What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 02, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above 175M

Closes Jan 02, 2027 (199d) 24h volume 27 Open interest 1.5K Event it's murph Streams in 2026

50%

implied YES probability

+9.0pp 24h

Last 19 days · High 53% · Low 43% · 7d +8.2pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.