What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 86%, implying a 86% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Gavin Newsom

Closes Jan 01, 2028 (563d) 24h volume 2 Open interest 14.3K Event Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

86%

implied YES probability

Last 74 days · High 89% · Low 81% · 7d +3.5pp · 30d +1.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.