What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 96%, implying a 96% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above 100K

Closes Aug 16, 2026 (37d) 24h volume 5 Open interest 134 Event THIS & THAT: First Week Album Equivalent Units

96%

implied YES probability

-20.0pp 24h

Last 10 days · High 94% · Low 57% · 7d +2.9pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.