What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 40%, implying a 40% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 10, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Crypto

Bitcoin price on Jul 10, 2026?

$63,500 or above

Closes Jul 10, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 35.1K Open interest 47.8K Event BTC price on Jul 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

40%

implied YES probability

+16.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 6 days · High 49% · Low 18%

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market for Bitcoin's price on July 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT is currently indicating a 30% probability of the price being above its current level. This assessment is based on known facts such as recent market trends and economic indicators. The market is asking whether the price will be higher or lower than its current value on that specific date and time. If new information emerges that suggests a significant increase in demand for Bitcoin, such as widespread adoption by institutional investors, the YES price could rise. Conversely, if there were to be a major regulatory crackdown on cryptocurrencies, the YES price might decrease.

Generated Jul 08, 2026

Top of book

Bid	Size	Ask	Size
32.0¢	287	34.0¢	1398
31.0¢	1581	35.0¢	400
30.0¢	6777	36.0¢	1152
29.0¢	750	37.0¢	889
24.0¢	3	38.0¢	132

Spread 2.0¢ · Mid 33.0¢

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Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.