What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 27%, implying a 27% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

In 2026

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 453 Open interest 61.1K Event Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?

27%

implied YES probability

+2.2pp 24h

Last 91 days · High 45% · Low 17% · 7d +44.5pp · 30d -27.6pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.