Prediction markets settling today & this week

Every Kalshi and Polymarket question that resolves in the next seven days, grouped by day: the favorite, its odds and how much is riding on it.

updated
Settling today
71
events still open, excluding sports
Next 7 days
244
events resolving
24h volume
$8.9M
across everything settling this week

Today · Tuesday, October 6

71 events · $3.6M 24h
EventFavorite / 50-50 lineOdds24h volSettles
S&P price on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
K Markets & Companies · 31 outcomes
≈ 7,825 or above 55% $162K
Nasdaq-100 price on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
K Markets & Companies · 47 outcomes
≈ 31,280 or above 47% $105K
S&P price range on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
K Markets & Companies · 9 outcomes
7,825 to 7,849.9999 56% $41K
(Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Oct 6, 2026 at 4pm EDT
K Markets & Companies · 32 outcomes
≈ At least $51,550 43% $27K
BTC price on Oct 6, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
K Crypto · 38 outcomes
≈ $85,500 or above 55% $1.4M
ETH price range on Oct 6, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
K Crypto · 4 outcomes
$2,660 to 2,699.99 92% $92K
Gold price on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
K Markets & Companies · 22 outcomes
≈ Above $4176 26% $76K
BTC price range on Oct 6, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
K Crypto · 16 outcomes
$85,500 to 85,749.99 36% $53K
ETH price on Oct 6, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
K Crypto · 6 outcomes
≈ $2,700 or above 8% $47K
Copper price on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
K Markets & Companies · 25 outcomes
≈ Above $6.64 62% $40K
Natural gas price on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
K Markets & Companies · 35 outcomes
≈ Above $3.125 49% $30K
Brent crude oil price on October 06, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
K Markets & Companies · 20 outcomes
≈ Above $101 38% $29K
Shiba Inu price range on Oct 6, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
K Crypto · 15 outcomes
$0.0000055 to 0.000005999 96% $25K
# of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
P Culture & Media · 7 outcomes
125M+ 100% $24K
Dancing with the Stars · Episode 5 Elimination
K Culture & Media · 12 outcomes
Jackson Olson 42% $99K
US gas prices tomorrow
K Economy & Fed · 17 outcomes
≈ Above 4.3700 52% $94K
Florida gas prices tomorrow
K Economy & Fed · 26 outcomes
≈ Above 4.2000 50% $63K
Ohio gas prices tomorrow
K Economy & Fed · 10 outcomes
Above 3.7450 50% $43K
EV commodity prices on Oct 6, 2026
K Economy & Fed · 15 outcomes
≈ Above 1194.52 62% $43K
Colorado gas prices tomorrow
K Economy & Fed · 5 outcomes
≈ Above 4.0750 58% $42K
New Jersey gas prices tomorrow
K Economy & Fed · 14 outcomes
≈ Above 4.2800 59% $40K
South Carolina gas prices tomorrow
K Economy & Fed · 8 outcomes
≈ Above 4.0600 91% $33K
Virginia gas prices tomorrow
K Economy & Fed · 6 outcomes
≈ Above 4.1350 92% $29K
Connecticut gas prices tomorrow
K Economy & Fed · 6 outcomes
Above 4.4100 94% $28K
Oregon gas prices tomorrow
K Economy & Fed · 9 outcomes
≈ Above 5.0600 10% $27K
California gas prices tomorrow
K Economy & Fed · 13 outcomes
≈ Above 6.3600 56% $25K
Nevada gas prices tomorrow
K Economy & Fed · 9 outcomes
≈ Above 5.4800 34% $21K
North Carolina gas prices tomorrow
K Economy & Fed · 10 outcomes
≈ Above 4.1300 46% $19K
Indiana gas prices tomorrow
K Economy & Fed · 4 outcomes
≈ Above 3.7500 28% $19K
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 6, 2026
K Culture & Media · 15 outcomes
Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 2: nUsrYVxrDwI] 44% $17K

41 more settle today — smaller markets and other strikes in the same recurring series (hourly crypto brackets, daily temperatures).

Tomorrow · Wednesday, October 7

91 events · $3.1M 24h
EventFavorite / 50-50 lineOdds24h volSettles
What price will Bitcoin hit on October 6?
P Crypto · 16 outcomes
↑ 86,000 100% $178K
What price will Ethereum hit on October 6?
P Crypto · 13 outcomes
≈ ↓ 2,650 14% $30K
Where will it rain on Oct 6, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 30 outcomes
≈ Miami 43% $232K
Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 6, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 6 outcomes
89° to 90° 97% $99K
Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 6, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 6 outcomes
62° or below 94% $84K
Highest temperature in Atlanta on Oct 6, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 6 outcomes
78° to 79° 84% $25K
Diesel prices tomorrow
K Economy & Fed · 21 outcomes
≈ Above $6.300 58% $57K
Highest temperature in Austin on Oct 6, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 6 outcomes
90° or above 93% $43K
Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 6, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 6 outcomes
74° to 75° 93% $36K
Highest temperature in Dallas on Oct 6, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 6 outcomes
87° or above 82% $23K
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 6, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 6 outcomes
94° to 95° 100% $614K
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 6, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 6 outcomes
80° or below 78% $23K
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 6, 2026
K Tech & AI · 8 outcomes
Above 50.4% 73% $22K
Bitcoin above ___ on October 7?
P Crypto · 11 outcomes
≈ 86,000 32% $298K
Elon Musk # tweets October 5 - October 7, 2026?
P Culture & Media · 10 outcomes
<40 78% $160K
Ethereum above ___ on October 7?
P Crypto · 11 outcomes
≈ 2,700 34% $107K
Bitcoin price on October 7?
P Crypto · 10 outcomes
84,000-86,000 58% $26K
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 7, 2026?
K Politics & Elections · 9 outcomes
38.5% 32% $31K
Gemini App Downloads in September
K Markets & Companies · 20 outcomes
≈ Above 350 10% $39K
Chipotle Foot Traffic in September
K Markets & Companies · 12 outcomes
≈ Above 106.5 2% $38K
Nobel Chemistry Prize Winner 2026
P Culture & Media · 27 outcomes
≈ Shankar Balasubramanian 16% $36K
Cava Foot Traffic in September
K Markets & Companies · 13 outcomes
≈ Above 98 6% $33K
Disney+ App Downloads in September
K Markets & Companies · 15 outcomes
≈ Above 95 14% $32K
Dutch Bros Foot Traffic in September
K Markets & Companies · 13 outcomes
≈ Above 108 97% $30K
Hulu App Downloads in September
K Markets & Companies · 14 outcomes
≈ Above 89 98% $29K
Paramount+ App Downloads in September
K Markets & Companies · 14 outcomes
≈ Above 97 4% $28K
Instacart App Downloads in September
K Markets & Companies · 12 outcomes
≈ Above 126 98% $27K
Costco Foot Traffic in September
K Markets & Companies · 11 outcomes
≈ Above 95.5 93% $24K
McDonald's Foot Traffic in September
K Markets & Companies · 12 outcomes
≈ Above 96 54% $23K
DoorDash App Downloads in September
K Markets & Companies · 9 outcomes
≈ Above 103 96% $21K

61 more settle this day — smaller markets and other strikes in the same recurring series (hourly crypto brackets, daily temperatures).

Thursday

25 events · $137K 24h
EventFavorite / 50-50 lineOdds24h volSettles
Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 7, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 6 outcomes
66° to 67° 48% $6K
Highest temperature in Atlanta on Oct 7, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 6 outcomes
79° to 80° 50% $2K
Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 7, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 6 outcomes
89° to 90° 48% $2K
Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Oct 7, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 6 outcomes
71° to 72° 52% $2K
Highest temperature in Boston on Oct 7, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 6 outcomes
67° to 68° 51% $2K
Highest temperature in Washington DC on Oct 7, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 6 outcomes
72° to 73° 56% $1K
Highest temperature in Dallas on Oct 7, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 6 outcomes
87° to 88° 52% $3K
Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 7, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 6 outcomes
78° to 79° 48% $3K
Highest temperature in Austin on Oct 7, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 6 outcomes
91° to 92° 46% $3K
Highest temperature in Oklahoma City on Oct 7, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 6 outcomes
89° to 90° 40% $2K
Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 7, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 6 outcomes
74° to 75° 56% $2K
Highest temperature in New Orleans on Oct 7, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 6 outcomes
85° to 86° 60% $2K
Highest temperature in San Antonio on Oct 7, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 6 outcomes
89° to 90° 60% $1K
Highest temperature in Houston on Oct 7, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 6 outcomes
91° to 92° 48% $1K
Highest temperature in Phoenix on Oct 7, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 6 outcomes
101° to 102° 46% $2K
Highest temperature in Denver on Oct 7, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 6 outcomes
84° to 85° 42% $2K
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 7, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 6 outcomes
91° or above 38% $11K
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 7, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 6 outcomes
76° or below 50% $4K
Highest temperature in Seattle on Oct 7, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 5 outcomes
67° to 68° 32% $1K
Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Oct 7, 2026?
K Weather & Climate · 6 outcomes
97° to 98° 64% $1K
Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 3, 2026
K Economy & Fed · 9 outcomes
≈ At least 225,000 49% $3K
30-year mortgage rate this week
K Economy & Fed · 10 outcomes
≈ Above 7.38% 60% $4K
Bitcoin above ___ on October 8?
P Crypto · 11 outcomes
≈ 86,000 40% $46K
Ethereum above ___ on October 8?
P Crypto · 11 outcomes
≈ 2,700 38% $23K
When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
K Tech & AI · 6 outcomes
≈ Before Nov 13, 2026 15% $7K

Friday

27 events · $919K 24h
EventFavorite / 50-50 lineOdds24h volSettles
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 9, 2026?
K Politics & Elections · 7 outcomes
James Talarico 86% $6K
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (10/2-10/9)
K Politics & Elections · 1 outcome
Yes 32% $3K
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (10/2-10/9)?
K Politics & Elections · 1 outcome
Yes 21% $2K
Trump's approval rating on Oct 9, 2026?
K Politics & Elections · 8 outcomes
38.2 to 38.4 30% $10K
Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026?
P Culture & Media · 26 outcomes
180-199 30% $544K
Bitcoin above ___ on October 9?
P Crypto · 11 outcomes
≈ 86,000 40% $17K
Ethereum above ___ on October 9?
P Crypto · 11 outcomes
≈ 2,700 43% $5K
Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 9, 2026?
K Markets & Companies · 19 outcomes
$89.00 to $89.99 11% $6K
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 9, 2026?
K Markets & Companies · 14 outcomes
≈ 5.27% or above 46% $3K
NVIDIA H100 · Hourly price on Oct 09 (Week 41)
K Markets & Companies · 9 outcomes
≈ Above $2.75 56% $4K
S&P price range on Oct 9, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
K Markets & Companies · 15 outcomes
7,825 to 7,849.9999 15% $2K
BTC price on Oct 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
K Crypto · 47 outcomes
≈ $85,500 or above 50% $189K
Brent crude oil price on October 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
K Markets & Companies · 15 outcomes
≈ Above $99.99 52% $34K
ETH price on Oct 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
K Crypto · 15 outcomes
≈ $2,670 or above 57% $25K
Natural gas price on October 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
K Markets & Companies · 9 outcomes
≈ Above $3.099 53% $19K
BTC price range on Oct 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
K Crypto · 24 outcomes
$85,500 to 85,999.99 10% $12K
BNB price on Oct 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
K Crypto · 27 outcomes
≈ $785 or above 45% $4K
Gold price on October 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
K Markets & Companies · 13 outcomes
≈ Above $4161.99 55% $3K
Dogecoin price on Oct 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
K Crypto · 19 outcomes
≈ $0.095 or above 38% $2K
USDCAD price on Oct 09 at 5:00 PM EDT
K Markets & Companies · 12 outcomes
≈ Above 1.429 48% $2K
SOL price on Oct 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
K Crypto · 15 outcomes
≈ $120 or above 54% $2K
EURUSD price on Oct 09 at 5:00 PM EDT
K Markets & Companies · 15 outcomes
≈ Above 1.123 48% $1K
Silver price on October 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
K Markets & Companies · 8 outcomes
≈ Above $61.99 38% $1K
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
K Markets & Companies · 9 outcomes
≈ Before Dec 1, 2026 68% $8K
Taylor Swift: Top 4 spots on the Billboard Hot 100?
K Culture & Media · 1 outcome
Yes 0% $8K
Nobel Prize in Literature: 2026
K Tech & AI · 12 outcomes
≈ Cristina Rivera Garza 55% $5K
Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee
P Politics & Elections · 7 outcomes
Raphael Glucksmann 86% $2K

Saturday

3 events · $20K 24h
EventFavorite / 50-50 lineOdds24h volSettles
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/3-10/9)
K Politics & Elections · 7 outcomes
≈ At least 15 56% $5K
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Higher Brackets)
P Culture & Media · 5 outcomes
150M+ 99% $13K
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
P Culture & Media · 7 outcomes
100M+ 100% $1K

Sunday

12 events · $190K 24h
EventFavorite / 50-50 lineOdds24h volSettles
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)
K Politics & Elections · 10 outcomes
160-179 22% $13K
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (10/4 - 10/10)
K Politics & Elections · 1 outcome
Yes 16% $4K
How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/4-10/10)
K Politics & Elections · 4 outcomes
≈ At least 1 2% $29K
How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/4-10/10)
K Politics & Elections · 8 outcomes
≈ At least 5 60% $10K
QRÖMELIFE: First Week Album Equivalent Units
K Culture & Media · 14 outcomes
≈ Above 16K 80% $7K
US gas prices this week
K Economy & Fed · 21 outcomes
≈ Above 4.3200 54% $96K
OpenRouter token usage in Oct 5–11
K Tech & AI · 14 outcomes
≈ Above 166 T tokens 50% $15K
#1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Oct 17, 2026?
K Culture & Media · 7 outcomes
Patient Zero 88% $6K
France United Left Primary Winner
P Politics & Elections · 25 outcomes
Canceled 92% $2K
TSA avg check-ins from Oct 5 to 11, 2026?
K Economy & Fed · 15 outcomes
≈ Above 2.8 million 40% $2K

2 more settle this day — smaller markets and other strikes in the same recurring series (hourly crypto brackets, daily temperatures).

Monday

15 events · $1.0M 24h
EventFavorite / 50-50 lineOdds24h volSettles
What price will Bitcoin hit October 5-11?
P Crypto · 16 outcomes
≈ ↑ 88,000 44% $131K
What price will Ethereum hit October 5-11?
P Crypto · 15 outcomes
≈ ↓ 2,600 40% $74K
Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 10 - Oct 11)?
K Weather & Climate · 23 outcomes
≈ Newark 47% $5K
Diesel prices this week
K Economy & Fed · 18 outcomes
≈ Above $6.24 45% $16K
The Social Reckoning · Rotten Tomatoes score
K Culture & Media · 10 outcomes
≈ Above 55 49% $249K
DeepSeek market share this week
K Tech & AI · 9 outcomes
≈ Above 22.9% 50% $131K
OpenAI market share this week
K Tech & AI · 9 outcomes
≈ Above 18.1% 43% $84K
What will Trump say this week?
K Culture & Media · 33 outcomes
≈ Who are you with / Where are you from 50% $52K
Anthropic market share this week
K Tech & AI · 8 outcomes
≈ Above 2.7% 45% $48K
Z.ai market share this week
K Tech & AI · 8 outcomes
≈ Above 10.8% 50% $37K
Best AI this week
K Tech & AI · 9 outcomes
Gemini 80% $34K
Google market share this week
K Tech & AI · 8 outcomes
≈ Above 17.8% 64% $26K
Top AI model this week?
K Tech & AI · 5 outcomes
≈ claude-opus-5.5-high 2% $24K
Steam: Weekly Top Seller
K Culture & Media · 10 outcomes
≈ STAR WARS: Galactic Racer™ 43% $9K

1 more settles this day — smaller markets and other strikes in the same recurring series (hourly crypto brackets, daily temperatures).

About this list

When a market settles. A question closes to trading at the time shown, then the venue settles it from the official result — usually within minutes, sometimes a day or more for data releases and certified results.

What's left out. Sports, 15-minute crypto contracts, parlays and markets with under $1K traded in the last day. Recurring series such as hourly Bitcoin brackets or daily city temperatures show only their biggest contract each day.

Favorites vs. ladders. One-winner events show the favorite. For ladders ("above X?") we show the rung closest to 50/50, marked ≈. Days follow U.S. Eastern time; times are shown in yours.

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