Commerce.com, Inc. Series 1 Common Stock(CMRC)
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $1.95 – $5.54
- YTD
- -13.67%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 34.85
- Straddle Price
- $1.57
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 6.65
- Market Cap
- $0.3B
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 4.80% |
| Beta vs SPY | 0.93 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 9.44% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 7.93% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +3.4pp (IV − HV30) |
| Effective Tax Rate | 21.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | -1.8% |
| DCF Horizon | 10 years explicit + fade |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $0.0B |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | -11.2% |
| Book / Price | 20.6% |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 77.2% |
| FCF Margin (TTM) | 5.6% |
| Debt / Equity | 2.95 |
| Quality Score | 2/6 — normal (10y DCF) |
| Market-Implied Growth | +1.5% (reverse-DCF on current price) |
| SMA 50 | $2.71 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $2.37 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 1624.6% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $0.1B |
| Market Cap | $0B |
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | $2.31 | 48% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | n/a | 0% | |
| Peer P/E | n/a | 0% | median 46.6× · 8 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | $2.54 | 14% | median 14.5× · 8 peers |
| Peer P/B | $10.61 | 19% | median 16.8× · 7 peers |
| Peer P/S | $9.44 | 19% | median 2.2× · 8 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $2.71 | 0% | stability 0% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | n/a | 0% |
- Industry (SIC)
- SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE (7372)
- Exchange
- XNAS
- Market Cap
- $0.3B
Commerce.com Inc is engaged in offering a Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) e-commerce platform. The company's SaaS platform engages in the creation of online stores by delivering a combination of ease-of-use, enterprise functionality, and flexibility. It powers both the customers' branded ecommerce stores and their cross-channel connections to popular online marketplaces, social networks, and offline point-of-sale systems. The group operates in a single segment covering geographical areas of Americas-U.S.; Americas-other; EMEA; and APAC, of which the majority of its revenue is generated from Ameri…
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | -24.64% | 1 |
| Feb | -10.32% | 1 |
| Mar | -0.37% | 1 |
| Apr | +5.20% | 1 |
| May | +9.82% | 1 |
| Jun | -6.03% | 1 |
| Jul | +5.74% | 1 |
| Aug | -12.80% | 2 |
| Sep | +28.97% | 2 |
| Oct | -6.09% | 1 |
| Nov | +1.32% | 1 |
| Dec | -8.44% | 1 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
LLM Stock Analysis Report
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: NEUTRAL (Confidence Level: 6/10)
Key Drivers:
- Technical signals indicate overbought conditions, with RSI above 70.
- MACD is bearish, suggesting a potential reversal.
- Bollinger Bands are overbought, indicating a need for mean reversion.
Primary Risks:
- High volatility and beta (1.07) suggest amplified market movements.
- Options activity indicates bullish sentiment, but IV rank is relatively low.
Recent News Sentiment Impact: NEUTRAL
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction: Neutral to Bearish Short-term (1-4 weeks), Medium-term (1-3 months)
Support/Resistance Levels:
- SMA 20: $2.43
- SMA 50: $2.71
- Upper Bollinger Band: $3.04
Momentum Signals:
- RSI interpretation: Overbought (>70)
- MACD signal: Bearish (below signal line)
- Bollinger Bands position: Overbought (squeeze)
Volume Analysis: Volume is decreasing, indicating potential exhaustion.
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: Negative news sentiment from recent articles, with a focus on Commerce.com's Q2 results and the unsolicited proposal from Rezolve Ai.
Sentiment Assessment: NEUTRAL
Catalyst Identification: Earnings data is not available, but upcoming events could impact stock performance.
Market Narrative: News headlines contradict technical signals, suggesting potential mean reversion.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: High-risk stock with a beta of 1.07.
Volatility Regime: Above-average volatility.
Options Market Signals: IV rank is low, indicating relatively low volatility expectations. Put/call ratios suggest bullish sentiment.
Downside Protection: Support levels and risk management considerations:
- SMA 20: $2.43
- Lower Bollinger Band: $1.81
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: Commerce.com is a standalone stock, not part of a specific sector.
Institutional Activity: Volume patterns suggest institutional interest is moderate.
Correlation Analysis: Stock moves with market amplification (correlation: 0.19).
Relative Valuation: Position within trading range:
- Upper Bollinger Band: $3.04
- Lower Bollinger Band: $1.81
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- SMA 20: $2.43
- SMA 50: $2.71
- Upper Bollinger Band: $3.04
Breakout/Breakdown Levels:
- SMA 200: $3.10 (breakout above)
- Lower Bollinger Band: $1.81 (breakdown below)
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: Earnings data is not available, but upcoming events could impact stock performance.
Risk Management: Stop-loss levels and position sizing considerations:
- SMA 20: $2.43
- SMA 50: $2.71
Please note that this report provides an objective analysis of the provided data, without offering buy or sell recommendations.
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 | Pre-Market | 20.88% | 0.64% | 0.03x | Within |
| 2026-02-12 | Pre-Market | 23.77% | 10.13% | 0.43x | Within |
| 2026-05-07 | Pre-Market | 19.97% | 23.61% | 1.18x | Exceeded |
| 2026-08-06 | Pre-Market | 35.19% | 40.47% | 1.15x | Exceeded |
- IV Rank (30D)
- 34.85
- IV Rank (7D)
- 100
- Avg IV
- 171.5%
- Straddle (30D)
- $1.57
- Straddle (7D)
- $1.35
- P/C Volume
- 6.65
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 1.09
- Correlation (SPY)
- 18.9%
- R²
- 0.04
- Ann. Volatility
- 74.2%
- SPY Volatility
- 12.8%
Above average volatility - stock moves with market amplification
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian | $120.18K | 56.70% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian | $51.80K | 24.44% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $39.96K | 18.85% | 2026-06-30 |
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crawford Fund Management, LLC | $148.00K | 77.88% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $42.03K | 22.12% | 2026-06-30 |
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Daniel Lentz | CFO & COO | Sell (S) | −797 | $2.22 | -$1.8K | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-25 | Daniel Lentz | CFO & COO | Tax (F) | −1,724 | $2.22 | -$3.8K | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-25 | Charles D Cassidy | General Counsel and Secretary | Tax (F) | −406 | $2.22 | -$901 | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-25 | Christopher Travis Hess | Chief Exec Officer | Tax (F) | −3,448 | $2.22 | -$7.7K | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-25 | Hubert S Ban | Chief Accounting Officer | Tax (F) | −3,243 | $2.22 | -$7.2K | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-17 | Anil Kamath | Director | Award (A) | +3,836 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-17 | Sarah Gilligan | Director | Award (A) | +4,042 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-17 | Donald E Clarke | Director | Award (A) | +5,156 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-06 | Daniel Lentz | CFO & COO | Sell (S) | −1,544 | $2.96 | -$4.6K | EDGAR |
| 2026-07-02 | Daniel Lentz | CFO & COO | Tax (F) | −3,339 | $2.96 | -$9.9K | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-05 | Christopher Travis Hess | Chief Exec Officer | Tax (F) | −35,441 | $2.87 | -$101.7K | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-04 | Charles D Cassidy | General Counsel and Secretary | Tax (F) | −1,463 | $3.18 | -$4.7K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-28 | Daniel Lentz | CFO & COO | Sell (S) | −6,840 | $2.91 | -$19.9K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-26 | Hubert S Ban | Chief Accounting Officer | Tax (F) | −388 | $2.96 | -$1.1K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-26 | Christopher Travis Hess | Chief Exec Officer | Tax (F) | −3,448 | $2.96 | -$10.2K | EDGAR |
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christopher Travis Hess | Chief Exec Officer | 883,471 | $3.10M | $0 | 5 | 2026-08-25 |
| 2 | Daniel Lentz | CFO & COO | 472,741 | $1.66M | -$26.2K | 9 | 2026-08-26 |
| 3 | Russell Scott Klein | Chief Commercial Officer | 444,001 | $1.56M | -$450.2K | 1 | 2025-09-16 |
| 4 | Ellen F Siminoff | Executive Chair | 431,319 | $1.51M | $294.1K | 2 | 2026-02-19 |
| 5 | Donald E Clarke | Director | 224,903 | $788.3K | $0 | 5 | 2026-08-17 |
| 6 | Sarah Gilligan | Director | 191,314 | $670.6K | $0 | 5 | 2026-08-17 |
| 7 | Satish Malhotra | Director | 181,999 | $637.9K | $0 | 4 | 2026-05-18 |
| 8 | Charles D Cassidy | General Counsel and Secretary | 165,324 | $579.5K | $0 | 7 | 2026-08-25 |
| 9 | Anil Kamath | Director | 151,463 | $530.9K | $0 | 5 | 2026-08-17 |
| 10 | Hubert S Ban | Chief Accounting Officer | 80,994 | $283.9K | $0 | 6 | 2026-08-25 |
What is Form 144? A notice of intent to sell restricted or control stock under Rule 144. Affiliates (officers, directors, 10%+ owners) and holders of restricted shares must file Form 144 when planning to sell more than 5,000 shares or $50,000 in any 3-month rolling window.
How it relates to Form 4: Form 144 is filed before the trade (up to 90 days in advance); Form 4 is filed within 2 business days after the trade executes. Not every Form 144 results in a sale — the filer may cancel or delay. Look for the corresponding Form 4 on the Insider Activity card to confirm a sale actually happened.
10b5-1 plans: Trades made under a pre-scheduled Rule 10b5-1 plan are not discretionary — they execute automatically on dates set months earlier, regardless of news. High 10b5-1 percentages mean less per-filing signal value, though cumulative selling volume still matters.
"Notice value": Aggregate market value the filer wrote into the Form 144 — i.e. the size of the planned sale, not necessarily the executed dollars. Amendments (Form 144/A) and post-cancellation refilings can inflate this if you sum naively; the rollup above excludes filings with zero stated value.
Source & freshness: Sourced from public Form 144 filings. Refreshed daily; new filings typically appear here the morning after they are filed.
| Filed | Filer | Role | Shares | Notice Value | Planned Sale | Broker | Plan | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | DANIEL LENTZ | Officer | 797 | $1.8K | 2026-08-24 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
| 2026-07-01 | DANIEL LENTZ | Officer | 1,544 | $4.6K | 2026-07-01 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-26 | DANIEL LENTZ | Officer | 6,840 | $20.4K | 2026-05-26 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
| 2026-01-30 | RUSSELL S KLEIN | Officer | 29,640 | $91.3K | 2026-01-30 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-01-29 | RUSSELL S KLEIN | Officer | 55,000 | $168.8K | 2026-01-29 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-01-28 | RUSSELL S KLEIN | Officer | 20,954 | $65.7K | 2026-01-28 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-01-27 | RUSSELL S KLEIN | Officer | 53,000 | $167.9K | 2026-01-27 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-01-21 | RUSSELL S KLEIN | Officer | 108,800 | $364.5K | 2026-01-21 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-01-16 | RUSSELL S KLEIN | Officer | 21,200 | $81.0K | 2026-01-16 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| 2025-12-30 | RUSSELL KLEIN | Officer | 57,508 | $235.1K | 2025-12-30 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
| P/B Ratio | 4.9 |
| P/S Ratio | 0.7 |
| EV/EBITDA | 17.0 |
| TTM Revenue | $0.3B |
| TTM Net Income | $-0.0B |
| TTM EPS | $-0.07 |
| ROE | -11.2% |
| Debt/Equity | 3.03 |