What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 88%, implying a 88% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on May 01, 2030. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Climate and Weather

Above 10%

Closes May 01, 2030 (1391d) 24h volume — Open interest 345 Event EV market share in 2030?

88%

implied YES probability

Last 13 days · High 89% · Low 85% · 7d +2.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.