UCO · Expected Move

ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil · ETF

The expected move for UCO is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

UCO straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current UCO Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$6.30
7-Day Straddle
$6.30
30-Day ATM IV
118.5%
IV Rank
100%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to UCO's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
UCO Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20260302 $6.30 $6.30 118.5% 100%
20260227 $5.53 $5.53 102.0% 100%
20260226 $4.67 $4.67 93.7% 100%
20260225 $4.70 $4.70 89.5% 92%
20260224 $4.70 $4.70 90.2% 93%
20260223 $4.78 $4.78 89.7% 92%
20260221 $5.00 $5.00 — —
20260220 $5.00 $0.20 89.6% 92%
20260219 $5.25 $0.82 93.8% 100%
20260218 $4.53 $1.15 83.7% 84%
20260217 $3.35 $1.05 66.3% 51%
20260213 $3.53 $1.52 64.3% 47%
20260212 $3.80 $1.88 65.8% 49%
20260211 $4.20 $2.05 69.4% 56%
20260210 $4.43 $2.33 74.3% 66%
20260209 $5.17 $2.75 82.4% 82%
20260206 $4.97 $3.08 81.7% 80%
20260205 $5.43 $3.50 87.2% 91%
20260204 $3.60 $3.60 87.8% 92%
20260203 $3.42 $3.42 84.7% 86%
20260202 $3.10 $3.10 76.2% 70%
20260130 $4.45 $4.45 89.7% 96%
20260129 $4.55 $4.55 91.8% 100%
20260128 $3.85 $3.85 79.2% 100%
20260127 $3.60 $3.60 77.3% 100%
20260126 $2.95 $2.95 71.8% 94%
20260123 $3.52 $3.52 73.7% 100%
20260122 $3.22 $3.22 66.9% 85%
20260121 $3.40 $3.40 69.8% 94%
20260120 $3.23 $3.23 62.6% 71%
20260116 $3.40 $0.60 61.9% 69%
20260115 $3.12 $0.52 63.1% 73%
20260114 $3.85 $1.30 71.7% 100%
20260113 $3.67 $1.30 68.2% 100%
20260112 $3.50 $1.48 64.2% 100%
20260109 $3.17 $1.38 59.0% 96%
20260108 $3.17 $1.70 59.8% 100%
20260107 $2.80 $1.38 54.1% 96%
20260106 $2.38 $1.30 46.0% 41%
20260105 $2.45 $1.32 44.1% 28%
20260102 $1.20 $0.15 41.2% 9%
20251231 $1.30 $0.30 44.0% 28%
20251230 $1.55 $0.40 46.9% 47%
20251229 $1.60 $0.55 45.2% 36%
20251226 $1.65 $0.88 46.9% 47%
20251224 $1.92 $0.88 48.4% 58%
20251223 $1.92 $1.00 48.7% 60%
20251222 $1.90 $0.53 46.9% 47%
20251219 $2.05 $0.75 48.5% 58%
20251218 $2.00 $0.90 45.9% 41%
20251217 $2.25 $1.20 52.0% 82%
20251216 $2.12 $1.15 50.1% 69%
20251215 $2.10 $0.62 46.7% 46%
20251212 $2.02 $0.82 40.3% 3%
20251211 $2.12 $0.92 42.5% 18%
20251210 $1.67 $1.15 43.0% 21%
20251209 $1.70 $1.23 42.9% 20%
20251208 $1.90 $0.60 45.3% 30%
20251205 $1.97 $0.93 43.1% 18%
20251204 $2.05 $1.00 43.5% 20%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.