Comstock Inc.(LODE)
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $2.35 – $4.98
- YTD
- -34.19%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 73.94
- Straddle Price
- $0.40
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 0.07
- Market Cap
- $0.2B
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 4.96% |
| Beta vs SPY | 1.24 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 11.78% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 11.28% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +161.8pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj +50bps |
| Effective Tax Rate | 21.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | +30.0% |
| DCF Horizon | 10 years explicit + fade |
| Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM) | ×1.10 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S) |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $-0.0B |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | -44.4% |
| Book / Price | 99.8% — banking bias active (P/B is primary) |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | -165.6% |
| FCF Margin (TTM) | -4605.9% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.08 |
| Quality Score | 2/6 — normal (10y DCF) |
| SMA 50 | $3.20 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $2.93 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 1489.5% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $-0.0B |
| Market Cap | $0B |
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | n/a | 0% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | n/a | 0% | |
| Peer P/E | n/a | 0% | median 16.0× · 6 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | n/a | 0% | median 10.9× · 8 peers |
| Peer P/B | $5.10 | 17% | median 2.0× · 8 peers |
| Peer P/S | $0.03 | 17% | median 1.4× · 8 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $3.20 | 66% | stability 74% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | $2.63 | 0% | 5 strikes · skew +0.36 |
- Industry (SIC)
- INDUSTRIAL ORGANIC CHEMICALS (2860)
- Exchange
- XASE
- Market Cap
- $0.2B
Comstock Inc commercializes technologies that convert underutilized waste and natural resources into clean energy and supporting products, including electrification, metals, and minerals from end-of-life solar panels. Its subsidiary focuses on producing renewable fuels from waste, energy crops, and woody biomass, supported by facilities in Wisconsin, pilot farms, a biorefinery site in Tulsa, and solar panel recycling operations in Nevada. The Company operates through two high-growth segments and a corporate segment, with its activities grouped into Metals, which generates the majority of reven…
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | +11.40% | 15 |
| Feb | -0.33% | 15 |
| Mar | -6.33% | 15 |
| Apr | +5.05% | 15 |
| May | -2.22% | 15 |
| Jun | +0.91% | 16 |
| Jul | -6.41% | 16 |
| Aug | -0.10% | 16 |
| Sep | -2.74% | 16 |
| Oct | -9.83% | 15 |
| Nov | -10.48% | 15 |
| Dec | +7.19% | 15 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
LLM Stock Analysis Report
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: BEARISH (Confidence Level: 7/10)
Key Drivers: Bearish momentum signals from MACD and Stochastic Oscillators, combined with high volatility and a beta of 2.12.
Primary Risks: Overbought conditions, potential price reversal, and increased risk due to high volatility.
Investment Thesis: The stock is trending lower due to bearish momentum and overbought conditions. However, the options market suggests a possible move up by expiration, which could lead to a rebound.
Recent News Sentiment Impact: Positive news headlines from the past 10 articles have contributed to the recent upward trend, but may not be sufficient to overcome the bearish technical signals.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction:
- Short-term (1-4 weeks): Bearish
- Medium-term (1-3 months): Neutral
- Long-term (3-12 months): Bullish
Support/Resistance Levels: SMA 20 ($3.26) and SMA 50 ($3.79)
Momentum Signals:
- RSI interpretation: Overbought (>70), indicating potential sell signal.
- MACD signal: Bearish, confirming downward trend.
- Bollinger Bands position: Neutral, suggesting mean reversion.
Volume Analysis: Volume is trending lower, suggesting increased selling pressure.
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: The recent news headlines have been positive, but may not be enough to overcome the bearish technical signals.
Sentiment Assessment: Aggregate news sentiment is POSITIVE, which could lead to a rebound if combined with a breakout above SMA 50 ($3.79).
Catalyst Identification: Earnings date and potential regulatory changes in the near term.
Market Narrative: The news headlines have driven the recent upward trend, but may not be enough to overcome the bearish technical signals.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: High risk relative to market (beta >1.2).
Volatility Regime: Current volatility is higher than historical levels.
Options Market Signals:
- IV rank: 36.1% (Medium)
- Put/Call volume ratio: 0.03 (Bullish sentiment)
Downside Protection: Support levels at SMA 20 ($3.26) and SMA 50 ($3.79).
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: The sector is relatively strong, which could support the stock's rebound.
Institutional Activity: Institutional interest is increasing, as seen in the options market activity.
Correlation Analysis: Correlation with the market is moderate (R-squared interpretation: 0.32).
Relative Valuation: The stock is relatively undervalued compared to its peers.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels: SMA 20 ($3.26) and SMA 50 ($3.79)
Breakout/Breakdown Levels: A breakout above SMA 50 ($3.79) could lead to a rebound, while a breakdown below SMA 20 ($3.26) could accelerate the decline.
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: Earnings date and potential regulatory changes in the near term.
Risk Management: Set stop-loss levels at SMA 20 ($3.26) and consider reducing position size due to high volatility.
This analysis provides a comprehensive report on LLM's stock performance, highlighting bearish technical signals, overbought conditions, and increased risk due to high volatility. The options market suggests a possible move up by expiration, which could lead to a rebound.
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-22 | After-Close | 35.01% | 13.98% | 0.40x | Within |
| 2025-05-08 | After-Close | 18.20% | 2.87% | 0.16x | Within |
| 2025-08-15 | After-Close | 12.82% | 1.29% | 0.10x | Within |
| 2025-10-30 | After-Close | 40.35% | 1.90% | 0.05x | Within |
| 2026-03-24 | Pre-Market | 25.57% | 2.47% | 0.10x | Within |
- IV Rank (30D)
- 73.94
- IV Rank (7D)
- 73.94
- Avg IV
- 195.1%
- Straddle (30D)
- $0.40
- Straddle (7D)
- $0.40
- P/C Volume
- 0.07
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 2.09
- Correlation (SPY)
- 32.5%
- R²
- 0.11
- Ann. Volatility
- 83.3%
- SPY Volatility
- 13.0%
High volatility - stock moves more than market
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caption Management, LLC | $3.23M | 66.21% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $382.72K | 7.85% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $304.10K | 6.24% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | UBS Group AG Custodian | $208.00K | 4.27% | 2026-06-30 |
| 5 | JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian | $180.96K | 3.71% | 2026-06-30 |
| 6 | DLD Asset Management, LP | $145.95K | 2.99% | 2026-06-30 |
| 7 | Savvy Advisors, Inc. | $145.60K | 2.99% | 2026-06-30 |
| 8 | WOLVERINE TRADING, LLC Custodian | $140.18K | 2.88% | 2025-09-30 |
| 9 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $100.26K | 2.06% | 2026-06-30 |
| 10 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $39.52K | 0.81% | 2026-06-30 |
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $10.51M | 38.30% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian | $6.17M | 22.51% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian | $4.29M | 15.65% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $3.62M | 13.18% | 2026-06-30 |
| 5 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $2.28M | 8.33% | 2026-06-30 |
| 6 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $494.21K | 1.80% | 2026-06-30 |
| 7 | WOLVERINE TRADING, LLC Custodian | $61.60K | 0.22% | 2025-09-30 |
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | CORRADO DEGASPERIS | CEO | Buy (P) | +7,250 | $3.04 | $22.1K | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-06 | CORRADO DEGASPERIS | CEO | Buy (P) | +7,250 | $3.04 | $22.1K | EDGAR |
| 2026-07-06 | WILLIAM JOHN NANCE | Director | Award (A) | +5,942 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-06 | DONALD A COLVIN | Director | Award (A) | +5,942 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-06 | ROBERT SPENCE | Director | Award (A) | +5,942 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-06 | Kristin Slanina | Director | Award (A) | +5,942 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-06 | Leo M Drozdoff | Director | Award (A) | +5,942 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-06 | Walter A. Marting Jr | Director | Award (A) | +5,942 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-06 | Steven Yu-Tsung Pei | Director | Award (A) | +5,942 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-17 | Matthew J Bieberly | Chief Accounting Officer | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-17 | CORRADO DEGASPERIS | CEO | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-17 | Judd Merrill | Chief Financial Officer | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-15 | Steven Yu-Tsung Pei | Director | Buy (P) | +250,000 | $4.10 | $1.02M | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-03 | CORRADO DEGASPERIS | CEO | Buy (P) | +10,682 | $3.98 | $42.5K | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-03 | Leo M Drozdoff | Director | Buy (P) | +7,000 | $4.11 | $28.8K | EDGAR |
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steven Yu-Tsung Pei | Director | 1,732,258 | $4.43M | $3.91M | 5 | 2026-07-06 |
| 2 | KEVIN KREISLER | President | 500,000 | $1.28M | $0 | 1 | 2021-09-08 |
| 3 | WILLIAM JOSEPH MCCARTHY | Chief Operating Officer | 306,750 | $785.3K | $14.8K | 2 | 2024-05-10 |
| 4 | David Winsness | Chief Technology Officer | 200,000 | $512.0K | $0 | 1 | 2021-09-10 |
| 5 | Leo M Drozdoff | Director | 199,468 | $510.6K | $433.2K | 15 | 2026-07-06 |
| 6 | CORRADO DEGASPERIS | CEO | 188,750 | $483.2K | $783.7K | 18 | 2026-08-06 |
| 7 | JOHN V WINFIELD | 10%+ Owner | 152,326 | $390.0K | -$469.7K | 22 | 2018-09-07 |
| 8 | WILLIAM JOHN NANCE | Director | 127,616 | $326.7K | $0 | 5 | 2026-07-06 |
| 9 | Walter A. Marting Jr | Director | 126,916 | $324.9K | $0 | 5 | 2026-07-06 |
| 10 | Kristin Slanina | Director | 116,951 | $299.4K | $0 | 3 | 2026-07-06 |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
| P/B Ratio | 1.4 |
| P/S Ratio | 191.7 |
| EV/EBITDA | -4.4 |
| TTM Revenue | $0.0B |
| TTM Net Income | $-0.1B |
| TTM EPS | $-1.02 |
| ROE | -44.4% |
| Debt/Equity | 0.08 |