What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 51%, implying a 51% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 19, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above 200K

Closes Jul 19, 2026 (9d) 24h volume 563 Open interest 2.4K Event The Real Me: First Week Album Equivalent Units

51%

implied YES probability

-8.0pp 24h

Last 9 days · High 62% · Low 6% · 7d +78.6pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.