What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 97%, implying a 97% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on May 27, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Tom Steyer

Closes May 27, 2027 (344d) 24h volume 288 Open interest 2.7K Event California governor primary: which candidates will win a county?

97%

implied YES probability

Last 11 days · High 99% · Low 45% · 7d +11.2pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.