Oracle Corp (ORCL) Stock Quote & Options Analysis | Frenzy Capital
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $132.00 – $345.72
- YTD
- -9.72%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 26.65
- Straddle Price
- $21.80
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 0.56
- Market Cap
- $521.1B
- Industry (SIC)
- SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE (7372)
- Exchange
- XNYS
- Market Cap
- $521.1B
Oracle provides enterprise applications and infrastructure offerings through a variety of flexible IT deployment models, including on-premises, cloud-based, and hybrid. Founded in 1977, Oracle pioneered the first commercial SQL-based relational database management system, which is commonly used by the world's largest companies for high-volume online transaction processing workloads. Besides databases, Oracle also sells enterprise resource planning platforms and cloud infrastructure that play an increasingly important role in large language model training and inferencing.
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | -1.51% | 6 |
| Feb | -3.92% | 6 |
| Mar | +2.95% | 6 |
| Apr | +1.37% | 6 |
| May | +4.40% | 5 |
| Jun | +11.32% | 5 |
| Jul | +6.75% | 5 |
| Aug | -0.69% | 5 |
| Sep | +3.97% | 5 |
| Oct | +5.25% | 5 |
| Nov | -0.87% | 5 |
| Dec | -4.88% | 5 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 61.5 | Neutral |
| MACD | 7.991 | Bullish |
| SMA 50 | $154.10 | Above |
| SMA 200 | $214.32 | Below |
| Bollinger Bands | Neutral | |
| ADX | 25.3 | Trend |
| HV 30 | 58.6% |
Here is a comprehensive stock analysis report for ORCL:
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: NEUTRAL (Confidence Level: 7/10)
Key Drivers: Oracle's advancements in AI strategy with Google Cloud, positive sentiments from recent news headlines.
Primary Risks: High volatility, beta above market average, potential for unexpected earnings misses or regulatory issues.
2-3 Sentence Investment Thesis: ORCL is a mid-cap stock with moderate growth prospects. Its recent collaborations and advancements in AI may drive short-term gains, but high volatility and sector-specific risks must be carefully considered before investing.
Recent News Sentiment Impact: Positive news headlines (Oracle Advances AI Strategy With Google Cloud Collaboration and Oracle Bottoms: A Multi-Cloud Future Is Ahead—and Undervalued) have contributed to the stock's recent price movement.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction: Short-term: Bullish, Medium-term: Neutral, Long-term: Bearish
Support/Resistance Levels: SMA 20: $156.66 (support), Upper Bollinger Band: $190.49 (resistance)
Momentum Signals:
- RSI interpretation: Neutral (62.02) - not overbought or oversold
- MACD signal: Bullish momentum with a bullish crossover above the signal line
- Bollinger Bands position: Squeeze, breakout potential above upper band
Volume Analysis: Volume SMA 20: 29421568.95, On-Balance Volume (OBV): 154842230.85 - moderate institutional interest.
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: Positive news headlines (Oracle Advances AI Strategy With Google Cloud Collaboration and Oracle Bottoms: A Multi-Cloud Future Is Ahead—and Undervalued) have driven recent price movements.
Sentiment Assessment: Aggregate sentiment is POSITIVE, with 3 out of 6 recent headlines having a positive tone.
Catalyst Identification: Earnings announcement, potential regulatory changes, AI strategy advancements.
Market Narrative: Recent news headlines align with technical signals, indicating a potential short-term uptrend.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: High risk relative to market (beta 1.63), stock moves more than the market.
Volatility Regime: Current volatility is higher than historical levels, with an IV rank of 33.6% and IV premium vs HV30 at 15.4%.
Options Market Signals: Put/Call volume ratio: 0.56 (Bullish sentiment), Put/Call OI ratio: 0.99.
Downside Protection: Support level: SMA 20 ($156.66), stop-loss consideration at this level to manage risk.
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: ORCL's performance is mixed relative to the sector, with a correlation of 0.33.
Institutional Activity: Moderate institutional interest (volume SMA 20) and a bullish put/call volume ratio indicate potential buying pressure.
Correlation Analysis: R-squared: 0.62 - shows that ORCL moves relatively strongly with the market.
Relative Valuation: Position within trading range, with recent price movement suggesting potential upside to upper Bollinger Band ($190.49).
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels: Support level: SMA 20 ($156.66), resistance level: Upper Bollinger Band ($190.49).
Breakout/Breakdown Levels: Breakout above upper Bollinger Band for potential short-term gains, or breakdown below support level to reconsider the investment thesis.
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: Earnings announcement (no specific date available).
Risk Management: Stop-loss consideration at SMA 20 ($156.66) and position sizing based on risk tolerance.
Please note that this analysis is based on the provided data and may not reflect real-time market conditions or trading decisions.
- IV Rank (30D)
- 26.65
- IV Rank (7D)
- 64.69
- Avg IV
- 63.3%
- Straddle (30D)
- $21.80
- Straddle (7D)
- $12.35
- P/C Volume
- 0.56
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR25 and BF25 from the live options chain. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 1.60
- Correlation (SPY)
- 32.1%
- R²
- 0.10
- Ann. Volatility
- 62.6%
- SPY Volatility
- 12.6%
High volatility - stock moves more than market
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
| P/B Ratio | 13.5 |
| P/S Ratio | 8.1 |
| EV/EBITDA | 21.2 |
| ROE | 42.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.09% |
| Debt/Equity | 3.50 |