What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 29, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Mariah Carey

Closes Dec 29, 2026 (172d) 24h volume 298 Open interest 805 Event Who will have a top 20 song this year?

98%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 7 days · High 99% · Low 96%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.