What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 10, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Crypto

$60,000 or above

Closes Jul 10, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 18.8K Open interest 19.3K Event BTC price on Jul 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

98%

implied YES probability

+11.0pp 24h

Last 6 days · High 92% · Low 80%

Spread 2.0¢ · Mid 97.0¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.