What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 20%, implying a 20% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Jonathan Treble

Closes Nov 03, 2026 (116d) 24h volume 46 Open interest 5.1K Event AZ-01 Democratic nominee?

20%

implied YES probability

-4.0pp 24h

Last 20 days · High 93% · Low 15% · 7d +21.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.