What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 52%, implying a 52% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Daniel Keenan

Closes Nov 03, 2026 (139d) 24h volume 834 Open interest 10.8K Event AZ-05 Republican nominee?

52%

implied YES probability

+6.0pp 24h

Last 17 days · High 69% · Low 26% · 7d -20.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.