What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 14%, implying a 14% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 15, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Before the next general election

Closes Oct 15, 2029 (1216d) 24h volume 112 Open interest 34.4K Event Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada?

14%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 78 days · High 30% · Low 13% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d -34.8pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.