What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 10, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Crypto

Bitcoin price on Jul 10, 2026?

$60,500 or above

Closes Jul 10, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 7.0K Open interest 22.9K Event BTC price on Jul 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

98%

implied YES probability

+15.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 6 days · High 86% · Low 75%

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market is currently pricing in a high likelihood of Bitcoin's price being above $0.85 on July 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT, with an implied probability of approximately 86%. This assessment is informed by known facts such as the current state of the cryptocurrency market and any relevant macroeconomic indicators. The price would likely increase if there were significant positive developments in the regulatory environment or a surge in mainstream adoption of Bitcoin. Conversely, a decline in the price would be expected if there were major concerns about the stability of the global financial system or a sharp correction in the broader crypto market.

Generated Jul 07, 2026

Top of book

Bid	Size	Ask	Size
73.0¢	5293	74.0¢	300
72.0¢	291	75.0¢	1551
71.0¢	1104	76.0¢	450
70.0¢	1300	77.0¢	50
69.0¢	450	78.0¢	0

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 73.5¢

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Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.