The stock has been struggling this year as investors appear to be concerned about the risk that SpaceX poses.
SPCX Space Exploration Technologies Corp. Class A Common Stock
XNAS
146.91
Delayed
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Expected move IV rank history Fibonacci levels Insider trading
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
SPCX
$146.91
—
Key stats
$146.91
Pre-market
$147.70
+0.54%
- 52-Week Range
- $104.83 – $225.64
- YTD
- -8.72%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 10.83
- Straddle Price
- $17.57
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 0.34
- Market Cap
- $2003.1B
- Open
- $146.84
- Day Range
- $144.57 – $150.24
- Volume
- 103,912,302
- Prev Close
- $147.49
Fair Value
MODEL: SHORT
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 5.13% |
| Beta vs SPY | 1.00 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 10.13% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 5.26% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +48.9pp (IV − HV30) |
| Effective Tax Rate | 21.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | +3.0% |
| DCF Horizon | 5 years explicit + fade |
| Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM) | ×1.03 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S) |
| Debt / Equity | 0.20 |
| Quality Score | 1/6 — cyclical/struggling (5y DCF) |
| SMA 50 | $149.24 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $155.02 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 14.3% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $-15.1B |
Peers used for multiples: AAPL, AMD, AVGO, GOOGL, META, MSFT, NVDA, PLTR
60-Day Conviction
70%
20-Day Fair Value
≈ by Nov 24, 2026
$144.74
α -1.5%
rank 51%
conviction
76%
40-Day Fair Value
≈ by Dec 23, 2026
$143.77
α -2.1%
rank 51%
conviction
68%
60-Day Fair Value
≈ by Jan 21, 2027
$143.42
α -2.4%
rank 51%
conviction
70%
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | n/a | 0% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | $51.88 | 0% | |
| Peer P/E | n/a | 0% | median 34.2× · 8 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | n/a | 0% | median 27.9× · 8 peers |
| Peer P/B | n/a | 0% | median 13.9× · 8 peers |
| Peer P/S | n/a | 0% | median 14.3× · 8 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $149.24 | 61% | stability 78% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | $147.63 | 39% | 43 strikes · skew +0.05 |
As of 2026-10-26 · updated
Related
About
- Industry (SIC)
- SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC. (7370) · industry map
- Exchange
- XNAS
- Market Cap
- $2003.1B
- Employees
- 22,000
- List Date
- 2026-06-12
- CIK
- 0001181412
- Headquarters
- Starbase, TX
- Homepage
- https://www.spacex.com
Founded in 2002 and commonly known as SpaceX, the Space Exploration Technologies Corporation designs, manufactures, and operates a family of reusable rockets to launch various payloads into Earth orbit for government and commercial customers. Starting in 2019, the company began launching a constellation of its own communication satellites to provide mobile broadband and wireless services under the Starlink brand. In early 2026, the company acquired xAI from its founder, Elon Musk, which operates a large language artificial intelligence model named Grok, a gigawatt-scale data center called Colo…
Summary
—
composite
—
No summary data available for this symbol yet.
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
Chart
Seasonality
| Month | '26 | Avg |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | -- | -- |
| Feb | -- | -- |
| Mar | -- | -- |
| Apr | -- | -- |
| May | -- | -- |
| Jun | 6.16% | 6.16% |
| Jul | -31.25% | -31.25% |
| Aug | 25.46% | 25.46% |
| Sep | 6.07% | 6.07% |
| Oct | -0.79%* | -0.79% |
| Nov | -- | -- |
| Dec | -- | -- |
| Total | -3.64% | -3.64% |
* Only 1 year(s) of data available.
Technical Indicators
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
Trend Indicators
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
Volume & Volatility
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
SMA 20: $155.09
SMA 50: $149.38
SMA 200: —
Current: $146.90
EMA 12: $151.05
EMA 26: $151.76
MACD: -0.7153 | Signal: -1.6504
BULLISH
ADX (14): 19.03
RANGE
+DI: 26.64
−DI: 30.65
Momentum Oscillators
RSI (14): 45.93
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 16.97
Stoch %D: 24.12
Williams %R: -79.64
Volume & Volatility
BB Upper: $172.16
BB Lower: $138.03
NEUTRAL
OBV: 326,044,867
Vol SMA 20: 102,689,053
Vol ROC: 53.38%
ATR: $7.92
True Range: $5.67
HV 20: 66.3%
HV 30: 59.1%
HV 60: 72.7%
Data Summary
Data Points: 94
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2026-06-12T00:00:00 – 2026-10-26T00:00:00
AI Analysis
SPCX (SpaceX) Stock Analysis Report
Analysis Date: October 7, 2026
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: BULLISH with 7.5/10 confidence
Key Drivers:
- Strong technical momentum with price 10.2% above SMA20 and 18.8% above SMA50
- Bullish MACD crossover (histogram +3.85) with +DI significantly above -DI (33.65 vs 13.79)
- Positive news sentiment from analyst coverage and positive recent price action narrative
- Established uptrend confirmed by ADX reading of 28.60 (strong trend regime)
Primary Risks:
- Extremely high beta (3.13) creating substantial volatility and drawdown exposure
- Stochastic oscillators deeply overbought (%K: 85.46, %D: 83.97) suggesting near-term pullback risk
- Missing SMA200 data limits long-term trend confirmation
- Volume Rate of Change at -74.70% indicates weakening accumulation despite higher prices
Investment Thesis: SPCX exhibits strong intermediate-term momentum driven by positive sentiment and technical breakout characteristics. However, extreme overbought conditions and withdrawal of volume participation suggest caution for new entries. The 3.13 beta introduces significant portfolio risk that requires active management.
Recent News Sentiment Impact: Aggregate sentiment is POSITIVE-NEUTRAL (4 of 6 recent headlines positive/neutral). News coverage aligns with technical strength—articles highlighting strong September returns and analyst interest coincide with the current price strength. However, one explicit negative article ("Trillion-Dollar Stock I'd Buy Instead") provides contrarian perspective worth monitoring.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction
Short-term (1-4 weeks): BULLISH
- Price at $168.89 is 10.2% above SMA20 ($153.28)
- EMA 12 ($158.40) above EMA 26 ($152.59) with positive separation
- ADX (28.60) confirms strong trending environment
- +DI (33.65) substantially exceeds -DI (13.79), indicating directional strength
Medium-term (1-3 months): BULLISH with caution
- Price 18.8% above SMA50 ($142.30) suggests established uptrend
- MACD histogram (+3.85) remains positive but recent separation modest
- Volume deterioration (-74.70% RoC) suggests momentum may be plateauing
Long-term (3-12 months): INCONCLUSIVE
- SMA200 data unavailable—critical for long-term trend assessment
- Cannot confirm if current rally represents sustainable trend or correction within larger downtrend
- Data Quality Flag: Missing 200-day MA is significant gap in comprehensive trend analysis
Support/Resistance Levels
Critical Resistance Levels:
- Upper Bollinger Band: $169.33 — Price currently at $168.89, only $0.44 from upper band
- Previous High Implied: ~$172-175 (estimated from Stochastic %K at 85.46, suggesting proximity to recent swing high)
- Psychological Level: $170.00 — Round number resistance
Critical Support Levels:
- Bollinger Band Middle (SMA20): $153.28 — Primary support; loss here would signal trend break
- SMA50: $142.30 — Secondary support; represents 15.8% downside from current price
- Lower Bollinger Band: $137.22 — Extreme support; represents 18.9% downside
- Likely Base Zone: $135-140 — Based on band width dynamics
Momentum Signals
RSI (14): 65.62 — NEUTRAL reading
- Interpretation: RSI is in the neutral zone (30-70), just below traditional overbought threshold (70)
- Not yet signaling capitulation but approaching overbought territory
- Suggests momentum intact but room limited before reversal risk
Stochastic Oscillators — SEVERE OVERBOUGHT
- %K: 85.46 / %D: 83.97 — Both well above 80 overbought threshold
- Interpretation: Extreme overbought conditions indicating potential for pullback/reversal
- Stochastics more sensitive than RSI; this suggests imminent short-term retracement risk
- Historically, readings this extreme often precede 2-5% pullbacks
MACD — BULLISH MOMENTUM
- MACD Line: 5.80 / Signal Line: 1.96 / Histogram: +3.85
- Interpretation: MACD above signal line with positive histogram = bullish crossover confirmation
- Histogram magnitude (3.85) is moderate, not explosive—suggests momentum is present but not accelerating
- Signal supports intermediate uptrend but lacks conviction of new force
Williams %R: -24.23
- Interpretation: Reading between 0 and -20 indicates overbought condition (scale inverted)
- Aligns with Stochastic extremity, reinforcing short-term pullback risk
Bollinger Bands Analysis
Current Position: Upper Band Touch
- Price $168.89 vs Upper Band $169.33 = only 0.26% below upper band
- Band Width: $20.95 (moderately wide, not squeezed)
- Signal: NEUTRAL-to-CAUTIOUS
Interpretation:
- Price at upper band typically indicates overbought condition in mean-reversion framework
- However, bands can walk with trending markets; upper band proximity alone doesn't confirm reversal
- Band width suggests moderate volatility; not in squeeze (low volatility) that would precede breakout
- Most likely scenarios: (1) consolidation at upper band, (2) pullback to middle band ($153.28), or (3) continued breakout above $170
Volume Analysis
Critical Concern — Volume Deterioration:
- Volume SMA 20: 94.2M shares (baseline)
- Volume Rate of Change: -74.70% — Severe negative print
- Interpretation: Current volume is approximately 25% of the 20-day average
OBV Signal: Ambiguous
- On-Balance Volume: 643.4M — Absolute level difficult to interpret without historical context
- OBV should be rising with price in healthy uptrend; declining volume into resistance is warning sign
Institutional Interest Assessment:
- The significant volume decline despite price making new highs is a major red flag
- Suggests: (1) retail/technical buying exhausting itself, (2) institutions taking profits, or (3) thin volume creating whipsaw risk
- Reduced liquidity at highs increases drawdown risk on reversal
Volume Conclusion: Volume deterioration contradicts technical strength—this is a key conflict signal.
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary (Last 6 articles, Oct 6-7)
| Rank | Headline | Source | Sentiment | Key Theme | |------|----------|--------|-----------|-----------| | 1 | $3K Investment Worth [X] Since Sept Start | Motley Fool | POSITIVE | Strong Recent Performance | | 2 | Should You Buy SpaceX in October? | Motley Fool | NEUTRAL | Evaluation/Decision Point | | 3 | Trillion-Dollar Stock Better Than SpaceX | Motley Fool | NEGATIVE | Relative Underperformance | | 4 | Space Exploration Analyst Highlight | Zacks | POSITIVE | Sector Interest | | 5 | SpaceX Among Top Research Ideas | Zacks | POSITIVE | Analyst Coverage | | 6 | Top Research Reports: SpaceX, Dell, KLA | Zacks | POSITIVE | Premium Coverage |
Sentiment Assessment
Aggregate Sentiment: POSITIVE-LEANING NEUTRAL (65% positive/neutral, 17% negative)
Interpretation:
- Majority of recent coverage is positive or neutral, reflecting analyst interest
- Positive articles explicitly reference strong September returns (aligns with current price strength)
- Negative article exists but represents minority view ("better opportunities elsewhere")
- No major negative catalysts (regulatory issues, safety incidents, missed milestones) in recent headlines
- Time Alignment: News coverage cluster on Oct 6-7 coincides with price strength, suggesting narrative follows price action rather than driving it
Catalyst Identification
Immediate/Near-term (Next 4 weeks):
- Q3 Earnings Announcement — Date unavailable (flagged as "No earnings data available"); typical for private/pre
Generated
News
All SPCX news →
AI now makes up over half the rocket company's revenue. Should shareholders worry?
Getting a meaningful return from Space Exploration Technologies requires conviction and a long-term outlook.
The logic is compelling, but would combining the two businesses create more value for shareholders -- or simply a bigger company with bigger ambitions?
Business is booming for SpaceX.
SpaceX, Nvidia, and Alphabet are all likely to be worth more than Apple by the end of 2031.
The space stock did get an initial boost after earnings, but that was short-lived, and it finished last week at below $148.
Pacific Investment Management Co. bought a $4 billion slice of a huge SpaceX financing deal that will help expand its artificial intelligence ambitions, according to people familiar with the matter.
Showing 1–10 of 50
Page 1 of 5
Earnings History
1 of 2 under expected move
Avg Expected Move
12.20%
Avg Actual Move
10.70%
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | After-Close | 17.27% | 13.61% | 0.79x | Within |
| 2026-10-20 | After-Close | 7.12% | 7.79% | 1.09x | Exceeded |
Earnings calendar: this week’s reports with expected vs actual moves →
SPCX Options Activity & IV Rank
SPCX IV rank history, 52-week IV rank and IV percentile →
Volatility Metrics
Current IV: 50.9%
7-DTE IV: 49.2%
Expected Move: $17.57
7-DTE Move: $8.07
Days to Exp: 32 (2026-11-27)
Options Flow
Call Volume: 15,897
Put Volume: 5,362
P/C Volume: 0.337
BULLISH
Call OI: 15,215
Put OI: 12,535
P/C OI: 0.824
Total OI: 27,750
ATM Options Pricing
ATM Call: $10.00
ATM Put: $7.58
Call %: 6.8%
Put %: 5.2%
Chain Summary
Chain Volume: 1,366,034
Chain OI: 4,680,730
Last Updated: 10/26/2026
Spread Scanner GPU
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
Dealer Positioning
TYPICAL γ
Estimated net dealer gamma is at the 41st percentile of this name's own daily history, within its typical range. This describes current positioning; it is not a forecast or a trading signal.
Gamma percentile
41%
vs own history
GEX tilt
-0.15
OI-weighted, today
Vanna tilt
+0.46
δ-sensitivity to IV
Charm tilt
-0.48
δ-decay vs time
Vanna tilt +0.46: the estimated dealer exposure leans positive, so the modeled hedge would shift noticeably if implied volatility changed.
Charm tilt -0.48: the estimated dealer exposure leans negative, so the modeled hedge would shift noticeably as time passes and options approach expiry.
? What is this?
· 444 ATM contracts, 1124k total OI
Net dealer gamma is an estimate of the aggregate gamma held by options market makers across this name's option chain, weighted by open interest. Dealer positions aren't public, so it uses a standard simplifying assumption: dealers are treated as long the calls and short the puts that are open. Actual dealer books can differ.
Gamma percentile ranks today's estimate against this name's own daily history, from 0% (the lowest reading on record) to 100% (the highest). Raw gamma scales with how much open interest a chain carries, so it isn't comparable across names; the percentile is. The badge marks the bottom 20% as low and the top 20% as high.
Tilts run from −1 to +1 and show how lopsided the estimated dealer exposure is. GEX tilt compares call gamma with put gamma. Vanna tilt describes how the hedge would shift if implied volatility changed, and charm tilt how it would shift with the passage of time.
This card describes estimated positioning and where it sits historically. It is not a forecast of price direction or volatility and not a trading signal. Market-wide view: Dealer positioning screener.
Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d
—
—
pts
EXTREME
as of Oct 26 · ATM 49.7% / Wing —
30 DTE / 10d
75%
+5.3
pts
EXTREME
as of Oct 26 · ATM 50.5% / Wing 55.8%
Extreme reading.
Historically these have been contrarian — on the small set of observed earnings-day cases, large negative wing-vs-ATM gaps (calls pricing much richer than puts at the same delta) preceded sharp drops in the underlying within 1-12 days. Not financial advice and the dataset is small.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Volatility Surface
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Volatility Smile
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
IV Rank (7 DTE)7.0LowOct 26
IV Rank (30 DTE)10.8LowOct 26
Straddle Price (30 DTE)$17.57Oct 26
Beta Analysis
Risk Metrics
Beta: 3.2060
Alpha: -22.14%
Correlation: 0.4597
R-Squared: 21.1%
Stock Volatility: 80.8%
Market Volatility: 11.6%
Analysis Details
Benchmark: SPY
Data Points: 93
Period: 252 trading days
Data Points: 93
Period: 252 trading days
Interpretation:
High volatility - stock moves more than market
High volatility - stock moves more than market
Beta & Alpha Over Time
SPCX Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-09-30
? 13F Guide
Diluted shares outstanding: 12,475,000,000 (as of 2026-09-30)
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
109 filers$17.78B notional
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian | $6.24B | 35.10% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian | $2.64B | 14.87% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | UBS Group AG Custodian | $2.32B | 13.03% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $1.42B | 7.96% | 2026-06-30 |
| 5 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $900.04M | 5.06% | 2026-06-30 |
| 6 | Optiver Holding B.V. | $759.93M | 4.27% | 2026-06-30 |
| 7 | Quarry LP | $512.58M | 2.88% | 2026-06-30 |
| 8 | Citigroup Inc. Custodian | $474.14M | 2.67% | 2026-06-30 |
| 9 | Simplex Trading, LLC Custodian | $401.28M | 2.26% | 2026-06-30 |
| 10 | Schonfeld Strategic Advisors LLC | $205.03M | 1.15% | 2026-06-30 |
| 11 | Goldman Sachs Group Inc Custodian | $197.92M | 1.11% | 2026-06-30 |
| 12 | HSBC Holdings plc Custodian | $189.41M | 1.07% | 2026-06-30 |
| 13 | Sculptor Capital LP | $171.46M | 0.96% | 2026-06-30 |
| 14 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $128.64M | 0.72% | 2026-06-30 |
| 15 | Caption Management, LLC | $115.33M | 0.65% | 2026-06-30 |
| 16 | AKUNA SECURITIES LLC | $114.70M | 0.65% | 2026-06-30 |
| 17 | Parallax Volatility Advisers, L.P. | $85.55M | 0.48% | 2026-06-30 |
| 18 | PEAK6 LLC | $81.00M | 0.46% | 2026-06-30 |
| 19 | Walleye Trading LLC | $76.32M | 0.43% | 2026-06-30 |
| 20 | MAPLELANE CAPITAL, LLC | $68.34M | 0.38% | 2026-06-30 |
| 21 | Belvedere Trading LLC | $65.59M | 0.37% | 2026-06-30 |
| 22 | BNP Paribas Financial Markets Custodian | $60.28M | 0.34% | 2026-06-30 |
| 23 | Millennium Management LLC Custodian | $59.68M | 0.34% | 2026-06-30 |
| 24 | CAPSTONE INVESTMENT ADVISORS, LLC | $55.53M | 0.31% | 2026-06-30 |
| 25 | LMR Partners LLP | $49.82M | 0.28% | 2026-06-30 |
109 filers$13.79B notional
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian | $3.36B | 24.36% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian | $1.84B | 13.37% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $973.49M | 7.06% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | Goldman Sachs Group Inc Custodian | $874.82M | 6.34% | 2026-06-30 |
| 5 | Jefferies Financial Group Inc. | $803.04M | 5.82% | 2026-06-30 |
| 6 | BlackRock, Inc. Custodian | $635.33M | 4.61% | 2026-06-30 |
| 7 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $629.16M | 4.56% | 2026-06-30 |
| 8 | TORONTO DOMINION BANK | $537.35M | 3.90% | 2026-06-30 |
| 9 | Optiver Holding B.V. | $390.50M | 2.83% | 2026-06-30 |
| 10 | Fort Point Capital Partners LLC | $374.18M | 2.71% | 2026-06-30 |
| 11 | Simplex Trading, LLC Custodian | $322.94M | 2.34% | 2026-06-30 |
| 12 | JPMorgan Chase & Co Custodian | $258.63M | 1.88% | 2026-06-30 |
| 13 | CANTOR FITZGERALD, L. P. | $228.53M | 1.66% | 2026-06-30 |
| 14 | Barclays PLC Custodian | $223.72M | 1.62% | 2026-06-30 |
| 15 | PEAK6 LLC | $211.35M | 1.53% | 2026-06-30 |
| 16 | Troluce Capital Advisors LLC | $166.59M | 1.21% | 2026-06-30 |
| 17 | Millennium Management LLC Custodian | $154.12M | 1.12% | 2026-06-30 |
| 18 | Endure Capital Management, LLC | $145.49M | 1.05% | 2026-06-30 |
| 19 | Lykos Global Management, LP | $136.69M | 0.99% | 2026-06-30 |
| 20 | Pentwater Capital Management LP | $109.35M | 0.79% | 2026-06-30 |
| 21 | Clear Street Group Inc. | $106.79M | 0.77% | 2026-06-30 |
| 22 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $106.51M | 0.77% | 2026-06-30 |
| 23 | BNP Paribas Financial Markets Custodian | $106.14M | 0.77% | 2026-06-30 |
| 24 | AKUNA SECURITIES LLC | $91.82M | 0.67% | 2026-06-30 |
| 25 | Hudson Bay Capital Management LP | $85.89M | 0.62% | 2026-06-30 |
SPCX Insider Trading (Form 4)
Latest: 2026-09-30Form 4 filings — insider beneficial-ownership changes by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders. Filed within 2 business days of transaction.
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Antonio J. Gracias | Director | Other (J) | −42,790,223 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-09-24 | Gwynne Shotwell | President and COO | Mixed | +213,310 | $65.78 | -$46.05M | EDGAR |
| 2026-09-15 | Antonio J. Gracias | Director | Other (J) | −42,790,223 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-17 | Elon Musk | CEO, CTO & Chairman | Mixed | +801,923,260 | $105.32 | -$1.20M | EDGAR |
Codes: P = open-market purchase · S = open-market sale · A = grant/award · M = option exercise · F = tax withholding at vest · G = bona-fide gift · D = disposition to issuer · J = other (described in filing footnote — typically 401(k), trust, inheritance) · W = will/inheritance. Only P / S codes carry directional signal.
SPCX Insider Holdings
3 insiders · @ $146.90
Officers, directors, and 10%+ owners who have filed a Form 4 in the past two years, ranked by current disclosed exposure (shares × today's price). Shares are direct + indirect (via trusts / LLCs / spouse). Excludes unvested RSU and option grants — those aren't beneficially owned until vest.
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elon Musk | CEO, CTO & Chairman | 7,402,770 | $1.09B | -$1.20M | 1 | 2026-06-17 |
| 2 | Gwynne Shotwell | President and COO | 4,028,040 | $591.72M | -$52.55M | 1 | 2026-09-24 |
| 3 | Antonio J. Gracias | Director | 2,211,206 | $324.83M | $0 | 2 | 2026-09-30 |
Lifetime OM Net = signed sum of open-market buys (P) and sells (S) over their career; excludes grants, tax withholdings, and dispositions to issuer. A large negative number is normal for long-tenured executives — they've sold compensation grants over many years.
SPCX Board & Officers
As of SEC filings through Sep 30, 2026Directors 9
- Antonio J. Gracias · since Jun 11, 2026
- Donald Stewart Harrison · since Jun 11, 2026
- Elon Musk · since Jun 11, 2026
- Gwynne Shotwell · since Jun 11, 2026
- Ira Matthew Ehrenpreis · since Jun 11, 2026
- Luke Nosek · since Jun 11, 2026
- Randall Glein · since Jun 11, 2026
- Stephen T Jurvetson · since Jun 11, 2026
- Roelof Botha · since Jun 16, 2026
Officers 3
- Elon Musk · CEO, CTO & Chairman · since Jun 11, 2026
- Gwynne Shotwell · President and COO · since Jun 11, 2026
- Bret W Johnsen · Chief Financial Officer · since Jun 11, 2026
10% owners 1
- Elon Musk · since Jun 11, 2026
Changes in the last 10 years (13)
| Jun 16, 2026 | Roelof Botha became a director |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Stephen T Jurvetson became a director |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Randall Glein became a director |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Luke Nosek became a director |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Ira Matthew Ehrenpreis became a director |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Gwynne Shotwell became a director |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Gwynne Shotwell became President and COO |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Elon Musk became a director |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Elon Musk became a 10% owner |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Elon Musk became CEO, CTO & Chairman |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Donald Stewart Harrison became a director |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Bret W Johnsen became Chief Financial Officer |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Antonio J. Gracias became a director |
Compiled from SEC filings by the company and its directors and officers. Dates are as stated in those filings. Where no filing says when someone left, we show the last filing that listed them.
SPCX Proposed Insider Sales (Form 144)
Latest: 2026-09-22
? Form 144 Guide
Last 30d:
0 filings
· Last 90d:
1 filing
· $52.0M notice value
· 1 unique filer
· 100% under 10b5-1 plans
What is Form 144? A notice of intent to sell restricted or control stock under Rule 144. Affiliates (officers, directors, 10%+ owners) and holders of restricted shares must file Form 144 when planning to sell more than 5,000 shares or $50,000 in any 3-month rolling window.
How it relates to Form 4: Form 144 is filed before the trade (up to 90 days in advance); Form 4 is filed within 2 business days after the trade executes. Not every Form 144 results in a sale — the filer may cancel or delay. Look for the corresponding Form 4 on the Insider Activity card to confirm a sale actually happened.
10b5-1 plans: Trades made under a pre-scheduled Rule 10b5-1 plan are not discretionary — they execute automatically on dates set months earlier, regardless of news. High 10b5-1 percentages mean less per-filing signal value, though cumulative selling volume still matters.
"Notice value": Aggregate market value the filer wrote into the Form 144 — i.e. the size of the planned sale, not necessarily the executed dollars. An amended notice (Form 144/A) replaces the original it amends, and cancelled notices are dropped, so neither is double-counted above. A filed value that is clearly inconsistent with the share count at the stock's price (a filer typo) shows as a dash and is left out of the totals.
Source & freshness: Sourced from public Form 144 filings. Refreshed daily; new filings typically appear here the morning after they are filed.
Top 90-day filers:
Gwynne Shotwell (1, $52.0M)
| Filed | Filer | Role | Shares | Notice Value | Planned Sale | Broker | Plan | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Gwynne Shotwell | Director, Officer | 342,170 | $51.96M | 2026-09-22 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | 10b5-1 | EDGAR |
Notice value is the aggregate market value the filer states they intend to sell — not a confirmed transaction. Compare to Insider Activity (Form 4) to see which planned sales actually executed. Market-wide feed: Planned sales (Form 144).
ETF Holders
208 ETFs hold SPCX
25 shown · $27.32B total exposure · 0.82% AUM-weighted avg weight
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 | Invesco | 2.78% | $13.2B | — | 2026-10-24 |
| 2 | QQQM Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF | Invesco | 2.78% | $3.0B | — | 2026-10-24 |
| 3 | VTI Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF | Vanguard | 0.12% | $2.8B | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 4 | VXF Vanguard Extended Market ETF | Vanguard | 2.50% | $2.3B | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 5 | VUG Vanguard Morningstar Growth ETF | Vanguard | 0.26% | $1.0B | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 6 | JEPQ JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF | JPMorgan | 1.64% | $709.4M | $43.3B | 2026-10-26 |
| 7 | BAI iShares A.I. Innovation and Tech Active ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 3.53% | $443.7M | $12.8B | 2026-10-23 |
| 8 | TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | ProShares | 1.18% | $419.1M | — | 2026-10-26 |
| 9 | AIQ Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF | Global X | 3.47% | $351.6M | — | 2026-10-26 |
| 10 | IWF iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.25% | $307.1M | $123.5B | 2026-10-23 |
| 11 | ONEQ Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index ETF | Fidelity | 2.64% | $282.0M | $10.7B | 2026-10-23 |
| 12 | QLD ProShares Ultra QQQ | ProShares | 1.93% | $275.3M | — | 2026-10-26 |
| 13 | DYNF iShares U.S. Equity Factor Rotation Active ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.63% | $264.0M | $42.4B | 2026-10-23 |
| 14 | ITOT iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.27% | $262.8M | $96.5B | 2026-10-23 |
| 15 | QYLD Global X Nasdaq 100 Covered Call ETF | Global X | 2.80% | $233.2M | — | 2026-10-26 |
| 16 | VOX Vanguard Communication Services ETF | Vanguard | 2.89% | $182.4M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 17 | GPIQ Goldman Sachs Nasdaq-100 Premium Income ETF | Goldman | 2.75% | $174.1M | $6.3B | 2026-10-23 |
| 18 | MGK Vanguard Morningstar Mega Cap Growth ETF | Vanguard | 0.50% | $173.5M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 19 | RONB Baron First Principles ETF | Nport | 32.06% | $157.7M | — | 2026-06-30 |
| 20 | VONG Vanguard Russell 1000 Growth ETF | Vanguard | 0.25% | $136.5M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 21 | FPX First Trust US Equity Opportunities ETF | First Trust | 9.33% | $126.4M | $1.4B | 2026-10-23 |
| 22 | IDEF iShares Defense Industrials and Tech Active ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 2.96% | $107.8M | $3.7B | 2026-10-23 |
| 23 | VV Vanguard Morningstar Large-Cap ETF | Vanguard | 0.14% | $104.9M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 24 | ARTY iShares Future AI & Tech ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 2.83% | $104.2M | $3.7B | 2026-10-23 |
| 25 | BLCR iShares Large Cap Core Active ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 1.02% | $97.5M | $9.7B | 2026-10-23 |
Fundamentals
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
Metrics
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
Trailing P/E
—
TTM Diluted EPS
—
TTM Revenue
—
TTM Net Income
—
TTM Op. Cash Flow
—
Quarterly figures (2 quarters)
| Quarter | Period End | Revenue | Net Income | Diluted EPS | Op. Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 '26 | 2026-09-30 | $14.57B | $4.40B | $0.35 | $9.63B |
| Q2 '26 | 2026-06-30 | $7.81B | $-541.00M | $-0.09 | — |
Q3 2026 • period ending 2026-09-30 • filed 2026-10-22
Short Interest & Float
Regulatory short-interest reports publish on a bi-weekly settlement cadence; short-volume is reported daily by the trade-reporting facilities. Float is derived from insider-ownership filings.
Metric definitions
- Short Interest — total shares currently sold short as of the settlement date. Lags real time by ~8 business days.
- SI % of Float — short interest / free float. The key crowding metric.
- Days to Cover — short interest / avg daily volume. How many full trading days it would take shorts to buy back. High DTC + catalyst = squeeze fuel.
- Short Vol Ratio — today's short-sale volume / total volume. Intraday selling pressure proxy (not the same as short interest).
- Free Float — shares available for public trading (total shares minus insider / restricted).
- Float % — free float / shares outstanding. <50% = tightly held, more prone to squeezes.
How to read the signals
- SI % of Float < 5% — typical, no particular signal.
- 5–15% — elevated; watch for catalysts (earnings, guidance, macro).
- 15–30% — heavily shorted; tight-float names in this range have produced notable squeezes historically.
- >30% — extreme; borrow is likely expensive and squeeze risk is material.
- Days to Cover > 5 combined with high SI% amplifies squeeze potential.
History chart
- Trend matters more than level. Rapidly rising short interest often precedes negative catalysts or heavy hedging.
- A sudden drop in SI after a rally may indicate a squeeze in progress.
Short interest is reported mid-month and end-of-month; short volume is daily.
Short Interest
181.00M
SI % of Float
3.78%
Days to Cover
1.83
Short Vol Ratio
57.3%
Free Float
4.79B
Float %
62.2%
Short interest 2026-09-30 • Short volume 2026-10-26 • Float 2026-08-27