What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above 50K

Closes Jul 12, 2026 (2d) 24h volume 1.6K Open interest 19.0K Event xperiment: First Week Album Equivalent Units

implied YES probability

-5.0pp 24h

Last 14 days · High 85% · Low 4% · 7d -95.1pp

Spread 3.0¢ · Mid 10.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.