What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 10%, implying a 10% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Before 2027

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 24 Open interest 33.5K Event Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?

10%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 89 days · High 23% · Low 10% · 7d -8.3pp · 30d -35.3pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.