What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 25%, implying a 25% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 08, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiCrypto

By Jul 8, 2027

Settles Jul 08, 2027 (257d) All outcomes: When will Bitcoin cross $130k? Live crypto prices

chance of YES25% -1.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

15–31%

· 7d -4 pts

24h volume

455

$1 contracts

Open interest

16.2K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.