What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 10, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Crypto

$61,000 to 61,499.99

Closes Jul 10, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 560 Open interest 984 Event BTC price range on Jul 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

4%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 4 days · High 9% · Low 6%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.