What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 10, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Crypto

$65,500 or above

Closes Jul 10, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 24.6K Open interest 42.9K Event BTC price on Jul 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 6 days · High 21% · Low 5%

Spread 4.0¢ · Mid 11.0¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.