What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 82%, implying a 82% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Democratic party

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (481d) 24h volume 123 Open interest 3.5K Event AZ-06 House winner?

82%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 11 days · High 84% · Low 76% · 7d +3.9pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.