What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 23%, implying a 23% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

above 1500

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (175d) 24h volume 12 Open interest 2.9K Event Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score

23%

implied YES probability

Last 8 days · High 70% · Low 23% · 7d -67.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.