What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 96%, implying a 96% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Crypto

Bitcoin price on Jul 9, 2026?

$62,250 or above

Closes Jul 09, 2026 (0d) 24h volume 171.8K Open interest 30.4K Event BTC price on Jul 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

96%

implied YES probability

+97.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 1 days · High 41% · Low 41%

Not enough price history yet.

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market for Bitcoin's price on July 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT is currently indicating a 64% probability that the price will be above its current level. This assessment is informed by known facts such as recent market trends and economic indicators. The market is asking whether the price of Bitcoin will have increased or remained stable by this date and time. A change in the overall sentiment towards cryptocurrencies, significant shifts in global economic conditions, or major regulatory developments could all impact the price and potentially alter the current probability estimate.

Generated Jul 09, 2026

Top of book

Bid	Size	Ask	Size
97.0¢	1200	98.0¢	1052
96.0¢	520	99.0¢	355
95.0¢	200
94.0¢	5115
93.0¢	2271

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 97.5¢

Trade on Kalshi

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.