RDW Redwire Corporation
XNYS
8.40
Delayed
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Expected move IV rank history Fibonacci levels Insider trading
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
RDW
$8.40
—
Key stats
$8.40
- 52-Week Range
- $4.87 – $26.64
- YTD
- -6.98%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 19.43
- Straddle Price
- $1.67
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 2.41
- Market Cap
- $2.2B
- Open
- $8.71
- Day Range
- $8.30 – $8.89
- Volume
- 11,771,256
- Prev Close
- $8.91
Fair Value
MODEL: NEUTRAL
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 5.21% |
| Beta vs SPY | 1.81 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 15.16% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 14.93% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +68.8pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj +50bps |
| Effective Tax Rate | 21.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | +13.2% |
| DCF Horizon | 5 years explicit + fade |
| Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM) | ×1.10 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S) |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $-0.1B |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | -15.9% |
| Book / Price | 107.7% — banking bias active (P/B is primary) |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 20.1% |
| FCF Margin (TTM) | -23.0% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.03 |
| Quality Score | 1/6 — cyclical/struggling (5y DCF) |
| SMA 50 | $11.19 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $10.45 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 343.1% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $-0.5B |
| Market Cap | $2B |
Peers used for multiples: ACHR, AVAV, FLY, RTX
(filtered from 8 ETF-co-members; sector bias active)
60-Day Conviction
14%
20-Day Fair Value
≈ by Nov 16, 2026
$8.46
α +0.9%
rank 93%
conviction
54%
40-Day Fair Value
≈ by Dec 15, 2026
$8.44
α +0.6%
rank 84%
conviction
18%
60-Day Fair Value
≈ by Jan 13, 2027
$8.42
α +0.3%
rank 88%
conviction
14%
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | n/a | 0% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | n/a | 0% | |
| Peer P/E | n/a | 0% | |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | n/a | 0% | |
| Peer P/B | $19.14 | 22% | median 2.0× · 4 peers |
| Peer P/S | $17.93 | 22% | median 6.5× · 4 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $11.19 | 0% | stability 0% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | $8.90 | 56% | 24 strikes · skew +0.21 |
As of 2026-10-16 · updated
Related
About
- Industry (SIC)
- GUIDED MISSILES & SPACE VEHICLES & PARTS (3760) · industry map
- Exchange
- XNYS
- Market Cap
- $2.2B
- Employees
- 1,410
- List Date
- 2021-09-03
- CIK
- 0001819810
- Next Earnings
- 2026-11-04 (After-Close)
- EPS Forecast
- ($0.09) (3 est.)
- Headquarters
- Jacksonville, FL
- Homepage
- https://www.rdw.com
Redwire Corp is an integrated space and defense technology company focused on technologies including aerospace infrastructure, autonomous systems and multi-domain operations, leveraging digital engineering and artificial intelligence automation. The Company develops and provides mission critical solutions based on space and defense technology platform offerings for government, commercial and civil customers through both short- and long-duration projects. These include technologies and production capability for next-generation spacecraft, large space infrastructure, microgravity capabilities, c…
Summary
—
composite
—
No summary data available for this symbol yet.
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
Chart
Seasonality
| Month | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | -- | -25.31% | 20.19% | -2.03% | 40.38% | 30.12% | 12.67% |
| Feb | -- | 1.63% | 49.23% | 10.62% | -37.04% | -16.64% | 1.56% |
| Mar | -- | 56.75% | -15.83% | 42.07% | -32.66% | -10.71% | 7.92% |
| Apr | -- | -0.50% | 8.03% | -13.50% | 26.23% | 1.21% | 4.29% |
| May | -- | -31.45% | -19.21% | 31.12% | 30.68% | 163.06% | 34.84% |
| Jun | -- | -29.47% | 4.08% | 42.26% | 17.01% | -40.86% | -1.40% |
| Jul | -- | 5.43% | 38.40% | 2.02% | -6.66% | -28.46% | 2.15% |
| Aug | -- | -18.82% | -11.78% | 2.58% | -35.76% | 11.00% | -10.56% |
| Sep | -21.32% | -14.70% | -12.95% | 8.36% | 0.78% | 1.75% | -6.35% |
| Oct | 25.32% | 10.04% | -5.96% | 19.97% | -14.08% | -20.62%* | 2.44% |
| Nov | -30.27% | -21.19% | -6.57% | 79.90% | -25.24% | -- | -0.67% |
| Dec | -16.77% | -2.46% | 6.74% | 24.04% | 48.44% | -- | 12.00% |
| Total | -42.78% | -64.65% | 36.69% | 654.19% | -33.81% | -2.19% | 91.24% |
Technical Indicators
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
Trend Indicators
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
Volume & Volatility
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
SMA 20: $10.33
SMA 50: $11.12
SMA 200: $11.16
Current: $8.39
EMA 12: $9.51
EMA 26: $10.14
MACD: -0.6259 | Signal: -0.2146
BEARISH
ADX (14): 27.37
TREND
+DI: 9.64
−DI: 32.31
Momentum Oscillators
RSI (14): 30.67
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 12.37
Stoch %D: 9.55
Williams %R: -90.48
Volume & Volatility
BB Upper: $12.40
BB Lower: $8.26
NEUTRAL
OBV: 162,485,232
Vol SMA 20: 13,127,916
Vol ROC: -24.13%
ATR: $0.69
True Range: $0.61
HV 20: 59.5%
HV 30: 63.5%
HV 60: 76.7%
Data Summary
Data Points: 500
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2024-10-18T00:00:00 – 2026-10-16T00:00:00
AI Analysis
LLM Stock Analysis Report - RDW
Executive Summary
BULLISH (Confidence Level: 7/10)
Key drivers:
- Bullish momentum signals from MACD and ADX
- Recent positive news headlines
- Relative strength within the space sector
Primary risks:
- High volatility and potential for sudden price swings
- Overbought RSI condition
- Unusual options activity, potentially indicating market expectation of a move
Investment thesis:
RDW is likely to continue its upward trend due to strong momentum and positive news sentiment. However, investors should be cautious of high volatility and potential for sudden price swings.
Recent news sentiment impact:
The recent positive news headlines have contributed to the stock's upward trend, with a majority of articles highlighting RDW's growth potential and recent successes.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction: Short-term (1-4 weeks): Uptrend, Medium-term (1-3 months): Bullish, Long-term (3-12 months): Bullish
Support/Resistance Levels: Key price levels include SMA 20 ($10.79), SMA 50 ($11.71), and upper Bollinger Band ($15.10).
Momentum Signals:
- RSI: Neutral (65.78)
- MACD: Bullish
- Bollinger Bands: Neutral
Volume Analysis: Volume is trending downward, indicating a potential reversal or consolidation.
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: The majority of recent news headlines are positive, highlighting RDW's growth potential and recent successes.
Sentiment Assessment: Positive sentiment prevails, with a slight bias towards neutral due to the recent overbought RSI condition.
Catalyst Identification: No specific catalysts identified; however, upcoming earnings reports could provide further insights into the company's performance.
Market Narrative: The news narrative aligns with the technical signals, indicating a strong upward trend.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: High risk due to beta value (3.86) and volatility (1.16).
Volatility Regime: Current volatility is high, indicating potential for sudden price swings.
Options Market Signals: IV Rank: Low, Put/Call Volume Ratio: 0.40 (Bullish sentiment), and options market expectation of a $2.95 move by expiration.
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: RDW is performing well within the space sector.
Institutional Activity: No specific institutional activity signals identified.
Correlation Analysis: High correlation with the broader market (0.43).
Relative Valuation: The stock is trading near its upper Bollinger Band, indicating potential for a pullback or consolidation.
Key Levels & Action Items
- Critical Price Levels: SMA 20 ($10.79) and SMA 50 ($11.71)
- Breakout/Breakdown Levels: Upper Bollinger Band ($15.10) and lower Bollinger Band ($6.48)
- Time-Sensitive Catalysts: Upcoming earnings reports
- Risk Management: Monitor RSI and MACD signals; consider adjusting position size or stop-loss levels based on volatility.
Recommendations:
Investors should consider the following:
- Risk-averse investors: Avoid long positions or consider hedging strategies to mitigate potential risks.
- Aggressive investors: Consider taking long positions, but monitor RSI and MACD signals closely.
- Conservative investors: Hold existing positions or consider scaling back exposure.
This analysis is based on the provided data and should not be considered as buy/sell advice. It's essential to continually monitor market developments and adjust your strategy accordingly.
Generated
News
All RDW news →
Both companies are unprofitable and burning cash, but their paths to scale, and valuations, tell strikingly different stories.
Redwire's defense business is scaling quickly, but the next phase depends on backlog, margins, cash flow, and dilution. Here's what investors should watch as the story develops.
Intuitive Machines bets on lunar dominance with 78% revenue concentration, while Redwire spreads risk across defense and commercial sectors, but both burn cash at scale.
Firefly scales fast with a $1.4B backlog but burns cash heavily; Redwire trades cheaper but faces integration risks and internal control weaknesses.
Showing 1–10 of 15
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Earnings History
16 of 19 under expected move
Avg Expected Move
18.43%
Avg Actual Move
9.02%
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-02-03 | After-Close | 17.73% | 2.66% | 0.15x | Within |
| 2022-03-31 | After-Close | 18.87% | 28.66% | 1.52x | Exceeded |
| 2022-08-10 | After-Close | 30.61% | 12.54% | 0.41x | Within |
| 2022-10-04 | After-Close | 17.73% | 2.13% | 0.12x | Within |
| 2023-03-29 | After-Close | 9.65% | 5.79% | 0.60x | Within |
| 2023-08-07 | After-Close | 15.45% | 0.29% | 0.02x | Within |
| 2023-11-06 | After-Close | 11.58% | 7.37% | 0.64x | Within |
| 2024-03-14 | After-Close | 9.69% | 4.69% | 0.48x | Within |
| 2024-05-08 | After-Close | 55.61% | 2.10% | 0.04x | Within |
| 2024-08-07 | After-Close | 30.00% | 10.26% | 0.34x | Within |
| 2024-11-06 | After-Close | 8.74% | 0.82% | 0.09x | Within |
| 2025-01-21 | After-Close | 23.96% | 3.05% | 0.13x | Within |
| 2025-03-10 | After-Close | 24.87% | 8.44% | 0.34x | Within |
| 2025-05-12 | After-Close | 10.65% | 7.86% | 0.74x | Within |
| 2025-08-06 | After-Close | 11.68% | 30.88% | 2.64x | Exceeded |
| 2025-11-05 | After-Close | 14.38% | 18.08% | 1.26x | Exceeded |
| 2026-02-25 | After-Close | 13.63% | 10.79% | 0.79x | Within |
| 2026-05-06 | After-Close | 12.19% | 4.56% | 0.37x | Within |
| 2026-08-05 | After-Close | 13.06% | 10.35% | 0.79x | Within |
Earnings calendar: this week’s reports with expected vs actual moves →
RDW Options Activity & IV Rank
RDW IV rank history, 52-week IV rank and IV percentile →
Volatility Metrics
Current IV: 87.2%
7-DTE IV: 63.7%
Expected Move: $1.67
7-DTE Move: $0.62
Days to Exp: 28 (2026-11-13)
Options Flow
Call Volume: 181
Put Volume: 436
P/C Volume: 2.409
BEARISH
Call OI: 1,793
Put OI: 614
P/C OI: 0.342
Total OI: 2,407
ATM Options Pricing
ATM Call: $0.82
ATM Put: $0.85
Call %: 9.8%
Put %: 10.1%
Chain Summary
Chain Volume: 15,902
Chain OI: 394,404
Last Updated: 10/16/2026
Spread Scanner GPU
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
Dealer Positioning
LOW γ vs HISTORY
Estimated net dealer gamma is at the 2nd percentile of this name's own daily history, near the low end of its range. This describes current positioning; it is not a forecast or a trading signal.
Gamma percentile
2%
vs own history
GEX tilt
-0.79
OI-weighted, today
Vanna tilt
+0.31
δ-sensitivity to IV
Charm tilt
-0.22
δ-decay vs time
Vanna tilt +0.31: the estimated dealer exposure leans positive, so the modeled hedge would shift noticeably if implied volatility changed.
? What is this?
· 57 ATM contracts, 82k total OI
Net dealer gamma is an estimate of the aggregate gamma held by options market makers across this name's option chain, weighted by open interest. Dealer positions aren't public, so it uses a standard simplifying assumption: dealers are treated as long the calls and short the puts that are open. Actual dealer books can differ.
Gamma percentile ranks today's estimate against this name's own daily history, from 0% (the lowest reading on record) to 100% (the highest). Raw gamma scales with how much open interest a chain carries, so it isn't comparable across names; the percentile is. The badge marks the bottom 20% as low and the top 20% as high.
Tilts run from −1 to +1 and show how lopsided the estimated dealer exposure is. GEX tilt compares call gamma with put gamma. Vanna tilt describes how the hedge would shift if implied volatility changed, and charm tilt how it would shift with the passage of time.
This card describes estimated positioning and where it sits historically. It is not a forecast of price direction or volatility and not a trading signal. Market-wide view: Dealer positioning screener.
Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d
—
—
pts
EXTREME
ATM 71.1% / Wing —
30 DTE / 10d
—
—
pts
EXTREME
ATM 89.6% / Wing —
Extreme reading.
Historically these have been contrarian — on the small set of observed earnings-day cases, large negative wing-vs-ATM gaps (calls pricing much richer than puts at the same delta) preceded sharp drops in the underlying within 1-12 days. Not financial advice and the dataset is small.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Volatility Surface
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Volatility Smile
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
IV Rank (7 DTE)0.0LowOct 16
IV Rank (30 DTE)19.4LowOct 16
Straddle Price (30 DTE)$1.67Oct 16
Beta Analysis
Risk Metrics
Beta: 4.0503
Alpha: -0.95%
Correlation: 0.4519
R-Squared: 20.4%
Stock Volatility: 114.1%
Market Volatility: 12.7%
Analysis Details
Benchmark: SPY
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Interpretation:
High volatility - stock moves more than market
High volatility - stock moves more than market
Beta & Alpha Over Time
Notable investors who own RDW
4 of 37 tracked investors
| Investor | Value | Share of their portfolio | Rank | Q/Q shares | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renaissance Technologies Hedge fund Jim Simons | $115.0M | #128 of 3138 | new | 13F | |
| Millennium Management Hedge fund Izzy Englander | $27.3M | #933 of 3716 | +348.7% | 13F | |
| Citadel Hedge fund Ken Griffin | $11.2M | #1506 of 6285 | -76.4% | 13F | |
| Rockefeller Capital Management Family office Rockefeller family | $3.2M | #1165 of 4729 | +141.0% | 13F |
Hedge funds, activists, holding companies and family offices we track, from their latest 13F (quarter-end value) and Form 4 filings in the last 3 years. Family offices · all institutions
RDW Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-09-30
? 13F Guide
Diluted shares outstanding: 169,856,817 (as of 2026-06-30)
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
24 filers$145.41M notional
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian | $38.54M | 26.51% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian | $22.38M | 15.39% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. Custodian | $18.02M | 12.39% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $14.76M | 10.15% | 2026-06-30 |
| 5 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $13.26M | 9.12% | 2026-06-30 |
| 6 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $8.14M | 5.60% | 2026-06-30 |
| 7 | Walleye Trading LLC | $8.09M | 5.56% | 2026-06-30 |
| 8 | PEAK6 LLC | $5.49M | 3.77% | 2026-06-30 |
| 9 | Simplex Trading, LLC Custodian | $4.90M | 3.37% | 2026-06-30 |
| 10 | Squarepoint Ops LLC | $2.45M | 1.69% | 2026-06-30 |
| 11 | Barclays PLC Custodian | $1.83M | 1.26% | 2026-06-30 |
| 12 | Balyasny Asset Management L.P. | $1.34M | 0.92% | 2026-06-30 |
| 13 | Wolverine Trading, LLC Custodian | $1.34M | 0.92% | 2025-09-30 |
| 14 | Walleye Capital LLC | $1.32M | 0.91% | 2026-06-30 |
| 15 | Citigroup Inc. Custodian | $1.22M | 0.84% | 2026-06-30 |
| 16 | Point72 Asset Management, L.P. | $964.95K | 0.66% | 2026-06-30 |
| 17 | National Bank of Canada Custodian | $486.75K | 0.33% | 2026-06-30 |
| 18 | CAPITAL FUND MANAGEMENT S.A. | $476.97K | 0.33% | 2026-06-30 |
| 19 | Millennium Management LLC Custodian | $152.88K | 0.11% | 2026-06-30 |
| 20 | Nemes Rush Group LLC | $141.00K | 0.10% | 2026-06-30 |
| 21 | Vontobel Holding Ltd. | $73.38K | 0.05% | 2026-06-30 |
| 22 | SUMMIT SECURITIES GROUP LLC | $24.46K | 0.02% | 2026-06-30 |
| 23 | Cetera Investment Advisers Custodian | $1.35K | <0.01% | 2026-06-30 |
| 24 | Inspire Advisors, LLC | $18 | 0.00% | 2026-06-30 |
15 filers$154.52M notional
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian | $46.76M | 30.26% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian | $33.63M | 21.76% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $20.33M | 13.16% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $18.68M | 12.09% | 2026-06-30 |
| 5 | Walleye Trading LLC | $12.49M | 8.09% | 2026-06-30 |
| 6 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $10.85M | 7.02% | 2026-06-30 |
| 7 | Simplex Trading, LLC Custodian | $4.57M | 2.96% | 2026-06-30 |
| 8 | PEAK6 LLC | $2.14M | 1.39% | 2026-06-30 |
| 9 | Crawford Fund Management, LLC | $1.91M | 1.23% | 2026-06-30 |
| 10 | Wolverine Trading, LLC Custodian | $827.81K | 0.54% | 2025-09-30 |
| 11 | Walleye Capital LLC | $673.87K | 0.44% | 2026-06-30 |
| 12 | Balyasny Asset Management L.P. | $509.99K | 0.33% | 2026-06-30 |
| 13 | National Bank of Canada Custodian | $485.53K | 0.31% | 2026-06-30 |
| 14 | Polar Asset Management Partners Inc. | $452.51K | 0.29% | 2026-06-30 |
| 15 | TUDOR INVESTMENT CORP ET AL | $201.79K | 0.13% | 2026-06-30 |
RDW Insider Trading (Form 4)
Latest: 2026-09-25Form 4 filings — insider beneficial-ownership changes by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders. Filed within 2 business days of transaction.
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | AE INDUSTRIAL PARTNERS FUND II, LP | Director | Sell (S) | −6,506,045 | $11.34 | -$73.78M | EDGAR |
| 2026-07-16 | Aaron Michael Futch | EVP, GC and Secretary | Mixed | +43,184 | $9.74 | -$22.1K | EDGAR |
| 2026-07-16 | Michael N. Gold | President, Space | Mixed | +59,860 | $9.74 | -$36.8K | EDGAR |
| 2026-07-16 | Peter Anthony Cannito Jr | Chairman and CEO | Mixed | +178,006 | $9.74 | -$123.0K | EDGAR |
| 2026-07-16 | Chris Edmunds | Chief Financial Officer | Mixed | +75,204 | $9.74 | -$11.3K | EDGAR |
| 2026-07-14 | Gregory L Heston | Director | Award (A) | +14,735 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-14 | Michael N. Gold | President, Space | Tax (F) | −11,457 | $10.18 | -$116.6K | EDGAR |
| 2026-07-14 | Aaron Michael Futch | EVP, GC and Secretary | Tax (F) | −1,834 | $10.18 | -$18.7K | EDGAR |
| 2026-07-14 | Peter Anthony Cannito Jr | Chairman and CEO | Tax (F) | −25,369 | $10.18 | -$258.3K | EDGAR |
| 2026-07-14 | Chris Edmunds | Chief Financial Officer | Tax (F) | −3,372 | $10.18 | -$34.3K | EDGAR |
| 2026-07-07 | Chris Edmunds | Chief Financial Officer | Tax (F) | −2,522 | $11.31 | -$28.5K | EDGAR |
| 2026-07-07 | Peter Anthony Cannito Jr | Chairman and CEO | Tax (F) | −19,168 | $11.31 | -$216.8K | EDGAR |
| 2026-07-07 | Michael N. Gold | President, Space | Tax (F) | −8,122 | $11.31 | -$91.9K | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-12 | AE INDUSTRIAL PARTNERS FUND II, LP | Director | Mixed | +6,506,045 | $14.98 | -$129 | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-26 | Frank Calvelli | Director | Award (A) | +9,772 | — | EDGAR |
Codes: P = open-market purchase · S = open-market sale · A = grant/award · M = option exercise · F = tax withholding at vest · G = bona-fide gift · D = disposition to issuer · J = other (described in filing footnote — typically 401(k), trust, inheritance) · W = will/inheritance. Only P / S codes carry directional signal.
RDW Insider Holdings
23 insiders · @ $8.39
Officers, directors, and 10%+ owners who have filed a Form 4 in the past two years, ranked by current disclosed exposure (shares × today's price). Shares are direct + indirect (via trusts / LLCs / spouse). Excludes unvested RSU and option grants — those aren't beneficially owned until vest.
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Robert Greene | Director | 85,485,177 | $717.22M | $0 | 1 | 2025-06-17 |
| 2 | AE INDUSTRIAL PARTNERS FUND II-A, LP | Director | 44,849,334 | $376.29M | -$476.52M | 3 | 2026-03-04 |
| 3 | AEROEQUITY GP, LLC | Director | 32,104,055 | $269.35M | -$378.72M | 2 | 2026-04-14 |
| 4 | AE RED HOLDINGS, LLC | Director | 30,111,287 | $252.63M | -$236.26M | 2 | 2026-04-16 |
| 5 | Edge Autonomy Ultimate Holdings, LP | Director | 26,273,144 | $220.43M | -$2.64B | 5 | 2026-04-20 |
| 6 | AE INDUSTRIAL PARTNERS STRUCTURED SOLUTIONS I, LP | Director | 15,376,026 | $129.00M | -$1.68B | 1 | 2026-05-20 |
| 7 | Jonathan Baliff | Chief Financial Officer | 1,044,790 | $8.77M | $0 | 4 | 2025-07-18 |
| 8 | Peter Anthony Cannito Jr | Chairman and CEO | 809,996 | $6.80M | $249.6K | 10 | 2026-07-16 |
| 9 | John S Bolton | Director | 367,403 | $3.08M | $0 | 1 | 2025-05-27 |
| 10 | Michael N. Gold | President, Space | 268,643 | $2.25M | $0 | 3 | 2026-07-16 |
Lifetime OM Net = signed sum of open-market buys (P) and sells (S) over their career; excludes grants, tax withholdings, and dispositions to issuer. A large negative number is normal for long-tenured executives — they've sold compensation grants over many years.
RDW Proposed Insider Sales (Form 144)
Latest: 2026-09-23
? Form 144 Guide
Last 30d:
1 filing
· $10.9M notice value
· Last 90d:
1 filing
· $10.9M notice value
· 1 unique filer
What is Form 144? A notice of intent to sell restricted or control stock under Rule 144. Affiliates (officers, directors, 10%+ owners) and holders of restricted shares must file Form 144 when planning to sell more than 5,000 shares or $50,000 in any 3-month rolling window.
How it relates to Form 4: Form 144 is filed before the trade (up to 90 days in advance); Form 4 is filed within 2 business days after the trade executes. Not every Form 144 results in a sale — the filer may cancel or delay. Look for the corresponding Form 4 on the Insider Activity card to confirm a sale actually happened.
10b5-1 plans: Trades made under a pre-scheduled Rule 10b5-1 plan are not discretionary — they execute automatically on dates set months earlier, regardless of news. High 10b5-1 percentages mean less per-filing signal value, though cumulative selling volume still matters.
"Notice value": Aggregate market value the filer wrote into the Form 144 — i.e. the size of the planned sale, not necessarily the executed dollars. An amended notice (Form 144/A) replaces the original it amends, and cancelled notices are dropped, so neither is double-counted above. A filed value that is clearly inconsistent with the share count at the stock's price (a filer typo) shows as a dash and is left out of the totals.
Source & freshness: Sourced from public Form 144 filings. Refreshed daily; new filings typically appear here the morning after they are filed.
Top 90-day filers:
AE Red Holdings, LLC (1, $10.9M)
| Filed | Filer | Role | Shares | Notice Value | Planned Sale | Broker | Plan | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | AE Red Holdings, LLC | 10% Stockholder | 929,435 | $10.93M | 2026-09-23 | Merrill Lynch | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-18 | AE Industrial Partners Structured Solutions I, LP | 10% Stockholder | 5,082,528 | $71.46M | 2026-05-18 | Merrill Lynch | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-18 | AE Industrial Partners Fund II, LP | 10% Stockholder | 6,187,978 | $87.00M | 2026-05-18 | Merrill Lynch | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-18 | AE Industrial Partners Fund II-A, LP | 10% Stockholder | 3,961,830 | $55.70M | 2026-05-18 | Merrill Lynch | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-18 | AE Industrial Partners Fund II-B, LP | 10% Stockholder | 15,250 | $214.4K | 2026-05-18 | Merrill Lynch | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-04-22 | Edge Autonomy Ultimate Holdings, LP | 10% Stockholder | 12,455,455 | $135.14M | 2026-04-22 | Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-04-22 | AE Red Holdings, LLC | 10% Stockholder | 8,910,454 | $96.68M | 2026-04-22 | Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-04-21 | AE Red Holdings, LLC | 10% Stockholder | 407,819 | $4.16M | 2026-04-21 | Merrill Lynch | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-04-21 | Edge Autonomy Ultimate Holdings, LP | 10% Stockholder | 570,068 | $5.82M | 2026-04-21 | Merrill Lynch | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-04-20 | Edge Autonomy Ultimate Holdings, LP | 10% Stockholder | 1,029,723 | $10.65M | 2026-04-20 | Merrill Lynch | — | EDGAR |
Notice value is the aggregate market value the filer states they intend to sell — not a confirmed transaction. Compare to Insider Activity (Form 4) to see which planned sales actually executed. Market-wide feed: Planned sales (Form 144).
ETF Holders
68 ETFs hold RDW
25 shown · $410.63M total exposure · 0.08% AUM-weighted avg weight
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VTI Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF | Vanguard | 0.00% | $79.1M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 2 | XAR State Street® SPDR® S&P® Aerospace & Defense ETF | SPDR (State Street) | 1.19% | $62.6M | $5.3B | 2026-10-14 |
| 3 | IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.07% | $54.1M | $78.9B | 2026-10-14 |
| 4 | VXF Vanguard Extended Market ETF | Vanguard | 0.03% | $29.5M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 5 | ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.17% | $20.1M | $12.0B | 2026-10-14 |
| 6 | NASA Tema Space Innovators ETF | Nport | 0.77% | $19.9M | — | 2026-05-31 |
| 7 | JEDI Defiance Drone and Modern Warfare ETF | Nport | 11.61% | $17.7M | — | 2026-06-30 |
| 8 | VTWO Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF | Vanguard | 0.08% | $14.3M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 9 | PPA Invesco Aerospace & Defense ETF | Invesco | 0.18% | $13.0M | — | 2026-10-14 |
| 10 | KOMP State Street® SPDR® S&P Kensho New Economies Composite ETF | SPDR (State Street) | 0.50% | $12.4M | $2.5B | 2026-10-14 |
| 11 | IWO iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.08% | $11.0M | $13.6B | 2026-10-14 |
| 12 | SCHA Schwab U.S. Small-Cap ETF | Nport | 0.04% | $9.2M | — | 2026-05-31 |
| 13 | DFAS Dimensional US Small Cap ETF | Dimensional | 0.03% | $8.6M | — | 2026-10-14 |
| 14 | UFO Procure Space ETF | Nport | 1.36% | $8.0M | — | 2026-07-31 |
| 15 | IDEF iShares Defense Industrials and Tech Active ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.21% | $7.7M | $3.7B | 2026-10-14 |
| 16 | IWN iShares Russell 2000 Value ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.06% | $7.7M | $13.7B | 2026-10-14 |
| 17 | DFAC Dimensional US Core Equity 2 ETF | Dimensional | 0.01% | $6.5M | — | 2026-10-14 |
| 18 | SIXG Defiance Connective Technologies ETF | Nport | 0.54% | $5.4M | — | 2026-06-30 |
| 19 | UFOX Defiance Connective Technologies ETF | Nport | 0.54% | $5.4M | — | 2026-06-30 |
| 20 | MNVT Moonvest ETF | Nport | 4.90% | $3.4M | — | 2026-07-31 |
| 21 | ROKT State Street® SPDR® S&P Kensho Final Frontiers ETF | SPDR (State Street) | 2.10% | $3.3M | $159.5M | 2026-10-14 |
| 22 | DFSV Dimensional US Small Cap Value ETF | Dimensional | 0.01% | $3.3M | — | 2026-10-14 |
| 23 | VIS Vanguard Industrials ETF | Vanguard | 0.04% | $3.2M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 24 | ITOT iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.00% | $2.9M | $97.1B | 2026-10-14 |
| 25 | WARP VanEck Space ETF | Nport | 3.49% | $2.0M | — | 2026-06-30 |
Fundamentals
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
Metrics
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
Trailing P/E
—
TTM Diluted EPS
$-1.44
TTM Revenue
$426.27M
TTM Net Income
$-258.71M
TTM Op. Cash Flow
$-76.19M
Quarterly figures (12 quarters)
| Quarter | Period End | Revenue | Net Income | Diluted EPS | Op. Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 '26 | 2026-06-30 | $117.07M | $-41.48M | $-0.19 | $-24.94M |
| Q1 '26 | 2026-03-31 | $96.97M | $-78.01M | $-0.40 | $-6.67M |
| Q4 '25 | 2025-12-31 | $108.79M | $-96.40M | $-0.56 | $-24.26M |
| Q3 '25 | 2025-09-30 | $103.43M | $-42.83M | $-0.29 | $-20.32M |
| Q2 '25 | 2025-06-30 | $61.76M | $-126.72M | $-1.41 | $-87.66M |
| Q1 '25 | 2025-03-31 | $61.40M | $-6.48M | $-0.09 | $-45.08M |
| Q4 '24 | 2024-12-31 | $69.56M | $-92.10M | $-1.39 | $7.06M |
| Q3 '24 | 2024-09-30 | $68.64M | $-24.34M | $-0.37 | $-17.67M |
| Q2 '24 | 2024-06-30 | $78.11M | $-27.79M | $-0.42 | $-9.51M |
| Q1 '24 | 2024-03-31 | $87.79M | $-11.14M | $-0.17 | $2.76M |
| Q4 '23 | 2023-12-31 | $63.48M | $-16.27M | $-0.25 | $15.69M |
| Q3 '23 | 2023-09-30 | $62.61M | $-9.13M | $-0.14 | $-3.26M |
Q2 2026 • period ending 2026-06-30 • filed 2026-08-06
Valuation
Ratios derived from TTM financials and the current market price, sampled daily. History chart shows how expensive the stock is today relative to its own recent past.
Price Multiples
- P/E — price / TTM earnings. Rough market rule: 10–15 value, 15–25 market, >30 growth/premium. Negative when earnings are negative.
- P/B — price / book value. Useful for financials and asset-heavy names; meaningless for asset-light software.
- P/S — price / TTM revenue. Useful when earnings are negative or noisy (early-stage growth).
- EV/EBITDA — capital-structure-neutral. <10 cheap, 10–15 reasonable, >20 rich. Good for comparing across leverage profiles.
- EV/Sales — like P/S but accounts for debt + cash. Compare within sector.
Profitability & Yields
- ROE — return on equity. >15% strong, >25% exceptional. Caution: high leverage inflates ROE.
- ROA — return on assets. Leverage-neutral; >5% solid, >10% exceptional.
- Div Yield — annual dividend / price. Compare to 10Y Treasury; sustained yield >6% often signals distress.
- FCF Yield — free cash flow / market cap. >5% is attractive; negative means burning cash.
Balance Sheet
- Debt/Equity — leverage. <1 conservative, >2 aggressive. Sector-dependent (utilities naturally high, tech low).
- Current Ratio — short-term liquidity. >1.5 comfortable, <1 raises short-term solvency flags.
Reading the history chart
- Compare current level to the 3-year band: near the high end = relatively expensive; near the low = relatively cheap.
- Multiples expanding while earnings are flat = sentiment-driven rally.
- Multiples compressing while earnings grow = value coming from fundamentals.
P/E
—
P/B
0.87
P/S
3.34
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Sales
2.14
ROE
-15.9%
ROA
-13.3%
Div Yield
0.14%
FCF Yield
-5.35%
Debt/Equity
0.03
Current Ratio
—
Market Cap
$1.43B
as of 2026-10-16
Short Interest & Float
Regulatory short-interest reports publish on a bi-weekly settlement cadence; short-volume is reported daily by the trade-reporting facilities. Float is derived from insider-ownership filings.
Metric definitions
- Short Interest — total shares currently sold short as of the settlement date. Lags real time by ~8 business days.
- SI % of Float — short interest / free float. The key crowding metric.
- Days to Cover — short interest / avg daily volume. How many full trading days it would take shorts to buy back. High DTC + catalyst = squeeze fuel.
- Short Vol Ratio — today's short-sale volume / total volume. Intraday selling pressure proxy (not the same as short interest).
- Free Float — shares available for public trading (total shares minus insider / restricted).
- Float % — free float / shares outstanding. <50% = tightly held, more prone to squeezes.
How to read the signals
- SI % of Float < 5% — typical, no particular signal.
- 5–15% — elevated; watch for catalysts (earnings, guidance, macro).
- 15–30% — heavily shorted; tight-float names in this range have produced notable squeezes historically.
- >30% — extreme; borrow is likely expensive and squeeze risk is material.
- Days to Cover > 5 combined with high SI% amplifies squeeze potential.
History chart
- Trend matters more than level. Rapidly rising short interest often precedes negative catalysts or heavy hedging.
- A sudden drop in SI after a rally may indicate a squeeze in progress.
Short interest is reported mid-month and end-of-month; short volume is daily.
Short Interest
45.84M
SI % of Float
27.00%
Days to Cover
3.17
Short Vol Ratio
47.3%
Free Float
169.79M
Float %
67.9%
Short interest 2026-09-30 • Short volume 2026-10-16 • Float 2026-08-14