What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 52%, implying a 52% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

At least 40 minutes

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (174d) 24h volume 89 Open interest 85 Event How long will Ariana Grande's album 'petal' be?

52%

implied YES probability

+13.0pp 24h

Last 11 days · High 60% · Low 42% · 7d +32.6pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.