What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Crypto

$63,500 or above

Closes Jul 09, 2026 (0d) 24h volume 274.1K Open interest 200.7K Event BTC price on Jul 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

implied YES probability

+4.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 10% · Low 10%

Not enough price history yet.

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 3.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.