Insight Molecular Diagnostics Inc. Common Stock(IMDX)

Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.

IMDX $4.20
Snapshot
$4.20
52-Week Range
$2.42 – $8.51
YTD
-41.34%
IV Rank (30D)
36.89
Straddle Price
$2.83
P/C Vol Ratio
0.25
Market Cap
$0.1B
Fair Value
MODEL: LONG

A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.

  • DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
  • Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
  • DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
  • P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
  • Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
  • Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
  • Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
  • Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
10-yr Treasury (rf)4.80%
Beta vs SPY1.73
Cost of Equity (CAPM)14.32% (VRP-adj)
WACC12.49%
Volatility Risk Premium+148.8pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj +50bps
Effective Tax Rate21.0%
Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input)-10.0%
DCF Horizon10 years explicit + fade
Free Cash Flow (TTM)$-0.0B
Return on Equity (TTM)231.7%
Book / Price-8.3%
Gross Margin (TTM)51.3%
FCF Margin (TTM)-1584.1%
Quality Score2/6 — normal (10y DCF)
SMA 50$4.59 (Market Anchor value)
SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid$4.17
Bollinger Width / SMA20437.9% (drives anchor stability)
Net Debt$-0.0B
Market Cap$0B
Model Conviction
92%
20-Day Fair Value
≈ by Oct 12, 2026
$4.28
α +1.9% rank 76%
40-Day Fair Value
≈ by Nov 10, 2026
$4.60
α +9.5% rank 68%
60-Day Fair Value
≈ by Dec 9, 2026
$4.83
α +15.0% rank 77%
MethodImplied PriceWeightDetail
DCF n/a 0%
DDM (Gordon) n/a 0%
Peer P/E n/a 0%
Peer EV/EBITDA n/a 0%
Peer P/B n/a 0%
Peer P/S n/a 0%
Market Anchor (SMA50) $4.59 100% stability 69% (BB-width)
Options Expected (B-L 30d) n/a 0%
As of 2026-09-11 · updated
Info
Industry (SIC)
IN VITRO & IN VIVO DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES (2835)
Exchange
XNAS
Market Cap
$0.1B

Insight Molecular Diagnostics Inc is a pioneering diagnostics technology company whose mission is to democratize access to novel molecular diagnostic testing to improve patient outcomes. The Company's flagship technology quantifies a molecular biomarker known as donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA). It is also in the process of rebranding its RUO test kit, GraftAssure, as GraftAssureIQ, and rebranding its future in-vitro diagnostic (IVD) test kit as GraftAssureDx. The company geographically operates in the United States, the United Kingdom, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific regions, with maximum …

Summary
composite
No summary data available for this symbol yet.

Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.

Chart
Seasonality
MonthAvg ReturnYears of Data
Jan -12.83% 1
Feb -7.82% 1
Mar -43.84% 1
Apr +32.34% 1
May +55.25% 1
Jun -2.44% 2
Jul -13.83% 2
Aug -7.95% 2
Sep +21.34% 2
Oct +62.77% 1
Nov +5.50% 1
Dec +14.94% 1
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Trend Indicators

SMA 20: $4.20
SMA 50: $4.56
SMA 200: $5.21
Current: $4.20
EMA 12: $4.15
EMA 26: $4.29
MACD: -0.1434 | Signal: 0.0248
BEARISH
ADX (14): 26.08
TREND
+DI: 15.41
−DI: 19.65

Momentum Oscillators

RSI (14): 47.33
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 46.18
Stoch %D: 50.07
Williams %R: -40.96

Volume & Volatility

BB Upper: $4.51
BB Lower: $3.88
NEUTRAL
OBV: 2,737,477
Vol SMA 20: 147,141
Vol ROC: 377.31%
ATR: $0.31
True Range: $0.29
HV 20: 72.0%
HV 30: 89.2%
HV 60: 80.2%

Data Summary

Data Points: 310
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2025-06-18T00:00:00 – 2026-09-11T00:00:00
AI Analysis

Choose Frenzy-Fast™ for quick analysis or Frenzy-Pro™ for comprehensive analysis.

Analysis includes technical indicators, news sentiment, risk assessment, and specific price levels to watch.

News
Earnings History
2 of 3 under expected move
Avg Expected Move
67.53%
Avg Actual Move
15.54%
Each row pairs the pre-earnings straddle-implied expected move with the realized close-to-close move. Sorted oldest first.
Earnings Date Timing Expected Move Actual Move Ratio Outcome
2026-03-26 unknown 122.38% 13.38% 0.11x Within
2026-05-13 unknown 14.71% 26.11% 1.77x Exceeded
2026-08-10 unknown 65.51% 7.13% 0.11x Within
Options Activity
IV Rank (30D)
36.89
IV Rank (7D)
100
Avg IV
216.3%
Straddle (30D)
$2.83
Straddle (7D)
$4.95
P/C Volume
0.25
Spread Scanner GPU

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.

Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.

Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Metric:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol points

How much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.

  • Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
  • Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
  • Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
  • Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each side

Which side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.

  • Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
  • Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
  • Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
  • Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together

Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:

  • High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
  • Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
  • Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d
pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —
30 DTE / 10d
pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —

Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.

Volatility Surface

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.

Volatility Smile

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.

IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)
Straddle Price (30 DTE)
Beta Analysis
Beta (1Y vs SPY)
2.51
Correlation (SPY)
30.1%
0.09
Ann. Volatility
107.3%
SPY Volatility
12.8%

High volatility - stock moves more than market

Beta & Alpha Over Time
Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-06-30
Diluted shares outstanding: 32,262,750 (as of 2026-03-31)

Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.

  • Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
  • Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
  • % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
  • Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.

Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.

42 filers18,991,537 shares$111.82M value58.87% of float
# Filer Shares Value % of Total % of Float Period
1 BROADWOOD CAPITAL INC 12,684,884 $74.84M 66.93% 39.32% 2026-06-30
2 AWM Investment Company, Inc. 2,836,692 $16.74M 14.97% 8.79% 2026-06-30
3 VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 735,847 $4.34M 3.88% 2.28% 2026-06-30
4 VANGUARD GROUP INC Custodian 526,675 $3.95M 3.53% 1.63% 2025-12-31
5 PURA VIDA INVESTMENTS, LLC 484,845 $2.86M 2.56% 1.50% 2026-06-30
6 Family Office Research LLC 368,849 $2.18M 1.95% 1.14% 2026-06-30
7 GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC Custodian 256,903 $1.52M 1.36% 0.80% 2026-06-30
8 JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian 157,682 $930.32K 0.83% 0.49% 2026-06-30
9 BlackRock, Inc. Custodian 150,521 $888.07K 0.79% 0.47% 2026-06-30
10 VANGUARD FIDUCIARY TRUST CO 124,576 $735.00K 0.66% 0.39% 2026-06-30
11 STATE STREET CORP 92,124 $543.53K 0.49% 0.29% 2026-06-30
12 MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC Custodian 82,499 $486.74K 0.44% 0.26% 2026-06-30
13 UBS Group AG Custodian 53,276 $314.33K 0.28% 0.17% 2026-06-30
14 NORTHERN TRUST CORP Custodian 49,090 $289.63K 0.26% 0.15% 2026-06-30
15 OSAIC HOLDINGS, INC. Custodian 39,136 $230.90K 0.21% 0.12% 2026-06-30
16 MORGAN STANLEY Custodian 35,515 $209.54K 0.19% 0.11% 2026-06-30
17 Jefferies Financial Group Inc. 18,100 $106.79K 0.10% 0.06% 2026-06-30
18 MARSHALL WACE, LLP Custodian 16,597 $97.92K 0.09% 0.05% 2026-06-30
19 ExodusPoint Capital Management, LP 14,029 $82.77K 0.07% 0.04% 2026-06-30
20 AXQ CAPITAL, LP 13,407 $79.10K 0.07% 0.04% 2026-06-30
21 Flatrock Wealth Partners LLC 13,044 $76.96K 0.07% 0.04% 2026-06-30
22 TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP Custodian 11,101 $65.50K 0.06% 0.03% 2026-06-30
23 XTX Topco Ltd 10,743 $63.38K 0.06% 0.03% 2026-06-30
24 Private Advisor Group, LLC 10,416 $61.45K 0.06% 0.03% 2026-06-30
25 BNP PARIBAS FINANCIAL MARKETS Custodian 5,801 $34.23K 0.03% 0.02% 2026-06-30
1 filers$7.08K notional
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
1 SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian $7.08K 100.00% 2026-06-30
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
ETF Holders
# ETF Provider Weight $ Exposure ETF AUM As Of
Fundamentals

Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.

Metrics
  • Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
  • Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
  • Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
  • Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
  • Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
  • YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
  • Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
  • Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.

TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.

P/B Ratio-6.1
P/S Ratio78.0
EV/EBITDA-2.9
TTM Revenue$0.0B
TTM Net Income$-0.0B
TTM EPS$-1.5
ROE231.7%