What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above 62.8K

Closes Jul 12, 2026 (2d) 24h volume 97 Open interest 2.6K Event Will Madonna top Paul McCartney's first-week album sales?

100%

implied YES probability

Last 13 days · High 99% · Low 69% · 7d +26.9pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.