What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 47%, implying a 47% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Tucker Carlson

Closes Jan 01, 2028 (563d) 24h volume 41 Open interest 20.0K Event Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

47%

implied YES probability

Last 69 days · High 61% · Low 29% · 7d -13.2pp · 30d -9.8pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.