What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 40%, implying a 40% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 04, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Manny Pacquiao

Closes Oct 04, 2026 (108d) 24h volume 1.5K Open interest 122.1K Event Mayweather vs Pacquiao

40%

implied YES probability

Last 66 days · High 42% · Low 34% · 7d +5.3pp · 30d +2.6pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.