What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 76%, implying a 76% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Jerry Carl

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (504d) 24h volume 223 Open interest 2.6K Event AL-01 Republican nominee?

76%

implied YES probability

-35.1pp 24h

Last 45 days · High 94% · Low 22% · 7d -29.1pp · 30d +51.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.