00 | -1.64 | -4.60% | 0.47 |
| BLMN | 6.10 | -0.29 | -4.54% | 0.55 |
| BATL | 3.84 | -0.20 | -4.95% | 0.10 |
| LBRDK | 54.23 | -2.24 | -3.97% | 8.09 |
| REI | 1.46 | -0.07 | -4.54% | 0.30 |
| CHTR | 233.00 | -8.78 | -3.63% | 30.16 |
| BW | 15.03 | -0.63 | -4.02% | 2.18 |
| SA | 29.00 | -1.18 | -3.91% | 3.31 |
| KC | 16.30 | -0.64 | -3.78% | 5.20 |
| TOYO | 11.92 | -0.52 | -4.18% | 0.50 |
| MPLT | 28.00 | -1.11 | -3.81% | 1.17 |
| BNAI | 30.00 | -1.30 | -4.15% | 0.19 |
| JLHL | 9.18 | -0.38 | -3.97% | 0.21 |
| IFS | 44.24 | -1.55 | -3.39% | 5.30 |
| ZURA | 5.32 | -0.20 | -3.62% | 0.50 |
| SLS | 4.48 | -0.16 | -3.45% | 0.90 |
| CTW | 2.29 | -0.09 | -3.78% | 0.15 |
| CLB | 16.47 | -0.58 | -3.40% | 0.77 |
| AFJK | 43.40 | -1.60 | -3.56% | 0.25 |
| HIG | 135.71 | -3.90 | -2.79% | 38.27 |
| SPH | 18.84 | -0.63 | -3.24% | 1.26 |
| NICM | 6.10 | -0.23 | -3.63% | 0.12 |
| INFY | 12.60 | -0.34 | -2.63% | 56.94 |
| WBTN | 11.51 | -0.36 | -3.03% | 1.64 |
| TLK | 16.75 | -0.47 | -2.73% | 17.26 |
| MAKO | 7.43 | -0.24 | -3.12% | 0.67 |
| PBR.A | 18.86 | -0.47 | -2.43% | 124.12 |
| ANL | 14.46 | -0.45 | -3.02% | 0.85 |
| NINE | 8.80 | -0.30 | -3.30% | 0.12 |
| SLM | 22.80 | -0.62 | -2.65% | 4.52 |
| EPM | 4.65 | -0.15 | -3.12% | 0.14 |
| TATT | 37.56 | -1.13 | -2.92% | 0.47 |
| LCUT | 6.41 | -0.20 | -3.03% | 0.15 |
| ANNA | 4.22 | -0.13 | -2.99% | 0.19 |
| DMLP | 27.94 | -0.76 | -2.63% | 1.36 |
| VET | 12.14 | -0.32 | -2.58% | 1.84 |
| CGAU | 18.20 | -0.46 | -2.44% | 3.65 |
| BK | 132.62 | -2.80 | -2.07% | 94.67 |
| CMCSA | 30.99 | -0.65 | -2.05% | 104.52 |
| LLY | 900.33 | -17.32 | -1.89% | 806.72 |
| RYDE | 1.44 | -0.04 | -2.70% | 0.18 |
| MRCY | 77.10 | -1.81 | -2.29% | 5.00 |
| XFOR | 4.17 | -0.11 | -2.57% | 0.38 |
| VG | 12.68 | -0.27 | -2.10% | 30.01 |
| CF | 122.96 | -2.63 | -2.09% | 18.64 |
| MGNX | 3.10 | -0.08 | -2.52% | 0.22 |
| AMTB | 23.44 | -0.56 | -2.33% | 0.95 |
| PBR | 20.87 | -0.40 | -1.88% | 136.30 |
| PUMP | 16.45 | -0.38 | -2.26% | 1.85 |
| CTVA | 78.08 | -1.55 | -1.94% | 53.94 |
| FDS | 223.35 | -4.73 | -2.07% | 8.76 |
| CRBG | 26.00 | -0.54 | -2.03% | 12.00 |
| CMCL | 24.02 | -0.58 | -2.36% | 0.47 |
| VRA | 3.89 | -0.10 | -2.51% | 0.11 |
| TM | 192.62 | -3.46 | -1.76% | 265.84 |
| AZN | 188.94 | -3.36 | -1.75% | 303.62 |
| NAT | 5.33 | -0.12 | -2.20% | 1.23 |
| ORIC | 10.20 | -0.23 | -2.21% | 1.19 |
| LMRI | 9.20 | -0.21 | -2.23% | 0.90 |
| DMRA | 24.87 | -0.55 | -2.16% | 1.62 |
| KNSL | 341.00 | -6.80 | -1.96% | 8.27 |
| SUZ | 9.17 | -0.18 | -1.93% | 11.72 |
| WLFC | 185.99 | -4.01 | -2.11% | 1.30 |
| ALB | 189.58 | -3.56 | -1.84% | 23.39 |
| EMBC | 8.95 | -0.20 | -2.19% | 0.54 |
| IPSC | 2.21 | -0.05 | -2.21% | 0.41 |
| DKNG | 21.75 | -0.42 | -1.89% | 11.40 |
| PGEN | 3.88 | -0.08 | -2.06% | 1.41 |
| SY | 2.64 | -0.06 | -2.22% | 0.28 |
| APTV | 59.30 | -1.11 | -1.84% | 12.96 |
| BLDP | 3.31 | -0.07 | -2.07% | 0.93 |
| SSNC | 68.79 | -1.27 | -1.81% | 17.20 |
| KOS | 2.81 | -0.06 | -2.01% | 1.57 |
| AMPY | 5.76 | -0.13 | -2.21% | 0.23 |
| AESI | 15.79 | -0.32 | -1.99% | 1.83 |
| BORR | 5.46 | -0.11 | -1.97% | 1.69 |
| BGSI | 117.00 | -2.28 | -1.91% | 3.36 |
| KNTK | 47.20 | -0.92 | -1.91% | 3.23 |
| ADAG | 3.66 | -0.08 | -2.14% | 0.25 |
| LB | 68.31 | -1.35 | -1.94% | 1.86 |
| CTGO | 21.55 | -0.45 | -2.02% | 0.68 |
| HELE | 23.33 | -0.49 | -2.06% | 0.47 |
| SNOW | 143.99 | -2.41 | -1.65% | 52.15 |
| AGRO | 13.02 | -0.25 | -1.88% | 1.92 |
| TLYS | 4.18 | -0.09 | -2.11% | 0.15 |
| CGNT | 9.27 | -0.18 | -1.89% | 0.73 |
| EC | 14.20 | -0.23 | -1.59% | 29.09 |
| ESLT | 839.00 | -13.34 | -1.57% | 40.37 |
| PPG | 108.54 | -1.75 | -1.59% | 24.82 |
| TSCO | 37.56 | -0.61 | -1.60% | 20.81 |
| SLQT | 0.82 | -0.02 | -2.02% | 0.13 |
| PRTH | 5.18 | -0.10 | -1.89% | 0.43 |
| PROF | 6.62 | -0.13 | -1.93% | 0.25 |
| NERV | 6.70 | -0.13 | -1.90% | 0.30 |
| ALVO | 3.32 | -0.06 | -1.78% | 1.10 |
| WTI | 3.73 | -0.07 | -1.84% | 0.48 |
| ORA | 111.76 | -1.84 | -1.62% | 6.65 |
| SGMO | 0.25 | -0.01 | -1.96% | 0.11 |
| SNN | 31.43 | -0.49 | -1.54% | 14.02 |
| FLWS | 3.71 | -0.07 | -1.85% | 0.26 |
| HKD | 1.66 | -0.03 | -1.78% | 0.54 |
| LYB | 69.67 | -1.05 | -1.48% | 23.05 |
| AMLX | 17.03 | -0.29 | -1.65% | 1.94 |
| NRDS | 10.28 | -0.18 | -1.72% | 0.72 |
| ACHC | 26.90 | -0.44 | -1.61% | 2.53 |
| SRAD | 12.70 | -0.20 | -1.55% | 4.98 |
| RRC | 42.00 | -0.64 | -1.50% | 9.81 |
| LBRDA | 55.56 | -0.85 | -1.51% | 8.09 |
| BDN | 2.88 | -0.05 | -1.71% | 0.51 |
| BGC | 11.17 | -0.17 | -1.50% | 5.40 |
| CVX | 185.26 | -2.34 | -1.25% | 370.45 |
| EIX | 69.38 | -0.96 | -1.36% | 26.84 |
| OVV | 55.79 | -0.79 | -1.40% | 15.56 |
| MAIR | 33.76 | -0.48 | -1.39% | 16.94 |
| OKE | 86.07 | -1.14 | -1.31% | 53.36 |
| USPH | 73.60 | -1.16 | -1.55% | 1.14 |
| DOO | 55.14 | -0.81 | -1.45% | 4.36 |
| GILD | 131.98 | -1.66 | -1.24% | 165.44 |
| OLED | 96.37 | -1.41 | -1.44% | 4.66 |
| TWST | 58.00 | -0.85 | -1.44% | 3.84 |
| EBC | 20.22 | -0.29 | -1.41% | 4.53 |
| ONON | 35.73 | -0.49 | -1.35% | 12.16 |
| FLG | 14.15 | -0.20 | -1.39% | 5.99 |
| PODD | 189.63 | -2.58 | -1.34% | 13.32 |
| CRMD | 7.22 | -0.11 | -1.55% | 0.58 |
| PTLO | 6.29 | -0.10 | -1.56% | 0.45 |
| CERS | 1.87 | -0.03 | -1.58% | 0.37 |
| RERE | 4.60 | -0.07 | -1.50% | 1.05 |
| SW | 39.99 | -0.53 | -1.31% | 21.61 |
| JNJ | 228.00 | -2.65 | -1.15% | 544.73 |
| NYXH | 3.01 | -0.05 | -1.63% | 0.14 |
| MRK | 113.30 | -1.32 | -1.15% | 278.01 |
| ABBV | 198.66 | -2.29 | -1.14% | 362.81 |
| MDLZ | 57.01 | -0.70 | -1.21% | 72.04 |
| HXL | 90.10 | -1.22 | -1.34% | 6.57 |
| MKC | 51.22 | -0.67 | -1.29% | 13.97 |
| CNQ | 44.89 | -0.54 | -1.19% | 92.40 |
| ACAD | 21.81 | -0.30 | -1.36% | 3.72 |
| CNTB | 2.48 | -0.04 | -1.59% | 0.15 |
| CSCO | 87.60 | -0.99 | -1.12% | 354.31 |
| CGTX | 1.24 | -0.02 | -1.59% | 0.10 |
| EAT | 141.99 | -1.86 | -1.29% | 6.43 |
| CI | 276.46 | -3.26 | -1.17% | 72.95 |
| LBRT | 31.90 | -0.42 | -1.30% | 4.59 |
| SONY | 20.26 | -0.23 | -1.12% | 122.76 |
| NVS | 145.88 | -1.60 | -1.08% | 282.35 |
| MA | 497.04 | -5.34 | -1.06% | 456.03 |
| GLND | 7.20 | -0.11 | -1.50% | 0.16 |
| COP | 123.00 | -1.37 | -1.10% | 146.58 |
| CIEN | 510.02 | -5.83 | -1.13% | 71.54 |
| INCY | 94.34 | -1.13 | -1.18% | 19.15 |
| DHI | 162.36 | -1.86 | -1.13% | 46.99 |
| ARLP | 24.91 | -0.32 | -1.27% | 3.19 |
| RES | 7.60 | -0.10 | -1.30% | 1.62 |
| KRRO | 13.40 | -0.20 | -1.43% | 0.19 |
| ITRG | 2.92 | -0.04 | -1.35% | 0.61 |
| HUBS | 212.17 | -2.52 | -1.18% | 12.15 |
| ASH | 56.10 | -0.71 | -1.25% | 2.62 |
| BBWI | 20.25 | -0.25 | -1.22% | 4.12 |
| TXRH | 158.57 | -1.87 | -1.16% | 10.61 |
| GD | 315.31 | -3.40 | -1.07% | 88.17 |
| BUSE | 26.19 | -0.33 | -1.24% | 2.25 |
| BHRB | 63.67 | -0.83 | -1.29% | 0.97 |
| NSC | 318.01 | -3.43 | -1.07% | 67.85 |
| ADNT | 21.40 | -0.27 | -1.25% | 1.71 |
| EFSI | 38.75 | -0.54 | -1.37% | 0.21 |
| CCCC | 2.93 | -0.04 | -1.35% | 0.30 |
| ALLO | 2.32 | -0.03 | -1.28% | 0.80 |
| VTEX | 3.86 | -0.05 | -1.28% | 0.75 |
| VIST | 69.49 | -0.81 | -1.15% | 7.08 |
| EGY | 6.14 | -0.08 | -1.29% | 0.62 |
| NEXT | 7.34 | -0.09 | -1.21% | 1.99 |
| SUNB | 75.53 | -0.82 | -1.07% | 29.17 |
| ERIC | 11.20 | -0.12 | -1.06% | 38.53 |
Upcoming Economic Events
| Date | Impact | Title | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Medium | President Trump Speaks |
Upcoming Earnings
| Date | Time | Symbol | Name | Fiscal Qtr | EPS Forecast | Last Year EPS | # Estimates | Market Cap | Price | Exp Move $ | Exp Move % |
|---|
Rates
| Name | Rate | 1 Day | 14 Day | 30 Day | Last Changed | Last Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Month | 3.6 | -0.02 | -0.02 | -0.03 | 2026-04-20 | 2026-04-22 |
| 4-Week | 3.58 | -0.02 | -0.01 | -0.04 | 2026-04-20 | 2026-04-22 |
| 1-Year | 3.54 | 0.04 | 0.01 | -0.11 | 2026-04-20 | 2026-04-22 |
| 6-Month | 3.59 | -0.01 | -0.04 | 2026-04-21 | 2026-04-22 | |
| 2-Year | 3.79 | 0.07 | -0.02 | -0.09 | 2026-04-21 | 2026-04-22 |
| 5-Year | 3.91 | 0.05 | -0.04 | -0.1 | 2026-04-20 | 2026-04-22 |
| 10-Year | 4.3 | 0.04 | -0.03 | -0.09 | 2026-04-20 | 2026-04-22 |
| 30-Year | 4.9 | 0.02 | -0.06 | 2026-04-21 | 2026-04-22 | |
| 10-Year Minus 2-Year | 0.51 | 0.02 | 2026-04-21 | 2026-04-23 | ||
| Federal Funds | 3.64 | 2025-12-10 | 2026-04-22 | |||
| Federal Funds Target Upper | 3.75 | 2025-12-10 | 2026-04-24 | |||
| 30Y Jumbo Fixed Mortgage | 6.394 | 0.01 | -0.16 | -0.12 | 2026-04-22 | 2026-04-23 |
| 15Y Fixed Mortgage | 5.58 | -0.07 | -0.16 | 0.04 | 2026-04-16 | 2026-04-23 |
| 30Y Fixed Mortgage | 6.23 | -0.07 | -0.14 | 0.01 | 2026-04-16 | 2026-04-23 |
| Credit Card Interest | 21.0 | 0.03 | 0.03 | -0.39 | 2025-11-01 | 2026-02-01 |
Fed Watch (/ZQ Fed Funds futures)
Full curve →
Market-implied probabilities from /ZQ futures. Current EFFR estimate: 3.67%.
Apr 29, 2026
/ZQJ26 · implied 3.65%
-2 bp
25bp cut
10%
Hold
90%
Jun 17, 2026
/ZQM26 · implied 3.63%
-1 bp
25bp cut
5%
Hold
95%
Jul 29, 2026
/ZQN26 · implied 3.60%
-3 bp
25bp cut
11%
Hold
89%
Kalshi vs /ZQ Divergences (top mispricings)
All divergences →
Scanning Fed decision markets for mispricings...
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Ten Empirically-Grounded Prediction Market Trading Strategies
2026-04-14
A technical survey of ten research-backed strategies for trading prediction markets, spanning favourite-longshot bias, cross-platform arbitrage, LP underwriting, combinatorial arbitrage, and dynamic hedging.
prediction-marketstrading-strategiespolymarketkalshiarbitragehedgingmarket-microstructure