What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 60%, implying a 60% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

above 1480

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (175d) 24h volume 457 Open interest 775 Event GPT 5.6 debut arena score

60%

implied YES probability

-3.0pp 24h

Last 4 days · High 57% · Low 53%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.