What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 20%, implying a 20% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above 40K

Closes Aug 02, 2026 (23d) 24h volume 39 Open interest 39 Event Reality Awaits: First Week Album Equivalent Units

20%

implied YES probability

+89.0pp 24h

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.