What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 63%, implying a 63% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 27, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Gracie Abrams

Closes Dec 27, 2026 (193d) 24h volume 27 Open interest 4.8K Event Who will have a #1 album this year?

63%

implied YES probability

-9.0pp 24h

Last 64 days · High 75% · Low 34% · 7d +1.7pp · 30d +13.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.