What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 94%, implying a 94% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 18, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

SNP

Closes Jun 18, 2027 (366d) 24h volume 311 Open interest 740 Event Arbroath & Broughty Ferry by-election winner

94%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 4 days · High 95% · Low 89%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.