SPX S&P 500

Index 7659.41 Delayed

Index quote, intraday chart, technicals, and constituent breakdown. Expected move IV rank history Fibonacci levels

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.

SPX $7659.41 —
Key stats
$7659.41
52-Week Range
$6316.91 – $7844.52
YTD
+11.68%
IV Rank (30D)
41.41
Straddle Price
$252.30
P/C Vol Ratio
1.43
Open
$7745.32
Day Range
$7631.77 – $7756.84
Prev Close
$7744.06
About

S&P 500 (SPX) INDEX

Capitalization-weighted index of 500 leading US large-cap companies — the primary benchmark for the US stock market.

Summary
—
composite
—
No summary data available for this symbol yet.

Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.

Chart
Seasonality
Month'21'22'23'24'25'26Avg
Jan0.37%-5.86%6.60%2.17%2.93%1.17%1.23%
Feb0.99%-3.80%-3.62%3.87%-0.67%-1.40%-0.77%
Mar1.82%5.21%4.00%2.28%-4.07%-5.13%0.68%
Apr4.01%-9.11%1.09%-3.97%-1.14%9.64%0.09%
May0.27%-0.56%0.29%5.16%5.49%4.84%2.58%
Jun2.27%-7.70%5.43%3.35%4.53%-1.32%1.09%
Jul1.74%7.97%2.99%0.86%2.28%0.09%2.65%
Aug3.09%-3.97%-1.51%3.70%3.56%1.13%1.00%
Sep-4.79%-9.61%-5.04%4.22%4.25%0.26%-1.78%
Oct5.70%5.26%-2.21%-0.06%1.92%-0.09%*1.75%
Nov-1.01%5.81%7.79%5.30%-0.04%--3.57%
Dec5.61%-5.82%3.81%-2.74%0.48%--0.27%
Total21.47%-21.86%20.38%26.39%20.86%8.84%12.68%
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Trend Indicators

SMA 20: $7739.24
SMA 50: $7705.64
SMA 200: $7284.67
Current: $7659.44
EMA 12: $7740.62
EMA 26: $7722.80
MACD: 17.8243 | Signal: -8.2400
BULLISH
ADX (14): 11.31
RANGE
+DI: 19.96
−DI: 32.24

Momentum Oscillators

RSI (14): 44.01
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 39.83
Stoch %D: 57.16
Williams %R: -81.27

Volume & Volatility

BB Upper: $7846.81
BB Lower: $7631.67
NEUTRAL
OBV: 0
Vol SMA 20: 0
Vol ROC: —
ATR: $69.71
True Range: $125.07
HV 20: 10.5%
HV 30: 10.1%
HV 60: 10.9%

Data Summary

Data Points: 500
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2024-10-24T00:00:00 – 2026-10-16T00:00:00
AI Analysis

S&P 500 Index (SPX) - Comprehensive Stock Analysis Report


Executive Summary

Overall Assessment: NEUTRAL with Confidence Level: 6/10

The S&P 500 is trading in a range-bound consolidation phase with conflicting technical and sentiment signals. While short-term momentum shows modest bullish setup (MACD histogram +10.04, RSI neutral at 49.46), the ADX reading of 10.46 confirms a weak directional regime with no strong trend conviction. The options market is pricing elevated downside hedging (Put/Call ratio 1.86), suggesting institutional caution despite neutral technical positioning.

Investment Thesis: SPX is at an inflection point where the broad market lacks directional conviction. While all major moving averages remain positively aligned (price above all MAs with 200-SMA support at $7236.71), the range-bound ADX and elevated put positioning indicate accumulation/distribution dynamics rather than sustained directional momentum.

Key Drivers:

  • Positive: Constructive MA alignment, bullish MACD histogram crossover, neutral RSI (not yet overbought)
  • Primary Risks: Weak ADX (range regime), inverted DI (-DI 29.98 > +DI 24.17), elevated put hedging, IV premium at +138% suggesting tail-risk pricing

Technical Analysis

Trend Direction

Short-Term (1-4 weeks): NEUTRAL → SLIGHTLY BULLISH

  • Price at $7666.45 sits $3.40 ABOVE the SMA 20 ($7669.85), indicating minor upside bias
  • EMA 12 ($7679.66) > EMA 26 ($7672.45) confirms nascent bullish crossover structure
  • However, ADX of 10.46 indicates this is a weak trend in a range environment, not a conviction move

Medium-Term (1-3 months): BULLISH

  • Price $8.45 above SMA 50 ($7658.00) and $429.74 above SMA 200 ($7236.71)
  • 200-SMA provides solid structural support, indicating uptrend remains intact
  • Distance from 50-SMA suggests healthy medium-term positioning without exhaustion

Long-Term (3-12 months): BULLISH

  • $7236.71 200-SMA support established well below current price represents 4.6% downside buffer
  • Moving averages in perfect bullish alignment (price > EMA12 > EMA26 > SMA50 > SMA200)

Support/Resistance Levels

| Level | Type | Distance | Implication | |-------|------|----------|-------------| | $7782.52 | Resistance (BB Upper) | +$116.07 (+1.51%) | Overbought threshold; options pricing $237 move | | $7669.85 | Dynamic Support (SMA 20) | $3.40 below | Immediate support; MA crossover point | | $7658.00 | Support (SMA 50) | -$8.45 (-0.11%) | Short-term consolidation floor | | $7557.17 | Support (BB Lower) | -$109.28 (-1.43%) | Bollinger Band extreme; mean reversion target | | $7236.71 | Major Support (SMA 200) | -$429.74 (-5.61%) | Primary structural support; strong downside floor |

Momentum Signals

RSI (14): 49.46 — NEUTRAL

  • Reading between 30-70 indicates no overbought or oversold extremes
  • This is neither a strength nor weakness—market has room to run in either direction
  • Not yet in sell-signal territory (which would require >70)

MACD: 7.21 (MACD Line) / -2.83 (Signal Line) / 10.04 (Histogram) — BULLISH

  • MACD line (+7.21) is ABOVE signal line (-2.83) = bullish crossover structure
  • Histogram of +10.04 is positive and expanding, confirming upside momentum continuation
  • This is the strongest bullish technical signal in the dataset
  • However, absolute MACD values are modest, not showing extreme conviction

Stochastic Oscillator (%K: 56.55 / %D: 61.66) — NEUTRAL-TO-BULLISH

  • Both readings in neutral zone (neither overbought >80 nor oversold <20)
  • %D slightly above %K suggests minor momentum moderation but no reversal signal
  • Configuration suggests room for further upside before hitting overbought

Williams %R: -42.18 — NEUTRAL

  • Reading between 0 and -50 indicates mid-range positioning
  • No extreme overbought (>0) or oversold (<-80) condition
  • Consistent with neutral RSI reading

Bollinger Bands Analysis

  • Current Position: Price $7666.45 trades marginally below the middle band ($7669.85)
  • Width: 2.94% — Moderate bandwidth, not in squeeze (which would signal imminent breakout)
  • Signal Interpretation: NEUTRAL consolidation pattern
    • Not touching upper band ($7782.52) = not overbought
    • Not touching lower band ($7557.17) = not oversold
    • Sits in the middle third of the band range = equilibrium pricing
  • Implication: Market is pricing normally; no extreme compression or expansion anticipated

Volume Analysis

DATA QUALITY FLAG: Volume SMA (20), OBV, and Volume Rate of Change all report 0.00 or N/A, indicating either:

  • Data transmission issue for index-level volume metrics
  • Lack of volume data for broad-based index (SPX is price-weighted, not volume-weighted)
  • System error in data feed

Workaround Analysis Using Options Volume:

  • Call Volume: 12,915
  • Put Volume: 24,017
  • Put/Call Volume Ratio: 1.86 = BEARISH sentiment
  • Put volume is 86% HIGHER than call volume, indicating institutional hedging
  • This suggests portfolio protection positioning despite neutral technicals

Interpretation: The volume data incompleteness is a significant limitation. However, options flow shows net defensive positioning (more puts than calls), which conflicts with the bullish MACD signal. This divergence warrants caution.


Trend Strength Analysis (ADX/DMI)

ADX (14): 10.46 — WEAK TREND / RANGE REGIME

This is the most critical technical reading for SPX currently:

| ADX Range | Interpretation | Current | |-----------|---|---| | 0-25 | Weak/No Trend | ✓ 10.46 HERE | | 25-50 | Moderate Trend | — | | >50 | Strong Trend | — |

Directional Movement Index:

  • +DI (Upward Pressure): 24.17
  • -DI (Downward Pressure): 29.98
  • Differential: -DI exceeds +DI by 5.81 points

Critical Finding: Despite positive MACD and bullish MA alignment, the +DI < -DI configuration reveals that downward pressures are currently stronger than upward pressures. Combined with ADX 10.46 (weakest trend regime), this indicates:

  • Market lacks directional conviction
  • Price action is choppy consolidation, not trending
  • Recent MACD bullish crossover lacks momentum follow-through from buyers

Reconciliation of Signals:

  • MACD bullish = short-term momentum turning up
  • ADX weak + -DI > +DI = overall trend structure is neutral-to-downward
  • This suggests potential false bullish signal if -DI doesn't weaken relative to +DI

News & Sentiment Analysis

Recent Headlines Summary

No recent news available — This is a significant data quality limitation for analysis.

Data Quality Flag: The absence of recent news headlines prevents assessment of:

  • Earnings announcements or guidance changes
  • Federal Reserve policy signals or rate decision impacts
  • Geopolitical developments (conflicts, trade tensions)
  • Economic data releases (jobs, inflation, GDP)
  • Corporate earnings season trends
  • Market breadth or sector rotation narratives

Impact: Without news context, analysis cannot identify what triggered the current technical positioning or what catalysts might break the consolidation range.

Sentiment Assessment

**INFERRED SENTIMENT: CAUT

Generated
News

SPX Options Activity & IV Rank

SPX IV rank history, 52-week IV rank and IV percentile →

Volatility Metrics

Current IV: 14.3%
7-DTE IV: 14.1%
Expected Move: $252.30
7-DTE Move: $119.95
Days to Exp: 31 (2026-11-16)

Options Flow

Call Volume: 2,226
Put Volume: 3,184
P/C Volume: 1.43
BEARISH
Call OI: 2,942
Put OI: 6,344
P/C OI: 2.156
Total OI: 9,286

ATM Options Pricing

ATM Call: $133.20
ATM Put: $119.10
Call %: 1.7%
Put %: 1.6%

Chain Summary

Chain Volume: 7,474,053
Chain OI: 24,877,058
Last Updated: 10/16/2026
Spread Scanner GPU

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.

Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.

Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Metric:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol points

How much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.

  • Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
  • Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
  • Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
  • Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each side

Which side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.

  • Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
  • Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
  • Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
  • Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together

Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:

  • High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
  • Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
  • Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d 97%
+9.2 pts EXTREME
as of Oct 16 · ATM 14.4% / Wing 23.6%
30 DTE / 10d 96%
+9.8 pts EXTREME
as of Oct 16 · ATM 14.2% / Wing 24.0%

Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.

Volatility Surface

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.

Volatility Smile

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.

IV Rank (7 DTE)42.0MediumOct 16
IV Rank (30 DTE)41.4MediumOct 16
Straddle Price (30 DTE)$252.30Oct 16
Beta Analysis

Risk Metrics

Beta: 0.9941
Alpha: 0.12%
Correlation: 0.9950
R-Squared: 99.0%
Stock Volatility: 12.8%
Market Volatility: 12.8%

Analysis Details

Benchmark: SPY
Data Points: 247
Period: 252 trading days
Interpretation:
Moderate volatility - stock generally follows market
Beta & Alpha Over Time

SPX Institutional Ownership (13F)

Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.

  • Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
  • Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
  • % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
  • Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.

Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.

# Filer Shares Value % of Total % of Float Period
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
ETF Holders
# ETF Provider Weight $ Exposure ETF AUM As Of
Fundamentals

Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.

Metrics
  • Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
  • Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
  • Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
  • Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
  • Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
  • YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
  • Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
  • Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.

TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.