What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 26%, implying a 26% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 26, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above 30K

Closes Jul 26, 2026 (16d) 24h volume 15 Open interest 322 Event SET IN STONE: First Week Album Equivalent Units

26%

implied YES probability

+5.0pp 24h

Last 5 days · High 51% · Low 23%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.