INNOVATE Corp.(VATE)

Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.

Snapshot
$10.87
52-Week Range
$3.75 – $19.59
YTD
+109.04%
IV Rank (30D)
0
Straddle Price
$8.65
P/C Vol Ratio
0.01
Market Cap
$0.3B
Fair Value
+50.0% vs price
Confidence: 45% Alpha Score: 33.47

A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.

  • DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
  • Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
  • DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 0.5% and dividend payments are stable.
  • P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
  • Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
  • Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
  • Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
  • Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
10-yr Treasury (rf)4.46%
Beta vs SPY1.00
Cost of Equity (CAPM)9.46%
WACC8.36%
Effective Tax Rate21.0%
Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input)+30.0%
DCF Horizon10 years explicit + fade
Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM)×1.10 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S)
Free Cash Flow (TTM)$0.2B
Return on Equity (TTM)22.0%
Book / Price-107.0%
Gross Margin (TTM)15.5%
FCF Margin (TTM)13.1%
Quality Score3/6 — normal (10y DCF)
SMA 50$11.17 (Market Anchor value)
SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid$13.61
Bollinger Width / SMA20424.3% (drives anchor stability)
Net Debt$-0.1B
Market Cap$0B
Blended Fair Value
$429.78
Current Price
$18.98
Deviation
+50.0%
MethodImplied PriceWeightDetail
DCF $1141.42 37%
DDM (Gordon) n/a 0%
Peer P/E n/a 0%
Peer EV/EBITDA n/a 0%
Peer P/B n/a 0%
Peer P/S n/a 0%
Market Anchor (SMA50) $11.17 63% stability 85% (BB-width)
Options Expected (B-L 30d) n/a 0%
As of 2026-06-05 · updated 2026-06-05 21:00:03.385000
Info
Industry (SIC)
FABRICATED STRUCTURAL METAL PRODUCTS (3440)
Exchange
XNYS
Market Cap
$0.3B

Innovate Corp is a diversified holding company that has a portfolio of subsidiaries in a variety of operating segments. Its segments include Infrastructure, Life Sciences and Spectrum, and Other segment. Through its subsidiaries it provides fully integrated structural and steel construction services; supports healthcare and biotechnology product development; and operates Over-The-Air (OTA) broadcasting stations across the United States (U.S.) including Puerto Rico.

Price History
Seasonality
MonthAvg ReturnYears of Data
Jan +38.57% 5
Feb -11.48% 5
Mar -1.25% 5
Apr +14.39% 5
May -15.10% 5
Jun +1.95% 5
Jul -0.80% 4
Aug -11.44% 4
Sep -12.04% 5
Oct +9.40% 5
Nov +8.31% 5
Dec +6.62% 5
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Trend Indicators
SMA 20: $13.93
SMA 50: $11.47
SMA 200: $6.63
Current: $18.98
EMA 12: $15.66
EMA 26: $13.93
MACD: 1.7309 | Signal: 0.3724
BULLISH
ADX (14): 41.85
STRONG TREND
+DI: 43.67
−DI: 13.20
Momentum Oscillators
RSI (14): 78.22
OVERBOUGHT
Stoch %K: 92.78
Stoch %D: 90.39
Williams %R: -6.60
Volume & Volatility
BB Upper: $18.47
BB Lower: $9.38
OVERBOUGHT
OBV: 33,875,095
Vol SMA 20: 65,887
Vol ROC: 537.83%
ATR: $1.31
True Range: $2.56
HV 20: 106.6%
HV 30: 99.1%
HV 60: 104.8%

Data Summary
Data Points: 500
Last Updated: 2026-06-05T21:15:20.158000
Date Range: 2024-06-07T00:00:00 – 2026-06-05T00:00:00
AI Analysis

Choose Frenzy-Fast™ for quick analysis or Frenzy-Pro™ for comprehensive analysis.

Analysis includes technical indicators, news sentiment, risk assessment, and specific price levels to watch.

News
Options Activity
IV Rank (30D)
0
IV Rank (7D)
0
Avg IV
0.0%
Straddle (30D)
$8.65
Straddle (7D)
$8.65
P/C Volume
0.01
Spread Scanner GPU

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR25 and BF25 from the live options chain. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.

Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.

Volatility Surface

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.

IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)
Straddle Price (30 DTE)
Beta Analysis
Beta (1Y vs SPY)
0.47
Correlation (SPY)
7.1%
0.01
Ann. Volatility
80.8%
SPY Volatility
12.2%

Low volatility - stock moves less than market

Beta & Alpha Over Time
Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-03-31
Diluted shares outstanding: 13,243,529 (as of 2026-03-31)

Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.

  • Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
  • Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
  • % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
  • Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.

Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.

29 filers2,397,390 shares$13.31M value18.10% of float
# Filer Shares Value % of Total % of Float Period
1 Whitefort Capital Management, LP 743,000 $4.22M 31.70% 5.61% 2026-03-31
2 Jefferies Financial Group Inc. 700,802 $3.98M 29.90% 5.29% 2026-03-31
3 VANGUARD GROUP INC Custodian 262,497 $1.19M 8.91% 1.98% 2025-12-31
4 Arena Capital Advisors, LLC- CA 127,934 $726.66K 5.46% 0.97% 2026-03-31
5 PRESCOTT GROUP CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. 109,448 $621.66K 4.67% 0.83% 2026-03-31
6 BlackRock, Inc. Custodian 91,048 $517.15K 3.88% 0.69% 2026-03-31
7 GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC Custodian 89,936 $511.25K 3.84% 0.68% 2026-03-31
8 ARS Investment Partners, LLC 61,246 $347.88K 2.61% 0.46% 2026-03-31
9 STATE STREET CORP 47,764 $271.30K 2.04% 0.36% 2026-03-31
10 CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian 36,129 $205.21K 1.54% 0.27% 2026-03-31
11 TUDOR INVESTMENT CORP ET AL 32,787 $186.23K 1.40% 0.25% 2026-03-31
12 BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC 25,000 $142.00K 1.07% 0.19% 2026-03-31
13 GABELLI FUNDS LLC 18,000 $102.24K 0.77% 0.14% 2026-03-31
14 BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ Custodian 16,134 $91.64K 0.69% 0.12% 2026-03-31
15 NORTHERN TRUST CORP Custodian 12,662 $71.92K 0.54% 0.10% 2026-03-31
16 SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian 10,876 $61.78K 0.46% 0.08% 2026-03-31
17 UBS Group AG Custodian 7,830 $44.47K 0.33% 0.06% 2026-03-31
18 ROYAL BANK OF CANADA Custodian 1,876 $11.00K 0.08% 0.01% 2026-03-31
19 CWM, LLC Custodian 920 $5.23K 0.04% <0.01% 2026-03-31
20 Tower Research Capital LLC (TRC) Custodian 663 $3.77K 0.03% <0.01% 2026-03-31
21 MORGAN STANLEY Custodian 408 $1.84K 0.01% <0.01% 2025-12-31
22 OSAIC HOLDINGS, INC. Custodian 150 $852 <0.01% <0.01% 2026-03-31
23 BNP PARIBAS FINANCIAL MARKETS Custodian 145 $824 <0.01% <0.01% 2026-03-31
24 JPMORGAN CHASE & CO Custodian 84 $462 <0.01% <0.01% 2026-03-31
25 Caitong International Asset Management Co., Ltd 31 $176 <0.01% <0.01% 2026-03-31
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
ETF Holders
# ETF Provider Weight $ Exposure ETF AUM As Of
Fundamentals

Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.

Metrics
  • Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
  • Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
  • Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
  • Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
  • Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
  • YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
  • Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
  • Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.

TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.

P/B Ratio-0.9
P/S Ratio0.2
EV/EBITDA11.9
TTM Revenue$1.3B
TTM Net Income$-0.1B
TTM EPS$-4.24
ROE22.0%
Dividend Yield0.98%
Debt/Equity-2.65