What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 02, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Steve Hilton

Closes Jun 02, 2027 (350d) 24h volume 1.2K Open interest 20.9K Event California governor primary: 2nd place

98%

implied YES probability

Last 40 days · High 99% · Low 35% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d +110.6pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.