What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 29%, implying a 29% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Connie Chan

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (481d) 24h volume 54 Open interest 23.1K Event CA-11 House winner?

29%

implied YES probability

Last 53 days · High 48% · Low 6% · 7d -16.7pp · 30d -14.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.