What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 88%, implying a 88% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 04, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Closes Oct 04, 2026 (86d) 24h volume 124 Open interest 36.8K Event Who will run for President of Brazil?

88%

implied YES probability

-4.0pp 24h

Last 41 days · High 94% · Low 76% · 7d -2.3pp · 30d +6.2pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.