What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Leon Thomas

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 17 Open interest 38 Event Who will release a new album in 2026?

50%

implied YES probability

+9.0pp 24h

Last 11 days · High 60% · Low 45% · 7d -6.9pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.