What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 10%, implying a 10% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 04, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Ronaldo Caiado

Closes Oct 04, 2027 (474d) 24h volume 14 Open interest 467 Event Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

10%

implied YES probability

-4.0pp 24h

Last 8 days · High 39% · Low 7% · 7d -81.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.